Finweek UK 20 February 2014
Trang 1finweek MONEY POWER. M
SA: R23.50 (incl VAT)
Other countries: R20.61 (excl VAT)
0 8 9 3 7
Trang 2The accolades we’ve won over the years are proof that we do.
www.stanlib.com
STANLIB is an Authorised Financial
Success follows passion.
Some choose not to
follow their passion.
Trang 3finweekMONEY POWER.M
P10 LIFE HACKS FOR
4 Feedback From our readers
6 Rewind & Fast Forward News review and preview
8 Context Corruption in South Africa
10 Cover Life hacks for any money personality
18 Insight Entrepreneur turned activist
22 Right of Reply A view from SA’s accounting body
24 The Gab Why I banned brainstorming
30 Investment Industrials present risk, resources & banks
32 opportunity; Windows of opportunity for miners
34 Killer Trade: Exxaro Resources selling momentum is
36 slowing; Mining’s evil triplets
37 Invest DIY Understanding the retailer sector
38 Pro Pick Simon Property Group
39 House View Punts
40 Traders Analysts giving you the low-down
41 Simon Says Adapt IT, BSI Steel, Satrix
42 Small Cap Steady growth for OneLogix
43 Fund Focus Stanlib Bond Fund
44 Entrepreneur Six ways to raise our kids to be entrepreneurs
48 Start-ups: Understanding Kiril Dobrev
50 Money Born rich; Lessons from death
54 Goodwill in valuation
56 Technology Road Test: Sony PS4; Al to improve Africa
58 Life How we spoil ourselves (and how we afford it)
60 Directors & Dividends Dealings and payouts
62 In Brief Crossword; Sudoku; Tweets
Trang 4Feedback
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IN COMPANIES,
UNITY IS VITAL
Good to read Finance for non-financial sorts
and to agree with some, but not all of what
Paul Maughan writes
However, he is correct in detecting my
irritation, irritation that he still peddles the
accountant versus marketers (and
every-one else) argument As a lecturer I would
suggest he should know better This is an
argument that sadly still exists in some
companies, and is debilitating to their
per-formance Not an argument that exists in
top global FMCG (fast-moving consumer
goods) companies Writing as long ago as
1997 in the publication Brand Valuation,
published in London by
Interbrand/Pre-mier Books, I refer to the issue and to the
harm internal strife does to external
per-formance of a company
Fast-forward to last month and the
chief marketing officer (CMO) of Deloitte
(where accountants are grown) was telling
a Corporate Citizenship Conference at the
Harvard Club in New York that 85% of all
corporate value creation comes from
intan-gibles That is worth repeating: yes, 85%
But your writer would be quick to
point out this would not apply in the
min-ing sector!
Just as in any rugby side you have the
specialist skills of a hooker, prop (both loose
and tight head) and that is only three of the fifteen players, so in business you require an array of skills But the bottom line is that you all play for the same team, and teams that play as one are the most successful
have a question related to costs: if I were
to go the route of using a broker instead of buying an ETF through one of the pro-viders, I would obviously incur brokerage
as a one-off cost Subsequently, I would only incur annual charges related to the TER but not the annual platform fee This would amount to a saving of 0.65% per an-num if I use the Satrix platform Am I cor-rect in this?
I guess the only downside to going this route is that if you buy and sell regularly, brokerage costs would be much higher than the 0.1% transaction charge that Sat-rix would charge
blairb@finweek.co.za Lisa Illingworth lisa@lkdesines.co.za Gavin Symanowitz gavin@blockbusterinnovation.com David Mckay
david@miningmx.com Moxima Gama moxima@themoneyhub.co.za Simon Brown
simon@justonelap.com Warren Dick
warrendick7@gmail.com Colette Symanowitz colette@mbaconnect.net Gregg Sneddon gregg@thefinancialcoach.co.za Glenda Williams
glendaw@finweek.co.za Kristia van Heerden kristiav@finweek.co.za Simon Dingle simond@finweek.co.za
For more information, visit
finweek.com
Contact Finweek, P O Box 785266, Sandton 2146, tel (011) 217-3000 or feedback@finweek.co.za
Trang 5Franklin Resources, Inc is a global investment management organization operating as Franklin Templeton Investments This material does not constitute investment advice or an invitation to apply for securities Investors should seek professional fi nancial advice and obtain a full explanation of any proposed investment before making a decision to invest Investments involve risks The values of investments can go down as well as up, and investors may not get back the full amount invested.
GLOBAL PERSPECTIVE.
LOCAL EXPERTISE.
There’s a world of investment opportunity out there,
if you know where to look With over 600 investment
professionals and offices in more than 30 countries,
Franklin Templeton offers investors a unique perspective
on the increasingly important and complex world of
global investing today.
To put our 65 years of global investment experience to
work for you, visit franklintempleton.co.za or contact
your fi nancial advisor.
INVESTMENT
OPPORTUNITiES
SPAN THE GLOBE
Trang 6Recently Janet Yellen was sworn
in as the new chairperson of the
US Federal Reserve With the
global economy still fragile,
there are some interesting parallels to be
drawn between the role that Yellen will
ful-fil and the pressures on South Africa’s own
Reserve Bank Governor Gill Marcus
Could they be a force to shape global
finance over the next few years if they
worked closer together?
Vunani Securities economist Ilke Smit
describes the waters Marcus is
navigat-ing: “South Africa is an economy currently
struggling with below-potential economic
growth with inflation expected to breach
the upper limit of the target band (3%-6%)
soon.”
Isaac Matshego, an economist at
Ned-bank, says that one of Yellen’s major
chal-lenges, which is different from Marcus’s, is
ending the massive monetary stimulus that
has been implemented in the US over
the past four years
The US GDP growth rose to
just over 4% in the third quarter of
2013 as both consumer spending
and business investment
strength-ened Yellen therefore has to
normalise US interest rates
as the US recovery gains
momentum and
unem-ployment continues to
drop, says Matshego
A not her d i f
fer-ence bet ween t he
two countries is the
savings rate The US
enjoys a positive
sav-INSIGHT
Rewind
lights that there is another economic factor the two could work together on and learn from one another
Says Smit: “A macro-economic drum especially rife in South Africa, which
conun-is starting to plague the US economy in ever greater terms, is inequality in income distribution Unequal income distribution does not affect monetary policy in the short term, but does lower the potential level of economic growth in the long term, which could be something rising the complexity of
US monetary policy making in due course.”Flow of advice is therefore another poten-tial benefit, says Lings, because no central bank has all the answers “That interaction between the Sarb and the US Fed can be extremely helpful for SA as it can help as well when it comes to policy formulation and studying other models.”
SA’s current Monetary Policy tee (MPC) framework was adopted from the Bank of England MPC, and was strength-ened by former member, Ian Plenderleith Plenderleith was appointed deputy governor
Commit-of the Sarb in 2003 under former Governor Tito Mboweni and worked with Marcus and Xolile Guma as joint deputy governors Despite being different, economic growth and job creation are top priorities for both central banks The Fed pursues a dual mandate of price stability and job creation while the Sarb only pursues one mandate, price stability Lings, however, says that Marcus’s policy suggests that she assumes
a dual mandate and takes into account the growth rate and job creation
Tandisizwe Mahlutshana
tandisizwem@finweek.co.za
A Gill and Janet affair for SA
ings rate, whereas SA consumers are traditionally “dis-savers”
Says Smit: “When interest rates rise consumers do not have a buffer in the form of savings to assist consumption and drive economic growth, and in an environment of positive savings, stimu-latory monetary policy has not driven current account deficits wider and encouraged dis-saving – where in SA, these dynamics have adversely impacted the currency, which is currently the main risk to the inflation outlook.”
