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... any information hereto contained Israel Information Technology Report Q3 2012 © Business Monitor International Ltd Page Israel Information Technology Report Q3 2012 CONTENTS Executive Summary... Page Israel Information Technology Report Q3 2012 Country Snapshot: Israel Demographic Data 67 Table: Israel' s Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000) 68 Table: Israel' s... and Israel Direct Insurance (IDI) Local IT leader Ness was © Business Monitor International Ltd Page 25 Israel Information Technology Report Q3 2012 among those vendors reporting a rebound in Israeli

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Business Monitor International

85 Queen Victoria Street

© 2012 Business Monitor International

All rights reserved

All information contained in this publication is copyrighted in the name of Business Monitor International, and as such no part of this publication may be reproduced, repackaged, redistributed, resold in whole or in any part, or used in any form or by any means graphic, electronic or mechanical, including photocopying, recording, taping, or by information storage or retrieval, or by any other means, without the express written consent of the publisher

DISCLAIMER

All information contained in this publication has been researched and compiled from sources believed to be accurate and reliable at the time of publishing However, in view of the natural scope for human and/or mechanical error, either at source or during production, Business Monitor

TECHNOLOGY REPORT Q3 2012

INCLUDES 5-YEAR FORECASTS TO 2016

Part of BMI’s Industry Report & Forecasts Series

Published by: Business Monitor International

Copy deadline: July 2012

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CONTENTS

Executive Summary 5

SWOT Analysis 7

Israel IT Sector SWOT 7

Israel Telecoms Industry SWOT 8

Israel Political SWOT 9

Israel Economic SWOT 10

Israel Business Environment SWOT 11

MEA IT Risk/Reward Ratings 12

Table: MEA Q312 IT Risk/Reward Ratings 14

IT Markets Overview 15

IT Penetration 15

Sectors And Verticals 18

Market Overview 22

Government Authority 22

Background 22

Government Initiatives 23

Hardware 24

Software 25

Services 27

Outsourcing 28

Industry Developments 29

Offshoring 29

E-Services 30

Israel's Digital Divide 30

Industry Forecast 32

2012 Outlook 32

Market Drivers 33

Opportunities 33

Table: Israel IT Industry – Historical Data And Forecasts (US$mn unless otherwise stated) 34

Industry Forecast Internet 35

Table: Internet Data And Forecasts, 2009-2016 35

Competitive Landscape 37

Macroeconomic Forecast 42

Table: Israel – Economic Activity, 2011-2016 44

Company Profiles 45

Ness 45

Hewlett-Packard 48

Matrix 54

IBM 57

Microsoft Corporation 62

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Country Snapshot: Israel Demographic Data 67

Table: Israel's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000) 68

Table: Israel's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total) 69

Table: Israel's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020 70

Table: Israel's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020 70

BMI Methodology 71

How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts 71

Transport Industry 71

Sources 72

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Executive Summary

BMI View: Israeli IT spending is expected to reach US$5.8bn in 2012, up 2%, lower than previously

forecast, due to the global economic headwinds In Q112, several indicators suggested moderating consumer demand, but vendors still reported a solid trading environment for IT services across

industrial, government, defence and financial services segments The Israeli IT market should gain

enough momentum from key sectors to expand at a CAGR of 8% over BMI's 2012-2016 forecast period,

due to momentum from key segments

Headline Expenditure Projections

Computer hardware sales: US$2.5bn in 2011 to US$2.5bn in 2012, +1% in US dollar terms Forecast in

US dollar terms downwardly revised due to macroeconomic factors, but Israeli businesses are investing more to facilitate expansion and development

Software sales: US$1.3bn in 2011 to US$1.3bn in 2012, +3% in US dollar terms Forecast in US dollar

terms downwardly revised due to analyst modification, but device and data proliferation will drive

spending on customer relationship management (CRM), databases and business intelligence

IT services sales: US$2.0bn in 2011 to US$2.0bn in 2012, +3% in US dollar terms Forecast in US dollar

terms downwardly revised due to analyst modification but key segments such as government and defence will be a continued source of opportunities

Risk/Reward Ratings: Israel's score was 66.5 out of 100.0 Israel ranks first in our latest RRR table,

ahead of Qatar and the UAE

Key Trends & Developments

ƒ BMI forecasts overall solid growth for the Israeli IT market for 2012, despite a deteriorating

external economic environment Businesses will maintain a cautious attitude to IT investments due to uncertainty about a sustainable global economic recovery in key export markets There should, however, be growth in areas such as business intelligence, server virtualisation, mobile devices and cloud computing

ƒ New cloud computing offerings and increased competition in this segment should fuel further demand from users Particular areas of opportunity for cloud computing include banking and retailing as organisations in those fields look to save money on hardware investments

Businesses will, not only seek to make cost savings, but will look to boost efficiency and increase flexibility of response to customer needs

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ƒ The Israeli government has launched various initiatives to increase computer and internet penetration The current rate of PC penetration, while high for the region, represents potential for organic growth Household penetration is estimated at around 75% Due to digital divide issues, Israel has around 600,000 children living below the poverty line and only 3% have internet or home PC access, compared with 90% in the top income group

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SWOT Analysis

Israel IT Sector SWOT

Strengths ƒ One of the most modern economies in the region, with a highly educated,

linguistically skilled workforce, and relatively low labour costs compared with most developed countries

ƒ Strong defence and government spending provides base for IT demand

ƒ Relatively mature IT market, with services accounting for an estimated 33% of spending in 2009 Despite this, the market for basic IT hardware and software is far from saturated

ƒ Strong political support, with the government having implemented many policies

to aid in the development, success and expansion of the IT sector

Weaknesses ƒ The recession at the beginning of the 2000s created a client mentality of

focusing on the bottom line, with enhanced services and customer market power adding to pressure on pricing and margins

ƒ Digital divide, with 3% of bottom-income group having home internet access

Opportunities ƒ Despite the financial crisis, the financial services sector, which accounts for

around 15% of spending, will have to spend on compliance with Basel II and other international standards, driving growth

ƒ Defence and government projects should be less sensitive to the economic downturn

ƒ Outsourcing, Software-as-a-Service (SaaS) and applications management likely

to grow fastest out of IT services, with particular opportunities in financial sector

ƒ Opportunities for partnership/investment in Israel's lively local IT company sector

ƒ Healthcare IT will be a growing source of opportunity

Threats ƒ Economic downturn and unemployment will lead to weaker consumer and

business sentiment

ƒ Other factors may affect business confidence, notably the security situation

ƒ The weaker local currency, and aggressive pricing, may continue to constrain growth and put pressure on margins

