MINISTRY OF EDUCATION AND TRAINING NATIONAL ECONOMIC UNIVERSITY TRAN XUAN LUONG "Factors affecting the intention to buy houses of people in urban areas of Vietnam" Major: Real Estate
Trang 1MINISTRY OF EDUCATION AND TRAINING
NATIONAL ECONOMIC UNIVERSITY
TRAN XUAN LUONG
"Factors affecting the intention to buy houses of
people in urban areas of Vietnam"
Major: Real Estate Business Administration
Code: 9340101
SUMMARY OF ECONOMIC DOCTORAL
THESIS
Hanoi, 2020
The work was completed at:
National Economics University
Instructors:
1 Assoc Prof Pham Van Linh
2 Prof Pham Lan Hương
1st reviewer: …………
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2nd reviewer:…………
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3rd reviewer:…………
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The dissertation will be reviewred in front of the State Council for Thesis Evaluation at……
The dissertation can be found at: National Library
Library of National Economics
University
Trang 2INTRODUCTION
1 Rationale
Vietnam is stepping up on the process of urbanization in the local area, the speed of
urbanization is shown by the growth rate over time of urban population and urban area
(Tran Minh Tung, 2019 ) The World Bank (WB, 2011) argues that urbanization in Vietnam
is closely related to five transition factors, namely administration, space, economy,
population and social welfare These transformations have drastically changed the physical
and non-physical appearance of urban areas The increase in density in new urban space
areas, often located on the suburban, is seen as a result of the urbanization process through
new urban area projects
Urbanization in Vietnam is happening at a very fast pace, with increasing population
pressure, and is putting the burden of housing problems on urban areas (Tran Ngoc Chinh,
2019) Cities in Vietnam are currently facing an imbalance between the availability of
housing and meeting real needs (JLL, 2020) Supply in high-end and luxury apartments is
currently quite high; According to JLL, the density of luxury apartments in Ho Chi Minh
City reaches 3 units per 1,000 people, nearly the same level as in BangKok, Thailand
Although the market supply is very large, according to information from the Ministry of
Construction, at the end of 2019, the real estate market (RE) still has a large inventory
(about 22,976 billion VND) This fact shows that the current supply of RE products in urban
areas in Vietnam has not reached the suitable customers
The calculation of JLL (2020) shows that, depending on the model, the basic facilities
and the location of the project, the price must be lower than $ 1,200 (approximately VND
27,000,000) per square meter will be considered affordable housing This is a high price
even compared to the average income per capita of Hanoi capital in 2019 at VND
120,000,000/person/year Therefore, the current RE market in Vietnam urban areas with
mostly middle and high-end apartments are only serving the middle class of society The
middle class, according to the definition of the World Bank (2015), is the person with a
living standard higher than USD15/ person/day, equivalent to VND 10.6
million/person/month if calculated at the exchange rate in early 2020 This object of
Vietnam is growing rapidly in recent years, accounting for 15% of the population in 2019
(approximately 14.4 million) and is estimated to reach 20%, 25% soon This is an important
role in economic development, boosting demand due to high consumption, contributing to
creating more jobs for society and helping the economy reduce its dependence on foreign
investment (Dang Hoang Hai Anh, 2020)
Although being a target customer of the Vietnam RE market, buying a house is always
one of the important things in human life (Felicia et al., 2014) Because buying a house is a
complex decision-making process, shown by the high cost, irregularity, risk, high
self-expression and significant differences in people's perceptions (Manivannan et al., 2014) )
Buying a house is also considered a long-term investment decision since it is the main point
affecting people's living standards from both macro and micro aspects (Paul et al., 2019)
The middle class is said to be aware and demanding of high quality products; so with an
important, high-value product like housing, it becomes even more cautious
According to state and local planning regulations, The real estate market in Vietnam's urban areas will include the main products of condominiums, villas, adjoining houses or penthouse and shophouse These are all high-value products, which have been located in the middle and high-end segment in the past period, making purchasing decisions more difficult The real estate market in urban areas of Vietnam is paradoxical when the supply is abundant, customers are available and increasing but the amount of inventory is still large The question is whether or not the sellers fully understand the buyers; know when the customer's purchase process is formed, influenced by what factors, what are the special factors that middle-class buyers require in housing supply In addition, the rapid urbanization process makes the law as well as institutional and administrative factors developed incompatibly, leading to a lot of housing disputes in the past period, which makes middle-class people become more cautious
Research on the house buying intention (BI) of domestic and foreign authors shows that there have been a number of studies of authors around the world on customers and types of houses or real estate However, in Vietnam, it is still very few and most are focusing on researching social housing or low-income housing - the source of real estate products is very few in Vietnam Thus, it can be seen that both theory and practice show the urgency of scientific studies, especially quantitative studies on housing buying behavior in urban areas of Vietnam to provide grant bases to investors as well as policy makers in reaching customers effectively This process begins with the intention of buying a house that matches the personal and psychological characteristics of the customer Because buying intention reflects consumers' beliefs related to the consumer behaviors chain is an individual motivation in awareness to promote efforts to conduct behaviors (Ajzen and Fishbein, 1980)
In this context, the PhD student selected the topic "Factors affecting the intention to
buy houses of people in urban areas of Vietnam" to be the subject of the doctoral thesis In which, focusing on researching on house buying intention of middle class people in Vietnam - the target customers of the current urban real estate market Because of the different characteristics of housing products in urban areas, PhD student also plans to divide the product types into two groups, called private houses and apartments In which private houses are understood as villas, adjacent houses and shops An apartment is defined as an apartment or a penthouse And besides analyzing the factors affecting house buying intention of people in urban areas of Vietnam, the thesis will also compare the differences in buying intention between the two types of apartments and private houses of researched customers
2 Research questions
- What are the main factors influencing the intention to buy a house with the price range of VND 3-5 billion of the middle class customers in urban areas in Vietnam?
