Using game theory in the development of competitive strategy... Market Structure Analysis Methods of Identifying Competitors – The Product-Industry Hierarchy identifies four levels
Trang 2Key Learning Points
Performing a market structure
analysis, which identifies your major competitors.
Performing a competitor analysis.
Alternative sources of information
for analyzing competitors.
Using game theory in the
development of competitive strategy.
Trang 3competition is Misidentification of the competitive set can have a
serious impact on the success of a marketing plan, especially in the
long run.”
6 - 3
- Russell S Winer
Trang 4products for the same customer benefit.
– Crucial to understanding / developing a value proposition and appropriate
marketing implementation decisions.
– Allows firms to be proactive and
anticipate competitive actions.
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Market Structure Analysis
Identifying competition is critical
– Failing to identify a competitive threat can have disastrous consequences.
• New product forms (e.g electronic watches
in the 1970’s) can become key competitors.
– Competitors must be identified in order
to properly compute market share.
• Market share = “(us / us + them)”
• Unethical managers can manipulate market share computations by changing
competitors included in calculation.
Trang 6Market Structure Analysis
Methods of Identifying Competitors
– The Product-Industry Hierarchy
identifies four levels of competition.
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Figure 6-1:
Product-Industry Hierarchy
Trang 8Market Structure Analysis
Defining Competition:
Demand-Based Methods
– Competition can be defined at every
level of the hierarchy (Figure 6.1)
• This method fails to adequately get at the heart of competition or market definition
• Competition is best defined by the customer, rather than by the marketing manager, as implied in the following definition.
Trang 9products that are close
substitutes to buyers, are
available to a common group
of buyers, and are distant
substitutes for all products not
included in the industry.”
6 - 9
- Joe S Bain
Trang 10Market Structure Analysis
Defining Competition: Demand-Based
Methods
– Figure 6.2 defines competition from the
customer’s perspective.
products of the same product type.
similar features that provide the same basic function.
need.
same discretionary budget dollars.
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Figure 6-2:
4-Level Model of Competition
Trang 12What brands, products,
or services would you classify as product form, product class, generic, and budget level
competitors?
Discussion Question
Consider the DiGiorno brand of frozen pizza.
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Market Structure Analysis
Four-level model of competition implies different tasks for each competitive level:
activities at direct competitors.
customers that your product form is best in
the category.
the superiority of your product category’s
ability to satisfy needs over other categories.
generic competition.
Trang 14Market Structure Analysis
Four-level model of competition:
– Cross-elasticity of demand is often
used as an indicator of substitutability when defining generic competitors.
• The percentage change in product A’s sales due to the percentage change in product
B’s sales is termed cross-elasticity
• Positive cross-elasticities indicate that the two products are competitors.
• Major problem relates to interpretation of cross-elasticities.
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Product & Service
DecisionsGeneric competition characterizes the
breath-freshening industry
A number of products in various categories compete for this market,
including chewing gum, toothpaste, breath mints,
breath sprays, and mouthwashes.
6 - 15
Trang 16Market Structure Analysis
Defining Competition:
Demand-Based Methods
– Substitution in use is another method
of using customer-based assessments
of competition.
• Focus groups help determine consumer perceptions of the similarity of products in usage contests.
• Results in many budget and generic level competitors.
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Market Structure Analysis
Defining Competition: Supply-Based
Methods
– Managerial judgment and external data
sources are used to determine product form and product category competitors.
is an excellent resource.
supply category or industry definitions.
– Generic and budget level competitors are the most difficult to determine
readily observable.
Trang 18Competitive Analysis
Competitive analysis is becoming
increasingly important.
– Executive education in competitive
intelligence gathering is a key training topic.
– Some universities offer certification in
competitive intelligence programs.
Competitive intelligence activities have
an unsavory reputation due to ethical
lapses by some companies.
The competitor analysis framework
consists of four key phases of analysis.
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Figure 6-4:
Competitor Analysis
Framework
Trang 20 Ownership status (public, private, government) should be considered when
assessing objectives.
Trang 21– Price
– Distribution
– Product
– Communications
Trang 22Product & Service
Decisions Core strategies can be assessed
by examining marketing
communications
The value proposition in this ad focuses
on the power generated by the Big Bertha golf club.
Trang 23– Produce the product
or deliver the service
– Market their products
– Finance
– Manage
Trang 24assess their own strengths and
weaknesses accurately.
Information should be summarized using one
of two techniques.
success factors in market and rate each competitor
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Figure 6-6:
Competitor Analysis
Framework
Trang 26Competitive Analysis
Expected Future Strategies
– End result of competitive analysis is a forecast of competitors’ likely actions.
• Competitor’s strategies may be discussed
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Product & Service
Decisions Key Decisions
Competitive Analysis Secondary Information Sources
Help Wanted Advertisements
Electronic Data Services
Trang 28Product & Service
Decisions Key Decisions
Competitive Analysis Primary Information Sources
Plant Tours
Internet Newsgroups
Trang 29 Elements of game theory:
– List of participants and players
– A list of strategies for each player
– A payoff matrix of rewards and costs for each combination of strategies
Trang 30Figure 6-7:
A Pricing Game
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Game Theory
Pricing Game Explanation
or increase price to $300
• $8,000 if both managers keep price at $200
• $10,000 if both managers raise price to $300
• Pricing Strategy: A - $200, B - $300;
Payoff: A - $13,000, B - $4,000
• Pricing Strategy: A - $300, B - $200;
Payoff: A - $4,000, B - $13,000
Trang 32Game Theory
Game Theory Benefits
– Forces firms to conceptualize possible competitive actions.
– Forces consideration of financial or
market share outcomes under various scenarios.
Solutions to game theory models
require determination of the game’s equilibrium.
– The Nash equilibrium is most common.
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Product & Service
Decisions
“ A Nash equilibrium is a list of
strategies, one for each player,
with the property that no manager wants to unilaterally change his or her strategy In other words, for
each manager, its strategy in the
equilibrium is the best response to the others’ strategies in the
equilibrium.
6 - 33
- Russell S Winer
Trang 34Game Theory
Prisoner’s Dilemma Game
– Competition leads to less than optimum
outcome for both competitors.
Game theory can be extended to
incorporate the leader-follower concept.
– Typical in industries in which one company
has traditionally been the first to change price
or other marketing mix elements.
– Figure 6.8 illustrates a leader-follower price
game
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Figure 6-8:
A Pricing Game
Trang 36Game Theory
Using Game Theory With New
Product Entrants:
– Key issues in new entrant strategy:
• Is there a first-mover advantage?
• Can entry be deterred by an incumbent (existing competitor)? How?
• What is the incumbent optimal defensive strategy?
• What is the entrant’s optimal entry strategy?
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Game Theory
Applying Game Theory
– Industries with four or fewer competitors offer the best potential for applying game theory.
– When purchases are few, but large in size,
competition is more intense, making strategic thinking (and game theory) more valuable.
– Game theory is also valuable in industries
where costs are largely fixed.
– Situations requiring competitive bidding are particularly appropriate for game theory usage.