Compound Interest or Future Value• Invest $1 today at 10% Interest for 3 years • This relationship can be expressed as: Principal * 1 + Annual Interest Rate Time in Years... Compound Int
Trang 1Calculate Present or Future Value
of Cash Flows
Intermediate Cost Analysis
and Management
Trang 2Time Value of Money Concepts
• Is $1 received today worth the same as $1 to
be received one year from today?
• Is $1 received today worth the same as $1 to
be received one hundred years from today?
• Why or why not?
Trang 3Terminal Learning Objective
• Action: Calculate Present or Future Value of a Variety of
Cash Flow Scenarios
• Condition: You are training to become an ACE with
access to ICAM course handouts, readings, and
spreadsheet tools and awareness of Operational
Environment (OE)/Contemporary Operational
Environment (COE) variables and actors
• Standard: with at least 80% accuracy
• Identify and enter relevant report data to solve Present and Future Value equations using macro enabled cash flow
templates
Trang 4Time Value of Money Concepts
Money received Today:
• Can be invested Today to
earn interest
• Can be spent Today at
Today’s prices
Money received in the Future:
• Has not yet begun to earn interest
• Can be spent in the Future
at inflated prices
Trang 5Simple Interest
• Interest earned on Principal only
Principal * Annual Interest Rate * Time in Years
• Invest $1 today at 10% interest for 3 years
Interest = $1 * 10 * 3 = $.30
• $1 grows to $1.30 over 3 years
Trang 6Compound Interest or Future Value
• Invest $1 today at 10% Interest for 3 years
• This relationship can be expressed as:
Principal * (1 + Annual Interest Rate) Time in Years
Trang 7Compound Interest or Future Value
• Invest $1 today at 10% Interest for 3 years
• This relationship can be expressed as:
Principal * (1 + Annual Interest Rate) Time in Years
Trang 8Compound Interest or Future Value
• Invest $1 today at 10% Interest for 3 years
• This relationship can be expressed as:
Principal * (1 + Annual Interest Rate) Time in Years
Trang 9Compound Interest or Future Value
• Invest $1 today at 10% Interest for 3 years
• This relationship can be expressed as:
Principal * (1 + Annual Interest Rate) Time in Years
Trang 10Compound Interest or Future Value
• Invest $1 today at 10% Interest for 3 years
• This relationship can be expressed as:
Principal * (1 + Annual Interest Rate) Time in Years
Trang 11Effect of Interest Rate and Time
X-Axis = Time in Years
As Time increases, Future Value of $1 Increases
After 2 years at 10% … and after 8 years at 10%
Trang 12Effect of Interest Rate and Time
$3.06
15% 10% 5%
X-Axis = Time in Years
As interest rate increases, Future Value of $1 Increases
A higher interest rate causes the future value to increase more in the same 8 years.
A higher interest rate causes the future value to increase more in the same 8 years.
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Trang 13The Future Value Table
The Value of $1 at 10% interest after 8 years is $2.14
The Factors are pre-calculated on the FV Table.
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Trang 16Identify Key Variables
• Cash Flows
• $50,000 to be paid now
• Cash Payments are negative numbers
• Some unknown amount to be received ten years
Trang 17$50,000 to be invested now
Trang 18Multiply by the FV Factor
The Factor of $1 at 8% interest for 10 years is 2.159
Trang 19Using the Formula
• The formula proves that the answer from the table is correct:
$50,000 * (1 + 08)10 = $107,946
• The difference of $4 is caused by rounding in the table
Trang 22Future Value vs Present Value
• Future Value answers the question:
• To what value will $1 grow in the Future?
• Present Value answers the question:
• What is the value Today of $1 to be received in the Future?
-or-• How much must be invested today to achieve $1
in the Future?
Trang 23Future Value vs Present Value
The value of a dollar received today will
increase in the future
Trang 24Present Value Concepts
• What is the value Today of $1 to be received one year in the Future?
• How much must be invested Today to grow to
$1 one year from Today?
• The answer to these two questions is the
same!
Trang 25Present Value Concepts
• Assume a rate of 10%
• What is the cost expression for this relationship?
$Investment Today + Interest = $1.00
Trang 26Present Value Concepts
• Assume a rate of 10%
• What is the cost expression for this relationship?
$Investment Today + Interest = $1.00
Trang 27Present Value Concepts
• Assume a rate of 10%
• What is the cost expression for this relationship?
$Investment Today + Interest = $1.00
Trang 28Present Value Concepts
• Assume a rate of 10%
• What is the cost expression for this relationship?
$Investment Today + Interest = $1.00
Trang 29Present Value Concepts
• Assume a rate of 10%
• What is the cost expression for this relationship?
$Investment Today + Interest = $1.00
Trang 30• Plug $.91 in to the original equation:
$.91 + ($.91 * 10) = $1.00
$.91 + 09 = $1.00
• This relationship is fairly simple for one
period, but what about multiple periods?
Trang 31Present Value Concepts
• How much must be invested today to achieve $1.00 three years from today?
• What is the cost expression for this relationship?
Trang 32Present Value Concepts
• How much must be invested today to achieve $1.00 three years from today?
• What is the cost expression for this relationship?
Trang 33Present Value Concepts
• How much must be invested today to achieve $1.00 three years from today?
• What is the cost expression for this relationship?
Trang 34Present Value Concepts
• The Investment amount is known as the
Trang 35• There is also a table shortcut for Present Value
Principal * 10% (1 year) = Interest New Balance
Trang 36The Present Value Table
The Present Value of $1 at 10% to be received in 3 years is $.75
Trang 37Effect of Interest Rate and Time
X-Axis = Time in Years
As Time increases, Present Value of $1 Decreases
$1 to be received in 2 years at 10% … and in 8 years at 10%
Trang 38Effect of Interest Rate and Time
$0.68
5% 10% 15%
X-Axis = Time in Years
As Time increases, Present Value of $1 Decreases
A higher discount rate causes the present value to decrease more
in the same 8 years.
A higher discount rate causes the present value to decrease more
in the same 8 years.
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Trang 39Learning Check
• What does Present Value represent?
• How does the Present Value table differ from the Future Value table?
Trang 40Demonstration Problem
• What is the Present Value of a $60,000 cash flow
to be received 6 years from today assuming 12% discount rate?
Trang 41Identify Key Variables
• Cash Flow
• $60,000 to be received in the Future
• Is equal to some unknown amount Today
• Discount Rate = 12%
• Time in Years = 6
Trang 42Unknown Present Value
$
X-Axis = Time in Years
$60,000 to be received in 6 years
$60,000 to be received in 6 years
K
?
$60K
Trang 43Multiply by the PV Factor
The Factor of $1 at 12% discount for 6 years is 0.507
$60,000 * 0.507 = $30,420
Trang 44Using the Formula
• The formula proves that the answer from the table is correct:
$60,000 * 1/(1 + 12)6 = $30,398
• The difference of $22 is caused by rounding in the table
Trang 46Practical Exercise
Trang 47Time Value of Money Worksheet
© 2011
Enter key variables in the blank white cells to generate the graph shown below
Enter key variables in the blank white cells to generate the graph shown below
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Trang 48Time Value of Money Worksheet
© 2011
The spreadsheet tool also calculates Present Value
The spreadsheet tool also calculates Present Value
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Trang 49Practical Exercise