IV traffic assistance systems will take advantage of sensors, communications, and computing power already on the vehicle for other purposes to provide extra benefits.. Commercial Advance
Trang 1research investment area on a worldwide basis IV traffic assistance systems will take advantage of sensors, communications, and computing power already on the vehicle for other purposes to provide extra benefits It is hoped that this research area will become as solidly established as safety, because the public clearly wants relief from traffic jams If you ask the average commuter which they want more of—safety or traffic flow—there is a very good chance they will vote for traffic flow Crashes are for them an exceedingly rare event, yet congestion faces them daily Further, an individual driver can control his or her safety
to some degree by how he or she drives but is powerless within a traffic jam Going beyond safety, government policy at the highest levels truly needs to increase attention on what I call “the second half of the problems on the roads.”
So what might our future view from behind a steering wheel look like? How might society change over the long term? We as drivers will have more of a “local look ahead” capability, such that we will know about slow traffic or obstacles ahead and decelerate gradually—emergency braking based on “surprise” will be much less common This in itself will obviously reduce crashes And when emergency scenar-ios do evolve, the majority of vehicles will be capable of at least mitigating, if not avoiding, a crash Further, the driver support provided by our IV systems will be aware and sensitive to our focus and preferences as drivers Trip times will become much more reliable for both people and freight, and we may over time see a transi-tion to truckways for automated freight movement Automatransi-tion for our private vehicles is an inevitable evolution that is just a matter of time, as almost everyone would like some relief from the tedium of driving While it might be overkill for our cars to take us from driveway to driveway, we can expect to enjoy automated operations on the motorways
I recently gave a speech to a group of owners of automotive “body shops” who fix crashed cars as their livelihood When I was about halfway through the talk, they jokingly began calling me “the bad news guy” because the upshot is that crashes will reduce over time, and so will their business! Imagine the possibility that car crashes
in the future will be as rare as airplane crashes are now
In fact, with a little arithmetic, we can take a look at how this might play out The crash rate will be affected by the introduction date of crash avoidance systems, which car models the systems are offered on, the sales rates, and the overall fleet replacement rate Taking the United States as an example, approximately 13 million vehicles are sold each year, which constitutes roughly a 5% vehicle replacement rate per year Theoretically, then, the entire fleet is replaced within a 20-year period When will significant numbers of vehicles be sold with crash avoidance systems?
As a benchmark, I estimate that more than 50% of new vehicles will be sold with at least some type of active safety system by 2015 By that point, if not sooner, we can expect to see a noticeable effect on the crash rate, as consumers would have been purchasing IV systems for 15 years by that time With more and more equipped vehicles on the road after 2015, benefits will start to accelerate such that significant reductions will be seen by 2025 and major reductions roughly ten years after that There is a countervailing trend, however: Vehicle miles traveled continue to rise on a national basis in all of the developed countries So, the number of crashes may con-tinue to increase for some time even as crash rate goes down
So, buckle your seatbelts, and head down to your local car dealer for a test drive The era of the Intelligent Vehicle has begun
Trang 2Appendix: Web Site Resources
Videos, presentations, and other information regarding many of the topics covered can be downloaded at http://www.IVsource.net Other Internet resources are listed below
