Summary of Accounting Treatment of Investments ofSH’sEquity Held-to- maturity § i income = Market rate at purchase × Initial fair value FV of a debt security Ori income = i pmt – Amort
Trang 1Reading 9: Correlation & Regression
=SSU+SSRSSU =VSSSSUwhere, 0 ≤ R2≤ 1
(for single independent variable R2 = r2)
7 SST = SSE + SSR(or RSS)
8 Hypothesis Testing:
• Null and Alternative hypotheses
• H0: b 1 = 0 (no linear relationship)
• H1: b 1 ≠ 0 (linear relationship does exist)
Z\1
− 𝑦 >
𝑆𝑆𝑅 𝑘
𝑆𝑆𝑅 𝑘 𝑆𝑆𝐸
Z\1
− 𝑦 >
Source of Variability DoF
Sum of Squares
Mean Sum
of Squares Regression
(Explained) 1 RSS
MSR = RSS/1 Error
(Unexplained) n-2 SSE
MSE = SSE/n-2
Total n-1
SST=
RSS + SSE
10 F-Statistic or F-Test = bcdbce (
fgg h
(jkhk/ggi )
(df numerator = k = 1) (df denominator = n – k – 1 = n – 2)
11 Prediction Intervals = Y ± t3sm
m>= s> 1 +1
0+ ()+))?
0+1 96? and 2
• HA = Conditional Heteroskedasticity exists
• Test statistic = n × R2residuals
b b
!
Trang 2Reading 11: Time Series Analysis
1 Linear Trend Models = yt = b0 + b1t+ εt
• Predicted/fitted value of yt in period
(T + 1) = y ˆt+1= b ˆ0+ b ˆ1( T + 1 )
2 Log-Linear Trend Models = yt= eb0+b1t
3 Autoregressive Time-Series Models:
• First order autoregressive AR (1) = xt
5 Chain Rule of Forecasting:
• One-period ahead forecast =
ˆxt+1= ˆ b0+ ˆ b1xt
• Two-period ahead forecast=
ˆxt+2= ˆ b0+ ˆ b1xt+1
6 Random Walks and Unit Roots:
• Random Walk without drift = xt = x
ε = + 2 −1+
1 0
Reading 13: Currency Exchange Rates
1 Bid-offer Spread = Offer price – Bid price
2
1u,uuu
3
− 1
4 To convert spot rate into forward quote:
• Spot exchange rate × (1 + % premium)
• Spot exchange rate × (1 - % discount)
5 Covered interest rate parity:
• Using day count convention:
+ , =
+ ,,
3601
/
i
Actual i
S F
d
f d f d f
6 Uncovered Interest Rate Parity :
e
i − % Δ / =
Trang 3• Forward premium or discount:
• For one year horizon =
-(i f − i d)
7 Forward discount or premium as % of spot
rate:
) (
/
/ /
d f d
f
d f
d
f
i i S
d d f
P
P S P
P S
/ /
CPI S
3 Expressing in terms of logarithmic rates:
4 A two-factor aggregate production function: Y = AF (K, L)
5 Cobb-Douglas Production Function = F (K, L) = Kα L1 - α
6 Under the Cobb-Douglas production function:
• Marginal product of capital = MPK =
α AK α-1 L 1-α = α Y/K
• α Y/K = r èα = r (K) / Y = Capital income / Output or GDP
7 Output per worker or Average labor productivity (Y/L or y):
• GDP/Labor input = TFP × labor ratio × share of capital in GDP
capital-to-• Or y = Y/L = Akα
8 Contribution of Capital Deepening = Labor productivity growth rate – TFP
9 Contribution of Improvement in technology = Labor productivity growth rate – Capital Deepening
10 Growth Accounting based on Solow Approach = ∆Y /Y = ∆A / A + α ∆K/K + (1 – α) ∆L/ L
11 Labor productivity growth accounting equation
• Growth rate in potential GDP = LT g rate of labor force + LT g rate in labor productivity
12 Balanced or Steady State Rate of Growth
in Neoclassical Growth Theory:
• Growth in physical capital stock = ∆K
= sY – δK
Trang 413 In the steady state:
• Growth rate of capital per worker = ∆k
/ k = ∆y / y = ∆A / A + α ∆k / k =
è Steady state growth rate of
labor productivity
• Growth rate of Total output = ∆Y / Y
= Growth rate of TFP scaled by labor
force share + Growth rate in the labor
• Capital-to-labor ratio = ∆k / k =
œ
š 1+™ + s (y/k – Ψ)
15 Proportional impact of the saving rate change on the capital-to-labor ratio and per capita income over time:
•
knew
kold =
Y K
*
+
, , , ,
1 α−1
new
