In this paper analysed the key factors influencing tree planting decision from local people in the Nam Nuong commune, Kim Boi dictrict.
Trang 1KEY FACTORS INFLUENCING TREE PLANTING DECISIONS OF HOUSEHOLDS: A CASE STUDY IN HOA BINH PROVINCE
Le Dinh Hai 1 , Pham Thanh Huong 2
1,2 Vietnam National University of Forestry
SUMMARY
In coping with significant deforestation and forest degradation, currently in Kim Boi district, Hoa Binh province, and massive reforestation projects have been implemented However, when remarkable attempts and investments have been made in reforestation, interaction of household characteristics and socio-economic factors with smallscale tree planting decision are still little understood In this study, we survey 150 households (including 75 households with tree planting and 75 households without tree-planting) in Nuong Dam commune, Kim Boi district, Hoa Binh province The results of stepwise binary logistic regression analysis indicate that the factors, including: Accessibility to Plantation Sites, Forestland Area, Investment Capital, and Knowledge on Silviculture have a significant effect on household’s decision on tree planting in the study area The study results may provide the basis for proposing solutions to strengthen tree planting of households in the study area
Keywords: Households, influential factors, stepwise binary logistic regression, tree planting decision
I INTRODUCTION
Recent history reveals both that the
large-scale reforestation projects of the 20th century
have often been less successful than anticipated,
and that tree growing by smallholders - as an
alternative means to combat deforestation and
promote sustainable land use - has received
relatively little attention from the scientific and
development communities (Snelder and Lasco,
2008) Related studies have shown that
smallholder tree planting activity is influenced
by socioeconomic characteristics such as access
to land with secure land and tree tenure (Byron,
2001; Emtage and Suh, 2004; Sikor and Baggio,
2014; Tran Thi Mai Anh, 2015); suitable
management skills, knowledge and labour
force; interaction with peer farmers’ through
either social groups or cooperative
organizations (Sikor and Baggio, 2014; Tran
Thi Mai Anh, 2015); environmental factors
(Summers et al., 2004; Jagger et al., 2005; Tran
Thi Mai Anh, 2015); and access to markets
(Akinnifesi et al., 2006; Tchoundjeu et al.,
2006; Kallio et al., 2011; Tran Thi Mai Anh,
2015)
In Vietnam, 1.2 million households have
been allocated 4.46 million ha, 70% of which
is production forest land (Phuc and Nghi,
2014) Understanding the socioeconomic
factors and perceptions of smallholders related
to tree planting activities in Vietnam will be
valuable for informing and supporting related policy interventions The perceptions of local people examine their views on how they consider tree planting activity If the incentives and disincentives to tree planting activities are understood, it will be easier to improve participation of smallholders and increase benefits from tree planting In this paper, we analysed the key factors influencing tree planting decision from local people in the Nam Nuong commune, Kim Boi district, Hoa Binh province and provide suggestion in sustainable management of forest plantation
in the study area
II REASEARCH METHODOLOGY 2.1 The study area
Hoa Binh Province is located in the North
of Vietnam is the source of headwater and major tributaries that influence the lives of more than 808,200 people inside the province
It borders Son La and Phu Tho provinces to the northwest, Ha Noi city to the north and northeast, Ha Nam province to the southeast, Ninh Binh and Thanh Hoa provinces to the south Hoa Binh is a mountainous province located on the entrance of the Northwest region and is proud to be famous with
“Hoabinhian Culture” where human life is proven to existed here since 10,000 - 2,000 BCE The topography is combined by mountains and narrow valleys results in the
Trang 2climate of this district is representative for
tropical monsoon, which is pretty cold and less
rain in winter but hot and rainy in summer The
annual temperature varies between 150C to
290C, depending on season Hoa Binh is in the
region has a high poverty rate and a low
standard of living of the population The
growth of GDP amounts to 11.8% during 2000
- 2010 The poverty rate was 31.31% in 2005,
and was 14% in 2010, but in 2011 the rate of
poverty has jumped again to 37.68%,
according to the new rate of poverty (Mai Lan
Phuong, 2011) They are a large variety of
ethnic groups, which has 15 ethnic
communities, and 63.4% is Muong ethnic
group The variety of both culture and
environment leads to diverse land-use systems
Kim Boi District, Hoa Binh Province was
chosen to be a case study because of the
following reasons Kim Boi is considered as the
district with the largest planted forest area in the
province The total natural area of Kim Boi
district is 54,950 ha, of which 40,562 ha is
forestry land (account for 73% of the district's
