Do not include financing cash flows because the cost of finance is measured in the cost of capital/discount rate - finance costs are taken into account by the discounting process itself
Trang 1OVERVIEW
Objective
Ü To recognise the costs that are relevant to a discounted cash flow analysis
Ü To be able to determine the taxation effects of a new investment
Ü To be able to deal with inflation using either the money method, real method or
effective method
Ü To do able to deal with cash flows relating to working capital
RELEVANT COSTS
WORKING CAPITAL TAXATION
Ü General rule
Ü Layout of cash flows
Ü Basic effect of the UK tax
Ü Why inflation is a problem
Ü Real and money interest rates
Ü General and specific inflation
rates
Ü Cash flow forecasts
Ü Discounting
Trang 21 RELEVANT COSTS FOR DISCOUNTING
Ü operating cash flows
Operating cash flows means the cash flows generated from operating the project e.g cash
from sales, less operating costs such as materials and labour
Do not include financing cash flows because the cost of finance is measured in the cost of
capital/discount rate - finance costs are taken into account by the discounting process itself
Specifically, exclude:
Ü sunk costs – money already spent;
Ü non-cash costs – e.g depreciation;
Ü book values – e.g FIFO/LIFO inventory values;
Ü unavoidable costs – money already committed e.g apportioned fixed costs;
Ü finance costs – e.g interest (discounting the operating cash flows already deals with this)
However, include:
Ü all opportunity costs and revenues e.g ‘cannibalisation’; where the launch of a new
product will reduce the sales if an exiting product The lost contribution is an
opportunity cost and should be shown as a cash outflow
Trang 3Example 1
A research project, which to date has cost the company $150,000, is under
review
If the project is allowed to proceed, it will be completed in approximately one
year, when the results would be sold to a government agency for $300,000
Shown below are the additional expenses which the managing director
estimates will be necessary to complete the work
Materials
This material has just been purchased at a cost of $60,000 It is toxic and, if not
used in this project, must be disposed of at a cost of $5,000
Labour
Skilled labour is hard to recruit The workers concerned were transferred to
the project from a production department, and at a recent meeting the
production manager claimed that if the men were returned to him they could
generate sales of $150,000 in the next year The prime cost of these sales would
be $100,000, including $40,000 for the labour cost itself The overhead
absorbed into this production would amount to $20,000
Research staff
It has already been decided that, when work on this project ceases, the research
department will be closed Research wages for the year are $60,000, and
redundancy and severance pay has been estimated at $15,000 now or $35,000 in
one year’s time
Equipment
The project utilises a special microscope which cost $18,000 three years ago It
has a residual value of $3,000 in another two years, and a current disposal
value of $8,000 If used in the project it is estimated that the disposal value in a
year’s time will be $6,000
Share of general building services
The project is charged with $35,000 per annum to cover general building
expenses Immediately the project is discontinued, the space occupied could
be sub-let for an annual rental of $7,000
Required:
Advise the managing director as to whether the project should be allowed to
proceed, explaining the reasons for the treatment of each item
(Ignore the time value of money.)
Trang 4Solution
Costs and revenues of proceeding with the project
$ (1) Costs to date –
Sales value of project
_
Advice:
Trang 51.2 Layout of cash flows
A company invests $10,000 today in a machine It expects to earn $7,000 per year for two years as a result Discount rate = 15%
Calculate the net present value of the investment
(i) Time Narrative Cash flow 15% Present
Commentary
In complex exam questions it is usually better to present your answer using the
second format i.e with columns for years
Trang 62 TAXATION
2.1 Basic effect of the UK tax system
Taxation has two effects in investment appraisal
Tax charged
on operating results
Tax relief given
on non-current assets
via
WRITING DOWN ALLOWANCES
NEGATIVE EFFECT POSITIVE EFFECT
Ü Operating results = revenues –
operating costs
Ü Any tax relief on finance costs is
taken into account in the
discount rate/cost of capital
Ü Depreciation expense from the financial
statements is not a tax allowable
deduction in the UK
Ü Instead companies can claim Writing Down Allowances (WDA’s), also called Capital Allowances (CA’s)
Ü Details:
̌ Often given at 25% reducing balance – but exam question will tell you the policy
̌ no WDA in year of sale; balancing allowance/charge given instead, representing a tax loss/gain on disposal
Trang 72.2 Timing
The timing of tax cash flows is complex Some exam questions will tell you that tax is paid
in the year of taxable profits, other questions will tell you tax is paid "one year in arrears” i.e
in the following year,
Ü Assume net revenues (revenues minus operating costs) are received at the end of year 1 (T1)
Tax assessed at T1
Tax paid T2 (assuming tax is paid one year in arrears)
Ü If asset bought at start of year 1
First WDA received at T1 (date of next tax assessment)
Reduces tax payment at T2
Ü However if the asset is bought on the last day of the previous year i.e on the date of a tax
assessment, the first WDA would be received immediately i.e at T0 , which reduces the tax payment at T1
Illustration 1
An asset is bought for $5,000 at the start of an accounting period It is sold at
the end of the third accounting period for $1,000
Corporation tax is 30% and paid one year in arrears Writing down allowances
are available at 25% reducing balance
What are the tax savings available and when do they arise?
