• An evolving literature focused on the subset of patients at low-risk for complications (death, bleeding, recurrent VTE).. High Risk Jiminez, 2010[r]
Trang 1Division of PULMONARY & CRITICAL CARE MEDICINE
Pulmonary Embolism:
Issues in Stratification, Prognosis
and Management
Sean M Caples, D.O., M.Sc
Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine
Trang 3• 66 M presents to ED with abdominal pain
• Similar to past diverticulitis (occasional sharp
Trang 4In ED 5 hours Vital signs
• No signs of DVT
Trang 5D-dimer > 2000 What’s next?
Trang 7• What is the diagnosis and where should he be admitted?
Trang 8Massive—High Risk
– Sustained hypotension (SBP < 90) for at least 15m or
on inotropes not due to another cause or
• Primary reperfusion (lytics, surgery, percutaneous)
• ICU level care
• ECMO
Jaff et al Circ 2011, EHS Guidelines
Trang 9Submassive—Intermediate Risk
– Acute PE without hypotension but with either
• RV dysfnx
– Dilation – Elev BNP – ECG new RBBB or ischemia
Trang 11Most who make it through ED survive
Causes of Death in those 30+ days
Trang 12Natural History Most Deaths Occur Before Hospital
Identify? Rescue?
Trang 14Submassive PE:
Why Stratify Risk?
• “Close monitoring” for early complications
• Optimize standard Tx (therapeutic heparin)
Smith, Morgenthaler et al, Chest, 2010
• Offer escalation in the case of deterioration
– Assuming we can detect it in time
• ? Reduce long-term complications
– (CTEPH 1-2%)
Trang 16Pulmonary Embolism Severity Index
• 15K+ patients dismissals from 186 PA hospitals
– Data derived from dismissal coding (ICD-9)
• Primary outcome: 30-day mortality
• Prospective ext validation in 221 inpatients in France/Switz.
• 11 variables predict risk
– Demographic (2)
– Comorbid disease (3)
– Acute clinical findings (6)
– Another 7 lab values were indep associated but didn’t change modeling
• Didn’t include echocardiography, CT findings, biomarkers
Aujesky D, AJRCCM, 2005
Trang 18Submassive/Intermediate Risk PE
RV Enlargement/Dysfunction
• Traditionally considered a marker of higher risk
• ~20% mortality rates in older cohorts (1990’s)
Contemporary reassessment—
increasing use of portable echo and CT angio
more common and may not be a marker of high risk
• RV abnormalities are common in hemodynamically stable patients
– 63% by CT measurement
– 23% by echocardiography
Jimenez, AJRCCM, 2014
Trang 19RV Assessment by Echo
• Subjectivity; operator dependent
• Shape defies reliable size assessment
• No agreement on best measure
– Tricuspid annular plane systolic excursion (TAPSE) – McConnell’s sign—free wall down, apex contracts
• RV infarct mimics PE
• RVEF unreliable
Trang 21Predictors of Early (30d) Mortality
ESC Guidelines, EHJ, 2014
Trang 22Submassive PE:
Why Stratify Risk?
• “Close monitoring” for early complications
• Optimize standard Tx (therapeutic heparin)
Smith, Morgenthaler et al, Chest, 2010
• Offer escalation in the case of deterioration
– Assuming it’s detected
• ? Reduce long-term complications
– (CTEPH 1-2%)
Trang 23• 1005 pts with RV dysfunction and elevated troponin but normotensive
• Randomized to heparin with or without
tenecteplase (with option for cross-over)
• Primary outcome: death or hemodynamic decompensation within 7d of randomization
NEJM, 2014
Trang 25Patients at high risk for bleeding were excluded
Trang 26? Reduced dose in the elderly
? Catheter directed
Trang 28JAMA 2014
• NNT 65, NNH 18
• >65yrs: higher bleeding risk (NNH 11)
Trang 29Submassive PE:
Why Stratify Risk?
• “Close monitoring” for early complications
• Optimize standard Tx (therapeutic heparin)
Smith, Morgenthaler et al, Chest, 2010
• Offer escalation in the case of deterioration
– Assuming we see it coming
• ? Reduce long-term complications
– (CTEPH 1-2%)
Trang 30• 709 of the original 1,006 patients (28 of 76 sites)
• Followed median 38 mos
• No significant differences in long-term:
– Death since randomization (20 vs 18%; “low”)
– Functional limitation
– Suggestion of pulm HTN by echo parameters
– Confirmed CTEPH (2.1 vs 3.2%)
Trang 34Which of the following excludes this patient from ED dismissal to home for
Trang 35Rationale
• Influences:
– high in-patient census numbers
– resource and cost-containment
– The “incidental” PE detected on imaging performed for other indications
– Anecdotes of the patient that “didn’t need to be admitted”
– More patient-friendly home treatment (DOAC’s)
• An existing ED-to-Home pathway for DVT
• An evolving literature focused on the subset of patients at low-risk for complications (death, bleeding, recurrent VTE)
Trang 36• 344 pts in 19 ED in Europe and US
• Low risk classification (PESI class I and II)
• Up to 5 days SQ LMWH then oral A/C
• Recurrent VTE at 90d (1 vs 0)
• Death at 90d (1 vs 1)
• Young (late 40’s), low rates of Ca (1-2%)
Aujesky et al Lancet, 2011
Trang 37Risk Stratification: Tools
• Pulmonary Embolism Severity Index (PESI)
– 11 variables to predict risk via a numeric scale
• sPESI (simplified PESI)
– 6 variables
– Low risk vs High Risk Jiminez, 2010
• Hestia criteria (11 variables) Zondag, 2013
None incorporate biomarkers, RV characteristics
Trang 39• Ottawa Hospital
– 1,100 bed major teaching hospital
– 50% of PE’s treated as an outpatient, empirically selected
• Seen in Thrombo Clinic within 24 hrs (7 days/wk)
• 2010-15; symptomatic PE, CT confirmed or high-prob V/Q
• Chart review of 576 inpatients vs 506 outpatients (matched)
• Primary outcome: adverse events at 14 days
– Recurrent VTE, major bleeding, death
J Thromb Haemost 2017
Trang 4090 day event-free survival: Hospitalization might be risky
Trang 41A few words about direct oral
anticoagulants (DOACs)
• Not studied in those with BMI > 40
• Contraindicated in valvular disease/prosthesis, pregnancy, end-stage liver disease
• Other idiosyncracies; reimbursement issues
• Ask Mayo Expert
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