k
k y
Trang 5Reading 16: Interoperate Investments
1 Summary of Accounting Treatment of Investments
ofSH’sEquity Held-to-
maturity
§ i income = Market rate at purchase × Initial fair value (FV) of a
debt security
Ori income = i pmt – Amort
i pmt = (Coupon rate × Par value) Amort = i pmt – i income
§ If debt security is sold: Realized g/l reported on I.S = SP – CV or
§ i income = Market rate × Initial FV
§ Unrealized g/l = FV at the end of Yr t – Amort Cost at end of Yr t
If debt security is sold:
§ Realized g/l reported on I.S= SP – Recorded FV
§ i income = Market rate at purchase × Initial FV
§ Unrealized g/l = FV at the end of Yr t – Amortized Cost at end of
Yr t
If debt security is sold:
§ Realized g/l reported on I.S= SP – Recorded FV
§ Reported at FV at the end of Yr t
§ Subsequently, at FV at the subsequent reporting date on B.S
Available
-for-sale
§ i income = Market rate at purchase × Initial Fv
If debt security is sold:
§ Cumulative unrealized g/l is removed from OCI and entire g/l
recognized in P&l statement
Where, Realized g/l in I.S = (SP – Recorded FV) + Unrealized g/l
§ Reported at FV at the end of Yr t
§ Subsequently, at FV at the subsequent reporting date on the B.S
Trang 62 Goodwill = Cost of acquisition – investor’s share of the FV of the net
= Excess Purchase Price Xxx
Less: Attributable to Net Assets:
-Plant & Equipment (% of Ownership Interest × difference
b/wBV & FV)
(xxx) -Land (% of Ownership Interest × difference b/wBV & FV) (xxx)
= Residual Amount (Treated as Goodwill) Xxx
3 Amort of Excess PP:
Investment in associate:
Add: Investor’s share of Investee’s NI (% of Ownership
Interest × Investee’s NI)
Xxx Less: Div received (% of Ownership Interest × Div paid) (xxx)
Less: Amort of excess PP attributable to plant & equipment
(Amount attributable to PP&E* ÷ Remaining life of PP&E)
(xxx)
Where, *Amount attributable to Plant & Equipment = % of Ownership
Interest of investor × (FV of P&E – BV of P&E)
Investor’s proportionate share of Investee’s recorded net assets
(% of Ownership Interest × Ending net assets)
Less: Unrealized profit (% of Ownership Interest × Profit from upstream sale in Associate’s NI)
(xxx)
= Equity Income to be reported as a line item on Investor’s I.S* xxx
• Balance in the investment in Associate to be reported at the end of year:
Less: Div received (% of Ownership Interest × Div paid) (xxx)
= Value of Investment in Associate’s company at the end of year xxx
• Composition of Investment account:
Investor’s proportionate share of Associate’s net equity = [% of Ownership Interest × (beg BV of net assets) + (Reported NI of associate – Profit from upstream sale in Associate’s NI) – Div paid
by the associate)]
xxx
Add: Unamortized excess PP (Excess PP – Amort of excess PP) xxx
Trang 75 Downstream Transactions
Investor’s share of Associate’s
reported NI (% of Ownership Interest
× Reported NI)
xxx
Less: Amort of excess PP (xxx)
Less: Unrealized profit (% of
Ownership Interest × Profit from the
downstream sale in Associate’s NI)
(xxx)
= Equity Income to be reported as a
line item on Investor’s I.S
xxx
Unrealized profit = % of goods unsold × Profit
on the sale to investee
Investor’s share of the unrealized profit =
Unrealized profit × % of goods unsold
Investor’s share of associate’s
reported NI (% of Ownership Interest
× Reported NI)
xxx
Less: Amort of excess PP (xxx)
Add: Realized profit (% of goods
unsold × Unrealized profit)
xxx
= Equity Income to be reported as a
line item on Investor’s I.S
