Contingent immunization Cash flow matching is a classic strategy to eliminate the interest rate risk of a stream of liabilities simply by constructing a dedicated asset portfolio of high
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This reading centers around structured and passive total
return fixed-income investment strategies The term
‘passive’ and ‘active’ fixed-income strategies are with
reference to the asset manager’s outlook on interest
rates and credit market situations
Passive strategies do not mean ‘buy & hold’ rather these strategies also require continual monitoring and
rebalancing
2 Liability-Driven Investing
Asset-liabilities management (ALM) strategies take into
account rate sensitive assets and liabilities For example,
ALM approach helps institutions in reducing interest rate
risk by linking loan and deposits rate decisions and filling
gaps between asset and liability maturities
Asset-driven liabilities (ADL) and Liability-driven investing
(LDI) are special cases of ALM
1 In ADL, assets are given and liabilities are
structured to match the characteristics of those
assets i.e asset side of balance sheet signifies a
company’s primary business, and a liability
structure is used to reduce the interest rate risk
by matching the maturities of its assets and
liabilities
o For example, a manufacturing
company may get operating revenues that are highly dependent on business cycle, which in turn is positively correlated with interest rates Hence, the manufacturer will choose variable-rate liabilities to match its operating revenue
2 In LDI, liabilities are given and assets are
structured to match the characteristics of those
liabilities i.e liability side of balance sheet
represents a company’s core business and
financial decisions Assets are used to reduce
the interest rate risk
o For example, in case of a life-insurance
company or a DB pension plan, liabilities are given As the present value of these liabilities are highly sensitive to interest rate changes, estimation of interest rates plays a key role in making investment portfolio decisions
Individuals also use LDI approach, particularly when they require sufficient funds at some future date
o Consider an individual who holds a
portfolio of bonds, and plans to purchase an annuity on his retirement 10-years from now In order to fulfil his
goal, he will reinvest any cash flows from bonds and/or add a regular amount to his portfolio
Size and timing of liabilities are two major considerations for an entity Four liability types categorized by the degree of certainty regarding amount and timing of cash flows are given below:
Liability Type
Cash Outlay
III Uncertain Known
IV Uncertain Uncertain Note: Here, the primary focus is liability, though the same structure can apply to financial assets as well
Type I liabilities:
These liabilities have known amount(s) and timings e.g
an issuer of a fixed rate option-free bond For such type
of liabilities, duration measures can be used to estimate their interest rate sensitivities
Type II liabilities:
These liabilities have known amount but unknown timing
of payments e.g callable and putable bonds, term life insurance policy where, timing of the insurer’s death is unknown However, life insurance companies apply the law of large numbers to estimate the payout amounts in any given time period
Type III liabilities:
Type III liabilities have known payment dates but uncertain payment amounts e.g floating rate notes, inflation-indexed bonds, treasury inflation-protected securities etc
Type IV liabilities:
Type IV liabilities have unknown amount and timing of obligations Liabilities of property & casualty insurance companies and defined benefit pension plan fall in this category
Simple duration measure is appropriate to model type I liabilities, whereas effective duration is required to
Trang 2estimate interest rate sensitivity for type II, III and IV
liabilities The model assumes initial shape of the yield
curve, which is then shifted up and down to get new
estimates for the PV of liabilities
3 INTEREST RATE IMMUNIZATION – MANAGING THE INTEREST RATE
RISK OF A SINGLE LIABILITY
Technique and risks of interest rate immunization:
Immunization is a technique used to structure and
manage fixed-income portfolio to minimize the effects of
volatility of future interest rates on the realized rate of
return earned over a specific period At this point, it is
assumed that the bond portfolio’s default risk is zero
Single liability can be immunized simply by buying a
zero-coupon bond whose maturity date and face value
matches the liability’s due date and amount (termed as
Cash Flow Matching) There is no re-investment or price
risk
However, in many financial markets desired zero
coupon-bonds are unavailable In such situations,
immunization can be achieved by purchasing
coupon-paying bonds and matching the duration of assets to
investment horizon (i.e liability’s duration) and the PV of
assets to the PV of liabilities (termed as Duration
Matching)
Immunized portfolio by zero-coupon bonds is considered
to be the benchmark to measure the performance of
immunized portfolio using coupon-paying bonds
Macaulay duration is the weighted average of time until
