(BQ) Part 2 book International business - Managing globalization has contents: International strategic planning and market screening; internationalization and globalization processes; market entry and servicing strategies; market entry and servicing strategies,...and other contents.
Trang 1C H A P T E R 7
International Strategic
Planning and Market Screening
Global Planning in the Chemical Industry
When three medium-sized European firms—Elf Atochem, Petrofina, and Total Chimie—combined their assets
to form Atofina, they became the fifth-largest chemical company in the world, and their planningprocesses took on a global dimension First, Atofina looked at its prime businesses Its petrochemicals andcommodity plastics comprised 38 percent of its $17 billion turnover, intermediates and specialty polymers
26 percent, and specialties (e.g., agricultural foodstuffs) 36 percent To streamline its activities, the pany sold its metal and aviation unit ($100 million in sales) and its oleochemicat group (about $200 mil-lion in sales), and was looking to unload a further $1 billion in assets to focus on its mainstream businesses.Geographically, 63 percent of sales were in slow-growth markets of Europe, and the company realized that
com-it needed to focus on North America’s huge market, and in the fast-growing markets of Latin America, theMiddle East, and Asia In North America, Atofina’s emphasis was on building up its polyethylene and propy-lene businesses, and increasing access to key specialty chemical users in the automotive, construction, andelectronics sectors In Asia and the Middle East, the company had few assets, and was looking to expandthrough investment opportunities.1
Almost all companies are planners In the chemical industry, like many other sive industries (e.g., autos, metals, industrial equipment), planning is all-important when pro-duction capacity expansions take years to execute and carry heavy penalties for failure As
asset-inten-a result, globasset-inten-al plasset-inten-anning efforts occupy much of top masset-inten-anasset-inten-agement’s time Assets asset-inten-are scasset-inten-arce,and businesses not contributing to the firm’s international effectiveness are likely to be dis-continued in favor of mainstream businesses Geographic strategies must be mapped out forglobal effectiveness and focused to achieve global balance across industries and regions.Planning processes must therefore systematically evaluate corporate performance from busi-ness and market perspectives, and come up with viable objectives and strategies to guidefuture operations worldwide
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Trang 2Hence, in this chapter you will learn
• How the international planning process is defined; how the complexity of worldwideplanning has increased since 1945, and the ways companies have modified planningprocesses to respond to heightening competition in world markets
• How international firms assess their internal orientations and their external
• Unilever, the Anglo-Dutch consumer products company, employs 223,000 peopleworldwide, and sells over 400 brands through subsidiaries in over 90 countries andsales in over 70 other nations
• Toshiba is a $53 billion corporation employing 172,000 people in eight productdivisions (power systems, semiconductors, display services, medical systems, homeappliances, elevator and building systems, information and industrial systems, anddigital media equipment) These are managed across 100 foreign subsidiaries,including 39 manufacturing facilities outside of the Japanese home market
• IBM has worldwide revenues of over $90 billion and employs over 329,000 peoplemaking 40,000 products
The challenge for international planners is to interactively blend together head office,regional, and subsidiary perspectives into a cohesive global plan At each level, management’stask is to
• Evaluate the firm’s current position, its strengths and weaknesses
• Assess how environmental factors will impact corporate strategies and performanceover the short (1–3 years), medium (3–5 years), and long-term planning horizons
• Identify key strategic objectives to be attained and performance benchmarks toascertain progress
Trang 3General guidelines are established to unify strategic approaches at the worldwide,regional, and local levels This process is illustrated in Figure 7.1.
The Changing Environment of International
Planning: Historical Perspectives2
Strategic planning roles and philosophies have
changed significantly since 1945 as
compa-nies have internationalized their operations
and integrated them on a worldwide basis In
the 1950s and early 1960s, international
plan-ning was a centralized activity Many countries
were rebuilding their economies and planning
F I G U R E 7 1 International Strategic Planning and Market Screening
Planning Outputs
• Goal setting
• Strategy-crafting activities –Global/regional/local strategies
–Resource deployments
International Strategic Planning Process
Trang 4activities were production-oriented Firms focused on what manufacturing levels wererequired, expected revenues, and what resources were needed to deliver products into anundersupplied marketplace Little “strategy” was necessary, and planning centered onbudgets and outputs.
The situation changed during the 1960s and 1970s as European and Japanese firmsentered the world marketplace and competition heated up Tools for assessing competitivestrengths, weaknesses, and marketplace situation were developed (e.g., the GE matrix and theBoston Consulting Group’s competitive position matrix) Strategies were formulated tocounter rivals’ activities Planning staffs grew as firms addressed the issues of escalating inter-national competition and rapid geographic and business diversifications This trend contin-ued during the 1980s when the global marketplace expanded away from the Triad countries
of North America, Western Europe, and Japan to include big emerging markets in LatinAmerica, Eastern Europe, and Asia
As the 1990s progressed, heightened competition caused companies to reorient strategiesbased on scale economies back toward customizing output to suit individual countries andsegments In Western companies, this has led to the decentralization of planning activities
to product divisions and national subsidiaries Central planning departments were cut, andcountry subsidiaries were encouraged to “get close to customers.” Head offices took on newroles emphasizing coordination among divisions and subsidiaries and monitoring globalcompetitor activities
The Evolution of the International Corporate Planning Processes
International planning processes vary in complexity according to the degree of strategicanalysis involved For example, Japanese planning processes have historically emphasizedbudgetary mechanisms, while American firms have tended to incorporate a wider variety ofstrategic elements into their plans.3To understand the evolution of planning processes, four
stages of corporate planning development have beenidentified.4
Financial planning: In this phase, organizations set
budgets and costs, and revenue and profits areforecasted, usually for the year ahead Companiesknow which product lines are profitable and limits areplaced on all expenditures Because of the limited timehorizon, little emphasis is given to market
developments, except as they affect sales or profits
Long-term (forecast-based) planning: Statistical
techniques are used to forecast up to 3 or 5 yearsahead for sales, costs, and profits Assumptions arelaid out concerning the circumstances under whichsuch forecasts should be accurate Longer-range
We should all be concerned with the future
because we will have to spend the rest of our
lives there
Charles F Kettering, 19th- and 20th-century U.S engineer and inventor
The art of prophecy is very difficult, especially
with respect to the future
Mark Twain, 19th-century U.S author
Trang 5planning enables firms to use broader sets of evaluative benchmarks, includingproductivity improvements, capacity utilization, and financial control
objectives Planning is still primarily set out in financial terms
Environmental planning: This stage brings in formal evaluations of external
developments, with economic, sociodemographic, and technological trends
influencing corporate and industry sales projections Competitor strategies
are analyzed and formal account are taken of governmental policies as theyaffect infrastructures, social security, and environmental protection
legislation
Integrative strategic planning: This includes
strengths-weaknesses-opportunities-threats analyses and it orients them toward strategic issues leading to sustainablecompetitive advantages The planning process becomes broader and involves
more people “What if” scenarios are addressed Stakeholder participation is
encouraged in the planning process to keep employees, suppliers, and distributorsinformed about marketplace developments, and to encourage entrepreneurial
initiatives
ASSESSING THE CORPORATE POSITION
The first task for international planners is to take stock of the corporation’s current tion This includes evaluations of internal environments (corporate missions and corecompetencies) and assessments of marketplace
posi-performance (individual businesses and sales by
region and by country market) External
assess-ments include industry and competitive
perfor-mance measures discussed in the previous
The corporate mission.The mission is “a statement
of vision, or ambition that defines success and
establishes the ground rules by which success is
achieved for a particular company or institution;
He who knows others is clever; he who knowshimself is enlightened
Lao Tzu, 6th-century BC Chinese philosopher
Always remember that this whole thing wasstarted by a mouse
Walt Disney, U.S film producer
Trang 6the articulation of management’s intent regarding the future of an organization, expressed
• Strategic intent, i.e., the corporation’s long-term goals, often stated in competitive
or performance terms (“to be a/the global leader in ”)
• Perceived organizational strengths These list the marketplace and internal
advantages that have led to organizational success, and include brand names,customer satisfaction levels, technology, corporate culture, quality orientation, andsupply chain assets (dedicated suppliers, distributors, etc.)
