l i phit ttiln nang dOng nhit thl gidi tt-ong till ky XXI. xet dudi gdc dp khac, ngay tii khi mdi ttiln khai, muc tieu ciia chiln lup-c "tai can bing" da dugc giai tiiieh tiieo [r]
Trang 1^ ^
NJ M t DAY NHANH TrflN DO " T A I C A N BANG"
KHU VV'C C H A U A - T H A I BtNH DlTONG
Nguyen Nh&m
T6m0t
Trong tai li^ "Tdi cdn bang chdu A - Thdi Binh Duong
(CA-TBD) 2025: Nang hfc, hi?n di4n vd dSi tac" cua Trung tdm
Nghien cuu Quoc te vd Chiin lufrc (CSIS) My cong bo ngay
29/1/2016 cho biet cho den nay, "My van chua v(fch ra mpt chien
luge ro rdng vd rot du nguon life cho khu vifc CA-TBD nhdt Id
khi nhiing moi de dqa doi vdi Ipi ich cua My tir Tnmg Quoc ngay
cdng Idn " Bao cdo con dua ra ban khuyen nghi doi vdi chinh
quyen TSng thong Obama nham day nhanh tien dp "tdi cdn
bang" vi Ipi ich cua nuac My, khien giai nghien cuu vd du lu^
ddc bi4t quan tdm
Tir khda: MS, Tnmg Quoc, ASEAN, chiu A - Thai Binh
Duong, chiln iu^c *tii cin b3ng"
Ti^ f tvoug (tin hknh d$ng
Tliu^t ngii "tai can bSng" hay cdn gpi la "xoay trvc" Ian dau tifin
dugc sdr d\mg vao miia Thu nam 2011 khi Tong th6ng Barack Obama \i
Ngo^ trudng luc dd la b i Hillary Clinton quyet dinh chuyen trpng tim I
chien luge cua My sang CA-TBD nham cung c6 v i tang cudng Igi ich j
quoc gia tren tit ca cac ITnh vyc Tilp dd, t^i dign din D6i thoai
Shangri-La do HSS to chiic hing nam d Xingapo, bp tnrdng qudc phdng
My da khong quen nhic lai nhu mpt bSng chiing v l nhimg cam kit raS
• Chuyen vien cao cip, Vi?n Chiln lu^c, B$ Quic ph6ng
Trang 23"
Washingttm ttieo dudi ddi vdi khu vuc tixrng bli cinh Trung QuIc ngay cing troi diy Tuy nhien, npi him eiia tiniat ngii "tii cin bing" hay "xoay
n i l true" van cdn la dilu khi mo ho, khi vin d l v l tiidi gian v i trang tiiii
"cin bang" vln chua dugc gidi hoaeh djnh chmh sieb ciia My xic djnh
cu ttie trong bdi canh nhimg nguy eo bit In khu vvrc ngay cing gia tang
lil^ '^™ '""^ "**• '^ i^e", nln xem xet dudi goc do tich cue, da
, , l giiSp My thich dug nhanh chdng vdi tinh binh tture t l tji khu vuc Trong
jj ^ boi cinh nguon luc ngiy cing bi cat giam, viec xic djnh nhiing uu tien ijItU htog dau ciia ehmh sich doi ngo?i l i rat can thilt Ro ting, khu wrc .ilJIjL CA-TBD hien da chilm gan 50% dan s i till gidi, cd vj flie rit quan
i « f ^ trpng 4oi vdi MJ, khdng chi trSn liiih wrc kinh tl, diu bi, tiiuong mai,
m djcb vy v i an ninh, quoc phdng Chuyin hudng chiln lupc sang khu vuc
S » niy de kilm soit hipu qui moi quan be vdi mpt nude Trung Quoc dang ili troi d$y dupe coi la cieb tilp can tiidng minh nham ttinh nguy co xung
dpt giua hai cudng quIe trong till ky XXI Theo do, My se tun each
1 tang cudng inh hudng v i eiing co Igi ich quoc gia tji khu wrc dupe coi
l i phit ttiln nang dOng nhit thl gidi tt-ong till ky XXI
Tuy nhien xet dudi gdc dp khac, ngay tii khi mdi ttiln khai, muc tieu ciia chiln lup-c "tai can bing" da dugc giai tiiieh tiieo nhilu hudng Wiic nhau, toy tiiupc vao cich tilp can van dl cua mli chuyen gia Thuc
, i '^f^ ^^^ "**"« " '•« 'W ''^° »*• "^hiic My khi phai n§ luc din xlp