the bond’s cash flows are received where the weights
are the percent of PV of cash flows with respect to sum
of PV of all cash flows
Note: A zero-coupon bond’s Macaulay duration is equal
to its maturity whereas, coupon-paying bond’s
Macaulay duration is less than its maturity
Money duration = bond’s modified duration x bond price
For a coupon bond currently trading at par:
• rise in interest rates will decrease bond price (i.e negative impact) Over the remaining time to maturity of the bond, price will rise to par and reduce the negative impact as time passes
• On the other hand, coupons will be reinvested
at higher rates generating positive impact of higher interest rates
• These positive (coupon reinvestment effect) and negative (price effect) impacts will cancel each other if investment horizon is equal to Macaulay Duration
These effects will be reversed in case of immediate downward shift in the yield curve
Conclusion:
If investor’s investment horizon = bond’s Macaulay duration, he is effectively immunized from interest rate risk i.e whether rates rise or fall, price and coupon-reinvestment effects will counterweigh each other
4 INTEREST RATE IMMUNIZATION – MANAGING THE INTEREST RATE
RISK OF MULTIPLE LIABILITIES
Four approaches to manage multiple liabilities (assuming
type-I) are as follows:
1 Cash flow matching
2 Duration matching
3 Derivatives overlay
4 Contingent immunization
Cash flow matching is a classic strategy to eliminate the
interest rate risk of a stream of liabilities simply by
constructing a dedicated asset portfolio of high quality
zero-coupon or fixed income bonds to match closely the timings and amount of cash outflows
Sometimes, accounting defeasance can be the reason
for cash flow matching for the company Accounting defeasance (a.k.a in-substance defeasance) is an
approach of vanishing the debt liability by setting aside sufficient high-quality assets to pay-off those liabilities i.e the outstanding debt and assets off-set each other and are removed from the company’s balance sheet
Cash-in-advance constraint is a concern when
implementing this strategy using coupon paying bonds because of availability of funds on or before payment
Practice: Example 1, Reading 23, Curriculum
Trang 3dates This would expose the portfolio to cash flow
reinvestment risk, particularly, in an upward-sloping yield
curve, when yields on high-rated short-term investments
are low or negative
Note: The purpose of this example is to understand the
motivation and mechanism of accounting defeasance
method, the accounting of such transactions is outside
the scope
Duration matching for multiple liabilities require:
i) matching of money duration(BPV/PVBP) of portfolio
and liabilities
ii) initial investment should be equal to or more than PV
of liabilities
iii) dispersion/convexity for assets must be equal to or
greater than for the liabilities (plus dispersion should be
as low as possible) For example, if liability convexity =
300 then asset convexity of 320 is preferred over 380
Duration matching achieves the objective of meeting
the liability even if there is a single large parallel shift in
interest rates Duration matching may fail if there are
multiple parallel shifts, single non-parallel shift or multiple
non-parallel shifts in the yield curve
Manager must rebalance portfolio (i.e repeat duration
matching) after every large parallel shift to keep the
portfolio immunized
Derivatives overlay is an efficient and cost-effective
strategy that can be used to rebalance the immunized
portfolio (single or multiple liabilities) to keep on its target
duration for yield curve shifts or twists or for the passage
of time
Suppose, a large sudden upward shift in the yield curve,
decreases both the duration and market value of an
immunized portfolio’s assets and liabilities i.e the BPV of
the assets and liabilities goes down Now, if there is a
duration gap e.g drop in the value of assets is higher
than the drop in the value of liabilities, the manager is required to close the money duration gap by increasing the portfolio duration The manager can reduce the duration gap by buying long duration bonds and selling short duration bonds Alternatively, the manager can opt for a more efficient and cost-effective method of using interest rate derivatives in the form of buying or going long, a few interest rate futures contracts
Managers often hold a portfolio of short-term bonds for many reasons including such bonds are highly liquid, can be obtained at favorable pricing, managers face liquidity constraints or due to regulatory requirements A derivative overlay strategy is then used to close the duration gap
4.4 Contingent Immunization
Contingent immunization combines immunization strategies with elements of active management If the market value of assets is greater than market value of labilities (surplus is available), the managers can consider contingent immunization as long as surplus is above a certain threshold If the portfolio’s return declines below the designated threshold, the immunization mode is activated
Surplus can be invested in any asset category such as equity, fixed-income, alternative investments,
