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Trang 1Hotel Feasibility Analysis
The goal of this lesson is to provide the learner
with an understanding of the process of
performing a hotel feasibility study, as well as
the importance of such a task
Srikanth Beldona, Ph.D.
Trang 2components of a Hotel Feasibility Study
important financial determinants
Trang 3What is a Feasibility Study?
proposed hotel must be investigated, estimated, documented and
supported, so that the client can be assured that the proposal is justified
Trang 4Feasibility Studies
components
(1)Preparation of a market feasibility
study for the project
(2)Estimation of costs for all elements
of the project and
financing
Trang 5Two Phases of a Hotel Feasibility
Study
Trang 6Site Selection
□Business and Trade Centers, Highways,
Traffic Levels, Key Attractions, Shopping Centers, Population Backup
□Site Specific
□Size, Zoning Laws, height restrictions
and parking requirements, Visibility,
Accessibility
Trang 7Competitive Area Property
Spread
Trang 8Traffic Count of Competitive
Market Area
Trang 9Why Location & Size are
important
Trang 10What today’s travelers want
Trang 11The Market
□Statistics on visitor arrivals
□Expected changes
location
Trang 12Market Breakdown Template
Trang 13Construction Trends Template
Trang 14Area Lodging Facilities
Property Analysis
Trang 15Area Lodging Facilities Room Rate Analysis
Trang 16Rate Analysis : Single and Double Occupancy
Trang 17Area Lodging Facilities Amenities Analysis-I
Trang 18Area Lodging Facilities Amenities Analysis-II
Trang 19Area Lodging Facilities
Overall Property Evaluation
Trang 20Segment Breakdown
Trang 21Area Lodging Facilities Property Support Analysis
Trang 22Area Lodging Facilities
Seasonal Occupancy Analysis
Trang 23Estimated Area Occupancy
Template
Trang 24Understanding Demand
Trang 25Projected Demand
Breakdown
Trang 26Projected Occupancy Outline
Trang 27Projected Market Support
Trang 28Labor Situation
□especially at the middle-management or
supervisory level
benefits, Wage trends, etc
prepared to bargain in good faith
Trang 29The Hilton Garden Inn
http://www.hiltongardeninnfranchise.com/
Trang 30Cost Elements of a Project
□Land
Trang 31Cost of Land
□Depends on whether land is actually purchased or owned
□Cost of land typically weighed based
on the number of rooms in hotel Can range from $500 per room to as high
as $30,000 or $40,000
□Taxes during construction and costs of clearing the land factored into overall cost.
Trang 32Cost of Construction
□ Largest cost element in any hotel project
□ If franchised, have to adhere to franchisor specs
□ $60,000 per-room cost of construction is
considered satisfactory (Prevailing market
scenario without interest).
□ Fixed-price contract
□ Cost more controlled, difficult to get because of the
inflation prevalent both in labor and in construction materials, this is not often feasible
□ Cost-plus contract
□ Contractor’s profits are a percentage of the costs
Maximum ceiling on cost can be written into contract.
Trang 33Costs Pertaining to Furniture, Fixtures, and
Equipment
□Either developer buys from one-stop shop
supplier or spreads out across several
suppliers.
□Front of house and back-of-the-house
equipment
□air-conditioning or heating, is considered to
be part of the construction cost.
□$12,000 per room for furniture, fixtures, and
equipment is considered acceptable (Of
course depends on brand)
Trang 34Operating Equipment
□Linen, silver, china, glass ware, and,
in some instances, uniforms
acquired
Trang 35□ Excessive inventories can tie up capital and create
additional interest costs
□ 6,000 per room of for operating inventories should
be considered satisfactory.
Trang 36Pre-opening Expenses
□Prior to the opening of a hotel,
expenses incurred for
□Pre-opening payroll, training costs,
advertising, and sales expenses and
travel
□To be factored into overall budget
□Depends on the pre-opening
philosophies of the operator
□$3,000 per room is considered optimum
Trang 37Working Capital
and operating expenses
(unpredictable time period)
firm
room
Trang 38Franchising Fees
□If the project is a franchise, total cost
and fee structure to be clear
□http://hvs.hotelmotel.com/Intro.asp
Trang 39Sources of Financing
□ Marginal support (reducing a lot) from banks,
mortgage lenders, and insurance companies
□ private groups of investors (Largest source of
funding presently )
□ World Bank or the Export—Import Bank for hotel
and tourism development in various areas
□ governmental or tourism bodies in an effort to promote tourism in a specific country.
□ Federal agencies, such as HUD, and state
developmental agencies will provide financing.
□ Low-cost loans in the United States by state or
city to assist in area development.
Trang 40Important Financial
Determinants
□Net Operating Income
□Operating income is the profit realized
from a business' own operations
□NOI = Operating Income * (1-tax
rate)
□NOI = EBIT * (1-tax rate)
□EBIT is Earnings before Interest
and Taxes (EBIT)
Trang 41Important Financial
Determinants
□Interest Carry Ratio = Net
Operating Income / Loan Amount
($100,000 / 750,000 = 13)
maximum interest rate that a loan's cash flow could carry This example shows a 13% interest rate The cash flow is great for this example
Trang 42Important Financial
Determinants
□Debt Service Coverage Ratio = Net
Operating Income / Debt Service
($100,000 / 65,601.47 = 1.52)
□The higher the debt service coverage,
the less risky the loan Typical debt
service coverage requirements range from 1.1 to 1.25 A 1.52 ratio reflects a good investment
Trang 43Rule of Thumb
Total Cost Per Room (Total Project
Cost/100 Rooms)
$ 73,836.80
ADR to Determine Feasibility