10 Partial Goodwill Method:
• Goodwill = FV of acquisition – Acquirer’s share of FV of all identifiable tangible and intangible assets, liabilities and contingent liabilities acquired
Add: BV of Investee’s net assets xxx
Less: FV allocated to identifiable net assets
(xxx)
12 Allocation of excess PP: Excess PPP = Sum of diff b/w FV and BV of identifiable assets + Goodwill
13 Combined Assets & Liabilities (A&L) reported on Consolidated B.S under acquisition method: Consolidated B.S
under acquisition method = BV for A&L
of Investor + FV for A&L acquired from Acquiree
14 Combined Paid-in Capital (PIC) = (FV of the stock issued to effect the transaction – Par value of the stock issued) + Additional PIC of investor
15 Minority Interest = % of subsidiary not owned by the Parent × Subsidiary’s Equity
16 Value of non-controlling interest under full goodwill method = Non-controlling interest’s proportionate interest in subsidiary × FV of subsidiary on acquisition date
17 Value of non-controlling interest under partial goodwill method = Non-controlling interest’s proportionate interest in
subsidiary × FVof the subsidiary’s identifiable net assets on acquisition date Goodwill Impairment:
18 Goodwill Impairment Test under IFRS:
• Impaired when CA of the Cash-generating Unit > RA of the Cash-generating Unit
• Impairment loss = CA of Cash-generating Unit - RA of Cash-generating Unit where,
RA = Higher of Net SP and its VIU Net SP = FV – costs to sell
VIU = PV of expected future CF of cash-generating unit
Trang 819 Goodwill Impairment Test under U.S
GAAP (Two Step Approach)
• Step 1: Goodwill Impairment Test
• Impaired when CV of Reporting Unit
(including Goodwill) > FV of
Reporting Unit (including Goodwill)
• Step 2: Measurement of Impairment
loss = CV of Reporting unit’s
Goodwill - Implied FV of Reporting
unit’s Goodwill
• Where Implied FV of Reporting unit’s
Goodwill = FV of Reporting Unit –
FV of Reporting unit’s net assets
Reading 17: Employee Compensation: Post
Employment & Share-Based
1 Under DC Plans: Pension exp = Co.’s
annual contribution to plans adjusted for ∆
in yr-end accruals
2 Funded Status = PV of DB obligations –
FV of plan assets
3 Period pension cost of a Co.’s DB pension
plan = ∆ in Net pension liability or asset
adjusted for employer’s contributions
4 Net i exp = Discount rate × Net Pension
liability
where Discount Rate = rate used to
calculate PV of future pension benefits
5 Net i income = Discount rate × Net
Pension asset
6 Net return on plan assets = Actual return
on plan assets – (Plan assets × i rate)
7 Actuarial g/l = Actual return – (Plan assets
contributions
• Total Net periodic pension cost (End Funded Status* – Beg Funded Status*) – Employer Contribution
where *Pension liability is treated as a negative
9 Adjusted Total P&L pension exp (income)
• = Current service costs + i costs + (-)
actuarial losses (actuarial gains) + past service costs (or plan amendments) – (+) Actual return (loss) on plan assets
Or
• = Reported Total P&L pension exp (income) + Expected return on plan assets – Actual return on plan assets
10 Adjusted Pre-tax Income:
• = Reported Pre-tax income + (Actual return on plan assets – Expected return
on plan assets)
Or
• = Reported Pre-tax income + Total reported pension and other post-retirement benefits - Current service
costs - i exp component of pension
cost + Actual return on plan assets
11 Adjusted Net Operating Exp=Reported Net operating exp – Total reported pension and other post-retirement benefits + Current service costs