• Strategic elements such as how organizational strengths are being leveraged in themarketplace to make progress toward long-term goals
• Organizational values describing key elements of corporate cultures and how theycontribute to organizational performance
Exhibit 7.1 provides sample mission statements from some major corporations.Corporate mission statements provide a focal point for company priorities and activities.They emphasize what firms should strive for (goals), the audiences they should strive toplease (e.g., major stakeholders who can influence company performance), and what last-ing impact firms should have on society at large Mission statements influence corporateculture (“the way we do things around here”) and company values The challenge for inter-national corporations is to make mission statements relevant to employees and stake-holders worldwide For example, it is not difficult for North Americans to appreciatestockholder and competitive orientations The United States is the bastion of global capi-talism: money and corporate rivalries are the cornerstones of the nation’s economic sys-tem However, corporate materialism is less appreciated in Western Europe and inemergent nations, where profit making is only one of many corporate priorities Similarly,European stakeholder capitalism, with its broader obligations, has its skeptics as WesternEuropean firms invest in the USA
Assessing corporate competencies: The major strength of international corporations is their
ability to transfer winning strategies and management processes across national markets.International companies are successful when they can develop core competencies for use
on a worldwide basis Core competencies are bundles of organizational skills and corporateassets that produce winning marketplace formulas They have three characteristics: they con-tribute to perceived customer benefits, are difficult for competitors to imitate, and can beleveraged over a variety of markets.7For international corporations, there are three majortypes of competencies,8described below
Superior technological know-how and product innovation: Companies such as Microsoft,
Intel, Ciba-Geigy, Merck, Canon, and Toshiba have successfully leveraged their world-classexpertise and technologies into innovative products that few rivals can match in the world-wide marketplace
Reliable processes that produce consistent, efficient, quality products and services in
world markets Examples include Beckton-Dickinson’s ability to manufacture low-cost but
Trang 7high-quality medical products; the Toyota Production System, which consistently factures high-quality, reliable automobiles; Citicorps financial services network, which pro-vides a multitude of banking services, anywhere, anytime, in any currency, without delays;and FedEx, whose worldwide delivery service has secured the company a global reputationfor reliability.
manu-Close external relationships with suppliers, regulators, professional organizations, utors, and especially customers: Consumer goods firms such as Unilever, Proctor & Gamble,
distrib-and Nestlé have established reputations worldwide for their customer orientations, distrib-andindustrial companies such as Lockheed-Martin in the aerospace defense business andSiemens in the capital equipment field have capitalized on their external relationships tobuild world-class corporate reputations
While transferring corporate competencies among international markets is a logical egy, it is easier said than done As noted in Chapter 1, the diffusing of modern technologies,products, and ideas through world markets takes time, and national cultures can be highlyresistant to change The competitive imperative makes international firms impatient, and oneweakness of international corporations has been their failure to take full account of national
strat-E X H I B I T 7 1 Mission Statements of Major International Corporations
While some organizations have mission statements embracing all five characteristics, many just one or two Some examples of different types of mission orientations follow:
emphasize-• Shareholder Orientations—Nike: To maximize profits to the shareholders through products andservices that enrich people’s lives
• Stakeholder Orientation—BP: To give the best possible return to all BP’s stakeholders: our holders, our customers, our employees, our suppliers, and our neighbors
share-• Competitive Orientation—Gillette: To achieve or enhance clear leadership worldwide in the
existing or new core consumer product categories in which we choose to compete
• Internal Employee Orientation—Matsushita: The Seven Spirits of Matsushita—Spirits of servicethrough industry, fairness, harmony and cooperation, struggle for the sake of progress, courtesyand humility, adjustment and assimilation, and gratitude
• Societal Orientation—Rhone-Poulenc: To use innovations in the areas of life science and istry to create products and services that make people’s lives better
chem-• Customer Orientation—Apple Computer: To help people transform the way they work, learn, andcommunicate by providing exceptional personal computing products and innovative customerservices
• Quality Orientation—Wendy’s International: To deliver total quality
• Community Orientation—Abbott Laboratories: To improve lives worldwide by providing effective healthcare products and services And we do so through much more than our products.Abbott makes a difference in the community, through programs, through donations, throughpeople
cost-Source: Most examples taken from Paul G Haschak, Corporate Statements (Jefferson, NC, and London:
McFarland, 1998).
Trang 8market differences as they leverage products and services across foreign markets The mostsuccessful international businesses have been adept at building sufficient flexibility intoworldwide operations to appeal to local tastes ABB (formerly Asea Brown Boveri), theSwedish-Swiss industrial conglomerate; Unilever, the Anglo-Dutch consumer products firm;IBM; and Toshiba have demonstrated this ability.
External Assessments: The Marketplace Situation
The end product of planning is the allocating of corporate resources across markets, nesses, and product lines The front end of planning therefore involves evaluating corporateperformance from a strategic business unit (SBU) and from a geographic perspective The man-agerial aim is to identify those SBUs and geographic regions where the company is strong, andthose where corporate performance is weak The key dimensions to assess are
busi-• Contributions to group financial performance and
• Competitive positions on a regional and market basis
SBU evaluation.Companies routinely divide their businesses or product lines into strategicbusiness units For example, the U.S company GE has 13 business divisions worldwide The
first step is to identify SBUs that contribute positively togroup performance (i.e., by determining the above- andbelow-average financial performers) and those that arecompetitive within their industry sectors (again, by find-ing the above- and below-average performers in theirrespective industries For example, GE customarilyrequires its SBUs to be in the top 2 in their industry sec-tors.) Figure 7.2 shows a hypothetical international firm with eight SBUs, with contributions
to group performance and industry performance levels graphed against each other
• Obviously, SBU2 and SBU3 are “winners”—above-average performers in theirindustries and excellent contributors to group profits
• SBUs 1 and 4 contribute strongly to group profits but lag behind industry
competitors in financial performance These SBUs would be benchmarked againstindustry rivals to determine how to improve competitive performance levels
• SBUs 5 and 8 are competitively placed within their industries, earning average returns on investment (ROIs) in their respective sectors, but theynonetheless pull down the group ROI average
above-• SBUs 6 and 7 are prime candidates for divestiture They lag behind industry ROIs intheir respective sectors and are drags on group performance
In underperforming units, top-to-bottom analyses would be performed to evaluate their torical sales performances, future prospects, and strategic usefulness (e.g., as a supplier to otherSBUs) External factors affecting SBU performance would be assessed (e.g., downturns in key mar-kets, guerilla attacks by major rivals) Both internal and external factors would be evaluated and
his-Nothing contributes so much to prosperity and
happiness as high profits
David Ricardo, 19th-century British economist
Trang 9strategic alternatives laid out (continue on present course, add/subtract resources, restructure,downsize, create new management team, sell the unit, etc.) In consumer goods industries, com-pany brands are also often evaluated as SBUs, and decisions made about their future viability.
Worldwide/regional evaluations.The assessment of geographic strategies is a key element indeciding where to allocate corporate resources on a worldwide basis The process begins withplotting regional corporate performances on a market size–market growth matrix Figure 7.3illustrates how this is done The relative size of each regional circle indicates the proportion
of corporate sales emanating from that region (the larger the circle, the greater the tion of company sales occurring there) In Figure 7.3, Western Europe and North Americaaccount for major proportions of worldwide sales The pie-shaped wedges indicate the com-pany’s market share (greater in Western Europe and North America) The horizontal axisshows regional growth rates for individual regions (the highest rates being in Latin Americaand Asia) From a resource allocation perspective, management would draw a number ofconclusions For example,
propor-• Slow growth in Western Europe would likely result in increasingly competitivemarkets Sales gains would come primarily at the expense of rivals, from
F I G U R E 7 2 Group Assessments of SBUs: Contribution to the Group and Performance in Their
SBU2 SBU3
SBU1
Above A
Industry P
Below A
Trang 10cost-cutting measures to squeeze more profits from existing sales, or from
acquisitions
• The company’s position in North America is solid, with a dominant market share in
a moderately expanding market
• Corporate sales might be aggressively pursued in the Latin American and Asianregions to take advantage of expanding markets
• The African, Middle Eastern, and Eastern European regions show slow growth inrelatively small markets Proceeding with caution would be appropriate strategies
in these areas
Regional/country assessments.Managing similar product lines across regions and markets hasbecome increasingly important for international corporations, especially as free trade andtechnology transfers facilitate comparisons among country subsidiaries Executives can con-solidate data from national subsidiaries into regional and worldwide contexts, giving them “bird’seye views” of critical yardsticks such as market share, sales, costs, and margins Table 7.1 showsthe framework for such a consolidation From these analyses, executives can
• Identify subsidiaries and regions with successful track records (e.g., those withsuperior market shares, nationally and regionally) The strategies of these affiliatescan then be scrutinized to isolate key success factors that could be used in othercountries as “best practices transfers.”
F I G U R E 7 3 Evaluating Corporate Regional Performance on a Market Size–Growth Matrix
Africa/Middle East
E Europe
Asia Latin America
Trang 11• Compare and contrast cost structures across markets to identify the most efficientand cost-effective national producers Follow-up studies to examine supply chaincharacteristics of best/worst producers can be used to identify optimal practicesand to promote cross-border exchanges of ideas and techniques.