^ mli quan bg vdi cie nude ding minh nhim duy tti cam kit tten pham vi
^ toin ciu COng tai Dii flio?i Shangri-La nam 2013, dug Chuck Hagel
BO ttudng QuIc phdng My khi dd da phai flilt len ring mpi ngudi
^1 khong nen hilu sai chiln lupc "tii ein bing" "My cd Ipi ich, ttach nhi$m v i ding minh ti*n khip fliI gidi Tii can bing sang CA-TBD
^^ khdng cd nghia la My rit lui khdi cic khu w e kbie", dng ndi: 'Trd tten fliay, vdi cic quIc gia ving Vjnh, nhiing ttiySn b l nhu till niy lai dugc
Trang 3TTico hg, chiln luge *tai can bSng' sang CA-TBD ro rang se lam giim
su hien dien cung nhu siic manh cda My d vung Vinh Persian" Mat khac, gCd thong diep ddng d ^ din BSc Kinh cung la mpt thich thuc Ion, nlu nhu khong mnon thay "tSi can bSng" p h i sin ngay tCr giai do^n diu tien Trung Quoc mdt muc cho rang, chiln luge "tii cin bang"
nhSm muc dich chu ylu la ngan chan v i kilm che Trung Qu6c Vk rang
My dang chong l^i quyln dugc troi d^y de trd thanh cudng qu6c diinh
vugng tren the gidi mi Trung Qa6c dang no l\rc theo dudi
Cau hdi Idn cK d§t ra Ii ngan eh^n v i kilm che, hay chi "tii cin
bang"? That s\f khd cd the thuyet phuc ngudi nghe hieu theo hudng tich
cvrc hon Giao su Aaron Friedberg thudc Dai hgc Princeton cho ring
giiia dang Cpng hda v i Dan ehii dang xudt hi|n s\r dbng thu^n ve vi$c
trien khai chien luge "tai cin bing", chii khong phai Idem chi v i ngan ch§n Co nghia la My s5 duy tti mdt siic m^tnh ve ngoai giao, quSn sg vi kinh te de dim bao vdi cac nude lang gilng cua Trung Qu6c r ^ g Igi ich cOng nhu chu quyen ciia hp khdng bj de dpa Bin thin Gi4o su
Friedberg ludn nghi tit ve y db cua Trung Qubc, vi thl khdng dbng tinh
vdi cich tiep can ciing rSn mang tinh khieu khich
Din khi nio M5^ cd thl kit thiic chiln luge "tai cin bing" d CA-TBD de chuyen sang mOt giai doan khic? Dap an cho cau hdi trSn phu thugc rat nhieu vao cupc canh tranh giua My va Tnmg Quoc trong khu vgc nAy Theo gidi phan tich, nguy co xung dgt d CA-TBD chua dugc d4y lui trong khi nhiing "diem ndng" van khdng ngiing tang nhi§t Do moi^quan h? dan xen phiic tap nen My v i Trung Qu^c khd cd till giai
quyet dugc nhiing bat dong mpt cich t r i ^ dL Tuy nhien, su hilu lam
ciing da lam gia tang mau thuan giua hai nude, khiln nguy co khd kilm j soat dang gia tang
Trang 4^™ Chinh quyln ciia Ting tiling Obama xac djnh chiln hioc "xoay
" tiljc" - "tii can bang" tai khu vuc CA-TBD bao gdm cic muc tieu, npi dung, bi6n phip chiln luge mang tinh tdng till, toan dien (ci cbmh ttj kinh loldii te van hda, quan svi v i ngoai giao), ed mdi quan he bien ebiing vdi nhau
' L '~^^ ""^ *'*'''''™ "*' ^* ^ ""^ '''" '* ""^ •*• '^^^ ^•' ^™
*H hda, quan su, ngo?i giao, tiii muc tieu bao ttiim, c0 ban, lau dii l i dua
J'i cic nude di Uieo quj dao cua cbii ngbia hr ban do My diing diu; khoi
^H phuc vj till vai ttd sieu cudng so mdt v i lanh dao till gidi D l ttiitc hi6n
muc ti5u neu tten, chinh quyln Obama dua ra 6 giai phap nhim tien j j ^ j c hda chiln luge nhu: (1) Tang cudng mli quan be vdi cic ddng
