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This formula becomes mathematically respectable only after we integrate it.. The total error will have limit zero in the last step of the following argument... This term has zero quadrat

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Itˆo’s Formula

15.1 Itˆo’s formula for one Brownian motion

We want a rule to “differentiate” expressions of the formf ( B ( t )), wheref ( x ) is a differentiable function IfB ( t )were also differentiable, then the ordinary chain rule would give

d dtf ( B ( t )) = f0( B ( t )) B0( t ) ; which could be written in differential notation as

df ( B ( t )) = f0

( B ( t )) B0

( t ) dt

= f0

( B ( t )) dB ( t )

However,B ( t )is not differentiable, and in particular has nonzero quadratic variation, so the correct formula has an extra term, namely,

df ( B ( t )) = f0( B ( t )) dB ( t ) + 1 2 f0( B ( t )) |{z}dt

dB(t) dB(t) :

This is It ˆo’s formula in differential form Integrating this, we obtain It ˆo’s formula in integral form:

f ( B ( t )),f ( B (0))

| {z }

f(0) =Z t

0 f0

( B ( u )) dB ( u ) + 1 2Z t

0 f00

( B ( u )) du:

Remark 15.1 (Differential vs Integral Forms) The mathematically meaningful form of It ˆo’s

for-mula is It ˆo’s forfor-mula in integral form:

f ( B ( t )),f ( B (0)) =Z t

0 f0( B ( u )) dB ( u ) + 1 2Z t

0 f00( B ( u )) du:

167

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This is because we have solid definitions for both integrals appearing on the right-hand side The first,

Z t

0 f0

( B ( u )) dB ( u )

is an It ˆo integral, defined in the previous chapter The second,

Z t

0 f0( B ( u )) du;

is a Riemann integral, the type used in freshman calculus.

For paper and pencil computations, the more convenient form of It ˆo’s rule is It ˆo’s formula in

differ-ential form:

df ( B ( t )) = f0

( B ( t )) dB ( t ) + 1 2 f00

( B ( t )) dt:

There is an intuitive meaning but no solid definition for the termsdf ( B ( t )) ;dB ( t )anddtappearing

in this formula This formula becomes mathematically respectable only after we integrate it

15.2 Derivation of Itˆo’s formula

Considerf ( x ) = 1 2 x 2, so that

f0( x ) = x; f00( x ) = 1 : Letx k ;x k+1be numbers Taylor’s formula implies

f ( x k+1 ),f ( x k ) = ( x k+1,x k ) f0

( x k ) + 1 2 ( x k+1,x k ) 2 f00

( x k ) :

In this case, Taylor’s formula to second order is exact becausef is a quadratic function.

In the general case, the above equation is only approximate, and the error is of the order of( x k+1,

x k ) 3 The total error will have limit zero in the last step of the following argument.

FixT > 0and let =ft 0 ;t 1 ;::: ;t ngbe a partition of[0 ;T ] Using Taylor’s formula, we write:

f ( B ( T )),f ( B (0))

= 1

2 B 2 ( T ),

1

2 B 2 (0)

= nX ,1

k=0 [ f ( B ( t k+1 )),f ( B ( t k ))]

= nX ,1

k=0 [ B ( t k+1 ),B ( t k )] f0

( B ( t k )) + 1 2 nX ,1

k=0 [ B ( t k+1 ),B ( t k )] 2 f00

( B ( t k ))

= nX ,1

k=0 B ( t k )[ B ( t k+1 ),B ( t k )] + 1

2

nX ,1 k=0 [ B ( t k+1 ),B ( t k )] 2 :

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We letjjjj!0to obtain

f ( B ( T )),f ( B (0)) =Z T

0 B ( u ) dB ( u ) + 1 2hBi( T )

| {z }

T

=Z T

0 f0( B ( u )) dB ( u ) + 1 2Z T

0 f00( B ( u ))

| {z }

1 du:

This is It ˆo’s formula in integral form for the special case

f ( x ) = 1 2 x 2 :

15.3 Geometric Brownian motion

Definition 15.1 (Geometric Brownian Motion) Geometric Brownian motion is

S ( t ) = S (0)expn

B ( t ) +

,1 2  2

to

; whereand > 0are constant

Define

f ( t;x ) = S (0)expn

x +

,1 2  2

to

; so

S ( t ) = f ( t;B ( t )) : Then

f t =

,1 2  2

f; f x = f; f xx =  2 f:

According to It ˆo’s formula,

dS ( t ) = df ( t;B ( t ))

= f t dt + f x dB + 1 2 f xx dBdB| {z }

dt

= ( ,1 2  2 ) f dt + f dB + 1 2  2 f dt

= S ( t ) dt + S ( t ) dB ( t )