Note that cross-market comparisons involve exchange rate translations among currencies.Sales, costs, margins, and market size statistics are meaningful only when exchange rates areboth realistic and stable Countries with depreciating exchange rates (i.e., increasing numbers
of local currency units per dollar or euro or yen) give deceptive results Market sizes and salesturnovers diminish in value, as do costs as currencies depreciate in value As product pricesfall, there are opportunities for low-cost exports to other markets Where local productionrelies on imported components and materials, costs escalate as import prices rise
Assessing subsidiary contributions to group performance.Subsidiary performance within uct or regional SBUs must also be evaluated to identify above-average contributors to SBU prof-itability and those that are competitive in their national markets Again, returns on investmentare key initial measures Figure 7.4 plots subsidiary performance within a global product divi-sion (above- and below-average contributions to SBU ROI) and measures of national marketcompetitiveness (where subsidiary ROI stands vis-à-vis national competitors)
prod-• Subsidiaries in the upper right-hand quadrant (average SBU ROIs and average performers in their national industries—China, France, USA) are “stars.”They would be scrutinized to evaluate whether their strategies or internal
above-procedures are transferable to underperforming units
• The German, Argentinean, and Brazilian affiliates are competitive in their nationalmarkets (as illustrated by their above-average national industry ROIs), but are a drag
on group ROI Reasons for low national industry ROIs would be reviewed Forexample, these affiliates may have significantly more local rivals within theirmarkets than other affiliates, effectively pulling national profit levels down Orthere may be other factors at work (e.g., a national economic downturn)
• Taiwan ROC, Belgium-Luxembourg, and Sweden are above-average contributors toSBU overall results, but lag behind rivals within their national markets A competitiveanalysis against in-market rivals might suggest where improvements can be made
• Japan and Indonesia are subpar performers both within the group and in theirnational markets Determination must be made about whether this is due to severecompetition, ill-advised strategies, poor strategy implementation, or other factors.Competitive benchmarking, market and competitive strategy evaluations, andassessments of internal operations would be mandated prior to decisions aboutpossible divestiture moves
Individual subsidiary analysis.Once management has assessed the relative performance ofits subsidiaries, executive attention can be focused on factors contributing to success and fail-ure at the national market level Two analyses contribute to this determination: an exami-nation of the affiliate’s product lines, and an assessment of how the subsidiary stacks upagainst major national competitors along key competitive dimensions
Trang 12TABLE 7.1 Product Division Analysis Across Countries and Regions
Trang 13F I G U R E 7 4 Assessing SBU Geographic Performance: SBU ROI and National Industry ROI
Comparisons
Brazil
Argentina Germany
Indonesia Japan
Belg/Lux
Sweden SBU
High Low
Market share/momentum analyses plot product performance against market performance
to ascertain which products are underperforming market trends (and losing market sharemomentum) and which are outperforming market trends (i.e., gaining market share momen-tum) As Figure 7.5 shows, company sales growth is plotted on the horizontal axis and mar-ket growth on the vertical axis, with circle size being proportional to sales The 45-degreediagonal line shows where sales growth is proportional to market share growth Product lines
to the left of the line show relative market share loss (i.e., where product sales growth is lessthan market sales growth) and need corrective action Products to the right are outperform-ing the market (gaining in market share momentum), and analyses should be geared towardwhat strategies are working and why From this analysis, over- and underperforming prod-uct lines can be identified, along with their relative contributions to sales goals Notice inFigure 7.5 the contributions of the regional and global brands that are outperforming themarket in the upper right quadrant and the relatively poor performances of some localbrands in the lower left quadrant Remember also that market share/momentum analysesonly summarize product mix performance More complete explanations involve marketresearch or competitive analyses such as the one outlined below
Competitive benchmarking profiles the characteristics and strategies of rival companies
and their performances along key competitive dimensions (see Figure 7.6) Note the division
Trang 14between market and competitive profiles Market profiles of competitors list their key acteristics and strategic approaches to the marketplace They can be obtained from round-table discussions among executives (e.g., sales forces) Competitor profile data can beobtained from secondary sources (e.g., industry associations) or from competitive bench-marking surveys As individual rivals are plotted along each dimension, management can dis-cern key differences in strategies among competitors and can devise ways to differentiatetheir strategic approaches.
char-As can be noted from Figure 7.6, Subsidiary A has the broadest product line and controlsits own sales force and distribution Competitor C is more of a niche player with narrow prod-uct lines, focused distribution, and more of a reliance on advertising/PR in its promotionalefforts Its competitive profile gives Company A leadership status for service, customer
F I G U R E 7 5 Share/Momentum Chart for a Consumer Goods Subsidiary: Global and Regional
Brands (local brands are denoted as Brand 1, 2, etc.)
0
Global Brand
Regional Brand
Regional Brand Global Brand
Global Brand Brand 7
Brand 1 Brand 2
Global Brand (22%)
Regional Brand
Global Brand Brand 5
Trang 15satisfaction, and quality levels in this group Company A’s disadvantages vis-à-vis rivals B and
C are in R&D and new product development (though A is distinctly superior to company B)
Of concern would be product costs and manufacturing technologies that are below averagefor the industry
F I G U R E 7 6 Plotting Subsidiary Performance (A) Against Key National Competitors (B and C)
Marketing Profile
pricing - pricing
sales force - representation
Advertising/PR budget Large -C B A –––––– Small
Advertising approach Intensive -C B A Selective
Competitive Profile
-Product quality levels High -A C B ––––––– Low
R&D levels (% sales) Above - At the industry -C A B ––––– Below
average
Industry Average
industry average)
to industry average)
Trang 16External Assessments: Corporate and Industry Resource Deployments
Industry behaviors are important reference points for individual firms, and company–industry comparisons of worldwide resource deployments give key insights for strategic deci-sion makers International corporations are rarely well positioned in all major and emergingmarkets within their industry For example, many international firms hold leading positions
in their home and regional markets (e.g., a German company in Germany and in WesternEurope) Using information derived from the global industry analysis, corporate sales andmanufacturing can be mapped against global industry consumption and production patterns
to provide insights for market expansion strategies and the siting of manufacturing and otherfacilities
As can be seen in Figure 7.7, our firm’s sales position is North America–oriented, with 53percent of sales in that region against 35 percent for the industry as a whole Proportionately,corporate sales are underrepresented in Western Europe, Eastern Europe, and Africa/theMiddle East, though the latter two regions only account for 9 percent of global sales The firm
is well positioned in Latin America and Asia, with corporate sales being roughly proportional
to regional sales
From a production standpoint, our company’s position is Americas-oriented, with Northand Latin America accounting for 80 percent of corporate production (65 and 15 percent,respectively) against 50 percent for the industry as a whole (40 + 10 percent) The firm isunderpositioned in the rest of the world, with 20 percent of manufacturing assets in WesternEurope and Asia against 50 percent for the industry as a whole
Note that other factors influence manufacturing site-location decisions In high-techindustries, for example, companies prefer to maximize production in particular markets toobtain scale economies or be stimulated by the market’s competitive conditions In morelocally oriented sectors, where national preferences are more of a consideration (e.g., in con-sumer packaged goods), firms may prefer to even out corporate manufacturing allocations
in accordance with global industry trends
FORMULATION OF STRATEGIC PLANS
Once management has assessed the current situation, and has evaluated competitors andenvironmental trends, it is time to formulate plans for the future For most international
corporations, planning is done with 3- to 5-year jections into the future The process involves makingassumptions about economic growth at the global,regional, and national levels; judgments about marketenvironmental factors and how they affect industrygrowth rates; and assessments of how rival strategiesimpact corporate sales and market share The role ofsenior management is to evaluate current and future plans against past performances andexpected future conditions We look at this process from the subsidiary and regional/divisional perspectives
pro-Long-range planning does not deal with future
decisions, but with the future of present
decisions
Peter F Drucker
Trang 17Subsidiary-Level Planning
Planning at the subsidiary level starts with historical analyses of product line sales, costs andmargins being projected into the future (see Table 7.2) To place results into perspective, mar-ket size, growth, and market share trends are taken into account This is followed by man-agerial assessments concerning the effectiveness of past strategies, what competitors havebeen doing, and what factors have been influential in containing costs (manufacturingprocess improvements, supplier relations, raw material, and component costs) Thesefigures provide necessary backgrounds for future projections and rationales for strategiesover the projected planning period Equally important are the environmental factors under-lying marketplace conditions The rate of national economic growth is a major underlyingdeterminant of industry growth patterns, and future sales projections are based on assump-tions about national economic policies and the political situation that drives them Politicalassessments are made based on the party in power, its economic and political philosophy,and the likelihood of changes and their effects
Integrating National Plans Into Regional and Global Strategies
Once subsidiary managements have completed their preliminary forecasts, discussions areheld with regional or head office executives to put these plans into regional or global contexts.Differences in opinions about strategies and goals are resolved and mutually acceptable goalsare established for periods ranging from 1 year (short term) to 3–5 years (medium-rangeplans) In these plans, critical assumptions are laid out (economic growth rates, industry mar-ket sizes, key competitor responses, etc.) and major strategic decisions are outlined Table 7.3illustrates the consolidation process From these consolidations, corporate goals, strategies,and policies can be outlined at the appropriate levels (subsidiary, regional, product division,global) and appropriate control mechanisms can be put into place
Global Sales
Corporate Sales
Global Production
Corporate Production
Trang 18Strategy: Summary of goals set, achieved; key
success factors; what worked, what didn’t
Competitor Actions: Activity levels, degree of
disruption, counter moves
Supply Chain: Changes in raw material,
components, costs, suppliers, technology process
Future projections & how changes
in growth rates, etc., can affect the industry situation; political environment productions (parties
TA B L E 7 2 Subsidiary-Level Planning With 3-Year Projections
Trang 20Setting objectives.For many firms (particularly in theUnited States and increasingly in Western European cor-porations), financial objectives are emphasized andemployee behaviors are oriented toward satisfying share-holders and the expectations of the financial commu-nity—the primary providers of new capital assets.Increasingly, though, while financial goals have great rel-evance at senior management levels, they have proven to be inadequate motivators at mid-dle and lower organizational levels, as employees find it difficult to relate financial objectives
to daily activities Other problems with financial goals include
• Lack of linkages between financial goals and the competitive strategies needed toachieve them
• The fact that many factors affect financial performance Fortuitous circumstancescan mask inept strategy making, and superior strategies do not always produceoutstanding results, particularly in highly competitive markets
• Behaviors within firms that require a number of yardsticks to assess internalactivities and steer them toward superior performance This is the essence of thefour-component, balanced scoreboard.9
Financial perspectives are traditional business measures that show how firms look to
shareholders and the financial community They track profitability, growth goals, andprogress toward shareholder value improvements Further refinements include survival yard-sticks (measured by cash flow), success indicators (divisional progress toward sales and profitgoals), and prosperity (market shares and returns on equity)
Customer perspectives concern how companies look to their customers, and are measured
by the following:
• Lead times:
How long it takes to fulfill customer orders
New product development times
• Quality levels: Number of defects and product returns, on-time deliveries (customerdefined)
• Performance/service levels: Number of preferred supplier positions held, shares ofkey account purchases, customer satisfaction levels (ordering, delivery scheduling,payments, inspections, handling defects, etc.)
