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CFA level 3 volume VI trading and rebalancing, performance evaluation, and GIPS finquiz smart summary, study session 16, reading 32

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Perpetual life portfolios ⇒ few changes in time horizon, risk budgets & asset allocation.. 3.1.1 Rebalancing Benefits Transaction costs offset rebalancing benefits.. Drawback: If alloc

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“MONITORING AND REBALANCING”

2 MONITORING

 Fiduciary must:

 Act in a position of trust

 Assess portfolio suitability relative to client’s needs & circumstances

 Monitor investor related circumstances, market & economic changes

& portfolios

 ∆ in the needs, circumstances or objectives of private wealth clients (institutional clients) are reviewed on a semiannual or quarterly basis (annual basis)

 More frequent reviews may be required on client’s request or unexpected

∆ in client circumstances

2.1.1 Changes in Investor Circumstances and Wealth

May affect income, expenditure, risk, return &

retirement income

2.1.2 Changing Liquidity Requirements

 Portfolio managers:

 Provide liquidity when requested by a client

 Monitor changes in liquidity requirement

2.1.3 Changing Time Horizons

  the time horizon,  investment, allocation to bonds

 Perpetual life portfolios ⇒ few changes in time horizon, risk budgets & asset allocation

2.1.4 Tax Circumstances

 Portfolio manager should:

 Assess tax consequences of investment decisions

 Consider client’s current & future tax situation

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2.2 Monitoring Market and Economic Changes

A portfolio’s asset allocation may change due to ∆ in mean return, volatility & correlation of assets

2.2.1 Changes in Asset Risk Attributes

 Major market swings provide extreme +ve or –ve opportunities

 Investors tactically adjust asset allocations or individual security holdings based on their opinions

2.2.2 Market Cycles

 Expansionary monetary policy ⇒ discount rates,

 stock return

 Restrictive monitory policy ⇒discount rates,  bond return

2.2.3 Central Bank Policy

 Default RF yield curve reflects:

 Expected inflation

 Maturity premium

 Time preference for real consumption

 Maturity premiums are countercyclical

 Sharpe of the Y.C depends on the economic cycle stages

 Y.C provides information about future GDP growth

2.2.4 The Yield Curve and Inflation

 Continuous process requiring a manager to assess:

 Events & trends affecting asset classes & individual holdings

 ∆in asset values creating deviation from the SAA

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3 REBALANCING THE PORTFOLIO

3.1 The Benefits and Costs of Rebalancing

 In PV of expected utility losses

 Controls the level of drift in overall portfolio risk

 Maintains desired systematic risk exposure

 Removes overpriced assets with an inferior returns prospect

3.1.1 Rebalancing Benefits

 Transaction costs (offset rebalancing benefits)

 Tax costs if investor is taxable

3.1.2 Rebalancing Costs

3.2 Rebalancing Disciplines

 Periodic rebalancing to target weights (e.g

monthly)

 Rebalancing frequency may be timed to match with portfolio reviews

 Simplest approach

 No continuous monitoring required

 Drawback:

 If allocation is close to optimal allocation rebalancing cost > benefits

 If allocation is far from the optimal,

level of market impact costs

3.2.1 Calendar Rebalancing

 Rebalancing thresholds or trigger points stated as % of portfolio value

 Require frequent monitoring

 Directly related to market performance

 Tighter control on divergence from target allocation

3.2.2 Percentage-of-Portfolio Rebalancing

Key Determinants of the Optimal Corridor Width in a Percentage- of-Portfolio Rebalancing Program:

Factor Effect on Optimal Width of Corridor Intuition Factors Positively Related to Optimal Corridor Width

Transaction costs The higher the transaction costs,

the wider the optimal corridor

Higher transaction costs set a high hurdle for rebalancing costs to overcome

wider the optimal corridor

High risk tolerance implies lower sensitivity to divergences from target allocations

Correlation with rest of portfolio The higher the correlation, the

wider the optimal corridor

When asset classes move in synch, further divergence is less likely

Factors Inversely Related to Optimal Corridor Width

Asset class volatility The higher the volatility of a given

asset class, the narrower the

A given percentage move away from the target

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3.2.3 Other Rebalancing Strategies

 Monitor the portfolio at specified intervals

 Rebalance the portfolio under % principle

 Avoid incurring rebalancing cost when the portfolio is nearly optimal

Calendar-And-Percentage-Of-Portfolio Rebalancing

 Corridors are specified for each asset class

 Rebalancing is triggered when any asset class weight moves outside its corridor

 Equal probability of triggering rebalancing

 Ignores difference in transaction costs or asset correlations

Equal Probability Rebalancing

 In trending markets less frequent rebalancing

 More frequent rebalancing when markets are characterized by reversals

Tactical Rebalancing

 Rebalancing to an allowed range has the following advantages over rebalancing to target weights:

 Transaction costs

 Tactical adjustments are possible

 Better manage the weights of an illiquid assets

 Disadvantage:

 Not perfectly align actual asset allocation with target proportions

3.2.4 Rebalancing to Target Weights versus Rebalancing to the Allowed Range

 Optimal rebalancing strategy implies:

 Maximize rebalancing benefits

  Transaction costs

 Challenges:

 Rebalancing costs & benefits are difficult to measure

 Tax consequences

 Optimal strategy changes with the passage of time

3.2.5 Setting optimal Thresholds

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3.3 The Perold-Sharpe Analysis of Rebalancing Strategies

 Passive do-nothing strategy

 Floor = amount invested in T-bills

 Risk tolerance is +ly related to wealth & stock returns

 Special case of CPPI

 In trending market, this strategy outperforms constant mix strategy

 This strategy remains neutral in flat & oscillating market

 Portfolio value = investment in stocks +floor value

 Limited downside (floor) & unlimited upside potential

 Target stock proportion = actual stock proportion (m=1)

3.3.1 Buy-and-Hold Strategies

 Reacts to market movements

 Target investment in stocks = m × portfolio value

where 0<m<1

m = target stock proportion

 () actual stock proportions to m when stock values are trending ()

 Effectively maintains a portfolio’s systematic risk

 During strong bull & bear markets this strategy underperforms CPPI & buy & hold

 Outperforms CPPI & buy & hold when equity returns are characterized by reversals

3.3.2 Constant-Mix Strategies

 Dynamic strategy

 Buy(sell) shares as stock prices ()

 Target investment in stock = m ×(portfolio value- floor value)

 If m>1, strategy is known as CPPI

 Investment in RF assets is dynamic

 Perform well in trending markets & poor in markets characterized by reversals

3.3.3 A Constant-Proportion Strategy: CPPI

 Constant mix & CPPI strategies are non-linear whereas buy & hold strategies are linear

 Constant-mix strategies (CPPI strategies) ⇒ relationship b/w portfolio & stock returns ⇒ concave (convex)

 Concave strategies provide liquidity to convex strategies

3.3.4 Linear, Concave, and Convex Investment Strategies

Investor’s risk tolerance & asset class return expectations are parameters for appropriate rebalancing strategies

3.3.5 Summary of Strategies

3.4 Execution Choices in Rebalancing

3.4.1 Cash Market Trades 3.4.2 Derivative Trades

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