Determine whether an increase in inflation rate, reduction in the sales price of the business, and an increase in the price of the boat will increase, decrease or have no impact on risk
Trang 1FinQuiz.com
CFA Level III Mock Exam 5
June, 2017 Revision 1
Copyright © 2010-2017 FinQuiz.com All rights reserved Copying, reproduction
or redistribution of this material is strictly prohibited info@finquiz.com.
Trang 2FinQuiz.com – 5th Mock Exam 2017 (AM Session)
The morning session of the 2017 Level III CFA Examination has 12 questions For grading purposes, the maximum point value for each question is equal to the number of minutes allocated to that question
10 Portfolio Management – Monitoring and Rebalancing 6
Total: 180
Trang 3QUESTION 1 HAS SIX PARTS (A, B, C, D and E) FOR A TOTAL OF 26
MINUTES
Kyle Lucas is the owner of a privately traded manufacturing concern which is currently worth $15 million and was established twenty-five years ago Lucas is 65 years of age and intends to sell the business three years from today
Lucas has approached portfolio manager Gus Weaver to manage his investment portfolio which is currently worth $8.5 million and is equally allocated to long-term corporate bonds, domestic and international equities, and alternative asset classes In response to a question regarding his investment experience, Lucas states, “I have faced significant financial crises in the past and now always look to avoid making investment choices which hold the potential for disastrous consequences.”
Lucas earns annual business income which is fixed at a pre-tax amount of $100,000 His living expenses are $98,000 in the current year and are expected to increase at the annual rate of inflation of 5% Upon retirement, he will no longer earn business income and his annual living expenses will become constant at $150,000
If Lucas sells his business at its current market price, three years from today, he will be able to meet his retirement living expenses and purchase a boat currently sold at a price
of $1.0 million He has instructed Weaver to exclude the boat purchase from the
investment decision Lucas intends to finance his grandson’s college education as well as purchase residential property for him Total estimated costs will amount to $30 million and will be required fifteen years from today
Lucas is subject to an ordinary income and capital gains tax rate of 25% and 30%
respectively He always maintains an emergency reserve equal to 3 years of his annual business income in addition to his portfolio holdings
A Formulate each of the following constraints for Lucas’ investment policy
statement (IPS):
Trang 4B Determine whether an increase in inflation rate, reduction in the sales price of the
business, and an increase in the price of the boat will increase, decrease or have
no impact on risk tolerance Justify your choice with one reason
Answer Question 1-B in the template provided on page 6
(6 minutes)
C State Lucas’s return objective for his IPS
(3 minutes)
D Calculate Lucas’ annual after-tax nominal rate of return for the IPS if his
business is sold at its current market price three years from today Show your
calculations
(6 minutes)
Walker strongly feels that incorporating behavioral considerations in an IPS is essential
to fulfilling the client’s long-term goals To achieve this purpose, he holds a meeting with Lucas to determine his behavioral investor type (BIT) and associated biases by holding a meeting with the client
E Discuss two benefits of including behavioral finance into the IPS
(4 minutes)
Lucas is an avid follower of the stock market and makes investment decisions on behalf
of friends and family members His most recent investment decision involved a $100,000 purchase of French Inc’s stock The decision was influenced by recent media attention on the corporation following a ‘brave’ policy shift towards unconventional production processes promising shorter lead times and a greater focus on organic raw materials as input He further justifies his decisions by stating, “Over the course of industry history, companies who were experimental in setting their policy have been popular amongst investors.”
Trang 5F Identify the bias demonstrated by Lucas and justify your selection with one
reason
(3 minutes) Answer Question 1-F in the template provided on page 7
Trang 6Template for Question 1-B
Factor
Impact on Risk Tolerance (Circle the Correct Answer)
Justify Your Choice With
One Reason
Increase in inflation rate
Increase Decrease
No impact
Reduction in sales price of business
Increase Decrease
No impact
Increase in the price of the boat
Increase Decrease
No impact
Trang 7Template for Question 1-F
Identify the Bias (Circle the
Trang 8QUESTION 2 HAS TWO PARTS (A, B) FOR A TOTAL OF 10 MINUTES
Carl Segal is an asset advisor at Vector Asset Management Segal is working closely with
a private client, Timothy Allen; aged 45 to ascertain the behavioral investor type (BIT) exhibited by Allen Allen has considerable investment experience and often recommends potential investments for further evaluation to his adviser During a discussion between Segal and Allen, the client shares his investment approach:
“I have devoted a significant amount of time to studying security markets and asset
classes Based on the insight which I have gained over these years, I can comfortably trust my instincts when making investment decisions for myself as well as acquaintances, who have entrusted me with the management of their financial wealth I trust nothing but
my own research and prefer not to let my judgment get influenced by the advice of those who possess little knowledge about wealth planning.”