Trang 3- Is there a difference in the influence of factors on the intention to buy an apartment and the
intention to buy a private house with the same price of 3-5 billion VND of the middle class
customers in urban areas in Vietnam?
- What demographic characteristics differ between two middle-class customers who intend
to buy an apartment or a private house, at the same price of 3-5 billion VND in urban areas
of Vietnam?
3 Research purposes and missions
Research purposes:
The dissertation is aimed at assessing the influence of different factors on housing
buying intention in urban areas of Vietnam In particular: comparing the differences in the
influence of factors on the buying intention of middle-class customers for apartments and
private houses in urban areas Vietnam with prices ranging from VND 3 to 5 billion
Detail goals:
- Review theoretical schools and previous studies on houses/real estate buying
intention On that basis, determine the theoretical basis for the research of the thesis;
- Build a model to study the factors affecting intention to buy houses of people in
urban areas of Vietnam;
- Test the proposed research model with data collected from people with intention to
buy houses in Vietnam urban areas; in which divided into 02 groups: people with apartment
buying intention and people with private house buying intention;
- Make recommendations to consumers (homebuyers), developers and policy makers
in the design, construction and distribution of housing products in urban areas in accordance
with consumers' buying intention
4 Research subject and scope
4.1 Research subjects
The research object of the thesis is the factors affecting intention to buy houses of
people in urban areas of Vietnam a comparison of the different levels of influence between
apartment buyers and home buyers
4.2 Research scope
Scope of content:
- Research on house buying intention, the factors affecting house buying intention
and the characteristics of people in urban areas of Vietnam
- The thesis does not study other processes in the behavior of consumers buying
houses in Vietnam's urban areas such as: decision of buying houses; satisfaction after
buying etc
Scope of research method:
Assessing the influence of factors on house buying intention is analyzed from the
perspective of the house buyer, not from the perspective of the seller / broker or
construction investor or policy makers
Scope of space:
- The study focused on 02 groups of customers who are buyers of apartments and private houses:
+ People who have buying intentions considering one of the above apartments or private houses, up to the time of answering the survey questionnaire
+ Middle-class customers are those who own a relatively better financial position to actually make a choice of them (Linghi Li, 2010) Because the research objectives of this thesis are not aimed at examining the solvency issue (price factor) but want to compare the impact of factors on the intention of people on buying a house How the intention of the person who wants to buy the apartment is different from that of the person who wants to buy a private house when they have the same amount of money to choose to buy a house + The price of a private house or apartment that customers have intention to buy is in the range of 3-5 billion This price is chosen because according to the statistics of one of the big and reputable real estate information sites (batdongsan.com.vn), this is the price with the largest transaction volume in both types of apartment buildings and private house In addition, according to the evaluation of experts of the Real Estate Association of Vietnam,
in the last 3 years, the rate of absorption of residential real estate reached the highest rate, nearly 95% Notably, the absorption rate of apartments in the mid-end segment is the highest, over 97%
Scope of time:
- The thesis collects secondary data in the period of 2014 - 2018
- Primary data was collected in the period from June 2018 to June 2019
- Analysis and reporting data in the period 2019 - 2020
5 Summary of thesis
a / The research process of the dissertation consists of 12 basic steps: research problem (step 1); building theoretical basis (step 2); research model and questionnaire establishment (step 3); scale construction, pilot test, perfect scale (step 4,5,6,7,8,9); extensive investigation (step 10); information analysis (step 11), discussion and recommendations (step 12)
b / The dissertation's research methodology combines the deductive method and inductive method
c / Data collection method:
For secondary data: the method of collecting desk data
For primary data: in-depth interview method; expert method, test survey; Investigate by questionnaire
6 New contributions of the thesis
The thesis has contributions in both theoretically and practically, as follows:
- Contribution 1: Systematized theories about theoretical models related to human behavior, consumer behavior as well as intention to buy houses
- Contribution 2: Establishing an analytical model of factors affecting the intention to buy a house in urban areas in Vietnam in the price range of 3-5 billion VND of middle class customers based on the TPB model by Ajzen (2009, 2012) The model consists of 05 independent variables (attitudes, subjective norms, perception of behavior control, house position, legality), 05 control variables that are demographic characteristics of people
Trang 4(gender, age, occupation, education level, family size) and 01 dependent variable (buying
intention)
- Contribution 3: Contribution 3: Comparison of the differences in the influence of
factors on buying intentions of middle-class customers for apartments and houses in urban
areas in Vietnam with prices ranging from 3- 5 billion
- Contribution 4: Affirm the difference in the intention to buy an apartment or private
house with the price of 3-5 billion VND of middle-class customers with different
demographic characteristics
- Contribution 5: Propose a number of suggestions to consumers, investors and policy
makers on home or apartment products at VND 3-5 billion in urban areas of Vietnam These
suggestions may help:
+ Home buyers, brokerage consultants to have references to find themselves a private
house or apartment at VND 3-5 billion, suitable to their requirements
+ Investors to build houses based on research results to make timely and effective
investment decisions
+ State agencies to adopt appropriate guidelines and policies and approve investment
projects on housing construction, aiming at the right target, using effectively, minimizing
the phenomenon of "ghost town" causing losses for national resources, avoid wasting risks
and social consequences
CHAPTER 1 OVERVIEW OF THE RESEARCH AND AND RESEARCH
MODEL 1.1 Consumer behavior
Walters (1974: 7) defines consumer behavior as “the process by which individuals
decide what, what, when, where, how and from whom to purchase goods and services”
Mowen (1993: 6) provides another definition by explaining consumer behavior as
“studying the units of purchase and the exchange processes involved in the acquisition,
consumption and disposal of goods, services, experiences and ideas ” This definition
focuses on the purchases of entities that include not only individuals but also groups that
purchase products or services
Schiffman & Kanuk (1997: 648) define consumer behavior as "The behavior
consumers display when searching, buying, using, reviewing and disposing products,
services and ideas" Schiffman & Kanuk (1997: 6-7) clarify the definition by explaining that
consumer behavior studies how individuals make decisions to use their available resources
(time, money, effort) on consumption-related items It includes research about what, why,
when, where, and how often they buy and how they use the product In addition, it includes
all the behaviors consumers exhibit in finding, buying, using, evaluating and disposing of
products and services they expect will satisfy their needs Also according to Schiffman &
Kanuk (1997: 6-7), two different types of consumers can be distinguished as individual and
group consumers Individual consumers who purchase products and services for personal or
household use or as a gift to someone else Personal consumer purchases are ultimately for personal consumption On the other hand, group consumers buy products and services to run an organization, including for-profit and non-profit organizations or governmental organizations and institutions
Engel's definition of consumer behavior, Blackwell & Miniard (1990:G4), states that
“actions are directly related to the acquisition, consumption and handling of products and services, including decision processes before and after these actions” More recent descriptions or definitions (which are not substantially different from above) can be found in Arnould, Price & Zinkhan (2002:5) and Peter & Olson (2002:6)
Consumer behavior is also defined as how individuals, groups and organizations select, purchase, use and discard goods, services, ideas or experiences in order to meet their needs (Kotler & Keller, 2009: 9; Solomon, 2009: 7)
A broader and “more complete” definition of consumer behavior is “the totality of consumers' decisions with respect to the acquisition, consumption, and disposition of goods, services, activities, experiences, people, and ideas by (human) decision-making units over time."(Hoyer & Macinnis, 2010: 3)
Schiffman, Hansen & Kanuk (2012: 5) argue that “consumer behavior is about finding, buying, using, reviewing and rejecting products and services that they hope will meet the needs of people ”
1.2 Consumer behavior and housing products
Several studies have discussed homebuyers' buying choices and have determined that homebuyers should be referred to as consumers in certain consumer activities such as choosing, buying and using home products (Fierro et al., 2009; Hoang & Yi, 2010; Opoku
& Abdul-Muhmin, 2010)
Housing selection aims to maximize benefits in housing use, in the context of housing
as a durable commodity of individuals and households ( Koklic and Vida, 2009; 2011) Meanwhile, from a behavioral economics perspective, housing choice is seen as a problem-solving process with behavioral orientation, values-focused (Collen and Hoekstra, 2001; Jansen, 2014) and influenced by psychological factors with many different biases (Gibb, 2009)
In the decision-making process, individuals need to consider different goals, for example the individual makes a conscious effort to make a correct choice, maximizing benefits on a experiences of minimizing negative emotions (Bettman et al., 1998) However, individuals strive to achieve certain goals and values when solving their problems The problem-solving process takes place in a series of well-analyzed phases, although a particular problem may repeat complicatedly Collen and Hoekstra (2001) together with the research team of Jansen et al (2011) have reviewed the document and conceptualized stages
of the problem solving process such as: (1) Problem perception; (2) Clearly identify the problem; (3) Design and testing; (4) Selection; (5) Consideration of commitments; (6) Action; and (7) Feedback
Interestingly enough, house buying decision making is often influenced by the people involved At the household level, family members have an influence on home buying
Trang 5decisions (Levy and Kwai-Choi Lee, 2004) In addition, the activity of choosing / buying a
house is considered an inherently social activity and each decision-maker is influenced by
emotional and other psychological factors Therefore, the decision-making process includes
things such as: setting goals, discussing and negotiating family needs about housing,
consulting with intermediaries, forecasting changes in housing issues (housing features and
market trends) according to Levy et al (2008)
1.3 Human behavior model
According to Kotler (in Gould, 1979: 33), the extremely difficult task is to discover
why people buy because they are influenced by many factors One reason is that people are
greatly influenced by their mentality, which ultimately leads to the decision to make a
public purchase
Runyon & Stewart (19B7: 694-695) explains the theory of human behavior by saying
that it represents beliefs related to human nature as well as the cause of their behavior