Internal perspectives involve how firms are adapting their organizations and procedures
to maintain and improve cycle times, quality levels, product/service costs, technological bilities, and employee skill levels Corporate information systems are key elements alertingmanagement when deviations occur
capa-Innovation and learning perspectives assess organizational learning and improvement
efforts These yardsticks track customer satisfaction and internal business process ments over time For example, in industries where new product flows are critical, theprocess tracks new product success rates, time lags getting products to market, and per-centages of sales from new products over specific time periods (e.g., 3M’s goal of 30 percentsales revenues from products launched over a 4-year period10)
improve-If you don’t know where you’re going, you’ll end
up somewhere else
Yogi Berra, 20th-century U.S.
Major League baseball player and manager
Trang 21The key advantages of the balanced scorecard are that
• Goals and measures are looked at as a package, giving management more complete
pictures of corporate performance
• Goals and measures can be custom built to suit corporate needs
• Goals and measures relate to marketplace, competitive needs, and employees’ dailyactivities
Corporate goals and feedback.Even “the best-laid plans of mice and men often go awry” sums
up the situation many companies face when goals
are not met One study found that at the corporate
level, 55 percent of firms went back and
refor-mulated both objectives and strategies, 24 percent
revamped strategies but maintained their original
goals, 15 percent adjusted their goals but
main-tained their original strategies, and the few
remaining companies maintained both original goals and strategies.11
At subsidiary levels, when supply chain goals are not met (dips in quality control, servicelevels, lengthy new product development times, etc), local managements get the interestedparties together to solve the problem If this does not work, regional or head office help issought and experts brought in from other parts of the company
The Benefits of Well-Executed Planning Processes
There are definite external and internal benefits when companies are diligent in their ning processes
plan-External benefits: Good resource-deployment decisions.Once management has evaluatedcorporate performance, market trends, and projections, and has set goals, decisions aboutresource deployments must be finalized and market priorities established A good startingpoint is to map out current resource allocations and prioritize them according to marketattractiveness criteria (usually market size and market growth rates) Figure 7.8 illustrates theprocess for the Asian division of a hypothetical international corporation Current deploy-ments show that this company has manufacturing/converting and sales facilities in Japan andChina, and corporate sales subsidiaries in Australia and Indonesia In addition, corporatesales are made in India, Thailand, the Philippines, Malaysia, and New Zealand Reviewing thesituation, management has a number of options:
• Expand manufacturing in the rapid-growth China PRC market
• Consider adding corporate sales offices in Thailand, India, and possibly the
Philippines to gain insights into these markets If prospects look promising,
manufacturing/converting operations might be added if sales volumes can supportsuch investments
• Evaluate market prospects in Pakistan and Vietnam and consider appointing
import/distributors Burma (Myanmar) might be considered pending a move awayfrom its 1990s military junta to a democratic form of government
It is a bad plan that admits no modification
Publilius Syrus, 1st-century, BC, writer of Latin maxims
Trang 22Internal benefitsof a well-executed international planning process include
• Defining the strategic direction of the corporation Corporate mission statements,core competency definitions, and business unit analyses guide R&D priorities,business unit portfolio adjustments, and mergers and acquisitions strategies
• Providing insights into competitor strategies and how best to compete againstindustry rivals, globally, regionally, or on a national market basis
• Systematic incorporation of political, economic, societal, and technologicalindustry change drivers into global, regional, and national strategies
• Concise guidance for geographic strategies and international resource commitments:which regions and countries to emphasize and, based on market potential andcountry risk assessments, what sorts of commitments should be made
F I G U R E 7 8 Plotting Company Resource Deployments on a Market Size–Growth Matrix (e.g., Asia)
New Zealand Pakistan
Projected Growth Rates (%)
Trang 23• Providing direction at the subsidiary level by identifying performance criteria forproduct lines and by benchmarking competitor strengths and weaknesses.
Most important, planning processes help identify what strategies are effective in the national marketplace and, along with competitor analyses, suggest new strategic options formanagement consideration
inter-MARKET SCREENING AND RISK ASSESSMENTS
Once managements have assessed past and present company performances and looked atfuture opportunities within their given industries, they must assess the relative risks of oper-ating in different countries This involves evaluating country risks on a comparative basis (i.e.,using the same criteria) and, for individual markets, to gain critical insights about how tooperate and manage risk in those countries This is a daunting task Over 200 national mar-kets proliferate in the global landscape, of which about 150 are economically significant (i.e.,excluding island states and other tiny countries), and of which about 60 are mainstream mar-kets with significant business potential Initially, most firms use data from commercial ven-dors of business risk information Seven types of risk are usually assessed: political,economic, operational, financial, legal, taxation, and security factors
Political Risks
Most companies focus first on political risks because governments are major influences onnational economic performance; exchange rates; and legal, taxation, and security systems.Governmental change, through elections or other means, often signals new directions innational policies
Country governance systems vary in broad terms from full, mature, stable democratic tems to nations engulfed in civil or international strife with little or no political direction.Primary causes of political risk are
sys-• Fractionalization of the political spectrum (multiple parties or political powergroups)
• Numerous linguistic, ethnic, and religious factions (Middle East, Africa, Asia)
• Restrictive means of retaining power (dictatorships)
• Evidence of xenophobia, nepotism, or corruption
• Poor social conditions (e.g., uneven distributions of wealth)
• Existence of radical, especially leftist, political movements
Symptoms of political risk include civil conflicts (strikes, demonstrations), destabilizingelements (assassinations, kidnappings, guerilla movements), ethnic rivalries (e.g., those inAfrica, Asia), religious conflicts among Muslim factions (e.g., Sunni and Shi’ite groups in Iraq)
or conflicts between religions (Muslim–Christian conflict in Nigeria), wars (the breakup of the
Trang 24former Yugoslavia; civil wars in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, Angola, Sudan inAfrica), and so on.
Economic problems occur as development and economic restructuring cause high ployment or lack of job-creation capabilities Economic change and industrialization causepopulation shifts (rural to urban), the opening up of countries to market forces–based com-petition (e.g., the Asian financial crisis), and significant disruptions as social and culturalchanges accompany economic growth Additional problems occur as high inflation rateserode consumer purchasing power and push economies into downward spirals
unem-As nations experience problems, the likelihood of governmental change increases From
a commercial perspective, some changes are positive as pro-business governments come topower with mandates to reduce trade barriers and investment restrictions and facilitatemoney transfers into and out of the country In other cases, anti-business governments gainpower (as in South America) and trade protection, investment restrictions, and limits onfinancial transfers occur Monitoring political events in perhaps 150 countries is a difficulttask for even the largest of international corporations Hence, many subscribe to commer-cial services that monitor and analyze political risk A New York–based company, PoliticalRisk Services, provides abbreviated and in-depth political coverage of major markets thatshows which political party (or leader) is in power, the extent of political turmoil, and who
is likely to be in power in 18 months’ and 5 years’ time Prospects for foreign investments(e.g., restrictions, ownership questions), trade (tariffs, taxes, import restrictions), and finan-cial transfers (hard currency availability, foreign exchange restrictions) are evaluated Key eco-nomic indicators (inflation, economic growth, trade balances) are monitored; and expertcommentaries provide in-depth coverage for individual markets
Economic Risks
Economic risk assessment involves evaluating the stability, openness, and market forces entations of national economies Advanced capitalistic countries with stable economic per-formance indicators and convertible currencies rate highly Closed economies sufferingmajor economic fluctuations (e.g., hyperinflationary environments) are rated poorly Thegreatest economic risks relate to political mismanagement of the economy and include per-sistent government budget deficits (overspending), inflationary tendencies (overstimulatingthe economy, or printing too much money), excessive or corruptive influences in financial
ori-or product markets (e.g., nepotism ori-or protectionism), and so on
Financial and Foreign Currency Risks
These measure a country’s ability to meet its foreign financial obligations—that is, the lihood that convertible currencies are available to pay for the importation of goods, materi-als, or profit repatriation needs One company, Business Risk Services (BRS), uses four factors
like-in this evaluation:
1 Legal frameworks for profit, dividend, fees, and capital repatriation are evaluated:
as written and as practiced
Trang 252 Balance-of-payments analyses as currency movements into and out of a countrydetermine its ability to generate foreign exchange Trade, current account, and capitalaccounts are scrutinized to evaluate trends Key factors are the crude trade balance(exports–imports) and the current account performance (trade inflows [imports],outflows [exports], service inflows and outflows, profit and personal income flows,and government-oriented flows) Net outflows are assessed negatively and inflows arepositively graded Capital flows (foreign direct investments, portfolio investments, andother capital flows) are also assessed Overall surpluses (financial inflows) are goodindicators as foreign exchange accumulates Negative financial outflows (balance-of-payments deficits) are more problematic in developing nations that lack financialreserves and large, strong economies.