A Classify Carl’s BIT, determine the risk tolerance, and identify one emotional bias
typically associated with the identified behavioral category
(3 minutes) Answer Question 2-A in the Template provided on page 10
B. Carl participates in the defined contribution (DC) offered by his employer Segal determines that Carl is fifteen years away from retirement Segal would like to compare the client’s current allocation to plan assets with the average allocation held over the past five years Segal also determines that:
• Carl’s annual income sufficiently covers his living expenses
• he is unmarried but finances his brother’s medical care His brother is mentally challenged His salary is not sufficient to cover these expenses
• he has inherited $1.5 million from his deceased father’s estate in the
beginning of the current year He intends to employ these funds for investment purposes
• he has assigned a risk score of 3.1 to the average company stock, in
comparison with 3.6 to domestic stock funds and 4.1 to global stock funds
Trang 9Exhibit:
Carl’s Allocations to the DC Plan Assets
Average Historical Allocation (2009-2013)
Current Allocation (2014)
(3 minutes)
Trang 10Template for Question 2-A
Classify Carl’s BIT
(Circle the Correct Choice)
Determine Risk Tolerance Associated With the Behavioral Category (Circle the correct choice)
Identify One Emotional Bias Typically Associated With the Behavioral Category Passive Preserver (PP)
Active Accumulator (AA)
Trang 11QUESTION 3 HAS ONE PART FOR A TOTAL OF 3 MINUTES
Mr and Mrs Fairview, aged 65 and 60 respectively, are the owners of a hotel chain which has branches located across the US and has been in establishment for the past thirty years Their business is currently worth $60 million and has appreciated by 10% in the current year leading to an increase in the wealth of its owners The hotel chain is a privately traded concern
The Fairviews are seeking to transfer the business to their daughter, Samantha, but would like to retain ownership rights They have approached Kim Young, a tax advisor, for a solution Under current tax laws a donor’s annual gift exclusions are limited to $13,000 per donee Gifts exceeding this allowance are taxed at a rate of 25% Young discovers that the couple has consumed this allowance and now sets out to devise a wealth transfer strategy which will minimize transfer taxes and retain ownership rights
After considerable evaluation, Young has identified three potential wealth transfer
strategies She would now like to determine the most appropriate strategy
Recommend the most suitable wealth transfer strategy For the choices not selected
provide one reason for their unsuitability
Answer Question 3 in the template provided on page 12
(3 minutes)
Trang 12Template for Question 3
Recommend the most Suitable Wealth
Transfer Strategy
Provide One Reason for Why the Choices Not Selected are Unsuitable
Corporate Estate Tax Freeze
Family Limited Partnership
Direct Gifting to Samantha
Trang 13QUESTION 4 HAS SEVEN PARTS (A, B, C, D, E, F, G) FOR A TOTAL OF 35 MINUTES
Yellow Tires (YT) offers a defined benefit pension plan to its employees Sean Martin is managing YT’s investment portfolio and has collected the following details which are relevant for the analysis:
• The plan is fully funded
• The average age of the participants is 38 years
• The active to retired participants ratio is 3:1
• The company has reported strong financial results in the current year
• The discount rate used to determine the present value of future obligations is 8.0%
• The duration of plan liabilities is 22 years
• The sponsor has proposed a return objective of 8.5%
• YT offers a one-for-one inflation indexation via a cost of living allowance
(COLA)
• Future benefits are twice as high relative to accrued benefits and are attributable
to future real wage growth
• YT is considered the inclusion of an early retirement provision
A State YT’s return objective
(2 minutes)
B Identify one purpose which the sponsor may have in stating a return objective of
8.5%
(2 minutes)
Trang 14D For each of the following scenarios, determine whether risk tolerance will
increase or decrease Explain your choice
Answer 4-D in the Template provided on page 16
(12 minutes)
Based on his findings, Martin constructs a portfolio to be used as an investment
performance benchmark for YT’s policy portfolio The contents of the portfolio include equities, real return bonds, and nominal bonds
Exhibit:
Composition of Investment Benchmark
for YT’s Policy Portfolio
Equities Nominal Bonds Real Rate Bonds
E Determine whether the proposed investment benchmark is appropriate for YT’s
policy portfolio
(3 minutes)
F The plan sponsor suggests that Martin invest in the index portfolio citing that the
constructed portfolio will match the policy portfolio’s liability structure Martin deems a liability relative approach to be more appropriate for the purposes of achieving YT’s investment goals
I Provide two reasons which refute the sponsor’s proposal with respect to