12 Adjusted i Exp = Reported i exp + i exp
component of pension cost
13 Adjusted i and investment Income
=Reported i and investment income +
Actual return on plan assets
14 Compensation exp = FV of stock on the Grant Date
16
Trang 9Reading 18: Multinational Operations
1 Cumulative Translation Adjustment = CTA = Assets – Liabilities –
Common Stock – Retained Earnings
2 Balance Sheet Exposure:
Foreign Currency (FC) B.S Exposure Strengthens Weakens When assets translated at
current X rate > liabilities
translated at current X rate
Net Asset B.S exposure
+ve translation adj
-ve translation adj When liabilities translated at
current X rate > assets
translated at current X rate
Net Liability B.S exposure
-ve translation adj
+ve translation Adj (X = exchange)
3 Re-measurement Gain = NI − NI before re-measurement gain
4 Re-measurement Loss = NI − NI before Re-measurement loss
5 Rules For Translation Of A Foreign Subsidiary’s FC Financial
Statements (F.Ss) Into Parent’s Presentation Currency Under IFRS &
U.S GAAP
Foreign Subsidiary’s Functional Currency
FC Parent’s Presentation
Currency Translation Method: Current Rate
method
Temporal Method
X rate at which F.Ss are
translated from foreign
i) Measured at current value
i.e marketable securities &
Current rate Current rate
Current rate Current rate
Foreign Subsidiary’s Functional Currency
FC Parent’s Presentation
Currency inventories measured at
market value under the lower
of cost or market rule
ii) Measured at historical costs e.g PP&E Current rate Historical rate LIABILITIES
Monetary liabilities: a/c
payable, LT debt, accrued exp., and deferred income taxes
Nonmonetary liabilities:
i) measured at current value ii) not measured at current value i.e deferred revenue
Current rate
Current rate Current rate
Current rate
Current rate Historical rate
translated at historical rate
Historical rates Beg R.E + translated NI – div translated at historical
rate
EXPENSES
Most Expenses Expenses related to assets translated at historical X rate
e.g COGS, Dep.,
& Amort etc
Average rate Average rate
Average rate Historical rate
rate & historical rate) Exposure Net Assets or Net
Liabilities
Net monetary assets or Net monetary liabilities
Treatment of translation adj
in parent’s consolidated F.Ss separate component Accumulated as a
of equity
Included as g/l in NI
Trang 10TEMPORAL METHOD: CURRENT
RATE METHOD Net Monetary
Liability Exposure
Net Monetary Asset Exposure
6 Impact of Changing Exchange Rates on Exposure
Foreign Currency Strengthens Weakens CURRENT RATE METHOD:
Net Assets
Net Liabilities Gain Loss Gain Loss
TEMPORAL METHOD:
Net Monetary Assets
Net Monetary Liabilities
Gain Loss
Loss Gain Hyperinflationary Economy
7 Restatement Factor =
8 Restated Capital Stock = Capital stock original value ×
«
9 Restated Revenue = Revenue original value × «
10 Loss from holding beg balance in cash = -Beg balance in cash ×
13 Avg effective tax rate =
14 Organic sales growth = Net sales growth + Foreign X impact + Acquisition/Divestiture impact
Trang 11Reading 19: Evaluating Quality of Financial
Reports
1 DSR (days sales receivable index) =
(Receivablest/Salest) / (Receivablest–
1/Salest–1)
2 GMI (gross margin index) = Gross
margint–1 / Gross margint
3 AQI (asset quality index) = [1 – (PP&Et+
CAt)/TAt ] / [1 – (PP&Et–1+ CAt-1)/TAt-1]
4. SGI (sales growth index) = Salest/Salest–1
5 DEPI (depreciation index) = Dep ratet–
1/Dep ratet
where, Dep rate = Dep/(Dep + PP&E)
6 SGAI (sales, general, and admin exp