i f ^ ^ B (2) TSng eudng quan bg vdi cie quIc gia mdi noi ttong khu v\rc;
j , ^ (3) Tang cudng can du vio cic till chi khu vvc; (4) Md rpng fliucmg
^^ mji v i diu ttr; (5) Tang cudng hi^n di6n quin su My l^u khu vuc; (6)
11^ ""'^ ^ "^^"^ """*•= " ^ ''*°h cii each nhim tang cudng bao vg din chii, ilH ^ ^ ''"^™ ^* ' ^ ^ "'™'' ^ * ^ ^ ^ ^y v i phuong Tay
i P Ve quan sif, BO QuIc phdng My chii ttuong tang cudng Ipc lupng
Ij,, hai quin, cung c l cic lien minh quin su song phuong vdi cie nude CA-, 1 TBD- T?i Dien din Shangrila (2012)CA-, My khIng dinh se bo tti l»i siic
m»nh hii quin flieo hudng tang cudng ttiln khai tin sin bay, tiu man , duong, tiu khu ttvc, tiu chiln ven bd v i tau ngim d Thii Bmh Duong Den nam 2020 quan hO ty Ig vl luc lugng giiia hai khu vuc Dju Tay
»J Duong v i Thai Bmh Duong se la 40/60 Tuy nhien, cho din nay My
* tiiem mOt tilu doan lye quan tdi Hin QuIc; hai tiu khu ttyc phdng v i
M ten Ilia tdi Nhit Ban
is*
^ j My da flida tiiuSn vdi Xingapo, Phillppin, Thii Lan v l viec linh
^ My, tiu hai quin dupe phep ra vao v i tiiam gia cac euge tip ttin nung
khudn khd hpp tic quIc phdng My da tiiln khai tiu tiiin duyen tdi
Trang 5CVN 76 cd siic manh horn, them hai tau phdng thu ten lira d^n d^o tS Nhat Bin, bo tii tiiem ^ u ngam v i mpt tiu tilp nhien lipu cho tau n g ^ tai Gu-am Khdng quan trien khai mdt lo^t may bay nhir B-52, F-22, ^
16, E-8 vaRC-135; tiien khai m^t ra-da phdng thu ten liia dan dsio thii hai t^ Nh^Lt Ban, duy lii mdt khau dpi ten liia tam cao giai doan cuoi t^
Gu-am Mdi day My - Hin dang tham van ve vi^c tiien khai h$ thong phdn| thu ten liia tim cao giai do^n cuoi (THAAD) tren bin dao Trieu Tien
Ve Mnh ti, chinh quyen Tong thong Obama dang theo duoi chi&
luge hai mili nhpn v l kinh t l tai khu vgc Theo dd, sii dyng chinh sacb ngo^i giao de ho trg tang trudng kinh t l M^ (ngoai giao thuong m^i), d^ng thdi sii dung can du Idnh te de ho trg cho cic uu ti8n trong chinh sich ngo^i giao, nhat la vi$c thiic day dam phan, k^ kit v i hoin thi?n thu tyc phap ly cua Hi§p dinh Doi tic xuyen Thii Binh Duong (TPP)
Ve ngopi giao, Mj' da tang cudng cdng c6 cic lidn minh song phuong truyln th^ng v i dky manh hgp tac siu rdng hon vdi cic dii tic
dang n6i Trong n h i ^ k^ dau cua dng Obama, chinh sach "xoay tri^ic"
da dugc thuc diy rat manh me Thgc t l niy phan nao dugc thl hi$n qua
ttiong ke vl cic chuyin cdng du tdi khu vvc CA-TBD ciia cic lanh d?p
d p cao ciia My
Ve van de dan chu - nhan quyen, mgt m^t My khJng djnh khdng
till va khdng muon ip d|it h? th6ng gia tri cua My ISn cic nude khic rSng "My van tdn ti-gng nhiing nln van hda khac bi?t, triln vgng khac bi§t v i cd lich sir khac bi^t."' M^t khic, My lai cho r3ng, cd nhihig gii tri nhit dinh mang tinh pho quit ma cic nude can tdn fa-gng
' T6ng thong My Obama tii Idri bio gidi sau khi H$i nghj thirgng dinh chau M? (OAS) kctthficngaylO/4/201S
Trang 6* vi hftp lac ung phd biin doi khi hgu My tich cue tiiam gia vio
•Si cac hanh dong ddi phd biln dii khi bin nhim clt giam lupng khi thai I"*! gay hieu ung nha kinh Vl ly timylt chiln lupc l i nhu vjy, ttiy nhien
