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Development planning and HIV/AIDS in sub-Saharan AfricaDevelopment planning and HIV/AIDS in sub-Saharan Africa By Mirjam van Donk Final Report Prepared for the UNDP Regional Project on

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Development planning and HIV/AIDS in sub-Saharan Africa

Development planning and HIV/AIDS in sub-Saharan Africa

By Mirjam van Donk

Final Report

Prepared for the UNDP Regional Project on HIV and Development in sub-Saharan Africa

July 2004

UNDP Regional Service Center

7 Naivasha Road, Sunninghill 2157, Johannesburg

South Africa Tel: 27 11 603 5000

Fax: 27 11 603 5071

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Prepared for the UNDP Regional

Project on HIV and Development

in sub-Saharan Africa

July 2004

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FOREWORD 1

ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS 2

ACRONYMS 3

1 INTRODUCTION 5

1.1 Introduction 5

1.2 Background to the study 5

1.3 Study aim and activities 5

1.4 Project management and execution 6

1.5 Overview of the report 6

2 DEVELOPMENT PLANNING IN SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA: A BRIEF OVERVIEW 9

2.1 Introduction 9

2.2 Four fundamental challenges 9

2.3 Responses to development challenges and progress achieved, 1950s-1999 10

The 1950s and 1960s: the development era 10

The 1970s: crisis in development planning 11

The 1980s: structural adjustment 13

The 1990s: ‘structural adjustment with a human face’ 15

2.4 Concluding comments 17

3 A TYPOLOGY OF DEVELOPMENT PLANNING IN SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA 21

3.1 Introduction 21

3.2 When planning fails: contested perspectives 21

3.3 (Re)Defining development planning 22

3.4 Typology of development planning and associated frameworks 23

Key types of development planning in sub-Saharan Africa 24

Principal development planning frameworks 25

3.5 Issues of integration and alignment 29

4 DEVELOPMENT PLANNING AND HIV/AIDS: AN ASSESSMENT OF PRINCIPAL DEVELOPMENT PLANNING FRAMEWORKS 31

4.1 Introduction 31

4.2 Conceptual shifts for an expanded response to HIV/AIDS 31

4.3 HIV/AIDS: a three-pronged response 32

Prevention 32

Treatment and care 33

Impact mitigation 33

4.4 Development planning and HIV/AIDS: a tentative framework for assessment 34

4.5 Exploring possible links between development planning and HIV/AIDS 38

National Strategic Framework for HIV/AIDS 38

PRSP 39

MTEF 40

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Sector Plans 41

Rural / Urban Development Frameworks 43

4.6 Concluding observations 44

5 INTRODUCTION TO THE COUNTRY ASSESSMENTS 47

5.1 Introduction 47

5.2 The selection process 47

Development planning frameworks 48

HIV prevalence 48

Status of development and other criteria 48

5.3 Comparison of development profile of selected countries 51

Adult HIV prevalence rate 51

Life expectancy 51

Trends in GDP growth 52

GNI per capita 53

Concluding comments 53

5.4 Research methodology for country assessments 54

Research questions 54

Research methodology 54

Research process 55

Challenges and difficulties encountered 56

5.5 Structure of the country assessments 56

6 CAMEROON 57

6.1 Introduction 57

6.2 Overview of development trends since 1980 57

Demographic trends 57

Economic performance and structure of the economy 58

Poverty and inequality 58

Human development .59

HIV/AIDS 60

Conclusion 61

6.3 The core determinants and key consequences of HIV infection in Cameroon 61

Core determinants 61

Key consequences 62

6.4 Development planning and HIV/AIDS in Cameroon 63

Development planning in Cameroon in historical context 63

The PRSP, 2003-2015 64

The MTEF, 2003-2015 67

The Strategic Framework for the Fight Against AIDS, 2000-2010 69

The Health Strategy, 2001-2010 73

The Education Strategy, 2001-2011 75

The Rural Development Strategy (DSDSR), 2002-2004 77

The planning process 79

Alignment and implementation of development planning frameworks 80

Concluding comments 81

6.5 Conclusion 82

7 SENEGAL 83

7.1 Introduction 83

7.2 Overview of development trends since 1980 83

Demographic trends 84

Economic performance and structure of the economy 84

Poverty and inequality 84

Human development .85

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HIV/AIDS 86

Conclusion 87

7.3 The core determinants and key consequences of HIV infection in Senegal 88

Core determinants 88

Key consequences 89

7.4 Development planning and HIV/AIDS in Senegal 89

Development planning in Senegal in historical context 89

The 10th Economic and Social Development Plan, 2002-2007 91

The PRSP, 2002-2015 92

The Strategic Framework for the Fight Against AIDS, 2002-2006 93

The National Plan for Health Development (PNDS), 1998-2007 95

The Development Framework for Education and Training (PDEF), 2000-2010 97

The Kaolack Regional Integrated Development Plan (PRDI), 2001-2005 98

The planning process 101

Alignment and implementation of development planning frameworks 102

Concluding comments 102

7.5 Conclusion 103

8 UGANDA 105

8.1 Introduction 105

8.2 Overview of development trends since 1980 105

Demographic trends 105

Economic performance and structure of the economy 106

Poverty and inequality 106

Human development .107

HIV/AIDS 108

Conclusion 109

8.3 The core determinants and key consequences of HIV infection in Uganda 109

Core determinants 110

Key consequences 111

8.4 Development planning and HIV/AIDS in Uganda 112

Development planning in Uganda in historical context 112

The Poverty Eradication Action Plan (PEAP) 2001 113

The MTEF, 2003/04-2005/06 115

The National Strategic Framework for HIV/AIDS Activities (NSFA), 2000/01-2005/06 118