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Israel Telecoms Industry SWOT

Strengths ƒ Well-developed internet/broadband sector compared with regional peers

ƒ Liberal mobile market consisting of four operators

ƒ Mature market with strong take-up of value-added and 3G services

Weaknesses ƒ Mobile penetration rate of over 120% means growth in the mobile market has

slowed considerably and operators must look for alternative revenue sources

ƒ Lack of competition in all telecoms sectors

ƒ Regulator has been slow to license new services, such as WiMAX wireless broadband

ƒ Voice over Internet Protocol (VoIP) licensing and triple-play for Bezeq placed on hold, which could hinder prospects

Opportunities ƒ Emergence of rival operator HOT Telecom, made up of the main three cable

operators (Golden Channels, Matav and Tevel) to compete against Bezeq, could provide cheaper services

ƒ Introduction of number portability and the entry of mobile virtual network operators (MVNOs) to the mobile sector could shake up competition and drive down retail prices for consumers

Threats ƒ Continued interconnection tariff reduction could have a devastating effect on

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Israel Political SWOT

Strengths ƒ Despite corruption allegations against some officials and members of

parliament, government members are still some of the most accountable in the region

ƒ Elections are for the most part free and transparent, ensuring that a broad spectrum of political views are represented within government

Weaknesses ƒ The protracted conflict with the Palestinians means there are persistent security

risks, although violence in the West Bank has been reduced significantly

Strategies to minimise or end the conflict are domestically divisive

ƒ Frequent change to the composition of the coalition government often leads to policies becoming fragmented or significantly diluted

ƒ The fallout between Turkey and Israel, caused by the Gaza flotilla incident of May 2010, has meant that Israel has lost a key Middle East ally

Opportunities ƒ A warming of relations with Greece has given Israel the ability to engage in

military exercises over a larger geographic area

Threats ƒ The victory of Hamas in the 2006 Palestinian elections, its subsequent takeover

of the Gaza Strip, and Israel's military incursion into the territory in December 2008/January 2009 has added to uncertainty Finding a lasting solution poses a dilemma for Israel, which has previously said it will not talk to the militant organisation

ƒ The construction of the West Bank barrier and the continued home-building in some West Bank settlements antagonises the Palestinians and stands in the way of the peace process

ƒ Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad's refusal to give up his country's nuclear programme raises concerns that nuclear weapons could be used against Israel in the future

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Israel Economic SWOT

Strengths ƒ The policy framework has stabilised in recent years with fiscal deficits brought

well under control

ƒ The workforce is highly educated and skilled

ƒ The country's close ties with the US provide it with substantial financial assistance for economic and military ends

Weaknesses ƒ The main downside risk to the economy is the security situation A sharp

deterioration can have an immediate impact on domestic confidence, tourism receipts, the exchange rate and foreign investment

ƒ The economy is highly exposed to that of the US, in terms of exports, investment and remittances

Opportunities ƒ In the long term, rising levels of employment will underpin private consumption

Threats ƒ Israel's energy supplies are not stable at the moment – the Egypt-Israel gas

pipeline has been targeted frequently in 2011, forcing the country to buy more expensive fuels from alternative sources

ƒ Competition from emerging Chinese and Indian producers of high-tech goods and polished diamonds, as well as sluggish growth in the eurozone, could undermine demand for Israeli exports

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Israel Business Environment SWOT

Strengths ƒ The business environment is supported by sound infrastructure and

communication networks, as well as transparent legislation

ƒ The banking system is one of the most sophisticated in the region, and offers a wide range of both consumer and commercial credit products

Weaknesses ƒ Historic political instability increases the risk premium of investment in Israel

ƒ Some limits on repatriation of capital exist and there are constraints on foreign investment in the high-tech sector

Opportunities ƒ Corporate tax rates, at 25%, have not increased markedly as a result of social

protests in 2011

ƒ The Qualified Industrial Zone agreements with Jordan and Egypt boost the potential for trade

Threats ƒ Strike action has proved extremely disruptive to the business environment over

the past two years

ƒ The parliament approved a plan to increase the country's oil and gas royalties, which could reduce energy profits in the future

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MEA IT Risk/Reward Ratings

BMI's Q312 update to the Middle East and Africa IT Markets Risk/Reward Ratings contains changes

from our previous update, driven mainly by IT Market and Country Risk factors The ratings reflect our assessment of key growth drivers and risks to outlook in the IT markets of the 11 countries in our regional coverage

The information and communications technology (ICT) sector is a key focus of most countries in the region, firstly as a key part of their diversification strategy away from hydrocarbons, and secondly

because of the growth of ICT services globally and the increasing integration of IT services with other industry verticals In addition to governments' strategic view of the ICT sector, we expect increases in disposable incomes in the region, following public sector wage rises to drive growth in the consumer segment of IT markets across the region

Israel retains top spot on our RRR table this quarter following a slight increase to its aggregate score from

66 to 66.5 The country has one of the most developed IT markets in the region, reflected by household computer penetration of more than 75% and significant government and military expenditure on IT projects Israel's well educated population, strong policies for IP protection, stable political environment and developed telecoms infrastructure also make it an attractive location for global IT players to site key R&D and production facilities

Qatar moves into second position this quarter, displacing the UAE which drops to third place, following changes to its Country Risk rating and an upgrade to Qatar's IT Market rating We downgraded Qatar and the UAE's Country Risk scores this quarter from 76 and 72.7 to 69.7 and 67 respectively, to account for the likely slowdown in economic growth because of the downward pressure on crude oil prices driven by economic crisis in Europe and a possible slowdown in China However, an upgrade to Qatar's IT Market score, as a result of strong demand for IT products and services in that country, led to a marginal net gain its aggregate score this quarter

Kuwait retains fourth place despite a slight decrease to its overall score this quarter The sharp increase in

government expenditure in 2011, which BMI expects to continue into 2012, provides a favourable

platform for strong demand for consumer and corporate IT products and services However, the country continues to be held back by a relatively small population and, consequently, a small-sized consumer market Bahrain, which drops to seventh from fifth in this quarter's update, also faces similar limitations

to its IT market potentials Bahrain's IT Market score of 26.3 is considerably lower than the regional score

of 30.7 The heightened risk in Bahrain's political environment, with the likelihood of continued government protests in the short term, also led to a downgrade of Bahrain's Country Risk score this

