Chapter 6 introduces you to interest rates and bond valuation. In this chapter, you will learn: Know the important bond features and bond types, understand bond values and why they fluctuate, understand bond ratings and what they mean, understand the impact of inflation on interest rates, understand the term structure of interest rates and the determinants of bond yields.
Trang 1Interest rates, bill and bond
valuation
Chapter 6
Trang 2Key concepts and skills
• Know the important features and different types of bills and bonds
• Understand how bills and bonds are
valued and why they fluctuate
• Understand bond ratings and what they
Trang 3Chapter outline
• Bills of exchange and bill valuation
• Other short-term funding instruments
• Bonds and bond valuation
• More on bond features
• Bond ratings
• Some different types of bonds
• Bond markets
• Inflation and interest rates
• Determinants of bond yields
Copyright © 2011 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd
Trang 4Bills of exchange and bill
valuation
• A bill is defined as:
– ‘unconditional order in writing, addressed by one person to another, signed by the person giving it, requiring the person to whom it is addressed to
pay on demand, or at a fixed or determinable
future time, a sum certain in money to or to the
order of a specified person, or to bearer’
Trang 5Bill values and yields
• If a bill has:
– a face value of F paid at maturity
– t periods to maturity; and
– a yield of r per period
) 365
x 1
(
Value
Bill
t r
F
Copyright © 2011 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd
Trang 6Bill pricing—
Example
• Suppose the Edna Data Company was to issue a bill with a face value of $500 000 and 90 days to maturity, with a yield of
6.5% The acquirer of the bill will receive
$500 000 in 90 days’ time What would
this bill sell for?
Trang 7More on bill features
• Three parties to a bill of exchange:
1 The drawer
2 The acceptor
3 The discounter (or endorser)
• The amount of funds the drawer will receive
depends on the face value of the bill and the
prevailing market rates (discount rate)
• The original discounter may hold the bill to maturity
or sell it in the market before the maturity date
• At the maturity date, the current holder of the bill
will approach the acceptor for repayment The
acceptor is liable to pay the face value of the bill to the current holder and will recover the money from the drawer Copyright © 2011 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd
Trang 8More on bill features (cont.)
• Figure 6.1
• Figure 6.2
Trang 9Other short-term funding instruments
• Promissory notes
– Promises to pay a lender an amount of
money in the future; and
– issued for short terms
• Bank overdraft
– An agreement under which a firm is
authorised to overdraw its bank account
up to a specified amount.
Copyright © 2011 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd
Trang 11Key features of a bond
• Par value:
– Face amount
– Assume $1000 for corporate bonds
• Coupon interest rate:
– Stated interest rate
– Usually = YTM at issue
– Multiply by par value to get coupon
payment
Copyright © 2011 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd
Trang 12Key features of a bond
(cont.)
• Maturity:
– Years until bond must be repaid
• Yield to maturity (YTM):
– The market required rate of return for bonds
of similar risk and maturity
– The discount rate used to value a bond
– Return if bond held to maturity
– Usually = coupon rate at issue
– Quoted as an APR
Trang 13Bond value
Copyright © 2011 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd
Trang 14The bond-pricing equation
PV(Annuity) PV(lump sum)
C = Coupon payment; F = Face value, r=
t
t
r) (1
F r
r) (1
1
1 C Value
Bond
Trang 15Bond pricing—Calculator
keys
[N]= Number of periods to maturity
[I/Y]= Period interest rate = YTM
[PV]= Present value = Bond value
Trang 16• Inside parens: (RATE,NPER,PMT,PV,FV,0/1)
• ‘0/1’ Ordinary annuity = 0 (default)
Annuity due = 1 (must be entered)
Trang 17• What would this bond sell for?
• Bond involves an annuity of $80 in form of coupon for 10 years and $1000 as final payment.
• Using the formula:
Trang 18Bond value─ Example (cont.)
Cash flow for Barramundi Co.
Trang 19Valuing a discount bond with
annual coupons
• Consider a bond with a coupon rate of 10%
and coupons paid annually The par value is
$1000 and the bond has 5 years to maturity
The yield to maturity is 11% What is the value
of the bond?
– Using the formula:
• B = PV of annuity + PV of lump sum
Trang 20Valuing a premium bond with
– Using the formula:
• B = PV of annuity + PV of lump sum
Trang 21Graphical relationship between price and yield-to-
Trang 22Bond prices: Relationship
between coupon and yield
• If YTM = coupon rate, then par value = bond price.
• If YTM > coupon rate, then par value > bond price.