Therefore, people can be viewed from many perspectives For example, if people are
viewed from an economic perspective, marketers can try to influence them with incentives
However, from a social theory perspective, marketers can try to influence people by calling
for group norms, reference groups and values
According to Runyon & Stewart (1987: 695), when discussing human behavioral
models, it is important to note that the proposed models are considered to be an incomplete
description of people, in which the Different models may be suitable for different marketing
situations However, the above attitudes and models of human behavior have provided
valuable input on consumer behavior, as they strive to provide insights into why people -
consumers make reasonable buying decisions
To better understand human behavior, four models will be discussed with marketing
applications based on Kotler's findings (in Gould, 1979: 34-46) The models of human
behavior discussed below are: the Marshal economic model, the Veblenian psychosocial
model, the Pavlovian learning model, and the Freudian psychoanalysis model In addition to
these four models, Maslow's need hierarchy theory discussed the importance of
understanding the impact of needs and motives on consumer behavior
1.4 Consumer behavior model
The discussion of human behavior models in section 1.3 shows efforts to explain
human behavior as well as its effect on consumer behavior The models take a very narrow
approach in terms of their interpretation of the person's behavior and its impact on consumer
behavior They focus on only a small set of possible behavioral effects, such as the Marshal
model, only on the influence of financial resources on behavior
The shortcomings of human behavior models led to more complex models of
consumer behavior appearing in the early 1960s According to Runyon & Stewart (1987:
698), consumer behavioral models, in contrast to human behavioral models, attempt to
describe and systematize the entire purchasing process, thus providing a guide for further
learning and research on consumer behavior
Section 1.4 will focus on the definition of consumer behavior patterns, their purposes
and advantages and ultimately discuss some of the patterns of consumer behavior along
with their importance in understanding consumer behavior These models include: the Bettman information-processing model, the Nicosian model, the Howard Sheth model, the Howard model, the Engel-Blackwell-Miniard (EBM) model, the Theory of Rational Action (TRA), and the Theory of Planned Behavior (TPB)
1.5 Theory of Planned Behavior (TPB) and house buying intention
1.5.1 TPB model studies on house buying intention
Research by Chung et al (2018) has mentioned quite a few different authors' approaches to buying intention Buying intention is defined as the probability that a customer is willing to buy a product in the near future (Wu et al., 2011) According to Sidi and Sharipah (2011), a buying intention is considered a subjective judgment by the customers it reflects after the customer evaluates whether to buy a product or service A buying intention is also defined as a situation in which a customer is willing to deal with a seller and may come to consideration of purchasing some products or service (Dodds et al., 1991) The higher buying intention, the higher customer's willingness to buy a product or service (Schuler and Adair, 2003; Chiew et al., 2014) Studies have also shown that the clients are more likely to convert their intentions into actual buying behavior (Zawawi et al, 2004) Chung et al mentioned that buying intention is the dependent variable predicted by
an independent variable such as attitude, cognitive behavior control and subjective norms (Ajzen and Fishbein, 1980; Ajzen, 1991)
In the study of Julius et al (2016) also reviewed some concepts of buying intention and house buying intention of different authors Wu and Teng (2011) identify buying intention
as potential customers in the plan to purchase a particular product or service in the future Interestingly, both buying intention and buying decision are at two different stages in consumer behavior theory however there is a significant link between both phases, especially the association related to house purchase (Ajzen, 1991; Han and Kim, 2010; Kunshan and Yiman, 2011) According to Ajzen (1991), intention is considered to include the motivating factors that lead to a particular behavior in which intention implies how much effort a person performed for the act to happen In other words, a person with a high buying intention is more likely to buy Hence, Julius et al (2016) defined home buying intent in their study as how consumers are willing to buy a home in the near future This is a definition consistent with the definition of Ajzen (1991)
Mohamad et al (2013) mentioned that in research on real estate market development
in Malaysia, buying intention can be defined as the plan to buy a particular good or service
in the future It can also be defined as a consumer's attitude toward a product referring to its beliefs, feelings, and intentions to buy Plabdaeng (2010) says that making buying decisions
is one of the activities that people do all the time People actually make decisions about many things According to Sidin, Zawawi, Wong, Busu, & Hamzah, (2004), family members will have different roles in making purchasing decisions Sometimes, the decision maker may not be the one with the purchasing power to buy the product (Mansumitchai, 2002)
Author Tawfik in the 2014, 2015 (a, b, c) publications also mentioned, intention is a sign of one's willingness to act and it is the immediate premise of behavior Because Intention is the dependent variable predicted by an independent variable namely Attitude, Subjective Norm and Cognitive Behavior Control Intention changes over time and as the interval increases, the correlation between intention and action decreases (Ajzen, 1991; Ajzen & Fishbein, 1980; Han and Kim., 2010; Kim and Han, 2010) Davis et al (1989) and Taylor & Todd (1995) found in their studies that intention is a strong predictor of behavior
Trang 6Therefore, the buying intention is the premise of the buying decision (Phungwong 2010)
