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Lecture International business (11/e) - Chapter 8: Economic and socioeconomic forces

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After completing this chapter, students will be able to: State the purpose of economic analysis, identify different categories based on levels of national economic development and the common characteristics of developing nations, recognize the economic and socioeconomic dimensions of the economy and different indicators used to assess them,...

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Economic and Socioeconomic

Forces

chapter eight

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Learning Objectives

State the purpose of economic analysis

Identify different categories based on levels of

national economic development and the common characteristics of developing nations

Recognize the economic and socioeconomic

dimensions of the economy and different indicators used to assess them

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Learning Objectives

Discuss the new definition of economic

development, which includes more than economic growth

Explain the degree to which labor costs can vary from country to country

Discuss the significance for businesspeople of the large foreign debts of some nations

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International Economic Analyses

(Table 8.1)

 Economic Analysis

 When a firm enters overseas markets,

economic analyses become more complex

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International Economic

Analysis

The Commercial officers in embassies

The World Bank

The United Nations

The International Monetary Fund

The Organization for Economic

Cooperation and Development

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Levels of Economic Development

• Developed

– A classification for all industrialized nations,

which are the most technically developed

• Developing

– A classification for lower income nations,

which are less technically developed

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Levels of Economic Development

• Newly industrialized economies (NIEs)

– The fast-growing upper-middle-income and

high income economies of South Korea,

Taiwan, Hong Kong, and Singapore

• Newly industrializing countries (NICs)

– The four Asian Tigers and the

middle-income economies such as Brazil, Mexico, Malaysia, Chile, and Thailand

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Dimensions of the Economy

Important Economic Indicators

Gross National Income (GNI)

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Dimensions of the Economy

The measure of the income generated by

a nation’s residents from international

and domestic activity

Preferred over GDP

Used to compare countries with respect

to the well-being of their citizens and to assess market or investment potential

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• Purchasing Power Parity

– The number of units of a currency required

to buy the same amount of goods and

services in a domestic market that $1.00

would buy in the U.S

– Helps to make comparisons possible across

economies

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Dimensions of the Economy

A measure of how a nation’s income is

apportioned among its people

Reported as the percentage of income

received by population quintiles

Data gathered by World Bank

Income more evenly distributed in richer nations

Income redistribution proceeds slowly

Income inequality increases in early stages

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Dimensions of the Economy

Private Consumption

and making essential purchases

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Private Consumption Based on

Purchasing Power Parity

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Dimensions of the Economy

Unit labor costs

Total direct labor costs divided by units produced

Countries with slower-rising unit labor costs attract management’s attention

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Dimensions of the Economy

Reasons for relative changes in

labor costs

Compensation

Productivity

Exchange rates

International firms must keep close

watch on labor rates around the

world

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Dimensions of the Economy

Large international debts of middle- and

low-income nations affect multinational

firms

When foreign exchange must be used for loan

repayment, import of components used in

local production is reduced

Local industries must manufacture these

components or production must stop

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Major International Debtors

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Socioeconomic Dimensions

Total Population

Most general indicator of potential market

size

Population size, used alone, is not good

indicator of economic strength and market potential

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Socioeconomic Dimensions

Developing countries have more youthful

populations than do industrial countries

Birthrates decreasing worldwide

Population of developing countries

accounts for over three-quarters of

world’s population

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Population Growth

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Forces Reducing Birthrates

Government supported family planning

programs

Improved levels of health, education along

with enhanced status for women

More even distribution of income

Greater degree of urbanization

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Concern: Birthrate Decline

Concern in Developed Nations: Europe

An increasing number of young

Europeans not marrying

Marriages are later, with fewer children

By 2025, the present 9 percent

unemployment rate in the EU will be replaced by a shortage of workers

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Concern: Birthrate Decline

Concern in Developed Nations: Japan

By 2025, Japan’s population aged 65 and

older will make up 26.8 percent of total population

By 2025, Japan will have twice as many

old people as children

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Socioeconomic Dimensions

Population Density

A measure of the number of inhabitants

per area unit

product distribution and

communications simpler and cheaper in densely populated countries

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Socioeconomic Dimensions

Population Distribution

A measure of how the inhabitants are

distributed over a nation’s area

Changing population distribution: rural-

to-urban shift

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Rural-to-Urban Shift

(Table 8.8)

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convenience goods

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Population Distribution

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