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The Role of the Project Manager 65It’s All About People 66 Do You Really Want to Manage 73 Making Your Career Decision 83 Chapter 4 How to Achieve High- Performance Project Management™

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PLANNING, SCHEDULING

& CONTROL

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New York Chicago San Francisco Lisbon London Madrid Mexico City Milan New Delhi San Juan

Seoul Singapore Sydney Toronto

PROJECT

PLANNING,

SCHEDULING

& CONTROL

T HE ULT IM AT E H A ND S -ON GUIDE T O BRINGING

P RO JEC T S IN ON T IME A ND ON BUDGE T

Fif th E dit i o n

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McGraw-Hill eBooks are available at special quantity discounts to use as premiums and sales promotions, or for use

in corporate training programs To contact a representative please e-mail us at bulksales@mcgraw-hill.com This publication is designed to provide accurate and authoritative information in regard to the subject matter covered It is sold with the understanding that the publisher is not engaged in rendering legal, accounting, securities trading, or other professional services If legal advice or other expert assistance is required, the services

of a competent professional person should be sought.

— From a Declaration of Principles Jointly Adopted by a Committee of the American Bar

Association and a Committee of Publishers and Associations High Performance Project Management is a trademark of The Lewis Institute, Inc The Lewis Method is a registered trademark of The Lewis Institute, Inc PMI, PMBOK, and PMP are registered trademarks of the Project Management Institute MicrosoftProject is a registered trademark of Microsoft Corporation Mind Map is a registered trademark of Tony Buzan Whole Brain is a registered trademark of Herrmann International HBDI

is a trademark of Herrmann International The grid containing a thinking profi le is also copyright by Herrmann International, and all such fi gures in this book are used by permission MindManager is a trademark of MindJet TERMS OF USE

This is a copyrighted work and The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc (“McGrawHill”) and its licensors reserve all rights in and to the work Use of this work is subject to these terms Except as permitted under the Copyright Act

of 1976 and the right to store and retrieve one copy of the work, you may not decompile, disassemble, reverse engineer, reproduce, modify, create derivative works based upon, transmit, distribute, disseminate, sell, publish or sublicense the work or any part of it without McGraw-Hill’s prior consent You may use the work for your own noncommercial and personal use; any other use of the work is strictly prohibited Your right to use the work may be terminated if you fail to comply with these terms.

THE WORK IS PROVIDED “AS IS.” McGRAW-HILL AND ITS LICENSORS MAKE NO GUARANTEES

OR WARRANTIES AS TO THE ACCURACY, ADEQUACY OR COMPLETENESS OF OR RESULTS

TO BE OBTAINED FROM USING THE WORK, INCLUDING ANY INFORMATION THAT CAN BE ACCESSED THROUGH THE WORK VIA HYPERLINK OR OTHERWISE, AND EXPRESSLY DISCLAIM ANY WARRANTY, EXPRESS OR IMPLIED, INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO IMPLIED WARRANTIES OF MERCHANTABILITY OR FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE McGraw-Hill and its licensors do not warrant or guarantee that the functions contained in the work will meet your requirements or that its operation will be uninterrupted or error free Neither McGraw-Hill nor its licensors shall be liable to you or anyone else for any inaccuracy, error or omission, regardless of cause, in the work or for any damages resulting therefrom McGraw-Hill has no responsibility for the content of any information accessed through the work Under no circumstances shall McGraw-Hill and/or its licensors be liable for any indirect, incidental, special, punitive, consequential or similar damages that result from the use of or inability to use the work, even if any of them has been advised of the possibility of such damages This limitation of liability shall apply to any claim or cause whatsoever whether such claim or cause arises in contract, tort or otherwise.