In Tech's (2013) study on the intention to buy a greenhouse in Malaysia, the author
also pointed out that intentions are subjective assessments of how individuals will behave in
the future, which provide a connection between individuals and products purchased (Kim &
Littrell, 1999; Madden et al., 1992) The power of intention as an alternative measure for
future behavior has been demonstrated in previous studies (Morwitz etal., 2007; Chan &
Lau, 2000) Among the theories used to explain the buying intention, the Theory of Planned
Behavior (TPB) - an extension of Theory of Reasonable Action (TRA), has been shown to
provide a framework for identify predictors of the intention to buy a particular product
(Ajzen & Madden, 1986; Han et al., 2010) To determine the buying intention of home
buyers, it is necessary to know their attitudes
Research by Nguyen Thi Tung Phuong (2018) mentions the concept of "apartment
choice" In the original sense, "choice" is an opportunity, right and power to choose, while
"decision" is to reach a conclusion or resolution after consideration and does not imply the
existence of alternatives “Decisions” are influenced by the analysis of facts and
information Choosing can range from low-impact to high-impact However, unlike choice,
decisions are made based on facts, not on different beliefs and perspectives Even so, a
decision can also be part of a choice
In Vietnam, the study of apartment buying intentions is important for real estate marketing
and modern urban development Because consumers 'house buying” behavior is so complex,
it is difficult to have a single model or theory that fully explains consumers' decisions to buy
an apartment The process of forming an apartment purchase intention is a complicated
process, so it is not possible to fully and accurately explain all the factors that affect the
intention to buy an apartment of people living in the urban area Buying a house to live in is
one of the most important economic decisions made by people of all income classes, so the
buyer is often required to gather and synthesize a lot of information about the features,
quality, facilities, design, price and surroundings (Le Va Xi, 2017)
1.5.2 TPB studies on factors affecting the intention to buy a house
There are many studies on house buying intention and the factors that affect it A
recent study by Sridharan (2020) shows that the reason for buying a house is the pride in
owning property instead of renting someone else's, having no landlord and tax benefits
Wijayaningtyas et al (2019) study the behavioral control awareness factors of the Y
generation (millennials) for environmentally friendly buying intention Anlan Liu (2019)
has a study of the impact of children on the household's willingness to buy a house In
addition, the factors of family annual income and ownership of private cars have a negative
effect, while the effect of an individual's age and educational level on buying intention is
insufficient
Lin et al (2018) studied the green housing buying intention among young Chinese on
the basis of an extended theory of planned behavior (Theory of Planned Behavior - TPB)
Incentives from the Government are considered the most important factor, followed by the
attitude towards behavior and subjective norms of consumers Cognitive behavioral control
is a factor that does not affect the green housing buying intention of young consumers In
addition, subjective knowledge has an indirect effect through attitude toward behavior
Attention to the environment also creates an indirect effect through attitudes toward
behavior and subjective norms on the corresponding buying intention Therefore, the government is implied to play an important role in promoting green housing at this stage Chung et al (2018) studied the factors affecting buying intention of land assets in Greater Kuala Lumpur (KL), Malaysia The results have shown that there are positive relationships between attitudes, subjective norms, perceptions of behavioral control and finance to buying intention of land assets, while location and living space are not showing a similar relationship in the land market in Greater KL
Mal et al (2018) studied the effect of feng shui factors on buying intention of the Chinese people (Malaysian Chinese - Chinese originating from Malaysia) According to the views on feng shui, potential buyers believe that feng shui arrangements can affect luck and property A survey questionnaire based on 24 criteria for feng shui was designed to use data collection from two different locations, namely Kuala Lumpur and Sandakan Demographic factors collected are gender, age, income, home owners, house buyers intention of buying or not, buying a house to stay or to invest The characteristics of the house studied in addition
to feng shui are: location, house price, security, transportation system, public utilities, development potential and resale potential
Houses in Sabah are built by investors based on economic factors rather than on the interests of consumers (Julius, 2016) Therefore, this study aims to understand consumer behavior towards house buying by using The Theory of Buyer Behavior Model with Perception and Output Perception includes housing attributes such as house characteristics, living space, distance and environment The output refers to the intention of buying The exogenous variables of the model is the superstition about numbers, superstition about ghosts, brand owners and financial investors The goal of this study is to examine the influence of these factors on buying intention Based on the responses of 235 working adults, the findings indicate that house, financial, distance, environmental characteristics and superstition about numbers have a significantly positive relationship with house buying intention
Demographic criteria play an important role in determining people's characteristics (Fernando, 2016) Factors affecting buying intention were identified as housing characteristics, individual living space, finances, location and demographics Demographics
were collected based on 07 criteria of age, religion, marital status, household size,
occupation, and income.
