4ETFs, mutual funds and traded closed-end investment companies allow investors to obtain a professionally managed diversified portfolio of real estate securities with a relatively small
Trang 1Reading 30 Alternative Investments Portfolio Management
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Investors of alternative investments:
• Defined-benefit pension funds
• Endowments
• Foundations
• High-net worth individuals
Rationale for Alternative Investments:
Risk Diversification benefits i.e
• Returns over time are not highly correlated with
traditional asset classes
• Broaden fund’s investment “opportunity set”
Ability to add value: Provides greater ability to investors
to add value because Alternative asset classes are less
“efficient”
Return Enhancement: They can enhance total fund
return and reduce risk (volatility) over time when combined with traditional assets
Role of Alternative Investments:
• To meet return objectives
• To control risk Six groups of Alternative Investments:
Common features of alternative investments include:
1) Illiquidity: Relative illiquidity results in return premium
demanded by investors
• For investors with short investment horizons,
illiquidity leads to small allocation to alternative
investments
• Long-term investors (e.g endowments and
defined-benefit pension funds) can make large
allocations and earn illiquidity premiums
2) Diversification benefits: Low correlations with
traditional investments
3) High due diligence costs for the following reasons:
a)Complex investment structures and strategies
b)Uniqueness: Investment evaluation significantly
depends on asset class, business specific or other
expertise
c)Lack of transparency in reporting
4) Difficulty in establishing valid benchmark and
performance appraisal
5) Longer time horizons
6) Informationally less efficient relative to equity and
bonds market
7) Offer greater opportunity to add value through skill
and superior information
NOTE: In both alternative and traditional investments, management fees, trading or operational expenses need to be justified and managed
Traditional Alternative Investments:
1) Real Estate: It refers to ownership interests in land or structures attached to land
2) Private Equity: It refers to ownership interests in publicly traded companies
non-3) Commodities: It refers to agricultural goods, metals, petroleum
Modern Alternative Investments: These investments indicate investment and trading strategies (ways to invest/style of investing)
1) Hedge Funds 2) Managed Futures 3) Distressed Securities
NOTE: Alternative investment can be placed in more than one category e.g distressed securities investing can be classified:
• Within private equity if debt is considered to be private equity;
• As a subcategory of event-driven strategies under hedge funds;
• As a separate alternative investment strategy
Trang 2Three groups of Alternative Investments:
1) Investments that provide exposure to unique risk
factors (not provided by traditional investments) e.g real
estate provides exposure to demographics and
(long-only) commodities provide exposure to inflation
2) Investments that provide exposure to specialized
investment strategies e.g hedge funds and managed
futures
3) Investments that have combined features of
exposure to unique risk factors and investment strategies
e.g private equity funds and distressed securities
Due Diligence process in Alternative Investments
involve the following steps:
1) Market Opportunity: It involves identifying investment
opportunities in the market, their causes and their
chances of persistence It is done by analyzing capital
markets and types of managers operating within those
markets
2) Investment process: It involves evaluating managers’
comparative advantage etc
3) Organization: It involves valuating stability of the firm
and how well it is organized i.e Consistent investment
philosophy, less management (staff) turnover, fair
compensation, succession plans etc
4) People: It involves analyzing experience, intelligence,
integrity of the people in the firm
5) Terms and Structure: It refers to time and amount of
investment and requires evaluating fair terms, alignment
of interests, properly structured account etc
6) Service Providers: These refer to firms supporting from outside e.g lawyers, auditors, prime brokers, lenders etc 7) Documents: It involves reading prospectus,
memorandum, audits etc
8) Write-up: It involves formally documenting the entire selection process and producing formal
recommendation of manager
Following are the Issues that are more acute or unique
to private wealth clients than to institutional investors: Tax issues: Alternative investments frequently involve partnerships and other structures that have distinct and peculiar tax issues
Determining suitability: Determining suitability of investment is more complex in case of an individual client or family than for an institutional investor because of:
• Uncertain time horizons of individual clients
• Emotional or financial needs of a client