an investment in the liability mimicking portfolio
II Describe how the liability relative approach can be designed to better
achieve satisfactory investment results
(6 minutes)
Trang 15G YT also maintains an employee stock ownership plan (ESOP) which requires the
employer to contribute 5% of each employee’s salary Employees are also
required to contribute towards the plan The vesting schedule is specified such that each employee will be entitled to stock ownership eight years after the initial participation date
In addition to encouraging ownership of one’s employer, identify an additional purpose behind YT’s offer of an ESOP and discuss one risk associated with participating in the plan
(4 minutes)
Trang 16Template for Question 4-D
Factor
Impact on Risk
Introduction of an early
retirement provision
Increase in discount rate
Decrease in the allocation of
fund assets to YT stock
Increase in bankruptcy risk
Trang 17QUESTION 5 HAS FOUR PARTS (A, B, C, D) FOR A TOTAL OF 16 MINUTES
First Bank is a commercial lending institution operating in the U.S Sasha Wilson is the bank’s senior investment officer Wilson would like to implement more stringent risk management measures with respect to the bank’s liabilities and has convened a meeting
to address the following objectives:
Objective 1: Address the possibility of a positive interest rate shock
Objective 2: Minimize the leveraged-adjusted duration gap
Objective 3: Maximize return-on-invested capital
Wilson is analyzing the implications of the recent unexpected rise in interest rates on the bank’s market value of equity
The current structure of the bank’s balance sheet is as follows:
Trang 18D. First Bank has implemented three policy changes with respect to its loan
portfolio Wilson would like to determine how each policy change will impact the objectives and constraints for the securities portfolio The three policies are as follows:
Policy 1: Expanding lending activities by opening branches in other cities of the
country
Policy 2: Restricting lending to customers with a credit rating of A or higher Policy 3: Increase the holdings of long-term mortgage-backed securities
Explain the impact of each policy change on the bank’s objectives and constraints Your
response should consider each policy in isolation
(6 minutes) Answer Question 5-D in the template provided on page 19
Trang 19Template for Question 5-D
Expanding lending activities by opening
branches in other cities of the country
Restricting lending to customers with a
credit rating of A of higher
Increase the holdings of long-term
mortgage-backed securities
Trang 20QUESTION 6 HAS TWO PARTS (A, B) FOR A TOTAL OF 10 MINUTES
Samantha Gilbert is the chief investment officer of Home Asset Trust (HAT) which is based in the US HAT runs a top-down global tactical asset allocation (TAA) program which first evaluates the overall asset allocation level followed by individual asset-classes
A Explain two principles underlying a TAA program
Trang 21QUESTION 7 HAS THREE PARTS (A, B, C) FOR A TOTAL OF 18 MINUTES
Jill Starc is a senior asset manager at RP Financial (RPF), a portfolio management firm Starc oversees the Global Equity Fund I (GEF I) which is being offered by the firm The fund holds global (Canadian, Mexican and British) and domestic U.S equities Foreign currency exposures are currently unhedged The exhibit below illustrates the values of the fund assets, spot exchange rates, and correlations between movements in foreign
currency-asset returns and foreign currency returns
Exhibit GEF I Fund Asset Values, Spot Rates, and Correlations
Last Year (2013)
Current Year (2014) CAD-denominated asset value
Trang 22Based on a discussion with Singh, Starc determines that hedging the client’s foreign currency risk exposures is essential However, she is yet to establish the degree to which currency risk exposures should be hedged
B Describe two potential considerations which Starc will need to account for when
determining the degree of currency risk exposures to undertake Your answer should focus on Singh’s current portfolio allocation and the information in the exhibit
(6 minutes)
To aid her currency hedging decision, Starc collects necessary details with respect to Singh She will examine each factor independently to determine whether a full currency hedge will be required
Information on Singh:
• Risk averse to portfolio losses
• Has a relatively long time-horizon
• Desire for foreign fixed-income security exposure
• Required to make a down payment for the purchase of a home in three month’s time and pays for her son’s ongoing medical expenses
C For each of the four points collected, determine whether the strategic currency
position of the portfolio should be biased towards a fully hedged currency
management program Consider each factor independently and support each answer with one reason
Answer Question 7-C in the template provided on page 23
(8 minutes)
Trang 23Template for Question 7-C
Point Collected
Strategic Currency Position Biased Towards a Fully Hedged Currency Management Program?