The Plan for Modernisation of Agriculture (PMA) 2000 119

The Health Sector Strategic Plan (HSSP), 2000/01-2004/05 121

The Education Strategic Investment Plan (ESIP), 1998-2003 123

The planning process 125

Alignment and implementation of development planning frameworks 128

Concluding comments 128

8.5 Conclusion 129

9 ZIMBABWE 131

9.1 Introduction 131

9.2 Overview of development trends since 1980 131

Demographic trends 131

Economic performance and structure of the economy 132

Poverty and inequality 133

Human development .133

HIV/AIDS 133

Conclusion 134

9.3 The core determinants and key consequences of HIV infection in Zimbabwe 135

Core determinants 135

Key consequences 136

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9.4 Development planning and HIV/AIDS in Zimbabwe 137

Development planning in Zimbabwe in historical context 138

The National Economic Revival Programme (NERP) 139

The National HIV/AIDS Strategic Framework 141

The 2003 Revival Action Plan, Ministry of Health and Child Welfare 144

The Plan of Action for the Ministry of Education, Sports and Culture 145

The planning process 147

Alignment and implementation of development planning frameworks 148

9.5 Conclusion 149

10 SYNTHESIS OF COUNTRY ASSESSMENTS 151

10.1 Introduction 151

10.2 Development planning and HIV prevention: reducing vulnerability? 151

Factors facilitating HIV spread according to interview respondents 154

10.3 Development planning and the key consequences of HIV infection 155

Key consequences of HIV/AIDS identified by interview respondents 157

10.4 Development planning: an implicit contribution to HIV vulnerability reduction? 158

10.5 Concluding remarks 160

11 CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATIONS 163

11.1 Introduction 163

11.2 Key lessons and conclusions 164

11.3 Recommendations 168

BIBLIOGRAPHY 173

Appendices Appendix 1 Assessing the link between rural development planning and HIV/AIDS 181

Appendix 2 Country Profiles 183

Country Profile of Cameroon 184

Country Profile of Senegal 186

Country Profile of Uganda 188

Country Profile of Zimbabwe 190

Appendix 3 List of respondents 192

LIST OF TABLES, GRAPHS AND BOXES Tables Table 2.1 Enrolment ratios in sub-Saharan Africa, 1960-1997 11

Table 2.2 Poverty trends in African LDCs, 1965-1999 14

Table 2.3 Overview of dominant theories of development 19

Table 3.1 Overview of key types of development planning in sub-Saharan Africa, 1960s-1990s 30

Table 4.1 Template to assess possible links between development planning and HIV/AIDS 37

Table 4.2 Assessing the link between economic development planning and HIV/AIDS: The stabilisation approach of the 1980s 38

Table 5.1 Selected development planning frameworks in eligible countries (end of March 2003) 48

Table 5.2 Selection process and results of the UNDP study 50

Table 6.1 Explicit objectives in Cameroon’s development planning frameworks 78

Table 7.1 Explicit objectives in Senegal’s development planning frameworks 100

Table 8.1 Explicit objectives in Uganda’s development planning frameworks 124

Table 9.1 Possible links between HIV/AIDS and the NERP 142

Table 9.2 Explicit objectives in Zimbabwe’s development planning frameworks 146

Table 10.1 Consideration given to HIV/AIDS in the development planning frameworks of Cameroon, Senegal, Uganda and Zimbabwe 153

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Graph 2.1 Poverty trends in African LDCs, 1965-1999 14

Graph 2.2 Trends in GDP growth (%), 1990s 16

Graph 2.3 Trends in GNI per capita (US$) in the 1990s 16

Graph 3.1 Ideal type linkages between development planning frameworks 29

Graph 5.1 Adult HIV prevalence rate in eligible countries, 2001 (%) 49

Graph 5.2 Spread of HIV over time in selected countries .51

Graph 5.3 Life expectancy in selected countries, 1990-2001 52

Graph 5.4 Trends in GDP growth in selected countries, 1980-1999 52

Graph 5.5 Trends in GNI per capita in selected countries, 1980-1999 53

Graph 5.6 From a narrow approach to a developmental approach to HIV/AIDS 55

Graph 6.1 Life expectancy and HIV prevalence rate in Cameroon .60

Graph 7.1 School enrolment in Senegal, 1991-1999 85

Graph 7.2 Senegal’s planning system 90

Graph 8.1 GDP per capita in Uganda, 1980-2000 107

Graph 9.1 GDP growth (%) in Zimbabwe, 1980-2000 132

Graph 9.2 GNI per capita in Zimbabwe, 1985-2000 132

Graph 9.3 HIV prevalence rates in Zimbabwe, 1990-2001 134

Boxes Box 2.1 Key characteristics of economic planning in sub-Saharan Africa 13

Box 5.1 Principal planning frameworks and related documents 54

Box 10.1 Most commonly identified factors of vulnerability to HIV infection by respondents 154