index) = (SGAt/Salest) / (SGAt–1/Salest–1)
7 Accruals = (Income before extraordinary
items – Cash from operations)/TA
8 LEVI (leverage index) = Leveraget /
Leveraget–1 where, Leverage = Debt /
• ROE = NI/EBT × EBT/EBIT × EBIT/Sales × Sales/Assets × Assets/Equity
• ROE = Net profit margin × asset turnover × leverage
• Adjusted Asset base = Adjusted Total Assets = Total Assets of the company – Investments in Associates
• Adjusted NI = NI of Co – NI from Associates
Accruals and Earnings Quality
2 B.S based aggregate accruals
• Aggregate Accrualst = NOAt – NOAt-1 where, NOAt = Net operating Assets t
= Op Assets t – Op Liab t = [{TA t –
(Cash t + ST invstmnt t)} – {Total liab
t – (Total LT debt t + Debt in current liab.)}]
•
²Ò¯~+²Ò¯~k/
²Ò¯~’²Ò¯~k/
>
3 CF based aggregate accruals:
• Aggregate Accruals = NI t – (CFO t + CFI t)
•
²·Í+(©†ÒÍ’©†·Í) (²Ò¯Í’²Ò¯Ík/)
>
• Op CF before interest and taxes = Op
CF + cash i paid + cash taxes paid
• Op income adjusted for accounting ∆
= Profit before i& taxes + amort of
Trang 12Decomposition and Analysis of the Co’s
Valuation:
9 Parent Co pro-rata share of
subsidiary/affiliates = (Subsidiary’s share
price in FC× Shares held by Parent Co ×
X- rate)/Parent Co total market
capitalization
10 Implied Value of Parent Co (excl
subsidiary/affiliates) = Parent Co.’s Mkt
Cap - Value of subsidiary/affiliate holdings
11 P/E ratio of Parent Co =
12 Implied P/E ratio of Parent Co =
14 Adj Fin Lev =
15 Adj D-to-E ratio =
U.R
16 Adj i-coverage Ratio =
Reading 21: Capital Budgeting
1 Depreciable Basis = Purchase price + any Shipping or handling or installation costs Expansion Project
2 Initial Outlay = FCInv + NWCInv NWCInv = ∆non-cash current assets –
∆non-debt current liabilities= ∆NWC
3 Annual after-tax operating cash flow = CF
= (S – C – D) (1 – T) + D or CF = (S – C) (1 – T) + TD
4 Terminal year after-tax non-operating cash flow = TNOCF = Sal T + NWCInv – T (Sal
T – B T) Replacement Project
5 Initial Outlay = FCInv + NWCInv – Sal 0 +
8 (1 + Nominal rate) = (1 + Real rate) (1 + Inf rate)
9 Profitability index = PI = 1 + (NPV/Initial investment)
when PI > 1, invest and when PI < 1, do not invest
10 CAPM = ri = R F + βi [E (R M) – R F] Economic and Accounting Income
11 Accounting income = Rev – Exp
12 Economic Income = AT CF from investment + ∆ in MV = AT CF from investment + (End MV – Beg MV)
EBIT = earnings before interest and taxes
$WACC= dollar cost of capital = WACC
× capital Capital (after Year 1) = investment = Initial Investment – depreciation
(1’³¯©©) Í
á Š\1
15 Total value of Co = original investment + NPV
16 Residual income (RI) = NI – Equity Charge
• RI t = NI t – (re × B t-1)
Trang 13where,
• MVA = V·Í
1’<ÃÍ
á Š\1
• Total value of Co = NPV (PV of RI)
+ Original Equity investment +
Original Debt investment
2 Total value of Co = V = D + E
3 WACC without taxes = r³¯©©=
8 Systematic Risk = βa = ”» βd +
• βe = βa + (βa – βd) (D/E)
9 AT cost of debt = BT cost of debt × (1 – Marginal tax rate)
10 MM Proposition I with Taxes: Co.’s value
12 Static trade-off theory of capital structure
VL = V U + tD – PV(Costs of financial distress)
Reading 23: Dividends & Share Repurchases Analysis
Share is sold just before it goes ex-dividend:
1 Cash flow from Sale = Sale price – capital gains tax owned on the sale = Pw – (Pw –
Pb)(TCG) where, Pw = price with the right to receive dividend
Pb = purchase price where b is for buy
TCG = marginal tax rate on capital gains Share is sold (after share goes ex-div.)
