International FinanceNguyễn Phúc Hiền, Ph.D Banking and Finance Faculty Hanoi Foreign Trade University... Nguyễn Phúc Hiền - ðại học Ngoại thương 3 Grading assessment • Attendance 10% of
Trang 1International Finance
Nguyễn Phúc Hiền, Ph.D
Banking and Finance Faculty
Hanoi Foreign Trade University
Trang 2Intructor‘s Slide
Levi, Maurice “International Finance“, 4th
Ed,2005
Pilbeam, Keith“International Finance“ 3rd Ed,
2006
Melvin, Michael “International Money and
Finance“,Boston, 2004
“Tài chính quốc tế“, PGS TS Nguyễn Văn Tiến,
NXB Thống kê, 2010
Journals of Finance and Banking, Economics
Website: Bloomberg, Reuter, FX
Trang 3TS Nguyễn Phúc Hiền - ðại học
Ngoại thương
3
Grading assessment
• Attendance 10% of final grade
• Mid-term test 30% of final grade
• Final exam 60% of final grade
• Bonus (only for students who have good
answers to practice problems at class):0,5
point adding to final exam
Trang 4Aims of the Lecture
• To gain insight into the world of international
capital flows and exchange rates and their
influence on the macroeconomic performance
• To understand the interaction between highly
complex currency markets and public agents (central bank and Ministries of Finance)
• To explain phenomena like asset market booms
and financial crisis
Trang 5TS Nguyễn Phúc Hiền - ðại học
Ngoại thương
5
Approach of the Lecture
and policies
- Macroeconomic data (time series and
international comparison)
- Econometric models
Trang 6I Overview of International Finance
II Foreign Exchange (Currency) Market
III Factors Affect Exchange Rate
IV Exchange Rate Policy and Exchange Rate Regime
V Interest Rate Parity and Purchasing Power Parity
VI Other Exchange Rate Models
VII Balance of Payment
VIII Monetary and Fiscal Policies in an Open Economy
IX International Monetary System and International
Financial Institutions
X International Financial Markets
XI Financial Crisis
XII The Issue of Exchange Rate in Vietnam
Trang 7TS Nguyễn Phúc Hiền - ðại học
Ngoại thương
7
Liên hệ
Email: phuchienth@yahoo.com
Mobile: 0166 541 1439
Trang 8I Overview of International
Finance
Finance
Finance
Trang 9TS Nguyễn Phúc Hiền - ðại học
Ngoại thương
9
1 Fundamental of Inter Finance
(Import-export)
Indirect Investments)
Trang 101 Fundamental of Inter Finance
XK + NK Economy openess index =
-GDP
Trang 11TS Nguyễn Phúc Hiền - ðại học
Ngoại thương
11
1 Fundamental of Inter Finance
Openness of Economy ( Ratio of export and import to GDP)
0
0,5
1
1,5
2
2,5
Vietnam China Thailand Malaysia Philippines Indonesia Source: ADB and IMF
1990 2006
Trang 121 Fundamental of Inter Finance
Export Growth, Annual Change
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008
Source: ADB, 2010 Vietnam China Thailand Korea
Trang 13TS Nguyễn Phúc Hiền - ðại học
Ngoại thương
13
2 The Growing Importance of
International Finance
• The world trade has grown by 6% per annum
since 1950, roughly twice that of world GDP (45,941.8 bill USD-2006)
• Imports increased from 315 bill USD (1970) to
13,506 bill USD (2006), or higher 35 times
Trang 142 The Growing Importance of
International Finance
Reasons for growing international trade:
A liberalization of trade and investment via
reducing in tariff, quotas, currency controls and others
An unprecedented shrinkage of „economic
space“ via rapid improvements in
communications and transportation
technologies and consequent reduction in costs (95% since 1920)
Trang 15TS Nguyễn Phúc Hiền - ðại học
Ngoại thương
15
2 The Growing Importance of
International Finance
Increased Globalization of Financial and Real
Asset Markets
In line with the growing importance of
international trade, there has been a parallel
growth in the importance of foreign investment
in the money market, the bond market, the
stock market
Operation via the world financial centers
Efficency of the global allocation of capital flow
Reducing investment risk
Increasing Exchange rate risk and country risk
Trang 162 The Growing Importance of
International Finance
Trang 17TS Nguyễn Phúc Hiền - ðại học
Ngoại thương
17
3 Benefits of Studying International
Finance
For policy makers
For financial managers at MNC
For currency brokers, speculators, investors
For student of economics, finance