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... APPLYING THE RIGHT MINDSET TO INVESTING IN REAL ESTATE As professionals in the real estate markets, we have worked with thousands of real estate investors and businesspeople, and we know that there ... buying US real estate today, wisely.” — Hunter Milborne, chairman (ret.) and partner, Sotheby’s International Realty Canada “Anyone thinking about making an investment into US real estate will ... Association of Realtors: www.realtor.org ã CoreLogic: www.corelogic.com ã US Census Bureau: www.census.gov ã US Bureau of Labor Statistics: www.bls.gov ã Federal Reserve reports by district:...

Ngày tải lên: 23/03/2014, 08:20

Ngày tải lên: 21/06/2014, 09:20

Ngày tải lên: 21/06/2014, 09:20

... =−ln(y). 12 Real Estate Modelling and Forecasting 1.8 Econometrics in real estate, finance and economics: similarities and differences The tools that we use when econometrics is applied to real estate ... little importance. The real price series is obtained by taking the nominal series, dividing it by the price deflator index and multiplying by 100 (under the assumption that the deflator has a base value of 100): real ... they are observed). In general, measurement error affects most real estate series; data revisions can be less serious in the real estate context compared with economics, however. Financial data...

Ngày tải lên: 21/06/2014, 00:20

... there are two researchers working indepen- dently, each with a separate real estate theory for explaining the variation in some variable, y t . The respective models selected by the researchers could be y t = ... observations on y by ten! 124 Real Estate Modelling and Forecasting Trying many variables in a regression without basing the selection of the candidate variables on a real estate or economic ... of a regression model. This chapter contin- ues the discussion of model adequacy by examining diagnostic tests that will help the real estate analyst to determine how reliable the model is and to...

Ngày tải lên: 21/06/2014, 00:20

... previous chapters, we focused on diagnostic tests that the real estate analyst can compute to choose between alternative models. Once a model or competing models have been selected, we really ... forecast combination in real estate, the reader is also referred to the paper by Wilson and Okunev (2001), who combine nega- tively correlated forecasts for securitised real estate returns in the ... call is close and the sample is small. This is illustrated by just a slight gain of 4 per cent (on the C-measure) from using RM2 over the consensus forecasts. It is evident, however, that the performance...

Ngày tải lên: 21/06/2014, 00:20

... new industrial space, industrial rents, construction costs, the availability of industrial floor space and macro- economic variables. The supply of new industrial space, industrial real estate ... continuously); and (3) the higher output/floor space ratio caused by technological advances. Finally, figure 10.3 illustrates the cycles of the availability of industrial floor space (measured in thousands ... π 22 EMP t + ε 2t (10.24) 324 Real Estate Modelling and Forecasting used is a moving average of annualised percentage changes in the GDP defla- tor. Because of implausibly negative real interest rates during...

Ngày tải lên: 21/06/2014, 00:20