Agenda = Where Are We Now = Hanoi Office Market " Hanoi Serviced Apartment Market = Seizing Market Opportunities inc... The growth environment of early 2008 has changed to cost cont
Trang 1OPPORTUNITIES FOR TENANTS
INA DOWN MARKET
PRESENTED TO EUROCHAM BY RICHARD LEECH
15 April 2009
CBRE
CB RICHARD ELLIS
Trang 2Agenda
= Where Are We Now
= Hanoi Office Market
" Hanoi Serviced Apartment Market
= Seizing Market Opportunities inc Lease Restructuring
Trang 3Internal Conditions & Drivers
CB Richard Ellis | Page 3
Trang 4Where we are now?
The growth environment of early 2008 has changed to cost containment in 2009 Real Estate costs are often the second largest expense for Companies — typically behind labour
In a contracting economy, an aggressive occupancy cost reduction plan can mean the
ditference between success and survival Following headcount reduction activities over the last 6 months, some corporate occupiers are carrying a significant amount of vacant space
Market conditions have given rise to new opportunities for restructuring leases
By mid-2008, most Asian markets had achieved record high rents with five of the world’s ten most expensive office markets located in Asia
In HCMC we have seen Grade A rents for new or under construction properties drop
30 to 40% trom their peaks In Hanoi we are seeing an 8% quarter on quarter drop in office rents on existing buildings
Landlords are keen to secure reliable income that will see them through this economic downturn and a significant amount of planned new supply They are offering capital contributions to fit-outs, free rent periods, enhanced flexibility, and lower face rents to
Trang 5Stock Market Rising - 30 Day Trend
Graph from VNDirect
CB Richard Ellis | Page 5
Trang 6Web Analytical Data — Heat Graph
* Binh Thanh Dist *
» Apartment Apartments for Sale: Jan — Dec 2008
Janf/os Feb Mar Apr May June July Aug Sep Oct Now Dec
This heat graph shows the individual listings and the color shows the number of views
Lighter blue is fewer views, darker purple represents more views
Heat Graph provided by MetVuong.com
Trang 7
What's driving the oftice market?
Landlord Market Balances Market Tenant Market
L Rent
Higher Rents Tenants Landlords ower wes
Less favourable rental terms Lower Cash flow
CB Richard Ellis | Page 7
Trang 8Hanoi Office Market
Trang 9Source: CBRE (Vietnam)
CB Richard Ellis | Page 9
Trang 10Office Rent Cycle — Hanoi Office Market
Trang 11Hanoi Office Market Supply 2007 to 2010
1,000,000 ¬ 900,000 - 800,000 - 700,000 - 600,000 - 500,000 - 400,000 - 300,000 - 200,000 - 100,000 -
0-
CB Richard Ellis | Page 11
Hanoi Office Market - 2007 to 2010
942,000
622,000 379,000 412,000
2007 2008 2009 2010 year
Source: CBRE (Vietnam)
Trang 12Asking rents of Grade A and B
Trang 13Current asking rents
Sun Red River, Hanoi Tower, Opera Business Center, Asia 63 Ly Thai To, Central Building,
HCOB, Vincom City Tower Tower, Vietcombank Tower Pacific Place, Sun City
*Buildings are not listed in any particular order within rental ranges
CB Richard Ellis | Page 13
Trang 14Occupancy rates in existing buildings
Trang 15Proposed headline rent & GFA — 2009 new buildings
New Hanoi Grade A&B Office Supply
* The above rentals include Service Charge, exclude VAT
CB Richard Ellis | Page 15
Proposed rent GFA sq.m
BIDV Tower US$60 — 70 23,800
CDC Building US$30 6,160 Resco Building US$35 21,000 CMC Building US$20- US$22 15,000 CEO Tower US$25 — US$28 18,000
Vinaconex 9 US$25 — US$28 18,000 Plaschem Plaza US$22 12,800
Cau Giay New Submarket Unknown 40,000
Hacinco Complex unknown 3,000
197,760
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Hanoi office market — Net absorption & vacancy rate
Ñ œ& œ& Œœ& ŒœẰ& &䜜Gœ &&=œœ&«(&ốeẶœ&e&œ&8ẽe&œ&eẶœ&œeeẶ&œ&e«œe«œ&euẶ&e«
