CHAPTER 1: FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT: AN INTRODUCTION 11 CHAPTER 2: INVESTMENT APPRAISAL TECHNIQUES 21 CHAPTER 3: ADVANCED DISCOUNTED CASH FLOW TECHNIQUES 39 CHAPTER 4: LONG TERM SOURCES OF F
Trang 1© The Accountancy College Ltd January 2009
All rights reserved No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a
retrieval system, or transmitted, in any form or by any means, electronic,
mechanical, photocopying, recording or otherwise, without the prior written
permission of The Accountancy College Ltd
CHAPTER 1: FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT: AN INTRODUCTION 11
CHAPTER 2: INVESTMENT APPRAISAL TECHNIQUES 21
CHAPTER 3: ADVANCED DISCOUNTED CASH FLOW TECHNIQUES 39
CHAPTER 4: LONG TERM SOURCES OF FINANCE 61
CHAPTER 5: COST OF CAPITAL 69
CHAPTER 6: CAPITAL STRUCTURE AND RISK ADJUSTED WACC 91
CHAPTER 7: RATIO ANALYSIS 101
CHAPTER 8: RAISING EQUITY FINANCE 117
CHAPTER 9: WORKING CAPITAL MANAGEMENT 123
CHAPTER 10: EFFICIENT MARKET HYPOTHESIS 147
Trang 2AIM OF THE PAPER
The aim of the paper is to develop knowledge and skills expected of a financial
manager, relating to issues affecting investment, financing and dividend policy
decisions
OUTLINE OF THE SYLLABUS
1 Financial management function
2 Financial management environment
3 Working capital management
FORMAT OF THE EXAM PAPER
The syllabus is assessed by a three hour paper-based examination
The examination consists of 4 questions of 25 marks each All questions are
compulsory
FAQs
How does the new syllabus relate to the papers in the
Trang 3previous syllabus?
The paper is materially based on the previous paper, 2.4 FMC, but with additional
material from paper 3.7 SFM It covers the financial management topics from the
first paper but drops management accounting topics such as Standard Costing,
Budgeting and ABC To balance against that it now incorporates new topics on Cost
of capital and Valuation
Trang 5Present Value Table
Present value of 1 i.e (1 + r)-n
Where r = discount rate
n = number of periods until payment
Trang 812
CHAPTER CONTENTS
WHAT IS FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT? - 13
WHAT IS FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT?
May be considered as:
The management of all matters associated with the cash flow of the organisation
both short and long-term
Financial management and the accounting equation
The three key decisions
Financial management is often described in terms of the three basic decisions to be
made:
● the investment decision,
● the financial decision,
● the dividend decision
Each of these decisions have to be looked at in far greater detail later on in the
course but as an outline these are the basic considerations:
1 The investment decision
A company may invest its funds in one of three basic areas:
Trang 9A critical decision because of the strategic implications of many investments, the
decision would include the following financial considerations:
The cash resource available to the business on a day-to-day basis and used to fund
the current assets such as inventory and receivables The key to identifying the
level of investment is to balance the risk of insolvency against the cost of funding
Financial assets
Not a core area of the course, we tend to focus on financing from the perspective of
a company rather than the investor This being the case the only financial
investment to consider is short-term saving In this circumstance then the key
considerations are, in order:
1 Risk
2 Liquidity
Trang 103 Return
2 The financing decision
When looking at the financing of a business there are 4 basic questions to consider:
1 total funding required,
2 internally generated vs externally sourced,
3 debt or equity,
4 long-term or short-term debt
Total funding required
The funding requirement will be determined by an assessment of the following
Application of funds Source of funds
Existing asset base Existing funding
New assets Redemption of existing debt
Disposals Funds generated through trading
Change in Working Capital
CHAPTER 1 – FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT: AN INTRODUCTION
15
Internally vs externally generated funds
A company may be able to fund business growth via internally generated funds
such as retained earnings If those funds are limited or the company wishes to
grow at a faster rate then external sources of funding must be tapped
Debt vs equity
The gearing decision which forms the basis of two later chapters A critical issue in
terms of risk and cost of funding
Short-term vs long-term debt
A consideration focussed upon in the funding of working capital, short-term funding
may have benefits of flexibility and lower cost but is inherently risky
3 The dividend decision
The amount of return to be paid in cash to shareholders This is a critical measure
of the companies ability to pay a cash return to its shareholders The level of
dividend paid will be determined by the following:
1 Profitability
2 Cash flow
3 Growth
Trang 114 Legal restrictions
5 Shareholder expectations
Corporate strategy and financial management
The role of the financial manager is to align the aims of financial management team
with those of the wider corporate strategy The strategy of the business may be
separated into corporate, business and operational objectives Financial managers
should be attempting to fulfil those objectives