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What Is Project Management? 7

How Do You Define Success? 34

The Project Management System 37

Project Management and and ISO 9000 47

Project Management and Six Sigma 47

The Lewis Method of Managing Projects 49

In Summary 55

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The Role of the Project Manager 65

It’s All About People 66

Do You Really Want to Manage 73

Making Your Career Decision 83

Chapter 4

How to Achieve High- Performance Project

Management™ 85

The High- Performance Project Management Model 85

The Need for a New Approach 90

The Balanced Scorecard 135

Creativity and Profiles 137

In Summary 137

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SECTION TWO

PROJECT DEFINITION

Chapter 6

Headless- Chicken Projects and How to Prevent Them 141

The Cold, Hard Facts 142

The Causes 144

Mission and Vision 153

Problems, Problems 161

Defining Closed- Ended Problems 165

Defining Opened- Ended Problems 176

The Fallacy of Project Management Assumptions 184

Generating and Choosing the Correct Strategy 195

Putting It All Together 214

Chapter 8

Implementation Planning 217

Mistakes in Planning 221

Developing the Work Breakdown Structure 230

Estimating Time, Cost, and Resource Requirements 251

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Clarifying Roles and Responsibilities 263

Gaining Commitment from Resource Providers 263

Developing the Project Budget 265

Managing Project Communications 297

Communications Management Processes 298

The Pitfalls of Reporting Schedule Only 337

Tracking Progress Using Earned Value Analysis 341

Responding to Deviations 347

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Using Graphs to Track Progress and Forecast Trends 351

Using Spreadsheets to Track Progress 368

Alternatives to Earned Value 374

Project Change Control 379

Conducting Process or Lessons-Learned Reviews 394

The Process Review Report 398

Principles of Process Improvement 411

Operational Definitions of Problems 417

Chapter 15

Managing and Facilitating Meetings 425

Meeting Management Guidelines 426

Marathon Meetings 429

Important Roles in Meetings 430

Some Guidelines for Project Meetings 439

More Pointers for Status Meetings 440

In Summary 440

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Chapter 16

Closing Out the Project 443

Administrative Closure 444

The Final Lessons- Learned Review 445

Personnel Issues in Project Closing 446

Chapter 17

Managing Multiple Projects 449

Project, Task, Priority? 452

Personal Effectiveness 453

Chapter 18

Improving Your Effectiveness 457

The Psychology of Achievement 459

The Laws that Govern Our Lives 460

Working with Senior Managers 477

Helping Your Manager Meet His Needs 479

Educating Managers about Project Management 482

Applying the HBDI © Profile to Working with Senior Managers 484 Making Presentations to Executives 486

Understanding Your Manager’s Point of View 487

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Find a Mentor 488

Final Suggestion 489

Chapter 20

Dealing More Effectively with People 491

Working with Your Project Team 492

Motivation 497

Negotiating and Influencing 499

Dealing with Politics 500

Skill Building 502

Chapter 21

Trends in Project Management 505

Virtual Project Teams 505

Technology: For Better or Worse 510

Appendix

Schedule Computations 515

Network Rules 516

Basic Scheduling Computations 516

Calculations for an AOA Network 525

Constrained End Date Scheduling 527

Reducing Activity Durations 531

Converting Arrow Diagrams to Bar Charts 532

Limitations of the Critical Path Method 535

GLOSSARY 539

RESOURCES FOR PROJECT MANAGERS 545

REFERENCES AND READING LIST 547

INDEX 557

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By the time the fifth edition of Project Planning, Scheduling, and

Control is published, it will be 20 years since the first edition was

released I have been gratified to receive correspondence from all over the world complimenting me on the previous editions, and I hope this will continue I have always written for the practitioner,

so this book is not really designed for classroom use, but for the person who needs a book that is easy to read and practical

For many years I have been telling people that management—including project management—is a performing art Most business schools teach people to think—that is, they teach cognitive skills That is fine for doing business analysis, making decisions, and car-rying out certain types of planning However, the daily interactions that you have with the members of your project team and various stakeholders to the project require that you know how to deal effec-tively with people, and that set of skills is not learned through cog-nitive training In fact, John Grinder, cocreator of Neuro- Linguistic Programming™, once recommended that we take an acting class before taking another management class I consider that advice to

be right on target

Project management is still poorly understood by many agers who have managed projects using only a seat- of- the- pants approach Many of them also do not value a formal approach How-ever, I have been in this business for nearly 45 years (that’s right, I’m older than dirt), and I can say with absolute confidence that proper