natural area), and production forest area
accounts for over 21,000 ha On average, Kim
Boi district has planted 1,000 - 2,000 ha of
forest annually, mainly production forests and
100 - 200 ha of fruit trees In 2014, the district has planted 2001 ha of forest increasing the forest cover to 49.3% In 2018, Kim Boi district plans to plant 1,700 hectares of new forest, mainly production forests and allocate over 37,000 hectares of forests for people to manage and protect
Nuong Dam is a commune with extremely difficult socio-economic conditions in Kim Boi district, Hoa Binh province Nuong Dam commune lies in the tropical monsoon climate, with two distinct seasons: rainy and dry season, average temperature: 23°C, average humidity: 60%, the average rainfall: 1,800
mm Land of Nuong Dam commune is typically with high fertility suitable for many crops With hundreds of thousands of hectares
of land including the adjoining plots, land in Nuong Dam commune can be used for various purposes, especially afforestation, industrial crops for the agro-forestry and industrial development The Nuong Dam commune covers an area of 35.66 km² (in 2016), with a population of 3,381 people in 1999; 4,058 people in 2016, and a population density of
114 persons/km²
Figure 1 Map of Nuong Dam commune, Kim Boi district, Hoa Binh province
Source: People Committee of Nuong Dam commune, 2016
Trang 3Nuong Dam commnue was chosen to be a case
study because of the following reasons Firstly,
Nuong Dam commune is a large forested area of
Kim Boi district which is representative for
mountainous area, bounded with streams, rivers,
valleys, and limestone mountains Secondly, this
area also is a focal point of planting for
headwater which plays an important role for
protecting water resource of whole regions
2.2 Study method
In this study, we selected 150 households
for survey according to the criteria in table 1
The attributes of the selected households are summarised in table 1 The survey was based
on the conceptual model for assessing key factors affecting the tree planting decision of households (figure 2) The survey was conducted by using a questionnaire designed
to collect data on general household characteristics, factors influencing tree planting decision of households A copy of the questionnaire is available on request The questionnaire was administered face-to-face, usually the head of households
Figure 2 Factors influence tree planting decision of smallholder
Source: Tran, 2015
Kim Boi district has 27 communes and
aninternal town with population of 114,000
people (GSO 2016) We conducted a
household survey in one representative
communes namely Nam Nuong commune, in
which, 150 households including 75
households having decision of tree planting
and 75 households without decision for tree
planting Within 75 tree planting households,
we divided into 3 sub-group based on
household wealth ranking including 25 rich
households, 25 moderate households and 25 poor households On the other hand, among 75 households not tree planting, 25 households are classified as rich, 25 households are classified as moderate, and 25 households are classified as poor The interview design was followed by a stratified random sampling method to obtain representative strata by decision of tree planting and household wealth ranking
Table 1 Number of survey households in the study area
Households wealth ranking
Trang 4Personal interviews were conducted in the
study area This method allows researchers the
opportunity to ask more questions, longer
questions, more detailed questions, more
open-ended questions, and more complicated or
technical questions Moreover, face-to-face
surveys also offer advantages in terms of data
quality (Manurung et al., 2008) The survey
was conducted from 1st August 2017 to 20th
August 2017
IBM SPSS Statistics 23 was used for data analysis Bivariate analysis was used to identify association between ‘Tree planting decisions by households’ (dependent variable) and factor (independent variable) (see Table 2 for a full list of variables included in the analysis) Factors found to
be significantly associated with an independent variable in the bivariate analyses (p < 0.05) were considered as candidates in stepwise binary logistic regressions with independent variables
Table 2 Description of variables
4 Forestland area (ha) Forest land area of each household
1; Medium, accessible by
Factors were entered into the stepwise
regressions if the significance of their
relationship with an independent variable was
p < 0.05 and removed from the stepwise
regression if the significance of their
relationship with an independent variable
became p ≥ 0.10 Factors were entered into the
stepwise regressions in order of their
correlation with a dependent variable, from
most strongly (highest Pearson’s correlation)
to least strongly correlated (lowest Pearson’s
correlation) (Brace et al., 2006; Ho, 2006) A
