Keywords:export;totalfactorproductivity;SMEs;learningbyexporting;export destination... Frameworkforanalysis Theframeworkusedforanalyzinghowexportaffectstotalfactorproductivityatfirmlevel
Trang 1PoliciesandSustainableEconomicDevelo pment |1
TotalFactorProductivity andtheLearningMechanism byExporting:CasestudyforSMEsinVietn
sizedenterprises(SMEs)inVietnamfrom2005to2013.Theresultsshowthatexporthasa positiveimpacto n totalfactorproductivityatfirmlevel.Moreover,thestudyfindsreason sforanappearanceo f learningmechanismb y exporting:
(i)exportingfirmsreceivetechnologicaltransfersfromdevelopedcountries;and(ii)expo rtingfirmshaveenoughcapabilitiestoabsorbk n o w l e d g e generatedb y exporting.Th efindingssuggestthatSMEsinVietnamshouldinvestinR&Daswellasmachineryandequi pment,andactivelyexploreandaccesstodevelopedcountries.Moreover,thegovernme ntshouldsupportformalcredits,internetservices,andbusinessenvironmentforSMEstoi mprovethecapacitytoabsorbforeignknowledgethroughexporting.
Keywords:export;totalfactorproductivity;SMEs;learningbyexporting;export
destination
Trang 21 Introduction
Themicroeconomicliteratureontherelationshipbetweenexportandproductivityatfirmlevelhasemergedrecently.Empiricalevidenceshowsthatexportersperformbetterthannon-
exportersi n selectionofthebestfirmsinexportmarketsorlearningbyexporting(Roberts&Tybout,
thetermsofproductivity.Thesefindingsmayreflecteitherself-1997;Cleridesetal.1998;Bernard&Wagner,1997;Cleridese t al.1998).Moreover,i n testinglearningbyexportinghypothesisi n developingcountriestheresultshavebeenquitemixedandsof a r inc onc lus ive (BernardandJe nse n,199 9; Cleridesetal.,1998;Awetal.,2000;Graner&Isaksson,2007;Boermans,2010).AccordingtothesurveybyCentralInstituteforEconomicManagement(CIEM)ofVietnamin2013,mostVietnameseenterprisesweremicrobusinesses(70%),whilesmall-andmedium-
sizedonesaccountedfor24%and6%respectively.Enterprises
intheformalandinformalsectormadeup70%and30%oftotalSMEsrespectively.Ownershipwasmainlyhouseholds(over70%).Fortheexportsector,theresultsshowedthatonlyabout6.27%ofthetotalnumberofSMEsengagedinexportsandanumberofexporterstotheEUwerethelargest(13.8%).Thefactthatasmallproportionoffirmsengagedinexportingwascontributingtoreducedcompetitivenessoftheeconomy.Theprimaryaimofthestudyi s totestthelearning mechanismbyexportingofSMEsinVietnam.Thistopicisanessentialthemei n thecontextofVietnam'sinternationaleconomicintegration.Thispaperhasthefollowingnewfeatures.Firstly,thestudyteststhelearningbyexportingmechanismandfindsoutwhylearningbyexportingmechanismhappened.Secondly,thestudyusesdatafrom2005-
2013ofCIEM.Thisdatasetc o n t a i n s manydetailedquestionsaboutexportactivitiesofSMEs.Thirdly,thestudyusestwo-
stepGMMdynamicpanelregressionanalysistocontroltheendogenousfactorsinthemodel
2 Literature reviewsand framework
2.1 Literatureandempiricalstudies
Thereweretwomainschoolsoftheorytoexplainwhytheexportbusinessaremoreefficient:thetheoryofself-
selectionmechanismandthetheoryoflearningbyexportingmechanism.Thetheoryo f self-
selectionmechanismshowedthatonlyhigherproductiveenterprisesparticipateinexportactivitiesandtheyhaveenoughcapacityoftheinternationalenvironment(Roberts&Tybout,1997;Cleridesetal.1998;Bernard&Wagner,1997).Meanwhile,thetheoryoflearningbyexportingarguedthatexporti s ano r i g i n ofthetotalfactorproductivitygrowth.Theeffectivenesso f learningbyexportingincludesknowledge,technology,andefficiencygainedfromtheexportingprocess.Theprocessoflearningtakesplacethroughtechnicalassistancefrominternationalbuyers(Grossman&Helpman,1991).Whenbusinessesengageinexportactivities,theywouldbeabletoabsorbknowledgefromtheirexportpartners.Itwouldhelptheseenterprisesimprovetheirproductioncapacity