commodity options, credit-default swaps etc
This strategy allows managers to pursue increased risk strategies that can lead to excess portfolio value and can reduce the cost of retiring the debt obligations The presence of surplus provides opportunities for managers
to take a view of interest rates i.e to be over-hedged when yields are expected to fall and under-hedged when yields are expected to rise
Practice: Example 3, Reading 23,
Curriculum
Refer to Curriculum for a very detailed example
Practice: Example 4, Reading 23,
Curriculum
Important: For further illustration and example please refer to Reading 23, 4.3 ‘Derivative Overlay’ from 5th paragraph on page 74 till end
Practice: Example 5, Reading 23, Curriculum
Refer to CFA Curriculum, Reading 23, 4.4
‘Contingent Immunization’ paragraph 4th , 5th & 6th page 77 for illustration through example
Practice: Example 6, Reading 23, Curriculum
Trang 45 LIABILITY-DRIVEN INVESTING - AN EXAMPLE OF A DEFINED
BENEFIT PENSION PLAN
Due to the nature of this topic, Team FinQuiz
recommends reading it directly from the CFA Institute’s
Curriculum
6 RISKS IN LIABILITY DRIVEN INVESTING
The basic relationship of an immunization strategy of full
interest rate hedging (hedge ratio 100%) is expressed
below:
Asset BPV ∆ Asset yields + Hedge BPV ∆Hedge yields
Liability BPV ∆Liability yields
All ∆ in yields are measured in basis points
The relation is approximate because of ignoring
higher-order terms such as convexity
Use of assumptions regarding future events and
approximations to measure key parameters involve
model risk For example, asset BPV may be
mis-measured if the changes in certain variables (e.g
nominal interest rates or expected inflation) affect equity
and alternative assets not as modeled
Measurement error for asset BPV can occur when asset
portfolio duration is calculated using weighted average
of the individual durations for the component bonds
instead of using the cash flow yield to discount the future
coupon and principal payments
When derivatives overlay are used for immunization
purposes, futures BPV calculations are based on CTD
qualifying bond divided by its conversion factor Further,
advanced measurements involving short-term interest
rates and accrued interest, can change the number of
contracts needed to hedge the interest rate risk
Model risk also arise in LDI strategies For example, in the
measurement of liability BPV in DB pension plan, there is
difficulty associated with the estimation and assumption
of plan’s key inputs such as assumptions about
employees’ future salary increase, the discount rates,
employees’ life expectancy post-employment,
employee turnover etc
If the immunization is not perfect i.e the particular
fixed-income assets, the hedging derivatives and the liabilities
are positioned at varying points along the benchmark
yield curve and at varying spreads, non-parallel shifts
and twists in the yield curve can affect asset+derivatives
differently than liabilities
There is a presence of spread risk (the risk that the asset and liability discount rates and their PVs do not move equitably) in LDI strategies because spreads on high-quality corporate bonds/sectors or on broad index and spreads on government bonds do not move in
correspondingly
Spread risk also exists in the derivatives overlay LDI strategies because the future contracts that are used to hedge the interest rate risk of multiple liabilities are usually based on US treasury notes while liabilities are corporate obligations
Spread risk is also a concern in the use of interest rate swap overlays i.e when swaps or swaptions are used to change the duration gap between portfolio assets and liabilities
Hedging strategies based on interest rate swaps have less spread risk (because of credit risk being part of both 1)Bond Yield 2) Swap rate – which is based on LIBOR) Usually OTC derivatives contain counterparty credit risk Post 2008-2009 financial crises, the inclusion of collateral requirements and restrictions strengthened the over-the-counter derivatives market and mitigated over-the-counterparty credit risk
The risk that collateral becomes exhausted is particularly
a chief concern in strategies that use derivatives overlay
to reduce the duration gap between assets and liabilities
Concerns regarding cash management and collateral availability arises with the use of exchange-traded futures contracts because of daily mark-to-market valuation and settlement into a margin account Asset liquidity becomes a key consideration for strategies that involve active investing along with passive fixed-income portfolios and for contingent immunization
Practice: Example 7, Reading 23, Curriculum
Practice: Example 8, Reading 23, Curriculum
Trang 57 BOND INDEXES AND THE CHALLENGES OF MATCHING A
FIXED-INCOME PORTFOLIO TO AN INDEX
Index-based investing generally provides diversification
at lower cost and a less risky alternative to active
management (protection from negative alpha)
The primary focus of indexed investing is selecting the
bonds for portfolio in a way that the portfolio returns
match the returns of the bond market index Therefore,
the major concern is to minimize tracking risk or tracking
error