The nature of financial management means that it is fundamental to the translation
of strategic aims into financial transactions
Financial objectives
Financial objectives of commercial companies may include:
1 Maximising shareholders‟ wealth
2 Maximising profits
3 Satisficing
1 Maximising shareholders’ wealth
A fundamental aim within financial management is to create and sustain
shareholders‟ wealth Wealth being the ongoing value of shares of the
organisation The importance of this concept is that there is no time period to the
wealth and that it is determined by the relative risk/ return balance of the business
All aspects of financial management are based on this basic premise
CHAPTER 1 – FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT: AN INTRODUCTION
16
2 Maximising profits
Within organisations it is normal to reward management on some measure of profit
such as ROI or RI In simple terms we would expect a close relationship between
profit and shareholders‟ wealth There are, however, ways in which they may
conflict such as:
1 Short-termism
2 Cash vs accruals
3 Risk
Short-termism
A profit target is normally calculated over one year, it is relatively easy to
manipulate profit over that period to enhance rewards at the expense of future
years
Trang 12Cash vs accruals
As we will see later, wealth is calculated on a cash basis and ignores accruals
Risk
A manager may be inclined to accept very risky projects in order to achieve profit
targets which in turn would adversely affect the value of the business
3 Satisficing
Many organisations do not profit maximise but instead aim to satisfice This means
that they attempt to generate an acceptable level of profit with a minimum of risk
It reflects the fact that many organisations are more concerned with surviving than
growth
4 Objectives of not-for-profit organisations
These organisations are established to pursue non-financial aims but are to provide
services to the community Such organisations like profit-seeking companies need
funds to finance their operations Their major constraint is the amount of funds
that they would be able to raise As a result not-for-profit organisations should
seek to use the limited funds so as to obtain value for money
Value for money
Value for money means providing a service in a way, which is economical, efficient
and effective It simply means that getting the best possible service at the least
possible cost Public services for example are funded by the taxpayers and in
seeking value for money; the needs of the taxpayer are being served, insofar as
resources are being used in the best manner to provide essential services
CHAPTER 1 – FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT: AN INTRODUCTION
17
Economy measures the cost of obtaining the required quality inputs needed to
produce the service The aim is to acquire the necessary input at the lowest
possible cost
Effectiveness means doing the right thing It measures the extent to which the
service meets its declared objectives
Efficiency means doing the right thing well It relates to the level of output
generated by a given input Reducing the input: output ratio is an indication of
increased efficiency
Example in refuse collection service,
The service will be economic if it is able to minimise the cost of weekly collection
Trang 13and not suffer from wasted use of resources
The service will be effective if it meet it target of weekly collection
The service will be efficient if it is able to raise the number of collection per vehicle
per week
Stakeholders
We tend to focus on the shareholder as the owner and key stakeholder in a
business A more comprehensive view would be to consider a wider range of
interested parties or stakeholders
Stakeholders are any party that has both an interest in and relationship with the
company The basic argument is that the responsibility of an organisation is to
balance the requirements of all stakeholder groups in relation to the relative
economic power of each group
ECONOMY EFFECTIVENESS EFFICIENCY
CHAPTER 1 – FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT: AN INTRODUCTION
18
Conflict between stakeholder groups
The very nature of looking at stakeholders is that the level of „return‟ is finite within
an organisation There is a need to balance the needs of all groups in relation to
their relative strength
Group task
Required:
Using the stakeholder groups already identified suggest 5 possible conflicts of
interest that need to be considered
Agency theory
Agency relationships occur when one or more people employ one or more persons
as agent The persons who employ others are the principals and those who work
for them are called the agent
In an agency situation, the principal delegate some decision-making powers to the
agent whose decisions affect both parties This type of relationship is common in
Trang 14business life For example shareholders of a company delegate stewardship
function to the directors of that company The reasons why an agents are
employed will vary but the generally an agent may be employed because of the
special skills offered, or information the agent possess or to release the principal
from the time committed to the business
Goal Congruence
Goal congruence is defined as the state which leads individuals or groups to take
