Bond Terminology and PracticeA bond’s term or maturity is the time from the present until the principal is returned A bond’s face or par value represents the amount the firm intends to b
Trang 1Chapter 7 - The Valuation and Characteristics of Bonds
Trang 2A systematic process through which the price at which a security should sell is established - Intrinsic value
THE BASIS OF VALUE
– Real assets (houses, cars) have value due to services they provide
– Financial assets (paper) represent rights to future cash flows
Trang 3The Basis of Value
Any security’s value is the present value of the cash flows expected from owning it.
– A security should sell for close to that value in financial markets
3
Trang 4The Basis of Value
Investing
Using a resource to benefit the future
rather than for current satisfaction
– Putting money to work to earn more
– 1 year investments return = $ received / $ invested
– Debt investors receive interest Equity investors get dividends + price change
Trang 6Return On One Year Investment
Return is what the investor receives Can be expressed as a dollar amount or as a rate Rate of return is what the investor receives divided by what was invested For debt investments: the interest rate
In terms of the time value of money:
Invest PV at rate k and receive future cash flows of
Trang 7The Basis for Value
Discount Rate
The term discounted rate is often
used for interest rate
Trang 8Returns on Longer-Term Investments
Trang 10Bond Terminology and Practice
A bond’s term (or maturity) is the time from the present until the principal is returned
A bond’s face (or par) value represents the amount the firm intends to borrow (the principal) at the coupon rate of interest
Trang 11Coupon Rates
Coupon Rate – the fixed rate of interest paid by a bond
In the past, bonds had “coupons” attached, today they are “registered” Most bonds pay coupon interest semiannual
11
Trang 12Bond Valuation—Basic Ideas
Adjusting to Interest Rate Changes
– Bonds are originally sold in the primary market and trade subsequently among investors
in the secondary market
– Although bonds have fixed coupons, market interest rates constantly change
– How does a bond paying a fixed interest rate remain salable (secondary market) when interest rates change?
Trang 13Bond Valuation—Basic Ideas
Bonds adjust to changing yields by changing their prices
– Selling at a Premium – bond price above face value
– Selling at a Discount – bond price below face value
Bond prices and interest rates move in opposite directions
13
Trang 14Determining the Price of a Bond
The value (price) of a security is equal to the present value of the cash flows expected from owning it
In bonds, the expected cash flows are predictable.
– Interest payments are fixed, occurring at regular intervals
– Principal is returned along with the last interest payment
Trang 15Determining the Price of a Bond Figure 7-1 Cash Flow Time Line for a Bond
15
This bond has 10 years until maturity, a par value of $1,000, and a coupon rate of 10%.?
Trang 16Determining the Price of a Bond
The Bond Valuation Formula
– The price of a bond is the present value of a stream of interest payments plus the present value of the principal repayment
k,n
Interest payments are annuities can use
the present value of an annuity form ula: Principal repayment is a lump sum in
PMT[PVFA
the futur
Trang 17Determining the Price of a Bond
Two Interest Rates and One More
– k - the current market yield on comparable bonds
– “Current yield” - annual interest payment divided by bond’s current price
– Not used in valuation
– Info for investors
17
Trang 18Figure 7-2 Bond Cash Flow and
Valuation Concepts
Trang 19Concept Connection Example 7-1 Finding the Price of a Bond
Emory issued a $1,000, 8%, 25-year bond 15 years ago
Comparable bonds are yielding 10% today
What price will yield 10% to buyers today?
What is the bond’s current yield?
Assume the bond pays interest semiannually
Trang 20Concept Connection Example 7-1 Finding the Price of a Bond
Must solve for present value of bond’s expected cash flows at today’s interest rate Use Equation 7.4 :
k represents the periodic current market interest
rate, or 10% ÷ 2 = 5%
is received in the form of $40
every six months.
The future value is the principal repayment of $1,000.
Trang 21Concept Connection Example 7-1 Finding the Price of a Bond
21
Substituting :
This is the price at
which the bond must sell
to yield 10% It is
selling at a discount because
the current interest rate
is above the coupon rate
The bond’s current yield is
Trang 22Maturity Risk Revisited
Related to the term of the debt
– Longer term bond prices fluctuate more in response to changes in interest rates than shorter term bonds
– AKA price risk and interest rate risk
Trang 23Table 7-1 Price Changes at Different Terms Due to an Interest Rate Increase from 8% to 10%
23
Trang 24Figure 7.3 Price Progression with
Constant Interest Rate
Trang 25Finding the Yield at a Given Price
Calculate a bond’s yield assuming it is selling at a given price
Trial and error – guess a yield – calculate price – compare to price given
25
Involves solving for k, which is more complicated
because it involves both an annuity and a FV
Use trial and error to solve for k, or use a financial
calculator.
Trang 26Concept Connection Example 7-3 Finding the Yield at a Price
Benson issued a $1,000, 8%, 30-year bond 14 years ago
– Bond is now selling for $718
– What is yield to an investor buying it today?
