Time Value of Money Concepts• Is $1 received today worth the same as $1 to be received one year from today?. Time Value of Money ConceptsMoney received Today: • Can be invested Today to
Trang 1Calculate Present or Future Value of Cash Flows
Principles of Cost Analysis and Management
Trang 2Time Value of Money Concepts
• Is $1 received today worth the same as $1 to be received one year from today?
• Is $1 received today worth the same as $1 to be received one hundred years
from today?
• Why or why not?
Trang 3Terminal Learning Objective
• Action: Calculate Present Or Future Value Of A Variety Of Cash Flow Scenarios
• Condition: You are a cost advisor technician with access to all regulations/course
handouts, and awareness of Operational Environment (OE)/Contemporary
Operational Environment (COE) variables and actors
• Standard: with at least 80% accuracy
• Identify and enter relevant report data to solve Present and Future Value equations using macro enabled cash flow templates
Trang 4Time Value of Money Concepts
Money received Today:
• Can be invested Today to earn interest
• Can be spent Today at Today’s prices
Money received in the Future:
• Has not yet begun to earn interest
• Can be spent in the Future at inflated prices
Trang 5Simple Interest
• Interest earned on Principal only
Principal * Annual Interest Rate * Time in Years
• Invest $1 today at 10% interest for 3 years
Interest = $1 * 10 * 3 = $.30
• $1 grows to $1.30 over 3 years
Trang 6Compound Interest or Future Value
• Invest $1 today at 10% Interest for 3 years
• This relationship can be expressed as:
Principal * (1 + Annual Interest Rate)Time in Years
Trang 7Compound Interest or Future Value
• Invest $1 today at 10% Interest for 3 years
• This relationship can be expressed as:
Principal * (1 + Annual Interest Rate)Time in Years
Trang 8Compound Interest or Future Value
• Invest $1 today at 10% Interest for 3 years
• This relationship can be expressed as:
Principal * (1 + Annual Interest Rate)Time in Years
Trang 9Compound Interest or Future Value
• Invest $1 today at 10% Interest for 3 years
• This relationship can be expressed as:
Principal * (1 + Annual Interest Rate)Time in Years
Trang 10Compound Interest or Future Value
• Invest $1 today at 10% Interest for 3 years
• This relationship can be expressed as:
Principal * (1 + Annual Interest Rate)Time in Years
Trang 11Effect of Interest Rate and Time
X-Axis = Time in Years
As Time increases, Future Value of $1 Increases
After 2 years at 10% … and after 8 years at 10%
© Dale R Geiger 2011
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Trang 12Effect of Interest Rate and Time
$3.06
15%10%5%
X-Axis = Time in Years
As interest rate increases, Future Value of $1 Increases
A higher interest rate causes the future value to increase more in the same 8 years.
A higher interest rate causes the future value to increase more in the same 8 years.
© Dale R Geiger 2011
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Trang 13The Future Value Table
The Value of $1 at 10% interest after 8 years is $2.14
The Factors are pre-calculated on the FV Table.
© Dale R Geiger 2011
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Trang 14Check on Learning
• How does compound interest differ from simple interest?
• How does number of years affect the future value of an investment?
Trang 16Identify Key Variables
• Cash Flows
• $50,000 to be paid now
• Cash Payments are negative numbers
• Some unknown amount to be received ten years in the future
• Cash Receipts are positive numbers
• Interest Rate = 8%
• Time in Years = 10
Trang 17X-Axis = Time in Years
Unknown amount to be received
Trang 18Multiply by the FV Factor
The Factor of $1 at 8% interest for 10 years is 2.159
$50,000 * 2.159 = $107,950
© Dale R Geiger 2011
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Trang 19Using the Formula
• The formula proves that the answer from the table is correct:
$50,000 * (1 + 08)10 = $107,946
• The difference of $4 is caused by rounding in the table
Trang 21Check on Learning
• What is the first step in solving a future value problem?
• How are cash payments represented in the timeline?
