December 26, 2006 14:28 Proceedings Trim Size: 9in x 6in PREF-06-2+PREFACE The 6th Ritsumeikan international conference on Stochastic Processes and Applications to Mathematical Finance w
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Ritsumeikan University,, Japan
World Scientific
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STOCHASTIC PROCESSES AND APPLICATIONS TO MATHEMATICAL FINANCE Proceedings of the 6th Ritsumeikan International Symposium
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PREFACE
The 6th Ritsumeikan international conference on Stochastic Processes
and Applications to Mathematical Finance was held at Biwako-Kusatsu
Cam-pus (BKC) of Ritsumeikan University, March 6–10, 2006 The conferencewas organized under the joint auspices of Research Center for Financeand Department of Mathematical Sciences of Ritsumeikan University, andfinancially supported by MEXT (Ministry of Education, Culture, Sports,Science and Technology) of Japan, the Research Organization of Social Sci-ences, Ritsumeikan University, and Department of Mathematical Sciences,Ritsumeikan University
The series of the Ritsumeikan conferences has been aimed to hold
assem-blies of those interested in the applications of theory of stochastic processes and stochastic analysis to financial problems The Conference, counted as the 6th
one, was also organized in this line: there several eminent specialists aswell as active young researchers were jointly invited to give their lectures(see the program cited below) and as a whole we had about hundred par-ticipants The present volume is the proceedings of this conference based
on those invited lectures
We, members of the editorial committee listed below, would expressour deep gratitude to those who contributed their works in this proceed-ings and to those who kindly helped us in refereeing them We wouldexpress our cordial thanks to Professors Toshio Yamada, Keisuke Haraand Kenji Yasutomi at the Department of Mathematical Sciences, of Rit-sumeikan University, for their kind assistance in our editing this volume
We would thank also Mr Satoshi Kanai for his works in editing TeX filesand Ms Chelsea Chin of World Scientific Publishing Co for her kind andgenerous assistance in publishing this proceedings
December, 2006, Ritsumeikan University (BKC)Jir ˆo Akahori
Shigeyoshi Ogawa
Shinzo Watanabe
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vi
STOCHASTIC PROCESSES AND APPLICATIONS TO
MATHEMATICAL FINANCEDate March 6–10, 2006
Place Rohm Memorial Hall/Epoch21, in BKC, Ritsumeikan University
1-1-1 Nojihigashi, Kusatsu, Shiga, 525-8577, Japan
Program
March, 6 (Monday): at Rohm Memorial Hall
10:00–10:10 Opening Speech, by Shigeyoshi Ogawa (Ritsumeikan
Uni-versity)
10:10–11:00 T Lyons (Oxford University)
Recombination and cubature on Wiener space
11:10–12:00 S Ninomiya (Tokyo Institute of Technology)
Kusuoka approximation and its application to finance
12:00–13:30 Lunch time
13:30–14:20 T Fujita (Hitotsubashi University, Tokyo)
Some results of local time, excursion in random walk and Brownianmotion
14:30–15:20 K Hara (Ritsumeikan University, Shiga)
Smooth rough paths and the applications
15:20–15:50 Break
15:50–16:40 X-Y Zhou (Chinese University of Hong-Kong)
Behavioral portfolio selection in continuous time
17:30– Welcome party
March, 7 (Tuesday): at Rohm Memorial Hall
10:00–10:50 M Schweizer (ETH, Zurich)
Aspects of large investor models
11:10–12:00 J Imai (Tohoku University, Sendai)
A numerical approach for real option values and equilibrium gies in duopoly
strate-12:00–13:30 Lunch time
The 6th Ritsumeikan International Conference on
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vii
13:30–14:20 H Pham (Univ Paris VII)
An optimal consumption model with random trading times and uidity risk and its coupled system of integrodifferential equations
liq-14:30–15:20 K Hori (Ritsumeikan University, Shiga)
Promoting competition with open access under uncertainty
15:20–15:50 Break
15:50–16:40 K Nishioka (Chuo University, Tokyo)
Stochastic growth models of an isolated economyMarch, 8 (Wednesday): at Rohm Memorial Hall
10:00–10:50 H Kunita (Nanzan University, Nagoya)
Perpetual game options for jump diffusion processes
11:10–11:50 E Gobet (Univ Grenoble)
A robust Monte Carlo approach for the simulation of generalizedbackward stochastic differential equations
12:00– Excursion
March, 9 (Thursday): at Epoch21
10:00–10:50 P Imkeller (Humbold University, Berlin)
Financial markets with asymmetric information: utility and entropy
11:00–12:00 M Pontier (Univ Toulouse III)
Risky debt and optimal coupon policy
12:00–13:30 Lunch time
13:30–14:20 H Nagai (Osaka University)
Risk-sensitive quasi-variational inequalities for optimal investmentwith general transaction costs
14:30–15:20 W Runggaldier (Univ Padova)
On filtering in a model for credit risk
15:20–15:50 Break
15:50–16:40 D A To (Univ Natural Sciences, HCM city)
