Chapter 14 - International short-term financing and investment. To explain why short-term foreign currency financing and investment are considered, to consider the choice between domestic and foreign currency financing and investment, to identify the costs and benefits of financing/investment with a portfolio.
Trang 1Chapter 14
International Short-Term
Financing and Investment
Trang 2Copyright 2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd
PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A Moosa
Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa
Objectives
• To explain why short-term foreign currency financing and investment are considered
• To consider the choice between domestic and
foreign currency financing and investment
• To identify the costs and benefits of
financing/investment with a portfolio
14-2
Trang 3Copyright 2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd
PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A Moosa
Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa
Internal financing
• A multinational firm can utilise internal financing by:
requesting a transfer of funds from a subsidiary
increasing mark-ups on supplies sent to subsidiaries
14-3
Trang 4Copyright 2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd
PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A Moosa
Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa
Sources of external financing
• Standby Eurocredits: Eurocurrency lines and
revolving commitments
• Euronotes: note issuance facilities and
Euro-commercial papers
14-4
Trang 5Copyright 2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd
PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A Moosa
Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa
Why foreign currency financing?
• Foreign currency financing introduces FX risk only if there is no exposure already
• It may be cheaper
14-5
Trang 6Copyright 2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd
PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A Moosa
Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa
Three-month interest rates
(Australia)
14-6
Trang 7Copyright 2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd
PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A Moosa
Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa
Three-month interest rates (U.S.)
14-7
Trang 8Copyright 2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd
PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A Moosa
Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa
Three-month interest rates (Japan)
14-8
Trang 9Copyright 2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd
PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A Moosa
Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa
Three-month interest rates (U.K.)
14-9
Trang 10Copyright 2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd
PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A Moosa
Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa
Effective financing rate from an
Australian perspective (USD)
14-10
Trang 11Copyright 2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd
PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A Moosa
Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa
Effective financing rate from an
Australian perspective (JPY)
14-11
Trang 12Copyright 2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd
PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A Moosa
Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa
Effective financing rate from an
Australian perspective (GBP)
14-12
Trang 13Copyright 2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd
PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A Moosa
Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa
International short-term investment
• International short-term investment is the placement
of excess funds in short-term investments
denominated in various currencies
14-13
Trang 14Copyright 2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd
PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A Moosa
Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa
Trang 15Copyright 2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd
PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A Moosa
Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa
The effective financing rate
S i
e
S i
e
) 1 1
)(
1 (
14-15
Trang 16Copyright 2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd
PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A Moosa
Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa
The effective rate of return
S i
r
S i
r
) 1 1
)(
1 (
14-16
Trang 17Copyright 2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd
PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A Moosa
Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa
The effect of changes in the
exchange rate
i e
• Foreign currency appreciation
i e
• Foreign currency depreciation
i e
• No change
14-17
Trang 18Copyright 2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd
PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A Moosa
Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa
The effective financing rate with
bid-offer spread
1 )
e
14-18
Trang 19Copyright 2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd
PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A Moosa
Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa
The effective rate of return with
bid-offer spread
1 )
S
S i
r
14-19
Trang 20Copyright 2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd
PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A Moosa
Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa
Implications of CIP
• If covered interest parity (CIP) holds, the effective
financing rate and the rate of return will be equal to the domestic interest rate
14-20
Trang 21Copyright 2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd
PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A Moosa
Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa
Measuring risk: probability
distributions
2 1
2
1
) ( )
( σ
) (
e E e
p e
p e e
Trang 22Copyright 2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd
PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A Moosa
Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa
Measuring risk: historical data
e
e n
e
1
2 2
1
1
1 )
( 1
14-22
Trang 23Copyright 2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd
PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A Moosa
Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa
Financing with and investment in a portfolio of currencies
m j
z j
y i
z j z
y i y
p j i
z y
p p
e w e
w e
w w
14-23
Trang 24Copyright 2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd
PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A Moosa
Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa
Centralised versus decentralised
cash management
• Centralised: receipts and payments in various
currencies are managed by a central body
• Decentralised: receipts and payments are managed
by branches and subsidiaries
14-24
Trang 25Copyright 2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd
PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A Moosa
Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa
Advantages of centralised cash
management
• Netting involves the calculation of the overall position
in each currency by adding up short and long
positions of branches and subsidiaries
• Netting provides a natural hedge when there is a
short position in one currency and an equivalent long position in the same currency
14-25
(cont )
Trang 26Copyright 2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd
PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A Moosa
Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa
Bilateral netting
500 000Before
Trang 27Copyright 2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd
PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A Moosa
Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa
Trang 28Copyright 2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd
PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A Moosa
Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa
100 000
CA
14-28
Trang 29Copyright 2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd
PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A Moosa
Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa
Advantages of centralised cash
management (cont.)
• Currency diversification means that even if the
combined position is not zero, centralised cash
management may result in a combined position that
is so diversified that foreign exchange risk is reduced significantly, removing the need to hedge individual
positions
14-29
(cont )
Trang 30Copyright 2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd
PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A Moosa
Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa
Advantages of centralised cash
management (cont.)
• Pooling: by pooling cash balances in a centralised
location, the cash requirements of any branch or
subsidiary anywhere can be met without having to
keep balances denominated in various currencies in every locality
14-30
Trang 31Copyright 2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd
PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A Moosa
Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa
When is decentralised management preferred?
• When delays are expected in transferring funds to
countries with inefficient banking systems
• When local representation is necessary
14-31
Trang 32Copyright 2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd
PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A Moosa
Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa
Factors determining where cash
balances are held
• Whether or not funds are needed in the future
• Whether or not there is a forward market
• Political risk
• Liquidity considerations
14-32