Following are some approaches to match an underlying
market index
Pure indexing or full replication approach involves
replicating the index by purchasing all the securities in
the index
Enhanced indexing strategy involves matching the
primary risk factors of the index by purchasing fewer
securities than the index with an aim to replicate the
index performance more efficiently as compared to
pure indexing
Active management seeks to produce better returns in
which the portfolio can deviate from the primary risk
factors associated with the index
In contrast to equity markets, where equity market
indexes fairly represent the overall equity market
performance, in bond markets, the price and yield of
the recently issued government bonds more closely
gauge the overall bond market sentiment
Complexities associated with fixed-income markets
Numerous complexities associated with fixed income
markets make it is difficult to track or replicate a bond
market index These complexities include market size
and breadth, wide range of security features, unique
issuance and trading patterns, effects of these patterns
on index composition, pricing and valuation
Size and breadth of bond markets
Fixed income markets are significantly bigger and
broader than equity markets both in size of market
capitalization and in the number of securities
outstanding It is practically impossible to replicate a
broad fixed-income market index
Wide array of fixed-income security characteristics
There is a wide range of bonds (public and private)
available for investors with varying features such as
maturities, ratings, optionality, relative liquidity,
performance characteristics, coupon rate, multiple
bond issues by single issuer etc
Unique issuance and trading patterns of bonds versus other securities
Fixed-income securities are largely traded in OTC market through brokers/dealers using a quote-based trading system After 2008-09 financial crises, new regulations restricted dealers’ ability to take risk, and increased cost
to hold inventories Lower trading inventories, increased bid-ask spreads and reduced willingness to support block trades, particularly for less liquid off-the-run bonds
In many markets it is difficult to track fixed income trading transactions Even if trade data is available (e.g
in U.S from TRACE ), several bonds do not trade at all and many bonds trade only a few times during a particular year
Many non-traded bonds do not have observable prices
To estimate the current yields and prices of such bonds, matrix pricing or evaluated pricing method is used This estimation analysis is often conducted by external vendors which further increase discrepancies between index and portfolio performance
Challenges associated with index-based bond portfolios Managing an index-based bond portfolio is problematic due to bonds’ trading and valuation related intricacies Rebalancing of fixed-income indexes occur more frequently (usually monthly) due to several factors such
as new debt issuance, outstanding bonds’ maturities, changes in ratings, optionality etc Therefore, periodic rebalancing of a portfolio incurs higher transaction costs Due to the above-mentioned problems, asset managers pursuing a pure indexing strategy typically match the primary risk factors of the fixed-income index through a diversified portfolio
Matching the primary risk factors includes:
Effective duration is used to measure the change in the value of a portfolio given a small parallel shift in interest rates The indexed portfolio’s duration should be matched with the benchmark so that portfolio has same interest rate risk exposure as that of benchmark index However, for large parallel shift in interest rates, convexity adjustment must also be considered
Key rate duration is used to measure the effect of nonparallel shifts in the yield curve i.e change in slope or twist in the curve In this method, spot rate for particular key maturity is changed (all other spot rates are kept constant) to measure a portfolio’s sensitivity to a change
in that maturity This sensitivity is called the rate duration The portfolio and benchmark must have securities with same maturities, key rate durations and the same overall effective duration
Trang 6Percent in sector and quality The portfolio must match
the percentage weight in the various sectors and
qualities of the benchmark index in order to have the
same risk exposure
Sector and quality spread duration contribution
Sector Duration Contribution: The portfolio must match
the proportion of the index duration that is contributed
by each sector in the index to ensure that a change in
sector spreads has the same impact on both the
portfolio and the index
Spread duration is a measure used to describe how a
non-Treasury security’s price will change as a result of
widening or narrowing of the spread (spread risk) The
portfolio must, therefore, match the proportion of the
index duration that is contributed by each quality in the
index, (where quality refers to categories of bonds by
rating)
Sector/coupon/maturity cell weights: Convexity is
difficult to measure for callable bonds as they exhibit
negative convexity In order to match the convexity of
bonds (call exposure) in the index, the sector, coupon,