(Bernard&Jensen,1999;Wagner,
2002).Internationalconsumersandcompetitorswouldtransferknowledgeandt
Trang 3echnologytodomesticexportingfirms.Thisleadstotechnologytransferf r o mthetraditionaltechnologytomoderntechnology(Rodrik,1988;Grossman&Helpman,1991;
Trang 4Cleridesetal.,1998).Whenforeigndemandrequiresacertainlevelofstandards,theimportersinthedevelopedcountriesmayprovidethetechnologyforexportingfirmsindevelopingcountries.Ther e a s o n isthattheproductiontechniquesindevelopingcountriesdonotmeetthequalitystandardso f internationalexportingmarkets.Moreover,thelearningbyexportingtheoryarguesthatexportersi ndevelopingcountrieswouldgainmorebenefitthroughexportingiftheyexportmoregoodsandservicestodevelopedcountriesthantodevelopingcountries,Thisisbecausedevelopedcountrieshavehigherqualifiedtechnology,highertechnicalrequirements,andthereforehavehighlyconditionaltransferofmoderntechnologyfortheexportersinlessdevelopedcountries(DeLoecker,2004;Graner&Isaksson,2007;Eatonetal., 2008).
Themajorityof empiricalstudieso n l y f ou nd
exportingself-selectionm e c ha n i s m ra the r thanlearningbyexportingmechanism(Bernard
&Jensen,1999;Cleridesetal.,1998).However,somer e c e n t studiesf o u n d
r e s u l t s o f learningm e c h a n i s m throughexporting(Awe t al.,2000;VanBiesebroeck,2005).Inaddition,empiricalstudiesalsofoundevidenceoftheroleofexport-
destinationtototalfactorproductivityatfirm level(DeLoecker,2004;Graner&Isaksson,2007;Eaton,2008)
2.2 Otherfactorsaffecting productivityatfirmlevel
OtherfactorswhichhaveeffectsonTFPatfirmlevelincludefirmcharacteristics,suchassize,age,ownership(Barney, 1991;Wernerfelt,1984);absorption
levelo f technologyandqualityo f humanr e s o u r c e s (Barney,1991;Cohen& Levinthal,1990);entrepreneurship(Schumpeter,1947;Audretschetal.,2006);competitioninindustry(Porter,1980;N i c k e l l , 1996);andbusinessenvironment(North,1991;Lietal.,2000;Acemoglu&Johnson,2005;Cull&Xu,2005;Augier,2012;Harrisetal.2011)
2.3 Frameworkforanalysis
Theframeworkusedforanalyzinghowexportaffectstotalfactorproductivityatfirmlevelisbasedonliteratureandempiricalstudiesofneoclassicalgrowththeory,endogenoustheory,tradetheory,institutiontheory,resourcedbasedtheory,entrepreneurshiptheory,andcompetitiveadvantagetheory.Therefore,factorsaffectingtotalfactorproductivityatfirmlevelcanbedividedintoseveralgroups:exportingactivities(Group1);firm characteristicsandabsorptioncapacities(Group2);entrepreneurship
characteristics(Group3);industrycharacteristics(Group4);businessenvironmentfactors(Group5);andindustry-andregion-relatedfactors(Group6)
Trang 5Characteristic Capability(age, ownership,
TFP growth
Destination
Entrepreneurs (education, skill)
Trang 6Europe Russia OtheroutsideA
Fromtheexportma rket side,thepercentageofexportingfirms totheEurope
m a rke tis thehighestbutittendstodeclineovertime(27.1%and13.8%in2005comparedwith2013).ThesecondlargestexportmarketsareotherAsianandAmericancountriesbuttheytendtodecreaserelatively(otherAsiacountries:17.7%in2005comparedto11.3%in2013;US:17.7%in2005comparedwith8.8%in2013).Th