Commercial
Advanced Public Transport Systems http://www.apts-phileas.com
Advanced Safety Concepts http://www.headtrak.com
Attention Technologyz http://www.attentiontechnology.com
BMW Connected Drive http://www.connected-drive.de
PSA Peugeot Citroen http://www.psa-peugeot-citroen.com
Seeing Machines http://www.seeingmachines.com
Advanced Transport Systems (ULTra) http://www.atsltd.co.uk
ZOOM Information Systems http://www.ZoomInfoSystems.com
Government Agencies and Programs
Australian Transport Safety Bureau http://www.atsb.gov.au
323
Trang 3Deufrako Program (France – Germany) http://www.deufrako.org
European Commission eSafety Website
http://www.europa.eu.int/information_soci-ety/programmes/esafety/index_en.htm European Commission Information
Society Technology Directorate
http://www.cordis.lu/ist French INRIA Institute http://www.inria.fr
French La Route Automatisee Program http://www.lara.prd.fr
French LIVIC Laboratory http://www.inrets.fr/ur/livic/livic.e.html
German INVENT Program http://www.invent-online.de
Japan Advanced Cruise-Assist
Research Association
http://www.ahsra.or.jp Japan Advanced Safety Vehicle Program http://www.mlit.go.jp/jidosha/anzen/
Japan Communications Research Lab http://www2.crl.go.jp
Netherlands AVV Transport
Research Center
http://www.rws-avv.nl Netherlands TRANSUMO Program http://www.transumo.nl
Swedish National Road Administration http://www.vv.se
UK Foresight Vehicle Program http://www.foresightvehicle.org
USDOT Federal Transit Administration http://www.fta.dot.gov
USDOT ITS Website http://www.its.dot.gov
Projects
ActMAP docs.adase2.net/responsehttp://www.ertico.com/
activiti/projects/actmap
Centro Researche Fiat Projects Page http://www.crfproject-eu.org
CHAUFFEUR http://www.chauffeur2.net/final_review
STARDUST http://www.trg.soton.ac.uk/stardust/)
Vision 2030 (UK) http://www.transportvisions.org/vision2030.htm
Academia
University of California – Berkeley
PATH Program
http://www-path.eecs.berkeley.edu University of Minnesota http://www.its.umn.edu.
Trang 4University of Twente http://www.aida.utwente.nl
Virginia Tech Transportation Institute http://www.ctr.vt.edu
Associations
ERTICO (European ITS) http://www.ertico.com
ITS Australia http://www.its-australia.com.au
ITS United Kingdom http://www.its-uk.org.uk
United Nations Global Road
Safety website
http://www.globalroadsafety.org
News and Information
ITS Cooperative Deployment
Network Newsletter
http://www.nawgits.com Intelligent Vehicle Source http://www.IVsource.net
Trang 65FW 5th Framework Program (European Commission)
6FW 6th Framework Program (European Commission)
A-ACC autonomous ACC
ACAS FOT advanced collision avoidance system field
operational test
ACAS automotive collision avoidance system
ADAS advanced driver assistance systems
ADASE advanced driver assistance systems Europe
AHSRA Advanced Cruise-Assist Highway System Research
Association
AIDA applications of integrated driving assistance
A-ISS advanced intersection safety system
ANCAP Australian New Car Assessment Program
APIA active-passive integration approach
ATMS advanced traffic management system
AVCSS advanced vehicle control and safety system
B-ISS basic intersection safety system
C-ACC cooperative ACC
CALM continuous air-interface for long and medium
CAMP Collision Avoidance Metrics Partnership
(U.S DOT)
CBLC communication-based longitudinal control
327
Trang 7CICAS cooperative intersection collision avoidance systems
CMBS collision mitigation braking system
CVHAS cooperative vehicle-highway automation system
CVHS cooperative vehicle-highway system
DARPA Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency
DSRC dedicated short range communications
DVSMS dynamic vehicle safety management system
ECBS electronically controlled braking system
ETC electronic toll collection
EVSC external vehicle speed control
FMCSA Federal Motor Carrier Safety Administration
GPRS general packet radio service
GST global system for telematics
ICA intersection collision avoidance
ICT information and communication technology
ICWS integrated collision warning system
IDA integrated driving assistant
IDS intersection decision support
