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Trang 1Ec426 Lecture 9 International Issues in Taxation 1 © Jonathan Leape, 2011
Ec426 Public Economics
Lecture 9: International Issues in Taxation
1 Introduction
2 Empirical evidence on incentive effects
3 Globalisation and tax policy
4 Alternative systems for taxing cross-border investment
5 Economic efficiency
6 Non-cooperative tax policy interaction (tax competition)
7 Cooperative tax policy interaction (tax coordination and
tax harmonisation)
8 Implications for tax policy
1 Introduction
investment and transactions have
grown exponentially since 1990
Tax policy can have a decisive influence on the level and pattern of
foreign investment
Tax policy towards investment can be a critical determinant of
economic growth
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2 Empirical evidence on incentive effects
Tax effects on FDI: Summary
– Time series evidence
– _ evidence
Data
– Aggregate data on FDI
– US Bureau of Economic Analysis
US multinational foreign affiliates by country – Consolidated financial accounts
Compustat – Unconsolidated accounting data with ownership
Raw BEA data, Bundesbank, Amadeus (EU)
Wheeler and Mody (92) Hines (96)
Grubert & Mutti (91) Hines and Rice (94) Swenson (94)
Devereux and Lockwood(06)
Devereux and Lockwood(06)
Cross-section
allocation of
MNE capital by
Altshuler et al (01) Grubert and Mutti (00)
Buettner and Ruf (06)
Cummins and Hubbard (95)
Cross-section
allocation of
MNE capital by
affiliate
Kemsley (98) Devereux and
Griffith (98)
Location choices of
multinationals
Billington (99) Pain & Young(96)
Devereux and Freeman (95)
Panel FDI
Hartman (84) Boskin and Gale (87) Newlon (87) Young (88) Murthy (89)
Slemrod (90)
Time series FDI
Other Average Tax Rate
EATR EMTR
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Summary of evidence on location choice versus level of investment:
(Devereux, 2006)
Discrete location choices depend significantly on measures of
tax rates
Conditional on location, investment choices not significantly
influenced by tax
Allocation of multinationals’ capital across countries dominated
by _
2 Empirical evidence, continued
2 Empirical evidence, continued
Tax avoidance: Evidence of tax effects (Desai & Hines, 2003)
– Aggregate evidence by country
– Firm-level (micro) evidence
Tax avoidance: _
– Subsidiary in high tax country reduces taxable profits by overpaying
parent for imports and undercharging for exports
– Evidence:
Higher local tax rates associated with higher
with parent companies
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2 Empirical evidence, continued
Tax avoidance: _
Bartelsman & Beetsma (JPubE, 2003)
16 OECD countries, 1980s & 1990s Examined value-added and wage bill
Findings:
Tax rises lead to decreases in _ but not,
to the same extent, in wage bill For one percentage point rise in corporate tax rate, 70% of
possible revenues lost through _.
2 Empirical evidence, continued
Tax avoidance:
– Subsidiary in high tax country reduces taxable profits by
increasing leverage (debt)
– Evidence: higher local tax rates associated with higher
ratios
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Corporate tax burdens – rates and compliance costs
Source: The Economist, 18 th November 2006
Ec426 Lecture 9 International Issues in Taxation 10
3 Globalisation and tax policy
Globalisation, and the geographical separation of owners
and investment projects, raises important issues:
– Where is profit generated?
– What is the appropriate link between corporate and personal
taxes? End of _?
– How do taxes affect discrete investment location choices?
– Tax
See Auerbach, Devereux and Simpson (2010) “Taxing corporate income”, Mirrlees, ch.9
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3 Globalisation and tax policy
Increased tax competition as the tax base becomes more
geographically _ and hence more
sensitive to tax differentials
– Tax competition for _
– Tax competition for financial and commercial activities
– Tax competition for skilled labour
See Owens (1993) “Globalisation: The Implications for Tax Policies”, Fiscal Studies,
14:3, 21-44
3 Globalisation and tax policy, continued
Increased difficulty in taxing activities outside a country’s
jurisdiction – because of the increased _
of such transactions and of their changing nature.
