Research, Practices, and Innovations in Global Risk and Contingency Management Kenneth David Strang State University of New York, USA & APPC Research, Australia Maximiliano E.. Korstanj
Trang 2Research, Practices, and Innovations in Global
Risk and Contingency
Management
Kenneth David Strang
State University of New York, USA & APPC Research, Australia
Maximiliano E Korstanje
University of Palermo, Argentina
Narasimha Vajjhala
American University of Nigeria, Nigeria
A volume in the Advances in Business Information
Systems and Analytics (ABISA) Book Series
Trang 3Web site: http://www.igi-global.com
Copyright © 2018 by IGI Global All rights reserved No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored or distributed in any form or by any means, electronic or mechanical, including photocopying, without written permission from the publisher Product or company names used in this set are for identification purposes only Inclusion of the names of the products or companies does not indicate a claim of ownership by IGI Global of the trademark or registered trademark.
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Names: Strang, Kenneth David, 1962- editor | Korstanje, Maximiliano, editor
| Vajjhala, Narasimha, 1978- editor.
Title: Research, practices, and innovations in global risk and contingency
management / Kenneth David Strang, Maximiliano E Korstanje, and Narasimha
Vajjhala, editors.
Description: Hershey : Business Science Reference, [2018]
Identifiers: LCCN 2017032921| ISBN 9781522547549 (hardcover) | ISBN
9781522547556 (ebook)
Subjects: LCSH: Risk management.
Classification: LCC HD61 R47 2018 | DDC 658.15/5 dc23 LC record available at https://lccn.loc.gov/2017032921 This book is published in the IGI Global book series Advances in Business Information Systems and Analytics (ABISA) (ISSN: 2327-3275; eISSN: 2327-3283)
Trang 4Advances in Business Information Systems and Analytics (ABISA) Book Series
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Smart Technology Applications in Business Environments
Tomayess Issa (Curtin University, Australia) Piet Kommers (University of Twente, The Netherlands) Theodora Issa (Curtin University, Australia) Pedro Isaías (Portuguese Open University, Portugal) and Touma B Issa (Murdoch University, Australia)
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Trang 6Table of Contents
Foreword xv Preface xxiii
Section 1 Quantitative Approaches to Risk and Uncertainty Models Chapter 1
StrategicandTacticalMeasuresinManagingEnterpriseRisks:AStudyoftheTextileand
ApparelIndustry 1
Rita Lai-ying Chan, BNU-HKBU United International College, China
Phyllis Lai-lan Mo, City University of Hong Kong, China
Karen K L Moon, Seoul National University, South Korea
Chapter 2
AComparisonofExcessStockMarketReturntoStandardMarketingMetrics 20
Vicki Lane, University of Colorado – Denver, USA
Madhavan Parthasarathy, University of Colorado – Denver, USA
Kenneth David Strang, State University of New York at Plattsburgh, USA
Narasimha Rao Vajjhala, American University of Nigeria, Nigeria
Chapter 5
RiskInherentinMatchingUnreliabilityWithUncertainty 73
Roy L Nersesian, Monmouth University, USA
Joe McManus, Monmouth University, USA
Trang 7Section 2 Qualitative, Historical, and Philosophical Risk Perspectives Chapter 6
K Madhu Kishore Raghunath, National Institute of Technology, India
S L Tulasi Devi, National Institute of Technology, India
Chandra Sekhar Patro, Gayatri Vidya Parishad College of Engineering, India
Vittal Anantatmula, Western Carolina University, USA
Yang Fan, Western Carolina University, USA
Trang 8Section 4 Industry Applications and Mixed Method Studies Chapter 15
ComplexInterdependencyofITSecurityRiskinB2BSupplyChain 269
Tridib Bandyopadhyay, Kennesaw State University, USA Chapter 16 ModellingtheEnablersofSupplyRiskManagementUsingInterpretiveStructuralMethodology 286
Kunal Ganguly, IIM Kashipur, India Debabrata Das, IIM Kashipur, India Chapter 17 EmergentIssuesintheWorldWarAgainstGlobalTerrorism 305
Kenneth David Strang, State University of New York at Plattsburgh, USA Chapter 18 PracticalUseandEffectsofScopeReductionsintheFormofReductionLists:CostControlatthe PriceofSustainability? 326
Andreas Økland, Norwegian University of Science and Technology, Norway Nils O E Olsson, Norwegian University of Science and Technology, Norway Conclusion 345
Compilation of References 364
About the Contributors 410
Index 416
Trang 9Foreword xv Preface xxiii
Section 1 Quantitative Approaches to Risk and Uncertainty Models Chapter 1
StrategicandTacticalMeasuresinManagingEnterpriseRisks:AStudyoftheTextileand
ApparelIndustry 1
Rita Lai-ying Chan, BNU-HKBU United International College, China
Phyllis Lai-lan Mo, City University of Hong Kong, China
Karen K L Moon, Seoul National University, South Korea
Thisstudyexaminesthestrategicandtacticalmeasurescompaniesexploitasasourceofcompetitiveadvantagetooutliveriskchallengesandtoseizetheattendantopportunitiesinavolatileeconomicenvironment.Resultsfromaseriesofin-depthinterviewswithseniorexecutivesofHongKong-basedsuccessfulenterprisesinthetextileandapparelindustryshowthattheparticipantcompanieshave,thoughnotunderthebannerofenterpriseriskmanagement(ERM),adoptedtovaryingextentsaproactive,enterprise-wideandholisticapproachtocombatandmanagerisks.ThefindingsoftheERMmaturityanalysisattestthatthetendencytouseformalapproachestomanageriskissuesispositivelyrelatedtoanorganization’ssize,scopeofoperations,andlegalstructure.Theanalysesalsounderpinthateffectiveenterpriseriskmanagementshouldembraceproactive,futureandexternalorientedstrategicinitiativesthatcreateandenhanceorganizationalresiliencethroughtheinvolvementofinternalaswellasexternalstakeholders
Chapter 2
AComparisonofExcessStockMarketReturntoStandardMarketingMetrics 20
Vicki Lane, University of Colorado – Denver, USA
Madhavan Parthasarathy, University of Colorado – Denver, USA
Marketingmetricsprovidemeasuresoftheimpactofvariousmarketingstrategies.Thispaperexaminesexcessstockmarketreturnasapotentialmeasuretoincludeinthemetricarsenal.Excessstockreturnreflectsinvestors’viewsofthelikelyimpactofaparticularstrategy.Investorsformexpectationsabouthowthestrategywillaffectfuturecashflows.Consequently,astock’spricechangestoreflectinvestor
“votes”aboutthestrategy’simpactonfirmvalue.Bytappingintoeventstudytechniquesformeasuring
Trang 10theimpactofanannouncement,firmscanbetterunderstandthevalueofaparticularmarketingstrategy.An assessment of various marketing measures indicates that excess stock market return comparesfavorablytoothermetrics.Excessreturnyieldsunbiasedestimates,allowsdirectcausalinference,isfutureoriented,includesallcashflows,accountsforopportunitycosts,factorsinrisk,andtakesintoaccountthetimevalueofmoney
Chapter 3
AnalyzingRiskManagementandNon-PerformingAssetsinBanks 38
Hasnan Baber, Central University of Kashmir, India
Allfinancialinstitutionsfaceriskstosomedegree.Whentalkingaboutriskitmustbeanalysedwhichconditionscarriesmoreriskthananother.Thus,abankmustevaluateboththereturnandtheriskimplantedintheportfolio.Banksmustmeasuretheanticipatedprofitandassesstheprudenceofthevariousriskstalliedtobesurethattheresultattainsthestatedgoalofmaximizingshareholdervalue.ThisstudywasconductedinHDFCbankinIndia.Thestudyhasusedbothprimaryandsecondarydata.Theaimofthechapterwastoinspectthedifferentpracticesfollowedbythebanktodifferenttypesofriskswhichabankfaceswhencreditisgivenandhowthesepracticeshasassistedthebanktodroptheconsequenceoftheriskontheeffectivenessandoperations.ThechapteralsorevealsthecontemporarydevelopmentsintheNon-PerformingAssetlevelsofthebankandhowbankhasbeensuccessfulinreducingthepaceofNPAstocurtailtheloadofsecuritization
Chapter 4
HowSocialCultureImpactsYoungExecutiveDecisionMakinginaContextofUncertainty 55
Kenneth David Strang, State University of New York at Plattsburgh, USA
Narasimha Rao Vajjhala, American University of Nigeria, Nigeria
Inthischapter,weexploresocialsciencetheoriesthatcouldexplainhowexecutivesmakedecisionsincontextswithahighdegreeofuncertainty.Inparticularwefocusonhowemergingyoungexecutivesrespondtoriskinsituationsofuncertainty.First,weconductaliteraturereviewfollowedbyacriticalanalysisofsocio-culturaldecision-makingliterature.Thenweperformedacontrolledexperimentusingasampleofsenioruniversitystudentstorepresentyoungexecutives.Acontextofuncertaintywasdesignedwhichrequiredtheparticipantstoworkinsmallteamsandmakeadecisionbasedonincompleteanduncertaininformationaboutamanagerialcasestudy.Inthisway,weintendedtoillustratewhataspectsofcultureimpactsdecisionmakinginacontextofuncertainty
Chapter 5
RiskInherentinMatchingUnreliabilityWithUncertainty 73
Roy L Nersesian, Monmouth University, USA
Joe McManus, Monmouth University, USA
Solarandwindareunreliablesourcesofenergy.Severalyearsago,therewasaneclipseoverEuropeduringcalmweatherreducingrenewable(windandsolar)powertonil–without100%backup,thelightswouldhavegoneout.Electricitydemandisuncertain,butitsuncertaintycanbebracketedwithinknownparametersbasedonananalysisofpastdemand.Meetinguncertaindemandwithreliablesupply(fossilfuel,nuclear,hydroexceptindryseasons)isthenormalcourseofbusinessforanoperatingutility.Matchingupunreliablesupplywithuncertaindemandisanewlyemergingtrendwiththeadventofrenewables.Atfirst,whensolarandwindmademinutecontributionstosatisfyingelectricitydemand,thechallenge
Trang 11Section 2 Qualitative, Historical, and Philosophical Risk Perspectives Chapter 6
AstronomicalRootsofRiskManagementMeasures 99
Colin Read, State University of New York at Plattsburgh, USA
Themean-varianceapproachhasremainedthedefactomethodtocharacterizeriskeversinceMarkowitz’developmentofModernPortfolioTheory.Thismean-varianceunderpinninggoesbackmuchfurther,though,toanerabeforemodernstreetlightingwhenhumankindheldafascinationwiththecosmosandthemovementoftheplanets.Atthesametime,physicistsandmathematicianswereemployedtoallowgamblerstoimprovetheiroddsingamesofchance.Thetechniquesarenowappliedtothemoredown-to-earthchallengesofthecharacterizationofriskandoptimizationofreward.Idescribetheworkofthepioneerswhocollectivegaveusthemean-variancetool.ThisretrospectiveanalysisofthehistoryofriskandfinancialmarketsarosefromthecollectiveinnovationsofDanielBernoulli,CarlFriedrichGauss, Louis Bachelier, Jacob Marschak, Harry Markowitz, William Sharpe, Paul Samuelson, andFischerBlackandMyronScholes.Theircontributionshelpedestablishourunderstandingofthescienceofriskmanagement