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man-project management gets results that the unstructured approach won’t achieve! And I can also say that my Lewis Method® of man-aging projects is among the most robust available The reason is that

it not only includes the tools of project management—work down structures, schedules, and earned value—but also incorpo-rates behavioral skills so that you can get people to actually apply the tools properly

break-What too many managers don’t understand is that project management is all about dealing with people Project managers often have no authority but a great deal of responsibility, and with-out good skills in dealing with people, the tools will do nothing but help them document their failures with precision I feel so strongly

about this that I have registered the trademark Projects are People®

to stress the importance of this idea Of course, I can also say that many of the managers who don’t understand the need for people skills don’t themselves have a high degree of those skills I continue

to be disappointed by the ineptness of many managers in dealing with people

In the final analysis, your capital equipment—building, ment, and other facilities—won’t make any money for you It is only people who do that Yet, to quote Dr Phil McGraw, we know less about getting performance from people than we do about getting it from our equipment It’s no wonder that we have such sensational project and business failures

equip-I can’t promise that this book has all the answers or that it will teach you how to be an immediate success in managing projects, but I do know that the people who have practiced the principles taught have been more successful than many of those who have just

“winged it.”

I am always happy to hear from readers, so please feel free to send me an e- mail and let me know about your own results from applying what you learn I must say that I have had to change my e- mail address because of the enormous amount of spam I was

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receiving after publishing it in my other books, and I will probably have to do so again in the future So to find out how to contact me,

go to my Web site and check the contact information The Web site

is www.lewisinstitute.com Best wishes to all of you

James P Lewis, Ph.D.

Asheville, North Carolina

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PLANNING, SCHEDULING

& CONTROL

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INTRODUCTION TO

PROJECT MANAGEMENT

S E C T I O N

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The news traveled from the palace to the Valley of the Kings with incredible speed—Nefertari, the beloved wife of Ramses the Great, Nineteenth Dynasty pharaoh of Upper and Lower Egypt, had just borne him another son The messenger was out of breath as

he entered the murky darkness of the burial chamber and greeted Ashahebsed, builder of the tombs for the family of the great king

“The new child has just arrived,” he announced breathlessly,

“a son.” Ashahebsed was well aware of who he meant by “the new child.” The pregnancy of Nefertari, one of two royal wives of Ramses, was well known throughout the kingdom

Ashahebsed shook his head Another tomb would have to be added How many was this now? At last count, the king had sired

30 sons and as many daughters With two royal wives, two Hittite princesses acquired through diplomatic marriage, and four of his own daughters whom he had married, following Egyptian tradi-

An Introduction to

Project Management

1 C H A P T E R

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tion, Ramses was more than prolific At 60 years of age, he was still fathering children at an alarming rate.

“By the great god Amun,” Ashahebsed exclaimed, “at this rate, I’ll never finish this project!”

“You’re right,” said the messenger “I have been instructed to inform you that Isetnofret is pregnant again.”

“The second royal wife of Ramses,” thought Ashahebsed

“And so are the two Hittite princesses,” he groaned

“Don’t forget Bant- Anat,” the messenger offered

This was Isetnofret’s child, one of the four daughters that the pharaoh had married

“It is clear that I will be on this project until the pharaoh dies,” said Ashahebsed

“It looks that way,” agreed the messenger, as he turned to go out into the blinding Egyptian sun

Ashahebsed may very well have endured the most scope changes, over the most extended period, of any project manager in

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history Ramses the Great had more than 100 sons and daughters over his 90 years He was pharaoh for nearly 65 years, and no doubt the building of tombs for his progeny extended over much of that time The best that can be said is that Ashahebsed had job secu-rity The worst is that the project just kept on going and going and going

WHAT IS A PROJECT?

The Project Management Institute (PMI®) is the professional tion for project managers (more about them later) In the latest edi-

associa-tion of the Project Management Body of Knowledge, or PMBOK® GUIDE

(2008), the PMI defines a

project as “a temporary

endeavor undertaken to

produce a unique

prod-uct, service, or result.”

Temporary means that

every project has a

defi-nite beginning and end

Unique means that this product, service, or result is different from

others that may have preceded it

Unfortunately, textbook definitions often don’t reflect the real world Ashahebsed’s project definitely was not temporary; as the scope kept changing, the ultimate completion date slid out ever fur-ther until it disappeared over the horizon And of course the budget had to change accordingly

So this was certainly no textbook project (In fact, if any of you know of a project that conforms to the textbook definition, please e-mail me about it so that I can write a case study!)