Trang 23The bond-pricing equation
adjusted for semi-annual
coupons
2t
2t
YTM/2) (1
F YTM/2
YTM/2) (1
1 -
1 2
C Value
Copyright © 2011 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd
Trang 24• $35 = (7% x face value)/2 – Semiannual yield? (YTM
Copyright © 2011 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd
PPTs t/a Essentials of Corporate Finance 2e by Ross et al.
Trang 25F YTM
YTM) (1
1 1-
C Value Bond
Using the calculator:
Trang 26Interest rate risk
• Price risk
– Change in price owing to changes in interest rates.
– Long-term bonds have more price
risk than short-term bonds.
– Low coupon rate bonds have more
price risk than high coupon rate
bonds.
Trang 27Interest rate risk (cont.)
• Reinvestment rate risk
– Uncertainty concerning rates at which
cash flows can be reinvested.
– Short-term bonds have more
reinvestment rate risk than long-term
bonds.
– High coupon rate bonds have more
reinvestment rate risk than low coupon rate bonds.
Copyright © 2011 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd
Trang 28Interest rate risk and time to maturity
Figure 6.4
Trang 29Computing yield to maturity
(YTM)
• Yield-to-maturity is the rate implied by the current bond price.
• Finding the YTM is a process of trial and
error if you do not have a financial
calculator, and is similar to the process for finding r with an annuity.
• With a financial calculator:
– Enter[N], [PV], [PMT] and [FV]
– Remember the sign convention
• [PMT] and [FV] need to have the same sign (+)
• [PV]the opposite sign (-)
• [CPT][I/Y]
Copyright © 2011 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd
Trang 30YTM with annual coupons
• Consider a bond with a 10% annual
coupon rate, 15 years to maturity and a
par value of $1000 The current price is
Trang 31YTM with semi-annual
coupons
• Suppose a bond with a 10% coupon rate and
semi-annual coupons has a face value of $1000,
20 years to maturity and is selling for $1197.93.
– Is the YTM more or less than 10%?
– What is the semi-annual coupon payment?
– How many periods are there?
Excel solution =RATE(40, 50, -1197.93, 1000, 0) = 4%
Copyright © 2011 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd
Trang 32Summary of bond valuation
Table 6.1
Trang 33Spreadsheet strategies
• There is a specific formula for finding
bond prices on a spreadsheet:
– PRICE (Settlement, Maturity, Rate, Yld,
Redemption, Frequency, Basis)
– YIELD (Settlement, Maturity, Rate, Pr,
Redemption, Frequency, Basis)
– Settlement and maturity need to be actual dates – The redemption and Pr need to given as % of par value
• Double-click on the Excel icon for an
example
Copyright © 2011 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd
Trang 34Differences between debt and
equity
Trang 35The bond trust deed
• The trust deed is the written legal
agreement between the corporation (the
borrower) and its creditors The document includes:
– the basic terms of the bonds
– the total amount of bonds issued
– a description of property used as security, if
applicable
– sinking fund provisions
– call provisions
– details of protective covenants
Copyright © 2011 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd
Trang 36Bond classifications
• Registered vs bearer forms
• Security
– Collateral─secured by financial securities
– Mortgage─secured by real property, normally land or
Trang 37Bond characteristics and
required returns
• Coupon rate
– (risk characteristics of the bond when
issued)
– Usually ≈ yield at issue
• Which bonds will have the higher
coupon, all else equal?
– Secured debt versus a note
– Subordinated note versus senior debt
– A bond with a sinking fund versus one
without
– A callable bond versus a non-callable 6-37
Copyright © 2011 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd
PPTs t/a Essentials of Corporate Finance 2e by Ross et al.
Trang 38Bond ratings─Investment
quality
• High grade
– Moody’s Aaa, Fitch AAA and S&P
AAA─capacity to pay is extremely strong.
– Moody’s Aa, Fitch AA and S&P AA─capacity
to pay is very strong.
• Medium grade
– Moody’s A, Fitch A and S&P A─capacity to
pay is strong, but more susceptible to
changes in circumstances.
– Moody’s Baa, Fitch BBB and S&P
BBB─capacity to pay is adequate, adverse
conditions will have more impact on the firm’s ability to pay.
Trang 39• Very low grade
– Moody’s C, Fitch C and S&P C—income bonds
with no interest being paid.
– Moody’s D, Fitch DDD, DD and D, and S&P D—in default with principal and interest in arrears.
Copyright © 2011 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd
Trang 40Government bonds
• Treasury securities
• Bank bills—pure discount debt with
original maturity of one year or less
• State government securities
• Debt of state and local governments
• Varying degrees of default risk, rated
similar to corporate debt
Trang 41Zero coupon bonds
• Make no periodic interest payments
– (coupon rate = 0%)
• The entire yield-to-maturity comes from
the difference between the purchase price and the face value.