•'if tten Uiue t l flii CSIS lai cho ring cic nguy co hien hihi lai dang Iim gia
"#ii tang tmh mit ein bing tai khu vvte
^4
^ Mdi day, ttong khudn kho Sang kiln An ninh Hang hii (MSI), Bp
• > QuIc phdng My da bao cio phan bo 50/425 ttipu USD cho 5 nude ttiuOc
ASEAN, gom: Philippm, Malabda, Inddnexia Thai Lan v i Viet Nam,
•fc: eho fliiy MJ sin sang ddng gdp cie nguon luc d l ttivc tiii Chiln lupc "tai Sdi^in bing" ttong khu vuc CA-TBD; dong flidi, day ciing l i tiidng digp
^ ^ p i me cho fliiy, cam kit eua Washington ttong no hte ho tixir xiy dyng l«i ning l^c an ninh biln cho cic nude ttong khu vuc Bdng Nam A igjj C i c nguy cor h i ^ hiiu
^ Theo n ^ e n ciiu eiia CSIS, din nam 2030, Trung QuIc se cd
^j nhieu tiu san bay de biln Biln Bong thinh "ao nha" eiia hp v i 'Trung
^, QuIc se d till ap dio v l quan su" Vdi viec Bic Kinh tilp tue phit triln
jjg eic cum tiu sin bay chiln diu ndng clt l i nhiing tiu san bay do Trung
lj J QuIc tv ddng cpng vdj fliam vpng vuon ra biln xa ciia hai quin, Ttung QuIc se chilm till ap dao v l quin su tten Biln Ddng Theo du doin ciia CSIS, su gdp mat cua nhiing cimi tiu sin bay ehiln diu nay se tao dial '"' kifu cho Trung Quoc eilng rin hon va lin ludt cic quIe gia ling gilng
• ' ttong van d l tt^nh chip lanh fliI d chau A, die biet l i tten Biln Dong
^ Dd doc Hii quin My Ha-rit nhjn djnh dOng lye chmh ttj va quan svr d biln Hoa Ddng va Biln Bdng dang ttiay doi vipe ttiyen b l chii
quyen am biln giiia eic quIc gia dang gay nli ro dii vdi sir I n dinh va
an nmh ttong khu vuc Tai biln Hoa Ddng cang tiling giiia Nhit Bin
Ij, vi Trung QuOc ddi vdi Quin dio Sen-ca-cu«)ilu Ngu vln ti%) tyc
Trang 7nay bing vifc triln khai tau chiln tdi khu vgc, dua cac tau bio v$ bi
bien tuan tra cic vihig bien qiranh Sen-ca-cu^ieu Ngu, ngan chan ck
chuyin bay trinh sit ciia Nh^it Ban, khiln Tong thong Obama da ph^ vieO din Dieu V ciia Hiep udc An ninh My - Nhat de ndi rang My c6 nghia vg bao v? quan dio nay ciia Nhit Bin
Tai Bien Ddng, tinh hinh phiic tap hoa My khdng cd quan ditSai
gi ve tranh chap chu quyen lanh tho t^i Bien Bdng, nhimg My kfauy^ Idiich tdt c i cic nude tuin thu lu|t phap quoc te theo Cong udc ve Lu$( biln Trong khi chua xic dinh ro rang ph^m vi tranh chap hing hii trgn Bien Ddng, thl Trung C^oc da don phuong thay ddi hi^n tr^ng Tnmg Quoc da chiing minh dieu nay thdng qua vi^c xay dgng dao nhan t^o, gia tang dOi tiu c i "vd sit" nhim ip dio khu vgc ma khdng can sg hi?n di^n ciia quan d$i Quan dgi Trung Quoc dang quin su hda cac dio cih
V i ^ Nam ma hg chiem ddng trii ph6p, thdng qua vi§c ISp d|it cic ra-da, h? thong tiidng tin li6n l^c, phuong ti|n quan sg, hS thong tdn liia, mfiy bayhi^ndai
Nhiing thich thiic cdn tii ra6i quan h? My vdi Nga ngiy cang x^u
di, khiln "Nga tich cgc thuc hi^n cMnh sach hudng Ddng" Trong cupc
tri Idi phdng vin vdi tirang n^mg DW, Tien s^ Dmitiy Trenin, Giim &hz