In reality, the only part of the definition that fits all projects is that all of them are jobs that produce something unique Perhaps

it would be better to say that they are intended to be temporary in

A project is a temporary endeavor undertaken to produce a unique product, service, or result

[PMBOK®GUIDE (2008).].

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nature, meaning a one- time job A repetitive job is not a project ther is performing a single task Nevertheless, a substantial number

Nei-of jobs do qualify as projects, and there are many people managing them (or at least trying to)

Tom Peters (1999) has argued that as much as 50 percent of the work done in organizations can be thought of as projects I believe that in many organizations, this number is far greater This means that, even though not everyone who is running these operations is

called a project manager, these people are de facto managing

proj-ects anyway And, while they may not need the formality of critical path schedules and earned value analysis, they do need some skills

in project planning and control

Dr J M Juran has also said that a project is a problem that is scheduled for solution I like this definition because it makes us real-ize that a project is conducted to solve a problem for the organiza-

tion However, the word problem almost always conveys something

negative When someone says, “We have a problem,” that is usually bad news Environmental cleanup projects might be thought of as solving the “bad” kind of problem But developing a new product

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or software program is also a problem—a positive problem So

prob-lem is being used here in a very broad sense, and projects deal with

both kinds of problems, positive and negative

WHAT IS PROJECT MANAGEMENT?

The 2008 edition of the PMBOK ® GUIDE defines project

manage-ment as “application of knowledge, skills, tools and techniques to project activities to meet project requirements Project management

is accomplished through the application and integration of the project management processes of initiating, planning, executing, monitoring and controlling, and closing” (p 6) These processes are

further defined in the PMBOK® GUIDE, and the objective of this

book is to explain how all of these are accomplished in practice

I think it is important to mention that these processes do not fully capture the essence of project management Much of project management consists of dealing with political issues, trying to get

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team members to perform at the required level, and negotiating for scarce resources These activities are not really captured by the

PMBOK® GUIDE processes, and no single document can do justice

to the true complexity of project management

“Instant- Pudding” Project Management

In December 1999, I met with a project manager in Germany, and we discussed whether project management in Germany was the same

as it is in the United States I showed him my model of project agement, which I call The Lewis Method®, and compared it to his process We found that his method and mine were nearly identical

man-“I have been trying to explain project management to senior management here, but I’m afraid with very little success,” he said sadly “In one meeting, one of our vice presidents got very frus-trated and said, ‘I don’t understand why we don’t just buy Microsoft Project® and do it!’ ” He added, “Meaning, of course, why don’t we

do project management.”

I almost laughed “It’s the same in the United States,” I assured him “Senior managers there also assume that project management

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is just scheduling and that if they buy a scheduling tool for one, they will have instant project managers.”

every-He looked a bit relieved

“I think we should put the scheduling software in a box and rename it ‘Instant Project Manager,’ ” I said “On the side of the box, the instructions would say, ‘Just add water, stir, shake, bake, and you will have instant project managers’—sort of an ‘instant- pudding’ approach to project management.”

He thought for a moment “That’s actually what we are doing now, isn’t it? Practicing instant- pudding project management!”

“Yes,” I agreed “And I can tell you that this approach is lowed throughout much of the world.”

fol-Tools, People, and Systems

Project management is not just scheduling

It is not just tools

It is not a job position or a job title

It is not even the sum total of these But my experience shows that few people understand this They believe that project manage-ment is scheduling and that if a person can do some technical job

(using the word technical in a very broad sense), then that individual

can manage a project

This is a pervasive problem We forget that there are two

aspects to all work, including projects—the what and the how The

what is the task to be performed The how is the process by which

it is performed But process also applies to how the team functions overall—how its members communicate, interact, solve problems, deal with conflict, make decisions, assign work, run meetings, and every other aspect of team performance The tools they use—such

as scheduling software, computers, project notebooks, and daily planners—help with both the what and the how But the tools do not make an instant project manager of a person who has not been

trained in the how (See Figure 1.1.)