Communication with client: Individuals are nonprofessional investors and have less knowledge, therefore, it is difficult for an advisor to communicate and discuss suitability of investment in the portfolio with them
Decision risk: It refers to irrational trading/changing strategies at the point of maximum loss Decision risk increases due to the strategies with following characteristics:
• Strategy that involves negatively skewed returns
• Strategies that involve high kurtosis
Note: investors prefer positive skewness and moderate or low kurtosis
Concentrated equity position of the client in a closely held company: It is necessary to take into account the effect of investment on the client’s risk and liquidity position when ownership in a closely held company represents a substantial part of wealth of the client NOTE: In core-satellite investing, alternative investments
usually are included in the satellite ring for most investors
Real estate plays an important role in both institutional
and individual investor portfolios
Note: The focus of this reading is only Equity investments
in real estate
Rationale for investment in Real Estate by institutional investors
i To diversify their portfolios
ii To hedge against inflation
Trang 33.1.1) Types of Real Estate Investments
A.Direct ownership includes:
B Indirect investment (also known as financial
ownership) includes investing in:
1 Companies engaged in real estate ownership,
development or management i.e homebuilders
and real estate operating companies
2 Real estate investment trusts (REITs) are publicly
traded equities representing pools of money
invested in real estate properties and/or real
estate debt
3 Commingled real estate funds (CREFs) are
privately traded equities representing significant
commingled (i.e pooled) investment in real
estate properties
4 Separately managed accounts managed by real
estate advisors like in case of CREFs
5 Infrastructure funds are private investment in
public infrastructure projects i.e roads, schools,
bridges, airports etc with rights to receive
specified revenue streams over a contracted
period
Types of REITs:
1.Equity REITs: Own and operate income-producing
real estate i.e office buildings, apartment buildings and
shopping centers
• Shareholders receive rental income and income
from capital appreciation if the property is sold for
a gain
2.Mortgage REITs: Mortgage REITs deal in the
investment and ownership of property mortgages;
• They loan money for mortgages to owners and
operators of real estate or
• Invest in (purchase) existing mortgages or
mortgage-backed securities
• Shareholders receive interest income on
mortgage loans and capital appreciation income
from improvement in the prices of loans
3.Hybrid REITs: Hybrid REITs invest in both mortgages
and properties, combining the investment strategies of
Equity REITs and Mortgage REITs
Advantages of REITs:
1)REITs securitize illiquid real estate assets
2)REITs are highly liquid as their shares trade on major exchanges
3)REITs allow smaller investors to get real estate exposure
4)ETFs, mutual funds and traded closed-end investment companies allow investors to obtain a professionally managed diversified portfolio of real estate securities with a relatively small outlay Disadvantages:
1)REIT returns are more volatile than real estate returns (due to public trading)
2)REITs have relatively higher correlation with equities than real estate prices
Risk Hedging properties:
• Hold property and want to sell it in future, short REITs index to hedge risk
• Want to buy property, long REITs index
• In contrast to open-end funds, closed-end funds are usually leveraged and have higher return objectives (due to high risk);
3.1.2) Size of the Real Estate Market According to estimates, real estate represents one-third
to one-half of the world’s wealth
3.2 Benchmarks and Historical Performance
3.2.1) Benchmarks
NCREIF Index: The principal benchmark used to measure the performance of direct real estate investment is the National Council of Real Estate Investment Fiduciaries Property Index
Characteristics:
• It is issued quarterly
• It covers a sample of commercial properties
owned by large institutions
• Value-weighted index
• Includes sub-indices grouped by real estate sector (apartment, industrial, office and retail) and geographical region
• Values are determined by property appraisals and conducted infrequently
• Ownership change is infrequent
• Smoothing effect due to appraised values: The
Trang 4use of appraised values tends to
o Smooth the returns
o Underestimate volatility in underlying values
o Understate correlations with other assets
o Overstate benefits of real estate in the portfolio
• It is not an investable index (for performance
appraisal)
• NCREIF Index represents non-leveraged
investment only
• NCREIF Index most accurately represents the
performance of private real estate funds
Important Note: Using unsmoothed NCREIF Index more
accurately reflects the benefits of real estate investment
NAREIT Index: The principal benchmark used to
