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19558 past modals of speculation

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Verbs: modals of past probabilityWhen we know that something happened in the past, we use a normal past tense.. 100% almost certain 95% 50% possible possible but unlikely highly unlikely

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Verbs: modals of past probability

When we know that something happened in the past, we use a normal past tense (He

did, I saw them, etc.) If we are not completely sure, we use a modal (must, may, might, could + have) The choice of modal depends on the degree of certainty, as in the

following table.

100%

almost certain 95%

50% (possible)

possible but unlikely

highly unlikely

0% impossibility

past simple

must have could have might/ may have can’t/couldn’t have

past simple negative

She knew.

We must have arrived.

She could have forgotten.

We might/may have made a mistake.

You can’t have lost it.

He didn’t know.

The following sentences are about an escaped criminal Rewrite them using a modal from the above table, as in the example:

Example: It is almost certain that he left before breakfast

He must have left before breakfast.

1 It is highly unlikely that he carried the gold by himself

2 It seems quite likely that he had an accomplice

3 He has almost certainly been spotted by the police by now

4 It is possible but unlikely that he headed towards London

5 It’s quite possible that he gave himself up

6 It is almost certain that he realised how serious it was

7 It is highly unlikely that he thought things through clearly

8 Possibly he escaped by boat

9 It’s quite likely that he made contact with his friends

10 It is possible but unlikely that he committed suicide

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TEACHER’S NOTES

ANSWERS

1 He can’t/couldn’t have carried the gold by himself.

2 He may have had an accomplice.

3 He must have been spotted by the police by now.

4 He might have headed towards London.

5 He could/may have given himself up.

6 He must have realised how serious it was.

7 He can’t couldn’t have thought things through clearly.

8 He could have escaped by boat.

9 He may have made contact with his friends.

10 He might have committed suicide.

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