A mixed-stable process and applications to option pricing
16:50– Short Communications
1 Y Miyahara (Nagoya City University)
2 T Tsuchiya (Ritsumeikan University, Shiga)
3 K Yasutomi (Ritsumeikan University, Shiga)
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viii
March, 10 (Friday): Epoch21
10:00–10:50 R Cont (Ecole Polytechnique, France)
Parameter selection in option pricing models: a statistical approach
11:10–12:00 T V Nguyen (Hanoi Institute of Mathematics)
Multivariate Bessel processes and stochastic integrals
12:00–13:30 Lunch time
13:30–14:20 J-A, Yan (Academia Sinica, China)
A functional approach to interest rate modelling
14:30–15:20 M Arisawa (Tohoku University, Sendai)
A localization of the L´evy operators arising in mathematical finances
15:20–15:50 Break
15:50–16:40 A N Shiryaev (Steklov Mathem Institute, Moscow)
Some explicit stochastic integral representation for Brownian tionals
func-18:30– Reception at Kusatsu Estopia Hotel
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CONTENTS
Preface vProgram viFinancial Markets with Asymmetric Information: Information Drift,Additional Utility and Entropy S Ankirchner and P Imkeller 1
A Localization of the L´evy Operators Arising in Mathematical
Finances M Arisawa 23Model-free Representation of Pricing Rules as Conditional
Expectations S Biagini and R Cont 53
A Class of Financial Products and Models Where Super-replication
Risky Debt and Optimal Coupon Policy and Other Optimal
Strategies D Dorobantu and M Pontier 85Affine Credit Risk Models under Incomplete Information
Smooth Rough Paths and the Applications
K Hara and T Lyons 115From Access to Bypass: A Real Options Approach
K Hori and K Mizuno 127The Investment Game under Uncertainty: An Analysis of
Equilibrium Values in the Presence of First or Second Mover
Advantage J Imai and T Watanabe 151Asian Strike Options of American Type and Game Type
M Ishihara and H Kunita 173Minimal Variance Martingale Measures for Geometric L´evy
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xii
A Remark on Impulse Control Problems with Risk-sensitive
Criteria H Nagai 219
A Convolution Approach to Multivariate Bessel Proceses
Spectral Representation of Multiply Self-decomposable Stochastic
Processes and Applications
Numerical Approximation by Quantization for Optimization
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Financial Markets with Asymmetric Information: Information Drift, Additional Utility and Entropy
Stefan Ankirchner and Peter Imkeller
Institut f ¨ur Mathematik, Humboldt-Universit¨at zu Berlin,Unter den Linden 6, 10099 Berlin, Germany
We review a general mathematical link between utility and mation theory appearing in a simple financial market model withtwo kinds of small investors: insiders, whose extra information
infor-is stored in an enlargement of the less informed agents’ filtration.The insider’s expected logarithmic utility increment is described
in terms of the information drift, i.e the drift one has to eliminate
in order to perceive the price dynamics as a martingale from hisperspective We describe the information drift in a very generalsetting by natural quantities expressing the conditional laws of thebetter informed view of the world This on the other hand allows toidentify the additional utility by entropy related quantities knownfrom information theory
Key words: enlargement of filtration; logarithmic utility; utility
maximization; heterogeneous information; insider model; Shannoninformation; information difference; entropy
2000 AMS subject classifications: primary 60H30, 94A17;
sec-ondary 91B16, 60G44
1 Introduction
A simple mathematical model of two small agents on a financial ket one of which is better informed than the other has attracted muchattention in recent years Their information is modelled by two different
the natural evolution of the market up to time t at his disposal, while
short selection of some among many more papers dealing with this model.Investigation techniques concentrate on martingale and stochastic controltheory, and methods of enlargement of filtrations (see Yor , Jeulin , Jacod in[22]), starting with the conceptual paper by Duffie, Huang [12] The model
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is successively studied on stochastic bases with increasing complexity:e.g Karatzas, Pikovsky [24] on Wiener space, Grorud, Pontier [15] allowPoissonian noise, Biagini and Oksendal [7] employ anticipative calculustechniques In the same setting, Amendinger, Becherer and Schweizer [1]calculate the value of insider information from the perspective of specificutilities Baudoin [6] introduces the concept of weak additional informa-tion, while Campi [8] considers hedging techniques for insiders in theincomplete market setting Many of the quoted papers deal with the cal-culation of the better informed agent’s additional utility
In Amendinger et al [2], in the setting of initial enlargements, the
addi-tional expected logarithmic utility is linked to information theoretic
con-cepts It is computed in terms of an energy-type integral of the information
drift between the filtrations (see [18]), and subsequently identified with
the Shannon entropy of the additional information Also for initial largements, Gasbarra, Valkeila [14] extend this link to the Kullback-Leiblerinformation of the insider’s additional knowledge from the perspective
en-of Bayesian modelling In the environment en-of this utility-information
paradigm the papers [16], [19], [17], [18], Corcuera et al [9], and Ankirchner
et al [5] describe additional utility, treat arbitrage questions and their
inter-pretation in information theoretic terms in increasingly complex models
of the same base structure Utility concepts different from the mic one correspond on the information theoretic side to the generalized
In this paper we review the main results about the interpretation of thebetter informed trader’s additional utility in information theoretic termsmainly developed in [4], concentrating on the logarithmic case This leads
to very basic problems of stochastic calculus in a very general setting ofenlargements of filtrations: to ensure the existence of regular conditional
filtration, we only eventually assume that the base space be standard Borel
In Section 2, we calculate the logarithmic utility increment in terms of theinformation drift process Section 3 is devoted to the calculation of the in-formation drift process by the Radon-Nikodym densities of the stochastickernel in an integral representation of the conditional probability processand the conditional probability process itself For convenience, before pro-ceeding to the more abstract setting of a general enlargement, the resultsare given in the initial enlargement framework first In Section 4 we finallyprovide the identification of the utility increment in the general enlarge-ment setting with the information difference of the two filtrations in terms
of Shannon entropy concepts
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2 Additional Logarithmic Utility and Information Drift
Let us first fix notations for our simple financial market model First ofall, to simplify the exposition, we assume that the trading horizon is given
We consider a financial market with one non-risky asset of interest rate
x + (θ · X) t , 0 ≤ t ≤ 1,
as the wealth process of a trader possessing an initial wealth x and
Throughout this paper we will suppose the preferences of the agents to bedescribed by the logarithmic utility function
Therefore it is natural to suppose that the traders’ total wealth has
want to maximize their expected logarithmic utility from terminal wealth
So we are interested in the exact value of
The expected logarithmic utility of the agent can be calculated easily, if onehas a semimartingale decomposition of the form
0 ηs d M, M s,
arbitrage opportunities In fact, if X satisfies the property (NFLVR), then it
may be decomposed as in Eq (2) (see [10]) It is shown in [3] that finiteness
of u(x) already implies the validity of such a decomposition Hence a
decomposition as in (2) may be given even in cases where arbitrage exists
We state Theorem 2.9 of [5], in which the basic relationship between optimallogarithmic utility and information related quantities becomes visible
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for any x > 0 the following equation holds
Let us give the core arguments proving this statement in a particular setting,
dX t
X t = αt dt + dW t,
with a one-dimensional Wiener process W, and assume that the small
is a progressively measurable mean rate of return process which satisfies
1
that the wealth process V(x) is given by the simple linear sde
maximization problem for the function
2π2
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This proposition motivates the following definition
Definition 2.1 A filtration (Gt ) is called finite utility filtration for X, if X is
write
F = {(Ht)⊃ (Ft)(H
t) is a finite utility filtration for X}
We now compare two traders who take their portfolio decisions not on thebasis of the same filtration, but on the basis of different information flows
the utility difference depends only on the process µ = ζ − β In fact,
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Definition 2.2 Let (Gt ) be a finite utility filtration and X = M + ζ · M, M
M−
The following proposition summarizes the findings just explained, andrelates the information drift to the expected logarithmic utility increment
Proposition 2.2 Let (Gt ) and (H t ) be two finite utility filtrations such that
Gt⊂ Ht for all t ∈ [0, 1] If µ is the information drift of (H t ) w.r.t (G t ), then we
3 The Information Drift and the Law of Additional Information
In this section we aim at giving a description of the information driftbetween two filtrations in terms of the laws of the information incrementbetween two filtrations This is done in two steps First, we shall consider
the simplest possible enlargement of filtrations, the well known initial
enlargement In a second step, we shall generalize the results available in
the initial enlargement framework In fact, we consider general pairs offiltrations, and only require the state space to be standard Borel in order tohave conditional probabilities available
3.1 Initial enlargement, Jacod’s condition
In this setting, the additional information in the larger filtrations is atall times during the trading interval given by the knowledge of a randomvariable which, from the perspective of the smaller filtration, is knownonly at the end of the trading interval To establish the concepts in fair
the augmented filtration of a one-dimensional Wiener process W Let G be
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respect to this filtration More precisely, suppose that there is an
under a condition concerning the laws of the additional information G
which has been used as a standing assumption in many papers dealing
with grossissement de filtrations See Yor [27], [26], [28], Jeulin [21] The
condition was essentially used in the seminal paper by Jacod [20], and
in several equivalent forms in F¨ollmer and Imkeller [13] To state andexploit it, let us first mention that all stochastic quantities appearing in thesequel, often depending on several parameters, can always be shown topossess measurable versions in all variables, and progressively measurableversions in the time parameter (see Jacod [20])
t(ω, dl) the
we will call Jacod’s condition, states that
(10) P G
t(ω, dg) is absolutely continuous with respect to PG (dg) for P− a.e ω ∈ Ω.
Also its reinforcement
will be of relevance Denote the Radon-Nikodym density process of theconditional laws with respect to the law by
p t(ω, g) = dP
G
t(ω, ·)
p t(·, g) = p0(·, g) +
0
k u g dW u , t ∈ [0, 1]
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with measurable kernels k To calculate the information drift in terms of
the covariation of two martingales (for more details see Jacod [20])
Theorem 3.1 Suppose that Jacod’s condition (10) is satisfied, and furthermore
that
t = k
g t
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To see how restrictive condition (10) may be, let us illustrate it by
looking at two possible additional information variables G.
Example 1:
given by a stochastic differential equation with bounded volatility σ and
with the law of G Hence in this case, even the strong version of Jacod’s
sets A on the real line we have
Note now that the family of Dirac measures in the first term of (15) is
this example Jacod’s condition is violated
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Malliavin gradients of conditional laws of G We shall not give details here,
since we will go a considerable step ahead of this setting In fact, in thefollowing subsection we shall further generalize the framework beyondthe Wiener space setting
3.2 General enlargement
Assume again that the price process X is a semimartingale of the form
be decomposed into a martingale component orthogonal to M, plus a
component possessing a stochastic integral representation with respect to
M with a kernel function k t(·, ·) Then, provided α is square integrable with
respect to dM, M ⊗ P, the kernel function at t will be a signed measure in
its set variable This measure is absolutely continuous with respect to the
Radon-Nikodym density
As a remarkable fact, this relationship also makes sense in the reversedirection Roughly, if absolute continuity of the stochastic integral ker-nel with respect to the conditional probabilities holds, and the Radon-Nikodym density is square integrable, the latter turns out to provide an
filtration
To provide some details of this fundamental relationship, we need towork with conditional probabilities We therefore assume that (Ω, F , P) isstandard Borel (see [23]) Unfortunately, since we have to apply standardtechniques of stochastic analysis, the underlying filtrations have to be as-sumed completed as a rule On the other hand, for handling conditional
t ), (G0
smallest right-continuous and completed filtrations containing the small
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ones, and thus satisfy the usual conditions of stochastic calculus We
t ⊂ G0
process
(t, ω) → P t(ω, A)
e.g Theorem 4, Chapter VI in [11]) We may assume that the processes
E∞
may be described in the unique representation (see e.g [25], Chapter V)
t−) isalso generated by a countable number of sets
which is the generalization of Jacod’s condition (10) to arbitrary stochasticbases on standard Borel spaces
It is also immediate from the definition that
On the basis of these simple facts it is possible to identify the informationdrift, provided (3.1) is guaranteed
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αt(ω) = γt(ω, ω)
is the information drift of (Gt ) relative to (F t ).