set of significant factors for a dependent variable was the result of the stepwise binary logistic regression Stepwise regression is an appropriate analysis for this study because there are many variables (12 independent variables) in the binary logistic regression model and we are interested in identifying a useful subset of the predictors
III RESULTS AND DISCUSSION
3.1 Descriptive statistics on surveyed households
In general, almost all of households surveyed are Muong ethnicity (88%) The
Trang 5results in table 4 show that approximate 60%
of the respondents having good knowledge on
silviculture and roughly 40% of total
households admit that they have little or even
no knowledge on this field In addition, most
of interviewees said an extension officer from
government forestry program is very important
in training and educating communities on tree
planting practices The more the farmers
interact with them, the more likely it is for
them to gain knowledge on silvilcuture The fact that, ‘Knowledge about forestry program’ for those who did not have knowledge about forestry program was a quarter of who have
‘Knowledge about forestry program’ And the accessibility from accommodation to forestland area is easy and moderate account for 12.7% and 49.3%, respective The rest is a difficult accessibility accounted for 38%
Table 3 Relationship between independent variables and tree planting decision of households
Investment capital
Accessibility to plantation sites
Knowledge about forestry
program
Source: Household survey, 2017
Results from table 4 show that there are
only significant differences at 5% level in ‘Age
of household head’ and ‘Forest land area’
between households decided to planting trees and households decided not planting the trees
Trang 6Table 4 Descriptive statistics of quantitative variable
(2 tailed)
Mean Std Dev Mean Std Dev
Source: Household survey, 2017
3.2 Key drivers influencing tree planting
decision of surveyed household
Direct stepwise binary logistic regression
was performed to assess the impact of a
number of factors on the likelihood that
households would report that they had a
decision of planting trees or not The model
contained four independent variables
(Forestland area, Investment Capital,
Accessibility to Plantation Sites, and
Knowledge on Silviculture) The full model containing all predictors was statistically significant, χ2(4, N = 150) = 93.74, p < 001, indicating that the model was able to distinguish between respondents who decided and did not decide tree planting The model as
a whole explained between 46.5% (Cox and Snell R squared) and 62.0% (Nagelkerke R squared) of the variance in the decision of tree planting, and correctly classified 86.0% of cases
Table 5 Model summary for key drivers affecting tree planting decision of surveyed households
Dependent variable: Tree planting decision by households
Omnibus Tests of Model Coefficients:
Model summary:
Note: *** p < 0.01, ** p < 0.05, * p < 0.10, NS Not significance (two-tailed tests)
Source: Household survey, 2017
As shown in table 6, four independent
variables (Forestland Area, Investment Capital,
Accessibility to Plantation Sites, and
Knowledge on Silviculture) were statistically
significant in distinguishing between
households decide or did not decide to plant
decide to plant trees were improved by about 5.025 times if Accessibility to Plantation Sites
of household decrease one level from “difficult level” to “easy level”, by about 3.452 times if household has ‘Knowledge on Silviculture’, by about 1.970 times if Investment Capital
Trang 7Table 6 Determining importance of variables in the multiple linear regression model
Source: Household survey, 2017
Exp(B)adjusted in table 6 shows that
‘Knowledge on Silviculture’, ‘Forestland
Area’, ‘Investment Capital’ variables have a
positive influence on the tree planting decision
of local households, and ‘Accessibility to
Plantation Sites’ variable is negatively
influenced on tree planting decision of local
households in the study area Ordinal
influential factors are represented as following:
(1) Accessibility to Plantation Sites; (2)
Knowledge on Silviculture; (3) Forestland
Area; and (4) Investment Capital
3.3 Discussions and Policy Implication
3.3.1 Accessibility to plantation site
Accessibility to plantation site was found
to be significantly and negatively related to
tree planting decision of households Dupuy
and Mille (1993) indicated that accessibility
of the planted area is a parameter that cannot
be overlooked, for it is important only in
reforestation per se, but also in the follow-up
(tending, thinning, and wildfire protection,
etc.) and in taking out harvested products
Therefore, the improvement of infrastructure,
such as roads, as part of forest plantation
programs is important to success, particular
where plantation sites are isolated and the
improved infrastructure can assist
communities to reliably access tree planting
inputs and product markets Infrastructure
development is very expensive and not all
projects are able to fulfil fund it, therefore
lower-cost options for infrastructure
improvement are vital
3.3.2 Forestland area
Result of this study indicated that forestland