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anti-Saudi Arabia and Turkey moved up one place each into fifth and sixth positions, following Bahrain's slip Both countries boast large populations, strong demographics and better performing economic growth compared to many of their neighbours There have also been significant investments into the telecoms sector in both countries, a development we expect to sustain demand for IT services

Oman moves up one place into eighth position on our table this quarter to displace South Africa which drops one place into ninth There is no change to Oman's aggregate score from last quarter, but South Africa's IT Market score is downgraded from 47.3 to 44.9 to reflect the effect of slower economic growth

on demand for high-value IT services, especially in the consumer segment That said, we note that South Africa's large population and developed industry verticals such as financial services and retail make it an attractive market for IT services

Egypt drops into last position this quarter, although there is no change to its aggregate score The country was leapfrogged by Lebanon whose aggregate score was boosted by an upgrade to its Country Risk score Lebanon has some advantages in the form of its geographical location and youthful population However,

we retain our view that sustainable growth in the ICT sector depends on political stability and the

implementation of necessary reforms such as liberalisation of the telecoms market to drive growth Egypt also has the potential to be a regional IT hub considering its large population size, young and educated population, an expanding middle class and geographical location However, the ongoing political crisis in the country is undermining its potential Perhaps a successful transition to democracy after presidential elections in May/June 2012 will provide the much needed stability to drive growth and investments

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Table: MEA Q312 IT Risk/Reward Ratings

Limits Of Potential Return

Risks To Realisation Of

Returns

IT Market

Country Structure Limits

Market Risks

Country Risks Risks

IT Risk/

Reward Rating

Regional Ranking

Previous Ranking Israel 51.00 100.00 68.15 55.00 67.69 62.61 66.49 1 1

anticipated returns Source: BMI

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IT Markets Overview

IT Penetration

The Middle East region divides into two

groups in terms of information society

development In the first group are richer

and more technologically advanced

countries, such as Israel and the UAE,

where internet penetration is relatively

high and many households have access to

broadband services In more emerging

markets such as Egypt, on the other hand,

computers remain a luxury for many

Across the MEA region, the number of

internet users is expected to grow

significantly South Africa is projected to

advance the most in percentage terms,

with penetration rising from about 16.3% in 2012 to 24.1% by 2016 (note: figures may vary elsewhere in report due to updated forecasts after time of writing) Egypt, where the second biggest increase is

forecast, will have 55.4% penetration by 2016, up from 40.1% in 2012 The UAE is one of the most ready states in the region, with internet penetration seen as reaching 78.1% within the forecast period Growth in the number of internet subscribers is also forecast to pick up in Saudi Arabia, with a 21% increase between 2012 and 2016

e-Similar contrasts are apparent in relation to broadband penetration, where mobile broadband is now a major driver of overall penetration, due to 3G mobile service roll-outs across the region, and a

proliferation of mobile connectivity devices such as smartphones and tablets Broadband penetration, which currently ranges from 5.8% in Kuwait to 41.4% in Saudi Arabia

Government initiatives are afoot in most places, ranging from wireless broadband in Dubai to plans to

deploy optical fibre extensively in countries such as Kuwait BMI's broadband penetration forecasts have

been downgraded in many markets as a result of the economic downturn, with Saudi Arabia's 55.5% penetration see as the highest in 2016 Israel is projected to reach 28%, ahead of Qatar with 26.6%, the

second and third highest respectively among the countries covered by BMI

Internet Penetration

Per 100 Population

f = BMI forecast Source: BMI

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Internet and broadband penetration growth will receive boosts from continued efforts to liberalise

regional telecoms markets Moves towards telecoms market liberalisation have continued in Qatar, Egypt, Saudi Arabia and other countries Broadband penetration has become a driver of PC ownership in some segments, due to the growing variety of multimedia and communication services available

There is also considerable PC market

growth potential as the current level of

computerisation is estimated at less than

50% in every country in the region PC

penetration in Egypt is estimated at

around 10% and is forecast to rise to

above 20% by 2016 In Saudi Arabia, PC

penetration is currently above 25% and

should increase to around one-third by

2016 Even in Israel, where household

penetration is estimated at above 75%,

there is potential for further growth

Government initiatives will drive more

use of computers in education In 2011,

the Egyptian government announced a EGP150bn new school building programme, which should provide opportunities for IT suppliers Around 25% of Egypt's schools are not equipped with computers In the UAE, the Ministry of Education is leading an initiative to supply computers to state schools Meanwhile, the South African Department of Education has announced a target of rolling out laptops to all school children in the country by 2014

Governments in the region have also allocated significant budgets for e-government development The Qatari government has outlined plans to invest QAR6bn (US$1.6bn) in information technology and IT services as part of its ICT-2015 strategy The Kuwaiti government plans to spend US$104.3bn over the next four years, in an attempt to diversify the economy away from oil and boost the private sector Egypt aims to make 200 government services available soon online through a new e-government portal

Meanwhile, Qatar's e-government programme and Hukoomi e-services portal will continue to drive investment in computer hardware across government agencies and client organisations South Africa's IFMS (Integrated Financial Management Systems) project manages the evolution of government IT systems to support interoperability and e-government service development

Broadband Penetration

Per 100 Population

f = BMI Forecast Source: BMI

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vendors are capitalising on is the United Instalment Scheme (USI) finance option, which makes quality notebooks available to SMEs Qatar's ICT governing body, ictQatar, has made increasing SME utilisation of IT a key policy objective However, access to credit remains a barrier for smaller companies

high-in Egypt and elsewhere

Drivers are increasing economic

diversification and strong spending from

non-oil sectors such as government,

finance and enterprise By 2016, this

should be more evident, with IT's share

of GDP rising in many countries In

Saudi Arabia, for example,

government-driven investments in transportation,

property constructions and water and

power plants will drive opportunities for

IT vendors

An expected recovery in population

growth underpins our IT market growth

projections for markets such as the UAE

and Kuwait, which saw an exodus of expat workers in 2009 In particular, strong positive population growth gives Saudi Arabia an advantage, with growth expected to reach 10% by the end of our five-year forecast period

Across much of the MEA region, youthful population demographics and rising PC penetration will drive growth An evolving retail landscape will also help to stimulate sales, with the traditional domination of smaller stores having been diluted by the appearance of multi-brand electronics sections in hypermarkets and mono-brand stores in malls

In many Middle Eastern states, the hydrocarbon sector remains a key one for IT spending Expected increases in both oil output and prices should provide support for higher IT budgets in this vertical

