FINANCIAL MODEL Financial modeling enables analysts to test the interaction of economic variables in a variety of settings.. Financial modeling enables analysts to test the interaction o
Trang 1Financial Modeling
for Short-Term Decision-Making
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Trang 3FINANCIAL MODEL
Financial modeling enables analysts to test the interaction
of economic variables in a variety of settings It
requires analysts to develop a set of equations that
represents a company’s operating and financial
relations
Financial modeling enables analysts to test the interaction
of economic variables in a variety of settings It
requires analysts to develop a set of equations that
represents a company’s operating and financial
relations
LO 1
Trang 4COST-VOLUME-PROFIT (CVP)
CVP can be used to answer questions such as
What effect on profit can GM expect if it builds a
larger SUV?
How will NBC’s profit change if ratings increase
for its evening news program?
How many subscribers must a Dish Network
obtain to break even for the year?
What happens if Verizon reduces fees charged to
LO 2
Trang 5EXAMPLE: Early Horizons Daycare
Early Horizons Daycare is a daycare center that defines a
unit of output as “service provided for 1 child for a
month.” Building capacity is 30 children An accountant
developed the following estimates:
LO 2
Continued
Variable cost per child per month 200
E
H
D
Trang 6CAPACITY and COSTS
Early Horizons Daycare has a capacity of 20 units ( relevant range ), after which it must hire more staff.
Variable costs include
Snacks and food
Supplies
A portion of insurance
Fixed costs include:
Rent and utilities
LO 2
E
H
D
Trang 7Is the point in the basic CVP model where revenues equal
costs.
Total Revenue = Total Costs
LO 2
Trang 8BREAK-EVEN: Table Format
Using break-even computations:
Trang 10Can we use
contribution margin
to compute break- even (BE) volume?
Trang 12= Sales revenue - Costs
= Sales revenue -Variable costs (VC) – Fixed costs (FC)
= ( Unit s elling price (SP) × Sales volume)
- (VC per unit × Sales volume) - FC
( $600 - $200 ) × Sales volume = $5,000
Trang 14LO 2
By graphing revenues and costs on same graph, you can
find BE,
profit and loss areas
By graphing revenues and costs on same graph, you can find BE,
Trang 15LO 2
EXHIBIT 6.2
Slope of line is
variable cost per unit
Slope of line is
variable cost per unit
Break-even Volume = Fixed Costs / CM
E
H
D
Trang 16TARGET PROFIT: CM Approach
Trang 18TARGET PROFIT: Reminder
Trang 20MARGIN OF SAFETY: Definition
Is the excess of projected (or actual) sales units over Break-
even unit sales level.
Sales units – BE Sales units or
Sales dollars – BE Sales dollars
LO 3
Trang 21Refers to the proportion of fixed and
variable costs to total costs.
Is the extent to which an organization’s
Note: the higher the fixed costs, the higher the
break-even point.
Trang 22CM / Sales
LO 4
Trang 23LO 6
MANAGERS WANT TO KNOW!
How can a company determine the effect of
taxes will be on its
profits?
After tax profits =
Before tax profits X (1 - tax rate)
E
H
D
Trang 24SUMMARY OF SIMPLIFYING CVP
ASSUMPTIONS
Can separate total costs into fixed and variable
Cost and revenue behavior is linear Implies the following in
the relevant range
Total fixed costs do not change
Variable costs per unit remain constant
Selling price per unit remains constant
Product mix remains constant over relevant range
LO 7
Trang 25USING ABC FOR EHD
Previously, Early Horizons Daycare used
a financial model with only volume (number of children) as the cost driver
What if multiple cost drivers using the cost hierarchy are identified and used?
a financial model with only volume (number of children) as the cost driver
What if multiple cost drivers using the cost hierarchy are identified and used?
LO 8
E
H
D
Trang 26Activity Category Example
Capacity Size limitations Building size: 30 children
Customer Needs Children transported
Product Production needs Field trips
LO 8
Trang 27(Unit-level cost × #children) +
(Batch-level cost × # rooms) +
(Product-level cost × #field trips) +
(Customer-level cost × #children transported) +
(Capacity-level costs × #facilities)
Continued
Trang 28EHD: ABC and Sensitivity Analysis
EHD: ABC and Sensitivity Analysis
Trang 29End of CHAPTER 6