– Tax competition and interest-bearing assets
– Globalisation and the division of the tax base of multi-national
enterprises
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principle: Capital income is taxed only in the country
in which it is produced (foreign source income is tax-exempt) Tax on
capital income is independent of the residence (nationality) of the
investor
_ principle: Capital income is taxed in the country of
residence of the investor (firm? shareholder?), double taxation is
avoided by granting credits against any foreign taxes paid Tax on
capital income is independent of where the investment is located
International experience:
– In theory, almost all EU countries apply the residence principle.
– In practice, most systems are hybrids of source and residence
– Shift towards source principle?
4 Alternative systems for taxing cross-border investment
5 Economic efficiency:
International production efficiency result
Model: Fisher two-period model of savings and investment small open
economy (Sinn, 1987, Slemrod, 1988, Giovannini, 1989)
taxation
1 Production is distorted, since investors allocate capital at home only
up to the point where marginal return on domestic investment net of
taxes equals world interest rate.
2 Savings is _, since intertemporal terms
of trade faced by savers equal world interest rate
w
r MRT w
r f
f
L K w
L
K L
K, (1) ,
w C
C
r U
U MRS
1 1 2
1 , 2
1
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_ taxation
1 Production decisions are undistorted by tax
2 Savings is _, since intertemporal terms of
trade faced by savers equals world interest rate after tax
w
r f
f
L
K L
) 1 ( 1
1
2
1 , 2
1C w
C
r U
U MRS
5 Economic efficiency:
International production efficiency result
5 Economic efficiency
International production efficiency result :
If there are no constraints on the menu of taxes available to
government, the optimal set of taxes is one that does not distort
production decisions: an optimal tax structure maximises output,
which is then divided between consumption and government
spending
version of the production
efficiency theorem of Diamond-Mirrlees, 1971
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5 Economic efficiency
BUT, firms and investment locations are _
We need to define:
Criteria for economic efficiency
1) Capital export neutrality (CEN):
Requires that a company's decision about _ to
invest is not distorted by tax.
_-specific economic rents
Residence-based taxation achieves CEN without international
coordination
required for source taxation to achieve CEN
5 Economic efficiency
Criteria for economic efficiency
2) Capital import neutrality (CIN):
Requires that companies investing or selling in the same
market should face the .
_-specific economic rents
Source-based taxation achieves CIN without international
coordination
Residence taxation with foreign tax credits or exemption of
foreign-source income can achieve CIN with _.
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5 Economic efficiency
Criteria for economic efficiency
Requires that tax systems do not distort the pattern of
ownership of capital assets (Desai and Hines, 2003a,b)
Evidence on FDI and acquisitions
-specific economic rents
CON holds iff CIN holds
CON and CIN are achieved if foreign income is exempt or if it is
taxed (possibly at different rates) but with
5 Economic efficiency
Production by an inefficient company
Production by the least-cost company (CIN holds) Company
Efficient location of investment (CEN holds)
Inefficient location of investment
Location of production
Tax system based on
Residence
Tax system based on
Source
Economic rents arising
from:
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6 Non-cooperative tax policy interaction (“tax competition”)
Tax competition and _
Zodrow and Mieszkowski, 1986 (see Wilson and Wildasin, 2004)
– A world with a fixed number of identical countries
– CRS technology using an immobile factor (labour) and a mobile
factor (capital) which has a fixed world supply
– Consumers use income from K,L to purchase consumer good, c
– Governments use a (source-based) tax on K to produce public
good, g
– Governments set g and tax t to max residents’ u(c,g) subject to
budget constraint, g=tK(r + t), where r is after-tax return on K
and K(r + t) is demand for K as function of before-tax return
Ec426 Lecture 9 International Issues in Taxation 22
Tax competition and undertaxation
Zodrow and Mieszkowski (1986), continued:
– Countries play a Nash game in tax rates and the critical
condition for optimal public good supply is:
where K is elasticity of demand for K, =t/(r+t) is the ad
valorum tax rate and dr/dt ≤ 0 is effect on r of unit tax rate.
– MC of public good exceeds unity because increase in t causes a
(costly) capital outflow (an inflow for other countries)
– ‘fiscal externality’ leads to underprovision of g: _
– Lowering taxes is a “beggar-your-neighbour” policy
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An empirical diversion
Tax competition – competition for what?