Regional sector giants such as Saudi Aramco and Kuwaiti leader KNPC are investing in IT to enhance

operational efficiency, optimise cost structures and boost overall business agility

The banking sector will also remain a major user of technology as banks and other financial services organisations look to become more efficient and launch new services Telecoms is another growth area for technology spending, as service providers look to exploit the potential for increased revenue

generation from new services by implementing tools that facilitate more personalised offers to customers

Market Size

As % Of National GDP

f = BMI forecast Source: BMI

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In the wake of the political unrest that

swept the Arab world in the first half of

2011, government spending is expected

to help address economic concerns that

may have underpinned dissatisfaction in

some cases To help maintain social

stability, the Saudi government has

announced US$93bn in handouts,

including wage increases, which should

boost consumer spending on electronic

items such as PCs However, a further

deterioration of political stability in

countries such as Egypt could potentially

cause disruptions to distribution networks

and have an impact on outsourcing

operations

The highest growing IT market in the MEA IT market over the forecast period is expected to be Egypt, with compound growth of 89% for 2012-2016 There is room for considerable growth in the country in the next few years, given the current low level of computerisation, which is much higher in the business

sector than in the population at large BMI highlights strong growth for GCC countries, including Qatar

(47%), where the decision to award Qatar the 2022 FIFA World Cup is expected to fuel a wave of

investment in IT products and services Government spending, investment and private consumption growth are all expected to trend upwards in 2012, as Qatari real GDP growth reaches a projected 28.6%

in US dollar terms Other high-growth opportunities are forecast to include the UAE (72%) and South Africa (66%)

Sectors And Verticals

Hardware will continue to dominate MEA IT spending as the number of personal computer users rises steadily over the forecast period This will be driven by growing affordability, government initiatives and the popularity of notebooks There could be a boost from computer hardware tenders delayed as a result

of the economic situation

Sales of notebooks are growing roughly twice as fast as desktops in many markets In 2011, Saudi

retailers reported a surge in demand mobile PCs, in many cases fuelled by price cuts PC sales were stronger than previously expected, although this growth was driven in part by promotional price cutting

IT Market Compound Growth

2012-2016 (%)

Source: BMI

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The notebook sector was the main factor driving retail segment growth across the region in 2011 as consumer sales felt the benefits of aggressive channel promotions Notebooks are expected to account for more than 60% of total sales over the forecast period However, in a few markets such as Egypt, desktops still account for around half of the total PC market in volume terms

Much of the growth of notebooks has been driven by price cuts In 2011, average notebook costs dropped

by up to 25% for some models Many notebooks now retail in the price range US$544 to US$680, down from an average price of around US$800 before the financial crisis The launch of notebooks based on the Android operating system has supported this trend, as Android netbooks are often cheaper than Windows

7 ones

However, the growing popularity of tablets is expected to provide a growth area in 2012, after the product

category enjoyed a surge of popularity in 2011, fuelled by Apple's iPad Tablets will be a growth area

across the region in 2012, and the devices, originally seen as primarily for consumers, are forecast to experience increasing take-up in the business segment However, the popularity of alternative

connectivity devices such as tablets and smartphones has undercut replacement sales of notebooks

Government programmes in Egypt and Saudi Arabia have made low-price computers available in easy instalment payment schemes Government investment in education and e-services will mean desktop purchases for schools, colleges and government offices

Spending on software as a share of total IT spending is as low as 14% in Egypt and below 20% in a majority of MEA markets As the regional economy improves, more investment is likely to be driven by

Market Structure

% Of Total IT Market

f = BMI forecast Source: BMI

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plans for expansion, rather than merely to realise cost efficiencies Similarly the growing regional

ambitions of South African companies will be a factor driving corporate spending on software in that market,

Across the region however, many businesses remain focused on costs, and software vendors will pitch efficiency gains from virtualisation and cloud computing, as companies focus on return on investment

2012 should, however, see a boost from systems upgrades deferred from 2009 Migrations to the

Windows 7 operating system and new Intel core technology could trigger a new cycle of hardware

upgrades, although much will depend on business and consumer confidence Around half of Saudi

businesses still use computers based on the Windows XP operating system Meanwhile, about one-third

of computers in the UAE are still based on the Windows XP operating system

BMI predicts plenty of room for software market growth over the forecast period as numerous untapped sectors still exist Key verticals will include telecoms, finance, retail, healthcare and the public sector There has been growing demand in the market for applications tailored towards particular verticals SMEs are likely to lead spending growth, with manufacturing and trading firms seeking efficiencies by making the transition from manual environments to full automation of back-office systems Customer relationship management (CRM) will be a growth area, and other high-growth categories are set to include business intelligence, storage and security products The security software market is very important throughout the region as increased investments in IT hardware over recent years are now driving spending on secure content management technologies

There are some challenges for the regional software market One key issue is that of illegal software: across the region, up to 80% of software is counterfeit Another important factor is low income, including the high costs of operating systems such as Windows, which has led to activity to promote open source in

countries such as Egypt, championed by IBM and other vendors

Over BMI's five-year forecast period, software-as-a-service (SaaS) business models are expected to provide a growing opportunity for vendors, with increasing demand for industry-specific applications Government adoption will also be a key driver in many countries, such as the UAE where cloud services are central to the emirates government's e-government strategy for the next three years

BMI predicts that demand for IT services will grow strongly during the 2012-2016 period The regional

IT services market is dominated by demand from oil and gas, government, finance and telecoms sectors, which many markets account for more than half of total spending In markets such as Saudi Arabia, most enterprise application spending still comes from segments such as oil and gas and banks However, more projects are expected in segments such as education and health

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Currently, IT services' share of IT spending ranges from around 25% to 37% in the MEA countries covered by BMI Support and maintenance account for around one-third of spending on IT services, but demand for more complex services has increased, with large outsourcing deals in the UAE, Israel and elsewhere There is also demand for services such as hosting, facilities management and disaster

recovery

Vendors have reported an evolution in demand for services, with a shift away from the dominance of product implementation and installation to greater interest in managed services, value-added services, facilities management, hosting and business continuity and disaster recovery Even in less mature markets such as Egypt, larger customers are becoming more demanding in terms of their IT expectations

In both the private and public sectors, MEA organisations are looking for help to utilise efficiencies from cloud computing services such as SaaS and infrastucture-as-a-service (IaaS) Surveys suggest that cloud spending was an IT investment priority for around one-quarter of MEA businesses in 2011 Cloud

services are central to the UAE's e-government strategy for the next three years In 2011, Kuwaiti data

communications services providers such as Zajil signed agreements with partners to expand their

cloud-based product offerings Particular areas of opportunity for cloud computing include government, banking and retailing as organisations in those fields look to save money on hardware investments