actions which are in their self interest and also in the best interest of the entity
For an organisation to function properly, it is essential to achieve goal congruence
at all level All the components of the organisation should have the same overall
objectives, and act cohesively in pursuit of those objectives
In order to achieve goal congruence, there should be introduction of a careful
designed remuneration packages for managers and the workforce which would
Money as a prime motivator
The most direct use of money as a motivator is payment by results schemes
whereby an employee‟s pay is directly linked to his results However, research has
shown that money is not a single motivator or even the prime motivator
Question
Identify 5 key areas of conflict between directors and shareholders and suggest
what can be done to encourage goal congruence between the two parties
CHAPTER 1 – FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT: AN INTRODUCTION
20
CHAPTER 2 – INVESTMENT APPRAISAL TECHNIQUES
21
Trang 15● Time value of money
● Discounted cash flow
Trang 16Basic techniques DCF techniques
CHAPTER 2 – INVESTMENT APPRAISAL TECHNIQUES
23
CHAPTER CONTENTS
INVESTMENT APPRAISAL AND CAPITAL BUDGETING - 24
DISCOUNTED CASH FLOW - 32
CHAPTER 2 – INVESTMENT APPRAISAL TECHNIQUES
24
INVESTMENT APPRAISAL AND CAPITAL BUDGETING
A form of decision-making where the investment occurs predominantly today and
the benefits of the investment occur in the future Investment appraisal is of
particular importance because of the following:
1 Long-term
2 Size (in relation to the business)
3 Outflow today (relatively certain), inflow in the future (uncertain)
There are 4 basic methods to be mastered
1 Payback
2 Return on Capital Employed (ROCE)
3 Net present value (NPV)
4 Internal rate of return (IRR)
We shall use the following example to illustrate how each method is calculated
Example 1 – Reina Ltd
Reina Ltd has the opportunity to invest in two mutually exclusive investments with
the following initial costs and returns:
Trang 17Should the project be accepted?
CHAPTER 2 – INVESTMENT APPRAISAL TECHNIQUES
Trang 18Accept the project in the event that the time period is within the
acceptable time period What is an acceptable time period? It depends!!
CHAPTER 2 – INVESTMENT APPRAISAL TECHNIQUES
26
Advantages
1 It is simple to use (calculate) and easy to understand
2 It is a particularly useful approach for ranking projects where a company
faces liquidity constraints and requires a fast repayment of investment
3 It is appropriate in situations where risky investments are made in uncertain
market that are subject to fast design and product changes or where future
cash flows are particularly difficult to predict
4 The method is often used in conjunction with the NPV or IRR method and act
as the first screening device to identify projects which are worthy of further
investigation
5 It provides an important summary method, how quickly will the initial
investment be recouped
6 Unlike the other traditional methods payback uses cash flows, rather than
accounting profits, and so is less likely to produce an unduly optimistic figure
distorted by assorted accounting conventions
7 It may be used in selecting projects under capital rationing situation in order
to provide capital for further investments
8 Rapid payback minimises risk
Disadvantages
1 It is simple to use (calculate) and easy to understand
2 It is a particularly useful approach for ranking projects where a company
faces liquidity constraints and requires a fast repayment of investment
Trang 193 It is appropriate in situations where risky investments are made in uncertain
market that are subject to fast design and product changes or where future
cash flows are particularly difficult to predict
4 The method is often used in conjunction with the NPV or IRR method and act
as the first screening device to identify projects which are worthy of further
investigation
5 It provides an important summary method, how quickly will the initial
investment be recouped
6 Unlike the other traditional methods payback uses cash flows, rather than
accounting profits, and so is less likely to produce an unduly optimistic figure
distorted by assorted accounting conventions
7 It may be used in selecting projects under capital rationing situation in order
to provide capital for further investments
8 Rapid payback minimises risk
CHAPTER 2 – INVESTMENT APPRAISAL TECHNIQUES
27
Example 4 – Chromex (exam standard question)
Chromex plc manufactures bicycles for the UK and European markets, and has
made a bid of £150 million to take over Bexell plc, their main UK competitor, which
is also active in the German market Chromex currently supplies 24 per cent of the
UK market and Bexell has a 10 per cent share of the same market
Chromex anticipates labour savings of £700,000 per year, created by more efficient
production and distribution facilities, if the takeover is completed In addition, the
company intends to sell off surplus land and buildings with a balance sheet value of
£15 million, acquired in the course of the takeover
Total UK bicycle sales for 20X7 were £400 million For the year ended 31
December 20X7, Bexell reported an operating profit of £10 million, compared with
a
figure of £55 million for Chromex In calculating profits, Bexell included a
depreciation charge of £0.5 million