Chapter 7
Socio-PoliticalRisk-Contingency-ManagementFrameworkforPractitionersandResearchers 116
Kenneth David Strang, State University of New York at Plattsburgh, USA
Inthischapter,anewriskandcontingencymodelisdevelopedtoarticulateemergingglobalparadigmfactorsthatwerenotprevalentinthecommunityofpractice5-6yearsago.Thegenerallyaccepteddefinitionsofriskanduncertaintyareclarifiedandtheliteratureisreviewedtorevealfournewcategoriesofglobaluncertaintythatimpactriskandcontingencyplanninginthemicroenvironment,taskenvironmentandinternaltoorganizations.Someoftheemergingfactorsincludethebigdataparadigm,fearofglobalterrorism, economic instability, climate change, international trade agreement changes, along withdomesticandworkplaceviolence.Afteradetailedliteraturereview,thefactorsaresummarizedandpresentedinavisualmodel.Theimplicationsoncurrentandfuturepracticearediscussed,closingwithrecommendationsforfutureresearch
Chapter 8
ImpactofRiskAssessmentModelsonRiskFactors:AHolisticOutlook 134
K Madhu Kishore Raghunath, National Institute of Technology, India
S L Tulasi Devi, National Institute of Technology, India
Chandra Sekhar Patro, Gayatri Vidya Parishad College of Engineering, India
Worldisvicinityfullofopportunitiesgiventheamountofeconomicandnon-economictransactionstakingplaceeverymoment.Withubiquitousopportunitiesallaround,businessescanassumeinherentriskeverywhereinoneortheotherway.Inthischapter,theauthorshavedeliberatedthegeneralbusiness
Trang 12scenariotoprovethegiveninferences.Thereaderswillcomeacrosswhytheriskmanagementisgainingsomuchgravityandacrossriskstrategyoftopbusinessplayers.Thechapterwillbringintolightthevariousriskfactorsinbusinessandstudythevariousriskassessmentmodelspresenttofortifythenegativityoftheseriskfactors.Simultaneously,theauthorswilldrawempiricalevidenceontheeffectiveness,qualitativeandquantitativeriskmodelshaveonriskfactorsinpublicandprivatebusinessorganisations
Chapter 9
BeyondthePrecautionaryPrinciple:IsTerrorismaRealRisk? 154
Maximiliano E Korstanje, University of Palermo, Argentina
Thischaptercentersonthediscussionaroundterrorism.Whilesomescholarsemphasizeonterrorismasarisk,othersalertonthelimitationsofthinkingterrorismwithinthefieldofrisk.Thisdoesnotmeanthatterrorismdoesnotexist,itisabigproblemforurbanizedcontexts,butitescapestothecontroloflaycitizens.FollowingNiklasLuhman’sdefinitionweexertacriticismonthosewhothinkterrorismasarisk.Thispieceinterrogatedontheepistemologicalborderofterrorismaswellastheinterestofpublicsandaudiencestoconsumetheothers`mourningasaformofentertainment.Thistrendwasfacilitatedbytheunificationofriskandthreatnotions.Aswehaveexplained,terrorismas-a-riskformsanideologicaldiscourseinorderfortheglobalelitetokeepitsprivilegepositionbutalsotoopenthedoorstowardsanewfaceofcapitalism,wehavedubbedThanaCapitalism.Whilepeoplewatchtheothers`sufferinginordertoconfirmtheirstatus,itproducesaviciouscirclewhichisconducivetowhatBaudrillarddubbedas“thespectacleofdisasters”
Chapter 10
W.EdwardsDemingasaGuideforReducingRiskinProjectManagement 174
Dennis Bialaszewski, Indiana State University, USA
Thereisamajordifferencebetweencompletingaprojectandcompletingaprojectthatisjudgedasaprojectcompletedinaqualitymanner,itisnotenoughtojustgetsomethingdone!!!Whatismuchmoreimportantistocompleteaprojectwhatisjudgedastobeaworkofquality.Ifoneaimsatqualityattheonsetonecanmaximizetheprobabilityofcompletingtheprojectwhilereducingtheriskoffailure.OneoftheearliestpioneersinthefieldofQUALITYisW.EdwardsDeming.SomeconsiderJapan’spostWorldWar2economicrecoveryastrulymiraculousandthepersongivenmuchofthecreditforguidingJapantothisrecoverywasanAmericannamedW.EdwardsDeming.DemingdidthisbyreinforcingtheimportanceofapplyingprinciplesofTotalQualityManagementthroughtherecovery,ThePrimeMinisterofJapanawardedDr.DemingwithoneofthemostprestigiousawardsthatcanbeearnedinJapanwhenheawardedDemingJapan’sOrderoftheSacredTreasure,SecondClass.Thisarticlewilldetailtheimportanceoftheseprinciplesforreducingrisk
Section 3 Strategic Management and Contingency Planning Practices Chapter 11
ComprehensiveRiskAbatement:AParadigmShift 187
Bruce D McLaughlin, Lifetime Reliability Solutions, USA
ConventionalAnalyticalandMaintenanceproceduresareassimilatedintoaComprehensiveRiskAbatementStrategycomprisingProcess,Objectives,BalancedProgressMethodologyandLinesofCommunicationbetweenprocessandobjectives.ThisComprehensiveRiskAbatementStrategy(EnterpriseWellnessWay)
Trang 13Chapter 12
BurstPipesandLeakyRoofs:SmallEmergenciesAreaChallengeforLibraries 211
Gerald Chaudron, University of Memphis Libraries, USA
Librariescanfacedifferentkindsofemergencybutplanningforeverycontingencyisanimmensechallenge.Overwhelmedwithbooksandarticlesthatfocusmainlyonthecatastrophicevents,librarianstendtoplacemoreemphasisonmanagingtheriskofhurricanesandfloodsleavingthenunderpreparedforthemoremundaneandcommonemergencieslikeburstpipesandleakyroofs.Thischapterusestwocasestudiesofsmallwateremergenciestoexaminehoweachlibrarymanagedthoseemergenciesandwhatlessonswerelearned.Theyshowthatwhilebothincidentswerewater-related,theywereverydifferentintermsofsource,size,impact,recoverytime,andfrequency.Librariesshouldbeplanningforsmalldisastersfirst,andthenscalinguppreparationtoaccountforthelargerevents,ratherthanthereverse.Morelibrariesmaydosuchplanningiftheyarepreparingforaprobablescenarioratherthanonethatisonlyapossibility
Chapter 14
RiskManagementStrategiesforProjectSuccess 250
Vittal Anantatmula, Western Carolina University, USA
Yang Fan, Western Carolina University, USA
Asprojectsareassociatedwithrisksduetothepresenceofuncertaintiesandunknowns,riskmanagementassumesimportanceinprojectsuccess.Thischapterisanattempttoexaminevariousriskmitigationstrategiesthatarecommonlyemployedifdifferentindustrialsectors.Thechosenriskstrategywouldalsolargelydependeitheronindividual’sororganization’spropensitytotakerisks.Theauthorssummarizethefindingsofaresearchstudyinthischapter.Theresearchresultsshowthateffortanddetailsofariskmanagementforaprojectaregovernedbyrisksassociatedwithcostandtimeandnotnecessarilywith
Trang 14Section 4 Industry Applications and Mixed Method Studies Chapter 15
ComplexInterdependencyofITSecurityRiskinB2BSupplyChain 269
Tridib Bandyopadhyay, Kennesaw State University, USA
Managersoftendecidetointegratesupplychainsofcollaboratingfirms.Whethersuchdecisionsareforcompetitiveposture,costsavingoroperationalefficiencies,itisimportanttounderstandthatsupplychainsintegratenotonlytheflowofgoodsbutalsotheinformationprocessesandassetsandmoreoftenthannot,theITnetworksofthefirms.Thustwodevelopmentsoccur.First,ITsecuritylossesofonefirmcollocateattheotherfirm’sserversasinformationassetslikedemandforecastsareshared.Second,theIntranetsofbothfirmsgetconnectedwiththehelpofVPNorsimilartechnologies,makingitpossiblethatabreachcantravelfromonefirmtotheother.ThisinturnmakesITsecurityrisksofSCfirmsstrategicallyinterdependent.ThischapteranalyzessuchinterdependentITsecurityrisksandprovidesinsightsforSCandITmanagerswhoarepoisedtocollaboratewithotherdownstreamorupstreampartnerfirms
Chapter 16
ModellingtheEnablersofSupplyRiskManagementUsingInterpretiveStructuralMethodology 286
Kunal Ganguly, IIM Kashipur, India
Debabrata Das, IIM Kashipur, India
Thepurposeofthispaperistodevelopastructuralframeworkforsupplyriskmanagementprocess(SRMP)andestablishitslinkwithSupplierSelection(SS).InterpretativeStructuralModelling(ISM)approachisusedtodevelopthestructuralframework.TheenablersforSRMPareidentifiedthroughextensiveliteraturereviewandfurtherdiscussionheldwithmanagers/seniorengineersinanIndianAutomobilemanufacturingcompany.Inthesecondstageofthework,thestructuralframeworkisdevelopedwheretheenablersareclassifiedintofourcategoriesbasedontheirdrivingpoweranddependence.TheidentificationofenablersandtheirlinkagesforSRMPwhichinfluencesSSshedslightontheproblemofsupplyriskmanagementefforts.Thiscanenablemanagersindecidingthepriorityofvariousenablersandlinkagesbetweenthem.ThiscanalsohelpsupplychainmanagerstotakeproactivestepsinimprovingtheseenablersandconsiderSupplyRiskfortheSSprocess
Chapter 17
EmergentIssuesintheWorldWarAgainstGlobalTerrorism 305
Kenneth David Strang, State University of New York at Plattsburgh, USA
Thechapterexaminestheimpactofglobalterrorismonthetopmost-impactednations.Globalterrorismcontinuestoimpactmanynations.Therearetwoimpacts–actualattackscausingdeathsinjuriesand/orpropertydamageaswellastheemergingcultureoffearwherehumanrightshaveregressed–bothimpacttheriskandcontingencymanagementcommunityofpractice.Thecriticalanalysismethodisintegratedwithameta-analysisofselectedstudies.Retrospectiveandinductiveanalysistechniquesareapplied.Theriskofglobalterrorismisreviewedandcalculatedforthemost-impactednations.Therecommendationsaddresstheemergentrisksforcontingencyplanningspecialists,practitionersandresearcherstoconsider.Additionally,futureresearchdirectionsareprovided
Trang 15Chapter 18
PracticalUseandEffectsofScopeReductionsintheFormofReductionLists:CostControlatthe
PriceofSustainability? 326
Andreas Økland, Norwegian University of Science and Technology, Norway Nils O E Olsson, Norwegian University of Science and Technology, Norway Scopemanagementintheformofreductionlistswasintegratedinthequalityassuranceschemefor Norwegianpublicprojectsin2001.Thisarticlepresentsfindingsontheactualuseofreductionlistsfor majorpublicconstructionprojectsProjectrepresentativeswerecontactedtoobtaininformationaboutthe actualuseofpre-definedpotentialscopereductions.Eightofthe14studiedprojectsdidnotimplement anyofthepredefinedreductions.Sixprojectsimplementedsomeofthereductions.Thescopereductions onthereductionlistsareveryspecificanddetailed,unlikegeneraltheoryonscopemanagementandcost control.However,thefindingsfromthestudyareinlinewiththegeneraltheory;itwasthemostgeneral scopeandcostreductionsthatwhereusedinpractice.Thestudysubsequentlylookedintotherelationship betweenscopereductionsandsustainability.Althoughthemostfrequentlyobservedreductionwasofthe category“reducedqualityorfunctionality”,sustainabilitywasrarelyaffectedwiththenotableexception oftherailwayinfrastructureprojects Conclusion 345
Compilation of References 364
About the Contributors 410
Index 416
Trang 16Theissueofevidenceisalsoonethatdominatescurrentpoliticaldiscourse,especiallyintermsoftheemergenceofsuchphrasesas“fakenews,”“alternativefacts”andthenotionofpost-truthpolicymaking.