Both Yellen and Marcus face different challenges as their macro-economic con-ditions vary vastly But does that mean that SA should not pursue a relationship with the US Fed or vice versa?
Kevin Lings, chief economist at lib, says that a close working relationship with the US Fed could be valuable to SA
Stan-in a number of ways One is the tial for flow of research and infor-mation between the two central banks
poten-The economic research unit at the US Fed is made up of three teams, the Division of Research and Statistics, the Divi-
s i o n o f M o n e t a r y Affairs, and the Divi-sion of International Finance, together employing approx-imately 450 staff members, about half of whom are PhD economists
Smit, too,
Trang 7ROBOTIC, DRIVERLESS CARS might
sound like inventions from the distant
future (or a science-fiction film) but
they could be arriving sooner than you
think Vehicles capable of driving
them-selves already exist (believe it or not)
and could be driving you to your
des-tination sometime in the next 10 years
PIONEERS
Google has been working on
self-driv-ing technology since 2010, includself-driv-ing
testing a fleet of self-driving cars along
California roadways The project is
cur-rently being led by Google engineer
Sebastian Thrun, director of the
Stan-ford Artificial Intelligence Laboratory
and co-inventor of Google Street View
Nissan has also joined Google in the
race to make driverless cars a reality
and announced in July last year that it
will be ready with multiple,
commercial-ly-viable Autonomous Drive vehicles by
2020
Nissan’s team of engineers has
been carrying out intensive research
on the technology for years, alongside
teams from the world’s top universities,
i n c l u d i n g M I T and Stanford.
Ford, Audi, Mercedes, Toyota and Volvo have also expressed their inter- est in developing the technology, as the cost comes down
Elon Musk, the South African expat billionaire who is CEO and chief prod- uct architect of electric vehicle com- pany Tesla Motors, is trying his hand, too, and has made the promise that his company will produce a driverless ve- hicle within the next three years
However, his three-year timeline is more ambitious than those set out by other car makers Analysts say that it will take 10 to 15 years before self-driv- ing cars become a reality
BENEFITS OF AUTONOMOUS DRIVING
For businesses, the most exciting spect will be the savings that could be made using driverless delivery vehicles that would cut out the cost of employ- ing drivers.
pro-Not having to concentrate on ing could also make the car yet another extension of the office, opening the possibility of efficient remote working while commuting by road.
driv-From a societal point of view, fully
autonomous vehicle
tech-nology has the potential to reduce crashes, ease congestion, improve fuel economy, reduce parking needs, bring mobility to those unable to drive, and dramatically change the nature of travel over time.
Road accidents are one of the top three leading causes of death globally
On average, there are 13 802 fatalities per annum in SA; the estimated cost
of these road crashes (per annum) is R307bn, which is 7.8% of SA’s GDP Thrun helped build Google’s driver- less car, powered by a personal quest
to save lives and reduce traffic dents As he repeatedly mentions in his TED Talk, the mass adoption of a self- driving car may lead to more efficient and accident-free roads
acci-SELF-DRIVING TECHNOLOGY EXPLAINED
Thrun explained to The Huffington Post
in an interview: “The car technology we have been working on at Google uses radar, GPS, cameras, a rapidly spinning Lidar laser, and other devices to navi- gate properly and understand a com- plex driving environment.”
Google hopes its driverless cars will reduce traffic accidents by 90%, reduce wasted commute time and energy by 90% and reduce the number
of cars on the road by 90%.
Potential benefits are substantial but significant barriers to full implementa- tion and mass-market adoption still remain Of course, along with individu- ality, privacy would be sacrificed, since each car or pod would now be a piece
of data with its movements constantly being tracked
Trang 8Gauteng topped the provincial
charts Reports of corruption
in the Free State increased
*’Other’ includes corruption within municipal owned entities, NGOs and charities, unions, or unknown.
The landscape of corruption in Government shifted significantly this year Reports
on corruption in local and national government make this an area of concern for Corruption Watch At roughly 33% each, local and provincial government shared similar volumes of reports Notably, the dramatic increase in reports, which focused
on provincial government, was driven by our focus on schools in 2013.
Schools were the source of the highest percentage of corruption concerns reported to tion Watch in 2013 Across all categories, the most prevalent type of corruption was abuse of Government resources by a public official, which increased from 32% to 43% Cases in which cor- ruption in procurement processes was confirmed decreased by 7%, comprising 16% of the total number of corruption cases Bribery was confirmed in 13% of cases and incidents of corruption in employment also decreased, taking place in 8% of cases in 2013 versus 12% the previous year.
TOP FOUR SECTORS FEATURED IN CORRUPTION REPORTS IN 2013
Trang 9Theft
of goods and funds
16%
Corruption in procurement processes
HOT SPOTS IN SCHOOLS
The most prevalent types of corruption reported in 2013 were financial mismanagement, theft of goods and corruption in procurement.
CORRUPTION UNDERMINES THE DELIVERY OF BASIC SERVICES It destroys public trust and
confidence in leadership and in our key public and private institutions It also threatens economic stability and investment South Africa is grappling with corruption, and in 2012 it was ranked 69th
of 176 countries surveyed in terms of corruptness Below, Finweek takes a look at a Corruption
Watch report on the statistics on corruption and how everyone can contribute to its prevention
Trang 11personality The other day I was asked if I was able to put a
guestimate to my investment portfolio in five years’ time and I said: “Provided that there wasn’t
a complete economic collapse, I think R3m is my number.” That wasn’t always the case and is quite a long way behind my original goal, but considering my penchant for adopting children and trying to fund businesses off my credit card, it is a reasonable improvement The number itself is not so much a boast as it is a mental goal that I have set myself, but there was a period where that goal seemed
a long way off I believe that the single biggest light-switch moment for me was knowing what my strengths and weak- nesses were when it came to my money and then working out how to cash in on them
Colin Long, a Certified Financial Planner at dated Financial Planning in KwaZulu-Natal, says that there are five main types of money personalities and each per- son will fit into two of them, one a primary and one a secondary personality:
pro-to help each other in the areas where each person may be weak and this may help resolve a number of issues that you and your spouse have about managing money."
Over the next few pages, we have taken the various money personalities and tried to identify easy 'hacks' that could help you master your finances.
One 'hack' which we believe should be applied to all personalities is finding a financial adviser that fits your profile A good question for your adviser is to ask them what their personality is and find somebody who contrasts with your own to give you a good balance.
Enjoy!
Marc Ashton
marca@finweek.co.za
Trang 12THE RISK-TAKER – YOU ARE A RISK TAKER IF:t :PVSFBMXBZTMPPLJOHGPSXBZTUPNBLFNPOFZBOEZPVTFMEPNHFUIVOHVQPOUIFEFUBJM
t "SJTLUBLFSXJMMBMMPXUIFJSJOUVJUJPOUPCFUIFJSQSFEPNJOBOUHVJEFJOUIFJSEFDJTJPONBLJOHQSPDFTT
t *OWFTUNFOUPQQPSUVOJUJFTHFUZPVWFSZFYDJUFEBOEZPVUFOEUPNBLFEFDJTJPOTJOBIVSSZ
t :PVBSFWFSZUSVTUJOHPGQFPQMF
The downside to this personality is that:
DPOGVTFECZUIFGBDUTBOEBTBSFTVMUZPVPGUFONBLFQPPSJOWFTUNFOUEFDJTJPOTUIBUDBONBUFSJBMMZJNQBDUZPVSGBNJMZTGJOBODFTJOBOFHBUJWFXBZ
THE SAVER – YOU ARE A SAVER IF:
LIFE HACK: BUY A CAR AT THE END OF A MONTH
OR YEAR… AND, IF POSSIBLE, PAY CASH.
