It is available on the World Economic Forum website: http://www.weforum.org/summitreports/india2010 HTML India’s Implementation Imperative Security and Sustainability Imperative Inclusi
Trang 1India Economic Summit
Implementing India
New Delhi, India 14-16 November 2010
Trang 2The views expressed in this publication do
not necessarily reflect those of the World
© 2010 World Economic Forum
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No part of this publication can be reproduced or transmitted
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recording, or by any information retrieval or storage system
REF: 021210
The electronic version of the India Economic Summit Report allows access to a richer level of content from the Summit, including photographs, session summaries and webcasts of selected sessions It is available on the World Economic Forum website: http://www.weforum.org/summitreports/india2010 (HTML)
India’s Implementation Imperative
Security and Sustainability Imperative
Inclusive Growth Imperative
Innovation and Competitiveness Imperative
Trang 3Contents
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Preface
Co-chairs of the 2010 India Economic Summit
Jon Fredrik Baksaas, President and Chief Executive Officer, Telenor, Norway
Ajit Gulabchand, Chairman and Managing Director, Hindustan Construction Company, India
Ellen Kullman, Chair of the Board and Chief Executive Officer, DuPont, USA
Pawan Munjal, Managing Director and Chief Executive Officer, Hero Group, India
Dennis Nally, Chairman, PwC International, PwC, USA
This year, the World Economic Forum hosted the India Economic
Summit in partnership with the Confederation of Indian Industry
(CII) under the theme “Implementing India” With over 800
participants from 44 countries convened in New Delhi, the
Summit focused on India’s need to implement a variety of
imperatives to make economic progress more socially inclusive
After two years of economic growth at 7%, India has succeeded
in turning the trend towards an even more impressive increase
of over 8% This puts India among the frontrunners of the G20
countries in terms of growth
However, this mainly domestic-driven development is unbalanced
The majority of opportunities and wealth associated with this
economic success remains in urban areas, while the majority in
India’s heartland is still waiting for the benefits The political and
social impacts are driving India’s daily agenda – the call for turning
the rapid economic growth into an inclusive growth is echoed
more and more
Therefore, the India Economic Summit programme was structured
along India’s imperatives of building critical infrastructure,
expanding skills development, achieving income and gender
equality
The unbalanced distribution of economic growth is also reflected
in the way India is facing the threat of a water crisis, which is
even more serious than an energy crisis In both cases, the poor
are particularly hard hit – innovation must be inclusive And, in
a country with an overwhelming majority of young people, it is
essential to include younger voices in the discussions
To highlight a significant part of India’s global outreach, there were
specific sessions in the programme devoted to the ways in which
trade and general exchanges with countries in Africa and Latin
America are developing and will shape the future global economic
and political agendas
To generate insight on India’s competitive strengths and weaknesses, the India Economic Summit served as an occasion
to launch the study on Using Information and Communication Technologies to Boost India’s Competitiveness The study draws
on the findings of the World Economic Forum’s Networked Readiness Index 2009-2010, which analyses India’s advances and challenges related to information and communication technology (ICT) development for enhanced competitiveness and the creation of a truly networked society
In addition, the Schwab Foundation for Social Entrepreneurship,
in partnership with the Jubilant Bhartia Foundation, presented the India Social Entrepreneur of the Year Award
In the spirit of generating insight and shaping India’s agenda, the India Economic Summit programme tapped into the collective intellect, local experience and global insight of its community of multistakeholders With the central government in power for just over a year, the programme was designed to assess where and
to which degree certain implementation needs are progressing
As a result, concrete recommendations were made on a variety of topics that will shape the future of India, including the modernization of India’s agriculture sector, greater transparency, and making transportation sustainable and safe
As you read the key points and outcomes presented in this report,
we welcome your thoughts and suggestions as we prepare the programme for the next India Economic Summit, which will take place on 12-14 November 2011
The internal and external challenges India is facing and the way in which the country is finding appropriate answers and solutions is compelling – for many other parts of the world as well Therefore,
we hope that the India Economic Summit will continue to serve as
an important platform for stimulating thoughts, creative solutions and sharing experiences in a constructive way
Sushant Palakurthi Rao
Director, Head of Asia
World Economic Forum
Trang 6Executive Summary
The challenge put before participants in
this year’s India Economic Summit was
to find ways in which India can spread its
rapid economic growth more evenly so
that it reaches the hundreds of millions
of Indians still living in rural poverty It is
a tall order While India’s fast-growing,
dynamic economy has become the envy
of the world, its growth has been lopsided
Opportunities and wealth have flowed
largely to educated urbanites Those in
India’s heartland are still waiting for the
tide to lift them up Their impatience and
frustration have become evident in election
results, in rural protests, in simmering