Wa Net Absorption ex Vacancy Rate
Trang 17HANO! NEW GFrrice SUPPLY HS — a
= Grade A 2008 |m@ Grade A 2009 ©) Grade B2008 @) Grade B 2009 CBRE
CB RICHARD ELLIS
Trang 18Hanoi My Dinh New Urban Area office supply in 2008, 2009
@ Projects opening in 2009 @ Future Projects CBRE
Trang 19
Hanoi Serviced Apartment Market
Trang 20¢ Hanoi drops 35 places to rank 91st
se Ho Chi Minh City drops 40 places to rank 100th
= Reasons:
° Stable VND against USD
° Lower inflation observed on goods here compared with
New York
Trang 21Accommodation options available
Serviced Apartments / Villas
Somerset Grand, Fraser Suites, Sun Red River, Atlanta Residences
Buy to let apartments
The Manor, Pacific Place, Kinh Do, Trung Hoa Nhan Chinh,
Buy to let Villas
The Manor, Ciputra, Tay Ho,
10 Dang Thai Mai
Institutionally Owned Institutionally Leased
Or less often, Institutionally Owned Institutionally Leased Institutionally Managed
Monthly Bill
(including rent and utilities)
Monthly Tax Invoice Issued
Multi- monthly Bills
(including rent, utilities, parking,
management fee, etc )
Monthly Tax Invoice (optional) Multi-monthly Bills
(including rent, utilities, parking,
management fee, etc.)
Monthly Tax Invoice (optional)
CB Richard Ellis | Page 21
Trang 22Serviced Apartment Facilities*
Available in 50%-95% projects
= Retail & Entertainment Complex
Sauna/ Steam Room
Trang 23
Standard Serviced Apartments
= Internationally Branded = , locally branded
“
,
#
- ,
Somerset Hoa Binh Fraser Suites Hanoi Skyline Tower
= 106 Hoang Quoc Viet, Cau Giay = 54 Xuan Dieu, Tay Ho = 4 Dang Dung, Ba Dinh
= Operator: Ascott International = Operator: Frasers Hospitality = Operator: Nam Hung Co Ltd
= 206 rooms (studio to 2-bed apartments) = 170 rooms (1 to 4-bed = 86 rooms (1 to 4-bed
apartments, 3-bed penthouse)
= Starting time: Q2/2008 apartments, 4-bed penthouse)
= Starting time: Q2/2008 = Starting time: Q2/2008
CB Richard Ellis | Page 23
Trang 24Hanoi Serviced Apartment market overview (Q1/2009)
= No new supply in Q1/09
° Total supply 1,886 units in 21 projects (133% y-o-y)
= Average asking rents reduced slightly from Q4/08 with greater flexibility in price negotiation, varied between projects (3%-5%- 10%- 15%-20%)
° 5 Internationally managed projects : US$47.8/sm/month
= Vacancy dropped significantly from Q4/08, especially in the 3 new projects
° Whole sector (21 projects) : 11%
° An unveritiable portion of the occupancy came trom daily guests (10%- 20%) The portions are higher in big projects
Trang 25Serviced Apartment rent cycle
Trang 26Hanoi Serviced Apartment average asking rents
Trang 27Average Asking Rents (Q1/09)
Min Rent $34 $21 $20 $19 $16 $21 $23 $20 Max Rent $68 $73 $52 $49 $32 $26 $35 $48
MONTHLY ASKING RENT PER UNIT (Q1/09) MONTHLY ASKING RENT PSM (Q1/09)
Studio 1 Bed 2 Bed 3 Bed 4 Bed 5 Bed Villa Penthouse Studio 1 Bed 2 Bed 3 Bed 4 Bed 5 Bed Villa
ME Max Rent %4 Min Rent ==== Averoge Ren† mmm Marx Rent Z Min Renl Average Rent
CB Richard Ellis | Page 27
Penthouse
Trang 28Hanoi Serviced Apartment historic supply and vacancy
Trang 29Hanoi Serviced Apartment future supply
= The market is expected to receive no new signiticant supply until 2011
Trang 30Hanoi Serviced Apartments new & future supply
Trang 31Hanoi Serviced Apartment market outlook
Decreasing demand due to Global economic turbulence
° MNCs slow growth, unassisted contract based workers replacing families on expat packages
e Accommodation budget is tightened
° Expats seeking alternative accommodation Direct competition from semi- & non-serviced apartments
° Typically private-owned, have security & maid services
° Often in central locations e.g Hoan Kiem, Tay Ho (West Lake)
