11.1 A SIMPLE INCOME-EXPENDITURE MODEL 2 of 3 Equilibrium OutputAt equilibrium output y*, total demand y* equals output y*... All Rights ReservedChanges in the Consumption Function Two f
Trang 1Copyright © 2017, 2015, 2012 Pearson Education, Inc All Rights Reserved
Economics
NINTH EDITION
Chapter 11
The Income-Expenditure
Model
Prepared by Brock Williams
Trang 2Learning Objectives
11.1 Discuss the income-expenditure model.
11.2 Identify the two key components of the consumption function.
11.3 Calculate equilibrium income in a simple model.
11.4 Explain how government spending and taxes affect equilibrium income.
11.5 Discuss the role of exports and imports in determining equilibrium income.
11.6 Explain how the aggregate demand curve is related to the income-expenditure model.
Trang 3Copyright © 2017, 2015, 2012 Pearson Education, Inc All Rights Reserved
Equilibrium Output
At any point on the 45° line, the distance
to the horizontal axis is the same as the distance to the vertical axis
Trang 411.1 A SIMPLE INCOME-EXPENDITURE MODEL (2 of 3) Equilibrium Output
At equilibrium output y*, total demand y* equals output y*.
Trang 5Copyright © 2017, 2015, 2012 Pearson Education, Inc All Rights Reserved
Adjusting to Equilibrium Output
Equilibrium output (y*) is determined at a, where demand intersects the 45° line.
If output were higher (y1), it would exceed demand and production would fall
If output were lower (y2), it would fall short of demand and production would rise.
Trang 611.2 THE CONSUMPTION FUNCTION (1 of 3)
Consumer Spending and Income
• Consumption function
The relationship between consumption spending and the level of income
• Autonomous consumption
The part of consumption that does not depend on income
• Marginal propensity to consume (MPC)
The fraction of additional income that is spent
Trang 7Copyright © 2017, 2015, 2012 Pearson Education, Inc All Rights Reserved
Consumer Spending and Income
The consumption function relates desired consumer spending
to the level of income
Trang 8▼FIGURE 11.5
Moments of the Consumption Function
Trang 9Copyright © 2017, 2015, 2012 Pearson Education, Inc All Rights Reserved
Changes in the Consumption Function
Two factors that can cause autonomous consumption to change:
• Increases in consumer wealth will cause an increase in autonomous consumption
• Increases in consumer confidence will increase autonomous consumption
Trang 10APPLICATION 1
FALLING HOME PRICES, THE WEALTH EFFECT, AND DECREASED CONSUMER SPENDING
APPLYING THE CONCEPTS #1: How do changes in the value of homes affect consumer spending?
Home equity is the difference between the home value and what is owed on the mortgage
• The largest component of net wealth for most families
• Changes in home equity like other forms of wealth affect consumer spending
From 1997 to mid-2006 housing prices rose by about 90 percent and consumer wealth grew by $6.5 trillion
This ended in 2006 as housing prices began to fall
According to a review of studies by the Congressional Budget Office, each $1 decline in consumer wealth would lower consumption spending between $.02 and $.07, or $21 to $72 billion of spending
This would reduce economic growth 0.1 to 0.5 percent during 2007
Trang 11Copyright © 2017, 2015, 2012 Pearson Education, Inc All Rights Reserved
11.3 EQUILIBRIUM OUTPUT AND
Trang 1211.3 EQUILIBRIUM OUTPUT AND
Saving and Investment
Trang 13Copyright © 2017, 2015, 2012 Pearson Education, Inc All Rights Reserved
11.3 EQUILIBRIUM OUTPUT AND
Saving and Investment
Equilibrium output is determined at the level of output, y*, where savings
equals investment
Trang 1411.3 EQUILIBRIUM OUTPUT AND
Understanding the Multiplier
When investment increases from I0 to I1, equilibrium output increases from y0
to y1.
The change in output (Δy) is greater than the change in investment (ΔI).
