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Lecture Economics for investment decision makers: Chapter 2 - CFA In stitute

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Models begin with many simplifications (e.g., assumptions), but then we evaluate the model by comparing the implications of the model with what we observe in the real world. After studying this chapter you will be able to understand: Why show this? Because some who read about consumer theory may be concerned about the unrealistic nature of the models and thus may get too involved in how unrealistic the model is. The focus should be on understanding consumer choice theory and then examining what happens if more realism is introduced.

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Chapter 2

Demand and Supply Analysis: Consumer Demand

Presenter’s name

Presenter’s title

dd Month yyyy

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1 Introduction The development process of an economic model

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2 Consumer Theory: From Preferences to

Demand Functions

Consumer choice theory is the part of economics in which we focus on

consumer demand and consumer preferences

- It addresses consumers’ tastes and preferences

- It examines the trade-offs that consumers make between or among goods

- It delves into the choices consumers make, given a set of prices, when

consumers have limited income

- The limit on income is the budget constraint.

• Models of consumer choice:

- Do not seek to explain why consumers have the tastes and preferences that

they have, but rather why they make the choices they do given their tastes

and preferences

- Focus on the aggregate behavior of consumers, not that of an individual consumer

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3 Utility Theory:

Modeling Preferences and Tastes

The consumption bundle (or consumption basket) is the set of goods and

services that the consumer would like to consume

• Axioms of the theory of consumer choice:

1. We assume that a consumer can make a choice between any two bundles—

the assumption of complete preferences.

- The consumer prefers one to another or is indifferent between the two

- We refer to this as complete preferences: Consumers are able to make

comparisons and choices

2. We assume that consumers’ preferences are transitive preferences.

- If a consumer prefers Bundle A to Bundle B and prefers Bundle B to Bundle

C, then the consumer prefers A to C if preferences are transitive

3. We assume that there is nonsatiation for at least one good.

- There is never too much of that good

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The Utility Function

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Indifference curves

• We can represent preferences with indifference curves, which represent the utility of each possible combination of a given set of goods and services

- Because the utility is the same throughout a given curve, the consumer is indifferent between the combinations on a curve

• The marginal rate of substitution is the rate at which a consumer will give up one good or service in exchange for another and still have the same utility

The indifference curve map is a graphical representation of the possible

indifference curves, one for each level of utility

Good A

Curve 1

Curve 1

Curve 3

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4 The Opportunity Set: Consumption, Production,

and Investment Choice

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Production function and investment opportunity set

The production opportunity frontier represents the different quantities of two

goods that a company can produce, considering the trade-off between the two goods in terms of manufacturing facilities

- Analogous to the budget constraint for a consumer

The investment opportunity set is the set of investment opportunities that an

investor may invest in

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5 Consumer Equilibrium: Maximizing Utility subject

to the Budget Constraint

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• Consumers prefer more utility to less and thus will want the bundles of goods that maximize utility, given the budget

constraint

• Looking at a his or her utility function, the consumer will choose the bundle of goods that maximizes the utility (the indifference curve farthest from the origin) within a given budget constraint

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Normal vs inferior goods

A normal good is a good that a consumer buys more of with increases in

income

An inferior good is a good that a consumer buys less of with increases in

income

Income effects:

- As income increases, the consumer has a larger budget, and therefore, the optimal bundle changes, resulting in a higher proportion of the normal good and a lower proportion of the inferior good

Substitution effect:

- Substitution effects are movements along an indifference curve

- Substitution with income effects: If one of the prices changes (relative to the price of another), the budget line changes slope and the new bundle of

goods is along the same indifference curve, but a different bundle (tangent to new line)

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6 Revisiting the Consumer’s

Demand Function

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Income and Substitution effects

Income effects:

• When income rises, the demand for normal goods increases

• When income rises, the demand for inferior goods falls

Quantity of Inferior Good

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Breaking down Income and

Substitution effects

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• A change in the price of a good will result in a change in the real income of the consumer

• The change in demand from this change is the substitution effect

• A change in income results in an

• increased demand for normal goods, and a

• decreased demand for an inferior good

Quantity of Inferior Good

C

A B

When the price of an inferior good falls, the budget constraint pivots upward

Substitution effect = QB – QA

Income effect = QC – QB

QA QB QC

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Special cases of demand

A Giffen good is an inferior good for which the income effect outweighs the

substitution effect

- Lowering the price of a Giffen good will result in a decrease in its demand

- Raising the price of a Giffen good will result in an increase in its demand

- A Giffen good is an inferior good, but not all inferior goods are Giffen goods

- There are few Giffen goods

A Veblen good is a good for which the demand increases as the price of the

good increases

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7 Conclusions and Summary

• Consumer choice theory and utility theory help us understand consumer preferences

• A consumer’s marginal rate of substitution represents the rate at which the consumer will trade one good for another

• What a consumer can spend (i.e., the budget) depends on the consumer’s income, and what a consumer buys depends on the prices of goods and the consumer’s preferences (i.e., utility)

• A consumer’s equilibrium is the point of tangency between the consumer’s budget and marginal rate of substitution

• We can break down changes in demand related to income and substitution effects

- The income effect is the response in demand for a good when income changes

- The substitution effect is the response in demand for a good when the relative prices of goods change

- When relative prices change, there may be both an income effect (i.e., change in real income) and a substitution effect

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7 Conclusions and Summary

• A normal good is a good whose demand increases when income increases

(and falls when income falls)

- A Veblen good has a perverse demand: The more is demanded of the good, the higher the price of the good

• An inferior good is a good that generally has a decrease in demand as income increases

- An extreme case of an inferior good is a Giffen good, for which an increase in price results in an increase in demand

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