Finweek contributor Simon Brown puts this one to
good use and while it might not win you too many
friends at a car dealership, you have to do what you
have to do A car is an extravagant purchase, and one
of the worst mistakes that you can make is to fall in
love with one and rush to buy it Many dealers work on
commission and targets fall due at the end of a month,
so aim to keep them sweating until late in the month
when you can get the best deal possible The allure
of a cash purchase without waiting for bank approval
can swing a decent saving your way.
LIFE HACK: YOU CANNOT FUND A BUSINESS OFF A CREDIT CARD This kind of personality will believe it can beat the odds and fund a business off a credit card and beat the 18%-21% interest repayments Odds are you can’t and you will simply run up a big long-term debt, which will stop you cashing in on other investments You don’t have the discipline to manage this kind of funding line,
so don’t use it.
L I F E H AC K : S E G R E G AT E YO U R I N V E S T M E N T ACCOUNTS As a risk-taker, you are at your happiest when taking risks, so don’t try to cut this facet out of your personality because making use of it can pay off handsomely Rather segregate your accounts into aggres- sive and defensive portfolios and give yourself some 'risk' money The idea should be to move profits from your riskier assets into more secure portfolios.
LIFE HACK:FIND SOMEWHERE TO HIDE MONEY.
Almost every trading floor or stockbrokerage across the country has a story to tell you about the client who made R1m in one year and then lost it again the next Find a vehicle where you can hide the money from yourself and won’t be able to extract it A tax-efficient retirement annu- ity (RA) is ideal here
LIFE HACK: MAKE IT HARD FOR YOURSELF.
A risk-taker will watch Bloomberg and see that the price of sugar is going to the moon because a market commenta- tor like Jim Rogers passionately talks up its fundamentals
in a 90-second interview By having a trading app linked
to your phone or easy credit available with cards linked to their bank account, it is easy to make an impulsive decision Rather make it hard for yourself.
Trang 13THE SPENDER – YOU ARE A SPENDER IF:
:PVPGUFOMJFUPZPVSTQPVTFBCPVUZPVSJNQVMTJWFQVS-LIFE HACK: LEARN THIS ONLINE SHOPPING TRICK.
You have accepted that you are a spender, the trick now
is to shop smartly Online retailers from fashion to holiday booking sites are increasingly making use of artificial intel- ligence and your web-browsing history to target you with products and content designed to make you buy While this
is mainly an overseas phenomenon on the big retail sites like Amazon, it is coming to South Africa An easy hack
is simply to clear your web browsing history and delete 'cached' files, to avoid targeted specials being thrown your way.
LIFE HACK: DISCONNECT YOUR CREDIT CARDS FROM YOUR INTERNET BANKING AND START WINDING THEM DOWN If you are honest with yourself, the reason your credit cards are linked to your bank account is to give you
a source of credit to tap You won’t change your spending patterns until they are taken away from you Ask your bank
to either disconnect your cards from your Internet ing profile or, if you can’t go 'cold turkey', ask it to start reducing your facility by R500-R1 000 each month Bet- ter to be proactive than to have the bank take the facility from you.
bank-LIFE HACK : COM PARE YOU RSELF TO TH E RIG HT PEOPLE A key criticism of Generations X and Y is that instead of comparing themselves to their peers, they elect
to live like their parents while being fuelled by credit Get real The average age of a bondholder in South Africa is 31, and if you’re earning more than R30 000 per month, you are amongst the top 1% of earners in the world according to the World Bank The financial crisis and recession of 2008 should have changed the way you think about these issues
LIFE HACK: DOING NOTHING IS NOT SMART.
As we highlight in the Traders section of the magazine
(page 40), a leading investor made a bet with some
hedge fund operators (supposedly the smartest money
managers in the business), wagering that he could gain
greater returns simply by buying the index through a
low-cost savings product than they could with all their
finan-cial know-how He has been proven right by a comfortable
margin You don’t need to be that slick investor who calls
up their stockbroker every few minutes with trading ideas,
but with 80% of South Africans unable to retire, you want
to be building up your savings as quickly as possible.
Trang 14THE AVOIDER – YOU ARE AN AVOIDER IF:t :PVEPOUUIJOLNVDIBCPVUNPOFZBOEGFFMUIBUUIFSFBSFPUIFSNBUUFSTUPDPODFSOZPVSTFMGXJUI
t :PVEPOPUIBWFBGJOBODJBMQMBOBOEIBWFOPEFTJSFUPPCUBJOPOF
t :PVBSFWFSZDPOUFOUXJUIMJGFBOEIBWFWFSZMJUUMFPSOPBNCJUJPO
t :PVQSPCBCMZEPOUIBWFBXJMMBOEIBWFMJUUMFPSOPJOTVSBODFPSSFUJSFNFOUTBWJOHT
t "OBWPJEFSPGUFOQSFGFSTUPMFUTPNFPOFFMTFMJLFUIFJSTQPVTFIBOEMFBMMUIFNPOFZNBUUFSTJOUIFIPNF
The downside to this personality is that:
XJMMFOEVQJOEFCUFEXIFOBNPOFZDSJTJTBSSJWFT
DBVTFZPVUPBDUJSSBUJPOBMMZBTZPVUSZUPNBLFUIFNPTUESJWFZPVJOUPHFUSJDIRVJDLTDIFNFTTVDIBT1PO[JPSQZSBNJETDIFNFTBOEUIFOZPVXJMMMPTFBMMZPVSNPOFZt :PVBSFWFSZEJTPSHBOJTFEXIFOJUDPNFTUPNPOFZNBUUFSTBOEIBWFBQPPSSFQVUBUJPOPGLFFQJOHBOZGPSNPGNPOFZSFDPSET5IJTCFDPNFTBNBKPSQSPCMFNXIFOZPVIBWFUPCFBVEJUFECZQFPQMFMJLFUIF3FDFJWFSPG3FWFOVF
LIFE HACK: JOIN AN INVESTMENT CLUB WITH A WINE PROBLEM Let’s be honest, the idea of investing is hard work Rather get a stickler for admin, a saver and a risk- taker together and host a monthly meeting where you deposit a few hundred rand, and you bring the wine You probably won’t secure your retirement with it, but you will start taking an interest in regular meetings.
LIFE HACK: BUY PROPTRAX EXCHANGE-TRADED FUND (ETF) Love it or hate it, property does give investors access to three very unique characteristics somewhere over a 20-year cycle: leverage, income and inflation-linked asset appreciation An avoider will reach their mid-thirties and not ever have enjoyed these bene- fits, but if they are smart enough to buy the PropTrax ETF, they will at least cover two bases and potentially give themselves enough cash to be able to take a lever- aged purchase should they mature as investors
LIFE HACK: SCHEDULE AN ADMIN DAY ONCE A MONTH If your life is defined by avoiding Metro Police roadblocks because you haven’t bothered to renew your licence or if you never file tax returns because you don’t have the inclination to collate the documentation, then you are actually making your life more stressful Face up
to the stress, allocate a day and get it done.
