The InspirationThe concept comes from Nassim Taleb’s best-seller Antifragile: Things that Gain from Disorder.. Drag picture to placeholder or click icon to add Photo: Sam Beebe, via Fli
Trang 1How to Become Financially Indestructible
Benefit from future volatility
Trang 2Let’s face an uncomfortable truth:
At some point, you will face daunting economic challenges you never could have predicted.
How you respond will place you
in one of three categories…
Trang 3Which Would You Be?
1. Fragile—something that breaks when exposed to chaos, disorder, and
stressors
• A simple example: a porcelain cup falling from a table
2. Robust—something that stays exactly the same when exposed to chaos,
disorder, and stressors
• A rubber ball, maintaining its structure when thrown
3. Antifragile—here, we equate this with “indestructible.” Something that gets
stronger when exposed to chaos, disorder, or stressors
• Your muscles, which rebuild themselves even stronger after lifting weights
Trang 4The Inspiration
The concept comes from Nassim Taleb’s
best-seller Antifragile: Things that Gain from Disorder.
Ideas presented here are either loosely or directly based on Taleb’s ideas.
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Photo: Sam Beebe, via Flickr
Trang 5A Working Definition
Financial Antifragility:
Not only being protected
from personal or systemic
financial stressors, but
positioning one’s self to
actually benefit from them.
Trang 6There are five key steps to living a financially antifragile
life.
Trang 71) Limit Your Downside
Remember, this isn’t about maximizing your returns in the short-run It’s about surviving and thriving in the long-run.
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Trang 8Two Key Ways to Limit Downside
Emergency Cash
Make sure you have enough cash
set aside to cover all of your
family’s costs for six months
without any forms of income
This will provide a cushion to
prevent you from having to sell
other assets
Insurance
Beyond basic health insurance, investigate
if you or your family would benefit from life, auto, home, renter’s, disability, or
supplemental insurance
Though writing these monthly checks can
be painful, they limit your downside should significant life stressors occur
Trang 92) Avoid Debt
In times of uncertainty and distress, nothing is more constraining than the burden of debt.
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Trang 10If another Great Recession occurred and you lost
your job, consider:
Housing debt (mortgage): This would prevent you from quickly moving
for a new job, and you might be forced to either go through foreclosure or sell the house for less than you paid for it
Auto debt: For new cars, you’re immediately “under water” when you
drive your car off the lot If you lose your job, auto payments will need to continue, or you’ll be forced to sell your car And since you were under water, you’ll lose money in the process
Student loan debt: Even if you declare bankruptcy, student loan debt
stays with you This can be a significant burden, and force you to take jobs (with higher pay) you ordinarily would avoid You can also have your wages garnished for failure to repay
Trang 11In the end, you may not be able to totally avoid debt
If that’s the case, repay it as soon as possible
Trang 13One of the key tenets of Antifragility is that smaller is
beautiful—but also less fragile.
• If you need more things in your life to make you happy, that will require more money,
which inherently makes you more fragile.
• By living frugally, you get an unmatched one-two punch that leads to financial
independence and antifragility:
1 You have more money left over to save and invest, which brings you closer to
self-reliance.
2 You don’t need to save nearly as much, as you know you don’t need all the bells
and whistles of life to be happy.
Trang 144) Have Redundancies in Place
Planning for things to go wrong means that you’re prepared when they do.Drag picture to placeholder or click icon to add
Trang 15Efficiency vs Redundancy
The business world are focused on making things as efficient as possible Taleb argues that this can be a mistake
Nature doesn’t work that way—things that survive have many
redundancies The ideally “efficient” body would have one kidney, one lung, and so on
Therefore, it is somewhat counter-intuitive to have redundancies in place
It often means spending money for things that we may never use
Trang 16Are Your Redundancies In Place?
If you lost your job tomorrow:
Do you have a different employer in your field you are familiar with that you could call?
Is there another field you’d like to get into that you’ve already started tinkering with?
Have you done the requisite research to see what it would take
to make such moves?
Trang 17An Example From Real-Life
I genuinely enjoy my job But my wife and I are constantly working to make sure Plans B, C, and D are in place:
Plan B: We were both teachers in a former life Neither of us plan to go back into the classroom However, we
keep our credentials up-to-date should we need to apply.
Plan C: We’ve always had a farming itch We now spend our winters on a farm to learn more about it We have
also borrowed plots of land and picked the brains of those at farmer’s markets to get an idea for what it would take
to succeed if we wanted to start our own farm.
Plan D: We will likely be building a very small home in Costa Rica this winter Should we need to, we could move
there and live on very little money for many years before it became absolutely necessary to re-enter the
workforce.
Trang 185) Use Convex Optionality to Your Benefit
Tinker with ideas that have limited downside and unlikely— but unlimited—upside.
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Trang 19What is Convex
Optionality?
This graph shows what convexity looks like.
• The potential downside is limited to something manageable.
• Upside, however, is unlimited.
• One thing to understand: the upside usually has a small probability of occurring—you have the “option” of continuing or trying something else.
Trang 20The Barbell Approach
Taleb defines this as: “A dual strategy: one safe and one speculative,
deemed more robust than a ‘monomodal’ strategy.”
For working adults, this means having one stable income while tinkering with a passion on the side
Though the chances of one “tinkering experiment” being wildly successful are small, your chances go up markedly with repeated attempts
Trang 21Examples from Real Life
Albert Einstein worked at the Swiss
patent office (safe) while working
on his revolutionary theories
Trang 23If you find that it’s too late in the game to adopt
this strategy, check out…
The $60K Social Security Bonus Most Retirees Completely Overlook