Why Unfriendly Mergers are Unfriendly A target's management may resist a takeover because: – Acquiring firm offered too low a price for the stock – Target’s management often loses jobs,
Trang 2Mergers and Acquisitions
Merger – a combination of two or more businesses under one ownership
Acquisition or Takeover - one firm acquires the stock of another
– Acquired firm is the target
Consolidation - combining firms dissolve forming a new legal entity
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Trang 3Figure 17-1 Basic Business Combinations
Trang 4Mergers and Acquisitions
Relationships
– Consolidation implies the firms combined willingly
– Acquisition can be a friendly or hostile takeover
Stockholders
– Must be willing to give up their shares for the offered price
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Trang 5Mergers and Acquisitions
Friendly Procedure
– Target firm's management
approves and cooperates with
– Acquiring firm makes a tender offer
to the target's shareholders
Trang 6Why Unfriendly Mergers
are Unfriendly
A target's management may resist a takeover because:
– Acquiring firm offered too low a price for the stock
– Target’s management often loses jobs, power, and influence
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Trang 7Economic Classification of Business Combinations
Trang 9Role of Investment Banks
Help companies issue securities
Instrumental in acting as advisors to acquiring companies Assist in establishing a value for target
Help acquiring firm raise money for acquisition
Advise reluctant targets on defensive measures
Trang 10The Antitrust Laws
U.S is committed to a competitive economy
Antitrust laws (enacted 1890 - 1930s) prohibit certain activities that can reduce competitive nature of the economy
Mergers have potential to reduce competition
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Trang 11The Reasons Behind Mergers
– External growth through acquisition is faster than internal growth
Diversification to Reduce Risk
– Collection of diverse businesses less risky than a single line
– Variations in different business lines offset each other
Trang 12The Reasons Behind Mergers
Economies of Scale
Guaranteed Sources and Markets
Acquiring Assets Cheaply
Tax Losses
Ego and Empire
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Trang 13Tax Losses
Combined Businesses pay less total tax.
But IRS will not recognize if sole purpose is to reduce tax.
$650 ($1,000)
$1,400 Net Income
350 -0-
700 Tax (35%)
$1,000 ($1,000)
$2,000 EBT
Merged Poor Inc.
Rich Inc.
Trang 14Holding Companies
Corporation that owns other corporations
– Companies owned are subsidiaries
– Holding company is the parent of the subsidiary
Advantages
– Keeps business operations separate and distinct
– Can keep liabilities of subsidiaries separate
– It’s possible to control a subsidiary without owning all of its stock
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Trang 15The History of Merger Activity in the U.S
Wave 1: The Turn of the Century, 1897-1904
– Horizontal mergers transformed the U.S into a nation of industrial giants, with some monopolies
Wave 2: The Roaring Twenties, 1916-1929
– Began with World War I and ended with the stock market crash of 1929
– Horizontal mergers led to oligopolies
Trang 16The History of Merger Activity in the U.S
Wave 3: The Swinging Sixties, 1965-1969
– Conglomerate mergers - unrelated fields
– Stock market driven
An Important Development During the 1970s
– Hostile takeovers uncommon prior to 1970s
– 1974 INCO acquires ESB assisted by respected investment bank Morgan Stanley
– After that hostile takeovers became acceptable
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Trang 17The History of Merger Activity in the U.S.
Wave 4: Megamergers, 1981 – 1990
– Very large firms, often industry leaders, merge
Wave 5: Globalization, 1992 – 2000
– Large number of international mergers
Wave 6: Private Equity, 2003 – 2008
– Private equity groups bought companies for financial reasons
– Ended with the financial crisis of 2008
Trang 18Mergers since the 1980s
Mergers since the 1980s are characterized by:
Trang 19Megamergers since the 1980s
Companies Year Industry $ Size
Citicorp and Travelers 1988 Financial Services $140 billion MCI and WorldCom 1998 Telecom $ 37 billion Daimler-Benz and Chrysler 1998 Automotive $ 75 billion AOL and Time Warner 2000 Media and Entertainment $ 350 billion Hewlett-Packard and Compaq 2001 Computer hardware $ 25 billion
Trang 20Social, Economic, and Political Effects
Large mergers have implications regarding the concentration of power and influence
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Trang 21Merger Analysis and the
Price Premium
What is the most an acquiring company should pay for a target in total and per share?