represent indirect investment in real estate is the NAREIT
Index
• It is a real time market (cap) weighted index of all
REITs actively traded on the exchange
• It computes a monthly index based on
month-end share prices of REITs that own and manage
real estate assets or equity REITs
• REITs provide a levered exposure to real estate (>
50% of capital structure is represented by debt)
Therefore, they have higher risk (higher S.D)
relative to unsmoothed NCREIF Index
Hedged REITs: Long REITs + Short Futures
• The hedged NAREIT Index is a more realistic
representation of the underlying real estate
market and has high correlation with the
unsmoothed NCREIF Index than without
correction (although hedging is imperfect)
• Hedged NAREIT Index is preferred because it
eliminates double counting of equity return
component in equity REITs It results in increase in
return, decrease in risk and increase in Sharpe
ratio
3.2.2) Historical Performance
• It has been observed that the real estate market
lags behind publicly traded real estate securities
• Direct and indirect real estate investments
produced better risk-adjusted performance over
1990-2004 period relative to general stocks and
commodities
Difference between performance properties of direct
and securitized real estate investment
REITs
(Indirect)
Direct (or appraisal-based) High return
High S.D
Higher Volatility
Low returns Low S.D Low volatility due to stale valuations
• Downside bias is corrected by “un-smoothing” the
NCREIF Index
• When NCREIF is unsmoothed, volatility more than doubles but return is increased by a small amount
• Securitized real estate investments are poor substitutes for direct investment because:
o Smooth NCREIF Index and Unsmooth NCREIF Index have high positive correlation (i.e 0.71)
o The correlation between unhedged NAREIT Index and NCREIF Index is 0
o The correlation between unhedged NAREIT Index and unsmoothed NCREIF Index is 0.21 Timberland and Farmland:
• Investing in timberland and farmland provides potential for substantial income and capital appreciation but bears limited liquidity
• Farmland returns rely on value of land and prices of agriculture commodities
• Timberland returns depend on land value and lumber prices The demand side of lumber depends on the housing starts and the supply side depends on the environmental conditions Investors can also invest in timber through timberland REITs
3.3 Real Estate: Investment Characteristics and Roles
Real estate represents a major portion of many individuals’ wealth However, the clients’ residences are not considered “marketable” and therefore, are not included in strategic asset allocation
3.3.1) Investment Characteristics Following are some of the investment characteristics of physical real estate market:
1)Relative Lack of liquidity 2)Large lot sizes and not divisible 3)Relatively high transaction costs 4)Heterogeneity
5)Immobility (fixed location) 6)Relatively low information transparency (seller has informational advantage relative to buyers) 7)Not easily traded due to market inefficiencies 8)Investment is long-term
Implication:
1)These characteristics provide opportunity to generate relatively high risk-adjusted returns for investors who can obtain cost-efficient and high quality information
2)Due to lack of reliable and high frequency transaction data for properties, valuations are appraisal-based
Effect of market and economic factors on real estate:
Trang 5• Interest rates directly or indirectly affect demand
and supply for real estate by affecting factors i.e
business financing costs, employment levels,
savings habits and the demand and supply for
mortgage financing
• Worldwide, the returns to real estate are positively
correlated with changes in GDP
• In the long run, population growth positively
affects real estate returns
Inflation-hedging: There are mixed conclusions
regarding the inflation-hedging capabilities of real
estate investment Overall, direct real estate investment
can provide an inflation hedge to some degree
Real estate values are affected by idiosyncratic
variables i.e location This implies that:
• Complete diversification in real estate can be
achieved only by investing internationally
• Optimal diversification can be obtained by
selecting one country from each continent
Advantages of DIRECT INVESTMENT in real estate (for
both institutional and individual investors):
1)Tax benefits: Mortgage interest, property taxes and
other expenses are tax deductible which benefits
taxable owners of real estate
2)Use of high leverage: Greater financial leverage can
be used in mortgage loans compared to securities
investing
3)High control over investment: Real estate investors
have direct control over their property and are able to
expand or modernize property to increase its market
value
4)Geographical Diversification: The values of real
estate investments in different locations have low
correlations; thus, it can be used to reduce exposures to
catastrophic risks e.g floods etc
5)Low volatility: Real estate returns (on average) have