Note The takeover is regarded by Chromex in the same way as any other
investment, and is appraised accordingly
Required
(a) Assuming that the bid is accepted by Bexell, calculate the payback period
(pre-tax) for the investment, if the land and buildings are immediately sold for
£5 million less than the balance sheet valuation, and Bexell‟s sales figures
Trang 20remain static (3 marks)
(b) Chromex has also appraised the investment in Bexell by calculating the
present value of the company‟s future expected cashflows What additional
information to that required in (a) would have been necessary? (5 marks)
(Total: 8 marks)
CHAPTER 2 – INVESTMENT APPRAISAL TECHNIQUES
28
Return on capital employed (ROCE)
A measure that considers the impact of the investment on accounting profit It is
similar in concept to the ROCE performance measure, but is not the same
Investment appraisal Performance
Average annual profit
Net cash flows (less depn)
number of years
= average profit
Average investment
Trang 21A profit measure that must be compared to a target profit This profit is likely to be
related to the target performance measure already discussed
Advantages
1 It is easy to understand and easy to calculate
2 The impact of the project on a company‟s financial statement can also be
specified
3 ROCE is still the commonest way in which business unit performance is
measured and evaluated, and is certainly the most visible to shareholders
4 Managers may be happy in expressing project attractiveness in the same
terms in which their performance will be reported to shareholders, and
according to which they will be evaluated and rewarded
5 The continuing use of the ARR method can be explained largely by its
utilisation of balance sheet and P&L account magnitudes familiar to managers,
namely profit and capital employed
Disadvantages
1 It fails to take account of the project life or the timing of cash flows and time
value of money within that life
2 It uses accounting profit, hence subject to various accounting conventions
3 There is no definite investment signal The decision to invest or not remains
subjective in view of the lack of objectively set target ARR
4 Like all rate of return measures, it is not a measurement of absolute gain in
wealth for the business owners
5 The ARR can be expressed in a variety of ways and is therefore susceptible to
manipulation
CHAPTER 2 – INVESTMENT APPRAISAL TECHNIQUES
Trang 2230
Example 5 – Armcliff (exam standard question)
Armcliff Limited is a division of Sherin plc which requires each of its divisions to
achieve a rate of return on capital employed of at least 10 per cent per annum For
this purpose, capital employed is defined as fixed capital and investment in stocks
This rate of return is also applied as a hurdle rate for new investment projects
Divisions have limited borrowing powers and all capital projects are centrally
funded
The following is an extract from Armcliff‟s divisional accounts
Profit and loss account for the year ended 31 December 20X4
Fixed assets (net) 75
Current assets (including stocks £25m) 45
Armcliff‟s production engineers wish to invest in a new computer-controlled press
The equipment cost is £14 million The residual value is expected to be £2 million
after four years operation, when the equipment will be shipped to a customer in
South America
The new machine is capable of improving the quality of the existing product and
also of producing a higher volume The firm‟s marketing team is confident of
selling the increased volume by extending the credit period The expected
additional sales are as follows
Year 1 2,000,000 units
Year 2 1,800,000 units
Year 3 1,600,000 units
Year 4 1,600,000 units
Trang 23Sales volume is expected to fall over time because of emerging competitive
pressures Competition will also necessitate a reduction in price by £0.5 each year
from the £5 per unit proposed in the first year Operating costs are expected to be
steady at £1 per unit, and allocation of overheads (none of which are affected by
the new project) by the central finance department is set at £0.75 per unit
Higher production levels will require additional investment in stocks of £0.5 million,
which would be held at this level until the final stages of operation of the project
Customers at present settle accounts after 90 days on average
CHAPTER 2 – INVESTMENT APPRAISAL TECHNIQUES
31
Required
(a) Determine whether the proposed capital investment is attractive to Armcliff,
using the average rate of return on capital method, defined as average profit
to average capital employed, ignoring debtors and creditors (7 marks)
Note Ignore taxes
(b) (i) Suggest three problems which arise with the use of the average return
method for appraising new investment (3 marks)
(ii) In view of the problems associated with the ARR method, why do
companies continue to use it in project appraisal? (3 marks)
(c) Briefly discuss the dangers of offering more generous credit, and suggest
ways of assessing customers‟ creditworthiness (7 marks)
(Total: 20 marks)
CHAPTER 2 – INVESTMENT APPRAISAL TECHNIQUES
32
DISCOUNTED CASH FLOW
The application of the idea that there is a TIME VALUE OF MONEY What this
means is that money received today will have more worth than the same amount
received at some point in the future
Why would you rather have £100 now rather than in one year‟s time?