°Rents are usually 1/3 — 1/2 the rent for traditional serviced apartments Change in Residential Leasing requirements — budget, unit size, location, standard of accommodations
Greater flexibility in price negotiation Achievable rents can be 3% - 20%
lower than asking rents
CB Richard Ellis | Page 31
Trang 32Seizing Opportunities in the
Ottice Market
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The Opportunities tor office tenants
Taking Advantage of Current Conditions
rents and landlords’ exposure and
a Restructure these leases to provide
immediate and significant cost ees
savings to the business —
——=82995-
= Secure higher quality space, flexibility and/or naming rights
a Not only is it possible to drop base rent, it may be possible to drop excess
space in the process
a Done correctly, savings could equal NPV savings of hundreds of thousands
of USD
= In-market execution by CBRE’s market leading Tenant Representation teams
will ensure results and a positive impact on your bottom line
CB Richard Ellis | Page 33
Trang 34The Range of Options
= Subleasing
= Rental holidays
= Asset sales
= Sale and leasebacks
= Improving space utilisation
= Consolidate and co-locate
= Dropping swing space
= Lease restructures
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What is Lease Restructuring?
= A lease restructure (also known as re-gearing or a blend & extend) is when a tenant enters into discussions with the current landlord to adjust the current contracted rent to market and/or dropping space in exchange for one or a combination of the following:
= Extending the lease
= Consolidating within a landlord’s porttolio
= Dropping existing tenant options to break the lease early
= Dropping a first right of refusal on contiguous space
= For extension lease restructures, the most common form, the differential between the contracted rent and the new agreed market rent for the remaining lease term
is often amortised over the new longer term
= Lease restructures are often seen as win/win projects as landlord's receive a renewed and often longer commitment to their portfolio by the tenant and the tenant receives an immediate reduction in occupancy cost
CB Richard Ellis | Page 35
Trang 36Key Factors to Consider
= Length of Lease Commitment to be made `“
= Quantum of space required
= Open market reviews or fixed rent throughout term
= Rent caps and collars at review
= Subletting rights required
= Options to surrender space during lease term
= Rights of first refusal during lease term
= Value of any early surrenders
= Effects of future known vacancies in the subject building and portfolio
= Transactions taking place elsewhere in the markets
Trang 37
Optimal Conditions for Restructuring Leases
= Falling market rents
= Leases where the rent has been reset to market in the last 12 months
= Leases that expire in the next 24 months
= Good relationship with the landlord
= New supply coming on the market ov
= Landlords look for quick decisions from
Trang 38Tenant Representation The Opportunity
A good Tenant Representative can help you achieve your rental goals quickly and efficiently by:
= Identifying locations where you can take advantage of the significant drop in
rents and landlords’ exposure and risk aversion
= Restructure leases to provide immediate and significant cost savings
= Secure higher quality space, flexibility and/or incentives
= Work with you and the Landlord for the best incentive package tor you
= Assist you in dropping excess space in the process or helping to consolidate your offices
= Help you to renegotiate your current lease either to extend or to get out
= Has the local knowledge to navigate conditions
Trang 39
Rental Expenses vs Incentives on Offer
¢ Rent Free in Lease e Extended Fit-Out
¢ Free Signage ¢ Stepped Rents Period (2 mo.)