Box 10.2 Most commonly identified key consequences of HIV/AIDS by respondents 157

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Development planning is a contested terrain, particularly

in sub-Saharan Africa Historically, the approach to

African development has been externally oriented For the

past four decades, the subcontinent has been negotiating

its development with external partners More often than

not, this has meant that the process, instruments and

outcomes of development have been determined by

external partners, rather than by African societies and

their leaders

At the same time, development planning has been

approached as a largely technical, or even technocratic,

exercise Despite the more recent discourse on

democratising and decentralising planning processes,

development planning still tends to be located in the

domain of planners, and more especially of economists

Elected representatives, local communities and

organisations representing their interests are only

marginally involved in these processes

In addition, HIV/AIDS is posing a fundamental challenge

to the conceptual foundations and the practice of

development planning on the subcontinent The human

tragedy and devastation associated with the HIV/AIDS

epidemic can no longer be ignored by anyone or any

organisation with an interest in Africa’s development

Even though many dimensions and impacts of HIV/AIDS

are as yet unknown, the time to safeguard the rights of

those infected and affected by HIV/AIDS and change the

course of the epidemic is now

Against this background, UNDP initiated the study on

“Assessing the Link between National Development

Planning and HIV/AIDS in sub-Saharan Africa” It starts

from the premise that effective HIV prevention requires aparadigm shift: one that looks beyond individualknowledge and behaviour as the most important factorsinfluencing the spread of HIV to factors in the social,economic and political environment that render certainindividuals and social groups more vulnerable to HIVinfection than others Although at the level of rhetoricthere appears to be widespread acceptance thatHIV/AIDS is a development issue, in practice the factorsassociated with HIV vulnerability are not sufficientlyunderstood, let alone responded to It is here wheredevelopment planning can make the most effectivecontribution to curbing the spread of HIV At the sametime, development planning has to pre-empt and mitigatethe current and anticipated impacts of HIV/AIDS, as thesehold the danger of undermining the very goals, targets,tools and instruments of development Moreover, ifdevelopment planning continues to ignore the develop-mental dimensions of HIV/AIDS, it may unwittingly fail tocurb – and worse still, even facilitate – the spread of HIVand it may aggravate the impacts of the epidemic This report makes a valuable contribution to the requiredparadigm shift in development planning, especially at aconceptual and practical level It draws from a broaddevelopment literature and local studies at country level tosubstantiate its findings, analysis and recommendations

It exposes HIV/AIDS as a blind spot in developmentplanning and makes recommendations to ensure thatHIV/AIDS becomes a central concern in developmentefforts in sub-Saharan Africa It is hoped that the reportwill find a wide audience and will contribute to better, moreattuned and locally owned development planning on thesubcontinent

1

Foreword

By Prof John Ohiorhenuan, Chairperson of the Reference Group and

former Resident Representative UNDP, South Africa

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This report has been prepared by Mirjam van Donk for theUNDP Regional Project on HIV and Development in sub-Saharan Africa as part of the study “Assessing the Linkbetween National Development Planning and HIV/AIDS

in sub-Saharan Africa” Mirjam van Donk has acted as theLead Consultant on this project

The study and this report have benefited from the adviceand support provided by members of the ReferenceGroup Members of the Reference Group included: ProfJohn Ohiorhenuan (Chairperson), Prof Fantu Cheru, MrMamadou Goudiaby, Mr Edward Kapwepwe, Mrs EleanorMaeresera, Dr Roland Msiska, Mrs MwanakomboNgingite, Mr Manual Pinto, Mr Antoine Marie Sie Tioye, DrAbdoulmaliq Simone, Dr Alex de Waal and Mr DemileYismaw

Country assessments have been conducted by ProfEvina Akam (Cameroon), Mr Narathius Asingwire(Uganda), Mr Amadou Ba (Senegal) and Prof MarvelousMhloyi (Zimbabwe) Chapters 6-9 are based on thesecountry assessments For the purpose of this report, thefour country assessments have undergone significantrevision by the Lead Consultant

Administrative support to the project has been provided

by the UNDP Regional Project on HIV and Development

in sub-Saharan Africa Special thanks are due to DrRoland Msiska, Christophe Ahouansou, Jackie Nzisabiraand Leonce Hounkponou

The author wishes to extend a special thanks to EdgarPieterse

ments

Acknowledge-2 D E V E L O P M E N T P L A N N I N G A N D H I V / A I D S I N S U B - S A H A R A N A F R I C A

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