insurrections and, most dramatically, in
the steady march of migrants into India’s
bulging cities India may have rapid
growth, but it needs inclusive growth
Over the course of the three-day Summit,
participants offered a wide range of
recommendations Most centred on a
single, fundamental concept: to make
India’s economic growth broader and more
inclusive, the country needs to take up
late author C K Prahalad’s call to stop
looking at rural India as a social problem
and instead see it as a market rich with
opportunities Technology increasingly
provides the means to offer goods and
services affordably to remote areas –
healthcare, for example Mindsets need
to change Governments and businesses
must help release the wealth and
enterprise that lie trapped on India’s farms
and in its villages
This approach goes beyond seeking ways to deliver products and services
to rural India profitably and at the same time raise living standards and create new opportunities The most effective way
to achieve inclusive economic growth, participants concluded, is to remove the barriers preventing poor Indians from seizing the opportunities India’s growth is creating
Lack of education among rural Indians remains a big problem, but one that can be overcome with improved access
to information Corruption, gender discrimination and the hazards on India’s roads, on the other hand, are hurdles only government and society can remove with determined policy and regulation The principles of market economics, moreover, are just as true in rural India as they are
in cities So, scarce resources like power and clean water, without which rural India can never advance, will only be available
in sufficient supply there when they are appropriately priced
To tackle these issues, the Summit’s sessions were organized into four sub-themes:
s
s Imperative
s
s Imperative
India’s Implementation Imperative
To avoid social unrest, India needs to use its accelerating economic growth to push jobs and skills into the countryside.seducation and vocational training Companies need to help not only with funding new schools, but also by staffing them and devising practical curricula
ssubsidies on electricity generated from fossil fuels and eliminate flat rates for power consumption
sderegulated to stimulate rural investment The sector should also be opened further to private investment.scontrol over their own finances so they can invest more effectively in their own infrastructure
Trang 7Inclusive Growth Imperative
Achieving inclusive growth in India will require changing entrenched attitudes
Government corruption drives away talent, hiring quotas implicitly underestimate talent in women, and efforts to help the poor often fail to recognize that they have wealth and talent as well
seliminate opportunities for corruption
Governments must compete for talent with the private sector by restoring meritocracy and offering reasonable pay
s
it comes to achieving gender equality
spoor, rural Indians as a cause and start seeing them as customers and employees
s– and controversy – in rural India
More needs to be done to service the other side of the rural balance sheet – deposit accounts, insurance, remittances and pension products
Security and Sustainability Imperative
India’s progress so far has turned the
country into a role model for other
developing nations How it addresses
thorny issues such as agriculture, water
and road safety are adding policy to the
mix of cultural strengths that give India
global “soft power”
s
recognize India’s mostly small farmers
as entrepreneurs and view agriculture
as an industry
s
standards for vehicles and roads, crack
down on violations and create a more
effective emergency service to handle
accidents
s
20 years To avert a crisis, it needs to
set up a progressive tariff on water use
s
tolerance and non-violence, India
can position itself as a power for
moderation, equity and justice in the
sexpanding capabilities, mobile devices should be used to expand healthcare
to poor people in isolated rural villages s
be accompanied by a phase-out of subsidies on fossil fuels
sIndia need to combine universal appeal with market-segment customization.sbridges with other developing countries, like those in Africa, with which it shares similar levels of development and historical experience
Inclusive Growth Imperative
Achieving inclusive growth in India willrequire changing entrenched attitudes
Government corruption drives away talent,hiring quotas implicitly underestimatetalent in women, and efforts to help thepoor often fail to recognize that they havewealth and talent as well
s Reduce regulations and cut red tape toeliminate opportunities for corruption
Governments must compete for talentwith the private sector by restoringmeritocracy and offering reasonablepay
s Targets are preferable to quotas when
it comes to achieving gender equality
s Companies should stop seeingpoor, rural Indians as a cause andstart seeing them as customers andemployees
s Microloans have created lots of credit– and controversy – in rural India
More needs to be done to servicethe other side of the rural balancesheet – deposit accounts, insurance,remittances and pension products
Security and Sustainability Imperative
India’s progress so far has turned the
country into a role model for other
developing nations How it addresses
thorny issues such as agriculture, water
and road safety are adding policy to the
mix of cultural strengths that give India
global “soft power”
s Governments and corporations must
recognize India’s mostly small farmers
as entrepreneurs and view agriculture
as an industry
s India needs to impose higher
standards for vehicles and roads, crack
down on violations and create a more
effective emergency service to handle
accidents
s India faces a water shortfall of 50% in
20 years To avert a crisis, it needs to
set up a progressive tariff on water use
s By hewing to its tradition of diversity,
tolerance and non-violence, India
can position itself as a power for
moderation, equity and justice in the