– Semiannual interest
Trang 27Concept Connection Example 7-3 Finding the Yield at a Price
27
As interest rates rise, bond prices fall, so yield must be above 8%
Guess 10% and apply Equation 7.4
Next guess must be lower to drive price further down.
Answer is just below 12%
=
=
Trang 28Call Provisions
If interest rates fall, a firm may wish to retire old, high interest bonds by
“refinancing” with new, lower interest debt
– To ensure ability to refinance, issuers make bonds ‘callable’
– Investors don’t like calls – lose high interest
– Issuers and investors compromise
– Call provisions usually have
A call premium
– Extra money paid if called
Period of call protection
– Guaranteed not to call for a number of years
Trang 29Figure 7-5 Valuation of
a Bond Subject to Call
29
Trang 30Call Provisions
Valuing the Sure-To-Be-Called Bond
– Requires that two changes be made to bond valuation formula
n now represents the number of periods until the bond is likely to be called.
The future value becomes the call price (face value plus
call premium).
n
Trang 32Concept Connection Example 7-4 Basics:
Pricing a “Likely to Be Called” Bond
Northern issued a $1,000, 25-year bond 5 years ago
Call provision: Can call after 10 years with the payment of one additional year’s interest at coupon rate.Coupon rate is 18% Market rate is now 8%
What is the bond worth today?
Interest payments are semiannual
Trang 33Concept Connection Example 7-4 Basics: Pricing a “Likely to Be Called” Bond
The bond must yield the current rate of interest in either case
Trang 34Concept Connection Example 7-4 Basics:
Pricing a “Likely to Be Called” Bond
m = number of periods to call
CP = call price = face value + call premium
] PMT[PVFA
(call)
Trang 35The Refunding Decision
When current interest rates fall below the bond’s coupon rate, a firm must decide whether to call in the issue
– Compare interest savings to cost of making call:
Call premium
Flotation costs –Broker fees, printing costs, etc
35
Trang 36Dangerous Bonds with Surprising Calls
Bonds can have obscure call features buried in their contract terms.
– Most common type – a sinking fund provision – requires an issuer to call in and retire a fixed percentage of the issue each year
– Generally no call premium
Provision is for the benefit of the bondholder
Trang 37Risky Issues
Sometimes bonds sell for a price far below what valuation techniques suggest
– Issuing company may be in financial trouble
Buying the bond is very risky
In theory riskier loans should be discounted at higher rates leading to lower calculated prices
37
Trang 38Convertible Bonds
Unsecured bonds exchangeable for a fixed number of shares of stock at the bondholder's discretion
Conversion ratio - the number of shares of stock received for each bond
Conversion price - the implied stock price if bond is converted into a certain
number of shares
Convertibles usually pay lower coupon rates
exchanged shares
ratio conversion = bond' conversion s par value price =
Trang 39Concept Connection Example 7-5 Basics: Investing in Convertible Bonds
39
Harry Jenson purchased one of Algo Corp.’s 9%, 25-year convertible bonds at its $1,000 par value a year ago when the company’s common stock was selling for $20 Similar bonds without
a conversion feature returned 12% at the time The bond is convertible into stock at a price of
$25 The stock is now selling for $29 Algo pays no dividends
Notice that this bond’s coupon rate was set below the market rate for nonconvertible issues
Trang 40Concept Connection Example 7-5 Basics: Investing in Convertible Bonds
a Harry exercised the conversion feature today and immediately sold the stock
he received Calculate the total return on his investment.
b What would Harry’s return have been if he had invested $1,000 in Algo’s stock instead of the bond?
Trang 41Concept Connection Example 7-5 Basics: Investing in Convertible Bonds
The proceeds from selling those shares at the current market price were
In addition the bond paid interest during the year of
So the total receipts from the bond investment were
price conversion
value par
exchanged
Trang 42Concept Connection Example 7-5 Basics: Investing in Convertible Bonds
Trang 43Concept Connection Example 7-5 Basics: Investing in Convertible Bonds
43
Trang 44Concept Connection Example 7-5 Basics: Investing in Convertible Bonds
Notice that the convertible enabled Harry to participate in some but not all of the rapid price appreciation of Algo’s stock.
Also notice that had the stock price fallen, an investment in it would have had a negative return, but the convertible would have returned the 9% coupon rate.