Cloud computing is also becoming viable in markets such as South Africa due to improved and cost bandwidth availability

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lower-Market Overview

Government Authority

Government Authority Ministry of Science and Technology

Minister Daniel Hershkowitz

The Ministry of Science and Technology has undergone numerous name changes and received its current name following the election of Binyamin Netanyahu's government in March 2009

The ministry's responsibilities include forming a national science and technology policy, coordinating research areas and technological analysis and organisation

The main priorities for the ministry are as follows:

ƒ Establishing a national policy and priorities for R&D;

ƒ Developing scientific and technological infrastructure;

ƒ Establishing and strengthening foreign scientific relations;

ƒ Participating in the establishment of research centres, including regional R&D centres;

ƒ Participating in the development of scientific and technological human resources;

ƒ Increasing awareness of science within the public, especially the youth of Israel;

ƒ Developing digital infrastructure (facilitating access to information);

ƒ Consulting the government and its offices in the area of science and technology

Background

All major vendors have a direct presence in Israel, employing substantial numbers of staff For example,

IBM has its only IBM Global Services regional subsidiary in Petach Tikva and employs around 2,000 staff at its Haifa Labs and various IBM facilities in Rehovot and Jerusalem HP has as many as 4,000

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employees and offers services and support through its subsidiary HP-OMS Other vendors such as Oracle and EDS also have a sizeable presence

Foreign direct investment (FDI) first started to play a key role in Israel's economy in the mid-1990s as the country's high-tech sector underwent a rapid expansion As well as the opening up of the financial and telecoms sectors, the high-tech sector succeeded in attracting large FDI inflows The government's policy made foreign high-tech companies eligible for government grants covering 38% of the cost of new research and development facilities Today, Israel has more offshore R&D centres of US high-tech companies than any other country

Local companies also have a significant presence in the Israeli IT market, with seven of the top 10 IT

services firms being Israeli Major players include Matrix, Ness Technologies and Malam Group, with

Israel typically accounting for 40-50% of their revenue.

Government Initiatives

Gov@Net – Government intranet

A cross-government intranet planned to connect more than 80 governmental networks and hundreds of institutes The implementation will create the largest Israeli IP-VPN The project will allow efficient internal communication and resource sharing

Mercava – Government ERP

Mercava is the largest ever IT project implemented in Israel It will gradually replace the assortment of unique legacy systems currently operating in governmental bodies with a central, unified enterprise resource planning (ERP) system running on SAP system software

This project will create a unified language for cross-government activities

Government EIP

This project is intended to promote enterprise portals within the government Since a cross-government portal will be based on information received from the different bodies, the first step involves the construction of a ministry-level portal This portal will draw information from Merkava, ministry-specific operational systems, and intra-government shared resources

Tehila – Government ISP

The Government ISP project has been operational since 1998, providing essential infrastructure for public-government communication

To date, 60% of the governmental bodies have voluntarily joined the project

Shoham – E-commerce infrastructure and service

A central e-commerce service allowing citizens and companies to access a uniform interface to carry out a variety of payments and purchases, including the payment of taxes, fees, fines (VAT, vehicle and driving licence fees, traffic fines), and the purchase of tangible goods (government publications) The service processed more than ILS250mn in its first year

Lehava project

Group of initiatives to help close digital divide

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Hardware

The Israeli computer hardware market, including desktops, notebooks, servers and accessories, is

forecast to reach US$2.5bn in 2012 The market is expected to grow at a CAGR of 7% over the forecast period to reach US$3.3bn in 2016, higher than previously forecast

BMI upwardly revised its Israeli PC market growth estimate for 2011, when the market consolidated

recovery from the impact of the economic slowdown, which hit consumer demand for electronic goods Businesses are now investing more to facilitate expansion and development, rather than purely to realise cost efficiencies, but there should be growth areas However, lower average prices have meant that revenue growth in most segments has lagged shipments

As the Israeli economy's growth cools in 2012, enterprises will remain cautious about capital spending, but there could be a boost from computer hardware tenders previously delayed because of the economic

situation Migrations to Microsoft's Windows 7 operating system and new Intel core technology should

stimulate new cycles of hardware upgrades, although much will depend on business and consumer

confidence In 2010, Israeli computer shipments recorded a strong recovery, which continued in 2011, but

a moderation is expected in 2012

Consumer spending is also expected to moderate in 2012, having been the main growth area in 2011 The current rate of PC penetration, while high for the region, represents potential for organic growth

Household penetration is estimated at around 75% Digital divide issues mean Israel currently has

600,000 children living below the poverty line, only 3% of whom have internet or home PC access, compared with 90% in the top-income group The Israeli government has launched various initiatives to increase computer and internet penetration, including Computer for Every Child, Window to Tomorrow's World, Tapuah (the Israeli Society for the Advancement of the Information Age) and others The level of support, however, has been criticised by some industry insiders as too low Meanwhile, there were signs

in early 2012 of a consumer slowdown, although low unemployment and inflation, and a wage rise for public sector workers, should prevent this from being too severe

The Israeli IT market is relatively mature, but hardware still accounts for around half of the total market, excluding communications hardware Notebooks are the fastest-growing segment of the market, although

as recently as 2008 desktops still took around two-thirds of unit sales In 2010-2011, however, the share

of desktops declined precipitously, due in large part to demand for non-PC form factors such as

smartphone and tablets

This trend of mobility is expected to continue over the 2012-2016 forecast period Despite its declining share of sales, however, the desktop sector is still significant, largely due to business and government

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competition from form factors In particular, smartphones from Palm, RIM, Apple and other vendors are

being offered as alternative connectivity solutions and often include a Wi-Fi option

Tablet notebooks first emerged as a significant market factor in 2010, spearheaded by Apple's iPad In October 2010, Apple released the Hebrew-compatible version of its operating system for the tablet, which was expected to boost imports of the device to Israel Previously Israeli users of the iPad were obliged to pay for a less than optimal Hebrew keyboard application

In August 2010, iDigital, the Israeli importer of the iPad, had announced the availability of the device for

sale in Israel, but, as of October 2010, the cellular companies were still not offering the device The Israel Ministry of Communications had cleared import of the Apple iPad for Israel in April, after previous concerns that iPads were in non-compliance with Israeli wireless standards One Israeli chain was selling the iPad at a retail price of ILS3,800, or around US$1,000, about twice the price of the device in the United States

