The Problem of most governments economic growth and environmental protection people’s lives in the developed world... What is Economic Growth?consumption of goods and services Occurs
Trang 1What is a Steady State
ECONOMY
SUSTAINABILITY RESEARCH
INSTITUTE
Trang 2The Problem
of most governments
economic growth and environmental
protection
people’s lives in the developed world
Trang 3What is Economic Growth?
consumption of goods and services
Occurs when either population or per capita
consumption increases
Total expenditure on all goods and services
produced within a country
A relatively recent policy goal
Trang 40 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
The History of Economic
Growth
The Global Economy, 1–2006 AD
Can this really continue???
Source: Maddison 2008
Trang 5The Economy and the
Environment
Waste products
£
£
Waste products
£££
£££
Trang 6The Limits to Growth
Trang 7The Ecological Footprint
Produce the resources it consumes
Assimilate the wastes it generates
0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000
1961 1967 1973 1979 1985 1991 1997 2003
0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500
3,000
Ecological Footprint
GDP
Sources: Global Footprint Network, U.S Bureau of Economic Analysis
United States
Trang 8Ecological Footprint Biocapacity
Global Ecological Overshoot
Global ecological footprint is greater than available
Wastes are being produced faster than they can be assimilated
Source: Global Footprint Network
The World
Trang 9Planetary Boundaries
Study in Nature in 2009
Nine planetary boundaries that define the “safe operating
space” for humanity on the planet
Relate to earth-system processes:
1 Climate change
2 Biodiversity loss
3 Nitrogen and phosphorous cycles
4 Stratospheric ozone depletion
5 Ocean acidification
6 Global freshwater use
7 Change in land use
8 Atmospheric aerosol loading
9 Chemical pollution
Trang 10to global scale.”
Trang 110 50 100 150 200 250
Can Technology Save Us?
Source: SERI (www.materialflows.net)
GDP growth has overwhelmed any decoupling
Trang 12Is It All Worth It?
Imogen Shaw
Trang 13Happiness and GDP
“Americans have been more successful decoupling GDP from happiness
than in decoupling it from material and energy” —Peter Victor
Real income per person
Percentage very happy
Trang 14Happiness and GDP Across
Countries
Source: Inglehart and Klingemann (2000)
Income per Person ($)
Trang 15What Are We Actually
Measuring?
Total expenditure on all goods and services
produced within a country
Trang 16 Same accounting framework as GDP, but
Adds value of household and volunteer work
Subtracts cost of crime, pollution, and family breakdown
Genuine Progress Indicator
(GPI)
Source: Redefining Progress
United States
Trang 17The Degrowth Transition to
Trang 18What is a Steady State
Economy (SSE) ?
kept within ecological limits
human-built capital
Trang 19Energy and material flows within ecological
limits
Limits toinequality
Characteristics of a SSE
Trang 20Can We Really Do This?
Source: Peter Victor, York University
Trang 21How Do We Achieve a SSE?
Steady State Economy
Gradually change existing policies from
growth towards a steady state
Trang 22The CASSE Position
Recognises the conflict between growth and
environmental protection
Calls for the transition to a SSE
Demonstrate the level of support for a SSE
Advance the SSE in policy discussions
>170 organisations, 7000 individuals
www.steadystate.org
Trang 23How Do We Achieve a SSE?
Adopt the right macro-economic goal: the
Steady State Economy
growth towards a steady state
Trang 24 Montreal Protocol: limits ozone-depleting substances
EU Emissions Trading Scheme: limits CO2 emissions
In a SSE:
Impose strict resource and emission caps
Employ a cap–auction–trade system
Caps set based on ecological criteria
Permits auctioned by government
Trade between industries to allow efficient allocation
Trang 252 Stabilise Population
Currently:
Natural increase is low in many wealthy countries
But many rich countries are trying to encourage
Trang 263 Reduce Inequality
Currently:
Economic growth is used as an excuse to avoid
dealing with poverty
“A rising tide lifts all boats”
In a SSE:
No growth, so no excuses!
Finite resource use = Finite amount of wealth
Must deal with distribution explicitly
Need a minimum and maximum income
Trang 274 Reduce Working Hours
Currently:
Technological progress is used to increase
production of goods and services
A better widget machine = more widgets!
In a SSE:
We cannot increase production if it results in
higher resource use
Instead, shorten the working day, week, & year
Same salaries but more leisure time!
Trang 285 Reform the Monetary
System
Currently:
Fractional reserve banking
Most money is created by private banks in the form of
debt
Increasing debt drives economic growth
In a SSE:
All money would be created and spent into
existence by a public institution
Banks would be prohibited from creating money,
but would instead have to borrow existing
money to lend it
Trang 296 Change How We Measure
Progress
Currently:
Rely on GDP, which doesn’t distinguish between:
Benefits and costs
Quality and quantity
In a SSE:
What happens to GDP is not important
Replace GDP with two sets of accounts:
Trang 30Conclusion
There is a conflict between economic growth and
environmental protection
Economic growth is no longer improving people’s
lives in the developed world
We need to make the transition to a SSE
Adopt the right macroeconomic goal
Restrict resource use, stabilise population, limit
inequality, reduce working hours, eliminate fractional
reserve banking, and change the way we measure
progress
Trang 31Enough is Enough
www.steadystate.org/enough-is-enough
Trang 32Dan O’Neill dan_oneill@steadystate.org
www.steadystate.org