Trang 82.3 Other assumptions
Ü Tax rate is constant
Ü Sufficient taxable profits are available to use all tax deductions in full
Ü Working capital flows have no tax effects e.g if the level of accounts receivable rises this does not change the tax situation as tax is charged when revenues are recorded rather than when the cash is received (see additional notes on working capital in the last section of this chapter)
2.4 Dealing with taxation
Step 1 Set up table
REVENUE
and operating costs
Step 3 Put in capital outlay and any Investment (x)
Step 4 Calculate tax saving on WDAs WDA tax savings x x
(x) x x (x)
Step 5 Total columns for net cash flows
and discount Discount factor r% x x x x
Present value (x) x x x
Trang 9Example 2
1 A company buys an asset for $10,000 at the beginning of an accounting
period (1 January 19.01) to undertake a two year project
2 Net cash inflows received at the end of year 1 and year 2 are $5,000
3 The company sells the asset on the last day of the second year for $6,000
4 Corporation tax = 33% (paid one year in arrears)
Writing down allowance = 25% reducing balance
Tax savings on WDAs (W)
Net cash flow
Ü Asset purchased 1 Jan 19.01
Ü First WDA will be set off
against profits earned in year
1 (T1)
Ü First tax saving at T2
Ü Asset sold 31 Dec 19.02
Ü No WDA in year of sale
Ü Balancing allowance/charge
Trang 101 A company buys an asset for $10,000 at the end of the previous accounting
period (31 December 19.00) to undertake a two year project
2 Net cash inflows received at the end of year 1 and year 2 are $5,000
3 The asset has zero scrap value when it is disposed of at the end of year 2
4 CT = 33% (paid one year in arrears)
WDA = 25% reducing balance
Trang 11Ü Asset purchased 31 Dec 19.00
Ü First WDA will be set off
against profits earned in prior
year
Ü First tax relief at T1
Ü Asset scrapped 31 Dec 19.02
Ü No WDA in year of sale
$ Tax relief at 33% Timing
T0
Year 0 Investment in asset WDA @ 25% (2,500) 10,000 825
_
7,500 Year 1 WDA @ 25%
3.1 Why inflation is a problem for project appraisal
Ü It is hard to estimate, especially when rates are high
Ü It causes governments to take actions which may impact on business e.g raising interest rates, cutting state spending
Ü Differential inflation rates will occur; different costs and revenues will inflate at
different rates
Ü It alters the cost of capital (in nominal terms)
Ü It makes historic costs irrelevant and therefore causes ROCE to be overstated
Ü It creates uncertainty for customers, which may lead to lower demand
Ü It encourages managers to become short-term in outlook
Trang 123.2 Real and money (or nominal) interest rates
Ü Real rate of interest reflects the rate of interest that would be required in the absence of inflation
Ü Money (or nominal) rate of interest reflects the real rate of interest adjusted for the effect
of general inflation (measured by the CPI – the Consumer Price Index)
Illustration 2
Suppose you invest $100 today for one year and, in the absence of inflation,
you require a return of 5% The CPI is expected to rise by 10% over the coming
15 = 15.5% over the year
Ü Money rates, real rates and general inflation (CPI) are linked by the Fisher formula: (1+money rate) = (1+real rate) (1+general inflation rate)
(1+i) = (1+r) (1+h)
i = nominal/money interest rate
r = real interest rate
h = general inflation rate
In the example above
(1 + i) = (1.05) (1.1) = 1.155
i = 15.5%
Trang 133.3 General and specific inflation rates
Ü A specific inflation rate is the rate of inflation on an individual item e.g wage inflation, materials price inflation
Ü The general inflation rate is a weighted average of many specific inflation rates, e.g CPI
3.4 Cash flow forecasts
If there is inflation in the economy there are three ways in which the cash flow forecast for project appraisal can be performed:
Ü Cash flows expressed at today’s prices i.e before the effects of inflation
Ü Cash flows are inflated to future price levels using the specific inflation rate for each type
of revenue/cost
Ü This produces a forecast of the physical amount of money that will move in/out of the company
Ü Money cash flows with the effect of general inflation removed
3.5 Discounting
There are three methods of discounting if there is inflation Each method results in the same NPV
Ü Adjust each cash flow for specific inflation to convert to nominal/money cash flows
Ü Discount using the nominal/money cost of capital
Ü Express each type of cash flow in current terms i.e at t0 prices
Ü Discount at the effective rate for that cash flow
Trang 14Illustration 3
One year project
Outlay at T0 = $5m
Sales for the year are expected to be $10m in current terms, with an expected
