Changes required as a result of a manager’s monitoring responsibilities are as follows: Monitoring: Requires an Alteration of: investor-related circumstances • investment policy statemen
Trang 1Reading 32 Monitoring and Rebalancing
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Fiduciaries must:
1 act in a position of trust;
2 assess the suitability and appropriateness of a
portfolio relative to:
•the client’s needs and circumstances and
•the investment’s and total portfolio’s basic
characteristics
3 monitor the following items to fulfill their ethical
responsibilities:
•investor circumstances - wealth and constraints;
•market and economic changes; and
•the portfolio itself
Changes required as a result of a manager’s monitoring
responsibilities are as follows:
Monitoring: Requires an Alteration of:
investor-related
circumstances
• investment policy statement;
• strategic asset allocation;
or
• individual portfolio holdings market and
economic changes
• strategic asset allocation;
• tactical asset allocation;
• style or sector exposures; or
• individual portfolio holdings portfolios • strategic asset allocation or
• individual portfolio holdings
2.1 Monitoring Changes in Investor Circumstances
and Constraints Portfolio managers generally review changes in the
needs, circumstances or objectives of:
1 private-wealth clients on a semiannual or quarterly
basis,
2 institutional clients on an annual basis; during the
asset allocation review
NOTE:
More frequent reviews may be required following:
•unexpected changes in client circumstances or
•client requests
2.1.1) Changes in Investor Circumstances and Wealth
1 Changes in wealth and circumstances may affect:
•income, expenditures, risk exposures, and risk
preferences of institutional and private wealth
clients;
• expected retirement income of the latter client category
NOTE:
For examples of situations resulting in changes in client circumstances and wealth, refer to Volume 6, Reading
32, Section 2.1.1
2 Changes in wealth may affect:
• portfolio return requirements and/or
• risk appetite NOTE:
A portfolio manager should only consider permanent changes in wealth when assessing the impact on risk exposures and return requirements
2.1.2) Changing Liquidity Requirements
1 Portfolio managers are responsible for:
• providing liquidity when requested by a client
• monitoring changes in liquidity requirements
2 What triggers changes in the liquidity requirements of private wealth and institutional clients?
Refer to Reading 32, Section 2.1.2
3 Portfolios with potential major withdrawal requirements should minimize the proportion of illiquid investments and should maintain a portion of liquid investments
2.1.3) Changing Time Horizons
1 As a client’s time horizon shortens, managers should consider:
• reducing investment risk
• increasing allocation to bonds
2 Entities with perpetual life portfolios experience few changes in their:
• time horizons,
• risk budgets, and
• appropriate asset allocation; with the passage of time
3 When one time horizon stage elapses and a new commences, investment policy requires changes
4 How do abrupt changes in a client’s time horizon stages affect investment policy and portfolio?
Refer to Reading 32, Section 2.1.3, third paragraph
Trang 2Reading 32 Monitoring and Rebalancing FinQuiz.com NOTE:
Significant changes in client circumstances may mark
the start of a new time horizon stage
2.1.4) Tax Circumstances
1 Portfolio managers need to:
• assess tax consequences of investment decisions on
portfolios;
• consider each client’s current and future tax
situation when constructing client portfolios;
• consider holding period length and portfolio
turnover rates; and
• assess tax efficiency of investment strategies
oTax efficiency: the proportion of the expected
pretax total return that will be retained after taxes
2 Examples of monitoring a client’s tax circumstances
include:
• deferring income recognition to a low-tax year;
• accelerating expense recognition to a high-tax year;
• realizing term losses at year end to offset
short-term gains;
• changing the allocation to tax-exempt securities;
and
• donating or gifting assets with high unrealized gains
to avoid the imposition of capital gains tax
2.1.5) Changes in Laws and Regulations
1 Managers must evaluate laws and regulations to:
• ensure compliance and
• understand how they affect:
oscope of their advisory responsibilities
odiscretion in client portfolio management
• changes in tax regulations; which are important for
taxable and tax-exempt investors
2 Changes in laws and regulations affect:
• current portfolio holdings
• the range of available investment opportunities; e.g
may introduce new opportunities
3 Changes in tax regulations affect:
• current tax situation and
• equilibrium relationships among assets
2.1.6) Unique Circumstances
1 A private wealth client’s current unique circumstances must be monitored Any potential changes need to be considered
Example:
Individual clients may hold concentrated stock positions Portfolio managers will need to determine how to reduce the riskiness of the position and determine what investment action to take when the position is
liquidated
Example 3 illustrates the issues associated with liquidating
a concentrated stock position in response to changes in client circumstances
2 Institutional clients have unique circumstances that need to be addressed Examples include:
• Social responsible investing (SRI) concerns
• Desire for improvements in corporate governance structures
NOTE:
A change in client’s needs may require a modification
to the IPS (mentioned in Section 2)
2.2 Monitoring Market and Economic Changes
Managers need to monitor the impact of any changes
in financial and economic market conditions on portfolio investments Portfolio managers must adopt a broad view and take all relevant factors into account
For factors that need to be monitored, see sections 2.2.1
to 2.2.4 below:
2.2.1) Changes in Asset Risk Attributes
1 A portfolio’s asset allocation may change due to changes in the underlying:
• mean return,
• volatility, and
• correlations of asset classes
Practice: Example 2 Volume 6, Reading 32
Practice: Example 3 Volume 6, Reading 32
Practice: Example 1
Volume 6, Reading 32
Trang 32 Why monitor changes in asset risk attributes?