2 CF from Sale = Sale price – cap gains tax (owed on sale) + AT amount of div = Px– (Px– Pb) (TCG) + D (1 – TD)
5 Dividend imputation tax system: ETR = SH’s Marginal Tax Rate
6 Split tax system: ETR = Corp tax rate on div + {(1 – Corp tax rate on div.) (personal tax rate)}
Trang 14Payout Policies:
7 Stable Div Policy
• Expected ↑ in Div = (Expected
Earnings × Target payout ratio –
Previous dividend) × Adj factor
• Adj factor = 1/no of yrs over which
adj in div will take place
8 Residual Div Policy
• Div = Earnings – (Capital budget ×
Equity % in capital structure) or
• Div = Zero, whichever is greater
9 Div Payout Ratio = ”y5.
²·
10 Div Coverage Ratio =
”y5.
11 FCFE Coverage Ratio =
FCFE = CFO – FCInv + Net Borrowings
Reading 24: Corporate Performance,
Governance & Business Ethics
Reading 25: Corporate Governance
1 Share Overhang =
Reading 26: Mergers & Acquisitions
1 Statutory Merger = Co X + Co Y= Co X
2 Subsidiary Merger = Co X +Co Y=(Co
X + Co Y)
3 Consolidation = Co X + Co Y = Co Z
4 New shares issued by Acquirer =
5 Post-merger no of shares outstanding = Acquirer’s pre-merger total shares outstanding + new shares issued by Acquirer
9 HHI = [Z
100 2
10 Unlevered NI = NI + Net Interest after-tax
• Net interest after-tax = (i exp – i
income) × (1 – Tax rate) Or
• Unlevered NI = EBIT × (1- tax rate)
• NOPLAT = Unlevered NI + ∆ in deferred taxes
11 FCF = NOPLAT + NCC – ∆ in Net WC –Capex
12 FCF = NI + net interest after-tax + ∆ in deferred taxes + net noncash charges – ∆ in NWC – Capex
Terminal Value:
13 Using constant growth formula
U= †©†Ç (1’•) (³¯©©ĩ‘ỡÌÍÑ+•)
14 Using Market Multiple
c˜
17 Estimated takeover price of Target = Estimated stock price of Target based on Comparables + Estimated takeover premium
• When takeover premium is given in
%, Estimated takeover price of Target
Trang 15= (Estimated stock price of Target
P T = price paid for target company
V T = pre-merger value of target
V A = pre-merger value of the acquirer
C = cash paid to target SH i.e cash paid =
cash price paid per share of target co × no
of shares outstanding of target co
21 In Stock offer = P T = (N × P AT)
where,
P T = price paid for target co
N = No of new shares target receives
P AT = price per share of combined firm
after merger announcement
Reading 27: Equity Valuation: Applications &
P = market price
V = intrinsic value
2 Residual Income Model = NI – (cost of equity × Beg value Equity)
Reading 28: Return Concepts
1 Dividend yield or investment income = (DH/P0)
2 Price appreciation R = (PH-P0)/P0
3 HPR = r = {(DH + PH) / P0} – 1 OR r = {(P1 – P0+CF1) / P0
4 Expected Alpha = Exp R – Req R
5 Realized Alpha (Ex-post alpha) = (Actual HPR) – (Contemporaneous Req R)
6 Expected HPR:
• When an asset’s intrinsic value ≠ market price, the investor expects to earn = RR + return from the convergence of price to value
• When an asset’s intrinsic value = price, the investor expects to earn RR only
• E (RT) ≈ rT + {(V0 – P0) / P0} where,rT = periodic required RoR,
• {(V0 – P0)/P0} = estimate of return from convergence over period
10 ERP = [{(1+EINFL) (1+EGREPS) (1+EGPE)-1} +EINC]-Expected Rf R
• where EINFL= expected inf.(
forecasted as) {(1+YTM of 20-yr bonds) / (1+YTM of 20-yr TIPS)} –
Labor supply growth rate = population growth rate + increase in labor force participation rate
• EGPE = expected growth rate in P/E ratio (For efficient markets 1+EGPE
= 1+0 = 1
Trang 16• EINC = expected income component
(includes dividend yield &
reinvestment R)
11 CAPM: Required Return on share i =
Current expected Rf R + Bi (ERP)
• where ERP = Expected R on mkt
13 Beta Estimation for Thinly Traded Stocks
and Nonpublic Companies
15 The Fama-French Model (FFM): ri =Rf +
Bimarket × RMRF + Bisize× SMB + Bivalue ×