specific inflation rate of 5%
Costs for the year are expected to be $3m in current terms, with an expected
specific inflation rate of 3%
CPI expected to rise by 4%
Nominal cost of capital = 6%
Trang 15Commentary
⇒ As money flows are needed to do this, the money method might just as well be
used – it gives the same result
⇒ Net cash flow expressed in current terms ($7m) is not the same as real cash flow
($7.125m), because sales and costs are not changing at CPI
as before
Ü Effective method can be useful where an annuity is given in today’s prices
Example 4
A project produces a cash inflow at the end of years 1–3 of $10,000 (at t0 prices)
Real cost of capital = 10%
CPI = 5%
Inflation of project cash flows = 8%
Required:
Calculate NPV using:
(i) money method
(ii) real method
(iii) effective method
Trang 17Example 5
1 A company buys a machine today for $10,000
2 Material costs at current prices will be $1,500 pa for three years
Material costs inflate at 8% pa
3 Labour savings at current prices will be $4,000 pa for three years
Labour costs inflate at 5% pa
4 Overhead savings at current prices will be $2,000 pa for three years
Overhead costs inflate at 10% pa
5 Money cost of capital = 15.5%
6 General inflation = 7%
Required:
Calculate the NPV of the project, using:
(i) the money method;
(ii) the effective method;
(iii) the real method
Trang 18(ii) Effective method
(a) Calculation of effective rates
(b) Discount flows at effective rates
annuity factor
Present value
0 1−3 1−3 1−3
Investment Material cost Labour saving Overhead saving
(W)
†
† (10,000)
Trang 19Example 6
A company is considering a project which requires the purchase of a machine
costing $250,000 on 1 January 19.04 Net inflows from the project are expected
to be $80,000 per annum in current terms for the next four years At the end of
the project it is estimated that the machine will be sold for cash proceeds of
$50,000
The company has a December year end and pays tax at 33%, 12 months after
the end of the accounting period The project flows are expected to inflate at
5%, and the company’s money cost of capital is 15% Writing Down
Allowances are given at 25% reducing balance
Trang 20creating a cash inflow
Trang 21Movements in working capital need to be incorporated into investment appraisals Cash
flows are derived as follows:
Ü Increase in net working capital = cash outflow;
Ü Decrease in net working capital = cash inflow
Ü Unless the question tells you otherwise assume that working capital is “released” at the end of a project i.e the investment in working capital falls to zero, creating a cash
inflow
Ü Assume that changes in the level of working capital have no tax effects This is a
realistic assumption because tax will be charged when net revenues accrue rather than when the cash is received
Example 7
Sales of a new product are forecast at $100,000 in the first year, increasing by
10% compound per annum The product has a four year life cycle Working
capital equal to 15% of annual sales is required at the start of each year The
company’s contribution margin is 40% and no incremental fixed costs are
Cash re working capital (W)
Total cash flow
(W)
Sales
Level of working capital
Cash re working capital
Trang 22Key points
ÐThe golden rule – only discount future, incremental, operating cash flows
ÐNever discount depreciation – it is not a cash flow
ÐDo not discount finance costs – the cost of finance is measured in the
discount rate and is therefore already taken into account
ÐExam questions will be in the environment o the UK tax system
Depreciation expense is not a tax allowable deduction in the UK – instead
companies can claim Writing Down Allowances/Capital Allowances
ÐDiscounting with inflation is a difficult area The key here is consistency
i.e if inflation is included in the cash flow forecast then make sure you
include it in the discount rate
ÐAdjusting for changes in working capital is relevant if you are given
accruals-based accounting information which needs to be converted to a
cash flow basis
FOCUS
You should now be able to:
Ü distinguish relevant from non-relevant costs for investment appraisal;
Ü calculate the effect of Writing Down allowances and corporation tax on project cash flows;
Ü explain the relationship between inflation and interest rates, distinguishing between real and nominal rates;
Ü distinguish general inflation from specific price increases and assess their impact on cash flows;
Ü evaluate capital investment projects on a real terms basis;
Ü evaluate capital investment projects on a nominal terms basis;
Ü evaluate capital investment projects on a current/effective terms basis;