Trang 15Copyright © 2017, 2015, 2012 Pearson Education, Inc All Rights Reserved
APPLICATION 2
MULTIPLIERS IN GOOD TIMES AND BAD
APPLYING THE CONCEPTS #2: Are multipliers for government spending higher during recessions?
•
A common belief is that fiscal multipliers are larger during recessions, when there is more slack in the economy But, it is quite difficult to estimate
government multipliers accurately
Trang 1611.4 GOVERNMENT SPENDING AND TAXATION (1 of 5)
Trang 17Copyright © 2017, 2015, 2012 Pearson Education, Inc All Rights Reserved
11.4 GOVERNMENT SPENDING AND TAXATION (2 of 5)
•
Fiscal Multipliers
The consumption function with taxes is
The formula for the tax multiplier is
Trang 1811.4 GOVERNMENT SPENDING
AND TAXATION (3 of 5)
Using Fiscal Multipliers
Although it is very simple, our income-expenditure model illustrates some important lessons:
• An increase in government spending will increase total planned expenditures for goods and services
• Cutting taxes will increase the after-tax income of consumers and will also lead to an increase in planned expenditures for goods and services
• Policymakers need to take into account the multipliers for government spending and taxes as they develop policies
In the long run, of course, we are better off if government spends the money wisely, such as on needed infrastructure such as roads and bridges This is an example of the principle of opportunity cost
PRINCIPLE OF OPPORTUNITY COST
The opportunity cost of something is what you sacrifice to get it.
Trang 19Copyright © 2017, 2015, 2012 Pearson Education, Inc All Rights Reserved
APPLICATION 3
THE BROKEN WINDOW FALLACY AND KENSESIAN ECONOMICS
APPLYING THE CONCEPTS #3: How does Keynesian Economics change our normal ideas of economic scarcity?
• Austrian economist, Henry Hazlitt, popularized the “Broken Windows” fallacy in economics Imagine that a hoodlum threw a brick through a store window While at first this seems to be a tragedy, the store owner has to hire a firm to fix the window That generates business for the window repair firm and, through a multiplier, additional business throughout the community Was the broken window good for society?
• The fallacy here is that the money that the store owner paid to have the window repaired would have been spent elsewhere in the economy, say on clothing
• Hazlitt applies a similar argument to public spending financed by taxes A government spending program may appear to increase business, but the taxes needed to finance the spending—either paid now or in the future—will mean less business for other firms Government spending and the taxes necessary to finance it will just crowd out other production of goods and services in the economy
• But in the Keynesian world, where resources are underemployed, the story is quite different Here the increase in spending—even financed by taxes—will bring resources that are not being utilized into the economy As long as there is excess capacity in the economy, the extra spending will increase output and not crowd out other goods and services
Trang 2011.4 GOVERNMENT SPENDING
AND TAXATION (4 of 5)
Understanding Automatic Stabilizers
After World War II, fluctuations in GDP growth became
considerably smaller
Trang 21Copyright © 2017, 2015, 2012 Pearson Education, Inc All Rights Reserved
11.4 GOVERNMENT SPENDING AND TAXATION (5 of 5)
Understanding Automatic Stabilizers
C = Ca + b(1 − t)y
adjusted MPC = b(1 − t)
An increase in tax rates decreases the slope of the C + I + G line
This lowers output and reduces the multiplier
Trang 2211.5 Exports and imports (1 of 2)
To modify our model to include the effects of world spending on exports and U.S spending on imports, we need to take two steps:
1. Add exports, X, as another source of demand for U.S goods and services.
2. Subtract imports, M, from total spending by U.S residents We will assume that imports, like consumption, increase with the level of income.
M = my
The fraction of additional income that is spent on imports
Trang 23Copyright © 2017, 2015, 2012 Pearson Education, Inc All Rights Reserved
11.5 Exports and imports (2 of 2)
Output is determined when the demand for domestic goods equals output.