Other vendors are expected to follow Apple in releasing net tablet devices, which have a form factor between the size of a smartphone and a netbook Tablets are being designed to appeal to consumers who find a smartphone inconvenient for consuming video media or surfing the web, but for whom a netbook is still too big or heavy Tablets are expected to be significantly more expensive than smartphones, but, despite a previous mixed record with this form factor, are seen as a growth area

Another area vendors will watch is the e-reader market Like iPads, Kindles are not yet readily available

in Israel, but that situation is expected to change Currently Amazon, Barnes and Noble and Apple do

not permit the use of an Israeli credit card at their online bookstores However, Amazon now offers Israeli consumers the ability to download content directly to their PC or Kindle using an Israeli credit card

Software

Israeli software spending is projected at US$1.3bn in 2012, up 3% year-on-year The packaged software segment is expected to grow at a CAGR of around 10% over the forecast period In 2011, the pick-up in demand for systems and upgrades continued in both public and private sectors, with investments by government organisations such as the Israeli Ministry of Defense and Israeli Police, and from utilities

leader Israel Electric Company

Despite the uncertain global economic outlook for Israels export-based economy, opportunities for software vendors continue to exist across a range of sectors from government to energy, financial

services, telecoms and utilities Large organisations investing in SAP-based systems included the Meitav Regional Water and Sewage Corporation and Israel Direct Insurance (IDI) Local IT leader Ness was

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among those vendors reporting a rebound in Israeli market revenue growth, with the company's

annualised revenue growth increasing in each quarter

Meanwhile, the SME segment, the mainstay of the Israeli business sector, has emerged in recent years as

an important growth area for enterprise systems Spending on enterprise solutions should continue to grow steadily, with reviving or emerging areas of opportunity including security, CRM solutions and business intelligence However, in the current economic climate, vendors will continue to pitch the efficiency gains potentially offered by these applications

Migrations to the Windows 7 operating system should have a positive impact on 2012 sales despite business caution More than 50% of Israeli computer users are estimated to still be using the Windows XP operating system, and this represents a significant potential market, as support for XP will be withdrawn

by 2014

2012 should, in any event, see a boost from systems upgrades previously deferred as a result of the impact

of the economic crisis in public and private sectors Current areas of enterprise demand include

management of Microsoft systems and servers, as well as systems management, basic data management, firewalls, enterprise resource planning (ERP) implementation and CRM CRM is a particularly buoyant area, while in H111 vendors continued to sign up new business intelligence customers

The security software segment is an important opportunity, potentially worth tens of millions of dollars Israel has become more aware of the growing threat and sophistication of cyber attacks and has been encouraging government and private sector organisations to take action Spending is likely to continue across all segments, with security content and threat management the current priorities

Given the current focus on many businesses of controlling costs, the pay-on-demand SaaS model has grown in popularity and spread beyond the initial core application area of CRM The economic crisis may have provided a lasting boost to the SaaS model, particularly as broadband penetration grows More vendors are looking for channel partners to help them offer cloud computing and rented software services

to local organisations

New cloud computing offerings and increased competition in this segment should fuel further demand from users As well as cost savings, businesses will look to boost efficiency and increase flexibility of response to customer needs Large businesses are most likely to put IT applications such as mail, phone systems and document management into the cloud However, enterprise applications that require a high level of customisation, or which are subject to regulatory or data-sensitivity constraints, are more likely to stay on premise

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In terms of verticals, the financial sector has been a mainstay of demand, with other key areas including defence and healthcare These three sectors are somewhat immunised against the consequences of the global slowdown Despite the current financial crisis, regulatory compliance and demand for new services will continue to drive IT spending by banks Vendors reported in Q110 that the key financial services segment had started to see demand recovery Similarly, defence spending on new systems is likely to be maintained given the current security situation

Software comprises an important part of Israel's industrial production and exports, with software exports

of US$3bn representing around two-thirds of the value of the entire domestic IT sector Almost all global vendors are active in the domestic market, selling licences alongside integration and applications services Global vendors control more than three-quarters of the market, with SAP in first place In the past, the Israeli SME segment was dominated by local software companies Now international players, including market leaders such as SAP and Oracle, are entering with appropriate software packages Microsoft is also designing a software package for this market segment

Services

The IT services segment is forecast to reach a value of US$2.0bn in 2012, and this is expected to grow at

a CAGR of 10% over the forecast period to reach US$2.9bn in 2016 In 2011, vendors reported a

continued flow of new projects in sectors such as government, financial services, homeland security and utilities Key sectors such as government and financial services had driven a pick-up in growth in

2010 after demand was hit by a slowdown in 2009

In H111, demand for IT services continued to be healthy, according to leading vendors, with new projects across public sector, industrial and financial verticals The defence and homeland security sector was also solid However, much will depend on confidence in the global economic recovery, particularly in key Israeli export markets Vendors have had to adapt to an environment where some projects are

commissioned more in response to immediate needs and with a focus on cost reduction

Defence and government spending represent a significant component of Israeli IT demand and have some immunity to economic vicissitudes In Q410, the Ministry of Defense awarded a US$6mn IT contract, and in Q111 the same department awarded a US$10mn contract for a new command and control system Among other smaller government projects in 2011, the Israeli Police awarded a US$6mn contract

Vendors reported that in 2010 demand had revived in the key financial services vertical, where new

projects included an US$11mn IT outsourcing tender by the First International Bank of Israel

Government agencies were also commissioning or extending IT contracts, including a US$2.6mn

outsourcing contract extension awarded by Israel's Ministry of Environmental Protection Meanwhile, healthcare and utilities were also generating outsourcing projects This continued into H111 with the

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award of a US$17mn deal by Israel Electric Company The development of a natural gas sector should be one driver of opportunities in the utilities vertical

The relatively robust economy and increased investment by several key sectors have driven recent

growth, but the number of new projects decelerated in 2009 owing to the economic slowdown Public sector spending helped to prop up demand, however Among public sector organisations tendering IT outsourcing contracts in Q409 were the Israeli Ministry of Immigration Absorption and the Israeli

Ministry of the Interior

Growth is expected to reach a higher trajectory in the second half of our five-year forecast period Key Israeli IT services spending verticals include the financial sector, where international regulatory

compliance and structural and market reforms have driven substantial IT investment The sector accounts for around 25% of total IT services spending, while the government accounts for another quarter