Circle the Correct Answer
Support Each Answer with One Reason
Risk averse to portfolio
Desire for foreign
fixed-income security exposure
Yes
No
Required to make a down
payment for the purchase of
a home in three month’s
time and pays for her son’s
ongoing medical expenses
Yes
No
Trang 24QUESTION 8 HAS A TOTAL OF FOUR PARTS (A, B, C, D) FOR A TOTAL OF
19 MINUTES
Simon Weaver is an economic analyst working at Time Analytics Weaver covers
developed and emerging markets specializing in bonds and equities
Weaver is making inflation forecasts for Lidon, a country with an emerging market His analysis focuses on two historical periods, 1990-1995 and 1996-2001 The first time period was marked with above average inflation, GDP growth exceeding its target, and
an economy in danger of becoming overheated The cause of the high inflation was a global rise in energy prices triggering cost-push inflation in the country Circumstances changed in the 1996-2001 period when monetary authorities implemented restrictive policy measures to cool down the economy
Based on economic analysis, Weaver projects that Lidon’s economy is once again
expected to overheat due to the rapid supply of money currently being injected by
monetary authorities To calculate the anticipated increase in inflation, Weaver uses the average inflation prevailing over the two time periods, assigning a higher probability to the inflation observed during 1990-1995, as input to his analytical model
A Discuss the bias observed demonstrated by Weaver’s analytical methods
(2 minutes)
B
i Identify the psychological trap which Weaver has fallen into Justify you choice
Answer B-i in the template provided below
ii For the identified bias, discuss two possible measures which can be taken to avoid
this bias
(5 minutes) Template for Question 8-B (i) is provided on page 26
Trang 25C Three months later Weaver’s inflation forecast materializes The analyst
anticipates Lidon’s central bank will deal with this scenario by tightening the monetary policy and increasing the short-term interest rate to 7.0% from its current level of 6.0%
Recommend which asset class will be a suitable investment choice given Weaver’s expectations For the asset classes not selected, explain why they are inappropriate
Answer Question 9-C in the template provided on page 26
(7 minutes)
D The authorities in Lidon have announced their intention to peg the local currency,
LDN, to the U.S dollar (USD) The market is weary of the strategy’s
effectiveness and expects the LDN to be devalued shortly before Lidon
implements the policy The current interest rate differential between Lidon and U.S sovereign bonds is 4.5%
i. Identify two benefits of maintaining an exchange rate peg
(2 minutes)
ii. Determine whether the change in interest rate differential will be positive, negative or neutral based on the information provided on the market’s views concerning the exchange rate peg Justify you answer
(3 minutes)
Trang 26Template for Question 8-B (i)
Identify the Psychological Trap which
Weaver has Fallen Into (Circle the
Correct Answer)
For the Trap Not Selected, Provide
one Reason Why it is Inappropriate
Overconfidence
Confirming evidence
Status Quo
Template for Question 8-C
Select the most suitable asset class given
Trang 27QUESTION 9 HAS A TOTAL OF FOUR PARTS (A, B, C, D) FOR A TOTAL OF
17 MINUTES
Melissa Reed manages the equity allocation of institutional client portfolios at Carter The Smithson Foundation (SF) is Reed’s most recent client During a meeting with the foundation’s chief executive, Reed deems that the portfolio’s equity allocation should be indexed to the Russell 3000 index
Wood-In her conversation with the chief executive concerning the portfolio management
strategy, the latter states, “The chosen passive management strategy should minimize portfolio rebalancing costs and be cost effective in terms of portfolio construction costs.”