¢ Rent Reviews in Lease ¢ Rent Reviews in Lease * Rent Free in Lease
International Standard
n * Longer Leases ° Options to Renew ¢ Longer Leases ¢ Options to Renew : ° Stepped Rents ° Free Signage ;
* Rent Reviews in Lease ¢ Offer to Lease Higher ° Offer to Lease Higher ° Free Porking
* Options to Renew Floors Floors ¢ Rent Reviews in Lease
* Rental Caps & Collars ¢ Stepped Rents ¢ Stepped Rents ¢ Longer Leases
* Offer to Lease Higher ¢ Rental Caps & Collars * Rental Caps & Collars * Options to Renew
EXISTING CBD Floors * Bank Guarantees as ¢ Bank Guarantees as ¢ Offer to Lease Higher
¢ Bank Guarantees as Deposit Deposit Floors
Deposit ¢ Longer A/C Hours ° Longer A/C Hours ¢ Stepped Rents
° Free Signage Longer A/C Hours ¢ Free Rates/Utilies ° Fit-Out Contribution ¢ Rental Caps & Collars
* Rent Reviews in Lease Fit-Out Period ¢ Fit-Out Period e¢ Fit-Out Period * Bank Guarantees as
¢ Longer Leases Extended Fit-Out Period Eranded Fit-Out ° Extended Fit-Out Deposit
* Options to Renew (2 mo.) Period (2 mo.) Period (2 mo.) * Longer A/C Hours
* Offer to Lease Higher Contraction Option * Contraction Option * Contraction Option * Contraction Option
Floors First Rights of Otter ¢ First Rights of Offer ¢ First Rights of Offer ¢ First Rights of Offer
CB Richard Ellis | Page 39
Trang 40Incentives DO count
Area Rent (based on NET area) Service Charge
VAT
Total Rent Inclusive Total Monthly Rent Only Total Monthly Service Charge Total Monthly VAT
Total Monthly Rental inclusive Lease Period
Total Rent during Lease period Incentives
Rent Free (months) Rent Free amount
Roof Top Signage (7.2m x 1.2m) Market Rate
Total Signage Cost for 5 year lease
Free Parking Cars
Market Rate Total Car Parking for 5 year lease
Motorbikes Market Rate Total Motorbike parking for 5 year lease
Contnbution Towards Fitting Out
3,026
$50.00 sq.m / month
$6.00 10%
USD USD USD USD
Months
USD
USD sq.m / month
sq.m
sq.m / month
USD sq.m / month
spaces month USD sq.m / month
Trang 41It’s NOT just the RENT
Motorbike Parting 375 morm
=Ittirg Out Ccet SECO sam
Floor Area Sic Exleting Rate Revised Rate Floor Area SiC Rants! Rate Ground 793sam $6.00 $99.06 360.00 Grouns 750 5g.m $900 $150.00 Mezzanire cigsqm $6.00 $75.00 370.00 1st 1377 sam $6.00 $92.00
na 1152 sqm $6.00 $53.00 $50.00 1én 1.696 sg.m $6.00 $32.00
17 in 1,194 s<gm $6.00 565.00 365.00 178 1697 sam $602 $32.00
18in 1794sqam $6.00 $65.00 365.00 Tota! 5,253 sq m Total 5.520 eq.m
VAT & 10% $36,635.70 morn $37,427.20 monn 355,392.00 montr
Total Monthly Rent all Inclusive $425,542 70 month $411,639.20 month $615,912.00 month incentives
Taal Rent Free 0 5 mons 34.00 Rent Free Amcum $1,705,600.00 34.00
Car Parking 1€ 'œs 18 lots 5S jolts
Taal Car Paraing Cost $2,600 morn $3,600 monn 371.000 montr
Taal Worcroike Parking Cost $2,000 morn 33,000 monn na
Suliding Operstiora 4ours 3am - pm Mon - Fri 8am - 6pm Mon - Fri 3am - pm Mon - Fn
63am - ipm Sat 6am - ipm Sat éam - 129m Sat
ATM Exchisivty Yes Yes Yes
Toaral incentives - 5 year 3€0,000 $1,765,600.00 $120,000
> year Tota! Rent Inclucing = $25,472,562 $22,336,352 $36,834,720
ncentives Such 35 rent Te= / parairg
Fitting Out Cost $3,155,400 $3,155,400 $3,312,000
Total Occupancy Cost! 5 year lease $28,627,362 E $40,146,720 Total Occupancy Coe! / Monthly $30.73 sq.m $82.69 $121.22 sq.m
DIFFERENCE $2, $14,054,968
CB Richard Ellis | Page 41