relatively low volatility compared to public equities
even after correcting for downward bias
6)Greater diversification benefits: Direct real estate has
lower correlations with U.S equities and bonds relative
to REITs’ correlations
Disadvantages:
1) Large size and indivisibility: Direct investment in real
estate is usually in large lots and is not easy to divide into
smaller pieces Consequently, these properties constitute
a major portion of an investor’s total portfolio and
investors have to deal with large idiosyncratic risks
associated with these investments
2) Illiquid relative to securitized real estate due to:
• Large transaction sizes when buying/selling
property compared to flexibility of trading small amounts in REITs on public exchanges
• The lack of availability and timeliness of information results in extensive valuation and due diligence issues
3) High cost of acquiring information because of heterogeneity of real estate
4) High transaction costs because of high commissions charged by real estate brokers relative to securities transaction fees Exchange traded REITs have low transaction costs and reallocation of funds is easy 5) High Operating costs i.e greater maintenance, operating and administrative costs and hands-on management
6) Locality Risk: Have greater exposure to neighborhood deterioration and conditions that are not under investors’ control
7) Political risks associated with tax benefits i.e income tax deductions can be discontinued in case of changes
in tax laws
3.2.2) Roles in the Portfolio Real estate is affected by many economic fundamentals and economic cycles Thus, these
investments can be used for tactical allocation purposes
by forecasting economic cycles that would positively affect these investments
Real estate has a potential to add value through active
management
Real estate also provides diversification benefits
• Historically, direct investment in real estate has shown low correlation with other assets
• Real estate investments are less affected by term economic conditions and therefore, have lower volatility than other asset classes
short-Good income enhancer: Income producing commercial real estate is considered a relatively stable investment Real Estate Performance in Portfolios:
Adding REITs to traditional portfolio of equities and bonds results in higher Sharpe ratio
It does not provide diversification benefits when added
to a portfolio consisting of stock/bond/ hedge funds and commodity
Unsmoothed NCREIF Index has negative correlation with S&P 500 and bonds; this results in increase in Sharpe ratio when unsmoothed NCREIF Index is added to stock/bond portfolio
However, Sharpe ratio is slightly increased when unsmoothed NCREIF Index is added to stock/bond
Trang 6portfolio with the added exposure of hedge funds and
commodities
Conclusion: Direct real estate investment provides
diversification benefits to stocks and bonds but benefits
disappear when hedge funds and commodities are
added to the portfolio
Diversification within Real Estate Itself: Diversification
within real estate investing can be obtained through
type and geography Investments in different real estate
sectors have different risk and return profiles
Large office assets:
• Higher risk
• Higher volatility
• Lower risk-adjusted returns
• More pronounced impact of market cycles
Properties of Return Distribution of Real Estate:
1) Due to illiquid market (Direct investment), returns tend
following positive and negative following negative
Rationale for including real estate in a multi-asset portfolio:
1 Real estate has a low correlation with stocks and bonds
2 Real estate (historically) has shown a high adjusted rate of return relative to stocks and bonds
risk-3 Real estate has a positive correlation with both anticipated and unanticipated inflation and therefore provides an inflation hedge
Private equity is an ownership interest in a private
(non-publicly) company It includes start-up companies,
middle-market private companies and private
investment in public entities (PIPE)
Characteristics:
• Private equity is not registered with a regulatory
body
• These involve Private placements i.e sale offers to
either institutions or high-net-worth individuals
(accredited investors)
• Private equity plays a growth role in investment
portfolios
• Risk is controlled and evaluated through
appropriate due diligence processes
4.1.1) Types of Private Equity Investment
1) Direct Investment: It refers to purchasing claim
directly from the company that needs financing
• Structured as convertible preferred stock rather
than common stock
• Preferred stock is senior to common stocks both in terms of its profit share and liquidation value
• Shares issued in later rounds of financing are senior to previously issued preferred stocks (all else constant)
• Events i.e buyouts or acquisition of the common equity at a favorable price triggers the conversion
of preferred stocks into common stocks
2) Indirect Investment: It is primarily done through private equity funds i.e VC and buyout funds