xv
Trang 17I think the people in this country have had enough of experts from organisations with acronyms saying that they know what is best and getting it consistently wrong.
GovewasreferringtothoseexpertsandtheirassociatedgroupsthathadmadeforecastsaroundthelikelyperformanceoftheUKeconomypost-Brexit.Ofcourse,suchjudgmentsareshroudedbyuncertaintyasafunctionoftherangeofpossibleoutcomesassociatedwiththedecisiontoleavetheEUandtherolethatemergencecouldplayinshapingtheprocessesatwork.Ofcourse,thekeyissuehereiswhetherexperts,whenworkingwithintheirdomainofknowledge,arebettersuitedtomakingjudgementsaboutpotentialoutcomesthannon-experts(researchincludingsomepoliticians).TheironyinthisepisodeisthatGovewasoneofthosepoliticianswhostoodbytheinferencethatleavingtheEU
‘could’allowthegovernmenttoputanextra£350millionaweekintotheNationalHealthService–afigurethatincludedthemoneypaidintotheEUbutdidnottakeaccountofanymoniesthatreturnedtotheUK-afairlybasicaccountingerror!
Despitethiserror,Gove(2016)continuedwithhistiradeagainstexpertise:
The trouble with technocrats is because they believe they’re smart, expert indeed, they don’t do what all humans should—and all politicians must—acknowledge when they’ve made mistakes, learn from errors and adjust their assumptions Because to do so would be to challenge their conception of themselves
as bearers of superior insights who are not as susceptible to error as the rest of us (p 27)
comingfromthosepoliticianswhoperpetuatedthatmisleadingclaim.Govewaslatertoclaimthathiscommentsweretakenoutofcontextandthathisconcernwasnotwithexpertiseingeneralbutwithaparticularclassofexperts(Gove,2017).Whatthatmeansisnotclear,however,anditcouldbearguedthatthedamagetothestandingofexpertswasdoneasfaraselementsofsocietywereconcerned.Themovetochallengeempiricalevidencebytheuseofnormativeargumentshascontinuedandtheresulthasbeenashiftawayfromtheevidentialbasisofdecisionmakingtowardsamorenormativeperspec-tivewithinpublicdialogue.Thisprocesshasconsiderableimplicationsforthewaysinwhichriskisidentified,calculated,andmanagedandthedifficultiesassociatedwiththeprovisionofearlywarningsaboutthepotentialforfailure
Trang 18Thesecondsetofissuesraisedbythecontextoftheopeningquotehighlightsthechallengesaroundthespeedandscalethatsurroundssomepotentialhazardsandthemannerinwhichtheycanescalateintoacrisiswithinahighly-interconnectedworld(Fischbacher-Smith&Smith,2015).Thisisespeciallyproblematicwhereeventsinonepartoftheglobecanhaveconsequencesacrossspace,placeandtime.AnyconflictontheKoreanPeninsula,forexample,wouldhaveconsequencesbeyondthatgeographicallocation,irrespectiveoftheuseofnuclearweaponsinthatconflict.Theimportanceoftheregionasaneconomichubandthedestabilizingeffectthatanyconflictwouldhaveontheregionwouldhaveglobalimplications.Giventhetensionsintheregionandtheconcentrationofmilitaryresources,thetensionsalsopointtothepotentialspeedoftheshiftthatcouldtakeplacebetweenthevariousphasesofthecrisis,astheproblemsthathavebeengeneratedovertimebecomeexposedbyasetofperturbationsthatallowtheinherentvulnerabilitiesthatexistwithinthesystemtoactasaforcemultiplier(Smith,1990a,1995).Theprocessesofcrisisincubationhaveprovedtobeakeyfactorinthewaysthathazardouseventscandevelopandescalateintoacrisis(Reason,1997;Turner,1976,1978).Thesearealsoissuesthatspeaktothewiderchallengesfacingorganisationsaroundthepotentialforcrisisarisingoutoftheinsufficientmanagementofriskanduncertainty
Theinterplaybetweenleadership,organisationalcultures,andsystemsdesignsitatthecoreofthechallengesfacingriskandcrisismanagementtheoryandpracticeandthecalculativepracticesthatareusedtoquantifythehazardsthatariseasafunctionofnormalandabnormalactivities.Thecalculationofriskisespeciallyproblematicintheglobalisedenvironmentinwhichmanyorganisationsoperateandmanyofthechaptersinthisvolumespeaktothosechallengesanddosoinatimelymanner
Asidefromthegeo-politicalhazardsthatfaceorganisations,thedevastationcausedbynaturalhazardshasalsoprovedtobeachallengeforbothpublicandprivatesectororganisations.Asthisbookwenttopress,theHurricanesHarveyandIrmacauseddevastationacrosstheCaribbeanandintosouthernUSA.Thesegeo-physicaldisastersrequiredthedeploymentofimmediateandeffectivecrisismanagementplansinordertohelpmitigatethedamagecausedbythesehurricanes.Thisinterventionisanecessaryelementofthemanagementofdisastersandhighlightstheimportantrolethathumanagencyplansforbothsocio-technicalandgeo-physicalformsofhazard.Riskmanagementis,therefore,aglobalprocessthatisrequiredtodealwithboththepotentialscaleandtheinherentuncertaintythatispresentinex-tremeevents
Risk and Globalisation
Beyondthescaleandimmediacyofinternationalconflictsanddisasters,issuesaroundglobalriskmanagementhavealsoprovedtobesignificantchallengesinanincreasinglyinterconnectedglobalen-vironment(BrintonMilward&Raab,2006;Fischbacher-Smith&Smith,2015).Partofthechallengefacingorganisationsisthatmanyofthehazardsthattheyfaceareessentiallyindeterminateintermsoftherangeofcalculativepracticesthatarenormallyusedtomanagethoseproblems–putanotherway,thereisinsufficientapriorievidencetoallowforaformalcalculationofthevariousfailuremodesandeffectsassociatedwiththehazards.Whencombinedwiththechallengestoexpertjudgementthentheresultisthatanysuchanalysisofthe‘risks’doesnotalwaystakeaccountoftheprobabilitiesofthoseeventsandtheanalysisisshapedbymorenormative,ratherthanempirical,perspectives(Beck,1986,1992;Giddens,1990).Thisisespeciallyproblematicforextremeevents—thatislow-probability,high-
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Trang 19Thesecondissue,andonewhichisrelatedtotheissueoftheempiricalbasisforassessment,relatestothewaysinwhichtheworse-casescenariosrelatingtoextremeeventsisconsidered.Thereisoftenatendencyamongstmanagerstodenythepotentialoftheworse-casescenarioandthiscanoftenarisefromthetrustthatexistsinthevarioussourcesoftheinformationrelatingtothehazard,theeffectsoftheprevailingparadigminwhichthehazardisframed,andtheabilitiesoftheinterestedpartiestomoveawayfromtheirownviewsofthenatureoftheissue(Adamski&Westrum,2003;Weber&Stern,2011;Westrum,1993).Climatechangehasprovedtobeonesuchhazardwheretherehasbeenconsiderabledebatearoundthenatureoftherisk,theimportanceoftheevidenceintermsofaburdenofproof,andtheroleplayedbypowerfulinterestsintermsofshapingpolicy(McCright&Dunlap,2003;Schneider,2009;Smith,1990b)
tentialscaleoftheeventandthedifficultiesassociatedwithinterventioninahighlyinter-connectedproblem(Fischbacher-Smith&Smith,2015).Theglobalfinancialcrisisof2007-08providedbothaclearindicationoftheinterconnectednatureoffinancialinstitutions,thespeedatwhichfailurewithinasectorcanoccurandthedamagethatcouldtakeplaceacrosscountriesandorganisations,aswellasthelackofunderstandingandcontrolthatmanymanagershadabouttheirorganisations,products,andservices(Acharya&Richardson,2009;Crotty,2009;Jabłecki,2016).Thepotentialpointsoffailurewithinsuchaninterconnectedsystemhighlightedthelimitedscopeforinterventionacrossglobalsup-plychainsandmakesthemanagementofriskwithinthemasignificantchallenge(Fischbacher-Smith
Climatechangealsoillustratesathirdchallengerelatingtotheassessmentofrisk,namelythepo-&Smith,2015;Kleindorfer&Saad,2005;Manuj&Mentzer,2008).Thisinterconnectednatureofharmisnotonlyanissuefortheprivatesectorbutalsoonethatevenpublicmanagementhascometorecognize.Forexample,thepotentialforglobalpandemicsanddiseaseoutbreakscontinuestochallengetheresourcebaseofpublicmanagementorganisations,mostnotablyhealthcare,andsuchpublichealthproblemswillcontinuetobeanareathatwillchallengethecapabilitiesofpublicsectororganisationstomitigatetherisks
Finally,thereisalsotheissueoftoxicleadershipwithinorganisationsandtheactionsofmanagerscanplayamajorroleinthecreationoftheproblemsthattheirorganisationssubsequentlyhavetoface.Leadersandmanagerscanbecometheauthorsoftheirownmisfortune(Fischbacher-Smith,2016)as
Trang 20theyfailtorecognizetherolethatthereownactsofomissionandcommissioncanplayintheonsetoffailure.Inaddition,organisationsalsoneedtoconsidertheroleplayedbyinsidersingeneratingthreats,ofwhichleadersareasub-set,andthisisalsoachallengeforriskmanagementthatwillcontinuetochallengetheprocessesofriskmanagement(Fischbacher-Smith,2015a)
Thisvolumerepresentsanimportantsetofdiscussionsaboutthenatureofriskandthewaysthatuncertaintycanbemanagedwithinorganisations.Ithighlightsthechallengesthatwillcontinuetofaceboththepracticeofmanagementandthedevelopmentofthetoolsandtechniquesneededtomanageriskinahighlyinterconnectedenvironment.Perhapsneverbeforehastherebeenaneedtotakeaccountoftheviewsofexpertswhoresearchthekeyissuesthatfaceoursocieties.Inanageofalternativefactsandpost-truthpolitics,policymakersneedtoembracethechallengesandinsightspresentedbyauthorsinthisvolume.ToparaphrasetheHollywoodfilmindustry,thedayaftertomorrowmayprovetobetoolate
Allison,G.T.(1969).ConceptualmodelsandtheCubanmissilecrisis.The American Political Science
Beck,U.(1992).Risk society: Towards a new modernity(M.Ritter,Trans.).London:SAGE.