– Merger analysis attempts to answer this question
– Acquiring firm forecasts the target's cash flows and chooses
appropriate discount rate
Trang 22Merger Analysis and the
Price Premium Estimating Merger Cash Flows
– Should be a straightforward cash flow estimation with two exceptions
Adjustments for expected synergies
Adjustments for reinvestment necessary to support growth
– Pitfalls of estimating cash flows
May not have access to the target's detailed information about future
prospects or the past
Uncertainty of future
Biases of people making estimates
– Acquirer tends to overestimate target’s value
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Trang 23Merger Analysis
Appropriate Discount Rate
– An acquisition is an equity transaction
– Use target’s estimated equity rate (CAPM)
Value to the Acquirer is the PV of estimated cash flows from target
– Maximum value makes NPV=0 if viewed in capital budgeting terms
Payment for target’s stock is C0 – the initial outlay
Maximum Per-share Price is Maximum PV ÷ number shares
Trang 24Merger Analysis and the
Price Premium
Price Premium
– The price offered to target shareholders must be higher than the stock's market price
High enough to induce stockholders to sell now
Offering price exceeds the current market price by the price premium
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Trang 25The Price Premium
Effect on market price
– Certainty of a premium creates a speculative opportunity
– Investor strategy - buy stock in potential takeover targets to get premium
– Size of Premium is the Point of negotiations
Remember: Insider trading illegal
Trang 26Calculating a Price and the Problem of
Terminal Values
Remember
In merger analysis, C0 is the amount acquirer will pay for the target’s stock
If the merger is to make sense for the acquirer, C0 must be no more than the sum of the PVs of all the other Cs
The maximum price makes NPV=0
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Trang 27Concept Connection Example 17-1
Basic Merger Analysis
Alpha is interested in acquiring Beta The appropriate interest rate for the analysis is 12% Beta’s cash flows including synergies are estimated for the next three years as follows ($000).
Beta has 12,000 shares of stock outstanding
What is the maximum price Alpha should be willing to pay for a share of Beta’s stock?
Trang 28Concept Connection Example 17-1
Basic Merger Analysis
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Solution: T he PV of Beta’s cash flows is:
The maximum Alpha should pay for all of Beta’s stock is $531,914
the maximum per share price Alpha should be willing to pay is:
Maximum acquisition price = $531,914/12,000 = $44.33
Trang 29Merger Analysis with Terminal Values
Justifying a merger based on a few years of cash flows can be difficult
Acquisition looks better by assuming cash flows after the last year E.g.
– Sale of the target at a high price
– Continuing operating cash flows for a long time or indefinitely
Constant
Growing
Trang 30Terminal Values (TVs)
TVs can overwhelm detailed forecast.
– Especially an infinite stream of income
TV is valued as the PV of a perpetuity starting at end of detailed forecast.
– TVs are favored by people who want the acquisition for non financial reasons
– It’s up to Finance (CFO) to keep the assumptions reasonable
Terminal Value assumptions often lead to overpaying for an
acquisition
Trang 31Paying for the Acquisition The Junk Bond Market
Acquiring firm pays the target firm:
– Cash – have it or raise it
– Stock in the acquiring firm
– Debt of the acquiring firm
Junk bond market began in the 1980s and has helped firms raise cash to finance many mergers
Trang 32Paying for the Acquisition The Junk Bond Market
Junk bonds are low quality (risky) bonds that pay high yields
Prior to 1980s small, risky companies could not borrow via bonds
– Investment bankers pooled risky bonds into funds creating the junk bond market
– The idea collapsed in the late 1980s
Since 1990’s, high yield debt has reemerged
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Trang 33The Capital Structure Argument to Justify High Premiums
Using debt to raise cash for buying out a target's stockholders, makes the firm more leveraged
– It can be argued that this increases its value
See Chapter 14 on capital structure and leverage
-The Effect of Paying Too Much
– An acquiring firm that pays too much for a target transfers value from its shareholders to the target’s shareholders
Trang 34Defensive Tactics:
After a Takeover is Underway
Defensive Tactics are things targets do to keep from being acquired
Tactics After a Takeover is Under Way
– Challenge the price
– Claim an antitrust violation
– Seek a white knight
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Trang 35Defensive Tactics:
In Anticipation of a Takeover
Tactics in Anticipation of a Takeover
– Staggered Election of Directors
Trang 36Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs)
Investors take a company private by buying all of its stock largely using borrowed money