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Organizations and project teams are people I think we forget

this An organization has capital equipment, buildings, inventory, and other paraphernalia for the sole purpose of enabling human beings to do work that will result in desired organizational out-comes

Yet managers often focus on everything but people I have been told of many managers who are brilliant with computers but absolutely horrible at dealing with people They are rude, conde-

F I G U R E 1.1

Project Management Is Tools, People, and Systems

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scending, and dictatorial You wonder how such individuals vive in their jobs, but they do.

sur-In any case, the message should be tions are people, and people engage in processes to get results If the people do not function well, neither will the processes; and if the processes don’t work, task outcomes will suffer The sad thing

understood—organiza-is that we know more about how to get performance from capital equipment than about how to get it from people

As I have already said, project management deals with tools, people, and systems The tools are work breakdown structures, PERT scheduling, earned value analysis, risk analysis, and sched-uling software (to name a few) And tools are the primary focus of most organizations that want to implement project management.Tools are a necessary but not a sufficient condition for success

in managing projects The processes or techniques are far more important, because if you do not employ the correct processes for

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managing, the tools will only help you document your failures with great precision.

A simple example is that you give a person an automobile so that he can get around, but you give him no training in how to drive the car He must learn by trial and error By the time he has become

a competent driver (if he ever does), he will have battered up the car pretty badly, and in the process done quite a bit of damage to others This is what happens when you give people scheduling software with no training in how to use it properly

On the other hand, training someone who has no car how to drive is a waste Absent the car, the training is irrelevant

In short, the PMI definition of project management is not bad,

as long as you understand that you must include dealing with tics, exercising leadership, and, for good measure, having a small dose of public relations expertise

poli-The Four Project Constraints

It has been common to talk about the triple constraints in project management—performance, time, and cost Colloquially, they are often referred to as good, fast, and cheap, and as the saying goes,

“Good, fast, or cheap—pick two.” The point is that you can dictate only two of them, and the third will have to vary

When I wrote the first edition of this book, I realized that there was a fourth constraint—scope The magnitude or size of the job is also related to the other

three constraints, and I

started pointing out that

you could assign values

to any three of them,

but the fourth must be

allowed to vary In fact, scope changes probably cause more missed project deadlines and cost overruns than any other factor short of defining the project requirements incorrectly to begin with

Scope: the magnitude or size of the

project

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I have learned during the past couple of years that many

peo-ple are confused by the term performance, so I want to clarify it here

A project is intended to produce a result of some kind tion projects produce buildings for people to occupy, roads for them

Construc-to travel on, or dams that provide water Construc-to communities Product development projects provide products for people to use; software projects do the same

There are two kinds of performance requirements, which

together are called specifications One is functional requirements These describe what the deliverable is supposed to do The other is techni-

cal requirements, which describe the features of the deliverable They

may specify dimensions, weight, color, speed, horsepower, thrust,

or any of a million other specifications that can apply to a able As a former engineer, I used to ask if a change would affect the form, fit, or function of a product You can see how this relates to what has just been said

deliver-Defining project requirements is a major aspect of project nition, and doing so incorrectly or inadequately is, I believe, the sin-gle most common cause of project failures I was once told a story

defi-by a fellow that illustrates this beautifully He had a friend over at his house one day, and they were doing some yard work He said

to his friend, “You see this small tree in front of my house? How about trimming the limbs off this tree to a height about like this?”

He indicated what he meant by holding his hand a certain distance above the ground

He then left his friend to trim the tree and went to the back of the house to do some work When he returned to the front of the house, his friend had just finished the job It was nicely done, except for one significant detail His friend had cut all of the limbs off the top of the tree, down to the proper height, when what the fellow wanted was to have the limbs trimmed off the trunk of the tree

from the ground up to the height he had indicated!

What happened here is all too common “Trim the tree” meant something different to each of them We call this is a communi-

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cation problem And because communication problems happen so

frequently, we had better take care to achieve a shared

understand-ing of what is supposed

to be done in the project

We will talk about how

this is done in Chapter 5

Elsewhere, I have

said that project

manage-ment is the application of

knowledge, skills, tools,

and techniques to project

activities to meet project

requirements These

re-quirements are defined

by the PCTS targets and

are the constraints on

every project, no matter how large or how small Because you can never escape them, you must understand how they interact

The relationship between them is given by the following expression:

C = f(P, T, S)

In other words, cost is a function of performance, time, and scope Ideally, this could be written as an exact mathematical expression For example,

C = 2P + 3T + 4SHowever, we are always estimating the values of these variables, so their exact relationship is never known

One way to think of the relationship that exists between the PCTS constraints is to consider a triangle, as shown in Figure 1.2 P,

C, and T are the lengths of the sides, while S is the area If I know the lengths of the sides, I can compute the area Or, if I know the area and the lengths of two sides, I can compute the length of the third side

P = performance requirements, technical and functional

C = labor cost to do the job (Note that capital equipment and material costs are accounted for separately from labor.)