• Structured as limited partnerships or limited liability companies (LLCs)
• Have an expected life of 7-10 years with 1-5 years extension option
• Commitment/offering period defines how committed funds will be requested over time
• Investment in private equity is mostly done via
private equity funds
Advantages of Limited Partnerships and LLCs:
Practice: Example 5, Volume 5, Reading 30
Trang 7i Avoid double taxation
ii Liability of limited partners or shareholders is
limited to their amount of investment
General partner (managing director in LLCs): He is the
venture capitalist who selects and advises investments to
investors He also commits his own capital, which is
helpful in closely aligning interest of outside investors and
the fund manager
Limited partners: Refer to shareholders of LLCs or limited
partnerships
NOTE:
• Private equity funds usually do not maintain a
pool of uninvested capital
• Private equity funds of funds are also available
Private equity funds: These are pooled investment
vehicles through which many investors make indirect
investments in generally highly illiquid assets
Major forms include
a) Venture Capital (early, mid and late-stage): Private
capital used to finance a start-up (new) business or
growing private companies
Characteristics:
• Venture capital investments are private,
non-exchange-traded equity investments
• Investments are usually made through limited
partnerships
• Due to illiquidity and high risk, relatively high
returns are expected
• Private company eventually converts into publicly
owned company
• Have Capacity issues i.e limited investment
opportunities
• Requires distinct knowledge and experience
b) Buyout Funds/Buyouts: Acquisition of an established
company or an operating division via private equity
funds known as buyout funds
• Publicly owned company is converted into
private
• Buyout funds constitute a large portion of private
equity fund relative to VC funds in terms of AUM
or size of capital commitments
Types of buyout funds:
1) Mega-cap buyout funds: These funds take public
companies private
2) Middle-market buy-out funds: These funds purchase
private companies (established and/or divisions spun-off
from larger companies), which are not able to access
capital from public due to small revenues and profits
Value in these companies is added through:
• Restructuring operations and improving management
• Purchasing companies at a discount to their intrinsic value
• Creating gains by adding debt or restructuring of existing debt
These funds seek to reduce costs and increase revenues and for this purpose, they generally maintain a pool of experienced operating and financial executives to be added to companies if necessary or appropriate Value gains can be realized through:
a) Sale of the acquired company
b) IPO c) Dividend Recapitalization i.e debt is issued to finance special dividends to owners
• Advantage: Facilitate investors to recover all or
most of the investment within 2-4 years of the buyout along with the retention of ownership control
• Disadvantage: Due to high leverage involved, a
company may become weak
1) Private Investment in Public Entity (PIPE):It refers to
making a relatively large investment in a public company usually at a significant discount when the share price of a publicly traded company drops significantly
Investors of Private Equity include:
Private Equity Investments Publicly Traded Securities
Structure and Valuation
Price and deal structure are determined through private negotiation between the investor and company management
Price is determined by market
Deal structure is standardized
Securities regulators approve variations
Access to Information for Investment Selection
Investors can have access to all information (including internal projections)
Investors have access to only publicly available information
Post-Investment Activity
Trang 84.1 The Private Equity Market
The Demand for/Issuers of Venture Capital:
1 Formative-stage / start-up companies:
• Newly formed companies and/or young
companies beginning product development
• Companies just start selling a product (through
marketing an effective business plan to
potentially interested parties)
• Most Venture Capitalists are not interested in
companies at their earliest stage
• Companies preparing for an IPO
Financing stages of a private company include:
1 Early-stage Financing: It is used by Formative-stage
Companies It involves following sub-stages:
Seed: In seed stage, small amount of money is provided
to form a company or to prove commercial success of a
business idea
• Characteristics: Incorporation of business idea,
first personnel is employed, development of
prototype
• Buyers/financing: Founders, FF&Fs, angel investors,
venture capital
• Purpose of financing: To support market research
and to establish a business
Start-up: In this stage, a company has been formed and
idea has been proven but funds are needed to
commercialize the product or idea
• Characteristics: Pre-revenue stage i.e revenue