Trang 24If we invest £100 now (Yr 0) what will the value of that investment be in 1,2,3,4
years at a compound rate of 10%?
Present Value Calculation Future Value
r - Rate of interest or cost of capital
n - Number of periods (years)
Discounting
The opposite of compounding, where we have the future value (eg an expected
cash inflow in a future year) and we wish to consider its value in present value
terms
Trang 25Use tables to calculate the present values of the example on the previous page
Year Future Value Discount factor (from tables) Present Value
Net present value (NPV)
The key investment appraisal method, it incorporates the time value of money in
calculating an absolute value of the project It is called the NET present value
because there will be a range of outflows and inflows in the typical investment
Decision criteria
If the investment has a positive NPV then the project should be accepted (negative
rejected) A positive NPV means that the project will increase the wealth of the
company by the amount of the NPV at the current cost of capital
Example – Reina
Trang 261 A project with a positive NPV increases the wealth of the company‟s, thus
maximise the shareholders wealth
2 Takes into account the time value of money and therefore the opportunity
cost of capital
3 Discount rate can be adjusted to take account of different level of risk
inherent in different projects
4 Unlike the payback period, the NPV takes into account events throughout the
life of the project
5 Superior to the internal rate of return because it does not suffer the problem
of multiple rates of return
CHAPTER 2 – INVESTMENT APPRAISAL TECHNIQUES
35
6 Better than accounting rate of return because it focuses on cash flows rather
than profit
7 NPV technique can be combined with sensitivity analysis to quantify the risk
of the project‟s result
8 It can be used to determine the optimum policy for asset replacement
Trang 27Disadvantages
1 NPV assumes that firms pursue an objective of maximising the wealth of their
shareholders
2 Determination of the correct discount rate can be difficult
3 Non-financial managers may have difficulty understanding the concept
4 The speed of repayment of the original investment is not highlighted
5 The cash flow figures are estimates and may turn out to be incorrect
6 NPV assumes cash flows occur at the beginning or end of the year, and is not
a technique that is easily used when complicated, mid-period cash flows are
present
Internal rate of return (IRR)
The rate of return at which the NPV equals zero
What will be the NPV at 10% and 20% discount rates?
CHAPTER 2 – INVESTMENT APPRAISAL TECHNIQUES
Trang 28L
L H
L
Where:
L = Lower discount rate
H = Higher discount rate
NL = NPV at lower discount rate
NH = NPV at higher discount rate
Advantages
1 Like the NPV method, IRR recognises the time value of money
2 It is based on cash flows, not accounting profits
3 More easily understood than NPV by non-accountant being a percentage
return on investment
4 For accept/ reject decisions on individual projects, the IRR method will reach
the same decision as the NPV method
2 Assumes that earnings throughout the period of the investment are reinvested
at the same rate of return
3 It can give conflicting signals with mutually exclusive project
4 If a project has irregular cash flows there is more than one IRR for that
project (multiple IRRs)
5 Is confused with accounting rate of return
NPV and IRR compared
Single investment decision
Trang 29A single project will be accepted if it has a positive NPV at the required rate of
return If it has a positive NPV then, it will have an IRR that is greater than the
required rate of return
Mutually exclusive projects
Two projects are mutually exclusive if only one of the projects can be undertaken
In this circumstance the NPV and IRR may give conflicting recommendation
The reasons for the differences in ranking are:
1 NPV is an absolute measure but the IRR is a relative measure of a project‟s
viability
2 Reinvestment assumption The two methods are sometimes said to be based
on different assumptions about the rate at which funds generated by the
project are reinvested NPV assumes reinvestment at the company‟s cost of
capital, IRR assumes reinvestment at the IRR
(a) NPV using existing analysis
(b) NPV using annuity tables
(c) Solely considering the annuity, what if the cash flows commenced in:
A form of annuity that arises forever (in perpetuity) In this situation the
calculation of the present value of the future cash flows is very straightforward
The is of particular importance when considering cost of capital later
Cash flow per annum
Trang 301 What is the present value of the perpetuity?