Trang 15MONEY HACK #1:
SHOP FOR A BANK
Bank charges have a way of stealthily
depleting wealth If you are paying
more than R100 in bank charges on a
cheque account, you are paying too
much Take your latest bank
state-ment and add together all the costs
from your bank If you don’t know
what that inconspicuous R3 charge
was for, assume it’s from the bank
If you are paying transaction costs
on debit or cheque card purchases,
you need to move If you’re paying
to draw money every time, you’re
paying too much Shop around for
a bank with the lowest bank charges
for your financial needs, move your
accounts across and put the money
you save towards a monthly ETF
debit order
MONEY HACK #2:
TRY PREPAID FOR A MONTH
Buying prepaid airtime is a good
way to determine if you’re paying
too much in telephone charges
W h e n yo u r ce ll p h o n e co ntra c t
comes up for renewal or before
taking out a contract at all, switch
to prepaid for a month Buy R100
airtime and R100 data and use until
you run out of money before
buy-ing more airtime See how much
you spent on airtime and data in a
month before taking out or
renew-ing your contract If you spent R200
on airtime and data during your
pre-paid experiment, you shouldn’t be
paying more than R200 for your
cellphone bill Remember, there’s
no shame in remaining a prepaid
customer No one will ever ask
MONEY HACK #3:
HAGGLE FOR INSURANCE
Here’s a little secret: the insurance
industry is highly competitive If
you’re not phoning your insurance provider once a year to negotiate your premium, you’re paying too much When negotiating a better premium, ask for the highest pos- sible excess amount Make R1 000 excess the goal and negotiate with that in mind Also ask to have a courtesy vehicle included so you have wheels if something happens
to your car Now phone insurance providers until you find one that is cheaper than your insurance and request a quote Phone your exist- ing insurance provider, tell them about the cheaper quote and ask them to lower your premium Most
of the time your current provider will try to accommodate you If not, move.
MONEY HACK #4:
UNDERSTAND UNIT COSTS Comparing prices when grocery shopping is a very easy way to save money every day To really save, however, you have to be sure to compare apples with apples The easiest way to do this is to break a product down into its smallest part
Let’s say, for example, you’re buying toilet paper Baby Soft 2 Ply White Toilet Paper costs R53.99 on Pick n Pay’s online store The way to work out if this is cheap or expensive is to work out how much the toilet paper costs per roll Divide the price per pack by the number of units in the pack – in this case nine – to get the price per unit In this case it works out to just under R6 per roll Now work out the price per roll for dif- ferent brands and quantities to tell whether you are really getting the best value for money Compare the price per 100g for foodstuff, price per litre for liquids, price per kilo- gram for cheese and meat and price
per egg for eggs
MONEY HACK #5:
GET MARRIED Getting married is an awesome way to save money Consolidating the cost of two households essen- tially cuts expenses in half Marriage means you share the cost of rent, electricity, insurance, shopping and housekeeping If you’re not into mar- riages of convenience and not cur- rently in love, consider other types
of money-saving marriages Move in with a friend who shares your money values, advertise for a roommate online or even consider moving in with a colleague to save on transport costs to work
MONEY HACK #6:
BRING YOUR OWN Bringing your own instead of buy- ing is a good rule of thumb for most things Going to work? Pack your own lunch If you save R20 a day on buying lunch, you can save R5 200 per year, which means you could take
a trip to the coast on lunch money
Paying a corkage fee at a restaurant means you can bring your own wine
A bottle of Haute Cabrière Pinot Noir costs R80 per bottle when you order
in bulk from the estate The average price for the same wine at a restaur- ant is R170 per bottle If you pay R50 corkage fee at a restaurant, you save R40 per bottle of wine by bringing your own Going to a concert? Pack a picnic Eat before you go into the sta- dium and pack a sandwich for after the show, save on the price of how- ever many boerie rolls you consume
at a time and avoid the frustration of standing in line for food
Kristia van Heerden
Trang 16He put his name in the history books
when he scored the first goal of the
2010 FIFA World Cup the first time
it was held on African soil With that dramatic goal, Siphiwe Tshabalala also became South Africa’s darling and an inspi- ration to many.
Subsequently, the soccer ace became a sought-after name as numerous brands vied
to cash in on his prominent status As a result, his bank balance would swell well beyond his imagination, but the Kaizer Chiefs FC star was determined to approach money management
in a different manner than one would typically expect from local football players.
Finweek deputy editor Tandisizwe
Mahlutshana finds out more about the player’s money personality.
Siphiwe Tshabalala celebrating
his 2010 FIFA World Cup goal
Trang 17IT IS SAID THAT THERE ARE FIVE TYPES OF MONEY
PERSONALITIES, NAMELY: THE SAVER, THE
RISK-TAKER, THE SECURITY-SEEKER, THE SPENDER AND
THE AVOIDER WHICH DO YOU THINK YOU FIT INTO?
Honestly, I am first and foremost a security-seeker I
ensure that I get as much information about a particular
investment as possible Not only the good things but the
ugly stuff as well
I am also a risk-taker in that I like to spot
opportun-ities that some people may not see I have taken some
risks that have paid off well and some that have not But
that is all part of life
DO YOU HAVE A FINANCIAL ADVISER AND HOW DO
YOU UTILISE THEM? DO YOU DEAL WITH THEM ON
A REGULAR BASIS AND WHAT DECISIONS DO THEY
HELP YOU WITH?
Not really I prefer to manage my own financial affairs
and have been doing so, sometimes with the assistance
of my manager, but I am the man in charge
However, over the past year I have engaged the
pro-fessional services of a financial adviser and I meet with
her twice a year to go through all my investments and
she helps me decide on whether to keep certain
invest-ments or change my position on them Even though I
go to her for advice, I still make the final decision
WHAT IS THE MOST IMPORTANT CHARACTERISTIC
OF A GOOD FINANCIAL ADVISER?
Honesty! Nothing beats honesty when money is
involved People can’t easily be trusted but when they
deal with you in an honest way, you can begin to build
that trust
WHICH INDIVIDUAL DO YOU BELIEVE HAS HAD
THE BIGGEST INFLUENCE ON THE WAY THAT YOU
APPROACH MONEY?
It’s not a person, in actual fact It is the fact that since
growing up I have always wanted to play football
pro-fessionally, and for many years a lot of football players
in this country had not been investing their money for
a rainy day
The eye-opener for me was that a football career
can be short-lived and if you did not invest your money
wisely, you will be left with nothing So I make sure
that even when I don’t play football anymore, my
investments will take care of me and still help me to
grow as a person
IF YOU WERE GIVEN R100 000 TODAY AND TOLD
YOU HAD TO PROTECT THAT R100 000 FOR THE
NEXT FIVE YEARS, WHERE DO YOU THINK THE MONEY WOULD BE SAFER – IN THE BANK, IN A BUSINESS OR INVESTING IN THE JSE?
As the security-seeker that I am, I would invest it in
my property to extend it and make other renovations I know my money would be safe there I wouldn’t neces-sarily put R100 000 in a business
WHAT IS THE BIGGEST MONEY MISTAKE YOU HAVE EVER MADE?