s With their widespread popularity andexpanding capabilities, mobile devicesshould be used to expand healthcare
to poor people in isolated rural villages
s Investments in solar energy should
be accompanied by a phase-out of subsidies on fossil fuels
s Companies looking to build brands inIndia need to combine universal appealwith market-segment customization
s India should build more economicbridges with other developingcountries, like those in Africa, withwhich it shares similar levels of development and historical experience
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India’s Implementation Imperative
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India’s economic growth has regained
momentum in the wake of the global
economic crisis The government’s aim
now is to raise it to at least 10% Faster
growth provides India with the means to
expand development into its poorest and
least developed areas It has no option
but to do so: if India fails to make sure
that investment and opportunities flow
to its poorest regions, more and more
rural Indians will pour into the nation’s
crowded cities, sink into despair, or turn to
radicalism in a desperate effort to achieve
what economic growth has not – social
equity
There are promising gains to be made by
boosting productivity in India’s agricultural
sector, where 70% of its people make their
living The more urgent riddle India faces,
though, is how to bring more of the rural
workforce into manufacturing and service
jobs when the workers lack the skills to do
them and when cities lack the capacity to
provide housing The answer: find ways
to push the jobs and skills out of the cities
and into the countryside where they are
needed
Recommendations
• Capitalize on India’s Human Capital
India must boost investment in primary
education and vocational training
Companies need to help not only by
funding new schools, but by staffing
them and devising the most useful
curricula
• Empower the Powerless
Power’s price must reflect its real cost Governments need to remove subsidies on electricity generated from fossil fuels to encourage investment in renewable energy Likewise, flat rates for power consumption need to be eliminated to discourage waste
• Switch on the Power Sector
The power industry should be deregulated to stimulate investment into poorer, rural areas In particular, the sector should be opened further to private investment
Capitalize on India’s Human Capital
India’s educational system is the root of the country’s economic success but is also to blame for many of its failings India has the largest number of illiterate people and the lowest educational standards in the G20 Every year, 12 million Indians join the workforce, yet few have even a high-school education As a result, India faces
a critical shortage of tradesmen – from carpenters and electricians to pipe-fitters and plumbers
“We tend to think of rural development as something for government But the private sector has
an equal role to play.”
Chanda Kochhar
Managing Director and Chief Executive Officer, ICICI Bank, India
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What is needed is new focus on and investment in primary education, English literacy and vocational training The private sector has a critical role to play in providing improved vocational training, either by offering apprenticeships or by working with the government to make sure that training matches the skills employers need Many believe that might be best achieved by turning more of education over to the private sector, thereby ensuring that competition provides higher quality at lower prices
Empower the Powerless
Power is a key to development: power drives telecommunications, which in turn transmits information and access to markets, training, healthcare and financial services While India’s power grid is expanding by almost 10% every year, two-fifths of the country still has no electricity The lack of clean, affordable power and other major infrastructure remains one of the biggest obstacles to India achieving sustainable and inclusive growth
India’s poor are willing to pay for reliable, affordable power as long as it is fairly priced Flat rates for consumption only
“The demographic dividend can only
happen if you educate the young If
not, it will be a disaster.”
Hari S Bhartia
Co-Chairman and Managing Director, Jubilant
Bhartia Group; President, Confederation of Indian
Industry (CII), India
Source: World Bank World Development Indicators (2010); NSF Science and Technology Indicators 2010
Trang 11India Economic Summit | 9
reduce profitability, encourage waste and
discourage investment Consumers should
therefore pay for the power they use
Likewise, subsidies on power generated
by fossil fuels need to be eliminated;
they discourage investment in renewable
energy Likewise, the long-term costs of
pollution need to be included in the price
of energy
Switch on the Power Sector
Investment in new power projects is
hindered by a shortage of money from
domestic stock markets and from
domestic lenders Financial institutions,
bond markets and equity markets need to
be further developed so that India’s own
savings – and not just foreign funding –
can be channelled more effectively into key
infrastructure Therefore, barriers to private
investment in power should be removed
Separating the industry into its component
parts – generation, transmission and
distribution – would promote greater
competition and reduce prices
De-stress Urban Infrastructure
No matter how fast or how well India develops its rural areas, it will still need
to tackle the urgent problems in its congested cities India is already working
on a US$ 20 billion, seven-year urban renewal plan, but much more will need to
be done With nearly 70% of all jobs being created in cities, the proportion of Indians living in cities is projected to rise from three
in 10 today to two in five by 2030 That will leave 68 cities with more than a million residents, an expansion that will require what some estimate as at least 90 million new dwellings and US$ 190 billion in additional infrastructure
Indeed, by 2030 the economies of India’s largest cities will be larger than those of many countries Metropolitan governments, therefore, need to take
on more prominent and independent roles, including controlling their own tax-collection and spending In this way, they can better raise money and determine how
to invest it in improving their infrastructure
Metropolitan governments need to create clearer mechanisms for pricing land to reduce property prices, thereby stimulating investment in new infrastructure and low-cost housing Cities will need land,
so efforts must be made to clarify the conditions under which they can acquire it and how much they should pay
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Security and Sustainability Imperative
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India is facing its dilemmas and developing new models for mitigating risk and ensuring sustainability while respecting its democratic pluralism
India’s most daunting challenges when it comes to sustainability are addressing water scarcity (see Water box), modernizing agriculture, improving transportation and encouraging ethical and balanced consumption As it moves forward to tackle these issues, India is positioning itself to become a new kind of superpower – one based less on military might than on “soft power”
Recommendations
• Modernize Agriculture
Governments and corporations must begin to treat India’s mostly small farmers like entrepreneurs, and view agriculture as an industry
• Make Transportation Sustainable and Safe
India needs to impose higher standards for vehicles and roads, crack down on violations and create a more effective emergency service to handle accidents
• Become a Superpower for Good
By hewing to its diversity, history of tolerance and tradition of non-violence, India can position itself as a power for moderation, equity and justice in the world
“You have to consider agriculture not
as subsistence, but as a profession.”
Ellen Kullman
Chair of the Board and Chief Executive Officer of
DuPont, Co-Chair of the India Economic Summit
“We need to engage in
public-private partnerships with farmers to
take technologies to the land and
help them realize better prices
Government [also] needs to repeal
archaic laws that are detrimental to
Indian public policy has been evolving from patronage networks to a system of rights This has extended beyond conventional areas like civil rights to novel concepts like the right to food, including the changing needs of individuals over their life cycles (e.g infant nutrition), enabling factors such as water, distribution networks and systems, and post-harvest technology
At present, agriculture accounts for only about 17% of the nation’s GDP, but it is the main source of income for more than 60% of its citizens For any scheme to work, therefore, it will need to reflect new thinking on farmers and their work, treating farmers as entrepreneurs and agriculture
as a profession
“We were already a superpower
when Gandhi was living We had
non-violence, something nobody else
had We could have taken that to the
world.”
Joseph Madiath
Executive Director, Gram Vikas, India; Social
Entrepreneur
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“We need to be consulted and not treated as if we are nạve Farming is
a business You should learn to work with farmers as partners.”
Dinesh Mohan
Professor of Transport Research and Injury Prevention Programme, WHO Collaborating Centre, Indian Institute of Technology Delhi, India
“For a country that invented yoga, [it
is odd that] we did not learn to stretch until China forced us to.”
India’s alarming rate of 100,000 traffic
fatalities per year can be reduced
drastically with a few significant yet simple
steps:
• Better road design to discourage
speeding and to provide separate
spaces for motorists, cyclists and
pedestrians
• Driver and pedestrian education
• A crackdown on traffic violations
• Regulations for automobile design
and maintenance to ensure that
manufacturers build safer cars and that
owners keep them roadworthy
• Effective emergency rescue services
for victims
Despite India having a more agrarian
population, a smaller population and fewer
cars than China, India’s traffic fatality rate
surpassed China’s four years ago and
the toll has continued to rise ever since
Recognizing the gravity of the situation, the
government introduced the National Road
Safety and Traffic Management Board Bill
2010 to create an oversight agency for
road traffic safety
Culture does not determine road behaviour and India’s traffic deaths do not appear
to vary from region to region Yet, cities have their own cultures of safety or recklessness In Delhi, for example, research has shown that some people will not use the metro rail system because they think it is too dangerous to walk to the stations
Become a Superpower for Good
Indians appear to have little ambition as
a superpower in the conventional sense, with a broad influence backed by military might like the United States, the former Soviet Union or China Instead, they seem to prefer using non-military “soft power” (political, economic and cultural)
to influence what most experts believe is
a multipolar world no longer dominated by the US India’s song, dance and drama are its emissaries Its diversity and traditions
of tolerance and non-violence give it the credentials and qualifications to become
a calming power, a trusted mediator
in a world riven by Islamophobia and anti-Americanism India should therefore strive to become a “super-caring power”, ensuring equity and justice for its own citizens and encouraging other nations to emulate its example
Source: World Bank
Emerging markets agriculture value-added
Agriculture represents a larger portion of India's
economy than in other emerging nations
1995 1990
1985
1970 1975 1980
India China
Turkey Russia Brazil
Mexico
Indonesia