Trung tam Camegie Matxcova ndi rang, do khung hoang Ucraina vi cic bi§n phip tiling phat kinh te cda phuong Tiy, nhiing gi ban dau du(ic coi la eudc "hdn nhan v^ Igi" ciia Matxcorva vdi Bic Kinh da ti-d tijinh
mpt moi quan h? doi tic gin gui hm nhilu 6 n g Trenin lip lu^n ring, Nga hien nay cd nhieu kfaa ning se hiu thuin Trung Qabc tiraig cu^c
canh tranh ngay cing Idn giiia B^c Kinh v i Washington
Theo gidi phin tich, cuOc khung hoing Ucraina da khiln chfnh sach doi ngoai ciia Matxcova xoay tryc nhanh hom tii chiu Au - D^i T8y Duong sang CA-TBD Di?n Kremlin da nhin thiy co h^i ciia vi§c si
Trang 8•hi n l n kmh t l Nga Man tiiuan hipn nay vdi M y - phuong Tay da tao c o
!• *i hpi eho Nga m d rOng b i i toin dja - kmh t l tiiong qua viec dua y l u t l dia
• I - chhih ttj v i o phuong ttinh can b i n g chiln luge Gidi chiic M y cdn
"ll nhjn djnh, m a c du t i p ttung v i o chau A u v i Trung Ddng, nhung N g a
v l n can d y v l chinh b i v i quin s y v i o khu v y c CA-TBD Hojt dpng
i p ciia Nga ngiy cing qui quylt, nhung khdng d i i diu, cic tiu chiln va ,||.| tiu ngim cua H»m dpi Thii Bmh Duong v i cic miy bay tim xa cia
^ j Nga tiiuong xuyen ebiing minh ttidng diOp ciia Nga ring hp l i mOt
^^ cudng quoc trong khu vyc niy
tai)f^^ Chuong ttinh "hat nhan Trilu Tien se Iim tiiay doi nhung tmh
k)i toin quin s y ciia M y ttong khu vyc" Cac vy fliu ten liia d^n d j o tii tau , i , n g i m (9/5/2015) tiiu bom "nhipt bach" (6/1/2016) hiy chua cd tinh xac cici tiiyc v l nang lye k j tiiuit - cdng ngh$, nhung ciing da gay ta "cii s i c " il* dja - chmh tti ttong khu vuc Mdi d i y , n g i y 7/3/2016 p h i n u n g ttudc
ai, cuOc tip ttjn chung ciia lien quin My - Hin, Trilu Tien da tiiyen bd se
tiln hanh mOt enOe tin cdng toan dien chong Iji lien quan niy Bmh i(i( • ^ « ™ 8 cdn de dpa eic mye tieu chii ylu eia Hin QuIc dang nim ttong
In, < ^ bin cia Trilu Tien; ding tiidi, cic phuong tien tin cdng bat nhin ,S " " '""*" "^y iang nhim vio cic can cii quin sy cua My ttong khu vyc
'^^ CA-TBD v i luc dja My MJc du Lien Hpp Quoc mdi diy da tang cudng
^^ tiling phat nhung Trilu Tien vln chua till hien sy sin sang ttd lai dam
itil P""^ * ben mpt cich nghiem bic v l vi$c phi hjt nhan hda ban dio nay
* Khu vyc CA-TBD co din s i Hii giio Idn nhit till gidi v i "chu
* nghia Hoi giao eye doan dang l i mpt tiiich tiiiic n g i y cing Idn" Trong
s i c i e td chuc eye doan tji khu vyc, tiii nhiing to chiic cd quan hO vdi li; IS, An KS-da (Al-qaeda) l i d i n g quan ngai nhit C i c cuOc tiln cdng .Bi k l ^ g bo t?i Jakarta (liddnexia) l i Idi cinh bio manh me v l sy hipn
i) diOn cua IS t»i Ddng Nam A Dilu niy djt ra nhi$m vu cho BO Tu Ipnh
Trang 9trong cugc chien chdng khung bo trong tiidi gian toi
Khu vuc CA-TBD la khu vuc thudng xuyen phai hiing chiu cac
"tiiam hoa thien tai" trong nhung nam gin day Tinh rieng trong 10 nim qua, Idiu vuc niy da ti^ qua 2.700 tham hpa tiiiSn nhien anh hudng din CUOC sdng cua gan 1,6 t^ ngudi Ngoai ra, khu vgc niy cdn phai giii quylt cac van dl vl tieu chuin vS sinh, dilu kien s6ng v i nguy co mic h?nh truyen nhiem Dieu nay ddi hdi My can tang cudng hgp tic vdi cic d^ng minh va ddi tic khu vgc trong linh vgc ho trg nhan d^o va ciiu trp thamhga