I wouldn’t like to give details but I made some bad investments that went horribly wrong I did not do the research or speak to any relevant people and I got
my fingers burnt
Right now I am still recovering from those loses, but personally I am over the pain The thing about getting into business is that it is a journey and one has
to be patient It is not for the faint-hearted Sometimes you can make it and sometimes you will lose It’s the nature of business
One must just keep on taking lessons along the way You will also meet different people that can make
or break you You will meet good, relevant people and sometimes you will meet crooks as well You must learn not to trust easily but you must also learn to move on because life goes on
OVER THE LAST 15 YEARS, A LOT OF EFFORT HAS BEEN PUT INTO EDUCATING YOUNG SOUTH AFRI- CANS TO MANAGE THEIR MONEY IF YOU LOOK AT YOUR PEER GROUP, DO YOU BELIEVE THAT THIS EDUCATION HAS PAID OFF?
Yes, definitely These days, players invest in good properties and some have financial advisers So it was
a good thing to have that kind of education because I can see that it is now paying off
WHAT IS YOUR FINANCIAL MESSAGE TO THE
FIN-WEEK READERS?
There’s a piece of advice I got when I started playing professional football: “If you look after the cents, the rands will look after themselves.” I still live by that today If you understand the value of money, you will look after the small change as well
"Shabba", as the soccer player is affectionately known, also let slip that he’s working on adding further investments to his wealth portfolio Among those is another Taste Holdings franchise The Fish
& Chip Co He currently owns one store ■
Trang 18Insight
Trang 19LIFE IN THE PALESTINIAN WEST BANK
Entrepreneur
turned activist
WANTING MORE OUT of life, South African entrepreneur Sarah Robinson took
time out of her role as an entrepreneur to experience firsthand the political conflict in the H1 and H2 zones of Hebron in the Israeli-occupied West Bank, Palestine Hebron is known as one of the more volatile areas in the Palestinian West Bank, where Israelis are trying to force Palestinian residents out of the area by force
As part of a group of international visitors, Robinson hoped to use her ence at the Israeli checkpoints and in the streets to record the many undocu- mented human rights violations against local Palestinian residents by Israeli settlers and soldiers By threatening to expose the atrocities via social platforms and releasing the material to the international media, she, along with the group that she was travelling with, hoped to quell the violence at least somewhat
Trang 20pres-Robinson was stationed in
Hebron to act as a human
rights observer with the
World Council of Churches
run Ecumenical Accompaniment
Pro-gramme in Palestine and Israel (EAPPI)
Her reception by the Palestinians was
not your average welcome as she found
that being South African made the
reac-tion to her arrival different to that of
oth-ers The Palestinian cause was supported
by the late Nelson Mandela and on
hear-ing that Robinson was South African the
Palestinian people automatically felt that
she was aligned with their cause On the
announcement of the passing of
Mande-la, Robinson received notes of condolence
from the Palestinians she had met
BEAN THERE COFFEE
Company established: 2005
Founders: Sarah and Jonathan
Robinson
Mission: To source and roast the
best beans that Africa has to offer
Notable achievements: The
company was the first roaster of
certified Fairtrade coffee in
South Africa.
Goal: It strives to make a
sustainable difference in the lives
of African coffee produces by
personally sourcing quality coffee
through direct fair trade.
As an operations director in her
start-up business, Bean There Coffee
Compa-ny, she learnt how to understand, manage and motivate people − how to actively listen to those around her and respond appropriately to get the job done These lessons were crucial in Hebron, too, where as a member of a group of four in life-threatening situations, listening and responding appropriately with almost no time to think was necessary to stay alive
As an entrepreneur in South Africa, Robinson enjoyed certain freedoms of conducting business in a relatively safe environment that is conducive to grow-ing the company she has worked so hard
to establish and was struck by how feren the situation was for those in simi-lar positions in Hebron
dif-“There is very little entrepreneurial freedom in the H2 section of Hebron
Approximately 25 000 Palestinians and
700 Israeli settlers live in the Israeli military-controlled H2 At any given time there are 2 500 soldiers in the area protecting the Israeli settlers, controlling access through checkpoints, and provid-ing security of sorts
“Twenty years ago this part of Hebron was the commercial centre of the city and many of the markets and businesses were located along Shuhada Street In 1994, after the Goldstein Massacre at the Ibrahimi Mosque, where an Israeli settler gunned down
29 Palestinians during prayer, hada Street was shut down, businesses closed, and all access was denied for Palestinians This action severely dis-rupted commerce in Hebron The heart
Shu-of Hebron became a ghost town and any hope of entrepreneurship was suf-focated The movement of people and goods are intensely controlled reducing any hope of new businesses developing
“A local NGO, the Hebron tation Committee (HRC), is partnering with interested Palestinians in Hebron
Rehabili-to bring them back Rehabili-to the old city and
the souk [market] to encourage business
development and the rejuvenation of this beautiful part of the city However, even when new shops open, they struggle to survive because so many Palestinians
are restricted from entering H2,” explains Robinson
The role of the EAPPI and Robinson in Hebron was to create the threat of interna-tional exposure and one of their daily tasks was to monitor the checkpoints near a school to make sure that the children were able to attend school without the harass-ment of officials as they passed through the checkpoints “Clashes, tear gas and sound grenades were a regular occurrence and on one occasion a 12-year-old boy was hit by
a sniper in the leg with live ammunition,” says Robinson
“We conducted tours with international guests to open their eyes to the situation that most of the world doesn’t know about
In one instance, I drew the attention of a tour group to a young Palestinian boy being assaulted by Israeli soldiers and encouraged the group to take photographs of the inci-dent Immediately the abuse stopped and the boy was released as the assailants feared being identified by their faces appearing in photographs.”
ECONOMIC PRESSURE
Robinson is not alone in her quest for peace within the volatile country, the cause for the rights of Palestinians is fought on a larger scale by an organisation called Boy-cott, Divestment and Sanctions (BDS), which calls on South Africans not to ignore what is happening to Palestinians and bring awareness of the human rights atrocities Robinson came into contact with the organisation in her orientation ses-sions before leaving for Hebron Its aim is threefold: end the Israeli occupation of the West Bank and Gaza, the right of return for refugees that currently reside in refugee camps and for Palestinians living in Israel
to be treated equally and have equal rights The main tool which the organisation uses
is to create awareness of the human rights abuses among students at university level Muhammed Desai, the national coordi-nator of BDS, explains why “We follow the same strategy of how apartheid was fought and conquered, with day-to-day activism that starts with those that are most likely
to change themselves and then become the future leaders – those at university level.” The organisation does not follow any spe-
INSIGHT
Sarah
Robinson
Trang 21cific ideology but unites various societies,
Chris-tian, Jewish and Muslim alike to put economic
pressure on Israel to address the current situation
“The projects are aimed at local and
interna-tional businesses to stop indirectly funding and
perpetuating crimes against others These
pro-grammes include boycotting SodaStream
prod-ucts manufactured in the settlements, Dead Sea
beauty products being sold in shopping centres
and there is even an investigation into
Wool-worths products that are being imported from
Israel and sold locally,” comments Desai To date,
the group has some landmark successes in the
divestment of Dutch, Swedish and Norwegian
state pension funds withdrawing from Israel and
recently the UK government issued a statement
to all companies in Britain urging them not to do
business with Israeli companies in settlements or
those operating in Israel
THE ROAD FORWARD
Robinson has recently returned to SA after
suf-fering from an undiagnosed medical condition
“While in Palestine it became clear to me that
human rights, justice, and conflict-related causes
are where my heart is I fell in love with the
tension, the stress, and unpredictability I felt
the immense importance of sharing the story
of others’ suffering and hardships in order to
instigate change
“I want to be on the frontline and I feel that
my experience in Palestine made that
exception-ally clear
“I am not Palestine or Israel but
pro-justice, pro-fairness and pro-peace
“I want to make a difference on the ground
I want to give a voice to those caught up in
injustice and are either unable or unwilling to
tell their stories I don’t want to sit on the
side-line when my heart is screaming for hands-on
involvement Many people think I’m crazy to
consider giving this all up to start from scratch
in a war zone But nothing excites me more
On a Skype call with my mother while I was in
Hebron, I was telling her about a devastating
child arrest I had witnessed In the conversation
she commented that she had never heard me
sound so alive before Maybe I am a risk seeker
or adrenaline junkie? But I know, without a
doubt, that my place is on the frontline,
stand-ing shoulder to shoulder with the oppressed and
the victims of injustice.”