Boisot,M.H.(1995).Information space: A framework for learning in organizations, institutions and
Trang 22Nicols,T.(2017).The death of expertise.NewYork,NY:OxfordUniversityPress.
Otto,S.(2016).The war on science.Minneapolis,MN:MilkweedEditions.
Pauchant,T.C.,&Mitroff,I.I.(1992).Transforming the crisis-prone organization: Preventing individual
organizational and environmental tragedies Jossey-BassPublishers.
Reason,J.T.(1997).Managing the risks of organizational accidents.Aldershot,UK:Ashgate.
Trang 23Zio,E.,&Aven,T.(2013).Industrialdisasters:Extremeevents,extremelyrare.Somereflectionsonthe
treatmentofuncertaintiesintheassessmentoftheassociatedrisks.Process Safety and Environmental
Protection,91(1),31–45.doi:10.1016/j.psep.2012.01.004
Trang 24Anotheritemwhichisrarelydiscussedineditedbooksbutitmaybeofkeeninteresttoreadersisthatwesharehowwedesignedthecontentbyapplyingastrategicmanagementmethodology.Thatisthemethodweusedtodeveloptheproposal,thethemes,call-for-chaptersandwealsousedtheoutcomestoinformthelogicalsequencing.Weclosebysuccinctlysummarizingeachchapter,groupedbytheme
Rationale and Goals of the Book
Publicandnot-for-profitorganizationsaroundtheworldfacearangeofrisksincludingtradecommercefluctuations,regulatorycompliance,operationaluncertainty,reputationloss,datasecuritybreachesandterrorism(Nedaei,Rasid,Sofian,Basiruddin,&Kalkhouran,2015,USADHS,2016&Losha,Strang&Vajjhala,2017).Weshowinthiseditedbookthatthewaythatpractitionersviewriskandcontingencyplanninghaschangedovertheyearsfromamath-groundedstatisticalbasistowardsacontemporaryem-phasisonaholisticapproachthatencompassesnumerousmacroaswellasmicroenvironmentalfactors.Forexample,decadesagoriskmanagerspurchasedinsurancetocovermathematicallyprojectedlossesandthebiggestenvironmentalfactorwasavoidingthe50-yearfloodzone.Nowriskplannershavetoinsureanddevelopcontingencyplansforclimatewarmingimpacts,internationalcurrencyfluctuations,changing(orBrexiting)tradeagreements,terrorism,databreachesandransomattacksfromtheInternet.Thesehaveallhappenedduring2016-2017
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Trang 25maticcollectionofchaptersseekingtolinktheoreticalmodelswithpracticalstudiesofbusinessesornon-profits.Thethemesandchaptersinthisbookaddressriskfromaholisticviewpointandadoptanevidence-basedapproachtoinvestigateimportantriskandcontingencymanagementissues
Thisbookaddressesthegapintheriskandcontingencymanagementliteraturebyprovidingathe-Thepurposeofthispeer-reviewededitedbookistofocusoncurrentandfuturerisk-contingencymanagementissues,practicesandmodels.Themaingoalsofthiseditedbookinclude:
• Toprovideanall-encompassingholisticdiscussionofriskmanagementandperception
• Givereadersinnovationsonempiricalrisk-contingencymanagementresearchandcasestudies
• Strengthenthecurrentriskandcontingencymanagementbodyofknowledge(closegaps)
• ExpandtheunderstandingofriskmanagementfromvarioussocialandculturalperspectivesOurtargetaudiencewasprimarilyriskorcontingencymanagementpractitioners.Weanticipatedscholars,researchers,policymakers,anddecisionmakersinvolvedinuncertaintyanalysis,riskmanage-ment/mitigationandcontingencyplanningwouldbeinterestedinthisbook
Applying Strategic Management to Design the Book
Thissectioncontainsatechnicaldiscussionofhowweappliedastrategicmanagementmethodologytodesignthisbook.Wefeltitwasworthsharingthatknowledgewithresearchersandpractitioners.Weapproachedthisendeavorasaresearchprojectfromapost-positivistideology(Strang,2015),usingtheaforementionedgoalsofdiscoveringinnovativerisk-contingencymanagementpracticesastheunitofanalysis.Thismeansthatwedidnotjustacceptwhatwasavailabletopublish,butrather,wesearchedforneworrevisedempiricalmaterialthatwouldaddressourmandatetoclosethegapinrisk-contingencymanagementliterature
WeuseabusinessplanningmethodologycalledSWOT-TOWSwhichisconsideredanessentialprocedureforhighperformingorganizationsanditisalsousedaroundtheworldforinternationalcapac-itybuilding(Strang,2017).TheSWOT-TOWSacronymmeansStrengths-Weaknesses-Opportunities-Threatsfollowedbyareverseofthesamefactorstoformulateastrategicgrowthorcontingencyplan.
Thisprocedureisconsideredadefactomethodologyusedinbusinesspracticeforanewservice/product
design(Strang&Chan,2010).Thus,wefeltitwasidealfordevelopingourbook.Earlyintheplanningprocess,Strangledusthroughthismethodology
Weappliedthemethodologythroughnumerousemailconversationsbetweenthethreeeditors,Dr.MaxKorstanje(fromArgentina),Dr.RaoVajjhala(fromNigeriaandlatertravelingthroughAlbaniaandIndia),andStrang(basedintheUSA).Theinitialmotivationforthisbookcamefromthethreeeditorsworkingonagrantproposalinthespringof2017.Weusedprojectmanagementtechniquestofasttrack
Trang 26togetherusingfluentcommunicationsandtheresponsibilitiesflowedintuitivelybetweenthem.Itwasanaccomplishmenttocompletethisentireprojectinlessthansixmonths(lateApril-earlySeptember).SWOT Analysis
ThefollowingisanenumeratedsummaryofourSWOT(beforetheTOWSprocedure)whichisdiscussed
below.Inthelistbelow,IJRCMreferstotheInternational Journal of Risk and Contingency Management.