Trang 24▼FIGURE 11.13
How Increases in Exports and Imports Affect U.S GDP
Trang 25Copyright © 2017, 2015, 2012 Pearson Education, Inc All Rights Reserved
APPLICATION 4
THE LOCOMOTIVE EFFECT: HOW FOREIGN DEMAND AFFECTS A COUNTRY’S OUTPUT
APPLYING THE CONCEPTS #4: How do countries benefit from growth in their trading partners?
From the early 1990s until quite recently, the United States was what economists term the “locomotive” for global growth
• Our demand for foreign products increased
• U.S imports increased along with output during this period
• The increased demand fueled exports in foreign countries and promoted their growth
Studies have shown that the increase in demand for foreign goods was actually more pronounced for developing countries than for developed countries
Conclusion: The United States was truly a locomotive, pulling the developing countries along
Trang 2611.6 THE INCOME-EXPENDITURE MODEL AND THE AGGREGATE DEMAND CURVE (1of 2)
As the price level falls from P0 to P1, planned expenditures increase,
which increases the level of output from y0 to y1
The aggregate demand curve shows the combination of prices and
equilibrium output.
Trang 27Copyright © 2017, 2015, 2012 Pearson Education, Inc All Rights Reserved
11.6 THE INCOME-EXPENDITURE MODEL AND THE AGGREGATE DEMAND CURVE (2of 2)
As government spending increases from G0 to G1, planned
expenditures increase, which raises output from y0 to y1
At the price level P0, this shifts the aggregate demand curve to the
right, from AD0 to AD1.
Trang 28KEY TERMS
Autonomous consumption
Consumption function
Equilibrium output
Marginal propensity to consume (MPC)
Marginal propensity to import
Planned expenditures
Savings function
Trang 29Copyright © 2017, 2015, 2012 Pearson Education, Inc All Rights Reserved
APPENDIX a FORMULAS FOR EQUILIBRIUM INCOME AND THE MULTIPLIER (1
Trang 30APPENDIX a FORMULAS FOR EQUILIBRIUM INCOME AND THE MULTIPLIER (2
of 9)
The Multiplier for Investment
For the original level of investment at I0, we have
For a new level of investment at I1, we have
Trang 31Copyright © 2017, 2015, 2012 Pearson Education, Inc All Rights Reserved
APPENDIX a FORMULAS FOR EQUILIBRIUM INCOME AND THE MULTIPLIER (3
of 9)
The Multiplier for Investment
Substituting for the levels of output, we have
Trang 32APPENDIX a FORMULAS FOR EQUILIBRIUM INCOME AND THE MULTIPLIER (4
of 9)
The Multiplier for Investment
Finally, because (I1 − I0) is the change in investment, ΔI, we can write
Trang 33Copyright © 2017, 2015, 2012 Pearson Education, Inc All Rights Reserved
APPENDIX a FORMULAS FOR EQUILIBRIUM INCOME AND THE MULTIPLIER (5
of 9)
Another Way to Derive the Formula for the Multiplier
The term in parentheses is an infinite series whose value is equal to
Substituting this value for the infinite series, we have the expression for the multiplier:
Trang 34APPENDIX a FORMULAS FOR EQUILIBRIUM INCOME AND THE MULTIPLIER (6
of 9)
Government Spending and Taxes
Trang 35Copyright © 2017, 2015, 2012 Pearson Education, Inc All Rights Reserved
APPENDIX a FORMULAS FOR EQUILIBRIUM INCOME AND THE MULTIPLIER (7
of 9)
Government Spending and Taxes
Using this formula and the method just outlined, we can find the multiplier for changes in government spending and the multiplier for changes in taxes:
Trang 36APPENDIX a FORMULAS FOR EQUILIBRIUM INCOME AND THE MULTIPLIER (8
of 9)
Balanced-Budget Multiplier
Trang 37Copyright © 2017, 2015, 2012 Pearson Education, Inc All Rights Reserved
APPENDIX a FORMULAS FOR EQUILIBRIUM INCOME AND THE MULTIPLIER (9
of 9)
Equilibrium Output with Government Spending, Taxes, and the Foreign Sector