and maturity weights of the callable sectors in the index
should be matched instead of matching the convexity
because matching convexity involves high transaction
costs
Issuer Exposure: The portfolio should consist of a sufficient
number of securities so that the event risk attributable to
any individual issuer is minimized
Present Value Distribution (PVD) of Cash flows describes
how the total duration of the benchmark index is
distributed across its maturity In other words, it describes
the fraction of the portfolio’s duration that is attributable
to cash flows falling in that time period In order to
construct a portfolio to have same exposure to
nonparallel yield curve shifts and twists, portfolio must
have same present value distribution of cash flows as
that of benchmark index
Following are the steps to calculate PVD of Cash flows:
i Calculate the present value of the cash flows from the benchmark index for specific periods i.e every 6- month period is computed
ii Then each present value is divided by the present value of total cash flows from the benchmark to determine the percentage of the index’s total market value attributable to cash flows falling in each period e.g 3% of the index cash flows fall in the first 6-month period), 3.8% in the second period and so on
iii Since the cash flows in each 6-month period can be considered zero-coupon bonds, the time period is the duration of the cash flow For example, the very first 6-month time period has
a duration of 0.5 The next time period has duration of 1.0; the next 1.5, and so forth The duration of each period is multiplied by its weight to calculate the contribution of each period’s cash flows to portfolio duration For example, the contribution of the first 6-month period is calculated as 0.03(0.5) = 0.015 The contribution of the second period is 0.038(1.0) = 0.038, and so forth
iv The duration contribution for each of the period
is divided by the index duration (i.e., the sum of all the periods’ duration contributions) The resulting distribution is the benchmark’s PVD For example, suppose total index duration is 3.28 then PVD distribution is: Period 1 = 0.015 / 3.28 = 0.46%, Period 2 = 0.038 / 3.28 = 1.16% and so
on
Note: The goal of matching the primary risk factors is to minimize the tracking error (tracking risk) Tracking risk is the standard deviation of a portfolio’s active return for a given period whereas, active return is the difference between portfolio return and the benchmark return
8 ALTERNATIVE METHODS FOR ESTABLISHING PASSIVE BOND
MARKET EXPOSURE
In a ‘passive investment strategy’, manager tends to just
mimic the broader fixed-income market performance
without detailed analysis or involvement of active
management Full replication is the most direct method
to mimic the index performance Managers purchase or
sell securities only when there are changes to the index
to maintain full replication However, frequent changes
in the index and presence of illiquid securities make full
replication strategy expensive and to some extent
infeasible
Index enhancement strategies address many limitations
of full replication approach and are used by managers
to enhance portfolio returns This typical approach is referred to as stratified sampling or cell approach to indexing
In a cell-Matching technique (or stratified sampling), the manager first divides the bonds in the index into cells according to risk factors, such as sector, quality rating, duration, callability etc The manager then measures the total value of the bonds in each of the cells and
determines each cell’s weight in the index Finally, the manager selects a sample of bonds from each cell and dollar amount selected from each cell is based on that cell’s weight in the index e.g if A rated corporate bonds
Practice: Example 9, Reading 23, Curriculum
Trang 7represent 4% of the entire index, then A rated bonds will
be sampled and added until they represent 4% of the
manager’s portfolio
Enhanced-indexing is also highly significant for ESG
investors who consider environmental, social, corporate
governance and other related factors in the selection of
their fixed income portfolios
The five index enhancement strategies are given below:
1 Lower Cost Enhancements: The portfolio’s net return
can be increased by maintaining tight controls on
trading costs and management fees
2 Issue Selection Enhancements: The manager can
identify and select issues that are undervalued relative
to a theoretical value or can select issues which
according to his/her credit analysis will soon be
upgraded to enhance portfolio returns
3 Yield Curve Positioning: Some maturities along the
yield curve tend to remain consistently undervalued or
overvalued The portfolio’s net return can be increased
by overweighting the undervalued areas and
underweighting the overvalued areas on the curve
4 Sector and Quality Positioning: It has two forms:
a Maintaining a yield tilt towards a specific sector
and/or quality e.g maintaining a yield tilt toward short
duration corporate issues
b Periodic over-or-under weighting of sectors (e.g
Treasuries vs Corporates) or qualities For example, when
spreads are expected to widen (narrow), portfolio’s net