Strengths
1. AccesstoarticlesonIGIGlobaleEditorialDiscovery®agementauthors
toidentifyleadingrisk-contingencyman-2. AccesstoIJRCMTableofContents(TOC)andEditorialPrefacestosearchforthemeideas3. AccesstoIJRCMauthorswithexperienceusingtheeEditorialDiscovery®system
4. Effortrequiredvs.wecouldspendtimeonotherprojects(e.g.,grants,articles,otherbooks)5. Noguaranteethatscholarsorpractitionerswillbuybook(sharedroyaltyisnotamotivatingfactorthoughbecauserecognitionandknowledgesharingaremoreimportantgoals)
Opportunities
1. Focusonsummaryofacademicstateoftheartinrisk-contingencymanagement
2. Focusonextension/applicationofrisk-contingencymanagementtoindustrypractice
3. Focusonextension/applicationofrisk-contingencymanagementtoorganizationallearning4. Focusonextension/applicationofrisk-contingencymanagementtocollegeteaching
5. Focusonextension/applicationofrisk-contingencymanagementtostrategy&decisionmaking6. Promote/citeourrelevantresearchoutsideofscholarlyjournals(usingeditedbooks)
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Trang 271. Externalcompetitivebooks(whichwedevelopedusingClarviateandEndNoteanalysis)
2. Internal(IGIGlobal)competitivebooks(Risk&DecisionMaking,CyberTerrorism,etc.)3. EvaluateIGIGlobalreputationvs.otherpublishers(OxfordPublishers,Springer-Palgrave,Nova,etc.)*
First,wecametoanagreementinprinciplethatwewishedtocollaborateonaneditedpeer-reviewedbookthatwasfocusedoncurrentandfuturerisk-contingencymanagementissues.Wewantedtoattracthighqualitycontentthatwasrelevanttotheriskandcontingencymanagementfieldofpractice,atalllevelsofanalysis:Individualresearcher,projectteam,organizational,andcountryorindustry.Wealsounanimouslyconcurredthattoachieveahigh-qualityoutcomethatweneededtohaveapeerreviewedbook.WeintendedtohaveStrangactascoordinatorofthepeerreviewsallowingbothothereditorsKorstanjeandVajjhalatoperformdouble-blindedpeerreviewsalongwithafinalaccept-rejectdecisiononeverychapter(excepttheirown–shouldaneditorsubmitachapter)
Strangconductedabriefliteratureanalysissoastoestablishalistofcompetitivebooksonriskandcontingencymanagementrelatedtopics(perthreats1-2above).Toaddressthethirdthreat,KorstanjeconductedextensiveresearchwithbookindexesanddeterminedthatIGIGlobalhadanexcellentreputa-tion–inthetop20to50publishersaccordingtowhicheverindexonewasexamining(Robinson-García,Jiménez-Contreras,Fuente-Gutiérrez&Torres-Salinas,2014;Tausch,2011)
tablepublisher,weanticipatedmanyauthorswhomhadpublishedinIJRCMwouldserveastheinitialknowledgebaseofscholars.ThisgaveustheadvantagethatscholarswhohadpublishedinIJRCMwouldhavehadexperiencewithallaspectsrequiredforthebook,including:Scholarlyresearchstudies,APAstyleguides,IGIGlobaleEditorialDiscovery®manuscriptworkflowsystem,andwiththeeditors.StrangwastheeditorinchiefforIJRCMandKorstanjealongwithVajjhalaweretheassociateeditorsofIJRCMsotheeditorshaveexperiencewiththetopics,andthecontributorstoIJRCMhadexperiencewiththeseeditors
SinceIJRCMwasascholarlyjournalwithahealthyassortmentofindexesandprintedbyarepu-Furthermore,wewereconfidentthattheexistingcontributingauthorsofIJRCMwouldhaveatleastsomerelevantmaterialalreadypublishedtouseasafoundationwithwhichtobuildonandenhancetomakeastrongcontributiontothebook.Weconductedabriefproduct/serviceresourceanalysis.SinceweexpectedtosourcethechaptersfromexistingIJRCMcontributingauthors,andsincewealreadyhadthelastvolume6number4for2017completed(intype-settingstage),weestimatedthenumberofpotentialeligiblecontributingauthorswithinthe6volumesand4issuespervolume.Ofcourse,noteverycontributingIJRCMauthorwouldbeinapositiontowriteanewchapterforabookduetomanyreasonssobasedoneditorialexperienceweuseda50%likelihoodprobability.Therefore,theexpectednumberofeligiblebookchapterauthorswasestimatedtobe:6vol*4issues*4meanarticles*50%likelyresponse=48expectedvalueestimatedofpotentialnumberofchapters
SincewehadidentifiedIGIGlobalasthemostdesiredpublisher,wepitchedourproposaltothem.Onceourproposalwasacceptedbythepublisher,wehadallagreedonabooksizeof135,000-180,000wordswhichequatestoapproximately13chapters(135000/10000wordsonaverageperchapter).Weanticipatedinvitingawell-knowninternationalfigureheadtowritetheforewordandtheeditorswouldwritetheintroductoryprefaceaswellastheconcludingchapter.Therefore,wewereconfidentthatwe
Trang 28otherbookprojects.Weestimatedthistobe:1yearfromcall-for-proposalstoIGIGlobalcopyediting+6months=1.5yearstomarket.SincewestartedtheprojectinApril2017(withtheproposal),weestimatedthatthebookwouldhitthemarketbyOctober2018
TOWS Analysis
tionexercise.Thisisnotoftenusedinbusinessbutitisavaluablemethodologytomoredeeplyanalyzethecriticalsuccessfactorsforacapacitybuildingorinanewproduct/serviceproject(Strang,2017).TOWSisastrategicmethodologytoidentifymostlikelysynergisticcombinationsoftheSWOTele-mentsbyleveragingstrengthstoovercomethreatsandtakeadvantageofopportunitieswhileeliminatingweaknesses.Generally,thepurposeoftheTOWSmethodologyistoreducethethreatsandweaknesseswhilecapitalizingonopportunitiesusingstrengths.Whengoalimportanceweightsareadded,alongwithcompetitivealternativeactionratings,theoutcomeisaweightedscoringmatrixofprioritizedgoalsforcapacitybuildingorastrategyforanewproduct/servicedesign.Inthisway,anorganizationcanprioritizewhattodowhileensuringthatexistingresourcesareusedandthatthemostlikelyopportuni-tiesaretargetedwhileminimizingthreatsandaccountingforknownweaknesses
WethenconductedaThreats-Opportunities-Weaknesses-Strengths(TOWS)competitivefactorintegra-AnediteddiagramoftheSWOT-TOWSstrategicanalysismatrixisshowninFigure1.WeaddedathirddimensiontothetwoaxesofthemodeltoincorporateallthreestrategicthemeswhichemergedfromourSTOW-TOWSanalysis.ThemostimportantTOWScomponentsarediscussedbelowwiththeproposedbooktheme/titleidentifiedbybubbles(andlinkedtotheanalysiswithreferencenumbers-letters).1. UniversityTeachingandOrganizationalLearningusingContingencyorRiskManagementResearch2. IntegratingContingencyorRiskManagementResearchintoOrganizationalStrategyorPractices3. Othervariationsofthematictitlecouldbe,
a. FromScholarlyRiskManagementtoOrganizationalStrategy
Figure 1 Strategic positioning of proposed book content by theoretical dimension
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Trang 29b. FutureResearchinGlobalRiskandContingencyManagement:WhatisKnownandNeededc. GlobalRiskandContingencyManagement:Research,PracticesandInnovations
“Research,PracticesandInnovationsinGlobalRiskandContingencyManagement”
8. Usingthistitle,StrangdevelopedthestrategicanalysisdiagramtomodeltheSWOT-TOWS,a. Theoreticaldimension1:applyingintoteachingvs.applyingforindustrylearning
b. Theoreticaldimension2:integratingintopracticevs.asanorganizationstrategy
c. Theoreticaldimension3:interdisciplinarycasesvs.cross-disciplinaryconcepts
Quality Selection Criteria
Strang,KorstanjeandVajjhaladevelopedthechapterqualityselectioncriteriausingtheirexperienceandtemplatesinusewithIJRCM.Withthisinmindtheeditorsfirmlyestablishedacriterionthateverychaptermustbeuniquefromanypreviouslypublishedliteratureandmorethan20%-40%enhancedfrompreviouspublishedarticlespublished.Itshouldbenotedthatauthorswerepermittedtoextensivelyaug-mentthebestoftheirpreviousworkthatwaspublishedinpeer-reviewedjournalsaslongastheysoughtappropriatepermissionsforanymaterialorimagethatwasdirectlytakenfromelsewhere.Additionally,werequiredthatauthorsshouldhaveatleast10-20referenceswith2-5datedwithinthelasttwo(2)yearstoensurethebookwouldhavecontemporarymoderncontent.Theeditorsfinalizedtheselectioncriteriaaslistedbelow.WedevelopedaneightitemLikertratingscalealongwithseveralqualitativefactorstouseasselectioncriteriaandinpeerreviews
Edited Book Selection and Peer Review Criteria
Trang 30◦ Doesthechapterprovidesufficientbackgroundinformationandliteraturereviewregardingitstopic.Includeinyourassessmentthoughtsandrecommendationsastohowtheauthor(s)canaugmentthisareaofthemanuscript
• Listanddescribeindetailanytopic(s)orinformationrelatedtothediscussioninthechapterwhichappearstobemissing.Pleaseprovidesuggestionsastowhattopic(s)orinformationtheauthor(s)canaddtoensurethatthescopeofthechapter’scontentsiscomplete
• Pleasesupplyadetaileddiscussionastowhetherornottheinformationinthischapterclearlyillustratestheissues,problems,andtrendsrelatedtothethemeofthisproposedbook.Pleaseofferyourconstructiveandanalyticalassessmentandlistsuggestionsforimprovementand/orenhancement
• Pleaseprovideyouropinionastowhetherornottheissues,problems,andtrendsdescribedinthischapteraregivenappropriateemphasis.Supplyspecificrecommendationsastohowtheauthor(s)canimproveinthisarea.Adequateemphasiswasprovidedtoaddresstheissuesandproblemsdescribedinthischapter
• Giveanexplanationofanyseriousover-emphasisorunder-emphasisofanyissues/problemsinthechapter.Pleaseprovidecriticalandconstructiveassessmentbyofferingsuggestionsastohowthechaptercanbeimprovedandenhancedinthisarea
• Inyouropinion,whataretheweaknessesofthischapter?Pleasedescribehowthesespecificweaknessescontributetotheineffectiveaspectsofthischapter.Weaskthatyoucarefullylistspe-cificsuggestionsforimprovementand/orenhancement
• Inyouropinion,whatarethestrengthsofthischapter?Pleasedescribehowthesespecificstrengthscontributetothevalueandqualityaspectsofthischapterandhowsaidstrengthscanbeutilizedtomaketheweakareasofthechaptermoreeffective
• Pleasedescribewhetherornotthischapterisproperlydirectedtotheproposedtargetaudienceofthebooktowhichitwassubmitted