CSIS cdn nhin m^nh van d l "h^n che trong ngan sich quoc phdng" ciia My CSIS neu ro: "Chi tieu m ^ l i cin thilt de thgc hi^a chiln luge tii can bing Tuy nhien, gidi hgn nguon Igc d cic miic ngin sach theo D90 lu^it kilm soit ngan sich se h^n che rit nhilu vi^c thgc thi chiln luge tii cin bing M$c dii Thda t h u ^ ngan sich nam 2015 li mOi bude di tich cgc, nhung dilu dd khdng dii cho chi tieu can thilt, Jan
dai v i bn dinh"
Trong boi canh nay, CSIS keu ggi Chinh quyln, T^ng tiling Obama tiien khai them tau ngim hat nhan tan cong, tau tuin duySn den chiu A, tang cudng cic h§ thong phdng thii tSn Iiia khu vgc va dam phan vdi cic nude de Khdng quan My cd thl hien dien nhieu hon tgi cic sin bay d diy CSIS da dua ra bon khuyin nghi de chinh quyen My c6 thl duy tti tot Chiln luge "tai cin bang" t^i khu vuc CA-TBD
Khuyen ngh{ ciia CSIS
Thic nhat, CSIS cho rang, cin Iim ro trpng tim ciia chiln luge "tii can bing" d CA-TBD ngay b6n trong nOi bO Chinh phii Mp v i cic dbng
Trang 10>( minh, dii tic Theo CSIS, din nay, Nhi Tiing vln chua dua ra mpt chiln lupc nhit quin v i ro rang dii vdi vin d l CA-TBD Gidi chuyen 4i,j gia cho biet, hp khong tim fliiy bit en tii lieu nio cua Chmh p h i mo t i ,l,j mpt cich chi tilt chiln luoc tii can bing d chiu A Cac quan chiic ttong j^j BO^Quoc phdng, Quoc hOi v i nhilu co quan khac ciing rit bdi roi v l J chiln lupc niy v i each tiiiie hien tiiyc hda Chmh dilu niy da khiln cac
^ ^^ tiu chiln My boat dOng d chiu A, nhit l i tten Biln Ddng, phii dii mat , vdi nhilu nii ro, nhit li ttong tiidi gian gin day
ii,l Thi hai, can ting cudng nang luc eda eic ding minh v i doi tic
ttong khu vyc CSIS eho ting, ein ed mOt "chiln lupc khac biet", ttong
^R'^ viOc bSn kit va chia se khi nang tilp can vdi cic dong minh nhu:
"P Nhit Bin, 6xttiyUa, ding flidi tinlc diy an ninh hang hai eho nhiing 'M nude ylu d Ddng Nam A nhu: Philippm, Malaixia, Bidonexia ViOt
y Nam, Thii Lan CSIS ding d l xuit fliinh lip lye lupng die nhipn
iM fliudug ttyc d khu vyc Tiy Thii Bhih Duong nhim fliilt lip quan h$ chi
• huy va Idim soat ro ring bon, ciing nhu nang cao ky ning ciiu tt^ fliim
A,i hpa v i b S t t p nhan djo cua My ttong khu vyc
Thir ba, tilp tuc duy tti va gia ting su hi^n dien quin sy d CA-, i^ TBD Cic tic gii ciia CSIS da nghien cihi v i dua ra mpt s i sang kiln d l
g giii quylt vin d l khoang each nang lye ttong cic Itnh vyc nhu: Slp xlp
,jj l»i can cii; biOn diOn ciia dOi tiu mjt nude; cio nhiem vu mat dit; hju
^^ cin; quan nhu; tinh bao; giim sit va ttinh sit; va cic tinh huong chiln
g,, tranh dudi nude; ehiln ttanh d l bp; uu till uen khdng va phdng tiiu ten liia
Thir tu tang eudng nang lye sing tjo, dii mdi cho Quin dOi My
de cd till ngin ngiia v i chiln tiling ttong nhung cupc xung dpt tilm , , ting Gidi nghien cdu edn chi ra khoang cich nang lye d bai khu vyc:
(i Khu vyc cin xii li, nguy co dang tt5i diy m i lye lupng ciia MJ phii dii