return can be enhanced by overweighting
(underweighting) Treasuries
Note: Unlike active management strategy, the objective
of this strategy is not to outperform the benchmark by a
large margin
5 Call Exposure Positioning: For example, when interest
rates decrease, callable bonds underperform as
compared to non-callable issues Therefore, in case of
declining interest rates, portfolio’s net return can be
enhanced by underweighting these issues
The stratified sampling approach provides the following
benefits
No need to buy/sell thinly-traded securities
Limit the need of frequent rebalancing of
portfolio
Enhance portfolio return and minimize tracking
error by matching portfolio performance as
closely as possible using fewer securities
Indirect methods to seek passive bond-market exposures
Some alternatives to investing directly in fixed-income securities passively are through:
i Mutual funds
ii Exchanged-traded funds iii Total return swaps Mutual Funds are pooled investment vehicles whose shares represent proportional share in the ownership of the assets in an underlying portfolio
• Shares of open-ended mutual funds are bought or sold at their NAV (), which is based on fund’s underling securities and is calculated at the end of the trading day
• Mutual funds are particularly suitable for small investors
• Mutual funds help diversifying a portfolio without the involvement of large amount of cash needed to replicate a broad index
• Investors can redeem holdings easily at fund’s NAV with one day time lag though many funds charge early redemption penalties
• Sale and purchase of individual bonds is expensive whereas, mutual funds offer the benefits of economies of scale because mutual funds’ trading cost decrease as funds’ asset size increase
• Unlike the underlying bonds, mutual funds have no maturity date because fund managers continuously trade bonds to track the index
• Mutual fund’s monthly interest payments vary depending on fund holdings
• Mutual funds charge annual management fee and may charge additional fees in terms of upload or back load
Exchange Traded Funds
• ETFs are collection of securities that typically track a particular market index
• ETFs are more tradeable than mutual funds ETF shareholders buy or sell shares throughout the day in public markets
• ETFs differ from mutual funds with respect to the process through which funds shares are created and redeemed The
creation/redemption process take place between fund and broker/dealers referred to
as ‘authorized participants’ (APs)
• To create ETF share, an AP provides basket of underlying securities to the ETF and in return receives a ‘creation unit’ (a large block of ETF share) AP may hold ETF shares or sell some or all the shares in the secondary market
• AP redeems shares through the same process
in reverse i.e AP returns the specific number of shares in the creation unit to the ETF and receives either basket of shares available in
Practice: Example 10, Reading 23,
Curriculum
Trang 8the ETF portfolio or cash
• This in-kind redemption (exchange of ETF for
basket of shares) helps ETFs shares to trade at
price close to market value of their underlying
assets
• APs generally take advantage of any possible
arbitrage opportunities (difference between
market value of underlying securities and ETF’s
NAV) by selling(buying) ETF shares when ETF
shares trade at premium(discount) to their
NAV
Synthetic strategies provide another method to replicate
index exposure through over-the-counter (OTC) or
exchange-traded derivatives OTC instruments offer
customized arrangements between two counterparties
whereas, exchanged-traded solutions involve an
organized exchange and offer standardized products
Total return swap (TRS)
TRS is the most common OTC strategy with some
combine elements of interest-rate swaps and credit
derivatives
TRS involves periodic exchange of cash flows between
two parties based on some reference obligation such as
total return (including income and price change) of
equity, commodity or bond index versus Libor + spread
Total return payer is compensated for any
depreciation/default losses in the index or default losses
incurred on the portfolio
Basic TRS structure
TRS is an efficient risk transfer OTC derivative contract between two parties in which total return payer is typically a dealer One significant benefit of using TRS compared to ETF, mutual fund or direct investment is smaller initial outlay and lower transaction costs (lower swap bid-offer cost)
TRS is a customized OTC derivative instrument and can offer exposure to securities that are hard to obtain directly such as high-yield or commercial loan investments
Following are some disadvantages of using TRS
By entering into a TRS, an investor does not legally own the underlying assets but holds a synthetic long position
in the index The investor may face counterparty credit risk and rollover risk (due to the shorter nature of the contract) Counterparty credit risk can be resolved by necessary credit due diligence Rollover risk requires investor’s ability to renew the contract in the future with reasonable pricing and business terms