For corporations?
– Competitive pressure on effective _ tax rates
to influence discrete location choices
For capital investment?
– Competitive pressure on effective _ tax rates
to influence size of investment, since corporations raise
finance locally and internationally
For corporate profits?
– Competitive pressure on _ rates to
influence allocation of profit (see previous discussion of
transfer pricing)
Direct investment flows depend on different decisions
– Discrete choice of where to locate
depends on effective tax rate
– How much to invest (conditional on discrete choice)
depends on effective _ tax rate
Multinational companies may use transfer pricing and thin
capitalisation to shift profits between countries
depends on _ corporate tax rate
An empirical diversion
Tax competition – effects on company decisions?
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Significant reductions in statutory corporate tax rates
Smaller decreases in _ tax rates
– due to offsetting broadening of tax bases
Stability in corporate tax _
– due to base broadening and strong profits
OECD and EU initiatives on “harmful” tax competition
An empirical diversion
Tax competition – evidence?
OECD Average Statutory Corporation Tax Rates
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
55%
median unweighted mean GDP weighted mean
Source: Auerbach, Devereux and Simpson (2010)
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Source: Devereux and Sorenson, 2005
Tax neutrality in domestic investment (Lecture 8)
– focuses on effective _ tax rates
Tax neutrality in international investment – CIN, CEN, CON:
– focuses primarily on effective tax rates,
which determine location decisions, but also on
Tax competition – Implications for tax design
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Tax competition and country size
(Haufler and Wooton, 1999)
Previous findings indicated that small countries “win” the tax
competition for mobile capital as a result of their more
tax base (Bucovetsky, 1991, and Wilson, 1991)
– Small countries may tax only labour (since capital is, for them, in
infinitely elastic supply whereas labour supply elasticity is finite
Haufler and Wooton show that the existence of trade costs
(following new trade theory, e.g., Krugman, 1980) creates
location-specific rents (from _ avoided)
associated with location in the large market.
– In the presence of trade costs, increasing population size has two
effects:
to increase the profit-tax rate in the large country (as in Wilson
& Bucovetsky), provided trade costs are endogenous, and
to increase the rents of locating in
the large market
– The second effect dominates the first With trade costs, both tax
(on capital) and tariff (including consumption tax) competition
work in favour of large countries
Tax competition and country size (Haufler and Wooton, 1999)
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– Two countries: B with population 1 and A with population n > 1
– Two goods: Z, the numeraire good produced by competitive firms
and X produced by a foreign investor.
– Preferences are identical in the two countries
Tax competition and country size (Haufler and Wooton, 1999)
Model A Tax competition with trade costs
Using quadratic utility,
Haufler and Wooton derive the following expressions for the market
demand curves in the large country (A) and small country (B):
B A i for z
x x
2
x X q
n nx
; ) (
Tax competition and country size (Haufler and Wooton, 1999)
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If firm cannot price discriminate between the two markets and faces
trade costs Aand B, consumer prices in the two countries will be:
Assume (i) a symmetric _ cost, F, is sufficiently large to
ensure that the firm will not choose to produce in both countries and
(ii) that countries can impose lump-sum (profits) taxes on the firm
– Differentiating the profit functions associated with production in each
country, we solve for the optimal prices:
B country in
FDI for p
q p
q
A country in
FDI for p
q p q
B B B A B B
A
B A A B A A
A
;
;
B country in
FDI for n
n w p
A country in
FDI for n
w p
A B
A
) 1 ( 2
1 ˆ
) 1 ( 2
1 ˆ
Tax competition and country size (Haufler and Wooton, 1999)
“Home market bias”:
Prices depend on _ (but not on lump-sum taxes)
If trade costs are the same, firm will charge a producer price
if it establishes production in small country B
Firm will prefer large country A because, in so doing, it avoids the
majority of trade costs.
Tax premium: Firm willing to pay profits (lump-sum) tax premium
(lower subsidy) – where premium increases with trade costs – to
locate in large market (to avoid trade costs for more customers)
Tax competition and country size (Haufler and Wooton, 1999)