Tends to be risky due to high debt burden
Less common today than in the 1980s
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Trang 38A company decides to get rid of a particular business operation
– Reasons for divestitures
A firm needs cash
A division may not fit strategically into the firm's long-term plans Poor performance
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Trang 39Methods of Divesting Companies
– Sale for cash and/or securities
can trade separately
– Liquidation —the divested business is closed down and its assets sold
Trang 40Failure and Insolvency
Economic failure —a firm is unable to provide adequate return to its
stockholders
Commercial failure —a business cannot pay its debts (insolvent)
A business can be an economic failure without being a commercial failure
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Trang 41Bankruptcy Concept and Objectives
Bankruptcy – protects a failing firm from creditors until a resolution is reached to close or continue it
Bankruptcy court protects a firm from its creditors and determines whether it should shut down or continue
– Liquidation
Trang 42Bankruptcy Procedures—Reorganization, Restructuring, Liquidation
Reorganize
Insolvent company perceived as
recoverable will reorganize
Debt will be restructured and a
plan developed to pay creditors
as fairly as possible
Liquidate Insolvent company deemed unrecoverable will liquidate Assets will be sold under the court's supervision, with proceeds to pay creditors according to priority
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Trang 43Bankruptcy Procedures—Reorganization, Restructuring, Liquidation
Bankruptcy petition can be initiated
– voluntarily by insolvent company or
– involuntarily by its creditors
A firm in bankruptcy is usually allowed to continue operations
– Trustee oversees the firm’s operations to protect the interests of its creditors
Trang 44A plan under which an insolvent firm continues to operate while attempting to pay off its debts
Reorganization plans are judged on fairness and feasibility
– Fairness—claims are satisfied based on priorities
– Feasibility—likelihood the plan will actually work
Plan must be approved by the bankruptcy court, firm's creditors and stockholders
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Trang 46Debt Restructuring
Debt-to-equity conversions are a common method of
restructuring debt
– Creditors give up debt claims in return for stock in the company
– Equity may be worth more in the long run than the debt given up
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Trang 47Concept Connection Example 17-4 Debt Restructuring in Bankruptcy
Adcock has 50,000 shares of common stock outstanding at a book value of $40, pays 10% interest on its debt, and is in the following financial situation
200 Depreciation
($400) Net Income
Tax
-$8,000 Total capital
($400) EBT
2,000 Equity
600 Interest
$6,000 Debt
$200 EBIT
Capital Income and Cash Flow
Notice that although the company has positive EBIT, it doesn't earn enough to pay its interest let alone repay principal on schedule Without help of some kind it will fail shortly Devise a composition involving a debt for equity conversion that will keep
the firm afloat.
Trang 48Concept Connection Example 17-4 Debt Restructuring in Bankruptcy
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Suppose creditors are willing to convert $3 million in debt to equity at the $40 book value Requires issuing 75,000 new shares, resulting in the following financial situation.
($50) Cash flows
(50) Principal Repayment
200 Depreciation
($100) Net Income
Tax
-$8,000 Total capital
($100) EBT
5,000 Equity
300 Interest
$3,000 Debt
$200 EBIT
Capital Income and Cash Flow
Notice that the company now has a slightly positive cash flow and can at least theoretically continue in business indefinitely However, creditors now own a
controlling interest in the firm.
Trang 49Liquidation
Closing a troubled firm and selling its assets
Trustee attempts to recover any unauthorized transfers out of the firm Trustee supervises the sale of the assets, pools and distributes the funds
Trang 50Claimants include
– Vendors - who sold to the firm on credit
– Stockholders - receive whatever is left
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Trang 51Distribution Priorities
Bankruptcy code contains priorities for the distribution of assets among claimants Priority code payoffs of unsecured claimants:
– Administrative expenses of the bankruptcy proceedings
– Certain business expenses incurred after the bankruptcy petition is filed
– Certain unpaid wages
– Certain unpaid contributions to employee benefit plans
– Certain customer deposits
– Unpaid taxes
– Unsecured creditors
– Preferred stockholders
– Common stockholders
Trang 52Bankruptcy Code Chapters
Chapter 7
– Liquidation
Chapter 11
– Reorganization
Notice that Bankruptcy is a Federal court procedure, not state
– Although some state laws do apply
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