Costs and operational problems of derivative transactions have been increased lately due to fundamental changes to the market, increased regulatory control, stricter rules for dealers, requirement for holding more capital, more frequent mark-to-market collateralization etc
Though exchanged-traded derivatives on debt indexes are also available, however, it is challenging for investors
to rely on such derivatives compared to over-the-counter instruments on debt indexes because of frequent changes in the availability of such exchanged-traded instruments
Benchmark selection is one of the final step in the
broader asset allocation process
For fixed-income portfolios, the selection of a
benchmark is unique because the investor usually has
some form of fixed-income coverage embedded in
asset/liability portfolios and therefore, the investment
manager must take into account the implicit or explicit
duration preferences at the time of selection of
fixed-income benchmark
The benchmark selection decision should identify
numerous characteristics of bond indexes such as:
• The finite maturities of bonds suggest that the duration of the index drift downward with the passage of time even for static bond portfolios
• For broad-based indices, issuer composition and maturity selection depend on market dynamics
• Investors who track value-weighted index automatically assign large weights to more-levered borrowers or sectors As
creditworthiness and leverage are negatively correlated, this greater allocation to more levered borrowers leads to ‘bums problems’
Practice: Example 10, Reading 23, Curriculum
Total return
receiver
pays
Total return payer
receives
Total return
receiver
Index cash flows + Appreciation
Total return payer
Libor + Spread Index depreciation + default losses
Trang 9When conducting fixed-income benchmark selection,
investors are required to vigorously comprehend and
describe their duration preferences and desired
risk-return profile within their fixed-income allocation
Targeted duration can be achieved by combining
several sub-benchmark categories
Smart beta is another alternative for fixed-income
investors who want to reduce the cost of their active
management while eliminating systematic biases such
as bums problems Smart beta is a simple rules-based strategy which is well-known among equity managers but now has gained widespread attention among fixed-income managers as well
Three maturity-based investment strategies involve
constructing a:
• laddered portfolio (bonds maturities evenly
distributed along the yield curve)
• bullet portfolio (bonds maturities concentrated
at a particular point on the yield curve)
• barbell portfolio (bonds maturities
concentrated at short and long ends of the
yield curve.)
If three portfolios (ladder, barbell and bullet) have same
duration, percentage change in the value of barbell,
bullet and ladder portfolios as a result of a:
• parallel yield curve shift, will approximately be
the same
• non-parallel shifts or twists, will be very different
Benefits of Laddered Portfolio
A laddered bond portfolio is popular investment strategy
in the wealth management industry
Diversification over maturity spectrum
Uniform cash flow distribution on maturity spectrum
feature of a laddered portfolio provides protection
(balanced ‘cash-flow reinvestment’ and ‘market price’
risks) against shifts and twists
Maintenance of the overall portfolio duration
In a stable, upward sloping yield curve environment;
proceeds from maturing bonds are re-invested in long
term bonds (offering higher yields) to maintain duration
of the portfolio This gives ladder portfolio an edge over
bullet and barbell
Convexity
A laddered portfolio offers high convexity because its
cash flows are distributed on the timeline If three
portfolios have same duration, the laddered portfolio
offers higher convexity than the bullet but lower than the
barbell However, compared to barbell, laddered
portfolio’s cash flow reinvestment risk is much lower
Liquidity Management
A laddered portfolio provides liquidity as bonds are
constantly maturing and being reinvested If liquidity is
needed, selling near-to-maturity bonds naturally offer favorable pricing or such bonds can provide high-quality less risky collateral on a personal loan or on a repo contract
Constructing a laddered bond portfolio
A laddered bond portfolio can be constructed by using individual bonds or fixed-maturity corporate ETFs These ETFs, often managed passively, have a designated term-to-maturity and credit risk profile For example, an ETF replicating the performance of some index such as 50 held-to-maturity investment-grade corporate bonds maturing in 2025
The decision to purchase pertinent ETFs instead of individual bonds offers similar benefits such as diversification over time spectrum, price stability in
near-to maturity ETFs, higher convexity etc ETFs are generally more liquid than individual bonds
Limitations of laddered portfolios Compared to laddered portfolio, fixed-income mutual fund bonds
• involve lower cost of acquisition
• offer greater diversification of default risk
• can be redeemed more rapidly at favorable pricing
Practice: Example 11, Reading 23, Curriculum
Practice: Example 12, Reading 23, Curriculum