A. Select which strategy is most suitable for the passive management of SF
portfolio’s equity allocation Justify your choice Your answer should also
explain why the strategies not selected are unsuitable
(Note: The provided justifications for the three strategies should be distinct.)
Answer Question 9-A in the template provided on page 29
(7 minutes)
Reed is of the opinion that the investment universe of SF’s portfolio should be expanded
to include global equities However, she does not wish to undertake the purchase of individual stocks and so engages in an equity total return swap whereby the SF policy portfolio will receive the return on the MSCI global equity index in exchange for interest payments on U.S Treasury bonds
B Discuss two general advantages of Reed’s global equity allocation strategy
(4 minutes)
Reed also manages the equity portion of Glenn Endowment’s (GE) policy portfolio The
Trang 28Annualized portfolio return 14.50%
Annualized tracking risk 7.85%
C State one advantage and one disadvantage of the performance evaluation
approach being used by Edgar
(2 minutes)
D State and justify whether GE’s portfolio is invested in accordance with the stated
mandate
(4 minutes)
Trang 29Template for Question 9-A
Select the most Suitable
Strategy for the
Trang 30QUESTION 10 HAS ONE PART FOR A TOTAL OF 6 MINUTES
Carl Storm is an institutional portfolio manager at Theta Asset Management Storm works closely with Green Associates, a broker/dealer firm, to execute trades on behalf of client accounts Below are excerpts from her meetings with the chief executives of two of her clients Storm needs to determine which type of order will be submitted to Green Associates based on the details collected
Smithson Corp’s Defined Benefit Pension Fund:
Smithson has placed an order to purchase 100,000 shares of Reliable Corp, a software manufacturer The average day’s volume of the manufacturer’s stock is 400,000 The firm’s purchase decision is based on earnings growth projections generated by the firm’s in-house forecasting model The chief executive has instructed to Storm, “We would not like to reveal the full extent of our purchase order to the market.”
Thornton Endowment Fund:
The chief executive emphasizes on giving brokers free reign to make purchase decisions for the fund’s policy portfolio whenever the market presents a favorable opportunity All trades must be executed within three trading days of placing the order
Determine which order is most suitable for the two clients Explain your choice
Answer Question 10 in the template provided on page 31
(6 minutes)
Trang 31Template for Question 10
Client
Determine which order is
most suitable for the two
clients (Circle the Correct Answer) Explain your Choice
Best efforts order
Market on open order
Trang 32
QUESTION 11 HAS THREE PARTS (A, B, C) FOR A TOTAL OF 15 MINUTES
Bjore Traders is a shipping company listed on the NYSE The company has divisions operating in several states across the U.S Each divisional manager is responsible for overseeing the risk management of its exposures
A Identify one benefit and one drawback of BT’s risk management system
structure
(2 minutes)
Jacqueline Andrew is the head of risk management at BT’s Idaho division Andrew is preparing a report on the division’s risk exposures in order to determine how to manage them effectively She begins her report by discussing the division’s strategy for risk management:
Statement: “We manage risk strategically by avoiding risk taking in areas in which we do not have expertise and hedging only tactically in areas in which we have an edge.”
B Does Andrew’s statement reflect efficient risk management practices? Justify
your response
(3 minutes) Answer Question 11-B in the template provided on page 33
The Idaho Division is BT’s only division delivering orders to customers outside the U.S
A portion of its sales are on credit Shipping fuel is procured by paying for 12 months’ fuel in advance using over-the-counter (OTC) prepaid commodity swaps The firm has hedged its foreign currency exposures using currency futures
In the current year, the management is seeking to expand the division’s delivery
destinations and will be purchasing three freight ships from a U.S supplier Funds from the purchase will come from issuing a combination of equities and corporate bonds
C Identify five risk exposures faced by the Idaho division Your answer should
explain each risk exposure by identifying one source
Trang 33Template for Question 11-B
Andrew’s Statement:
Does Andrew’s Statement Reflect Efficient Risk Management Practices?
(Circle the Correct Option) Justify Your Response
“We manage risk
strategically by avoiding
risk taking in areas in which
we do not have expertise
and hedging only tactically
in areas in which we have
an edge.”