Thus, Geometric Brownian motion in differential form is

dS ( t ) = S ( t ) dt + S ( t ) dB ( t ) ;

and Geometric Brownian motion in integral form is

S ( t ) = S (0) +Z t

0 S ( u ) du +Z t

0 S ( u ) dB ( u ) :

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15.4 Quadratic variation of geometric Brownian motion

In the integral form of Geometric Brownian motion,

S ( t ) = S (0)+Z t

0 S ( u ) du +Z t

0 S ( u ) dB ( u ) ; the Riemann integral

F ( t ) =Z t

0 S ( u ) du

is differentiable withF0( t ) = S ( t ) This term has zero quadratic variation The It ˆo integral

G ( t ) =Z t

0 S ( u ) dB ( u )

is not differentiable It has quadratic variation

hGi( t ) =Z t

0  2 S 2 ( u ) du:

Thus the quadratic variation ofS is given by the quadratic variation ofG In differential notation,

we write

dS ( t ) dS ( t ) = ( S ( t ) dt + S ( t ) dB ( t )) 2 =  2 S 2 ( t ) dt

15.5 Volatility of Geometric Brownian motion

Fix0  T 1  T 2 Let = ft 0 ;::: ;t ngbe a partition of[ T 1 ;T 2 ] The squared absolute sample

volatility ofSon[ T 1 ;T 2 ]is

1

T 2,T 1

nX ,1 k=0 [ S ( t k+1 ),S ( t k )] 2 '

1

T 2,T 1

T2 Z

T1

 2 S 2 ( u ) du ' 2 S 2 ( T 1 )

As T 2 # T 1, the above approximation becomes exact In other words, the instantaneous relative

volatility ofSis 2 This is usually called simply the volatility ofS

15.6 First derivation of the Black-Scholes formula

Wealth of an investor An investor begins with nonrandom initial wealth X 0 and at each timet, holds( t )shares of stock Stock is modelled by a geometric Brownian motion:

dS ( t ) = S ( t ) dt + S ( t ) dB ( t ) :

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( t ) can be random, but must be adapted The investor finances his investing by borrowing or lending at interest rater

LetX ( t )denote the wealth of the investor at timet Then

dX ( t ) = ( t ) dS ( t ) + r [ X ( t ),( t ) S ( t )] dt

= ( t )[ S ( t ) dt + S ( t ) dB ( t )] + r [ X ( t ),( t ) S ( t )] dt

= rX ( t ) dt + ( t ) S ( t ) ( ,r )

| {z }

Risk premium

dt + ( t ) S ( t ) dB ( t ) :

Value of an option Consider an European option which paysg ( S ( T ))at timeT Letv ( t;x )denote the value of this option at timetif the stock price isS ( t ) = x In other words, the value of the option at each timet2[0 ;T ]is

v ( t;S ( t )) : The differential of this value is

dv ( t;S ( t )) = v t dt + v x dS + 1 2 v xx dS dS

= v t dt + v x [ S dt + S dB ] + 1 2 v xx  2 S 2 dt

=h

v t + Sv x + 1 2  2 S 2 v xx

i

dt + Sv x dB

A hedging portfolio starts with some initial wealthX 0and invests so that the wealthX ( t )at each time tracksv ( t;S ( t )) We saw above that

dX ( t ) = [ rX + ( ,r ) S ] dt + S  dB:

To ensure thatX ( t ) = v ( t;S ( t ))for allt, we equate coefficients in their differentials Equating the

dBcoefficients, we obtain the-hedging rule:

( t ) = v x ( t;S ( t )) : Equating thedtcoefficients, we obtain:

v t + Sv x + 1 2  2 S 2 v xx = rX + ( ,r ) S:

But we have set = v x, and we are seeking to causeXto agree withv Making these substitutions,

we obtain

v t + Sv x + 1 2  2 S 2 v xx = rv + v x ( ,r ) S;

(wherev = v ( t;S ( t ))andS = S ( t )) which simplifies to

v t + rSv x + 1 2  2 S 2 v xx = rv:

In conclusion, we should letvbe the solution to the Black-Scholes partial differential equation

v t ( t;x ) + rxv x ( t;x ) + 1 2  2 x 2 v xx ( t;x ) = rv ( t;x )

satisfying the terminal condition

v ( T;x ) = g ( x ) :

If an investor starts withX 0 = v (0 ;S (0))and uses the hedge( t ) = v x ( t;S ( t )), then he will have

X ( t ) = v ( t;S ( t ))for allt, and in particular,X ( T ) = g ( S ( T ))