In 2019, Mydhili et al Gathered a number of studies on the factors affecting the purchase of BDS There are a number of studies on house buying intention such as Mostofa (2016), Al-Nahdi (2015) and Tawfik (2015) Research by Mostofa et al investigated potential market factors in the attitude of real estate buyers in Bangladesh to identify opportunities for investors and traders in Realty The research of Al-Nahdi et al focused on behavioral factors affecting Saudi Arabia's real estate purchase and aimed to see how real
estate buying intention is affected by attitude, how location, living space, public services,
and reference groups are In 2015, Tawfik's doctoral thesis studied the effects of a number
of variables in the role of independent variables (attitudes, subjective norms, perception of
behavior control ) and the role of moderator variables (location, public services) to the
Trang 7dependent variable is the intention to purchase real estate in Jeddah, Saudi Arabia In
addition, demographic characteristics such as age, gender, marital status, family size,
citizenship, education, occupation, and monthly income are also control variables taken into
research The theoretical basis of Tawfik's research is based on the Theory of Reasoned
Action (TRA) and TPB theory
Karunarathne et al (2015) argue that most housing market models are based on
rational choice and behavior optimization, but do not take into account observed behavior in
the housing market Therefore, two structures were identified, namely the self image and
the influence of the reference group
The purpose of Polek's announcement (2014) is to study the importance of different
reference groups - Group References - affecting house buying intention for families living in
Thailand because houses are durable properties at high prices compared to The income of
the people of this country The study applied Ajzen's famous theory of TPB (1991)
Mohamad et al (2013) considered that there are a number of factors that determine the
movement of the real estate market From the results of the analysis, the influencing factors
have a significant relationship with real estate buying intention in Setia Alam, which are
personal characteristics, knowledge, social class and reference group
The study measures the intention to buy green and sustainable housing in Malaysia
using an extended theory of behavioral models under the TPB plan (Teck Hong Tan, 2013)
Results obtained showed that attitudes towards green houses, cognitive behavioral control
and perceived identity (Perceived self-identity) have a positive impact on behavioral
intention to buy that house
In Vietnam, there are a number of authors studying this content Typically, Le Va Xi
(2017) on the topic "Factors affecting the intention of Vietnamese consumers to buy
apartments in medium-sized cities: A study in Hai Phong City" The author has focused on
understanding 4 main groups of factors: cultural changes; land issues for urban housing
development; urbanization and population pressures; and finally the factors that provide
value to the residents of the apartments - the value of condos - including the quality of
construction design, services, environment and prices
The research of Nguyen Thi Tung Phuong in 2018 is about choosing apartments in
urban areas in Hanoi city The study showed two factors that influence the choice of buying
apartments in urban areas of Hanoi city, namely "family phase" and "lifestyle" In addition,
control variables added include: age, gender, occupation, income, purchase price per square
meter of the apartment
In addition, there are a number of studies by Vietnamese authors about house buying
decisions As researched by Truong Thanh Hiep and colleagues in 2018 on the impact of
fear of losses on homebuyer behavior The Doctoral thesis and the publications of Nguyen
Tuan Anh et al (2017; 2018a, b, c) studied the impact of financial and non-financial factors
on the choice of buying affordable housing (social housing) and low-cost commercial
housing
1.6 Research gap of the thesis
1.6.1 Some conclusions about the research review
Previous studies in the country and abroad presented above have helped the PhD student have a relatively general view of the factors affecting house buying intention or real estate buying intention (collectively referred to as house buying intention) A summary of these factors is presented in Appendix 01 of the thesis From the contents reviewed, the PhD student draws some conclusions as follows:
- Most of the research on house buying intention and factors affecting the intention to buy a house is currently by foreign authors The main model used in the studies is TPB
- The works have brought a lot of different factors to study the impact on buying intention of consumers But together, these factors are divided into three main groups:
• The first group contains the factors in the basic model of TPB: Attitude, Subjective
Norms, and perception of behavior control These factors have also been further developed
or transformed by some studies: Self image (in reality, in imagination); Influence
(information type, standard type) ; Knowledge (Subjective Knowledge); Personality etc
These factors often act as independent variables affecting buying intention But there is also research (Lin et al., 2018) that these variables also act as intermediaries when previously influenced by a number of other factors
• The second group includes factors that belong to the property (or real estate):
Ownership / Legal procedure; Location ; Price; Finance / Development potential / Potential for resale; Environment; Living space (private); Public services (public utilities); Transportation system; Feng Shui; Superstition (numbers, ghosts) etc These factors mostly play an independent variable affecting purchasing intention However, in some studies of
Tawfik (2014, 2015), there are a number of variables (location, public services) that play a
role in regulating the relationship between the independent and dependent variables
• The third group is the list of buyers' personal/demographic characteristics: gender;
age; job; field of work; work status; marital status; monthly income; educational background; number of family members; environmental concern; social class; personal characteristics; religion; nationality; civil rights; current type of housing; whether he/she owning a car, etc These are the factors that always play the role of control variables Only