3 International reserves are countries’ stocks of foreign currencies accumulated fromexports and capital inflows, and their gold holdings—both normally held at theIMF Countries holding plentiful reserves of hard currency (dollars, yen, euros, etc.)receive high ratings Those with few hard currency reserves get lower ratings.Country gold holdings are assessed alongside convertible currency positions to giveoverall evaluations of nations’ abilities to pay import bills
4 Foreign debt assessments are evaluations of foreign debt relative to country grossdomestic product, with creditor nations receiving the highest rating Also includedare foreign debt obligations in relation to hard currencies earned through exports
• Attitudes toward foreign investors and profits
• Degree of nationalization (i.e., government ownership of economic assets)
• Bureaucratic delays: corruption, bribes
• Use and enforceability of contracts
• Labor cost and availability, including inclusiveness or exclusiveness of educationopportunities
• Availability of professional services and contractors
• Quality and cost of local communications
• Infrastructure availability: roads, rail, water systems; energy sources
• Caliber of local managers, partners
• Financial institutions and the availability of short-, medium-, and long-term financing
Legal Risks
Legal risks are important where companies rely heavily on contracts (e.g., military, industrial,commodity markets) and when legal recourse may be necessary (e.g., counterfeit goods,
Trang 26medical or pharmaceutical products or processes) Legal risks range from nations with clear,mature, and nonarbitrary legal systems to those where judicial and enforcement systems arepolitically influenced, arbitrary, incoherent, and unclear, and where civil and constitutionalliberties are nonexistent.
Taxation Risks
Companies that move financial assets, money, products, and components extensivelythroughout world markets are aware of needs to satisfy national tax authorities Taxationrisks range from those with well-developed and equitable tax frameworks with clear disputeresolution mechanisms to those where taxation systems are highly inequitable and arbitrarilyimplemented
Security Risks
For firms that depend on expatriates in their management of local subsidiaries, personalsecurity must be evaluated Low levels of crime, little or no terrorism, and freedom to demon-strate are associated with low-risk nations Civil strife, ethnic tensions, high crime rates, andkidnapping risks are problematic in some countries (e.g., Colombia, Peru, South Africa),making them poor risks for personal security
Business Risk Evaluation Methodologies
As managers review market risk assessments, theyshould be aware of how such evaluations are derived Toillustrate differences in risk research methodologies, twocommercial services, Business Risk Services (BRS), andWorld Markets Online (WMO), are contrasted
Markets covered: BRS covers about 50 markets; WMO
takes in about 150 countries
Business risks evaluated: BRS assesses 15 factors in its operations risk index and weights
them differentially (e.g., policy continuity has a 3 weighting, economic growth and currencyconvertibility a 2.5, professional contractors 0.5) to add up to 25 A permanent panel of +/-
105 experts then rates country conditions from 0 (unacceptable conditions) to 4 (superiorconditions) to total 100, the perfect operating environment Similar procedures are used inBRS’s political risk index (10 factors) and its R factor (4 factors) The summation of these threefactors results in an aggregate score that is converted into a profit opportunity recommen-dation (POR) These range from 1A to 1C (investment quality markets) through to 2A–2C(trade, technology, and assistance contracts), to 3A–3B (trade only), to 4A (no business trans-actions) All risk and POR scores are projected for 1 and 5 years into the future and histori-cal data is presented
WMO provides measures of six dimensions: political, economic, legal, tax, operations, andsecurity Each dimension is rated in each market on a 1–5 rating, with 1 representing mini-mal risk and 5 being prohibitive risk The sum and average of all six dimensions yields an
Take calculated risks That is quite different
from being rash
General George S Patton
Trang 27overall assessment of country risk, varying from 1.00–1.99 (insignificant to low risk) to 4.00–5.00 (very high to extreme risk).
For individual market evaluations, political and economic risks are weighted at 25 percenteach, legal and tax risks at 15 percent, and operational and security risks at 10 percent
Using commercial risk assessment services.Risk services such as BRS and WMO are usefulfor three reasons First, they are excellent indicators of overall market conditions Second,they allow countries to be compared using the same criteria Third, they are useful in iden-tifying potential problem areas that need further investigation For example, low scores onbureaucracy or negative attitudes toward foreign direct investment should invite furtherresearch to ascertain effects on business strategies Similarly, low scores on civil unrest orexcessive ethnic or religious strife should trigger further evaluations of these problems.There are three major drawbacks to general market assessments First, they are completeevaluations of country markets, and as such are more suited to foreign direct investment pro-jects Firms wishing to trade or to license products need only assess specific aspects of envi-ronmental analyses (e.g., currency payments affecting trade or contract enforceability forfranchise or licensing agreements)
Second, assessments focusing on environmental factors often gloss over cultural aspects
of doing business Separate evaluations of cultural environments are needed to identify essary business protocols—the importance of relationships, religious impact on commerce,social class hierarchies, and so forth
nec-Third, individual industries have specific needs in their market evaluations, and ized assessments have limited uses under these circumstances
general-Special Case: Evaluating Emerging Markets12
The importance of emerging markets and their
rapid rate of change pose difficulties for
busi-nesspeople evaluating market potential in these
countries As such, emerging country assessments
emphasize many developmental characteristics
that get lost in broader evaluations Markets to
which these criteria apply include “big emerging
markets” (BEMs) such as China, Hong Kong,
Taiwan, Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines,
Singapore, Thailand, Brunei, Vietnam, India,
South Korea, Argentina, Mexico, Brazil, Turkey, South Africa, Chile, Venezuela, Greece,Israel, Portugal, the Czech Republic, Hungary, and Russia
One approach to estimating emerging-market attractiveness has been to evaluate BEMs
on seven weighted criteria These are
Market size: Measured by country populations (20 percent weighting).
Market growth rate: Average industry growth rate (15 percent weighting).
The Global Web
For an updated evaluation of emerging marketlistings, visit http://globaledge.msu
.edu/ibrd/marketpot.asp
Which markets are labeled “the best” and “theworst” according to the Michigan State criteria?
Trang 28Market intensity: Measured by (1) GNP per capita, and (2) personal consumption
expenditures per capita—purchases by households and private nonprofit institutionsper capita (15 percent weighting)
Market consumption capacity: The proportion of the populations earning 20–80
percent of a nation’s income, i.e., a measure of middle-class consumption excludingthe extremely rich and poor segments In 2006, Hungary, the Czech Republic, andSouth Korea were the top three; Chile, Brazil, and South Africa were the worst rated onthis dimension (10 percent weighting)
Commercial infrastructure: Measured in equal portions by telephone lines per capita;
paved road density, trucks and buses per capita, population per retail outlet, andpercentage color TV ownership The 2006 rating placed Taiwan, Hong Kong, and Israel
at the top; India, Pakistan, and Indonesia were the bottom three (10 percent weighting)
Economic freedom: Measured by Heritage Foundation estimates of trade and taxation
policies, government consumption of economic output, monetary and bankingpolicies, capital flows and foreign investment, wage and price controls, property rights,regulatory policy, and black market activity Chile, the Czech Republic, and Israel hadthe most freedom on these measures in 2006 Russia, Egypt, and China were the mostrestrictive (10 percent weighting)
Market receptivity: Measured by growth rates in U.S exports to the country (60 percent)
and per capita consumption of U.S imports (40 percent) Singapore, Hong Kong, andMalaysia headed this list in 2006, while Argentina, Pakistan, and India were thebottom three in the rankings (20 percent weighting overall)
Scores on the various dimensions are standardized to 1–100 with higher scores ing more favorable market conditions The seven scores are then weighted and finalized in
indicat-an Overall Market Opportunity Index (OMOI) In 2006, the top 5 markets were China, HongKong, Singapore, Taiwan, and Israel The bottom five nations were Brazil, South Africa, Peru,Venezuela, and Colombia
Note that these market-potential indicators are U.S-oriented and focus on emergent ket characteristics As with all aggregate measures, there are limitations Political risk factors
mar-in particular are downplayed except for the economic freedom measure Also, mar-industry tors, local demand, and cheap factors of production would need to be added into the mar-ket assessment equation, as would financial considerations such as currency convertibility.Nevertheless, the more factors that enter management’s market evaluations, the more bal-anced the overall assessment will be
fac-Long-Term Planning: Scenario Analyses
For most industries, 3- to 5-year planning horizonsare fine But for some companies, these time framesare too short to capture major environmental trendsaffecting long-term industry investments In suchcases, scenario planning is a useful management tool.Scenarios are, according to leading exponent Shell
Plan ahead It wasn’t raining when Noah built
the ark
Richard C Cushing, U.S Roman Catholic bishop and cardinal
Trang 29International Petroleum, “stories that describe different versions of the future.”13It is estimatedthat over half of the largest European and North American companies use various forms of sce-nario planning to support their long-range planning efforts, where their aim is to broaden exec-utive perspectives of factors affecting long-term industry and market development.14The RoyalDutch Shell first pioneered scenario analysis in the 1970s, when it was instrumental in help-ing the European oil giant navigate the turbulent oil markets of that decade Today’s applica-tions of scenario analysis are concerned with industry and market development.