IN-ARTE Integration of Navigation and Anticollision for
Rural Traffic Environments
IST Information Society Directorate (European
Commission)
Trang 8INRETS French National Institute for Transport and
Safety Research
INRIA National Institute for Research in Computer
Science and Control
IPA intelligent parking assist
ISA intelligent speed adaptation
ISCS individual spot-cell communication system
ISO International Standards Organization
ITS America Intelligent Transportation Society of America
ITS intelligent transportation system
IVBSS integrated vehicle vehicle–based safety system
IVHW intervehicle hazard warning
JARI Japan Automotive Research Institute
LAVIA limiter adjusting to the authorized speed
LCA lateral control assistance
LCPC Central Laboratory for Roads and Bridges
LDWA lane departure warning assistance
LDWS lane departure warning system
LIVIC Laboratory for the Interactions between Vehicles,
Infrastructure, and Conducteurs
METI Ministry of Economy, Trade, and Industry
MILTRANS millimetric transceivers for transport
applications
MIRA Motor Industry Research Association
MLIT Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, and Transport
MMIC monolithic microwave integrated circuit
NAHSC National Automated Highway System
Consortium
NHTSA National Highway Traffic Safety Administration
Trang 9NIAIST National Institute of Advanced Industrial Science
and Technology (Japan)
NILIM National Institute for Land and Infrastructure
Management
OPTIS Optimized Traffic in Sweden
PATH Partnership for Transit and Highways (PATH)
R-ACC responsive ACC
RALF radar automated lane following
RSAP Road Safety Action Plan (European)
RTTIIS real-time transportation infrastructure information
system
SNRA Swedish National Road Administration
TNO The Netherlands Organization for Scientific Research
TREN Energy and Transport Directorate (European
Commission)
UMTS universal mobile telecommunications system
U.S DOT U.S Department of Transportation
UTRA-TDD UMTS terrestrial radio access time division
duplex
VICS vehicle information and communications system
VII vehicle Infrastructure Integration
VSCC Vehicle Safety Communications Consortium
WAVE wireless access vehicular environment
Trang 10About the Author
Richard Bishop, founder of Bishop Consulting, supports clients internationally in research and business development within the intelligent vehicles arena—providing services in partnership development, intelligent vehicle applications, industry trend analysis, and business strategy Clients include federal government agencies, public transit providers, vehicle manufacturers, suppliers, research laboratories, state departments of transportation, and technology firms worldwide He also lectures as
an expert in intelligent vehicle systems
Mr Bishop serves as a U.S expert to the ISO TC204 Working Group 16 on ITS Communications, focusing on developing standards for Floating Car Data and mil-limeter-wave communications He is also publisher of IVsource.net, the only Web site focusing exclusively on the coverage of intelligent vehicle developments From 1991 to 1997, Mr Bishop managed the U S Department of Transporta-tion’s program in vehicle-highway automation research and development, facilitat-ing the establishment of the National Automated Highway System Consortium and providing federal program management for the Consortium’s extensive program of research, development, and stakeholder involvement These activities culminated with Demo ’97 in San Diego, which successfully showcased automated vehicle tech-nology to the transportation community, international media, and the public Dur-ing this time, he also established the International Task Force on Vehicle-Highway Automation and is currently the chairman
During the 1980s, Mr Bishop held positions as a radio engineer, systems engi-neer, and engineering manager within the U.S Department of Defense He holds a B.S in electrical engineering from Auburn University and an M.S in technical man-agement from Johns Hopkins University He is currently enrolled in the Applied Healing Arts master’s degree program at the Tai Sophia Institute
Mr Bishop lives in Granite, Maryland, with his wife Harriet and son Jimmy