•To assess whether existing asset allocations continue
to satisfy investment objectives
oIf not, a change in investment objectives or asset
allocation may be required
•New investment opportunities may arise
2.2.2) Market Cycles
Monitoring market cycles and valuation levels help
investors form opinions on short-term risks and rewards
being offered
1 Based on their opinions, investors tactically adjust
asset allocations or adjust individual security holdings
2 Major market swings present extreme opportunities,
good and bad
Example:
During economic growth, securities perform too well
providing the opportunity to sell; while during economic
recessions, stock prices decline significantly providing
the opportunity to invest
2.2.3) Central Bank Policy
Central bank monetary policy:
1 influences stock and bond markets via monetary and
interest rate decisions,
2 immediately impacts money market yields as
opposed to long-term bond yields in the market,
3 affects stock returns, and
4 has a profound effect on bond market volatility
5 Types of monetary policy and influence on stock vs
bond returns:
•Expansionary Discount rate: low Higher
returns: stocks
•Restrictive Discount rate: high Higher returns:
bonds
Guidance:
Restrictive monetary policy avoid stocks/embrace
bonds Expansionary monetary policy embrace stocks/avoid
bonds
2.2.4) The Yield Curve and Inflation
The default-risk free yield curve reflects an investor’s
return requirements at different maturities The curve
reflects:
1 time preferences for current versus future real
consumption,
2 expected inflation, and
3 maturity premium demanded
NOTE:
Yield curve changes trigger changes in bond values, which in turn influences equity values (via competition between the two asset classes)
1 The premium on long-term bonds over short-term bonds is countercyclical
• Premiums are high during recessions and low during expansions
2 Short-term yields are pro-cyclical; correspond with monetary policy
3 The shape of the yield curve depends on the economic cycle stage:
Recession Upward sloping Expansion Flat
Before recessions Downward sloping
(Inverted)
4 Yield curve contains information about future GDP growth
NOTE:
Investors monitor the yields of bonds relative to historical norms to ascertain return prospects
Example:
The yield on 10-year BB+ bonds is 11.27% The average yield of the bond over the past two years was 8.76% Should investors expect a high return?
Yes Due to the higher current yield, prospects for greater returns increase
5 An unusually steep default-free yield curve indicates
a positive outlook for bonds(especially when the cash yield or inflation rate is used as a proxy for the risk-free rate)
6 Investors are affected by inflation in the following ways:
• influences the nominal amount of money required to purchase a basket of goods;
• influences returns and risks in capital markets:
I unexpected increases in inflation result in a decline in real bond yields
II As normal yields rise to offset this loss, bond prices fall
III unexpected changes in inflation affect stock market returns
Trang 4Reading 32 Monitoring and Rebalancing FinQuiz.com
2.3 Monitoring the Portfolio
This is a continuous process requiring a portfolio manager
to assess:
1 events and trends affecting the prospects of
individual portfolio holdings and asset classes and
a.the ability of existing holdings and asset classes to
remain suitable for achieving investment objectives
2 Changes in asset values creating deviations from the
strategic asset allocation
NOTE:
• 1 leads to a change in either the IPS or individual portfolio holdings
• 2 leads to rebalancing the existing strategic allocation
Portfolio managers need to consider new information on economic conditions, market conditions, and new companies in an effort to add value to client portfolios
Rebalancing involves eliminating the differences
between a portfolio’s actual and strategic asset
allocation in response to changes in underlying security