• Pleasedescribeyourthoughtsontheeffectivenessoftheorganizationofthechapter.Howcanthe
“flow”ofthischapterbeimproved?Pleasebespecific.(mustbeatleast7,000wordsbutnolongerthan12,000words)
• Pleaseprovideyouropinionastowhetherornotthereferencesusedinthischapteraresufficient,appropriate,andup-to-date.Ifnot,pleasesuggesttherelevantreferencesyoufeelarenecessaryfortheauthor(s)toinclude;(atleast10-20referenceswith2-5datedwithin2015-2017)
WethenlaunchedoureditedbookprojectinearlyMay2017.Korstanjedevelopedthecall-for-chapters(CFC)withsomehelpfromStrang.TheCFCwasreleasedontheInternet
StrangusedtheIGIGlobaleEditoralDiscovery®state-of-the-artmanuscriptworkflowmanagementsystemtodevelopalonglistofpotentialauthorswhomhadalreadypublishedgoodqualityarticlesinriskandcontingencymanagementtopics.Weconcentratedonauthorswhomhadpublishedgoodquality
articlesintheInternational Journal of Risk and Contingency Managementbutwealsolookedbeyond
forpotentialrelevantscholars
StrangrequestedadatabaseexportoftheeligibleauthorsandIGIGlobalstaffprovidedthis.Strangthendevelopedanemail-mergeinvitationletterandsentthistoapproximately170eligibleauthorsduringthefirstweekofMay2017.ThetargetdateforchapterswassetatJuly30,2017.Allchaptersneededtobeatleast7,000words(nomorethan12,000)andmeettheotherrigorouscriteriaspecifiedinthe
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Trang 31CFC.TheoriginaltargetdateforcompletingthebookandhandingofftoIGIGlobalwasNovember15,2017.Theeditorswereconfidentthattheywouldachievethattargetdatebycarefullymanagingitasaproject.Welaterusedthissamelistof170qualifiedscholarsasasourcetoinvitepeerreviewers.Editorial Review Board
torialReviewBoardofDirectors(ERBD)usingthelistdiscussedaboveaswellastheirscholarlynet-works.FinalmembershipintheERBDwascontingentoneachscholaractivelyparticipatinginthebookdevelopmentcontentaswellasdouble-blindreviewingatleastthree(3)chaptersincludingprovidingauthorswithrelevantconstructivefeedback.ThefollowingERBDmembersfulfilledtheirrequirementsandthustheyareformallyrecognizedastheBoardofDirectorsfortheeditedbook.Wethankthemfortheirprofessionalcommunityofpracticevolunteerservice
Inparalleltotheabove,StrangandKorstanjeinvitedrelevantscholarstobecomemembersoftheEdi-EditorialReviewBoardofDirectors(alphabeticalbysurname):HasnanBaber,DennisBialaszewski,KaushikChakraborty,GeraldChaudron,KunalGanguly,PattiGibbons,MaximilianoKorstanje,VickiLane,BruceMcLaughlin,RoyNersesian,AndreasØkland,NilsO.E.Olsson,MadhuKishoreRaghunath,ColinRead,DenisFischbacher-Smith,KennethStrang,NarasimhaVajjhala,andMichaelZiolkowski.Wealsoacceptedvolunteerstoreviewchaptersonanad-hocbasis.Notallofthevolunteerscompletedtheirreviewsontimesowewerenotabletousethoseresults.However,allchaptersreceivedatleastthree(3)doubleblindpeerreviews.Thefollowingscholarswereinvitedtoperiodicallyreviewpaperssowesincerelywanttothankthosewhomwereabletoprovideauthorswithtimelyconstructivefeedback.Invitedad-hocreviewers(randomorder):VittalAnantatmula,JoeMcManus,MadhuKishoreRaghunath,TulasiDevi,MaryBethLock,ChandraSekharPatro,YangFan,MadhavanParthasarathy,KunalGanguly,JanTerjeKarlsen,PhyllisMo,AbhijeetKumar,AnuKumar,RebeccaHamilton,RichardAmponsah,RobertBrooks,TizianaGuzzo,FernandoFerri,PatriziaGrifoni,KatjaFirus,AbrahamSilvers,PadmaPradhan,AdenikeMoradeyo,AlisaMosley,AndreaTillman-Hawkins,PrabirBandyopdhyay,HafidaMoussaoui,HamedFazlollahtabar,JamesSmith,MahdiSheykhlar,ManojKumar,AnthonyPratkanis,DineshKumar,EshetieBerhan,ErmiasTesfaye,GordonKanyoke,PravalShukla,DalyBasil,ZhaohaoSun,MarleneTurner,YuriRaydugin,HadisZeydabadi,andRubenJunSunXing
Strangcoordinatedtheworkofreceivingthesubmittedchapters,cleaningthem,allocatingthemfordouble-blindpeerreviews,andmanagingtheprocess
Double Blind Peer Review
Thedouble-blindpeerreviewsenhancedthequalityofthisbook.AllERBDandinvitedad-hocpeerreviewerswererequestedtoreviewachapter.Strangensuredthateverychapterreceivedatleastthree(3)doubleblindpeerreviewswithconstructivefeedback,andinfactmostauthorsreceivedfour(4)ormore.Reviewersusedthe“EditedBookSelectionandPeerReviewCriteria”explainedearlier.Thefirstintroductoryprefacechapter(writtenbytheeditors)wasnotpeerreviewedbutnotdoubleblinded(allEBRDwereinvitedtoreviewitandeveryoneknewitwastheopeningchaptersaswellastheauthors).Nonetheless,someusefulconstructivefeedbackwasprovidedforimprovingtheprefaceaswell.Additionally,allauthorswererequiredtospecificallyexplainhowtheyaddressedthepeerreviewconstructivecommentswhentheysubmittedtheirrevision.Chapterswerenotacceptedunlessauthors
Trang 32andsomechapterswererejectedduetonotmeetingtheselectioncriteriaorbecausetheauthor(s)didnotrespondtothepeerreviewconstructivefeedback.Wewantedtosharesomeofthepeerreviewstoillustratetherigorandqualityoftheprocess(withpermission)aselaborateduponbelow
Whileallpeerreviewersworkedhard,especiallythosewhomadeittotheERBD,wewanttorecognizethebestofthebestso-to-speak,forthiseditedbook.EditorRaoVajjhalapeerreviewedeverychapterotherthanhisown,andheco-wroteboththisprefaceandthefinalchapter.Hisconstructivecommentswereverydetailedinallofhispeerreviews.Itwasnotonlythecontentofhisconstructivecriticismthatcaughtmyattentionbutratherthecourteousyethelpfulandinsightfulmannerinwhichhepresentedhissuggestions.Toillustratethisbelowisanexample(withpermission)fromoneofhisreviews.ImaginetheamountofworkbotheditorsKorstanjeandVajjhalaaccomplishedreading23submissionsandtakingthetimetofilloutapeerreviewformthatitselfspannedseveralpagesonthecomputerscreen
Thischaptercanbeturnedintoaninterestingsetofworkbutthiswouldrequireacompleterewriteofthechapterthroughaproperlystructuredformat
• Weakintroductionandbackgroundinformation
• Inadequateliteraturereview,especiallylackofreferencestocurrentliterature(lastfiveyears)
• Theresearchquestionsarenotframedclearly,authorsneedtoindicatewhatthecentralresearchquestionis?
• Linktoriskisalsomissing
• Thediscussionoftheresultsneedstobeclearlydoneapartfromidentificationofresearchdesignandmethodandthereasonforselectingthisoption
• Conclusionandidentificationofpossiblethemesforfutureresearch
• Referencesandcitationsarenotintheproperformat,theauthorsneedtocompletelyrewritethereferenceentriesintheformatallowedinthebook
Theeditorsofthebookdidnotreceiveanyspecialtreatmentwhenitcametotherigorousdouble-blindpeerreviews.However,thisdidnotimpacttheprocess.Forexample,hereisanexampleconstructive
commentfromoneofthefour(4)peerreviewersofEmergent Issues in the World War against Global
Terrorism:
• Whatarethestrengthsofthischapter?Isthischapterisproperlydirectedtotheproposedtargetaudienceofthebooktowhichitwassubmitted.Howcanthe“flow”ofthischapterbeimproved?
• Won’tfuturereadersthinkofthisasaAustralianandUSAcentricpaper?Page2:It’s[the]USA
• Page2:Ithinkyoumean“developed”country…
• Page12Iwouldchangethistotheislandlocatedoffofthesouth-eastcoastofIndiaSriLanka(theislandlocatedatthebottomofIndia)
• derlingthischapterbasedontheworkofStrangandAlamieyeseigha(2015)wascredibleinthatdatacontainedover125,087terroristacts–acensusnotasample.”
Page15:Editthepunctuationattheendofthissentence?“Firstofall,theretrospectivedataun-• Conclusionspage15:Aretheauthorssayingtheseare“probabilities”or“proportions”becausetheylooklikeproportions…
Next,wewantedtohighlightandformallyrecognizethebestofthebestfromtheERBDpeerreviewers(excludingtheeditors).Thiswasadifficultdecision.ColinReadcameacrossasatactfulyetthorough
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Trang 33Finally,wewanttoillustratethehardandsincereworkoftheauthorswhocontributedtothisbook.BelowisanexamplefromauthorsandERBDmembersAndreasØklandandNilsOlsson.BelowisanexamplefromauthorandERBDmemberVickiLaneshowinghowsheaddressedthepeerreview
Blinded Reviewer: Underemphasis of practical application of the proposed approach Please clarify
research questions Practical application can be discussed.
Dr Lane: This is discussed on the following pages: p 19, “Yet, by itself, it does not impart details about
why it triumphed or failed with consumers.” p 20, “Still, as a measure of discounted future cash flow, it is what investors expect will happen Not, what actually happens This bothers some mar- keters, perhaps causing a disconnect to its acceptance.” p 20, “As for measurement issues, ER has both pros and cons A challenge in using ER is purging noise from other concurrent events … Most marketers have little experience with stock data and some do not understand it Indeed, of CMO’s surveyed, 55% indicate their staff does not understand other financial metrics (Jefferey, p 105) While many in finance see stock return as the actual measure of owners wealth, marketers may not While finance managers are schooled in maximizing the wealth of the firm, marketers are taught to satisfy consumers Research shows these are linked, but how so is not obvious to everyone
As this paper shows, there are many steps in understanding how strategy impacts consumers, how consumers affect long term returns for the firm, how investors form expectations about returns, how stock price reflects these expectations, and how ER measures changes in financial value Given their orientation, finance people see what happens to stock return as paramount, important in and
of itself as a metric of success On the other side, marketers may see stock return as far removed from consumers Even if understood as a measure of a strategy’s future success, some might see
it simply as a prediction.