Trang 45Convertible Bonds
Effect of Conversion on Financial Statements and Cash Flow
– An accounting entry removes the value of convertible bonds from long-term debt placing
it into equity as if new shares were sold
– No immediate cash flow impact, but ongoing cash flow implications exist
Interest payments stop
But dividend payments may start
45
Trang 46Advantages of Convertible Bonds
To Issuing Companies
Convertible features are “sweeteners”
enabling a risky firm to pay a lower interest
Trang 47Forced Conversion
A firm may want bonds converted
– As stock price rises convertible represents a lost opportunity to sell new equity at a higher price
Convertible bonds are always issued with call features which can be used to force conversion
Issuers generally call convertibles when stock prices rise to 10-15% above conversion prices
47
Trang 48Valuing (Pricing) Convertibles
A convertible’s price can depend on either
– its value as a traditional bond or
– the market value of the stock into which it can be converted
A convertible is always worth at least the larger of its value as a bond or as stock
Trang 49Figure 7-6 Value of a Convertible Bond
49
Trang 50Effect on Earnings Per Share—Diluted EPS
Upon conversion convertible bonds cause dilution in EPS
– EPS drops due to the increase in the number of shares of stock outstanding
Thus outstanding convertibles represent a potential to dilution of EPS
Trang 51Concept Connection Example 7-7 - Dilution
Montgomery Inc Issued two thousand $1,000, 8% coupon convertible bonds three years ago Each bond is convertible into stock at $25 per share All of the Bonds remain outstanding, i.e., none have converted Last year net income was $3 million One million shares stock were outstanding for the entire year, and the firm’s marginal tax rate was 40%
Calculate Montgomery’s basic and diluted EPS for the year.
Solution:
Basic EPS
net income ÷ number of shares
$3,000,000 ÷ 1,000,000 = $3.00.
Trang 52Concept Connection Example 7-7 Dilution
Diluted EPS
Assumes all bonds are converted at beginning of year
1 Add the number of newly converted shares to denominator.
2 Adjust net income for after tax effect of interest saved.
1 Shares exchanged:
Par ÷ Conversion price = $1,000 ÷ $25 = 40 shares/bond
40 shares/bond × 2,000 bonds = 80,000 shares
New shares outstanding = 1,000,000 + 80,000 = 1,080,000
2 Adjust the net income by interest saved:
Interest paid on bonds: 08 x $1,000 x 2,000 = $160,000
After tax: $160,000 × (1-.4) = $96,000
New net income = $3,000,000 + $96,000 = $3,096,000
Diluted EPS: $3,096,000 ÷ 1,080,000 = $2.87
Trang 53Institutional Characteristics of Bonds
Kinds of Bonds
Bonds are either bearer or registered
Registered, Owners of Record, Transfer Agents
Owners of registered bonds are recorded with a transfer agent
53
Trang 54Kinds of Bonds
Secured bonds and mortgage bonds
– Backed by specific assets - collateral
Trang 55Bond Ratings—Assessing Default Risk
Bonds are assigned quality ratings reflecting their probability of default.
– Higher ratings mean lower default probability
– Higher rated bonds pay lower interest rates
Bond rating agencies (Moody’s, S&P) evaluate bonds (and issuers), and assign
a ratings
55
Trang 56Bond Ratings—Table 7.2
Trang 57Figure 7-7 Yield Differentials between High- and Low-Quality Bonds
57
Trang 58Controlling Default Risk Bond Indentures
Bond indentures attempt to prevent borrowing firms from becoming riskier after bonds issued
– restrictive covenants – limit activities and payouts
Safety also provided by sinking funds
– Provide money for repayment of bond principal
Trang 59Appendix 7-A - Lease Financing
A lease is a contract giving one party (lessee) the right to use an asset owned by another (lessor) for a periodic payment
– Individuals usually lease houses, apartments, and automobiles
– Companies lease equipment and real estate
59
Trang 60Leasing and Financial Statements
Originally leasing allowed use without ownership
– Lease payments recognized as income statement expenses, but
– No impact on balance sheets
No recognition of ownership or obligation to pay
Improved appearance of financial ratios
– Not real
Led to widespread use of lease financing
– The leading form of “off balance sheet financing”
Trang 61Misleading Results
Off balance sheet financing makes financial statements misleading
– Missed lease payments can cause failure just like a missed interest payment on debt
– Not showing leases on the balance sheet can mislead investors into thinking a firm is stronger than it is
61
Trang 62FASB 13 Redefines Ownership
1970s: Concerns about leasing led to FASB 13
– Prior to FASB 13 an asset was owned for financial statement purposes by whoever held title
Regardless of who used it
– FASB 13 redefined ownership for financial reporting purposes in economic terms
– FASB 13 stated that the real owner of an asset is whoever enjoys its benefits and bears its risks and responsibilities
Trang 63Operating and Capital (Financing) Leases
Under FASB 13 lessees must capitalize financing leases
– Puts the value of leased assets and the liability for payments on the balance sheet
– Long term leases for high value assets
Operating leases can still be listed off the balance sheet
– Short term leases for lower value items
Rules must be met for a lease to be classified as an operating lease
63
Trang 64Financial Statement Presentation of Leases by Lessees
Operating leases
– Recognize rent expense
– No balance sheet entries
Financing (Capital) leases
– Recognize asset and lease obligation on balance sheet
– Recognize depreciation expense for asset
– Amortize lease obligation like a loan