• Cannot sell for more than face value.
• Sometimes called zeroes, or deep
discount bonds.
• Bank bills are good examples of zeroes.
Copyright © 2011 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd
Trang 42Floating rate bonds
• Coupon rate floats depending on some
index value.
• Examples—adjustable rate mortgages
and inflation-linked bonds.
• There is less price risk with floating rate
bonds
– The coupon floats, so it is less likely to differ substantially from the yield-to-maturity.
• Coupons may have a ‘collar’—the rate
cannot go above a specified ‘ceiling’ or
below a specified ‘floor’.
Trang 43Other bond types
• Subordinated bonds
• Convertible bonds
• Put bond
• There are many other types of
provisions that can be added to a bond and many bonds have several
provisions—it is important to recognise how these provisions affect required
returns. Copyright © 2011 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd
Trang 44Bond markets
• Primarily over-the-counter transactions with dealers connected electronically.
• Extremely large number of bond
issues, but generally low daily volume
in single issues.
• Getting up-to-date prices is difficult,
particularly on small company or
municipal issues.
• Treasury securities are an exception.
Trang 45Bond price reporting
• Corporate bond market associated with Australian Securities Exchange (ASX).
• Click on information; which leads to
Detailed search—prices, charts and
announcements section for interest rate and hybrid security prices.
• The chart gives the buy/bid, sell/ask
prices and other figures for corporate
bonds. Copyright © 2011 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd
Trang 46Treasury quotes
Table 6.3
Trang 47Treasury quotes
Example 6.5
• In Table 6.3, for bond maturing Feb-2017
– Coupon rate?
– Yield to maturity based on ask price (sell price)?
– Bond trading at discount?
• Bond we are looking at:
6.00% Feb-17 5.250 1208 11748
– YTM at last sale = 5.25% (Sale price > Face value)
– Bond’s years to maturity = 7 (Assume today as 15/02/2010) – Coupon rate = 6% (half yearly) = $3
– YTM = 5.25/2=2.625
– PV=3[1-1/(1+0.02625)14]/0.02625+100/
(1.02625)14=104.346
• The bond maturing in April 2020 is selling at discount.
Copyright © 2011 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd
Trang 48Work the Web—Example
• Bond quotes are available online.
• One good site is Bloomberg.com.
• Go to Bloomberg’s website.
• Follow the bond search.
• Search a bond issue and see what you can find!
Trang 49Inflation and interest rates
• Real rate of interest—change in
purchasing power.
• Nominal rate of interest—quoted rate of interest, change in purchasing power
and inflation.
• The ex ante nominal rate of interest
includes our desired real rate of return plus an adjustment for expected
inflation. Copyright © 2011 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd
Trang 50The Fisher effect
• The Fisher effect defines the
relationship between real rates,
nominal rates and inflation:
Trang 51The Fisher effect
Example 6.6
• If we require a 10% real return and we
expect inflation to be 8%, what is the
nominal rate?
• R = (1.1)(1.08) – 1 = 188 = 18.8%
• Approximation: R = 10% + 8% = 18%
• Because the real return and expected
inflation are relatively high, there is a
significant difference between the actual
Fisher effect and the approximation.
Copyright © 2011 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd
Trang 52Determinants of bond yields Term structure of interest rates
• Term structure is the relationship between time to maturity and yields, all else being equal.
• It is important to recognise that we pull out the effect of default risk, different coupons, etc.
• Yield curve—graphical representation of
the term structure
– Normal—upward-sloping, long-term yields are higher than short-term yields
– Inverted—downward-sloping, long-term yields are lower than short-term yields
Trang 53Upward-sloping yield curve—
Figure 6.8A
Copyright © 2011 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd
Trang 54Downward-sloping yield curve
—Figure 6.8B
Trang 55Government bond yield curve
—Figure 6.9
Copyright © 2011 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd
Trang 56Factors affecting required
return
• Default risk premium—bond ratings.
• Taxability premium—municipal versus
taxable.
• Liquidity premium—bonds that have more frequent trading will generally have lower required returns.
• Maturity premium—longer term bonds will tend to have higher required returns.
Anything else that affects the risk of the cash
flows to the bondholders will affect the
Trang 57Quick quiz
• How do you find the value of a bond and
why do bond prices change?
• What is a bond trust deed and what are
some of its important features?
• What are bond ratings and why are they
important?
• How does inflation affect interest rates?
• What is the term structure of interest
Trang 58Chapter 6
END