Trang 22Future Value vs Present Value
• Future Value answers the question:
• To what value will $1 grow in the Future?
• Present Value answers the question:
• What is the value Today of $1 to be received in the Future?
-or-• How much must be invested today to achieve $1 in the Future?
Trang 23Future Value vs Present Value
A dollar to be received in the future is worth less than a dollar received
today The value of a dollar received today will increase in the future
Trang 24Present Value Concepts
• What is the value Today of $1 to be received one year in the Future?
• How much must be invested Today to grow to $1 one year from Today?
• The answer to these two questions is the same!
Trang 25Present Value Concepts
• Assume a rate of 10%
• What is the cost expression for this relationship?
$Investment Today + Interest = $1.00
Trang 26Present Value Concepts
• Assume a rate of 10%
• What is the cost expression for this relationship?
$Investment Today + Interest = $1.00
Trang 27Present Value Concepts
• Assume a rate of 10%
• What is the cost expression for this relationship?
$Investment Today + Interest = $1.00
Trang 28Present Value Concepts
• Assume a rate of 10%
• What is the cost expression for this relationship?
$Investment Today + Interest = $1.00
Trang 29Present Value Concepts
• Assume a rate of 10%
• What is the cost expression for this relationship?
$Investment Today + Interest = $1.00
Trang 31Present Value Concepts
• How much must be invested today to achieve $1.00 three years from today?
• What is the cost expression for this relationship?
$Investment * (1 + Rate) #Years = $Future Value
$Investment = $Future Value / (1 + Rate) #Years
Trang 32Present Value Concepts
• How much must be invested today to achieve $1.00 three years from today?
• What is the cost expression for this relationship?
$Investment * (1 + Rate) #Years = $Future Value
$Investment = $Future Value / (1 + Rate) #Years
Trang 33Present Value Concepts
• How much must be invested today to achieve $1.00 three years from today?
• What is the cost expression for this relationship?
$Investment * (1 + Rate) #Years = $Future Value
$Investment = $Future Value / (1 + Rate) #Years
Trang 34Present Value Concepts
• The Investment amount is known as the Present Value
• The Present Value relationship is expressed in the formula:
Future Cash Flow * 1/(1 + Rate) #Years
-or-$1 * 1/(1.10)3 = $.75
Trang 35• There is also a table shortcut for Present Value
Principal * 10% (1 year) = Interest New Balance
Trang 36The Present Value Table
The Present Value of $1 at 10% to be received in 3 years is $.75
Trang 37Effect of Interest Rate and Time
X-Axis = Time in Years
As Time increases, Present Value of $1 Decreases
$1 to be received in 2 years at 10% … and in 8 years at 10%
© Dale R Geiger 2011
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Trang 38Effect of Interest Rate and Time
10%15%
X-Axis = Time in Years
As Time increases, Present Value of $1 Decreases
A higher discount rate causes the present value to decrease more in the same 8 years.
A higher discount rate causes the present value to decrease more in the same 8 years.
© Dale R Geiger 2011
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Trang 39Check on Learning
• What does Present Value represent?
• How does the Present Value table differ from the Future Value table?
Trang 41Identify Key Variables
• Cash Flow
• $60,000 to be received in the Future
• Is equal to some unknown amount Today
• Discount Rate = 12%
• Time in Years = 6
Trang 42Unknown Present Value
Trang 43Multiply by the PV Factor
The Factor of $1 at 12% discount for 6 years is 0.507
$60,000 * 0.507 = $30,420
Trang 44Using the Formula
• The formula proves that the answer from the table is correct:
$60,000 * 1/(1 + 12)6 = $30,398
• The difference of $22 is caused by rounding in the table
Trang 46Check on Learning
• How does time affect the present value of a cash flow?
• How does the discount rate affect the present value of a cash flow?
Trang 47Practical Exercise
Trang 48Time Value of Money Worksheet
Trang 49Time Value of Money Worksheet
Trang 50Practical Exercise