HML
• RMRF = RM –Rf
• SMB(small minus big) = Avg R on 3
small-cap portfolios – avg R on 3
RP) + (sensitivity to business cycle risk × business cycle RP) + (sensitivity to mkt
timing risk × mkt timing RP)
18 Build-Up Approaches for Private Business Valuation: ri = rf + ERP + Size premi+Specific Co premi
19 Bond yield Plus RP (BYPRP) cost of equity = YTM on the co.’s LT debt + RP Country Spread Model
20 ERP estimate = ERP for a developed mkt + Country prem
• Country Prem = yield on emerging mkt bonds (denominated in currency
of developed market) – yield on developed mkt govt bonds
21 Cost of Capital = WACC = {D/(D+E)}rd(1-Tax rate) + {E / (D+E)}rE
Reading 29: Industry & Company Analysis
1 % of sales (specific geographic region) = Sales of a particular region / Total sales of
a co
2 Co.’s projected Rev growth = Projected mkt share × Projected sales of a given product mkt
3 Forecasted variable costs = % of rev Or = Unit volume × Unit variable costs
4 COGS =Raw materials + Direct labor + Overhead (in producing the goods)
5 Finance costs = (Fixed i rate on debt × Gross debt at beg of period) – (i income
rate × cash position at beg of period)
6 Gross debt = LT financial debt + ST financial debt + Accrued interest
7 Net debt = Gross debt – Cash and cash equivalents
8 Effective i rate = i exp / Avg gross debt
9 i rate on avg cash position =i income / Avg
cash position
10 i rate on avg net debt = Net i exp / Avg
net debt
Trang 1711 Deferred tax asset/liability = Profit and
loss (reported) tax amount – Cash tax
amount
12 Projected A/C receivable = Forecasted
annual sales (assuming all credit sales) ×
(Assumed DSO/ 365)
13 Projected inventory = Assumed COGS /
Assumed Inventory TO ratio
14 ROIC= NOPLAT / Invested Capital = EBI
/ (Operating assets – Operating liab.)
15 ROCE = Op profit / Capital employed (i.e
debt and equity capital)
16 Rev loss for co due to cannibalization of
demand = Projected no of units of product
cannibalized by the new substitute product
• No of units of a product cannibalized
by the new substitute product =
Expected no of product shipments ×
% representation of each category
(e.g consumer & non-consumer) ×
Cannibalization factor for the category
17 Post cannibalization shipments
=Pre-cannibalization shipments – Expected
cannibalization
18 Post cannibalization revenue cannibalization revenue – Estimated impact on rev from cannibalization
=Pre-19 Overall organic rev growth = [(1 + volume growth) (1 + % of price/mix contribution to rev growth)] -1
20 Construction of Pro Forma I.S:
Sales Less: COGS
= Gross profit Less: Admin exp
Less: Distrib Exp
Add: Other income from operation
= EBIT Add (Less): Other operating income (exp.)
Less: Finance costs & other financial exp
= Profit before tax Less: Income Tax
Add: Income from associates
= Profit from continuing operations
Add (Less): Profit (loss) from discontinued operations
= Net profit for the year Less: Non-controlling interests
= Owners of the co
21 EBITDA = EBIT + Dep & amort exp
22 Forecasted CF Statement
CF from operating activities:
NI (profit after taxes) Adj to determine CF:
Add:
dep
↓ in inventory
↑ in a/c payable Total adjustments Net CF from operating activities
CF from investing activities: 𝐴𝑑𝑑: ↓ in plant and equipment Net CF from investing activities
CF from financing activities:
↑ in notes payable
↑ in LTD Less: Dividends paid Net CF from financing activities Forecasted ↑ in cash
23 Forecasted B.S
PP&E Add: Investment in associates Add: Other financial assets Add: Deferred tax assets
= Total non-current assets Inventories
Add: Trade and other receivables Add: Cash & cash equivalents Add: Other current assets
=Total current assets Total assets = Total non-current + Total current assets
Share capital