area was found to be significantly and positively related to tree planting decision of households Byron (2001), Kallio (2013) and Tran Thi Mai Anh (2015) found that tree planters were generally with more land, higher value of total assets and more active participation in tree planting than non-tree planters
3.3.3 Investment capital
Funding from self-investment was found to
be significantly and positively related to tree planting decision of households Byron (2001), Sikor and Baggio (2014), and Tran Thi Mai Anh (2015) found that better-off households are more likely to possess forestland, grow trees, and invest in plantations than poor ones
In addition, land plantations, and investment tend to be larger for the better-off than the poor Better-off households are in a better position to engage in tree plantations due to, among other factors, the institutional mechanisms differentiating household access
to land and finance Sandewall et al (2010) revealed that many poor farmers had received forest land through the Forest Land Allocation (FLA), but their possibility to benefit from plantations was limited They had usually received land late in the process of FLA, as they initially declined to become involved; their plantations were small and far away, which complicated management and protection; they had to harvest prematurely to secure the necessary cash flow, and they did not have the necessary finances to maintain the plantations There were very limited credit facilities Therefore, the forest administration
Trang 8such as the Department of Forestry
Development and the Forest Protection
Stations at District level, mainly had
regulatory, supervisory and monitoring tasks
3.3.4 Knowledge of household head about
silviculture
Knowledge on silviculture had significantly
positive effects on tree planting decision of
households Salam et al (2000) and Tran Thi
Mai Anh (2015) indicatedclearly that farmers’
awareness of forestry extension programs is
slight, and the contribution of forestry workers
to motivate farmers to plant trees has been
negligible To maximize the potential of
homestead forestry, forestry professionals and
extension workers should broaden their
activities and work more closely with local
farmers They should disseminate technical
information to tree growers, supply quality
seedlings suitable for the area, provide
effective institutional support, and arrange for
efficient marketing facilities of the farm forest
products so that poor farmers can come
forward to enhance tree production and get
proper returns from production Therefore,
reforestation education, information or
awareness building campaigns also provide
market information, and marketing support for
timber and other forest products that can help
to increase the cash income of farmers, which
in turn can lead to better site management and
protection, and reduced erosion and landslide
risk (Le et al., 2014)
IV CONCLUSION
A number of biophysical, socio-economic,
institutional and management factors influence
tree planting decision of household in Kim Boi
district, Hoa Binh province Based on our
analysis we found that ‘Accessibility to
Plantation Sites’, ‘Knowledge on Silviculture’,
‘Forestland Area’, and ‘Investment Capital’
were among the most highly connected factors
influencing tree planting decision of
households in the study area Therefore focusing on performance indicators alone will not improve our understanding of why households decide to plant or not plant trees Therefore, it is essential to develop infrastructure that can help farmers to easily access of plantation sites, better access to credit, provide farmers with more agroforestry extension activities
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CÁC NHÂN TỐ ẢNH HƯỞNG ĐÁNG KỂ ĐẾN QUYẾT ĐỊNH TRỒNG RỪNG CỦA CÁC HỘ GIA ĐÌNH: NGHIÊN CỨU ĐIỂM TẠI TỈNH HÒA BÌNH
Lê Đình Hải 1 , Phạm Thanh Hương 2
1,2 Trường Đại học Lâm nghiệp
TÓM TẮT
Để ứng phó với sự mất rừng và suy giảm tài nguyên rừng nghiêm trọng, đã có nhiều dự án khôi phục rừng đã được triển khai trên địa bàn huyện Kim Bôi, tỉnh Hòa Bình Tuy nhiên, khi mà những nỗ lực và đầu tư đáng kể vào khôi phục rừng, thì sự tương tác giữa đặc điểm của hộ gia đình và các yếu tố kinh tế xã hội có liên quan đến trồng rừng qui mô hộ gia đình còn được biết đến một cách hạn chế Trong nghiên cứu này chúng tôi khảo sát 150 hộ gia đình (bao gồm 75 hộ trồng rừng và 75 hộ không trồng rừng) trên địa bàn xã Nuông Dăm, huyện Kim Bôi, tỉnh Hòa Bình Kết quả phân tích ứng dụng mô hình hồi qui Stepwise Binary Logistic Regression đã xác định được 4 yếu ảnh hưởng đáng kể đến quyết định trồng rừng của hộ gia đình trên địa bàn nghiên cứu, bao gồm: khả năng tiếp cận rừng trồng, diện tích đất lâm nghiệp, vốn đầu tư và kiến thức về kỹ thuật lâm sinh Kết quả nghiên cứu có thể làm cơ sở cho việc đề xuất các giải pháp làm tăng cường và mở rộng trồng rừng qui mô
hộ gia đình trên địa bàn nghiên cứu
Từ khóa: Hộ gia đình, mô hình hồi qui logit chọn từng bước (stepwise binary logistic regresion), nhân tố ảnh hưởng, quyết định trồng rừng