331
Trang 12A
Active-Passive Integration Approach (APIA),
83, 85
ActMap project, 100, 193–94
Adaptive cruise control (ACC), 26–27,
127–34
autonomous, 205–6
auxiliary measurements, 129
benefits, 26
congestion dissipation via, 210–11
cooperative (C-ACC), 37, 206–8
defined, 26, 127
in driver-vehicle symbiosis, 281
full-speed range, 134
high-speed, 129–32
lidar-based, 128, 130
low-speed, 27, 132–33
operating modes, 27
proliferation, 317
radar-based, 128
responsive, 206
sensor technologies, 127–29
sensor trade-offs, 129
user perceptions, 275
vision-based, 128–29
See also Longitudinal sensing/control
Adaptive front lighting (AFS), 29, 125–27
illustrated, 126, 127
market aspects, 126
system description, 125–26
Valeo, 126
Visteon, 126
See also Longitudinal sensing/control
ADASE2 project, 293, 294, 297
Advanced Collision Avoidance System
(ACAS), 60
data acquisition systems, 139
field operational test (FOT), 137
radar sensors, 138
Advanced driver assistance systems (ADASs),
2, 119
ADASE holistic safety approach, 47 CoP, 309–11
defined, 46 European road map, 48 integration, 288 learnability, 278–80 legal issues, 300–303 list of, 48–49 market issues, 294–300 perceived positives/negatives, 273–74 projects, 46–49
societal issues, 292–94 systems, 277–78 Advanced traffic management system (ATMS),
250 AHSRA, 42–43, 184–85 AIDE, 49
AISES, 49 Aisin Group, 82 ALASCA sensor, 154–55 Animal warning, 29–30 Applications of integrated driving assistance
(AIDA), 57, 173 ARCOS program, 52–53 future scenario, 219 target 1, 18–19, 20 target 2, 19–20, 21 target 3, 20, 21 Assisting driver perception, 29–30 adaptive front lighting (AFS), 29 animal warning, 29–30
headway advisory, 30 night vision, 29 See also Safety systems ASV program, 44, 218 Australia
government programs, 39–40 intelligent access project, 40 Intelligent Control Systems Laboratory, 40 ISA research, 199
safety goals, 8
333
Trang 13TAC SafeCar project, 39
Automated truck lanes, 239–40
Automated vehicles, 225–51
CyberCars, 244–48
deployment options, 249–51
for military operations, 248–49
passenger cars, 226–32
public transport, 240–44
truck automation, 233–40
Automobile manufacturers, 70–81
BMW, 70, 110
DaimlerChrysler, 70–73, 264
Fiat, 73
Ford, 73–74, 265–67
General Motors, 74–75
Honda, 76–77, 144–45, 281–83
Mitsubishi, 77
Nissan, 77–78, 111, 133, 136
PSA Peugeot Citroën, 78, 124
Renault, 78
Subaru, 79
Toyota, 79–81, 104, 133, 141, 241–42
Volkswagen, 81
Volvo, 81
Automotive cooperative system deployment,
212–13
Automotive industry summary, 92–93
Automotive industry suppliers, 81–92
Aisin Group, 82
Bosch, 82–83, 84, 85
Continental, 83, 85
Delphi, 83–86
Denso, 86–87
Hella, 87
IBEO, 87–88
MobilEye, 88
Siemens VDO Automotive, 89
TRW Automotive, 89–90
Valeo, 90–91
Visteon, 91–92
Automotive LKA systems, 109–10, 111
Autonomous ACC, 205–6, 207, 208
AutoTaxi, 58
AWAKE project, 285–86
B
Backup/parking assist, 32, 122–23
market aspects, 123
system description, 122–23
See also Longitudinal sensing/control
BELONITOR, 134–35
Bendix XVision, 124–25
Blind spot monitoring, 113–15 BMW, 70
driver-assist activities, 70 heading control, 110 Bosch, 82–83
ADAS sensor suite, 85 general driver support, 82 long-range radar, 82 predictive safety system (PSS), 82 research agenda, 82
safety and comfort systems, 84 See also Automotive industry suppliers Bus platooning, 243–44
Bus rapid transit (BRT) systems, 34 Bus transit LKA systems, 110–11, 112
C
California DOT, 63–64 PATH program, 207, 208, 229, 230, 234–35
Car2Car Consortium, 213 CARSENSE, 160–63 data fusion processing, 162–63 defined, 160
high dynamic range video system, 161–62 laser sensor, 161
radar sensor, 161 scenarios, 160–61 sensor fusion results, 163 video processing, 162 See also Sensor fusion CarTALK, 188–89 CHAUFFEUR project, 233–34 CHAUFFEUR2, 234 defined, 233
platoon mode, 233 China
government programs, 40–42 IHS, 41–42
IHS data flows, 232 THASV-1 vehicle, 40 CityFCD, 264–65 CIVIS system, 112 Code of Practice (CoP), 292, 309–11
as generic process plan, 309 human factors, 310–11 processes, 310
requirements definition, 309–10 use of, 309
Collision avoidance metrics partnership
(CAMP), 60