2 What is the value if the perpetuity starts in 5 years?
CHAPTER 3 – ADVANCED DISCOUNTED CASH FLOW TECHNIQUES
● Lease or buy decision
CHAPTER 3 – ADVANCED DISCOUNTED CASH FLOW TECHNIQUES
40
CHAPTER CONTENT DIAGRAM
Applications
Trang 31ASSET REPLACEMENT - 49
CAPITAL RATIONING - 51
SOFT CAPITAL RATIONING 51
SINGLE PERIOD CAPITAL RATIONING 51
MULTI-PERIOD CAPITAL RATIONING 53
Trang 32CHAPTER 3 – ADVANCED DISCOUNTED CASH FLOW TECHNIQUES
42
DECISION MAKING THEORY
Investment appraisal is a form of decision making As such, it uses decision
making theory The decision is based on relevant costs
Relevant cost
Has 3 criteria that must be fulfilled:
1 It must arise in the future
2 It must be a cash flow
3 It must arise as a direct consequence of the decision
3 Overhead absorbed arbitrarily
4 Non cash flows (e.g depreciation)
CHAPTER 3 – ADVANCED DISCOUNTED CASH FLOW TECHNIQUES
43
INFLATION AND D.C.F
There two ways of dealing with inflation:
1 Include inflation by inflating up the cash flows year on year
2 Exclude inflation (and take the cash flows in year 0 terms)
Include inflation
(money analysis)
Exclude inflation
Trang 33Use a money rate of return
Use a real rate of return
Exam tip Exam tip
Use where there is more than one
inflation rate in the question
Use where a single inflation rate is
given
The Fisher effect
The relationship between real and money interest is given below
r = real discount rate
m = money discount rate
i = inflation rate
Example 1
r = 8% i = 5%
Required:
What is the money rate of interest?
CHAPTER 3 – ADVANCED DISCOUNTED CASH FLOW TECHNIQUES
44
Trang 34A company has invested $50,000 in a project The project generates net cash
inflows of $14,000 each year for 5 years in year 0 terms The rate of return is 12%
and inflation is expected to be 3.6%
Required:
Calculate the NPV using both the money and real analyses
Example 4 – Howden (exam standard question)
(a) Explain how inflation affects the rate of return required on an investment
project, and the distinction between a real and a nominal (or „money terms‟)
approach to the evaluation of an investment project under inflation
(4 marks)
(b) Howden plc is contemplating investment in an additional production line to
produce its range of compact discs A market research study, undertaken by
a well-known firm of consultants, has revealed scope to sell an additional
output of 400,000 units per annum The study cost £100,000 but the account
has not yet been settled
The price and cost structure of a typical disc (net of royalties) is as follows
£ £
Price per unit 12.00
Costs per unit of output
Material cost per unit 1.50
Direct labour cost per unit 0.50
Variable overhead cost per unit 0.50
Fixed overhead cost per unit 1.50
Trang 35The fixed overhead represents an apportionment of central administrative and
marketing costs These are expected to rise in total by £500,000 per annum
as a result of undertaking this project The production line is expected to
operate for five years and to require a total cash outlay of £11 million,
including £0.5 million of materials stocks The equipment will have a residual
value of £2 million The working capital balance will remain constant after
allowing for inflation of materials The production line will be accommodated
in a presently empty building for which an offer of £2 million has recently
been received from another company If the building is retained, it is
expected that property price inflation will increase its value to £3 million after
five years
CHAPTER 3 – ADVANCED DISCOUNTED CASH FLOW TECHNIQUES
45
While the precise rates of price and cost inflation are uncertain, economists in
Howden‟s corporate planning department make the following forecasts for the
average annual rates of inflation relevant to the project (per annum)
Retail Price Index 6 per cent
Disc prices 5 per cent
Material prices 3 per cent
Direct labour wage rates 7 per cent
Variable overhead costs 7 per cent
Other overhead costs 5 per cent
Note You may ignore taxes and capital allowances in this question
Required
Given that Howden‟s shareholders require a real return of 8.5 per cent for
projects of this degree of risk, assess the financial viability of this proposal
Trang 36Good – Any investment in a capital asset will give rise to a capital allowance The
capital allowance will lead to a reduction in the amount of tax subsequently paid –
CASH INFLOW
Bad – We would expect the investment to generate additional profits, these in
turn would lead to additional tax payable – CASH OUTFLOW
Ugly – Sometimes the examiner may delay all cash flow associated with taxation
by one year, this is done to reflect the delays between tax arising and being paid
Take care and read the question carefully
Key Pro forma (THE BIG 5)