e thirdlargestexportmarketareAseancountriesandittendstoincreaseagaininr e c e n t years(9.9%in2011comparedto13.1%in2013).ThenextexportmarketsareJapan,ChinaandcountriesoutsidetheAsiaandittendstoincreaseinrecentyears(China:9.9%in2011comparedto10.6%in2013;Japan:8.6%in2011comparedto11.3%in2013;theothercountriesoutsideAsia:5 3 % in2011comparedwith8.8%in2013).Moreover,thepercentageofexportingfirmstoRussiai s thelowestandonlyaccountfor6.4%andittendstodecreaseovertime(7.9%in2011to5%in2013).Inaddition,the
researchshowsthatexporthelpstechnologytransfer;however,anumberofbusinessessupposethatlevelofexportingthathashelpedtechnologytransfertendstodecreaseovertime(76.6%versus60.3%in2005and2013respectively)
InvestmentExpenditureofSMEs
Trang 7Investment sinotherente rprises
Otheri nvestme
Trang 8;Levinsohn&Petrin,2003).Therefore,theresultofT F P estimationisbias.TosolvetheproblemforTFPestimation,theestimationtechniquessuchasGMM(Hansen,1982) , OP(Olley&Pakes,1996)andLP(Levinsohn& Petrin,2003)areusedt
estimateTFPbyLevinsohnandPetrin(2003)toestimatethetotalfactorproductivityatfirmlevel
Trang 94.2 Modelfortestingthelearningbyexportingmechanism
Duetothenatureofsmallandmediumenterprisesin2005-2013thedatasetfeaturesdynamicpaneldataandtherem a y bea c o r r e l a t i o nbetweenindependentvariablesi n themodelwhenestimatingoftherelationshipbetweenexportingandTFP.ThatmeansifweestimatemodelbyOLSregression,itwillcausebiastotheresults.Toovercometheproblemofendogeneity,thisstudyusesGMMregressiontechniquesthatweredevelopedbyHasen(1982),GrilichesandHausman(1986),andArellanoandBond(1991)
m m
n n
a 3 ijtJapan 4 ijtAsean 5 ijtAsia 6 ijtAmerican
Trang 10tXK ijtAsian:exportof
firmitoAseanatindustryjattimetX K ijtAsia:expor
toffirm itoAsiaat industryjattimet
XK ijtAmerican :exportoffirmi toAmericanat
industryjattimetXK ijtEupore :exportoffirmitoEuropeati
ndustryjattimetXK ijtRussian : exportoffirmitoRussiaati
ndustryjattimetX K ijtOtherAsia :exportoffirmitootherAs
iaatindustryjattimet
Trang 11Formsofownershipareclassifiedintofivegroups:householdowner ship,privateenterprises,cooperatives,limitedliability,jointstockc Group2:Variablesrelatedtoentrepreneurs
EducationlevelofownershipEducationisdividedintothreelevels:primarylevel;secondaryl
evel,andhighs c h o o l level,encodedintotwodummyvariab les.Variableprimaryeducationisc h o s e n forcomparison.
variablenotechnicalexpertiseischosenasthebasevariable.
Trang 12s
Lawknowledgedividedinto3levelsofgood,average,lessknownande ncodedintotwodummyvariables.hbldnisselectedascomparativev ariables.
Destinationofexport
Destinationofexportisdividedinto9levels:exporttoChina,exporttoJapan,
exporttoSoutheastAsia,exporttoAsia,exporttotheUS,exportt otheEU,exporttoRussia,andotherexportstoAsia,andnoexpor tdestinationandw a s encodedinto8dummyvariables.Noexp ortdestinationischosenasthebasevariable.
companydoesnotreceiveanysupportfromthestate.
Trang 13Diversityofnetworkismeasuredbythetotalgroup(organization)which
firmscontactregularly.Thereare5maingroups:samesector,ot hersectors,b a n k i n g , government,others)anddiversityin dexrangesfrom0to5.
Qualityofnetwork
Totalnumberoftimesthatfirmreceiveshelpfromtheregularcontactsinthe
corporatenet work 5.3 Hardinfrastructure
Conditionsofcarriage
Conditionsofcarriageisadummyvariable;=1iffirm’slocationisnearmajor
roadsorrailwaysorports;=0iffirm’slocationisnotnearmajorroads, railwaysorports.
Location
Locationisadummyvariable.Locationequals1iffirmislocatedinin dustrial
parks,exportprocessingzones,ortechnologyparks;locationequ als0ifitislocatednearresidentialareas.
Internet
Internetisadummyvariable.Internet=1iffirmusesInternet;interne t=0ifit
doesnot.