prices
NOTE:
Rebalancing also covers other actions (see Reading 32,
paragraph preceding section 3.1)
3.1 The Benefits and Costs of Rebalancing
Rebalancing involves a cost vs benefit trade-off
3.1.1) Rebalancing benefits
1 Investor reduces present value of expected utility
losses
• Expected utility loss: cost of straying away from the
optimum strategic asset allocation
2 Controls the level of drift in overall portfolio risk
Explanation: See respective section from curriculum
3 Rebalancing maintains the client’s desired systematic
risk exposures
4 Removes overpriced assets with an inferior returns
prospect
Source: Volume 6, Reading 32 from curriculum
NOTE:
• Disciplined rebalancing reduces risk and
incrementally increases returns over a long-term
investment horizon (See Example 7)
rebalancing to a do-nothing approach
3.1.2) Rebalancing Costs
Rebalancing generates two costs:
1 transaction costs and
2 in the case of taxable investors, tax costs
1 Transaction Costs
1 Offset rebalancing benefits
2 Non-recoverable
3 Rebalancing illiquid investments generates high level
of transaction costs
4 Rebalancing liquid investments generates two types
of transaction costs:
• explicit: commissions ─not difficult to measure
• implicit: bid-ask spreads, market impact and missed trade opportunity costs – require estimation
2 Tax Costs
1 In the event where appreciated asset classes are sold and depreciated asset classes are purchased, rebalancing triggers a tax liability for taxable investors
Explanation: See respective section from curriculum
2 When short-term capital gains tax rate is higher than the long-term rate, rebalancing assets that realize short-term gains only can be costly
NOTE:
When short-term capital gains tax rate is higher than the long-term rate – tax-efficient selling strategy: reduce capital gains taxes by realizing short-term losses, long-term capital losses, long-long-term capital gains and short-term gains, in this order
Practice: Example 7
Volume 6, Reading 32
Practice: Example 4 Volume 6, Reading 32
Trang 53.2 Rebalancing Disciplines
Rebalancing disciplines are rebalancing strategies
These include:
1 calendar rebalancing and
2 percentage-of-portfolio rebalancing
COMPARISON 3.2.1) Calendar Rebalancing 3.2.2) Percentage-of-Portfolio Rebalancing
• Rebalances to target weights periodically; e.g
monthly, quarterly, and so forth
• Establishes rebalancing thresholds or trigger points are stated as a percentage of portfolio value
• Example: An investor’s portfolio has two asset classes
with target proportions of 75/25 Rebalancing occurs at
the beginning of the month On each rebalancing
date, asset classes are rebalanced to their target
proportions; 75/25
• Example: The target proportion of an asset class is 40%
of portfolio value and trigger points are 35% and 45% of portfolio value or (40% ± 5%) Portfolio is rebalanced when the actual weight breaches a corridor limit
• Rebalancing frequency may be timed to coincide with
portfolio reviews
• Rebalancing can occur on any calendar date
• Simplest rebalancing approach
• No requirement for continuous monitoring of portfolio
values within the rebalancing period
• Requires frequent monitoring
• Drawback: unrelated to market behavior
I if portfolio’s allocation is close to the optimal
allocation, rebalancing costs may outweigh
benefits
II If portfolio’s allocation is far from optimal, investor
may incur a high level of market impact costs due
to rebalancing
• Directly related to market performance
• Relative to calendar rebalancing, tighter control on divergences from target allocations; especially at lower frequencies of calendar rebalancing
Example:
The target asset allocation for a portfolio with three asset
classes is 40/35/25 The corridors for these asset classes
are 40% ± 1.9%; 35% ± 2.3%; and 25% ± 3.0%, respectively
Market prices have changed as a result of increased
volatility Actual asset allocation is now 40.8/31.9/27.3
Does the portfolio require rebalancing?
