69 So You Want to be a Statistician?

• Ex: histogram of mean high temperature in Lubbock on May 8 for last 100 years... • Ex: predict this year’s high temperature in Lubbock on May 8, based on the previous 100 years.. • Ex:

So You Want to be a Statistician?

What is Statistics?

The Science of learning from data

Sample

Inference Population

What is Statistics?

• Descriptive Statistics (Easy Statistics)

– Graphical and numerical summaries of data

– Averages; variances; percentiles; etc

• Ex: mean high temperature in Lubbock on May 8 is 81 degrees.

– Histograms; pie-charts; bar-charts; scatter-plots; etc

• Ex: histogram of mean high temperature in Lubbock on May 8 for last 100 years.

What is Statistics?

• Inferential Statistics (Hard Statistics)

– Estimate/Predict unknown quantities from a sample of data

• Ex: predict this year’s high temperature in Lubbock on May 8, based on the previous 100 years.

• Ex: estimate the location and expression patterns of the gene(s) that determine adult height on the human genome.

– Quantify the uncertainty in these estimates by giving a measure

of their variability (margin of error)

• Ex: assess the variability of the prediction of this year’s high temperature in Lubbock on May 8, based on the previous 100 years.

• Ex: assess the variability in the estimate of the location and expression patterns of gene(s) determinining adult height on the human genome.

Why Does Statistics Work?

Largely because of the Central Limit Theorem

• Sample averages, and many other variables, tend to follow a

Normal (or bell-shaped) Distribution.

• This is a universal Law of Randomness.

• The speed of modern computers is only just now reaching the required levels to make sophisticated statistical analyses feasible

What do Statisticians do?

They are present behind the scenes in every field

of scientific endeavor

What do Statisticians do?

• Agricultural & Animal Sciences

– Design field experiments to determine which of 3 varieties of

corn is the most productive

– Determine, from the analysis of a few samples of meat, what the

contamination rate with E Coli is for the entire herd.

– Estimate animal abundance in a particular region using

capture/recapture data

What do Statisticians do?

• Meteorology/Climatology

– Help climate scientists forecast the weather; build models for climate change; etc

What do Statisticians do?

• Medical Sciences (Biostatisticians)

– Design clinical trials for newly developed drugs to ascertain their

efficacy and safety.

What do Statisticians do?

• Business, Finance, Economics

– Work in insurance & banking industries to develop models that

quantify the risk involved in various activities (driving, lending

money, etc.) (Called actuaries.)

– Formulate models that describe the behavior of the economy and associated financial instruments (stocks, mutual funds, etc.) (Called

econometricians.)

What do Statisticians do?

• Engineering (Quality Control Professionals)

– Determine the reliability of various products/devices:

• Ex: lower bound on failure load of aircraft parts.

• Ex: average life cycle of medical devices.

• Ex: upper & lower acceptability bounds on size of mechanical parts.

– Six Sigma Process

What do Statisticians do?

• Genetics/Bioinformatics

– Work in concert with geneticists and computer scientists to unravel one of the biggest mysteries of our time:

• Where exactly are the genes located on our chromosomes, and what

do they do, exactly?

• There are approx 3 billion base pairs and 21,000 genes in the human genome.

• With each gene only a few base pairs in length, this is like finding a needle in a haystack!

Some Projects I’ve Worked(-ing) On

• The Boeing Company (Seattle, Washington)

– World leader in aircraft manufacture

– Worked with a team of engineers to build statistical models to predict lower bounds for the failure loads of certain parts

Some Projects I’ve Worked(-ing) On

• Encision, Inc (Boulder, Colorado)

– Manufactures medical instruments for laparoscopic surgery.– Quantified the reliability (life-cycle) of a particular device

Some Projects I’ve Worked(-ing) On

• Risk Management and Financial Engineering Lab

(University of Florida, Gainesville)

– Within the department of Industrial Engineering

– Developed statistical models for assessing financial risk

Some Projects I’ve Worked(-ing) On

• Advanced Laboratory for Radiation Dosimetry

Studies (University of Florida, Gainesville)

– Within the department of Nuclear & Radiological Engineering.– Developed statistical models for assessing patient-specific skeletal dosimetry in radiation therapy

And now, a recent discovery!

How to Become a Statistician?

It’s a long road

• Bachelors Degree (B.S.) in Mathematics

– or other mathematics-intense discipline like engineering,

economics, physics, chemistry, etc

– 4+ years beyond high school

• Masters Degree (M.S.) in Statistics/Biostatistics

– or mathematics (for Ph.D.-level statistician)

Who Employs Statisticians?

• Large Engineering & Business Companies

– Typically based in large metro areas

– Both M.S and Ph.D level

– Median starting salaries as of 2007:

• $60,000 (M.A.); $80,000 (Ph.D.).

Who Employs Statisticians?

• The Federal Government

– Primarily based in the Washington D.C area

– Both M.S and Ph.D level

– Median starting salaries as of 2007:

• $72,000 (Statistics, 9 months, University)

• $58,000 (Statistics, 9 months, College)

My Biography

• Originally from Europe (Portugal).

• Grew up in South Africa

• Bachelors in Mathematics, 1988, University of

Southampton (England)

• Masters in Mathematics, 1992, University of Oklahoma

• Programmer, 1993-1995, IBM (Dallas)

• PhD in Statistics, 2000, Colorado State University

• Assistant Prof., 2000-2007, Dept of Statistics, University

of Florida

So, do You Want to be a

Statistician?

(www.amstat.org)