Along with defence, these two key sectors are likely to be a continued source of opportunity because the factors driving spending in each case are not particularly sensitive to the economic downturn The new administration will likely feel pressure to ramp up government spending to combat lower private

consumption and rising unemployment Another key area of opportunity is healthcare IT

One potential demand driver will be organisations looking for help to utilise efficiencies from cloud computing such as SaaS and Infrastructure-as-a-Service (IaaS) Particular areas of opportunity for cloud computing include banking and retailing as organisations in those fields look to save money on hardware

investments In 2011, vendors such as Alcatel-Lucent have continued to invest in new cloud computing

facilities in Israel, leveraging the country's expertise

While large organisations still dominate, SMEs have also been investing more and represent a growth opportunity Many SMEs are waking up to the need to compete through more direct investment in support and service infrastructures Similar factors are driving an increase in demand for managed services, with businesses reluctant to invest in internal IT capabilities, or deterred from doing so by a lack of available skills

Outsourcing

Outsourcing has become a bigger factor and was forecast to account for about 20% of IT services

spending, or at least US$320mn, in 2011 Key sectors for IT outsourcing include:

ƒ The military, with outsourcing deals such as that awarded to HP by the Israeli Navy for management of its IT infrastructure highlighting the opportunities there While the value of the

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ƒ The financial sector is another leading vertical for outsourcing In 2006, a deal between First

International Bank of Israel and EDS Israel was the largest outsourcing contract in the Israeli banking industry and a milestone at the time Tata Consultancy Services' decision to open a

local branch also underlines the potential attraction of the financial sector, now benefiting from economic recovery and greater security

ƒ The retail sector offers further opportunities, with IBM Israel having a 10-year outsourcing contract with Clubmarket Marketing Chains The contract includes computer systems for the

supermarket chain's branches and point-of-sale terminals

Although Israel seemingly possesses many advantages as an outsourcing destination (in particular a technologically literate, linguistically skilled workforce and low labour costs relative to most developed countries), the country has failed to capitalise on these strengths in the past Aside from Israel's small size, another issue is security However, the government is now actively promoting Israel to multinationals, and there has been a spate of call-centre construction The work seems to be paying off, with Israel starting to emerge as a desirable location for packaged applications and localisation services

Industry Developments

IT is an important element of the Israeli government's socio-economic policy framework The National Economic Council submitted a policy agenda to the government that specified two main policy tracks to reduce poverty and achieve balanced growth The first track is expected to emerge as the main priority for the government The digital divide is both a symptom and an aggravator of relative poverty In May 2010, the Israeli Ministry of Finance launched a programme called 'Relative Advantage' to provide a boost to Israel's high-tech sector

IT will be harnessed to the second goal of achieving balanced, long-term economic growth Israel's software sector has long been one of the country's economic pillars and a magnet for inward

investment.The Israeli Association of Electronics and Software Industries has projected that the software sector will generate US$3.2bn annually by the end of the decade The government hoped the high-tech sector would generate US$3.0bn for the nation's economy by 2010

Offshoring

Israel is working hard to ensure it benefits from the global offshoring trend, which it sees as an area of potential Despite an often unstable political and security situation, Israel has marketed its IT skills with some success and attracted outsourcing operations from major IT corporations such as Intel, IBM and

Microsoft, as well as Motorola One factor in this, of course, has been incentives that the Israeli

government started to offer back in 2006, with subsidies of up to ILS1,000 per employee per month

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Several major public and private sector outsourcing deals have also highlighted the growing importance

of outsourcing

However, there are fears of a skills bottleneck In 2007, the government said Israel hoped to produce 10,000 engineers a year by 2010, up from the present graduation rate of 4,900, a small number by the standards of China, India and the US, but a big challenge for Israel The number of jobs in the sector rose

to around 61,000 in 2006, according to the government's Central Bureau of Statistics Engineering

salaries in Israel are about half those in the US but double those in India

HP The government chose Microsoft search technology to power its government services portal, gov.il

Meanwhile, the Israeli government was progressing with its plans to roll out smart ID card systems intended to cover the entire population With an urgent need for the government to update technology and strengthen authentication systems, the original target was to introduce 2.5mn smart ID cards In

December 2008, HP was awarded a contract to produce 5mn ID cards; however, it is yet to receive the go-ahead from the Knesset, which is deliberating over the passing of the biometric database bill The ID cards, set to cost Israel US$67.49mn, would use 'smart' identification methods involving fingerprints and digital photography

The 2005-2007 masterplan of the government's ERP project called for implementation in around 90 government units by the end of 2007 The project leveraged mySAP ERP (content delivery software) and had a focus on financial, logistics and human resource components Dubbed Merkava, the project cost an estimated ILS800mn since its launch in 1999

Israel's Digital Divide

It has been estimated that Israel currently has around 600,000 children living below the poverty line, and the Gini co-efficient has been estimated as among the highest of any Organisation for Economic

Cooperation and Development (OECD) country A 2007 survey found only 30% of children living in poverty have internet or home PC access, compared with 90% in the top-income group Alarm at such statistics has helped to make tackling the digital divide central to the government's key policy goal of reducing poverty There is also an ethnic dimension to digital inequalities Recent research by the

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University of Haifa showed a consistent gap in internet access between the Jewish and Arab populations, with 72.5% of the former using the internet in Israel compared with 52.5% of the latter

In order to deal with the digital divide problem, the following measures have been proposed:

ƒ A senior minister for the high-tech sector should be appointed to coordinate activities currently carried out by various ministries The minister should prepare a master plan for government policy in the information industry

ƒ Regulations should be amended to facilitate rapid investments in communications, technological infrastructure, bandwidth and fast internet backbone

ƒ Massive investment should be made in the educational system for training information workers

ƒ Aid to be given to the less wealthy to make them part of Israel's information industry

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Industry Forecast

BMI projects that the Israeli IT market will grow to a value of US$5.8bn in 2012, lower than previously

forecast, due to the global economic headwinds The market is forecast to reach US$8.1bn in 2016 In Q112, several indicators suggested moderating consumer demand, but vendors still reported a solid trading environment for IT services across industrial, government, defence and financial services

segments

The Israeli IT market should gain enough momentum from key sectors to expand at a CAGR of 8% over

BMI's 2012-2016 forecast period, thanks to stable demand from defence and government sectors as well

as opportunities in verticals such as financial services and small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs)