Group6:Variablesrelatedtothesectorsandregions
Industry
Trang 14PoliciesandSustainableEconomicDevelo pment |14
Industryisdividedinto10sectorsandencodedinto9dummiesa ndgarmentindustryischosenasthebasevariable.
Region
Regionisdividedinto3groups:North,Central,South,andencod edintotwodummyvariables.Northisabasevariable.
Year
Years2005,2007,2009,2011,and2013;encodedintofourdum mies;2005isthebaseyear
4.4 Hypothesis
Thetheoryoflearningbyexportingarguesthatexportisanoriginofthetotalfactorproductivitygrowth(Grossman&Helpman,1991;Bernard&Jensen,1999;Wagner,2002;Rodrik,1988;Grossman& Helpman,1991;Cleridese t al.,1998).Thisstudyteststhelearningmechanismbyexportingsothefirsthypothesisis:
H1:Exportingfirmshavehigherproductivitythannon-exporitngfirms
Moreover,thelearningbyexportingtheorymaintainsthatexportersi n developingcountrieswouldgainmorebenefitthroughexportingiftheyexportgoodsandservicestodevelopedcountriesm o r e thantodevelopingcountries(DeLoecker,2004;Graner&Isaksson,2007;Eatonetal.,2008).Thus,thesecond hypothesisis:
H2:Firmsexportingtodevelopedcountrieshavehigherproductivitythanfir
msexportingtodevelopingcountries
Trang 154.5 Data
DatawascollectedbytheCentralInstituteforEconomicManagement(CIEM)ofPlanningandInvestment,theInstituteofLaborScienceandSocialAffairs(ILSSA)oftheMinistryofLabor,InvalidsandSocialAffairs(MOLISA),andtheFacultyofEconomics(DoE)oftheUniversityofCopenhagentogetherwiththeEmbassyofDenmarkinVietnamin2005,2007,2009,2011,and2013.Theobjectso f thissurveywereSMEsmanufacturingin10provincesandcities
includingHanoi,HaiPhong,HoChiMinhcity(HCMC),HaTay1(earlier),PhuTho,NgheAn,QuangNam,KhanhHoa,LamDong,andLongAn.One of theu n i q u e featureswasthatthedatai nc lu de d householdenterprisesandunregistered(informal).Thus,thesurveydataincludedallinformalenterprisesoperatinginparallelw i t
)
(1.7 4)
4*
0.470
* (1.93
)
(1.75)
-0.14 (-
0.91)
1.47)
4
0.244 (1.03
(2.02)
**
(2.50 )
(2.35)
7
0.203 (1.65
(2.38)
**
Trang 18value>0.5,andfromHansenandAR(2)wecouldconcludethattheregressionresultsinmodel2stepGMMsystemarereliable
ThestudyresultsshowthatexporthasarelationshipwithTFPoffirms.Accordingly,productivityo f exportingfirmsis0.792times higherthan thatnon-exportingfirmsat1%statisticalsignificance(seemodel1).Theresultsof thisstudyareconsistentwiththeempiricalstudiesonlearningbyexportingindevelopingcountrieslikeIndonesia(Blalock&Gerler,2004),China(Girma,2004;Parke t al.,2010).Next,thes t u d y fi n d thee v i d e n c e thatthedestinationso f exportals
oa ff e c t theproductivityoffirms.Specifically, exports tothe ChinaandEuropehaveimpactontheTFPoffirmsw i t h statisticalsignificancelevelsof5%and10%respectively.Theresultsofthisstudyareconsistentw i t h thestudyofGranerandIsaksson(2007)andEatonetal.(2008)
Therearetworeasonsfortheexistenceoflearningbyexporting.Firstly,exportingfirms havee n o u g h absorptivecapacitytoabsorbknowledgegeneratedbyexportactivities.Thisargumentisr e i n f o r c e d bytheresultsofthestudythatshowthatprofessionalqualificationsofentrepreneurs,investmentspendingonmachineryequipment,theratequalityofhumanresources,andtheeaseofaccessingformalcredithavepositiveimpactsonproductivityatthestatisticalsignificanceof5%
(seeresultsinmodel1andmodel2).Secondly,exportingtodevelopedcountrieshasapositiveimpactonproductivitybecausewhenfirms exporttodevelopedcountries,itwouldmotivateenterprisestoi m p r o v e theirproductioncapacityandt h e y wouldr e c e i v e thetransfero f technologyf r o m thedevelopedcountry
Forothervariables,theresultsalsoshowthatsmallandmediumenterprisesbusinesseshavehigherproductivitythanthatofmicroenterprises—