We now look at the problem from the reverse direction As an
filtration if and only if
information drift, i.e
0 αt d M, M t
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ap-proximate Radon-Nikodym densities This will be done along a sequence
i = i
Note that k t(ω,A)
P t(ω,A)is (Ft)−predictable and 1]t n
i ,t n
i+1 ](t)1 A(ω) is (Gt)−predictable
integrability which will follow from the boundedness of the sequence in
more details see [4])
Lemma 3.1 Let 0 ≤ s < t ≤ 1 and P = {A1, , A n } be a finite partition of Ω
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all k Hence the expectation of the left hand side in the previous equation is
at most 0 One readily sees that the stochastic integral process with respect
to ˜M in this expression is a martingale and hence has vanishing expectation,
while a similar statement holds for the stochastic integral with respect to
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15Lemma 3.1 will now allow us to obtain a Radon-Nikodym density
∞ Note that our main result implicitly contains the statement that the
t , P M−a.e
Theorem 3.2 Suppose that the information drift α satisfies E01α2d M, M <
t−, for
the density process γ provides a description of the information drift of (G t ) relative
measures coinciding on a system which is stable for intersections, Eq (21)
t− Hence, by choosing k t(·, A) = ˜kt(·, A) for all A ∈ G0
t−,the proof is complete
We close this section by illustrating the method developed by means of anexample
t the
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the level a, provided the level has not yet been hit In this example, the
from a slight modification of the proof of Theorem 3.1)
is straightforward to show that
k r(ω, {τ(a) ∧ t + δ ≤ u}) = 1[0,u](r)
4 Additional Utility and Entropy of Filtrations
t ) and (G0
t) such that (Ft) and (Gt)are obtained as the the smallest respective extensions satisfying the usualconditions
analyis we will assume throughout this section that M has the predictable
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conditional entropy of theσ−algebra G0
we obtain by stopping and taking limits if necessary
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We are now in a position to introduce a notion of conditional entropy
i=1and%
∆=%k
i=1
Definition 4.1 Let (∆n) be a sequence of partitions of [0, 1] with mesh |∆n|
Proof Let (∆n) be a sequence of partitions of [0, 1] with mesh |∆| converging
of M exist It follows immediately from Eq (22) that
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the joint distribution of M and G relative to the product of the respective distributions, which is also known as the mutual information between M and G To sum up, we obtain a very simple formula for the additional
logarithmic utility under initial enlargements
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A Localization of the L´evy Operators Arising in
where c(z)dz is a positive Radon measure, called L´evy density, defined on
R Nmin(|z|2, 1)c(z)dz<C1,(2)
C2
|z|1 +γ<|c(z)|< C3
|z|1 +γ ∀z ∈ RN∩ {|z|<1},
(3)
The second-order fully nonlinear partial differential operator F is
(Degenerate ellipticity) :
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(6)
|F(x, p, X) − F(y, p, X)|<w(|x − y|)|p| q + η(|x − y|)||X||
to get rid of the singularity of the L´evy measure, we shall use the following
R Nu( ˆx)
(resp (p, X) ∈ J2 ,−
R Nu( ˆx)) be a second-order superjet (resp subjet) of u at ˆx.
) holds We use this pair of numbers (ε, δ) satisfying (8) (resp (9)) for
any (p, X) ∈ J2,+R Nu( ˆx) (resp (p , X) ∈ JR2,−Nv( ˆx)) in the following definition of
viscosity solutions
Definition 1.1 Let u ∈ USC(RN) (resp v ∈ LSC(RN)) We say that u (resp v)
(p, X) ∈ J2,+R Nu( ˆx) (resp ∈ J2,−R Nv( ˆx)), and any pair of numbers (ε, δ) satisfying(8) (resp (9)), the following holds for any 0< ε<ε
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that (11) holds (See Theorem 3.2 in below.) (These results hold for moregeneral problem
uniformly elliptic (i.e (10) is not satisfied), we study the following two
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nonlinear degenerate elliptic operator, satisfying the following conditions.(Periodicity) :
where X<Y(X, Y∈ SM), 0 < M<N
The method to derive the above uniform H¨older continuity (11) and theH¨older continuity (17) is based on the argument used in the proof of thecomparison result (See Ishii and Lions [21], for the similar argument inthe PDE case.)
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Next, we shall state the strong maximum principle for the L´evy erator In [18], for the second-order uniformly elliptic integro-differentialoperator
with-out assuming the uniform ellipticity of the partial differential operator F in(1) (see Theorem 5.1 in below, and M Arisawa and P.-L Lions [9])
Finally, we shall apply these regularity results (11), (17) and the strongmaximum principle, to study the so-called ergodic problem In the case ofthe Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman (HJB) operator
the ergodicity of the corresponding controlled diffusion process, for
as follows
f (x) such that the following problem has a periodic viscosity solution u(x)