Yes The second asset class, with a target weight of 35%, has breached its lower corridor limit, 32.7% (35% - 2.3%) Portfolio will be rebalanced to the 40/35/25 target allocation
Key Determinants of the Optimal Corridor Width in a Percentage-of-Portfolio Rebalancing Program:
Factor Effect on Optimal Width of
Factors Positively Related to Optimal Corridor Width
Transaction costs The higher the transaction costs,
the wider the optimal corridor
Higher transaction costs set a high hurdle for rebalancing costs to overcome
Risk tolerance The higher the risk tolerance, the
wider the optimal corridor
High risk tolerance implies lower sensitivity to divergences from target allocations
Correlation with rest of portfolio The higher the correlation, the
wider the optimal corridor
When asset classes move in synch, further divergence is less likely
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Factors Inversely Related to Optimal Corridor Width
Asset class volatility
The higher the volatility of a given asset class, the narrower the optimal corridor
A given percentage move away from the target is potentially more costly for a highly volatile asset class, as further divergence becomes more likely
Volatility of rest of portfolio The higher the volatility, the
narrower the optimal corridor
Makes large divergences from strategic asset allocation more likely
Source: Volume 6, Exhibit 8, Reading 32
NOTE:
• Illiquid assets should have wider corridors
• Ad hoc approaches to setting corridors do not
consider the differences in rebalancing transaction
costs across asset classes
Tip: For a multi-asset portfolio consider the concerned
asset class as one class and the balance of the portfolio
as the other class
For an illustration of whether tolerance bands for asset
classes are appropriate, practice Example 8, Reading
32
3.2.3) Other Rebalancing Strategies
1 Calendar-and-percentage-of-portfolio rebalancing:
• The strategy is executed in the following manner:
i Monitor the portfolio at specified intervals (e.g
quarterly)
ii Rebalance the portfolio using a
percentage-of-portfolio principle; i.e based on corridors
• Advantage: Avoids incurring rebalancing costs
associated with a calendar rebalancing approach
(when the portfolio is near optimum)
2 Equal probability rebalancing:
• Corridors are specified for each asset class as a
common multiple of the standard deviation of the
asset class’s returns
• Rebalancing is triggered when any asset class
weight moves outside its corridor
• Each asset class has an equal probability of
triggering rebalancing if returns are normally
distributed
• Drawback: does not account for differences in
transaction costs or asset correlations
3 Tactical rebalancing:
• Specifies less frequent rebalancing when markets
are trending
• Specifies more frequent rebalancing when markets are characterized by reversals
3.2.4) Rebalancing to Target Weights versus Rebalancing to the Allowed Range
1 Relative to rebalancing to target weights, rebalancing to an allowed range has the following advantages:
• incurs lower transaction costs and
• provides room for tactical adjustments
Example:
A U.S investor gives 25% target weight to emerging market stocks and the weight moves above the upper corridor limit Forecasting a transitory decrease in the U.S dollar, the investor will want to partially rebalance the exposure to take advantage of the short-term exchange rate change
2 Additional advantage (latter approach): allows managers to better manage the weights to illiquid assets
3 Disadvantage: rebalancing to an allowed range does not perfectly align actual asset allocation with target proportions
3.2.5) Setting Optimal Thresholds
1 Finding the optimal rebalancing strategy implies:
• maximizing the net present value of net rebalancing benefits
• keeping the present value of expected utility losses and transaction costs to a minimum
2 Challenges faced when finding the optimal rebalancing strategy are as follows:
• Rebalancing costs and benefits are difficult to measure
• Return characteristics of asset classes may differ from each other, but may be interrelated; the strategy needs to reflect this
• Optimal rebalancing decisions may be linked to and affect future rebalancing decisions
• Transaction costs may be difficult to incorporate; Practice: Example 8
Volume 6, Reading 32
Trang 7e.g costs may not be linearly related to the size of
the trade
•Optimal strategy changes with the passage of time
and with new information
•Rebalancing has tax consequences
3.3 The Perold-Sharpe Analysis of Rebalancing
Strategies
•Contrasts constant mix strategies with other
strategies
•Assumes a simple-two asset class scenario
oonly one asset class is risky
3.3.1) Buy-and-Hold Strategies
1 Passive, do-nothing approach
2 Does not adjust portfolio weights following market
movements
3 Floor = amount invested in Treasury bills; i.e risk-free
4 Strategy implies risk tolerance is positively related to
wealth and stock returns
•When total value of stocks is zero, risk tolerance is
zero
5 Special case of a constant proportion strategy (CPPI –
see below)
6 Outperforms constant-mix strategies (see below)
when markets are trending
7 Neutral when markets are characterized by reversals
(or flat and oscillating)
Portfolio value = Investment in stocks + Floor value
•Portfolio value is linearly related to investment in
stocks
•Portfolio return is linearly related to the return on
stocks
oPortfolio return = Percent in stock × Return on
stocks
•Unlimited upside potential
•Downside potential limited to the floor
•Cushion = Investment in stocks = Portfolio value –
Floor value
•Cushion and value of stocks have a 1:1 relationship
(above floor)
•m = 1; i.e target stock proportion = actual stock
proportion
Example:
Portfolio is allocated to stocks and treasury bills in the
proportion 70/30, respectively Stocks earn a return of
20% What is the new portfolio allocation?