the citizenship factor in Tawfik's study (2015b) was analyzed as a moderator variable on the relationship between the dependent and independent variables
• The fourth group is other factors such as investors (brand, prestige), government
incentives, urbanization, culture etc. These variables often play the role of independent variables
1.6.2 Research gap
Based on the conclusions of the research situation, the PhD student determines the gap for the thesis as follow:
- First, the gap about the research object:
+ Housing in urban areas has a price of 3-5 billion VND The dissertation studies a group of people with house buying intention in urban areas at a price of 3-5 billion VND to be able to control factors of price and income
+ Home buyers are middle class Corresponding to the ability to buy houses at prices from 3
to 5 billion, according to experts, buyers are usually middle-class people According to the
Trang 8concept of World Bank (2015), the global middle class is defined as those with a living
standard higher than 15 USD / person / day, equivalent to 10.6 million VND / person /
month (exchange rate in 2020)
- Second, the gaps in influencing factors: the study focuses on evaluating two main
factors, which are location and legality, in comparison with the three basic factors of the
TPB model, which are attitude, subjective norms, and perception of behavioral control
- Third, the gap of analytical content: the dissertation analyzes the difference in the
influence level of factors on the intention to buy two types of housing in urban areas,
namely apartments and private houses The identified influencing factors include 03 factors
in the TPB model: attitude, subjective standards, and perception of behavior control; along
with 02 factors have been established as in the content gaps as legal status and location But
there are two main types of housing in urban areas, which are apartments and private
houses, so the impact of these factors on the two groups of customers who intend to buy
these two types of houses will also be different Therefore, the thesis will focus on
clarifying this difference
- Last, the gaps in research space and time: housing research in urban areas of
Vietnam was conducted during the period from 2016 to 2020, collected primary data in
2019-2020 and Reported results in 2020
CHAPTER 2 HYPOTHESIS AND RESEARCH METHODS
2.1 Overview of the study area
2.1.1 Vietnam urban area
Circular 34/2009 / TT-BXD dated September 30, 2009 of the Ministry of Construction detailing a number of contents of Decree 42/2009 / ND-CP, dated May 7, 2009
of the Government on the for type of urban area, "Vietnamese urban centers are urban centers, including cities, towns and townships recognized by decision-making authorities in Vietnam" Although districts and communes in Vietnam are the administrative level in rural areas, in special cases, if the size and the nature of urbanization are met, the district can be recognized as urban, such as Prime Minister decided to recognize Phu Quoc island district
as a grade II urban area, the Ministry of Construction decided to recognize the expanded Tinh Gia town area of Tinh Gia district (Thanh Hoa province) as grade III urban area (the entire district Tinh Gia is a grade IV urban area, Duy Tien district (Ha Nam) or Tinh Bien district (An Giang) is a grade IV urban area Some communes in Vietnam that are district towns preparing to be upgraded to towns may also be recognized as Grade V urban area by the provincial government
2.1.2 Housing in urban areas
Article 3, Housing Law No 65/2014 / QH13 of the National Assembly of the Socialist Republic of Vietnam provides the following concepts:
- House is a construction work for the purpose of staying and serving daily needs of
households and individuals
- Private house is a type of house that is defined on a separate parcel of land under
the lawful use rights of organizations, households and individuals, including villas, attached houses and independent houses
- Apartment building is a building with 2 or more floors, with many apartments,
common aisles, stairs, a private area, a shared area and a system of infrastructure works used for families, individuals and organizations, including apartments built for residential purposes and apartments built for mixed use purposes containing residential and business purposes
2.1.3 Characteristics of housing in urban areas
As mentioned above, houses in urban areas of Vietnam is also a type of real estate Therefore, they have the basic characteristics such as immovability, lifetime, additional costs, products and services, and future value Besides, according to the Hoang Van Cuong (2017), real estate in general and houses in particular have the following characteristics: Position stability; Sustainability; Individuality and Scarcity; Value; Adaptability; Mutual influence; Habits, Tastes and Psychology; Government of State laws and policies
For 02 types of houses selected for research in the thesis, which are "apartments" and
"private houses", there are a number of distinctive features to mention such as house purchase price, apartment value, payment , access to credit, house ownership certificate, use right, living standards, location if the there is similarity in price, utilities, living space,
atmosphere, vision, security, buyers
2.2 Scale of factors
Trang 92.2.1 Buy Intention Factor
The intention to buy a house in Vietnamese urban areas is the level of consumer willingness
to choose and buy one of two typical housing types, Apartment or Private House in urban
areas of Vietnam with the main purpose of living and able to serve other needs that are not
prohibited by law such as trading (buying for resale) renting, giving, etc
2.2.2 The Attitude Factor
Attitude refers to the extent to which a person has a favorable or negative rating relative to
an object, person or event (Robbins et al., 2015) It consists of three components:
perception, emotion and behavior Studies have shown that there is a significant impact
between attitudes and intention to buy a house (Kamal et al., 2016; Al-Nahdi et al., 2015;
Phungwong, 2010; Chung et al., 2018)
2.2.3 Subjective Norms Factor
Subjective norms are the normative beliefs of an individual influenced by others such as
family members who think an individual should perform a particular behavior (Rivis and