2012 Outlook

Spending on IT products and services is expected to moderate in 2012 In 2011 PC sales bounced back with modest single-digit year-on-year (y-o-y) growth However, growth momentum is expected to ease because of shifts in the global economic environment The Israeli economy continues to cool and sluggish external demand and weaker consumer spending are likely to weigh on headline growth throughout the year

BMI forecasts overall solid growth for the Israeli IT market for 2012 With IT spending highly correlated

wtih GDP growth, businesses will maintain a cautious attitude to IT investments this year There should, however, be opportunities for vendors around business intelligence and cloud computing Sales could receive a boost from computer purchases previously delayed as a result of the economic situation The move to mobility and new form factors such as tablets will help to drive demand in the consumer

segment, while to some extent undermining demand for traditional notebooks

Consumer spending continued to slow in Q112, after spending on durable goods such as PCs showed signs of falling off in 2011 Per capita consumption of durable goods contracted by an annualised 14.5% quarter-on-quarter in Q211 However, consumer spending should be supported by stimulatory fiscal spending as well as falling unemployment and low inflation and interest rates

Meanwhile, in 2011, vendors reported a continued pick-up in the flow of IT projects, with new large

tenders from the Israeli Ministry of Defense and the Israel Electric Company Vendors reported demand

had revived in the key financial services vertical, continuing a trend established in 2010, when new

projects included an US$11mn IT outsourcing tender by the First International Bank of Israel

Healthcare, the public sector and utilities were also generating new projects or significant contract

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Migrations to Microsoft's Windows 7 operating system could trigger a new cycle of hardware upgrades

in 2011, although much will depend on business and consumer confidence More than 50% of Israeli computer users are estimated to still be using the Windows XP operating system

Market Drivers

The Israeli IT market has several positive fundamentals that should keep it in positive territory during

BMI's five-year forecast period Household computer penetration of around 75% offers potential for

further growth High internet penetration and growing broadband penetration are drivers for the retail segment, along with interest in multimedia and mobile computing applications and the new popularity of mini-computers

Per capita IT spending is expected to rise from US$764 in 2012 to US$1,059 by 2016 Spending by key

IT spending verticals such as defence and financial services are somewhat insulated from economic vicissitudes Vendors will target projects across a range of sectors from government to financial services, telecoms and utilities Regulatory compliance will continue to necessitate IT spending by banks and the financial services sector, which accounts for about 15% of Israeli IT spending

Another 50% of IT spending is accounted for by government and military projects, which will have a relatively low sensitivity to economic downturn compared with the commercial sector Government IT and digital-divide initiatives are important sources of opportunity for vendors, with recent projects

ranging from government e-services portals to healthcare The government remains determined to

preserve the country's status as a high-tech powerhouse and drive development of the knowledge

economy

While the defence sector is, and is expected to remain, the single most important vertical, investments by financial sector organisations should mean more large outsourcing deals Other sectors of opportunity will include healthcare and telecoms, as well as infrastructure, transport and the small office and home office sector

Opportunities

As a result of this activity, IT services are expected to display the highest growth over the forecast period Growing enthusiasm for outsourcing is putting Israel on the map, with some recent large tenders such as

HP's contract for outsourced management of the Israeli navy's IT infrastructure The economic slowdown

may reinforce this trend

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Israel is also emerging as a location for some business process outsourcing (BPO) functions helped by government incentives However, much depends on there being a sustained improvement in the economy,

as well as the overall political environment

One potential demand driver will be organisations looking for help in using efficiencies from cloud computing, such as SaaS and Infrastructure-as-a-Service Particular areas of opportunity for cloud

computing include banking and retailing, as organisations in those fields look to save money on hardware

While large organisations still dominate, SMEs have been investing more and represent a growth

opportunity Many SMEs are waking up to the need to compete through more direct investment in support and service infrastructures

Summary

Although the Israeli economy is vulnerable to continued global economic headwinds, BMI believes that

IT spending has sufficient strength in key demand verticals to maintain a positive trajectory The

hardware market is forecast to grow from US$2.5bn in 2012 to US$3.3bn in 2016, with PC sales

projected to rise from an estimated US$2.0bn to US$2.7bn Over the period, software spending is

expected to increase from an estimated US$1.3bn to US$1.9bn and services from an estimated US$2.0bn

notebooks) (US$mn) 1,853.2 1,726.3 1,832.8 2,013.5 2,047.0 2,243.4 2,412.0 2,550.9 2,715.6

e/f = BMI estimate/forecast Source: BMI, ITU (Internet and broadband penetration)

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Industry Forecast Internet

Table: Internet Data And Forecasts, 2009-2016

e/f = BMI estimate/forecast Source: ITU, BMI

As with our fixed-line and mobile

telephony forecasts, we have revised

and extended our forecast for the

development of Israel's internet user

and broadband subscriber markets Our

new set of forecast figures runs to the

end of 2016 We estimate that there

were a total of 5.34mn users as of 2011,

giving Israel a penetration rate of

70.6% We expect steady, but slowing,

growth in the number of internet users

to continue for the duration of our

forecast, resulting in 6.52mn internet

users in 2016, equivalent to a

penetration rate of 79.7%

Meanwhile, owing to a lack of reliable data on the number of mobile broadband subscribers (specifically those subscribers who use USB dongles and data cards to access the internet via laptops, PCs and

smartphones), our forecast for the Israeli broadband sector is currently based on fixed broadband

connections only Data published by incumbent telco Bezeq suggests that the number of fixed broadband

subscribers had increased to around 1.874mn at the end of September 2011, up by 3.5% from 1.81mn at

the end of 2010 BMI estimates that, by the end of 2011, Israel's broadband subscriber base had risen to

1.893mn; this is equivalent to a penetration rate of 25% and reflects full year growth of 4.6%

Industry Trends – Internet Sector

2009-2016

e/f = estimate/forecast Source: BMI

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Over the next five years ended 2016 we envisage average annual growth of 3.9% for the Israeli

broadband sector This will see the subscriber base reach 2.29mn subscribers, equivalent to a penetration rate of 28% We expect the growing popularity of mobile broadband services to result in slowing demand growth in the fixed broadband sector Nevertheless, we identify several developments which will sustain fixed broadband growth for the duration of our forecast and beyond These include Bezeq's ongoing deployment of its fibre-to-the-cabinet (FTTC), a development which is helping to drive capacity for its residential and corporate customers' broadband access Meanwhile, recent months have seen considerable reductions in the price of broadband tariffs being offered by the major operators Another development likely to stimulate growth is the introduction of LLU, which will give alternative operators access to Bezeq's network and will stimulate much greater competition

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