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CFA CFA level 3 volume III applications of economic analysis and asset allocation finquiz curriculum note, study session 9, reading 20

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A market index represents the performance of a specified security market, market segment, or asset class.. A market index may be used as a benchmark for an investment manager.. For examp

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Reading 20 Market Indexes and Benchmarks

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A reference point used to evaluate the performance of

a portfolio manager or investment portfolio is referred to

as Benchmark The benchmark selection depends on the objectives and constraints of the investor

A market index represents the performance of a

specified security market, market segment, or asset

class For example, S&P 500 Index represents the

performance of 500 large-cap US equities; Barclays

Sterling Aggregate Bond Index represents the

performance of fixed-rate, investment-grade

sterling-denominated bonds A market index may be used as a

benchmark for an investment manager

Characteristics of a Valid Benchmark: A valid

benchmark should have the following seven properties:

securities or factor exposures constituting the

benchmark are clearly defined

passive investment alternative i.e an investor can

always opt to forgo active management and

simply hold the benchmark

readily calculated on a reasonably frequent

basis

risk as the manager and is consistent with the

manager’s investment style or biases or area of

expertise

manager has current investment knowledge

(positive, negative, or neutral) of the securities or

factor exposures constituting the benchmark can

invest in all securities

prior to the start of an evaluation period and is

known to all interested parties

should agree to be evaluated against the chosen benchmark

responsible for a public or private institutional investment plan) is responsible for determining the plan participation requirements, investment choices, contributions, and distributions

A fund manager is the professional manager of separate accounts or pooled assets or an external investment manager to whom management of a part of the sponsor’s assets is delegated

Active investment strategies seek to generate return in excess of market return The excess return is referred to

as the manager’s active return, and the variability of the active returns is referred to as active risk

Policy portfolio is a strategic asset allocation that determines the broad allocation of assets to stocks, bonds, and other types of securities within the fund to individual managers within the asset categories

Investment Style: A natural grouping of investment disciplines that has some predictive power in explaining the future variation of portfolio/fund returns across portfolios/funds is known as Investment Style

An ideal or “valid” benchmark can be used to evaluate

active investment management skills of the manager

Benchmarks can also be used to identify investment

manager’s investment universe and investment

discipline

Benchmarks:

the sponsor’s portfolio;

the manager regarding expected risk and return and the way fund assets should be invested

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expertise and his investment style to the board of

directors (or any oversight group) and

consultants;

exposures of the manager;

as for appraisal and selection of managers;

compliance with regulations, laws, or standards

potential investors by describing investment

strategy to them

be a return objective e.g actuarial rate-of-return

assumption or a minimum return target that the fund

aims to exceed

median manager or fund from a broad universe of

managers or funds as a performance evaluation

benchmark e.g fund that falls at the median when

funds are ranked in descending order

market indexes as benchmarks e.g S&P 500, Wilshire

5000 for U.S common stocks; the Lehman

Aggregate and the Citigroup Broad

Investment-Grade (U.S BIG) Bond Indexes for U.S

investment-grade debt

4) Style indexes: It refers to using specific portions of an

asset category as benchmark e.g

large-capitalization growth, large-large-capitalization value,

small-capitalization growth, small-capitalization

value, mid-capitalization growth and value common

stock indexes are also available

are used to analyze the portfolio’s sensitivity to a set

of factors (systematic sources of return e.g return for

a broad market index, company’s size, company

earnings growth, industry, and financial leverage)

Rp = ap + b1F1 + b2F2+…+ bKFK +εp

Where, F 1 , F 2 , F K represent the values of

factors 1 through K, respectively

The higher the sensitivity (bk), the greater positive

exposure to a specified factor the portfolio has and

consequently, the higher expected return, holding all

else equal

For example, in one-factor model, the return on a security, or a portfolio of securities, is regressed on the return on a broad market index (over a long period e.g

60 months):

Where,

R p = periodic return on an account

R I = periodic return on the market index

ap = “zero factor” term It represents the expected value

of Rp if the factor value was zero

βp = beta = sensitivity of the returns on the account to the returns on the market index

εp = residual return due to nonsystematic factors

These benchmarks are constructed using (1) the series of a manager’s account returns over specified periods and (2) the series of returns on several investment style indexes (e.g cap value, small-cap growth, large-small-cap value, and large-small-cap growth) over the same periods Using these return series, an allocation algorithm solves for the optimal set of allocation weights for investment style indexes that most closely track the account’s returns In this optimization process, portfolio’s sensitivities (similar to

be non-negative and sum to 1 These allocation weights represent the returns-based benchmark

benchmarks are constructed by selecting securities and weightings consistent with the manager’s investment process and client restrictions Since these benchmarks reflect manager’s investment strategy, they are also referred to as strategy benchmarks The benchmark is rebalanced periodically to ensure that it stays consistent with the manager’s investment practice Such benchmarks are preferred to use when the manager’s strategy cannot be closely matched to a broad market index or style index

constructed by selecting securities and weightings consistent with the duration profile and other key characteristics of the liabilities These benchmarks reflect the return required to meet the future obligations as well as mimic the volatility of the liabilities A liability-based benchmark typically consists of nominal bonds, real return bonds, common shares, and other assets

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4 Market Indexes Uses and Construction

Market indexes for equities include CAC 40 (French), FTSE

100 (UK), or Dow Jones Industrial Average (US) etc Broad

market fixed-income indexes include Barclays, JP

Morgan, Markit, and S&P/Citigroup These market

indexes are used to assess portfolio managers’

performance

used to measure ex-ante return, risk, and

correlations of an asset class It can also be used to

determine the incremental expected return and risk

from adding a new asset to a portfolio In other

words, market indexes allow investors to design an

investment policy suitable for different risk aversion

levels

can be used to convey the investment

management mandate of the plan sponsor to

portfolio manager For example, a portfolio

manager of a passively managed portfolio may be

required to match the index return; whereas, a

portfolio manager of an actively managed portfolio

may be required to generate returns in excess of an

index return

ex-post performance benchmarks for the manager

more detailed portfolio analysis For example,

currency-hedged and unhedged versions of

non-domestic indexes can be used to evaluate the

effectiveness of a currency management strategy

daily (and even intra-day) market movements

Hence, they can be used to gauge public or market

sentiments E.g the Chicago Board Options

Exchange (CBOE) Market Volatility Index (VIX) is

frequently used to measure market uncertainty

also used as a basis for investments, i.e index mutual

funds, exchange-traded funds (ETFs), and

derivatives

Index is constructed based on the following three

factors

1) Inclusion criteria: Inclusion criteria determine the number and type of eligible securities to be added

in the index The greater the number of securities and the more diversified they are by industry and size, the better the index will measure broad market performance Securities are considered eligible if they meet liquidity standards, minimum trading price, available shares (float), etc An index can serve as a valid benchmark if its security composition

is similar to that of the portfolio of the manager

depending on the methodology used for security weighting e.g value-weighting, price-weighting etc Weights of securities affect index risk and return and also influence the validity of the index as a

manager’s benchmark

the adjustment of the index for changes in shares outstanding resulting from buybacks, secondary offerings, spinoffs, stock distributions

Types of Security Weighting: There are several weighting schemes commonly used:

market cap weighting, or cap weighting): In market-value weighting, each stock in the index is weighted according to its market capitalization A market value-weighted index is estimated by adding the total market value of all the stocks in the index:

Market Value of stock = Number of Shares Outstanding ×

Current Market Price of stock

The performance of a market value-weighted index

represents the buy/hold return of all the outstanding shares of each stock in the index Examples of market

value-weighted index include S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite, Russell 3000

Float-weighted index is a subcategory of market value-weighted index In float-value-weighted index, weights are assigned according to the market capitalization of publicly-traded (free float) shares only

Weight of a stock = Market cap weight × Free-float

adjustment factor

Where, Free-float adjustment factor = fraction of shares that float freely

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Its performance represents the buy/hold return of all the

shares of each stock in the index that are available for

trading to the public Examples include FTSE 100, Russell

1000 & 2000, S&P 500 etc

stock is assigned according to its absolute share

price A price-weighted index (PWI) is simply an

arithmetic average of current prices

PWI = (P1+P2+…+Pn) / n

Where,

P i = price of stock i

n = total number of stocks in the index

The performance of a price-weighted index represents

the buy/hold return of 1 share of each stock (or equal

number of shares invested in each stock) in the index

Index movements are affected by the change in the

prices of the stocks It is adjusted for stock splits and

changes in the composition of index over time

Examples include Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA)