has not yet started
• Buyers/financing: Angel investors and venture
capital
• Purpose of financing: To support product
development and initial marketing
First-stage: When a company has been through seed and start-up stages and needs additional financing
• Characteristics: Operation has started and
revenue starts to initiate
• Buyers/financing: Angel investors and venture
capital
• Purpose of financing: To support initial
manufacturing and sales
2 Later-stage Financing: It is used by Expansion-stage Companies who need funds to expand sales It involves following sub-stages:
Second-stage:
• Characteristics: A company that is already
producing and selling a product and revenue starts to grow
• Buyers/financing: Venture capital, strategic
partners
• Purpose of financing: To support initial expansion
of a company
Third-stage:
• Characteristics: Revenue starts to grow
• Buyers/financing: Venture capital, strategic
partners
• Purpose of financing: To provide funds for major
expansion
Pre-IPO: It refers to mezzanine stage
• Characteristics: IPO preparation
• Buyers/financing: Venture capital, strategic
partners
• Purpose of Mezzanine (bridge) financing: To
provide funds to prepare for an IPO (mix of debt
In case of failure of venture, business can be closed without any recovery of the original investment by the equity holder
Practice: Exhibit 9,
Volume 5, Reading 30
Trang 9Stage Characteristics
Stage Financing (buyers of private equity)
Founder, FF&F, angles, venture capital
Supports market research and establishment of business
Start-Up
Movement into operation, initial revenues
Angles, venture capital
Supports product development & initial marketing
manufacturing & sales Later
Stage
Second Stage
Revenue Growth
Venture capital, strategic partners
Supports initial expansion
of a company already producing & selling a product
expansion Pre-
IPO
Mezzanine Preparation
for IPO
Provides capital to prepare for the IPO-often
a mix of debt & equity
The Supply of Venture Capital: Suppliers of venture
capital include the following
1) Angel investors: The first outside investors in a
company
• Invest in seed and early-stage companies
• Invest relatively a small amount
• These investments are considered to be the
riskiest because of early stage of business
2) Venture Capital (VC): Dedicated Pools of capital
managed by specialists (venture capitalists) that provide
equity or equity-linked financing to privately held
companies An individual pool is known as venture
capital fund
• VC identifies companies with attractive business
opportunities
• Provide financial and strategic support and
expertise in related fields
3) Large Companies: Major companies invest in
promising young companies in the same or related
businesses
• This investment is known as corporate venturing
and the investors are often referred to as
“strategic partners”
• These funds are not available to the public
Compensation of the Fund Manager:
Management fee + Incentive fee
A Management fee is usually a % of committed funds(not the amount actually invested) It ranges 1.5 – 2.5% and decreases over a period of time to reflect lower work load in later years of partnership
B Incentive fee (a.k.a carried interest): It is the share of the private equity fund’s profit earned by manager after the fund has returned the outside investor’s capital (i.e
Reference: CFAI Curriculum,
Trang 10profits that represent a return >hurdle rate or preferred
rate) It is expressed as % of total profits of a fund i.e 20%
C Clawback provision: It is a provision to penalize the
manager for bad performance in later years i.e
manager is required to return money to investors if at the
end of a fund’s life investors have not received back
their capital contributions and contractual share of
• When all or most of the cash flows are distributed to
investors, in the following years there is a catch up
period in which the manager receives all or most of
the profits
• Subsequent profits are then distributed to investors
according to carried interest %, for example 80% to
investors and 20% to manager
• Some of the profits of the manager can be placed
in an escrow account to meet claw-back liability, if
any
4.1.2) Size of the Private Equity Market
According to a reliable study, by 2006, around US$200
billion was invested in private equity VC and buyout
funds via approximately 1,000 private equity vehicles
4.2 Benchmarks and Historical Performance
In private equity, events through which market price can
be determined include:
• New funds raising
• Company acquisition by another company
• IPO
• Failure of the business
Benchmarks: Benchmarks include:
i Cambridge association and Thomson Venture
Economics
ii Custom benchmarks
Construction: Value depends on specific events
Benchmarks are constructed for VC and buyouts
Biases: Infrequent pricing process creates problems for
index construction as a result of stale values
Historical Performance: Private equity returns have
exhibited low correlation with publicly traded securities