Thenextsectionsuccinctlyoutlinestheremainingcontentofthebook
Summary of Book Themes and Chapters
Thefirstthemeofthebookfocusesonthetraditionalandemergingprobabilistic,quantitativeapproachestoexamineuncertaintytheories,concepts,models,andapplications.Thetopicscoveredinthebookunderthisthemeincludeinnovationsforquantifyingandmanagingenterpriselevelrisksinthetextileandapparelindustry.Weincludedempiricalstudiesexaminingstockmarketperformanceriskandcriti-calsuccessfactorsinthebankingindustry.Weaddedaninterestingquantitativeempiricalstudyaboutuncertaintybehaviorinexecutivedecisionmakingfollowedbyaninnovativequantitativemodelforbalancinguncertaintyinsolarelectricitygenerationplants
Trang 34Thesecondthemeprovidedacross-sectionalreviewofvarioustheories,conceptsandframeworksthatcouldbeusefulforextendingthequantitativetopicsofthefirsttheme.Thesechaptersstartwithahistoricaldiscussionaboutuncertainty,followedbyasocio-culturalframeworkforcontemporaryriskmanagement.Thenextchapterinsomewaysintegratesconceptsofthefirsttwointoanewholisticapproachforriskassessment.Thechapterprovidesideasabouthowtomanagequalityinthecontextofprojectrisk.Thefinalchapterdiscussesthephilosophicalbasisforterrorismanditpresentssomeinsightfulpointsaboutthefutureofriskmanagementintheeraofglobalterrorism
eredunderthisthemeincludeengineeringriskanalysis,knowledgemanagementcontingencyplanning,andriskmitigationinprojectmanagement.Thefirstchapterbuildsandsharesauniquemodelusingacombinedqualitativeandquantitativebasis.Thenexttwochapterslookatdifferentperspectivesofcon-tingencyplanningfornaturalorman-madedisasterswhilethefinalchapterdiscusseshowcontingencyplanningcanbeundertakeninthecross-disciplinaryprojectmanagementpractice.Interestinglyweseethatallofthesecouldworktogetherinprojectmanagement
Thethirdthemeofthebookreviewsbestpracticesinstrategiccontingencyplanning.Thetopicscov-Thefourththemeisamixedmethodcompilationofspecialpurposeindustryapplicationstudiesofriskandcontingencyplanning.Thefirstchapterexaminesriskplanningintheinformationtechnologysecuritydisciplinewithinthesupplychainindustry.Thisisfollowedbyachapterthatdevelopsauniquestructuralequationmodelofriskfactorsforasupplychaincasestudy.Thenextchapterexaminestheimpactandprobabilityofglobalterrorismattacksusingabigdataanalyticsquantitativeapproach.Thefinalchapteragaingoesbacktoacross-disciplinaryapproach,usingprojectmanagement,toreduceriskinlargepublicprojectsbycontrollingscope
WeusedtheoutcomeoftheSWOT-TOWStodividethechaptersintotheselogicalthemes:
1. QuantitativeApproachestoRiskandUncertaintyModels
a. StrategicandTacticalMeasuresinManagingEnterpriseRisksintheTextileApparelIndustryb. AComparisonofExcessStockMarketReturntoStandardMarketingMetrics
c. AnalyzingRiskManagementandNon-PerformingAssetsinBanks
d. HowSocialCultureImpactsYoungExecutiveDecisionMakinginaContextofUncertaintye. RiskInherentinMatchingUncertaintyWithUnreliability
2. Qualitative,Historical,andPhilosophicalRiskPerspectives
a. AstronomicalRootsofRiskManagementMeasures
b. Socio-PoliticalRisk-Contingency-ManagementFrameworkforPractitionersandResearchersc. ImpactofRiskAssessmentModelsonRiskFactors:AHolisticOutlook
Trang 35c. EmergentIssuesintheWorldWarAgainstGlobalTerrorism
d. PracticalUseandEffectsofScopeReductionsintheFormofReductionLists:AToolforCostControlofLargePublicProjects
Quantitative Approaches to Risk and Uncertainty Models
Inthefirstchapter,“StrategicandTacticalMeasuresinManagingEnterpriseRisksintheTextileApparelIndustry”,theauthorsconductaqualitativeempiricalresearchstudytoexaminesixHongKong-basedcompaniesalongthetextile-apparelpipelinewithmajorproductionoperationsinmainlandChina.Thefindingsofthisstudydemonstratethatcompanieswhichhavesurvivedcriticalchallengesoverthepastdecadehavebeenabletosurvivebecausetheyhavepracticedriskmanagementatenterpriselevel.Theauthorsemphasizethatriskmanagementisanintegralaspectofoperationalresponsibilitiesandbusinessdecisionsinstrategicplanningandimplementation
Investorsarealwaysinterestedinadviceabouthowtomanagealternativeriskstrategiesinthestockmarket.Sointhenextchapter,“AComparisonofExcessStockMarketReturntoStandardMarketingMetrics”,theauthorsdescribetheprocessandimportanceofmeasuringthefinancialvalueofmarketingstrategywithexcessstockmarketreturn.Theauthorsprovideanoverviewoftheeventstudymethod,whichisatechniqueexaminingtheexcessreturntothestockpriceofthefirmafterrealizingtheinfor-mationrelevanttothefinancialsuccessofthefirm.Inthischapter,theauthorsillustratehowexcessreturnisusefulasametricforjudgingthesuccessofmarketingstrategy
agementandNon-PerformingAssetsinBanks”.Theauthorexplorestheriskmanagementstrategiesinthecontextofnon-performingassetsinthebanks.Theauthorinvestigateshowvariouscredit,market,andoperationalrisksassociatedwiththebankingsectorimpactperformance.ThischapteralsoincludesanevaluationoftheriskmanagementpracticesinoneofthelargestprivatesectorbanksinIndia.Theauthoralsoanalyzestheroleofthesupervisioninstrengtheningtheriskmanagementpracticesofthebank.Finally,theauthoranalyzesthetrendsinthenon-performingassetsofthebankcasestudy.Wetakeaslightlydifferentdirectioninthechapter,“HowSocialCultureImpactsYoungExecutiveDecisionMakinginaContextofUncertainty”,wheretheauthorsexplorethevarioussocialsciencetheoriesfromaquantitativeperspectivethatexplainhowemergingyoungexecutivesrespondtoriskinsituationsofuncertainty.Theauthorsconductaliteraturereviewandfollowitupwithacriticalanalysisofsocio-culturaldecision-makingliterature.Inthischapter,theauthorsperformacontrolledexperimentusingasampleofsenioruniversitystudentstorepresentyoungexecutives.Theauthorsillustratetheculturalaspectsthatimpactdecisionmakinginthecontextofuncertainty
Inthechapter,wecontinuetheanalysisofriskinthefinancialindustrywith“AnalyzingRiskMan-Inthelastchapterofthissectionweturntoadifferentinteresttopic,“RiskInherentinMatchingUncertaintyWithUnreliability”wheretheauthorpresentstwotypesofrisks.Thefirstsetofrisksdealswithsurplusesandshortagesresultingfromtheintroductionofhigherlevelsofelectricityfromrenew-ablefuelsmainlysolarandwind.Thesecondcategoryofriskisfromtheconventionalutilitymodelforfossilfuelandnuclearinvestmentdecisionmakingthreatenedbytheintrusionofsignificantcontributionsofrenewableenergytosatisfyingelectricitydemand.Theauthordemonstratesinthischapterthatthesystemperformancecanbeimprovedbytransformingbaseloadgenerationtovariableloadgeneration
Trang 36Qualitative, Historical, and Philosophical Risk Perspectives
Inthefirstchapterofthistheme,“AstronomicalRootsofRiskManagementMeasures”,westartwithgroundtruththeories,historicalconcepts,andequationsunderlyinguncertainty.Inthischapter,theauthordescribesthestudyofriskindecisionmaking,includingtheevolutionofriskandtheimprove-mentsineconomictheoryandappliedmathematicaltechniques.Thischapteralsocovershowmeasuresofriskareincorporatedintosophisticatedmodelsoffinance.ThechapterbeginswiththedescriptionofthefirstanalyticmodelofriskdevelopedbythetwoBernoullicousinsintheirunderstandingofthegameofchance.Thechapterthencontinueswiththedescriptionofhowtheappliedmathematiciansofthenineteenthcenturymeasuredandincorporatedriskintomathematics.Theauthorthenproceedstodiscusstherisk-returntradeoffaswellasMarkowitz’sModernPortfolioTheory.Thischapterhighlightsthedifferencebetweenriskanduncertaintyusingahistoricalcontextualapplication.Inthischapter,theauthordescribestheworkofpioneersofthemean-variancetool,includingDanielBernoulli,LouisBachelier,JacobMarschak,CarlFriedrichGauss,HarryMarkowitz,WilliamSharpe,PaulSamuelson,FischerBlack,andMyronScholes.Thischapterincludesseveralcontributionsthathelpedunderstandthescienceofriskmanagement
Inthesecondchapter,aninterestingqualitativeriskholisticframeworkisdevelopedwhichintegratessomeoftheprinciplesandconceptsexplainedearliertoguidefutureresearch.In“Socio-PoliticalRisk-Contingency-ManagementFrameworkforPractitionersandResearchers”,theauthorhasdevelopedanewriskandcontingencymodeltoarticulatetheemergingglobalparadigmfactorsthatwerenotpreva-lentinthecommunityofpracticeinthelastfewyears.Inthischapter,fournewcategoriesofglobaluncertaintythatimpactriskandcontingencyplanninginthemicroenvironment,taskenvironment,andinternaltoorganizationsaredescribed.Thischapteralsoincludesavisualmodelencompassingsomeoftheemergingfactorsincludingthebigdataparadigm,fearofglobalterrorism,economicinstability,climatechange,internationaltradeagreementchangesalongwithdomesticandworkplaceviolence.Itseemedanespeciallygoodprogressionandfittothebooktointroduceanotherperspectiveonariskmanagementframework.Inthechapter“ImpactofRiskAssessmentModelsonRiskFactors:AHolisticOutlook”,theauthorsidentifythevariousfactorsofriskinanorganization.Theauthorsarticulatevariousquantitativeandqualitativemodelsthatareavailabletovariousorganizationsintendingtocurbrisk.Theauthorshaveanalyzedboththequantitativeandqualitativemodelsinbothpublicandprivateorganizations.Thevariousqualitativerisktoolscoveredinthischapterincludetheriskprobabilityandimpactassessment,theprobabilityandimpactmatrix,riskcategorizationandriskurgencyassessment,andexpertjudgment.Thesevariousquantitativemodelsforriskanalysisdiscussedinthischapterincludebusinessriskmapping,probabilitydistributions,sensitivityanalysis,expectedmonetaryvalueanalysis,costaswellasscheduleriskanalysis,andmodellingandsimulation.Thischapteremphasizesontheimportanceofriskmanagementanduseofriskmodelsindealingwithriskfactorsandidentifyingriskmanagementstrategiestoprepareforanyunexpectedeventswhileachievingthestrategicgoalsoftheorganization