0.288and0.47timesrespectivelyat1%statisticalsignificant(model2).Formsofownershiphaveimpactonproductivityoffirms,especiallylimitedliabilitycompaniesandjointstockcompanies.Thestudyresultsalsoshowthattheownershavinghigherqualificationswouldleadtheirfirmstobehigherinproductivity.Forinstitutionalvariables,thestudydoesn o t fi n d evidenceo f theinfluenceo f f o r m a l institutionsandi n f o r m a l o n theproductivityofSMEsinVietnam,whichsuggeststhattheinstitutionsdonotimpactdirectlyontheproductivity.I t m a y bethatinstitutionscouldi m p a c t o n productivityindirectlythroughotherc h a n n e l s F o r thegroupo f variablesrelatedtohardinfrastructureandsoftinfrastructure,ther e s e a r c h showsthatthelocationofthebusinessaffectstheproductivitywithstatisticallysignificance
Trang 19of0.1%;however,thesignofthisvariableisnotasexpected.Softinfrastructurevariables(includingaccessingtoformalcreditandaccessingtointernet)affectproductivitywithastatisticalsignificancelevelof5%.Forvariablesrelatedtotheindustrygroup,thestudyshowsproductivityinthemetalsectorthathasa higherproductivitythanproductivityi n thegarmentindustryw i t h statisticalsignificanceatlevelof1%,whilethebeverageindustryhaslowerproductivitythanproductivityinthegarmentindustrywithsignificancelevelatp<0.1.Forrelatedvariableregions,productivityoffi r m s insouthernregionis0.38timesthanthatoffirms intheNorth.Moreover,productivityoffi r m s intheCentralis0.4timeslowerthanthatoffirmsintheNorthatsignificancelevelof5%.
5.2 Conclusion
Thestudyfindstheimportantroleoflearningbyexportingmechanism(exportinghasimpactonproductivity),andexporttoChinaandEuropehaveapositiveeffectontheproductivityofSMEs.Therearetworeasonsforthis:
(i)firmshaveenoughcapacitiestoabsorbknowledgegeneratedbyexporting;and(ii)developedcountriestransfertechnologyf o r exportingfi r m s i n developingcountries.Next,theelementso f c h a r a c t e r i s t i c s suchassize,ownership,andqualifiedbusinesso w n e r s haveimpactsontheproductivityofbusinesses.Theinstitutionalvariablesdonothavedirecti m p a c t o n thep r o d u c t i v i t y o f SMEs.Hardi n f r a s t r u c t u r e doesn o t a ff e c t productivitywhilesoftinfrastructure(accessinginternetandformalcredit)haspositiveimpactonproductivity.Finally,i n d u s t r y andregionhaveimpactsonproductivity
5.3 Policyrecommendations
ExportplaysanimportantroleinincreasingtheproductivityofSMEsinVietnaminthecontexto f internationaleconomicintegration.However,therearetwoconditionsfortheappearanceo f learningbyexportingmechanism:
(i)enterpriseshavetoi n v e s t i n R&Dandm a c h i n e r y andequipmenttoimprovethecapacitytoabsorbknowledgefromoutsideintotheprocessproduction;and(ii)firmsactivelyexploreandaccesstodevelopedcountriestotakeadvantageoftechnologicaltransferf r o m thesecountries.F r o m thegovernment,i t i s necessarytoc r e a t e conditionsf o r enterprisestoimprovethecapacitytoabsorbknowledgebyenhancingaccesstoformalcredit,accesstointernetservicesforSMEsaswellasafavorablebusinessenvironmentandotherkindsofsupport
5.4 Limitationofthestudy
Likeanyotherempiricalstudies,thestudycannotavoidsomelimitationsinanalysis.Oneofthemc o m e s fromthenatureofthedatasetconductedbyCIEM,DoE,andILSSA.Thisdatasetonlyfocuseso n SMEsinmanufacturingfirmsandonlycoversonly10provinces.ThesecondlimitationisthatthestudyonlyusesonemethodtoestimateTFPbasedontheCobb-
DouglasproductionfunctionofSolow(1957).Fromtheaboveweakpoints,itmaybebettertoimprovetheestimationresultsbyusingotherdatathatcoverallofsmallan
methodstoestimateTFPforcheckingtherobustnessoftheresults