The value of stocks increases to 84 (1.2 × 70) from 70
New portfolio value = 114 (84 + 30) New allocation is
74/26
3.3.2) Constant Mix Strategies
1 Dynamic – reacts to market movements (see Point 4 below)
2 Target investment in stocks = m× Portfolio value,
where,
0 < m < 1 m: target stock proportion
3 Floor value = 0
4 Reduces (increases) actual stock proportions to m
when stock values are trending up (down)
5 Effectively maintains a portfolio’s systematic risk characteristics over time
6 Strategy implies risk tolerance varies proportionally with wealth
NOTE:
The constant mix strategy implies a constant relative risk
tolerance or aversion See footnote 18, Reading 32
7 Underperforms CPPI and buy-and-hold strategies during strong bull and bear markets; when markets are trending
8 Outperforms CPPI and buy-and-hold strategies when equity returns are characterized by reversals
9 Contrarian strategies: provide liquidity
Explanation: See Volume 6, Reading 32
3.3.3) A Constant-Proportion Strategy: CPPI
1 Dynamic strategy (see Point 2 below)
2 Buys (sells) shares as stock values rise (decline)
3 Target investment in stock = m × (Portfolio value –
Floor value);
• where m is a fixed constant
• if m > 1, strategy is known as constant-proportion portfolio insurance (CPPI)
4 When the cushion is zero, strategy is consistent with a zero risk tolerance
5 When the cushion is positive, risk tolerance is higher than a buy-and-hold strategy
6 Aggressively increases (decreases) allocation to stocks when stocks are trending up (down)
Example:
When stocks are trending up, investment in stocks increases by more than 1:1 with the increase in the value
of stocks
7 Investment in risk-free assets (floor) is dynamic and:
• Maybe minimal when stocks are trending up
• rapidly increases, but restricted to the floor value, when stocks are trending down
8 Performs well in trending markets
9 Performs poorly when markets are characterized by reversals
10.Requires rebalancing rules to manage rebalancing costs
Trang 8Reading Monitoring and Rebalancing FinQuiz.com
11.Momentum-oriented: consume liquidity of markets
3.3.4) Linear, Concave, and Convex Investment
Strategies
1 Buy-and-hold strategies are linear
2 Constant-mix and CPPI strategies are non-linear
3 Constant-mix strategies relationship between
portfolio & stock returns concave
• Concave strategies represent the sale of portfolio
insurance
4 CPPI strategies relationship between portfolio &
stock returns convex
• Convex strategies represent the purchase of
portfolio insurance
5 Buy-and-hold strategies do not sale or purchase
portfolio insurance
6 Convex strategies dynamically establish a floor value
NOTE:
Concave strategies provide liquidity to convex
strategies
Q: Why are buy-and-hold, CPPI, and constant-mix
strategies known as linear; convex; and concave
strategies, respectively?Refer to Reading 32, Section
3.3.4
NOTE:
relative return performances of the three strategies in
various markets
3.3.5) Summary of Strategies
The appropriateness of rebalancing strategies depends
on the investor’s risk tolerance and asset-class return
expectations
3.4 Execution Choices in Rebalancing Executing a rebalancing transaction depends upon:
1 specific assets held in the portfolio,
2 the availability of cash markets,
3 the availability of derivative markets, and
4 in case of taxable investors, tax consequences Major rebalancing choices include:
1 cash market trades (see section 3.4.1)
2 derivative trades (see section 3.4.2)
3.4.1) Cash Market Trades
Trades rebalance by buying and selling individual assets and represent the most direct means of portfolio rebalancing
Benefits:
1 Relative to derivative market trades, tax considerations are more favorable Why?
Source: Reading 32
2 Not all asset class exposures can be replicated using derivative strategies
3 Derivative markets may have liquidity limitations Drawbacks:
1 More costly;
2 slower to execute; and
3 may impair active manager trades if care is not taken
3.4.2) Derivative Trades
1 Portfolios are rebalanced using derivative instruments, e.g futures
2 Trades attempt to ensure that the total exposure to asset classes closely mimics the effects of
rebalancing
Benefits:
1 Lower transaction costs;
2 rapid execution; and
3 minimal impact on active manager strategies
Drawbacks:
1 Asset class exposure may be difficult to replicate and
2 individual markets may have liquidity limitations
For a brief overview, refer to Reading 32, Section 4
Practice: End of Chapter Practice
Problems for Reading 32 & FinQuiz
Item-Set Id# 14096
Practice: Example 9
Volume 6, Reading 32