Lisa Illingworth
lisa@lkdesines.co.za
FACT BOX
IN 2009, the Human Sciences Research
Council released a report, which found that Israel was practising both coloni- alism and apartheid according to the legal definition in occupying Palestinian territories
There are 19 Palestinian refugee camps in the West Bank, which shelter
741 409 inhabitants.
The World Bank issued a report on the economic effects of the restricted land access in the West Bank, stating:
“The effects on the Palestinian
econo-my of the current territorial distribution extend much beyond its most obvious manifestations The physical access restrictions are the most visible, with 38% of the land area reserved by the government of Israel to serve settle- ments and security objectives and a system of checkpoints, road closures, the separation barrier, and permit requirements for access that constrain movement of people and goods within and out of the West Bank Recurrent destruction of trees, private homes and public infrastructure, as well as settlers’ encroachments on private land create
a permanent state of insecurity that deters Palestinian investment.” Israel’s wall in the West Bank, according to a new report by the United Nations Conference on Trade and Development, has caused a direct loss of more than $1bn to Palestinians
in Jerusalem, and continues to incur
$200m per year in lost opportunities ■
INSIGHT
Trang 22RIGHT OF REPLY
Reply
A view from SA’s
accounting body
This is in response to the
opinion piece (Why you
should think twice before going for that accounting degree) by economist
Johan Fourie which was published on 20 January
on Finweek.com
char tered accountants
[CAs(SA)] in South Africa
was developed over many
years and the process was one in
which the universities participated
fully on a voluntary basis The
aca-demic programme together with the
training programme has remained
dynamic and responsive to the needs
of the economy, seeing many minor
and major changes over the years
CAs(SA) have enjoyed an enviable
reputation throughout the world for
many decades SA has a very strong
accounting and auditing profession
(The World Economic Forum has
rated SA number one for auditing and
financial reporting in its world
com-petitiveness report for the last four
years) and there is a strong demand
for CAs(SA) We live in a dynamic
eco-nomic environment, which requires
that education and training remain
responsive to the needs of the
econ-omy – the South African Institute of
Chartered Accountants (SAICA)
together with the universities ensures
that the education, training and
assessment processes remain relevant
to the needs of SA
It is our view that many of the
‘alle-gations’ are unfounded, inaccurate
and one sided While we welcome
constructive criticism, it is important
that prospective students are not
mis-informed
Allow me to elucidate:
“Accounting degrees should not
be a default option for most of SA’s brightest kids.” South African learn- ers are the ‘new generation’ of young- sters who are smart and they are mostly aware of the career paths that are open to them It would be grossly erroneous to underestimate their intelligence, especially as far as career choice goes SAICA uses a targeted marketing strategy to attract talent-
ed learners to the profession, given the chronic shortage of chartered accountants SAICA is competing to secure a share of the limited pool of candidates who achieve over 60% in core maths (only about 15.6% of the
2013 matrics who wrote the maths paper met this requirement).
“Accounting departments in SA are perfectly positioned to deliver students capable of thinking outside the box.” I couldn’t agree more! But there are many challenges being faced
in the tertiary environment today, despite academics being passionate about their calling to the academe, their best intentions, well-designed programmes and courses Academics are torn between fulfilling university requirements for research and having little time to do so because of these other challenges SAICA agrees that appropriate research and scholar- ship are critical to a high-performing accounting department and SAICA
continues to encourage universities
to find ways to meet both objectives.
“The current accounting syllabus does not allow students to develop the skills necessary for top-level managers.” Qualifying as a CA(SA) requires more than just complet- ing four years at university (three- year undergraduate degree and the postgraduate year that follows) The subsequent three-year training pro- gramme that follows the four years of academic study is a period in which prospective CAs(SA) further develop and garner experience that enhances the building blocks that have been developed through the university degree Further than that, as profes- sionals, CAs(SA) are required to con- tinue to develop and enhance their competence through appropriate continuing professional development relevant to the role they undertake, post qualification The ability to
be a life-long learner is one that is entrenched through the initial seven- year qualification process.
Qualification as a CA(SA) is not solely related to competence It is also the culmination of education, training and assessment processes aimed at assessing the combination
of intellect, aptitude and the ability
to respond to demanding situations
It is clear that the accounting sion is a dynamic one and once these skills are entrenched in the persona
Trang 23profes-To read the article, visit finweek.com
RIGHT OF REPLY
of the CA(SA), success is the end
result It is these skills that enable the
CA(SA) to be successful in a wide
range of demanding work
environ-ments It is intuitive to note that over
30% of CEOs of listed companies are
CAs(SA).
Some university programmes have
challenges in teaching students to be
creative thinkers – the extent of the
challenge however differs from
uni-versity to uniuni-versity It would be
crit-ical to point out that this is a feature
of most university programmes – not
just accounting programmes SAICA
recognised this problem many years
ago and has been working together
with interested universities to find
ways to address this Changes include
the introduction of a competency
framework and a new final
assess-ment (the Assessassess-ment of
Profes-sional Competence to be introduced
in 2014).
Introduction of the competency
framework:
framework in place since 2009 This
framework sets out competencies
(or more broadly: outcomes which
include knowledge, skills and
attrib-utes required of CAs(SA) at
entry-level into the profession – the point
at which they register to become
CAs(SA))
on international trends and significant
input from the academic community.
significantly more emphasis on the
pervasive skills which are categorised
into three broad areas: ethics and
pro-fessionalism, personal attributes and
professional skills
been of great benefit to the so called
previously disadvantaged universities
where SAICA is successfully engaged
with its university partners in assisting
such programmes in capacity-building
projects (The University of Limpopo,
which obtained SAICA accreditation
in 2011, the University of Zululand and
Walter Sisulu University, which are part
of a capacity-building project and the
University of Venda, which will shortly
join the capacity-building project.)
framework should be viewed as a guideline
“The accounting fession follows a narrow rule-based compliance philosophy in educa- tion, whereas univer- sities generally follow
pro-a bropro-ader
principle-b a s e d a p p r o a c h ” Accounting departments are encour- aged by SAICA on an ongoing basis
to ensure that their teaching and learning models speak to a more prin- ciple-based approach The university has the final say.