Industry scenarios.In industry sectors subject to major environmental changes, scenarios helpmanagers understand long-term market changes and the factors promoting them RoyalDutch Shell’s prognostications to 2025 yielded two
scenarios The first, titled “Business Class,”
pro-jected global capitalism as the dominant
move-ment with relatively unfettered access to world
markets Under this scenario, energy trends are an
evolutionary progression from coal and oil to gas
and other renewable forms of energy (e.g., fuel cell
technologies), with major growth in international
pipelines Growth in natural gas was forecasted at between 80 and 100+ percent by 2025 Thesecond scenario, labeled “Prism,” envisaged a slowing of globalization tendencies, withregional and national security issues being prominent Under these circumstances, cross-bor-der gas pipeline development would be hindered and oil would remain the dominant fuel.15
Scenario analyses can be used in a variety of situations Electrolux used scenario planning
to evaluate the effects of the environmental “green” movement on appliance use and sumption; Nestlé envisioned a world without chocolate; and the UK water industry exam-ined different outcomes under industry deregulation
con-While there are no dominant methodologies for scenario development, there are atic methods of assessing past and current trends These involve reviewing developments overthe past decade in a number of areas—changes in customer bases, products, technologies, com-petitors, environments, demographics, governmental (de)regulations, geopolitical events (e.g.,formation of trade blocs)—and projecting these changes into the future This helps industriesidentify key change drivers and evaluate their impacts on market development.16
system-Market scenarios. These help firms anticipate developments in individual countries orregions A mid-1990s scenario analysis of China in 2010 by 70 experts identified five alter-native paths of development These were
1 Muddling through: Ongoing struggles between pro-reform and anti-reform groups
result in erratic government policies and continuing instability
2 Asian power: China becomes a major regional power, somewhat at the expense of
Japan Both compete vigorously for world markets, resulting in worldwide trade
restrictions against Asian goods Chinese military and economic power causes
major rethinking of Japanese commercial and military policies
3 Fragmentation: Differing developmental levels result in Chinese regions competing
against each other The power of the Chinese central government diminishes and
The executive of the future will be rated by hisability to anticipate his problems rather than tomeet them as they come
Howard Coonley, U.S executive, telecommunications industry
Trang 30hurts the country’s political position in the world A regional confederation
becomes the dominant system of government
4 Shutting the doors: China’s economic growth falters and unemployment soars.
Movements back toward state-owned enterprises result in protectionist outlooks andcrackdowns on foreign firms, causing downturns in international company interests
5 Global powerhouse: China’s economy becomes diversified with labor- and
skill-intensive industries blossoming Infrastructure growth results in more even
economic development, and middle-income consumers contribute to furthereconomic growth Democratic institutions take root at local and regional levels,making national elections a future possibility.17
Scenario analyses provide important inputs to long-range planning efforts Perhaps theirmost important contribution is to encourage executives to think creatively, outside of the cor-porate confines of sales and profits Scenario analyses allow managers to factor broaderranges of variables into their strategic management processes For example, the 1980s fall
of communism, the global slowdowns due to oil market disruptions, the Asian financial sis, and global terrorism caught unawares all but a few firms Scenario analyses sharpen man-agerial abilities to anticipate and prepare for unforeseen eventualities
cri-Key Points
• International strategic planning is the process through which worldwide companiesevaluate past results, assess their corporate strengths and weaknesses, and map out futureresource allocations and strategies based on marketplace opportunities and threats Planning hasbecome increasingly important since 1945 as worldwide competition has increased, and morecomplex as more variables have been factored into the process
• Internal assessments include evaluations of corporate missions (what the company is,where it wants to be) and its competencies (what it is good at) External assessments look at howthe international company is performing in its various businesses (SBUs) and the firm’s
geographic performance worldwide, regionally, and in specific country markets Contributions togroup performance are monitored (above- and below-average performers), and assessments aremade of competitive performance against market rivals Subsidiaries evaluate current product-line performances (market share/momentum analyses) and benchmark themselves againstmarket competitors Many firms benchmark their resource deployments against those of theirindustry to provide external reference points for strategic decision making
• Formulation of strategic plans usually starts at the subsidiary level and includes historicalanalyses of sales, costs, market sizes, and shares, as well as strategy summaries and supply chaindevelopments for all products, with projections for 3- to 5-year periods These are then
consolidated into regional and global strategies and plans
• Goal setting includes financial perspectives (ROIs, shareholder value) and, increasingly,customer perspectives (customer fulfillment, quality, etc.); internal perspectives (technologicalcapabilities, employee skills); and innovation/learning perspectives (improvements over time)
Trang 31• Resource-deployment decisions take in investment/divestment decisions in specific
businesses and markets
• Prior to investment decisions, companies screen markets to gain preliminary assessments
of political, economic, operational, financial, legal, taxation, and security risks Most often, firmsuse commercial vendors of business risk information for this purpose Because of the specialstatus of emerging markets, additional data sources may be used
NOTES
1. Robert Westervelt, “Atofina Expands Outside Europe,” Chemical Week, June 15, 2001, 37, 39.
2 This section is based loosely on Tamara J Erickson, “The Evolution of Strategic Planning,” in Business
International Corporation’s Global Strategic Planning (New York: Economist Intelligence Unit, 1991), 1–9.
3 Ibid.
4 Based on Philip Waalewijn and Peter Segaar, “Strategic Management: The Key to Profitability in
Small Companies,” Long Range Planning 26, 2 (1993): 24–30.
5. J Geoffrey, “Nightingale” in Timothy R V Foster, 101 Great Mission Statements (London: Kogan Page,
1995), 19.
6. Ferdinand de Bakker, “The Elements of a Mission Statement,” in Timothy Foster, 101 Great Mission
Statements (London: Kogan Page, 1993), Chap 3.
7. C K Prahalad and G Hamel, “The Core Competence of the Corporation,” Harvard Business Review
68, 3 (May-June 1990): 79–91.
8 Based on B Mascarenhas, A Baveja, and M Jamil, “Dynamics of core competencies in leading
multinational companies,” California Management Review 40, 4 (Summer 1998): 117–132; and William L Shanklin and David Griffith, “Crafting Strategies for Global Marketing in the New Millennium,” Business
Horizons (Sept-Oct 1996): 11–16.
9 Robert S Kaplan and David P Norton, “The Balanced Scorecard—Measures That Drive
Performance,” Harvard Business Review 69 (Jan-Feb 1992): 71–80.
10. Shawn Tully, “Why go for stretch targets,” Fortune, November 14, 1994, 145–148.
11. Myung-Su Chae and John S Hill, “The Hazards of Strategic Planning for Global Markets,” Long
Range Planning 29, 6 (1996): 880–896.
12 This section is based on S Tamer Cavusgil, “Measuring the Potential of Emerging Markets: An
Indexing Approach,” Business Horizons (Jan-Feb 1997): 87–91.
13. Peter Bartram, “Prophet Making,” Director 54, 12 (July 2001): 76–79.
14 R Phelps, C Chan, and S C Kapsalis, “Does Scenario Planning Affect Performance? Two
Exploratory Case Studies,” Journal of Business Research 51, 3 (March 2001): 223–232.
15. “Energy Outlook: Shell Maps Out Possible Scenarios,” Petroleum Economist, December 2001, 39–40.
16 Bartram, “Prophet Making.”
17. Doug Randall and Piero Telesio, “China: Five Scenarios for Managing Risks,” Planning Review 23, 1
(Jan–Feb 1995): 30–40.
S H O R T C A S E 7 1 Strategic Planning at Benetton
The Benetton tale began in 1960s in Italy, when Luciano and Giuliana Benetton began producing colorfulsweaters in Treviso Their hand-knitted output was strikingly successful Ten years later, they built a factory
Trang 32in Ponzano, and in 1968 opened a store for their sweaters in Paris, France Today, Benetton is a $2 billioncompany with 7,000 stores in 120 countries The company is heavily European, with over 70 percent of salesfrom that region, with the remainder coming equally from the Americas (mainly North America) and otherregions Its major business is its fashion lines for men, women, and children (“The United Colors of Benetton”)that accounts for over 60 percent of its worldwide sales Its current businesses consist of the following:United Colors of Benetton: Fashion wear, but also watches and perfumes (from Europe); diapers(nappies) from the United States; condoms (from Japan); golf and sports bags, and sporting equipmentPlaylife: Sportswear
Sisley: Denim garments styled according to the latest trends
Rollerblade: Global leader in the rollerblade market
Nordica: World leader in ski boots
Killer Loop: Mainly high-tech snowboarding and snow equipment
Prince: A world leader in tennis racquets
Benetton’s initial successes were in its fashion garment area, where its highly efficient supply chainwas linked to its retail stores worldwide and where it was able to predict and capitalize on the color-conscious fashion market much faster than other producers The Benetton name and Italy’s strong fashionimage helped to propel the company to international stardom The company also became renowned for itscontroversial advertising featuring an AIDS victim and his family, a dead Bosnian fighter in a blood-soakedT-shirt, an oil-smeared seabird, a nun kissing a priest, and a Black woman nursing a White baby The lat-est effort, using interviews with death row inmates in North Carolina, has been equally controversial.Benetton’s trademark efficiency is still apparent, with a major computer network linking its ninefactories worldwide with its distributors and retailers Its trademark supply system was reproduced atBenetton Hungary, where the firm coordinated contractors in seven countries for output into EasternEurope But the company has had its dark moments Its 600 subcontractors are nonunionized In 1997,
a Sicilian subcontractor, Bronte Jeans, was investigated by the trade unions after workforce wages werehalved, and there were allegations of illegal dismissals of women employees after marriage In 1998, aTurkish subcontractor was found to be using child labor aged 11–13, and Romanian workers were said towork about 250 hours a month to reach their manufacturing targets and receive the basic wage.But its innovative “try anything” corporate culture has not lost its spark The company has 70 licenseswith international companies outside of the apparel field to produce perfumes, cosmetics, diapers/nappies,golf clubs, plates, fluorescent hair dyes, autos (joining with Renault to produce the Twingo Benetton), andcolorful telephone pagers Benetton was the first Western retailer to enter the Eastern European market
In addition, its joint venture, Benetton Korea, hopes not only to take advantage of that country’s low costs
to supply the premium-priced Japanese market, but also to be first to enter the North Korean market
Questions for Discussion
1 Write a mission statement for Benetton that captures the essence of the firm’s corporateculture, its target markets, and its approach to the marketplace
2 What are Benetton’s core competencies? What makes them special?
Trang 333 Review the company’s product and market strategies What are they doing and what otherproducts might work?