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15.7 Mean and variance of the Cox-Ingersoll-Ross process

The Cox-Ingersoll-Ross model for interest rates is

dr ( t ) = a ( b,cr ( t )) dt + q

r ( t ) dB ( t ) ; wherea;b;c;andr (0)are positive constants In integral form, this equation is

r ( t ) = r (0) + aZ t

0 ( b,cr ( u )) du + Z t

0

q

r ( u ) dB ( u ) :

We apply It ˆo’s formula to computedr 2 ( t ) This isdf ( r ( t )), wheref ( x ) = x 2 We obtain

dr 2 ( t ) = df ( r ( t ))

= f0

( r ( t )) dr ( t ) + 1 2 f00

( r ( t )) dr ( t ) dr ( t )

= 2 r ( t )



a ( b,cr ( t )) dt + q

r ( t ) dB ( t )



+



a ( b,cr ( t )) dt + q

r ( t ) dB ( t )

2

= 2 abr ( t ) dt,2 acr 2 ( t ) dt + 2 r3

( t ) dB ( t ) +  2 r ( t ) dt

= (2 ab +  2 ) r ( t ) dt,2 acr 2 ( t ) dt + 2 r3

2( t ) dB ( t )

The mean ofr ( t ) The integral form of the CIR equation is

r ( t ) = r (0) + aZ t

0 ( b,cr ( u )) du + Z t

0

q

r ( u ) dB ( u ) : Taking expectations and remembering that the expectation of an It ˆo integral is zero, we obtain

IEr ( t ) = r (0) + aZ t

0 ( b,cIEr ( u )) du:

Differentiation yields

d dtIEr ( t ) = a ( b,cIEr ( t )) = ab,acIEr ( t ) ; which implies that

d dt

h

e act IEr ( t )i

= e act

acIEr ( t ) + d

dtIEr ( t )



= e act ab:

Integration yields

e act IEr ( t ),r (0) = abZ t

0 e acu du = b

c ( e act,1) :

We solve forIEr ( t ):

IEr ( t ) = b

c + e,act

r (0),

b c

 :

Ifr (0) = b c, thenIEr ( t ) = b c for everyt Ifr (0)6= b c, thenr ( t )exhibits mean reversion:

lim

t IEr ( t ) = b

c:

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Variance ofr ( t ) The integral form of the equation derived earlier fordr 2 ( t )is

r 2 ( t ) = r 2 (0) + (2 ab +  2 )Z t

0 r ( u ) du,2 acZ t

0 r 2 ( u ) du + 2 Z t

0 r3

2( u ) dB ( u ) : Taking expectations, we obtain

IEr 2 ( t ) = r 2 (0) + (2 ab +  2 )Z t

0 IEr ( u ) du,2 acZ t

0 IEr 2 ( u ) du:

Differentiation yields

d dtIEr 2 ( t ) = (2 ab +  2 ) IEr ( t ),2 acIEr 2 ( t ) ; which implies that

d dte 2act IEr 2 ( t ) = e 2act



2 acIEr 2 ( t ) + d

dtIEr 2 ( t )



= e 2act (2 ab +  2 ) IEr ( t ) : Using the formula already derived forIEr ( t ) and integrating the last equation, after considerable algebra we obtain

IEr 2 ( t ) = b 2

2 ac 2 + b 2

c 2 +

r (0),

b c



 2

ac + 2 c b

!

e,act

+

r (0),

b c

2  2

ace,2act +  2

ac

 b

2 c,r (0)

e,2act :

var r ( t ) = IEr 2 ( t ),( IEr ( t )) 2

= b 2

2 ac 2 +

r (0),

b c



 2

ace,act +  2

ac

 b

2 c ,r (0)

e,2act :

15.8 Multidimensional Brownian Motion

Definition 15.2 (d-dimensional Brownian Motion) A d-dimensional Brownian Motion is a

pro-cess

B ( t ) = ( B 1 ( t ) ;::: ;B d ( t ))

with the following properties:

 EachB k ( t )is a one-dimensional Brownian motion;

 Ifi6= j, then the processesB i ( t )andB j ( t )are independent

Associated with ad-dimensional Brownian motion, we have a filtrationfF( t )gsuch that

 For eacht, the random vectorB ( t )isF( t )-measurable;

 For eachtt 1 :::t n, the vector increments

B ( t 1 ),B ( t ) ;::: ;B ( t n ),B ( t n,1 )

are independent of ( t )

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15.9 Cross-variations of Brownian motions

Because each componentB iis a one-dimensional Brownian motion, we have the informal equation

dB i ( t ) dB i ( t ) = dt:

However, we have:

Theorem 9.49 Ifi6= j,

dB i ( t ) dB j ( t ) = 0

Proof: Let =ft 0 ;::: ;t ngbe a partition of[0 ;T ] Fori6= j, define the sample cross variation

ofB iandB j on[0 ;T ]to be

C  = nX ,1 k=0 [ B i ( t k+1 ),B i ( t k )][ B j ( t k+1 ),B j ( t k )] : The increments appearing on the right-hand side of the above equation are all independent of one another and all have mean zero Therefore,

IEC  = 0 :

We computevar( C  ) First note that

C 2 = nX ,1

k=0



B i ( t k+1 ),B i ( t k )2

B j ( t k+1 ),B j ( t k )2

+ 2 nX ,1

`<k [ B i ( t `+1 ),B i ( t ` )][ B j ( t `+1 ),B j ( t ` )] : [ B i ( t k+1 ),B i ( t k )][ B j ( t k+1 ),B j ( t k )]

All the increments appearing in the sum of cross terms are independent of one another and have mean zero Therefore,

var( C  ) = IEC 2

= IE nX ,1 k=0 [ B i ( t k+1 ),B i ( t k )] 2 [ B j ( t k+1 ),B j ( t k )] 2 : But[ B i ( t k+1 ),B i ( t k )] 2 and[ B j ( t k+1 ),B j ( t k )] 2 are independent of one another, and each has expectation( t k+1,t k ) It follows that

var( C  ) = nX ,1

k=0 ( t k+1,t k ) 2  jjjj

nX ,1 k=0 ( t k+1,t k ) =jjjj:T:

Asjjjj!0, we havevar( C  )!0, soC  converges to the constantIEC  = 0

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15.10 Multi-dimensional Itˆo formula

To keep the notation as simple as possible, we write the It ˆo formula for two processes driven by a

two-dimensional Brownian motion The formula generalizes to any number of processes driven by

a Brownian motion of any number (not necessarily the same number) of dimensions.

LetXandY be processes of the form

X ( t ) = X (0)+Z t

0 ( u ) du +Z t

0  11 ( u ) dB 1 ( u ) +Z t

0  12 ( u ) dB 2 ( u ) ;

Y ( t ) = Y (0) +Z t

0 ( u ) du +Z t

0  21 ( u ) dB 1 ( u ) +Z t

0  22 ( u ) dB 2 ( u ) : Such processes, consisting of a nonrandom initial condition, plus a Riemann integral, plus one or

more It ˆo integrals, are called semimartingales The integrands ( u ) ; ( u ) ;and ij ( u )can be any adapted processes The adaptedness of the integrands guarantees thatXandY are also adapted In differential notation, we write

dX = dt +  11 dB 1 +  12 dB 2 ;

dY = dt +  21 dB 1 +  22 dB 2 : Given these two semimartingalesXandY, the quadratic and cross variations are:

dX dX = ( dt +  11 dB 1 +  12 dB 2 ) 2 ;

=  211 dB| 1{zdB 1}

dt +2  11  12 dB| 1{zdB 2}

0 +  212 dB| 2{zdB 2}

dt

= (  211 +  212 ) 2 dt;

dY dY = ( dt +  21 dB 1 +  22 dB 2 ) 2

= (  221 +  222 ) 2 dt;

dX dY = ( dt +  11 dB 1 +  12 dB 2 )( dt +  21 dB 1 +  22 dB 2 )

= (  11  21 +  12  22 ) dt Letf ( t;x;y )be a function of three variables, and letX ( t )andY ( t )be semimartingales Then we have the corresponding It ˆo formula:

df ( t;x;y ) = f t dt + f x dX + f y dY + 1 2 [ f xx dX dX + 2 f xy dX dY + f yy dY dY ] :

In integral form, withXandY as decribed earlier and with all the variables filled in, this equation is

f ( t;X ( t ) ;Y ( t )),f (0 ;X (0) ;Y (0))

=Z t

0 [ f t + f x + f y + 1 2 (  211 +  212 ) f xx + (  11  21 +  12  22 ) f xy + 1 2 (  221 +  222 ) f yy ] du

+Z t

0 [  11 f x +  21 f y ] dB 1 + Z t

0 [  12 f x +  22 f y ] dB 2 ; wheref = f ( u;X ( u ) ;Y ( u ), fori;j 1 ; 2 , ij =  ij ( u ), andB i = B i ( u )

... and letX ( t )andY ( t )be semimartingales Then we have the corresponding It ˆo formula:

df ( t;x;y ) = f t dt + f x dX + f y dY + 2 [ f xx dX dX + f xy dX

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