1 Net trading revenue – The inflows and outflows from trading
2 Tax payable - The net trading revenue tax rate
3 Tax allowance – separate working for the capital allowances
4 Investment
5 Residual value
Writing down allowances
The tax allowance normally used is based on the reducing balance method of
depreciation at 25%
Example 5
An asset is bought on the first day of the year for £20,000 and will be used for four
years after which it will be disposed of (on the final day of year 4) for £5,000 Tax
is payable at 30% one year in arrears
Required:
Calculate the writing down allowance and hence the tax savings for each year
CHAPTER 3 – ADVANCED DISCOUNTED CASH FLOW TECHNIQUES
47
Year Allowance Tax saving Timing
Trang 37Continuing from the previous example We are further told that net cash from
trading is £8,000 per annum from trading The cost of capital is 10%
Example 7 – Blackwater (exam standard question: extract)
Blackwater plc, a manufacturer of speciality chemicals, has been reported to the
anti-pollution authorities on several occasions in recent years, and fined substantial
amounts for making excessive toxic discharges into local rivers Both the
environmental lobby and Blackwater‟s shareholders demand that it clean up its
operations
It is estimated that the total fines it may incur over the next four years can be
summarised by the following probability distribution (all figures are expressed in
present values)
Level of fine Probability
Trang 38£0.5m 0.3
£1.4m 0.5
£2.0m 0.2
Filta & Strayne Limited (FSL), a firm of environmental consultants, has advised that
new equipment costing £l million can be installed to virtually eliminate illegal
discharges Unlike fines, expenditure on pollution control equipment is taxallowable
via a 25 per cent writing-down allowance (reducing balance) The rate of
corporate tax is 33 per cent, paid with a one-year delay The equipment will have
no resale value after its expected four-year working life, but can be in full working
order immediately after Blackwater‟s next financial year
A European Union Common Pollution Policy grant of 25 per cent of gross
expenditure is available, but with payment delayed by a year Immediately on
receipt of the grant from the EU, Blackwater will pay 20 per cent of the grant to FSL
as commission These transactions have no tax implications for Blackwater
A disadvantage of the new equipment is that it will raise production costs by £30
per tonne over its operating life Current production is 10,000 tonnes per annum,
but is expected to grow by 5 per cent per annum compound It can be assumed
that other production costs and product price are constant over the next four years
No change in working capital is envisaged
Blackwater applies a discount rate of 12 per cent after all taxes to investment
projects of this nature All cash inflows and outflows occur at year ends
Required:
(a) Calculate the expected net present value of the investment assuming a fouryear
operating period Briefly comment on your results (12 marks)
CHAPTER 3 – ADVANCED DISCOUNTED CASH FLOW TECHNIQUES
49
ASSET REPLACEMENT
The decision how to replace an asset The asset will be replaced but we aim to
adopt the most cost effective replacement strategy The key in all questions of this
type is the lifecycle of the asset in years
Key ideas/assumptions:
1 Cash inflows from trading are not normally considered in this type of question
The assumption being that they will be similar regardless of the replacement
decision
2 The operating efficiency of machines will be similar with differing machines or
Trang 39with machines of differing ages
3 The assets will be replaced in perpetuity or at least into the foreseeable
Life 3 years 2 years
Running costs 10 p.a Yr 1: 20
Answer pro forma
Year Cash flow Discount factor
Equivalent annual cost (EAC)
After calculating the NPV in the normal way we are then able to calculate some
measure of equal cost for each year by using the following calculation:
Trang 40A limit on the level of funding available to a business, there are two types:
Hard capital rationing
Externally imposed by banks
Due to:
1 Wider economic factors (e.g a credit crunch)
2 Company specific factors
(a) Lack of asset security
(b) No track record
(c) Poor management team
Soft capital rationing
Internally imposed by senior management
Issue: Contrary to the rational aim of a business which is to maximise shareholders
‟
wealth (i.e to take all projects with a positive NPV)
Reasons:
1 Lack of management skill
2 Wish to concentrate on relatively few projects
3 Unwillingness to take on external funds
4 Only a willingness to concentrate on strongly profitable projects
Single period capital rationing
There is a shortage of funds in the present period which will not arise in following