Yes
No
Trang 34Template for Question 11-C
Identify Five Risk Exposures Faced by
the Idaho Division
Explain Each Risk Exposure with One Identified Source
Trang 35QUESTION 12 HAS ONE PART FOR A TOTAL OF 5 MINUTES
Capex Asset Management is a U.S based portfolio management firm which has always invested in domestic stocks on behalf of client portfolios Victor Solanki is CAM’s senior most portfolio manager Solanki has allocated €100 million for investing in German stocks with an average beta of 0.75 The spot exchange rate is $0.89 The German interest rate is 4%
Solanki will be hedging both German market risk as well as currency risk for a three month period A three-month futures contract on the German market is priced at
€200,000 and has a beta of 0.60 The three-month forward rate is $0.9560
i Identify the strategy Capex Asset Management will need to undertake for
hedging German local market return
ii Calculate the hedged portfolio return Use a ‘n/360’ days convention and show
your calculations
(5 minutes)
Trang 36FinQuiz.com
CFA Level III Mock Exam 5
June, 2017 Revision 1
Copyright © 2010-2017 FinQuiz.com All rights reserved Copying, reproduction
or redistribution of this material is strictly prohibited info@finquiz.com.
Trang 37FinQuiz.com – 5th Mock Exam 2017 (AM Session)
The morning session of the 2017 Level III CFA Examination has 12 questions For grading purposes, the maximum point value for each question is equal to the number of minutes allocated to that question
10 Portfolio Management – Monitoring and Rebalancing 6
Total: 180
Trang 38QUESTION 1 HAS SIX PARTS (A, B, C, D and E) FOR A TOTAL OF 26
MINUTES
Kyle Lucas is the owner of a privately traded manufacturing concern which is currently worth $15 million and was established twenty-five years ago Lucas is 65 years of age and intends to sell the business three years from today
Lucas has approached portfolio manager Gus Weaver to manage his investment portfolio which is currently worth $8.5 million and is equally allocated to long-term corporate bonds, domestic and international equities, and alternative asset classes In response to a question regarding his investment experience, Lucas states, “I have faced significant financial crises in the past and now always look to avoid making investment choices which hold the potential for disastrous consequences.”
Lucas earns annual business income which is fixed at a pre-tax amount of $100,000 His living expenses are $98,000 in the current year and are expected to increase at the annual rate of inflation of 5% Upon retirement, he will no longer earn business income and his annual living expenses will become constant at $150,000
If Lucas sells his business at its current market price, three years from today, he will be able to meet his retirement living expenses and purchase a boat currently sold at a price
of $1.0 million He has instructed Weaver to exclude the boat purchase from the
investment decision Lucas intends to finance his grandson’s college education as well as purchase residential property for him Total estimated costs will amount to $30 million and will be required fifteen years from today
Lucas is subject to an ordinary income and capital gains tax rate of 25% and 30%
respectively He always maintains an emergency reserve equal to 3 years of his annual business income in addition to his portfolio holdings
A Formulate each of the following constraints for Lucas’ investment policy
statement (IPS):
I Time Horizon
II Unique Circumstances
(4 minutes)
Trang 39B Determine whether an increase in inflation rate, reduction in the sales price of the
business, and an increase in the price of the boat will increase, decrease or have
no impact on risk tolerance Justify your choice with one reason
Answer Question 1-B in the template provided on page 6
(6 minutes)
C State Lucas’s return objective for his IPS
(3 minutes)
D Calculate Lucas’ annual after-tax nominal rate of return for the IPS if his
business is sold at its current market price three years from today Show your
calculations
(6 minutes)
Walker strongly feels that incorporating behavioral considerations in an IPS is essential
to fulfilling the client’s long-term goals To achieve this purpose, he holds a meeting with Lucas to determine his behavioral investor type (BIT) and associated biases by holding a meeting with the client
E Discuss two benefits of including behavioral finance into the IPS
(4 minutes)
Lucas is an avid follower of the stock market and makes investment decisions on behalf
of friends and family members His most recent investment decision involved a $100,000 purchase of French Inc’s stock The decision was influenced by recent media attention on the corporation following a ‘brave’ policy shift towards unconventional production processes promising shorter lead times and a greater focus on organic raw materials as
Trang 40F Identify the bias demonstrated by Lucas and justify your selection with one
reason
(3 minutes) Answer Question 1-F in the template provided on page 7