which indicates that they can contribute to portfolio
value addition However, low correlation might exist
because of use of stale prices due to lack of observable
market prices for private equity
Interpretational Issues: Incorrect returns are estimated due to:
• Use of appraised values (stale data)
• Significant effect of company-specific events
• Non-standardized method of appraisals
Vintage year Effects: The effect of vintage year (closing year of a fund) on fund’s returns is known as vintage year effect Investors should take into account vintage year effects when comparing performance of different private equity funds
4.3 Investment Characteristics and Roles of Private
Equity 1) Illiquidity: Private equity investments are generally highly illiquid Convertible preferred stock investments do not trade in the secondary market
2) Long-term commitments: Private equity investment requires long-term commitments Time horizon can also
be quite uncertain for direct VC investments
3) Higher risk than seasoned public equity investment:
Return: On average, returns have higher dispersion than
public equity
Risk: Risk of complete loss of investment is higher New
and young businesses have higher failure rate
4) High expected IRR required: Investors require high target return to compensate for higher risk and illiquidity Characteristics of VC investments further include:
5) Limited information:
• Ventures operate in new markets
• Cash flows projections are based on limited information available and assumptions
6) High upside potential for successful ventures
Differences between VC funds and Buyout funds:
• Buyout funds are usually highly leveraged In contrast, VC funds do not use debt to obtain their equity interests
• Buyout funds have earlier and steadier cashflows relative to VC funds Note that Buyout funds are able to realize returns earlier due to purchase of established companies
Note: The earlier the stage in which a fund invests in companies, the greater the risk and the higher the return potential
• Buyout funds have less error in value measurement
• VC investing (relative to buyout funds) are associated with frequent losses and higher upside
Trang 11potential when investments are successful
• Buyout funds investment involves less risk and
earlier returns
Treatment of nonmarketable interest:
• The discount for a minority interest reflects the lack
of control that the investor has over the business
and distributions i.e
Minority interest discount ($) = marketable
controlling interest value ($) × minority interest(%)
discount = (investor’s interest in the equity × total
equity value) × minority interest discount(%)
Marketable minority interest ($) = Marketable
controlling interest value ($) – minority interest
discount ($)
• Discount for lack of marketability (marketability
discount) reflects the lack of liquidity in the
investment and depends on factors i.e size of the
interest and level of dividends paid
Marketability discount ($) = Marketable minority interest
($) × marketability discount (%)
Non-Marketable minority interest ($) = Marketable
minority interest ($) - marketability discount ($)
• In case of valuing a controlling interest, we need to
consider only the marketability discount
• In case of valuing a majority interest, the discount
for lack of marketability reflects both the cost of
going public and a discount for owning a large
block of shares
4.3.2) Roles in the Portfolio Private equity has positive correlation with public equity
because all types of businesses are exposed to
economic and industry conditions However, correlation
is low due to high company-specific risk involved in
private equity
VC fund is expected to generate higher returns in case
of advancing public equity market values
The primary role of Private equity is return enhancement;
however, it can play a moderate role as risk diversifier
Issues involved in formulating a strategy for private
equity investment:
1) Sufficient diversification requires large number of positions: Investors with greater than $100 million portfolio value are able to invest in investments required for diversification Private equity FOFs are preferable for small investors to achieve diversification (in spite of higher fees)
2) Low Liquidity of the position: Direct private equity investments are inherently illiquid
• Capital has to be tied up for 7-10 years
• Limited secondary market exists for private equity commitments
• Investments trade at highly discounted prices 3) Provision for capital commitment:
• Investors make a commitment of capital
• Cash is requested over the commitment period (usually 5 years)
• Investors are required to provide capital when
future capital calls are made
4) Appropriate diversification strategy: Both the stand alone risk factors of an investment and its effect on the overall risk of portfolio should be taken into account Diversification may be across industry sectors (IT, biotech etc.), by stage of company development (early stage, expansion, buyout etc.) and by location (local, international etc.)