“ To sum it up: SAICA runs accounting departments.” Uni- versities have full control of their programmes and structure them in any way that they choose SAICA’s approach to the accounting depart- ments who offer programmes leading toward the CA(SA) is simply this: to maintain the appropriate standards
of the CA(SA) qualification route so
as to ensure the delivery of tent CAs(SA) with relevant skills to the
frame-work with the input of both ics in the accounting departments and profession.
and monitoring process in line with requirements set out by the Council for Higher Education (It is absolute-
ly voluntary for universities to seek SAICA accreditation.)
standard-setting assessments, which allow a broad range of candidates from multiple accredited programmes
to be assessed against standards required of the profession.
“Why don’t scholars in ing departments resist this influ- ence? Because SAICA pays.” The SAICA philosophy is simple – in order
account-to run high-quality programmes and produce the most competent accounting graduates, universities require excellent people As CAs(SA) typically have the opportunity to earn higher salaries in commerce, SAICA uses its subvention fund to attempt
to retain key staff on the CA(SA)
pro-gramme It is by no means a salary;
it is an annual amount that is based
on current year performance and contribution While the lump sum attributable to each department of accounting is determined by SAICA, the individual amounts are deter- mined by the head of each depart- ment of accounting and ratified by
a local subvention committee The subvention, once divided by the large number of participants, is often not a significant amount
SAICA is convinced that it plays a critical role in developing world-class accounting professionals who will continue to serve SA and international economies in a variety of roles
To blame SAICA for generations of accountants being trained without a broader understanding of complex- ity, problem-solving or trends in the global economy is myopic
Yes, with the advent of com- puters there are many jobs that will need to evolve including the role of
an accountant, and I quote Sizwe Nxasana [CA(SA)] in saying that:
“Accounting and auditing of the kind done by CAs(SA) requires a lot of analysis and decision-making which computers will never do in a million years.” It is intuitive to note that over 21% of CAs(SA) are economically active outside of SA The world-class quality of CAs(SA) remains a non- negotiable objective for SAICA.
In our opinion, it is scandalous
to encourage the youth not to con- sider qualifying as a CA(SA) given the career choice and leadership oppor- tunities which the designation affords
Mandi Olivier CA(SA)
Senior Executive: Professional Development at SAICA
Trang 24Why I banned
brainstorming
INSIGHT
The Gab
Brainstorming is the oldest
and most widely used tivity technique in business today So if everyone uses
crea-it then crea-it must work, right?
Wrong! Brainstorming might work reasonably well for generating medio-cre ideas with incremental impact, but
it is completely useless for coming up with truly innovative breakthrough ideas I’ve banned brainstorming in
my business – here is the reason why
IT’S A NUMBERS GAME, OR IS IT?
“Come up with as many ideas as you can Focus on quantity, not quality!” This is the first fundamental rule of brainstorming and on the surface it seems to make sense Nobel prize- winning scientist Linus Pauling said:
“The way to get good ideas is to get lots of ideas, and throw the bad ones away.” A bit like picking strawberries – the way to go home with a good bas-ket is to pick lots of strawberries and then just throw away the rotten ones.Pauling also said: “When an old and disting uished person speaks
to you, listen to him carefully and with respect – but do not believe him Your elder, no matter whether
he is a Nobel laureate, may be wrong.” I’m afraid in this case, he is Ideas are
Trang 25not like strawberries
HERE COMES THE BRIDE
Let’s say your wedding is coming up
next month You’ve been dreaming
about the big day since you were a
lit-tle girl and you want everything to be
perfect – especially your hair You’ve
done your research and have narrowed
it down to two hairstylists, each with
a very different approach
So the first hairstylist says, “I can do
70 different hairstyles for you!”
“Okay,” you say, “but are you any
good?”
“Well, that’s not really important
to me, it’s much more important that
I can do a lot of different styles, who
cares what they look like?”
She hands you a book with
exam-ples of her work You go through it and
can’t believe what you see Each photo
looks worse than the one before, now
you’re feeling quite depressed
Then you go over to the second
hairstylist She says: “Look, I don’t do
a lot of different hairstyles; in fact, I
specialise in only three It’s not a wide
variety, but they’re immaculate, done
to absolute perfection.” She holds up
a card with just three photographs,
each displaying one of the three styles
she specialises in Your mood changes instantly You can’t decide which of the three photos is the most beautiful
Now the question is which stylist is going to do your hair for your wedding? Obviously it’s the specialist
hair-Who cares how many styles a ist can do if she does all of them badly?
hairstyl-Who cares how many ideas you’ve got if none of them are good? The real-ity is, asking people to forget about quality and focus on getting as many ideas as possible is a sure-fire recipe for rubbish Do you really want 70 rubbish ideas? I don’t I want one great one
It reminds me of the old joke about two friends discussing business The one says, “I’m really excited, I just opened up a hamburger joint.”
“Fantastic” says his friend “How much are you selling the burgers for?”
of R10 on each burger that you sell.”
“Oh, don’t worry,” says his friend
“I’ll make it up on volume.”
No, he won’t – no matter how many
he sells, he’ll still on the losing end And the same with brainstorming – if you come up with 70 loser ideas, at the end of the day, whichever one you pick – you’ll still end up with a loser idea You can’t make up for it on volume
A DIAMOND IN THE ROUGH
In reality, most great ideas don’t start out great They start out as seeds that need to be developed and nurtured in a structured approach And brainstorm-ing ensures that the seeds of great ideas are not given the attention that they deserve There simply isn’t the time to devote to building that one great idea when you’re focused on generating as many (bad) ideas as you can
In addition, your company is
unlike-ly to have the resources to properunlike-ly pursue more than one or two big new product ideas a year If that’s the case, why would you want 70 ideas? The unfortunate truth is that as we increase the number of ideas we pursue, the odds of any one idea being successful declines
ARE YOU JUDGING ME?
The second fundamental rule of storming is that we are not allowed to judge other people’s ideas Again, this
Trang 26seems to make sense on the surface
People interpret an attack on their ideas
as an attack on their self-esteem, and
their natural reaction is to get defensive
or to shut down and stop contributing
If we want people to feel safe in putting
forward their ideas, we must be very
careful not to criticise their
contribu-tions
So at the start of most
brainstorm-ing sessions, the facilitator will remind
participants: “Don’t judge – there are
no bad ideas.” The problem is that this
rule is a recipe for even more rubbish
The reality is that there really are bad
ideas In fact, most ideas are bad ideas
And the only way to make them better
is to identify their flaws and fix them,
which means that you absolutely need
to judge them to make them into better
ideas It’s a crucial part of the process
“What doesn’t kill you makes you
stronger.” It’s exactly the same with
ideas – if an idea is subject to the
high-est level of scrutiny, and can weather
the storm, then it emerges a much
stronger idea – and much more likely
to succeed
A great example to illustrate this is
the way the butterfly emerges from its
cocoon While struggling to push its
way through the tiny opening of the
cocoon, the butterfly pushes fluid out
of its body and into its wings This
strengthens the wings, and without
the struggle, the butterfly would never
be able to fly It’s the same with ideas
You can’t be easy on ideas – you need to
struggle with them, identify their
prob-lems, and work through them – and
through this process they will emerge
much stronger on the other side
So instead of telling participants not
to judge each other’s ideas, we should
rather encourage this behaviour The
key is to get people engaged around the
idea, because no idea can go forward
without some level of engagement
Being silent about an idea is much
worse than criticising it
As a contributor of ideas, we have
to understand that if our ideas are
going to take hold, they will have to
change – it’s a given You might have
heard the old joke: “A woman marries
a man expecting he will change, but
he doesn’t A man marries a woman expecting that she won’t change, and she does.” When it comes to our ideas,
we should expect them to change We shouldn’t get upset or take it personally when that starts to happen We should expect judgment and accept it with open arms as the first step to making the idea a reality
is scheduled to start at 13:00, and by 14:00 we are expected to have come
up with the next big idea for the ness Unfortunately, creativity cannot
busi-be ordered on demand Big ideas don’t stick to meeting schedules
GOOD BUT NOT GREAT
I remember talking to a colleague who had just come out of a brainstorm-ing session “How did it go?” I asked
“Brilliant!” he replied, “We were on fire We generated 50 ideas!”