Sources
Benetton website: www.benetton.com.
Brabbs, C (2000, January 22) Which of these ads sells jumpers? Marketing, p 19.
Camuffo, A., Romano, P., & Vinelli, A (2001, fall) Back to the Future: Benetton transforms its global
net-work MIT Sloan Management Review, 43(1), 46–52.
McEvoy, C (1999, March 8) The SGB interview: Dennis Shafer Sporting Goods Business, 28–29.
S H O R T C A S E 7 2 Wal-Mart and Market Screening
Wal-Mart began its international push in earnest during the 1990s In the decade that followed, the pany achieved retail leadership positions in Canada and Mexico Its international division has become thesecond biggest in the company, with international sales at $62 billion comprising one-fifth of companyturnover While its profit-to-sales ratio lags, the retailer’s 2,600 stores in 14 countries contributed $3.3billion to corporate profits in 2006
com-To be sure, Wall-Mart has made some mistakes, but the company is slowly moving along the learningcurve and figuring out when to transfer and use its U.S expertise and when to defer to local managerialexperience and adapt to existing market conditions As the company gains in foreign market experience,its top managers are getting clearer ideas about how to evaluate international markets that will be at theforefront of corporate strategy in the forthcoming decades
In the Latin American market, Wal-Mart’s Mexican operation had 300 stores in 2006 employing 130,000workers Over 2005–2006, the company moved more aggressively into Brazil, buying up the Bompreçosupermarket chain for $300 million and the Sonae chain for $800 million This is in addition to a plannedconstruction of 220 new stores in Brazil Its global rival, France’s Carrefour, had 22 hypermarkets and 340other stores in Argentina, and 74 hypermarkets and 115 supermarkets in Brazil The company has been
in Brazil and Argentina for 35 and 20 years, respectively For Wal-Mart, Latin America was a learning rience as it learned how to operate in an inflationary environment, and how to cope with changing gov-ernments, variable economic policies, and fluctuating exchange rates While Latin American affluencelevels generally are at the upper end of developing-market levels, the mass market is still at the lowerincome levels Given the retailing industry’s competitive landscape, Wal-Mart’s strategic focus has shiftedfrom large urban metropolises to smaller urban centers with populations of about 500,000 or more
expe-In Asia, Wal-Mart has focused on China, where it had 68 units by 2006, and South Korea Its rival,Carrefour, has 90 hypermarkets and 255 discount stores in China Retail prospects in China look good, withsales expected to reach over $700 billion by 2008 In China, the company was encouraged to set up inthe eight special economic zones on the coast that house over 50 million consumers For space and realestate cost reasons, Wall-Mart operates multilevel units (the opposite of its home market), going up tonine stories in Korea, and carries about 25,000 stock-keeping-units (SKUs)—about half that of a typicalU.S supercenter store Most of its Chinese customers use motorcycles or bicycles to reach the store,and “fresh” meats for the Chinese palate include live fish, frogs, and snakes, and barbequed pigeons.Chinese consumers shop more frequently than most, often on a daily basis, but in smaller quantities
Trang 34(about one-fifth of the average U.S Wal-Mart shopper) As a result, Chinese stores experience high fic In the more affluent Korean market, cars are used, refrigeration is widespread, and consumption pat-terns are similar to those in the United States Commentators saw Korea as a rapid expansion market forWal-Mart, but consumers were unresponsive and the company had to sell its Korean stores in 2006.However, Asia’s development record makes the region an attractive market, and China and Korea inparticular have been targeted by Carrefour, UK retailer Tesco, and Germany’s Metro.
traf-Wal-Mart’s ventures into the highly competitive retail market of Western Europe have also been learningexperiences, as the region is home to 14 of the world’s hypermarket retailers In Germany, Wal-Mart boughtthe 21-unit Wertkauf chain in 1997 and the 74-unit Interspar group in 1998 There was resistance on vari-ous fronts: from vendors who did not take to Wal-Mart’s centralized warehouse system, from German man-agers who resented English-only–speaking U.S executives telling them how to run things, and from theGerman Cartel Office that objected to Wal-Mart’s everyday low pricing philosophy that priced staple food prod-ucts below cost In 2006, the company sold its German stores to arch rival Metro In Britain, the firm’s takeover
of ASDA was less controversial Wal-Mart gave local managers freedom to run the businesses their way, butgave ASDA stores access to its global purchasing system, and better technology for tracking store sales andinventories Also, dialogs there were two-way ASDA’s efficient food-replenishment system was brought back
to the United States for implementation, as were some product lines and management methods
Question for Discussion
You are Wal-Mart’s new advisor on screening for new retail markets From your international business edge and Wal-Mart’s experiences in Latin America, Asia, and Western Europe, prepare a list of factors andinformation you would use for screening potential retail markets For each, say why it is important
knowl-Sources
Asian aspirations (2001, June) Chain Store Age, 66–67.
Dyer, G., & Tucker, S (2007, February 28) Hypermarket deal boosts Wal-Mart in China Financial Times, 28 Troy, M (2006, March 27) Wal-Mart bolsters international reach DSN Retailing Today, 5–6.
Troy, M (2001, June) The world’s largest retailer Chain Store Age, 47–49.
Zellner, W (with K A Schmidt, M Ihlwan, & H Dawley) (2001, September 3) How well does Wal-Mart
travel? Business Week, 82–84.
S H O R T C A S E 7 3 Managing Risk in Emerging Markets
There are risks attached to all business ventures, even in domestic situations where managers are oughly familiar with customers and markets In home markets, executives use their experience, supple-
thor-mented by research, to counter these risks
It is not so different in international markets The moremanagers know about country markets, the better able they are tomanage the risks associated with them International companiesare present in virtually all world markets, even those classified as
Unless you enter the lion’s den, you cannot take
the cubs
Japanese proverb
Trang 35high risk If industry competitors or other international firms are present in high-risk markets, the signal isthat such country risks are manageable The task of international managers, therefore, is to understand risks,but not to be afraid of them The role of commercial risk evaluators is to identify what risks are present; therole of the manager is to manage them.
Global Insight’s risk analyses rank nations and regions on a 1–5 scale, with lower scores indicatingless risk on political, economic, legal, taxation, operational, and security measures Based on these, theNAFTA nations and Europe emerge as low risk in 2005 at less than 2.00 aggregate scores CIS and sub-Saharan African countries average about 3.4 (significant risk), while Middle Eastern, North African, andAsia-Pacific nations come out with scores of 2.8 Yet North Africa had about one-third of all African for-eign direct investment (FDI) at about $85 billion, and the Middle East had $150 billion of FDI, one-tenth
of that in the remainder of Asia Clearly there are other factors at work influencing foreign direct ment decisions other than country and regional risk
invest-Russia, too, has slowly emerged as a more attractive market for investments, moving from $32 billion
of FDI in 2000 to over $197 billion in 2006 Business Risk Services noted numerous operating and ical weaknesses for the former communist superpower (xenophobia, degree of nationalization, inflation,infrastructure, capital markets, left-wing orientations of the Dumas Parliament, etc.) Recent problemsstemmed from the currency crash of 1998, when Russia caught the Asian financial “flu” and saw its cur-rency depreciate from 7 rubles per dollar to 27 Many international firms left or put their expansion plans
polit-on hold, especially in the financial sector But many foreign financial cpolit-oncerns stayed polit-on as Russian bankstook a battering, with some going belly-up One of them, Bank Austria Creditanstalt, used the crisis tocement relations with its corporate clients and provide high-quality links with foreign markets throughits multilingual services The bank also built up its relationships with the emerging Russian middle classes,investing their savings, opening new branches in Moscow, and delivering new products and services such
as Visa debit cards, ATMs, and telebanking
For some countries, solving one major problem is the key In Brazil’s case, the introduction of a newcurrency, the Real Plan in 1994, and a massive economic austerity program were the keys to prosperity.Inflation dropped from 2,500 percent in 1993 to 4 percent in 1997 But Brazil has always been a market
to test a company’s patience Stock market volatility, trade restrictions, corruption, and bureaucracy haveall been ongoing concerns However, despite everything, international companies have flocked to Brazil,with foreign direct investments rising from $42 billion in 1995 to $164 billion in 1999 to $221 billion in
2006 The Brazilian government during this period has been stable under the watchful eye of the RealPlan creator, President Cardozo, and the country’s progress has been the mainstay of the Mercosur trad-ing bloc However, the election of leftist President Lula de Silva in 2003 caused some concerns amongWestern companies, with a consequent slowdown of incoming foreign direct investments
Mineral-rich Africa includes many countries labeled as high risk Risks multiply when mining firms formjoint ventures with governments Where governments are democratic and honest, there are few problems.When governments are undemocratic, or unstable, problems accrue Political instability often goes hand-in-hand with economic, legal, and personal security problems Economic mismanagement, government budgetdeficits, and inflation have been common occurrences Infrastructure problems, with power supply restric-tions, fuel shortages, corrupt officials, and import restrictions, become part of everyday life To counter andmanage these sorts of problems, dependable and influential local representatives are essential
Personal security is a problem in over 70 countries, according to the U.S government, and of these, over
30 have civil wars or rebel groups that can threaten expatriates or international company facilities Firms
in Algeria spend 8–9 percent of budgets on security (fences, guards, security systems) In Colombia, thisfigure is 4–6 percent Expatriate houses in Lagos, Nigeria, or Johannesburg, South Africa, often resemble
Trang 36stockades Companies must often tutor executives in safety codes: how to deal with car-jackers (cooperate,don’t make sudden moves, etc.), defensive driving (lock doors, vary routes), and even rape counseling andprevention for female expatriates in Africa Other basic measures to bolster security include
• The projecting of favorable corporate images, with proactive public relations and tion in local community projects and affairs
participa-• Checking out local businesspeople surreptitiously to avoid those associated with crime, e.g.,the Russian Mafia
• In bribery situations, insisting that “someone else” makes the decision, and never going tosuch meetings alone
• Using home market or international standards for environmental policies
• Protecting employees and offering above-average wages and work conditions
• Using local subcontractors, suitably supervised, for delicate operations
In today’s Internet world, corporate information technology (IT) systems have become security issuesfor foreign-based corporate affiliates Normal security measures such as encryption codes must often beregistered with national governments This allows governments to “look in” or steal corporate informa-tion Countries such as Russia and others in Asia openly acknowledge that they steal business informa-tion, and in South America, there are problems with internal espionage or embezzlement These sorts ofproblems easily intimidate inexperienced firms, but seasoned companies take many precautionary mea-sures: performing extensive background checks on new employees, providing extensive training, build-ing internal “walls” among departments, and instituting stringent security precautions including biometricaccess (fingerprints, retinal checks) to sensitive areas and periodic security sweeps by experts In addi-tion, many use couriers to move sensitive data and documents
Ultimately, the adaptable and careful international corporation can operate almost anywhere in sonable safety But sensitivity to market conditions and knowledge of the local culture are prerequisitesfor successful risk management