Next,wewantedtotakeanotherviewofsocio-politicalrisk,perhapsthedarksideormaybethedevil’sadvocateperspective–isterrorismarisktobemanaged?Inthenextchapter,“BeyondthePrecautionaryPrinciple:IsTerrorismaRealRisk?”,theauthoraddressestheepistemologicalbordersofrisk,inter-rogatingtheroleofmediaconfiguringterrorismasoneofthemostterriblerisksthattheWestfacesinthefuture.Inthischapter,theauthoradvocatesthatterrorismisahazardbecausemoderncitizenshavenopossibilitytoavoidtheireffects.Inthischapter,theauthoradvocatesthatterrorismas-a-riskforms
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Trang 37Qualityhasalwaysbeenimportantinreducinguncertaintyandrisk.Therefore,itmadesensetoclosewithachapterdedicatedtoreducingriskbyapplyingqualitymanagementwithinthecross-disciplinaryframeworkofprojectmanagement.Inthefinalchapterofthistheme,“DemingasaGuideforReducingRiskinProjectManagement”,theauthordemonstrateshowtheriskoffailurecanbereducedthroughtheincorporationoftheprinciplesoftotalqualitymanagement(TQM)intoprojectmanagement.Theauthordiscussesareal-worldsituationbasedonhisvastprojectmanagementexperiencewheretotalqualitymanagementwasemployedduringthemanagementoftheproject.Theauthorusesthe14principlesoftotalqualitymanagementdevelopedbyW.EdwardsDemingasthebackgroundforthischapter.Inthischapter,theauthordemonstrateshowtheapplicationoftheprinciplesoftotalqualitymanagementcanhelpeliminatethetwotoppitfallsinprojectmanagement,namely,schedulemanagementandcostmanagement
Strategic Management and Contingency Planning Practices
tingencyplanning–withoutcallingitbythattheory.Theauthorisanengineeratheartandaskilledmanagementconsultantinpractice.Inhischapter,“ComprehensiveRiskAbatement:AParadigmShift”,theauthorprovidesacomprehensiveriskabatementstrategyforanorganizationtoexecutethiscontin-gencyplan.Inthischapter,theMatrixManagementofRiskAbatementstrategyisdiscussedandtheimplicationsforpractitionersisexplained.Theauthorpresentsasinglecomprehensiveriskabatementstrategy,EnterpriseWellnessWay,thatincludesprocessobjectives,balancedprogressmethodology,andlinesofcommunicationbetweenprocessandobjectives.Thischapterprovidesaclearexplanationofhowtheproposedcomprehensiveriskabatementstrategyovercomessomeoftheshortcomingsofotherriskabatementstrategies
Thefirstchapterofthesetopickicksoffwithatrulyinsightfulyetsimpleapproachtoimprovingcon-Wehadtwoinsightfulcasestudiesabouthowtoconductcontingencyplanningtoaddressnaturalorman-madedisasters.Thefirstofthosetwochapters,“BurstPipesandLeakyRoofs:SmallEmergenciesAreaChallengeforLibraries”,theauthorexaminessmall-scalewaterdisastersusingacasestudyap-proach.Inthischapter,theauthorusestwouniversitylibrarycasestudiestodemonstratehowemergenciesoccurandpresentsriskmitigationandpreventionstrategies.Healsoexplainshowanon-profitdisastermanagementandrecoverystrategies.ThefirstcasestudycoveredtheimpactoftheMcWherterLibraryfloodattheUniversityofMemphis.Interestinglyheexamineshowdisasterimpactedthelibraryandhowtheyhandledtheaftermathofthefloodintermsofrecoveryandrestoration.ThesecondcasestudycoveredtheMitchellMemorialLibraryandtheproblemstheyhadtofacebecauseofleakyroofs.Boththesecasesprovideanexcellentsetofexamplesonriskmitigationandpreventionaswellashowdisastersshouldbehandledapartfromprovidingusefulguidelinesforpreparingforsimilardisastersinfuture.Inthenextchapteraboutnaturaldisastercontingencyplanningentitled“PerilsandRisksofLend-ingRareBookandArchivalMaterialsforExhibition:IdentifyingThreatsandEvaluatingExposures”,theauthordiscussesabouttherisksthatspecialcollectionlibrariesface.Specialcollectionlibrariesareresponsibleforstorageofimportanthistoricalandculturalheritagetreasures.Thesespecialcollection
Trang 38outreachstrategy.Hence,protectionofthesespecialcollectionmaterialsisquitesignificantbecauseoftheimplicationsonpublicrelationsbecauseofanylosses.Inthischapter,theauthorexplorestherisksassociatedwithloansinthesespecialcollectionlibrariesandalsoofferssolutionsandrecommendationsonmitigatingandreducingtheserisks
Weclosedthissectionwithacross-disciplinaryprojectmanagementstudyabouthowtohandlecontingencyplanningandriskmanagementacrossanytypeofproject.In“RiskManagementStrategiesforProjectSuccess”,theauthorsdescribearesearchefforttoidentifythecommonlyusedriskmitiga-tionapproachesusedbyvariousorganizationsusingthepremisethattheseapproacheswillhelpprojectmanagersunderstandculturalandbehavioralissues.Understandingtheseculturalandbehavioralissueswillhelpprojectmanagersdevelopbetterriskmanagementplansaddressingtheseissues.Theobjectiveofthischapteristounderstandhowriskismanagedinprojectsandhowriskvariesdependingonthetypeofindustry.Theauthorsconductedasurveyofmorethanonehundredprojectmanagementprofes-sionalsandpresentthefindingsofthissurvey
Industry Applications and Mixed Method Studies
Thisthemewasfocusedonappliedspecialpurposeindustrystudiesofriskmanagement.Westartedthissectionwithadiscussionaboutdatasecurityriskmanagement.Thisisatopicthatalmosteverypublic,privateornon-profitorganizationneedstobeconcernedwith.In“ComplexInterdependencyofITSecurityRiskinB2BSupplyChains”,theauthorconceptuallydecomposesITsecurityriskintermsofthelikelihoodofabreachandthepotentiallossfromthatbreach.TheintentionofthisconceptualdecompositionistoanalyzetheinterplaybetweentheseinterdependenciesinITsecurityriskasfacedbysupplychainfirms.TheauthorseekstoinvestigatewhethertheinterdependenciesinITsecurityriskarecausedbyinterconnectionbetweenthefirms.Theauthoralsoexamineshowtheextentofinterconnectionandtheextentofprocessintegrationaffectthesupplychainfirms’incentivestoinvestinITsecurity.Wecontinuedthetrendofexaminingapplicationsinthesupplychainindustrywithadiscussionofhowriskwasaddressedusingaquantitativemodel.Inthechapter“ModelingtheEnablersofSup-plyRiskManagementUsingInterpretiveStructuralMethodology”,theauthoridentifiestheenablersofsupplyriskmanagementprocessthatinfluencessupplierselectioninselectionchains.ThischapterincludesadetaileddescriptionandexplanationoftheidentifiedenablersusingInteractiveStructuralModeling(ISM).Theauthorsalsoexplainthemanagerialimplicationsofthisresearchindetail.TheauthorusesanexploratoryresearchforformulatingrelevantfactorsthatprovidethebasisforinquiriesintoissuesfacedbysupplyriskmanagementprocessandsupplierselectionrelatedtotheautomobileindustryinIndia.Thischapterincludesanextensivereviewofliteratureaswellassurveysofopinionsofexpertsinthisarea
Inthenextchapter,wechangeddirectiontolookatanempiricalstudyofglobalterrorismusingbigdataanalytics.In“EmergentIssuesintheWorldWaragainstGlobalTerrorism”,theauthorexaminestheimpactofglobalterrorismonthetopmost-impactednations.Inthischapter,thetwomajorimpacts-theactualattackscausingdeathinjuriesandpropertydamage,andtheemergingcultureoffearwherehumanrightsareregressedarecovered.Theauthorhasadoptedthecriticalanalysismethodandintegratedthiswithameta-analysisofselectedstudies.Thischapterreviewstheriskofglobalterrorismandprovidesrecommendationsaddressingtheemergentrisks.Thischapterhighlightsemergentrisksinthewaragainstglobalterrorismprovidingaguidelineforcontingencyplanningandresearch
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Trang 39Inthefinalchapterofthisthemeweagainwantedtotakeacross-disciplinaryperspectivetoriskman-The Rest of the Book
Thefollowingchaptersarearrangedintheaforementionedsequencesoastoallowthereadertochooseanareaofinterestandproceedfromspecificexamplestoageneralcross-disciplinaryapproachwithineachtheme.Thethemesstartwithcontemporaryindustrystudiesinsteadofahistoricalperspective,andinourthemewherewediscussphilosophythetopicspresentinterestingsomewhatcontrastingviews.Weclosethebookwithabrandnewthought-provokingchapterthatdiscussedwhatwethinkarethestrengthsandweaknessesofourbook.Wethenexplorewhatwebelievearethemostcontroversialriskandcontingencymanagementissuesthatmustbeexaminedinthefuturetoclosethegapintheliterature
Kenneth David Strang
State University of New York at Plattsburgh, USA
Cabells.(2017).White list of quality publishers; Black list of predatory publishers and journals.Retrieved
September2,2017fromhttp://www.cabells.com
Nedaei,B.H.,Rasid,S.Z.,Sofian,S.,Basiruddin,R.,&Kalkhouran,A.A.(2015).Acontingency-basedframeworkformanagingenterpriserisk.Global Business & Organizational Excellence,34(3),
54–66.doi:10.1002/joe.21604
Trang 40inUSAnot-for-profits.InL.L.West&A.C.Worthington(Eds.),Emerging Business Models and
Managerial Strategies in the Nonprofit
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