and Nikkei Dow Jones Average

the index is weighted equally regardless of their

price or market value i.e a $25 stock is as

important as a $50 stock in the index and the total

market value of the company is not important The

performance of equal-weighting index represents

the buy/hold return of equal dollar amount

invested in shares of each stock in the index

Examples include Value Line and the Financial

Times Ordinary Share Index

periodically (e.g., quarterly) to reestablish the

equal weighting because individual security

returns will vary, causing security weights to

drift from equal weights

each stock in the index is weighted based on

company characteristics other than market values,

i.e sales, cash flow, book value, and dividends The

performance of a fundamental-weighted index

represents the performance of a portfolio that

invests according to valuation metrics for security

A benchmark should include every possible security

in order to reflect complete coverage of a market

But small-capitalization securities are too illiquid and

could not be purchased in amounts relevant to

institutional investors Similarly, some securities are

not accessible for foreign investors if country’s

government imposes restrictions A less broad index

is more investable and accessible but not a representative of broader, more diversified performance Hence, indexes must be designed in a way so that they are broad and have adequate investability Popular indexes have greater liquidity and thus they involve lower trading costs

turnover:

Reconstitution is the process of periodically adding and dropping securities from an index in order to keep pace with changes in index contents

Rebalancing involves adjusting weights of existing securities for changes in the number of shares outstanding There is also conflict inherent in maintaining an index‘s representativeness while at the same time seeking to maintain its simplicity and cost-efficiency because both reconstitution and rebalancing result in turnover which is costly for investors Security prices rise when securities are added to an index and fall when they are deleted from an index As a result, index reconstitution decreases returns of managers tracking the index because they have to buy securities at higher prices and sell the deleted securities at lower prices

better the index‘s representation of the pure market, but the greater the transaction costs in tracking the index

 Reconstitution is less frequent for all-inclusive indexes than for those with a fixed number of securities where securities are added and dropped from an index on periodic basis (e.g., the S&P 500)

float-adjustment because there is high probability of issue’s estimated free float to stay within the band

broad-cap indexes of the U.S equity market are constructed using rules that are reasonably objective, while others are constructed using judgment Transparency and objectivity allow investors to anticipate changes in index constituents and to manage the index replication process in an orderly and efficient manner Less transparency and greater use of judgment make the index less

investable and create additional costs for tracking portfolios but at the same time, judgment-based indexes are considered to be superior in terms of stability, accurate representation of the industry distribution of the economy, and other attributes

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5 Index Weighting Schemes: Advantages and Disadvantages

Advantages:

securities are unambiguous measures of value at

a point in time

• If all investors held all the securities in

cap-weighted indexes in proportion to their market

value, then investors will be able to hold all

shares This property is referred to as macro

consistency

CAPM because all investors in a CAPM world

would hold a proportional investment in the

market portfolio

rebalancing than other indexes because stock

splits and other changes in the index

composition are automatically adjusted

Disadvantages:

towards the shares of firms with the largest

market caps (mostly large, mature firms and

overvalued/overpriced firms) i.e companies with

larger market values have higher weights

Hence, the capitalization-weighted index is

potentially more vulnerable to market bubbles

as it is highly concentrated in few issues i.e large

cap firms Therefore, it may not serve as a valid

benchmark for those professionally-managed

portfolios that are prohibited to invest more than

10% of their value in any one stock in order to

meet professional fiduciary duty regarding

diversification

with a manager’s investment style

overvalued issues and underweight undervalued

issues

Advantages:

market value data

Disadvantages:

price stock (i.e higher priced stocks receive higher

weights) and do not necessarily reflect the

economic importance of issuing companies

reverse splits and changes in index composition and thus require adjustments

investor holds one unit of each security in the index that does not explain how most investors form portfolios

Advantages:

large-cap securities and more diversified as they give smaller weights to large-cap securities (and larger weights to small-cap securities)

“how the market did” because they provide an average of all index security returns

Disadvantages:

small cap firms because they contain more small firms

periodic rebalancing which increases transaction costs

illiquid stocks

Advantages:

from disadvantages of market value-weighted, price-weighted and equal-weighted indexes because they use valuation metrics to weight index constituents

appropriately represent an issuer’s importance in

an economy because they weight by fundamentals, rather than by market prices that are subject to bubbles

Disadvantages:

subjective judgment

diversified than capitalization weighted indexes if the valuation screen is restrictive

by all the investors because they are weighted

by valuation metrics rather than available

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liquidity (market capitalization)

as valid benchmarks because their composition

and weightings are not fully known to investors

as valid benchmarks for investors preferring

large-cap growth securities because they are

biased towards small-cap value stocks

Among all the types of indexes, capitalization-weighted,

float-adjusted indexes are considered to be the most

preferred for use as benchmarks because they are most

easy to mimic and involve less tracking risk and cost

End of Reading Practice Problems:

Practice all the questions given at

the end of Reading

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