Learning objectives• Describe strategy evaluation • Identify the key results areas that can be used to improve business performance • Explain how scenario planning can be used for strate
Trang 1BMA799
STRATEGIC MANAGEMENT
Lecture 12:
Strategic Evaluations
Trang 2Learning objectives
• Describe strategy evaluation
• Identify the key results areas that can be used to improve business performance
• Explain how scenario planning can be used for strategy evaluation
• Comprehend how a company’s value can be created and analysed
• Recognise how the McKinsey 7-S model can be used for strategy evaluation and execution
• Discuss the balanced scorecard model as an approach to strategy evaluation
• Describe a framework to identify key success factors
• Appreciate the need for ongoing strategy evaluation in uncertain times
Trang 3• Let us consider two key questions:
• Why, in the same market environment, do some companies prosper while others struggle to
Trang 4What is strategy evaluation?
• Strategy evaluation refer to the appraisal of plans and results of plans that centrally concern or affect the basic mission of the enterprise
• Rumelt stated that the evaluation of strategy
should provide answers to the following questions:
• Are the objectives of the business appropriate?
• Are the major policies and plan appropriate?
• Do the results obtained to date confirm or refute critical assumptions on which the strategy rests?
Trang 5What is strategy evaluation?
• It is argued that strategy evaluation should take three forms at different stages of the strategic
management process
• Performance evaluation and strategic appraisal
• Strategy evaluation and selection
• Evaluation and control of strategy outcomes
Trang 6What is strategy evaluation?
• Evaluation also involves the determination of the value of the company’s strategy
• Managers can compare the value of a strategy before it was chosen with the value of the strategy after it has been implemented
• By doing so, managers identify whether the strategy has achieved what it was expected to achieve
• Monitoring is an ongoing activity performed within the
company to check if a strategy which is being
implemented is on the right track
Trang 7Evaluative tools
• Strategic — ‘SWOT analysis’, ‘achievement of
objectives’, and ‘closing the planning gap’
• Financial — returns on investments, level of risk,
based on standard measures of organisational
performance
• Organisational — acceptability, involvement,
internal fit and consistency, motivational
Trang 8Key result areas (KRAs)
• Key result areas (KRAs) are set of objectives that the organisation focuses on to ensure that it is
improving its operations in a way that will
increase business performance in the desired
Trang 9Scenario planning in strategy evaluation
• Scenario planning involves the structural use of
management judgement to construct multiple
‘script-like characterisations of possible futures’
• These characteristics focus on the dynamics of how a particular future might unfold by studying causal relationships, dominating trends, the
behaviour of key players and internal consistency
Trang 10Scenario planning in strategy evaluation
Fig 12.1
Trang 11Scenario planning in strategy evaluation
• The evaluation of strategy within scenario planning process has to meet the following criteria:
• Transparency
• Ease of judgement
• Versatility
• Flexibility
Trang 12PART B
Evaluating Value
Trang 13Evaluating value
• Business is about creating value
• Value, in its broadest sense, refers to the amount
of money customers are willing to pay for a good
or service
• The challenge for business strategy is, first, to
create value for customers and, second, to
extract some of that value in the form of profit for the company
• Value can be created in two ways: by production and by commerce
Trang 14Linkages between companies’ profit and
value
• Profit maximisation means maximising the net
present value of profits over the life time of a
company
• Profit maximisation leads to maximising the value
of the company
• The value of the company is calculated in the
same way as for any other asset — the net
present value (NPV) of the returns to that asset
Trang 15Company value and shareholder value
• As part of strategy evaluation, some issues worth consideration are:
• How does maximising company value relate to the goal of maximising shareholder value?
• Does company value less debt really equal the share market value of a company’s equity?
• Is maximisation of company value same as
maximisation of shareholder value?
Trang 16Applying DCF analysis to valuations
• A major difficulty in using DCF analysis to value companies and business units is forecasting cash flows sufficiently far into the future
• Given the level of uncertainty affecting most
businesses, even one-year forecasts of profits
and cash flows may be difficult
• To estimate future cash flows, assumptions may need to be made
Trang 17Valuing strategies
• The same approach used to value companies can
be applied to evaluate alternative strategies
• Applying company value analysis to appraising
business strategies involves several steps:
• identifying strategy alternatives
• estimating the cash flows associated with each strategy
• estimating the implications of each strategy for the cost of capital
• selecting the strategy that generates the highest NPV
Trang 18PART C
McKinsey 7s and the Balance Scorecard
Trang 19The McKinsey 7-S model
• To achieve the desired performance targets,
organisational strategy should be supported with appropriate mechanisms of implementation
• Strategy implementation incorporates a broad
range of interrelated changes
• 7-S Model was introduced by McKinsey and
Company partners
• The model describes the seven factors for
effective strategy execution
Trang 20The McKinsey 7-S model
• The 7-S model describes the seven factors critical for effective strategy execution
Trang 21The balanced scorecard
• The balanced scorecard methodology provides
an integrated framework for balancing financial
and strategic goals, and extending these
balanced performance measures down the
organisation to individual business units and
departments
• Developed by Kaplan and Norton, it considers the long term performance of the organisation rather than predominantly financial criteria of short term nature
Trang 22The balanced scorecard
• The performance measures combine the answers
to four questions:
• how do we look to shareholders?
• how do customers see us?
• what must we excel at?
• can we continue to improve and create value?
Trang 23The balanced scorecard strategy map
Fig 12.2
Trang 24Linkages between the 7-S model and the
balanced scorecard
Table 12.1
Trang 25Assessment of the balanced scorecard
as an evaluation technique
• The balanced score card is an effective tool to assess strategy success by using financial and non-financial measures
• It examines strategy from four different
perspectives
• This technique forces organisations to pool
information that is normally dispersed among various documents of the organisation
Trang 26Key success factors
• The factors that consistently lead to the success
of a strategy are referred to as the key success
factors
• There is an extensive body of a literature on
identification of these factors
• These factors have also been called critical
success factors or just success factors
Trang 27Strategy evaluation in uncertain times
• Companies require flexibility in decision-making in uncertain times
• This is also relevant to strategy evaluation
• In a time of a rapid, fundamental, and universally perceptible change, expanding roles of
governments, re-evaluation of imbalances in
global trade and capital markets, and pervasive uncertainty, companies have to continuously
reassess their business models to unlock
unexpected opportunities
Trang 28• This session has covered many issues of strategy formulation and evaluation including:
• Techniques of strategy evaluation
• Key success factors
• Scenario planning
• Value creation
• Frameworks of implementation