Due Diligence items for private equity:
1) Evaluation of prospects for market success: It includes
• Markets, competition and sales prospects
• Management experience and capabilities;
assessment of management is an ongoing process
• Management’s commitment: Following factors are used to assess management’s commitment:
i Percentage ownership: ownership of a large portion of the company is an indication of high commitment to the company
ii Compensation incentives: managers’ interests must be aligned with the shareholders through proper compensation arrangements
• Cash invested by managers: Greater cash invested
by managers indicates highly committed management team
• Opinion of customers: Customers’ opinion of the company’s existing product/service should be evaluated
• Identity of current investors: Presence of professional/expert investors related to company business give an indication of company’s future success
Practice: Example 8,
Volume 5, Reading 30
Practice: Example 9,
Volume 5, Reading 30
Trang 122) Operational Review: It includes
• Expert validation of technology i.e technology that
is marketed by a company is valid and represents
future advancement
• Employment Contracts i.e investors should
evaluate whether key employees have contracts to
stay with the company
• Intellectual property i.e investors should evaluate
whether the company possesses relevant patents
3) Financial/ legal review: It includes
• Potential for dilution of interest: Investors should
evaluate existence of stock options and other
means which can dilute their investment interests
• Examination of financial statements: Investors
should analyze financial statements, tax returns and conduct their own audits etc
Factors to be considered in evaluating manager’s team (Indirect investment):
• Historical returns generated in prior funds
A commodity is a homogeneous and tangible asset
Types of Commodity Investments
1 Direct Commodity Investment: Refers to cash (spot)
market purchase of physical commodities or exposure
via derivatives i.e futures
• Due to carrying and storage costs associated with
Cash market purchases, derivatives and/or indirect
commodity investments are preferred by investors
• Derivatives/futures provide good commodity
exposure
2 Indirect Commodity Investment: Refers to achieving
indirect exposures to changes in spot market values of
commodities via e.g investing in equity of companies
specializing in commodity production etc
• They do not provide effective exposure to
commodity price changes because these
companies themselves hedge commodity risk
• ETFs provide partial effective commodity exposure
The creation of investable commodity indices and
increase in preference to use derivative markets to gain
commodity exposure has facilitated small investors to
access commodity markets via mutual funds or
exchange-traded funds
5.2 Benchmarks and Historical Performance
Commodities physical markets are not centralized
Therefore, performance of commodity investment can
be evaluated through commodity indices
Benchmarks:
1 Reuter Jefferies/Commodity Research Bureau
(RJ/CRB) Index:
• Groups commodities into four sectors
• Gives unequal fixed weights to each sector according to its perceived relative importance
2 Goldman Sachs Commodity Index (GSCI):
• Includes energy, metals, grains, and soft commodities (i.e cocoa, coffee, cotton & sugar)
• Uses world production weighting system
• Weights are assigned on the basis of five year moving average of world production
• The energy sector is over weighted in the index
• Provides two versions of indices:
i Total return version: It assumes that capital is required to purchase basket of commodities is invested at the risk-free rate
ii Spot version: It tracks movements in futures prices only
• Sub-indices include agriculture, industrial, livestock, energy precious metals contracts
3 Dow Jones-AIG Commodity Index
4 S&P Commodity Index
Construction: Benchmarks are constructed using a futures-based strategy
Bias: Indices differ in composition, weighting scheme and purpose
Important Notes:
• Market cap weighting scheme cannot be used in commodity futures indices because every long futures position has a corresponding short futures position and market cap of futures contract is always zero
• Generally, return on commodity futures contract is not equal to the return on the underlying spot commodity However, Cost of carry model, ensures
that the return on a fully margined position in a