Sadly, the success of a brainstorming session is often measured by the num-ber of ideas generated rather than the end-goal of actually solving a problem
or improving the business We hand out post-it notes and tell people to
“Write as many ideas as fast as you can for 15 minutes Come on, I want as many ideas as you can It doesn’t mat-ter what you write, just write!” Next thing you know, the wall is covered
in hundreds of small yellow pieces
of paper, perhaps with little coloured stickers indicating which ideas people liked Then the time is up, the meeting
is over, and everyone disappears back into their offices to carry on with their daily work And, inevitably, very little happens after that
According to Jim Collins, an ican business consultant: “Good is the enemy of great.” Unfortunately, this applies to brainstorming as well It yields good results, which is why the practice is so prevalent in the corporate world and has stood the test of time However, it very rarely yields great results And that’s why I’ve banned brainstorming in my business I don’t want a good business I want a great one ■
Amer-Dr Symanowitz is an actuary and
Trang 28BECOME A
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Trang 30There have been many
recommen-dations that local investors
should consider adding defensive
stocks to their portfolios as a
possible antidote to the weakening rand
and the US Federal Reserve tapering off its
quantitative easing programme
One fund manager, however, is going
the other direction Andrew Vintcent, head
of the Stanlib Unconstrained Equity
Fran-chise and portfolio manager for the
Stan-lib Growth Fund, says that investors will
do well to avoid the big industrial stocks,
such as British American Tobacco and
SABMiller He says that these stocks have
stretched valuations, and are also not well
positioned for the current cycle The JSE
Industrials Index grew some 32.9% in 2013
“The performance of the Industrial
Index has been driven by a combination
of strong earnings growth, and a
price-to-earnings (P/E) multiple that has risen to 21
times current earnings Only three times in
the last 50 years has the Industrial Index
P/E expanded to above 20 – we would
caution investors against expecting much
more in the way of a re-rating from current
levels,” says Vintcent
A fund manager survey by
multiman-ager firm Investment Solutions show that
68% of the market views the industrials
sector as least favourable for 2014 while
56% seem buoyant about the resources
sec-tor According to the survey, 55% of
man-agers see the JSE All Share Index ending
the year within a range of 44 000-48 000
INVESTMENT
Investment
current valuation for the big banks, trading at P/E multiples of between 9 and 10, due in part to the sell-off experi-enced last year, present competitive earn-ings opportun-ities while global resource stocks like Anglo American boasts Tier
1 global assets and its share price recovery has been encouraging He adds that the mid-cap sector presents good opportuni-ties for above-average returns, punting stocks such as Grindrod, Omnia and Brait as possible outperformers
Tandisizwe Mahlutshana
tandisizwem@finweek.co.za
Industrials present risk,
resources & banks opportunity
EXPECTED RETURN GROWTH
With the JSE All Share Index returning a able 21.4% for 2013, albeit lower than the 26.7% for 2012, analysts have warned investors to tame their return expectations going forward Silverman says that the next five years could
palat-be very tough for local markets – valuations are high, and off these levels, future returns have tended to be low.
He adds that an even weaker than expected rand, though, could mitigate the weakness, ensuring a more flat All Share performance, rather than a sharp fall
Vintcent says for South Africa to turn this corner, the country needs a stronger productive element – either from the mining or construction sectors He says the growth catalyst that needs
to be unlocked is the country’s multibillion-rand infrastructure development roll-out The details
of the roll-out are expected to be revealed by finance minister Pravin Gordhan when he tables his 2014 Budget Speech on 26 February
It seems, therefore, that caution and focus on valuations and quality of assets should be top of mind for investors, whether or not one is a buyer
a far weaker rand, and ‘QE4’ scenarios to play out That would likely benefit both the resources sector, and rand-hedge stocks, in general Locally, our man-agers, too, have indicated a preference for resources for 2014 There is however
a strong divergence within the sector as the majority of managers are steering clear of the gold miners in favour of the platinum and diversified miners
“Within financials our mangers view the banks as still offering value The valuations of the large caps that make
up the bulk of the Industrials are erally very stretched Momentum and their rand-hedge qualities could push these prices higher still, but this sector presents the highest risk in local equi-ties in 2014 The retailers have pulled back recently so valuations are now more interesting, but they face a rather challenging environment where further interest rate hikes, a slowing economy, full margins and ratings, and high for-eign ownership, would likely still pose challenges to them advancing.”
gen-Top holdings in Vintcent’s folio include Anglo American and Barclays Africa Group He says the
Trang 31port-TERMS AND CONDITIONS
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TEL: 0861 000 571
Trang 32The line from the mining sector
is that it is almost in complete
agreement with Government
on proposals to amend the
Minerals and Petroleum Resources
Development Act (MPRDA), the
sec-tor’s centrepiece legislation The
impor-tant part of that statement is the
qualifier, almost
Two clauses continue to stick in the
craw of the industry
One is that any mining company
seeking to export a ‘strategic mineral’ –
which can be identified at any time at
the discretion of the mines minister –
must request permission to do so
The second clause is that the minister
can then subject that mineral to a
two-tier pricing structure such that domestic
sales discounted to the going market
price
According to Peter Leon, head of
energy and minerals at Webber Wentzel
and perhaps one of the most outspoken
critics of the legislation, these clauses
are enough to switch off foreign
invest-ment permanently
INVESTMENT
Roger Baxter, COO of the ber of Mines, thinks that the bill will progress and doesn’t believe asking the minister to export minerals is a problem
Cham-“We do that with diamonds and precious metals already; it’s just an extension of an existing regulation.”
The problem is, however, that ernment isn’t trying to exert control over any of those mining industries in quite the same way
Gov-According to Paul Miller, a resources banker with Nedbank Capital, Govern-ment is trying to re-assert ‘levers’ over the industry “Government knows that it
Window of
opportunity for miners
However, there are two opportunities
to yet influence the amendments One is when the Minerals Portfolio Committee meets again According to mines minis-ter, Susan Shabangu, the committee met
on 29 January to approve the bill’s draft and formally end the public consultation phase of the proposed amendments
Fortunately, at least for the ment’s critics, the committee meeting was adjourned and won’t recommence until 18 February That gives the mining industry valuable time to continue lobby-ing for changes to the amendment bill
amend-Then the matter has to go to the National Council of Provinces, the upper house of South Africa’s parlia-ment Owing to an oversight in the pro-cess of the amendment, the council was not given time to pick over the proposals
According to Leon, that must still happen, raising the possibility that the amendment bill won’t be promulgated before national elections, scheduled for
7 May If that happens, the bill may be
in trouble and require fresh vetting by the authorities
KEY DATES
18 FEBRUARY: Parliamentary minerals portfolio committee to re-convene on the Minerals and Petroleum Resources Amendment bill.
MID-MARCH: National Council of inces to vet Minerals and Petroleum Resources Amendment bill.
Prov-7 MAY: National Elections