T = time required for the project

S = scope or magnitude of the work

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What is important about this illustration is that I cannot trarily assign values to all three sides and the area If three are spec-ified, the fourth can be determined, but if you try to assign values

arbi-to all four, they will “fit” only by accident

In projects, ever, it is common for the project sponsor or some other manager to want to dictate values for all four This is, in fact, a common cause of project failures

how-As a project manager, it

is my job to tell the sponsor what I need if I am to do a project So consider the most common case, in which values for P, T, and S are given It is my job to tell the sponsor the cost to achieve those targets

F I G U R E 1.2

Triangles Showing the PCTS Relationship

Principle: You can assign values

to only three of the constraints

The fourth will be whatever the

relationship dictates it will be

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It is also true that when I do so, the sponsor may have heart failure The response is often, “My goodness, how can it cost so much!!?” followed by protests that, “We can’t afford it!”

Then my response is, “Tell me what you can afford, and I’ll tell you what I can do.” This means that either the scope will be reduced

or perhaps the time will be extended In general, it is not acceptable

to reduce performance

Notice that this is a common trade- off that we make at home

We have a list of things that need to be done The roof is leaking and needs to be repaired before it ruins the house The car is making a strange noise My 13- year- old daughter needs braces on her teeth, which will cost a bundle And on and on

Trouble is, I can’t afford it all

So what am I going to do? I’m going to establish priorities for the items on the list If the car quits, I won’t be able to get to work to make the money to pay for everything, so perhaps it is number one

on the list The roof comes next And goodness knows when I’ll be able to afford braces for my daughter’s teeth Maybe she will grow

up and pay for them herself, but for now, they have to wait

Interestingly, we are forced to prioritize at home, but in zations, we often try to do it all, thereby spreading our resources too thin, with the result being that nothing gets done well or on time (We will return to this issue in the section on control.) For now, the point is that you can’t have it all, so choices have to be made, and my job is to help my boss or sponsor make those choices by providing the best information I can on what is needed to do the project

organi-The Time- Cost Trade- Off

In today’s “hurry- up” world, the heat is on to finish projects in record time This is due in part to the pressures of competition, especially in developing products, software, or new services If you take too long to get it done, the competition will get there first, and

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the first to market with a new product often captures 60 to 70 cent of the market, leaving the rest of the pack to pick up the scraps.Furthermore, there is pressure to reduce the cost to do the job Again, this is partly because costs continue to rise over time and also because if you can develop something faster and cheaper while leaving the scope and performance constant, you can recover your investment sooner and protect yourself from the dynamics of the marketplace (We will examine this in more detail in Chapter 14.)Look now at the time- cost trade- off curve shown in Figure 1.3 Notice that there is some duration for a project in which costs are

per-at a minimum Thper-at is, there is an optimum durper-ation The problem

is, we seldom know just what that duration is, but we aren’t too concerned about it

What is important is to note that going past that point ing the duration) causes project costs to rise, because you are being inefficient You are taking too long to do the work

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(extend-To the left of the minimum cost point, we are trying to reduce the time needed for the job The common term for this is that we are trying to “crash” the project That doesn’t mean that we are trying

to destroy it, but rather that we are trying to do it faster than the optimum time

You can see that costs start to rise as you reduce time, and they rise very steeply This is because we usually speed up a project by assigning more resources to it In common language, we “throw bodies at it.”

The difficulty is that, as we throw more bodies at a project, they begin to get in each other’s way The work can be subdivided only

so far, and we hit what is called the point of diminishing returns One way to think of this is that if one person can do something in

F I G U R E 1.3

Time- Cost Trade- Off Curve

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