Sheeran, 2003) Many studies show that the reference group has a strong positive effect on
buying intention (Panthura, 2011; Numraktrakul et al., 2012; Razak et al., 2013) For people
planning to buy a house, their reference group is usually family and close friends with real
estate knowledge
2.2.4 Perception of behavior control factor
Perception of behavior control is defined as the degree to which the person controls internal
and external factors that facilitate or prevent the behavior (Han and Kim, 2010) This factor
has been shown by a number of studies to have a positive effect on behavioral intentions
(Han and Kim, 2010; Teo and Lee, 2010; Omar et al., 2012) as well as buying a house
(Phungwong , 2010; Chung et al., 2018) However, Al-Nahdi et al (2015), Tawfik et al
(2014, 2015, 2015abc) found that perception of behavior control has no effect on customers
who intend to buy real estate
2.2.5 Location factor
Location is a factor related to accessibility to shopping malls or retailers, public transport,
schools, hospitals or close to work as it is not only convenient but also effective to work and
sending children to school According to many studies, this factor has a positive impact on
buying intentions of consumers (Nasar and Manoj, 2015; Fernandez, 2017; Abdullah et al,
2012; Al-Nahdi et al, 2015; Tawfik, 2014, 2015)
2.2.6 Legal factors
The legality of the house relates to the law, to ensure the legal implementation of sale or
transactions, limit risks, as well as to protect their rights Some early studies reinforcing the
positive relationship between legal factors and intention to buy houses include Ranthilaka
(2010), Sridharan (2020), Dang Hung Vo (2018)
2.2.7 Demographic characteristics of house buyers
Buyers’ demographics are the internal factors involved in decision making (Mateja & Irena,
2009) Demographic characteristics include individual factors by gender, age, educational
status, marital status, career, number of family members, children and real estate To suit the
thesis, the demographic characteristics selected for analysis include: gender, age, main
occupation, education level, family size
From the determination in the above factors, the scale is inherited and built including:
From the determination in the above factors, the scale is inherited and built
including:
Scale of intention Source
I will probably buy this type of house Sridharan (2020); Wijayaningtyas
et al (2019); Anlan Liu (2019); Lin et la (2018); Chung et al (2018); Julius (2016); Tawfik (2014; 2015; 2015abc); Karunarathne (2015); Polek (2014); Mohamad (2013); Teck (2013)
I will try to buy this type of house
I want to buy this type of house
I make plans to buy this type of house
I intend to buy this type of house in the future
I will continue to buy this type of house in the future
Buying this type of house is a beneficial decision Mydhili (2019); Chung et al
2018); Karunarathne (2015); Tawfik (2014; 2015; 2015abc); Polek (2014); Teck (2013)
Buying this type of house is a good decision Buying this type of house is a wise decision Buying this type of house is an admirable decision
Subjective norms scale Source
My family thinks that I should choose to buy this type of house
Chung et al (2018); Karunarathne (2015); Tawfik (2014; 2015; 2015abc)
My family wants me to choose to buy this type of house
My family agrees to let me choose this type of home
My family thinks that choosing this type of house
is a wise decision
Cognitive behavioral control scale Source
I have enough opportunities to make a decision to buy this type of house
Chung et al (2018); Karunarathne (2015); Tawfik (2014; 2015; 2015abc); Polek (2014); Mohamad (2013); Teck (2013)
I have enough time to make a decision to buy this type of house
I have enough money to buy this type of house
I have enough knowledge and skills about this type of house to make my own buying decision
I complete control over this type of house
Trang 10Scale of intention Source
The location of this type of house near public
transport is important
Mydhili (2019); Chung et al
(2018); Fernando (2016); Julius (2016); Tawfik (2014; 2015;
2015abc); Mimoza (2013)
The location of this type of house near
workplace is important
The location of this type of house near school
is important
The location of this type of house near
shopping centers is important
The location of this type of house near
amusement parks is important
The location of this type of house near
relatives, friends is important
The location of this type of house near
grocery / retail stores is important
Ensuring immediate and full use of
infrastructure and utilities of this type of
house is important
Sridharan (2020); Ranthilaka (2010); Law on housing 2014;
Circulars 31/2016/TT-BXD;
Circulars 10/2013/TT-BXD;
Author and experts proposal
(2020)
Ensuring the freedom of living, repairing and
renovating this type of house is important
Ensuring long-term ownership of this type of
house is important
Ensuring no dispute over the usable space of
this type of home is important
Ensuring multi-purpose use rights for this
type of house (for living, for sale, for rent,
etc.) is important
Ensuring the completeness and legality of
legal documents for this type of house
(construction permit, sale contract, land use
rights certificate / house ownership
certificate, etc.) is important
2.3 Research model and hypothesis
areas in Vietnam
Vietnam
Vietnam
- H5: Legality has a positive effect on house buying intention in urban areas in Vietnam
Figure 1 Model of research on factors influence the intention of people to buy houses in urban areas in Vietnam
Source: Ajen (1991, 2012) and author (2019)
_
CHAPTER 3 RESEARCH METHODS
3.1 Research design
The thesis is designed to research the questioning and research objectives of factors affecting the intention to buy houses of people in urban areas of Vietnam In the overall process, financial research works have been done for different target groups such as homebuyers, developers, and policy makers
3.2 Research methods
- The research approach of the thesis consists of a combination of deductive and inductive methods
- Data collection methods:
+ Secondary data was collected through sources of conferences, topics, thesis, research works, books, newspapers, internet domestically and internationally
+ Primary data was collected through methods: in-depth interviews, surveys by questionnaires
- Data analysis method: