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Investor’s basic philosophy & preferences that facilitate the discussion of investment risk with the investors.. inherited wealth may be associated with reduced willingness to assume r

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“ MANAGING INDIVIDUAL INVESTOR PORTFOLIOS ”

3 INVESTOR CHARACTERISTICS

 Categorizing individual investors based on their situational characteristics

 Investor’s basic philosophy & preferences that facilitate the

discussion of investment risk with the investors

CF = Cash Flow

3.1 Situational Profiling

Approaches of Situational Profiling

 Manner of acquiring wealth offers insight into an investor’s

risk attitude

 Active investors (e.g successful entrepreneurs) exhibit a

higher level of risk tolerance

 Reluctant to cede control to a third party

 Passive recipients of wealth (e.g inherited wealth) may be

associated with reduced willingness to assume risk

 If investor perceives his holdings as small (large), may demonstrate a low (high) tolerance for portfolio volatility

 Low return (high return) portfolio as compared to lifestyle is

considered small (large)

3.1.3 Stage of Life

i) Foundation Phase

 Individual’s base establishment phase

 Long-time horizon & above avg

risk tolerance

 Very few investable assets

ii) Accumulation Phase

 Income accelerates & gradually reaches its peak

 Risk tolerance, wealth &

long-term time horizon

iii) Maintenance Phase

 Individual moves into the later

years of life

 Risk tolerance & time horizon

 Goal ⇒ preserving wealth

iv) Distribution Phase

 Accumulated wealth is

transferred to other persons or entities

 Tax constraints & transfer

strategies often become important consideration

SAA = Strategic Asset Allocation

MCS = Monte Carlo Simulation

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3.2 Psychological Profiling

 Investors are risk averse

 Investors hold rational

expectations

 Evaluate investments in portfolio context

 Economic considerations

 Individual investors are:

 Loss averse

 Hold biased expectation

 Portfolio construction through pyramiding

 Economic & subjective

considerations

3.2.3 Personality Typing

 Risk averse to potential losses

 Strong need for financial security

 Prefer low turnover & low volatility

 Often missed opportunities due to over

analysis

 Undertake research on trading strategies

 No emotional attachments to investment

positions

 Conservative investors

 Highest portfolio turnover ratio& below avg

return

 Quick to make investment decisions

 More concerned with missing an investment

trend

 Place a great deal of faith in handwork

 Not afraid to exhibit investment independence

in taking a course of action

4 INVESTMENT POLICY STATEMENT

 A well constructed IPS:

 Presents the investor’s financial objectives & constraints

 Sets operational guidelines for constructing a portfolio

 Establish basis for portfolio monitoring & review

 Is portable & easily understandable

 Document that protects both the advisor & the individual

investor

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4.1 Setting Return and Risk Objectives

 Return level necessary to achieve the investor’s primary or critical long-term objectives

 Total return approach should be followed

 Generally driven by annual spending &

long-term saving goals

Required Return

Return level associated with investor’s secondary goals

Desired Return

 When an investor’s return objectives are inconsistent with his risk tolerance, a

resolution is required

 If portfolio’s expected return> investor’s return objective then:

 Assume less risk to protect the surplus

 Use the surplus for assuming greater risk

 All CFs should be treated the same way (e.g all should be after-tax)

 Determine the amount of investable assets:

 If any cash outflow in six months ⇒ PV of outflow should be subtracted

from the investable assets

 If inflows> expenses, the additional should be added to investable assets

4.1.2 Risk Objective

 Subject to quantitative measurement

 Determine the investor’s short-term &

long-term financial needs & goals

 Determine the importance of these goals

 Determine the investment shortfall that

investor’s portfolio can bear

 Important considerations are:

 Liquidity needs

 Time horizon

 Portfolio size

 Goals

Ability to Take Risk

 Subjective assessment

 Psychological profiling provides useful

estimates of an individual’s willingness to take risk

 Important considerations are:

 Personality type

 Portfolio holdings

 Implicit or explicit statements

Willingness to Take Risk

 State whether the client’s ability & willingness is below avg.,

“avg.” or “above avg.”

 Overall risk tolerance ⇒ lesser of the two if they are in conflict

4.2 Constraints

4.2.1 Liquidity

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Reasons for Liquidity Requirements

 One of the portfolio’s highest priorities

 Should be met with liquid investments due to

short time horizon

Ongoing Expenses

 Precaution against unanticipated events

 Reserve size ⇒ 3 months to more than 1 year

of the client’s anticipated expenses

Emergency Reserves

 For example a significant charitable gift, home repairs etc

 As time horizon to such events, liquidity needs

 Transaction costs & price volatility are two characteristics that

determine a portfolio’s liquidity

 IPS should specifically identify significant illiquid holdings (e.g

home or primary residence)

 Sometimes the home is treated as a long term investment

used to meet long-term housing needs or estate planning goals

Negative Liquidity Events

 Long-term time horizon if > 15 or 20 years

 Short-term time horizon if < 3 years

 Intermediate to long term if 3-15 years

 Time horizon can be a single stage or multistage

 A shift from one stage to another stage occurs when client’s

objectives & constraints change

4.2.2 Time Horizon

 Widely recognized categories of taxes are:

 Income tax

 Gains tax

 Wealth transfer tax

 Property tax

 Different tax strategies to minimize the impact of taxes includes:

 Tax deferral

 Tax avoidance

 Tax reduction

4.2.3 Taxes

 Frequently involve taxation & the transfer of personal property ownership

 Prudent investor rule may apply if manager is acting in a

fiduciary capacity

4.2.4 Legal and Regulatory Environment

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 Established by the grantor

 Funded when grantor transfers legal ownership of designated assets to the trust

 Two types

 Revocable trust ⇒ grantor retains control over assets & is responsible for any tax liability

 Irrevocable trust ⇒ trust is responsible for tax liability &

terms of the trust are fixed

The Personal Trust

 Might include guidelines for social or special purpose investing

 List of assets held outside the investment portfolio

 Some examples are:

 Concentrated position in low basis stock

 Significant amount of assets for charity purpose

 Significant unusual expenditure

4.2.5 Unique Circumstances

 Process of elimination is used to arrive at appropriate SAA

 Process of selecting most satisfactory allocation consists of the following steps:

 Determine the allocations that meet the investor’s return

requirement

 Eliminate allocations that fail to meet risk objectives

 Eliminate asset allocations that fail to satisfy the investor’s stated

constraints

 Evaluate the expected risk adjusted performance & diversification

attributes

5.1 Asset Allocation Concepts

5 AN INTRODUCTION TO ASSET ALLOCATION

 MCS is generally superior to deterministic approach because:

 It incorporates path dependency effect & assumptions variability

 It generates probability distribution of final value rather than a

single point estimate

 It allows projections of best & worst case scenarios

 It can capture the variety of portfolio changes

 MCS users should:

 Choose a simulation that simulates the performance of specific investments & takes into account the tax consequences

 Be aware that simulation is input dependent

 Drawbacks:

 Can be biased by the perceptions of the analyst

5.2 Monte Carlo Simulation (MCS) in Personal Retirement Planning

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