rea-Questions for Discussion
1 Why do firms operate in high-risk countries (give specific examples)?
2 What sorts of risks are uncontrollable? Why?
3 You are traveling to a country (a) with a reputation for kidnapping rich internationalexecutives, (b) where business activities often have criminal connections, and (c) thathas active guerilla movements What precautions would you take and why?
Sources
Business in difficult places: Risky returns (2000, May 20) Economist, 85–88.
Franz, M P (1999, September) Success, despite a national crisis Euromoney, 6–7.
Global Insight website: www.globalinsight.com.
Radcliff, D (2001, October 22) Volatile states Computerworld, 32–33.
Wallace, D J (1999, February) The future in Brazil World Trade 12(2), 42–46.
World Investment Report 2006 (2006) New York: United Nations.
Trang 37C H A P T E R 8
Internationalization and
Globalization Processes
Internationalization and Globalization: Similar but Different
While food tastes remain national in most countries, world trade and investments are slowly but surelycreating world markets for food products Many firms internationalize initially through exports GrupoModelo, a Mexican conglomerate, is the number nine brewer in the world, and its Corona beer brand isexported to over 150 countries Its aim is to be a top-5 brewer and ultimately to have a stable of globalbrands and produce beer in its major markets.1
Other companies have more complex arrangements and must integrate their sourcing, manufacturing,and marketing strategies to supply their foreign markets Indian foods and spices are a good example Inthe United Kingdom, Patak Foods sources 2,700 tons of spices a year from foreign lands, mixes them, andexports them to over 40 countries.2
Finally, there are the established global competitors In the dairy industry, giants like Switzerland’sNestlé, the United States’ Kraft, UK-Dutch Unilever, and France’s Danone do daily battle to establish mar-ket share dominance in any one of dozens of established world markets Their objectives are to extend theirbrands into new countries and leverage their production and marketing muscle across borders to achievescale economies in operations, maximize market exposure, and build brand loyalties across markets
All of the food companies mentioned above do business in world markets Corona beerhas internationalized via exports Patak Foods sources materials globally, and then findsmarkets for the final products Finally, there are the global brands of the major food pro-ducers, many of which have coordinated cross-border branding strategies All of these firmsare pushing their products into world markets, but are at different stages of the interna-tionalization and globalization processes The beer and Indian foods firms are internation-alizing from a single market The “biggies”—Nestlé and Unilever—are already in most worldmarkets, and are in the process of integrating their branding strategies Other companies,most notably in the auto and consumer electronics sectors, produce in many different loca-tions Their aims are to globalize their output to obtain the best combinations of cost andquality This often involves financing operations in many different parts of the world Allfirms have their own motives and strategies in servicing world markets How they do it, andwhy, is the subject of this chapter
357
Trang 38In this chapter, you will learn
• Definitions of internationalization and globalization and how they are measured;the advantages and disadvantages of going overseas
• How market, cost, competitive, and government factors drive corporate
globalization, and the role of technology in facilitating the globalization process
• How firms prepare for globalization by focusing on core activities and
restructuring around key core competencies, developing international leaders andmanagers, and orienting corporate cultures for use outside of home markets
• Globalization effects on industry structure at the national, regional, and worldwidelevels, and what adjustments firms make to tailor organizational structures andcorporate cultures to market needs
• The ways that firms finance their foreign operations
INTERNATIONALIZATION AND GLOBALIZATION
Definitions
Internationalization and globalization are similar terms and are often used interchangeably
in the general business press In this text, internationalization occurs when firms extend
F I G U R E 8 1 Internationalization and Globalization Topics
Internationalization and Globalization Processes
Globalization Effects on
• Industry Structure
• Organizational Structure
Restructuring the Organization
Development
Culture Globalization
Financing Foreign Operations
• Capital Structure
• Internal or External Financing
Drivers and Facilitators
• Market, Cost, Competitive and Government Drivers
Trang 39products and services into overseas markets, usually from their home country Globalization
is the process by which businesses create value by leveraging their resources and ties across borders, and includes the coordination of cross-border manufacturing and mar-keting strategies Internationalization, then, is the first stage in the globalization process.3
capabili-Measuring Internationalization and Globalization
Both internationalization and globalization are measures of commitment to foreign markets.That commitment affects the structures and strategies used outside of home markets Hencemeasuring that commitment is a useful barometer of what structures, strategies are appro-priate at various commitment stages Internationalization is relatively easy to measure viathe proportion of international sales to total sales Globalization measures are more com-plex, and can be measured objectively or more subjectively via corporate benchmarks
Objective measures.The United Nations Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD) hasdeveloped an objective “transnationality index” (TNI) to measure the extent of corporate glob-alization The measure is a composite of three ratios: foreign assets to total assets, foreign sales
to total sales, and foreign employment to total employment Not surprisingly, this measurefavors firms with small domestic markets (e.g., Switzerland, Canada, the United Kingdom)where international sales and assets can easily eclipse those in the home market As Table 8.1shows, the top-10 list has one company from the United States, one from Canada, and theremaining eight from Western Europe Transnationality indexes can also be used to measureindustry globalization Table 8.2 shows industry measures of global involvement through theInternationalization Index (which shows the number of international markets companieswhere companies are active) and the Transnationality Index Where internationalizationindices are higher than transnationality indices, this normally indicates that most strategiesare export-based with less foreign manufacturing
Most industries fit this profile Note, though, the
food and beverage industry, which has a high
transnationality index This indicates many
for-eign investments because of the extensive use of
localization strategies and local production.4
Corporate measures of globalization.For individual companies, there are other measures
of corporate globalization:5
1 Governance and Responsibility
• How far corporate management boards reflect the global dispersion of
corporate activities—for example, how many nationalities are represented atsenior management levels Japanese boards (with some exceptions) tend to bedominated by home country management; whereas European top-levelmanagements tend to be more cosmopolitan A 2006 survey of large U.S
companies showed only 141 non-U.S directors out of a total of 2,306 at thetop 200 firms.6
The best kind of citizen and the solidest kind ofenterprise is one that can look the whole world
in the face
M E Tracy
Trang 40• The extent to which industry regulators (e.g., governments, the UN) are dealtwith centrally (with single policies governing all worldwide affiliates) orwhether they are managed on a local (market-by-market) basis Environmentaland ethical policy issues are examples In the chemical and pharmaceuticalindustries, the trend has been toward the development of global policies tomeet all market needs.
2 Strategy and Planning
• For truly global companies, corporate missions, visions, and strategies arecrafted with worldwide markets in mind This works in industries wherecommon needs can be serviced from largely standardized product lines.Alternatively, for industries that rely heavily on meeting localized needs, overlycentralized marketing and planning approaches cause problems in developingcompetitive advantages at local levels
Ranking by
Transnationality
Index
Foreign Assets Corporation Country Industry
Transnationality Index (%)
5 44 Philips Electronics Netherlands Pharmaceuticals 87.4
TA B L E 8 1 Company and Industry Transnationality Index 2005
Source:UNCTAD/Erasmus University database.