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It is based on the coupling of the three following submodels; a leaf assimilation model including estimates of stomatal conductance and leaf respiration, a canopy model describing prin

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GLOBAL BIOGEOCHEMICAL CYCLES, VOL 8, NO 3, PAGES 255-270, SEPTEMBER 1994

CARAIB: A global model of terrestrial biological productivity

P Warnant, L Francois, D Strivay, and J.-C G•rard

Laboratoire de Physique Atmosph•rique et Plan•t•ire, Institut d'Astrophysique, Universite de Liege, Liege, Belgium

Abstract CARAIB, a mechanistic model of carbon assimilation in the biosphere

estimates the net primary productivity (NPP) of the continental vegetation on

a grid of 1 ø x 1 ø in latitude and longitude The model considers the annual

and diurnal cycles It is based on the coupling of the three following submodels;

a leaf assimilation model including estimates of stomatal conductance and leaf

respiration, a canopy model describing principally the radiative transfer through

the foliage, and a wood respiration model Present-day climate and vegetation

characteristics allow the discrimination between ecotypes In particular, specific

information on vegetation distribution and properties is successfully used at four

levels; the leaf physiological level, the plant level, the ecosystem level, and the global

level The productivity determined by the C ARAIB model is compared with local

measurements and empirical estimates showing a good agreement with a global

value of 65 Gt C yr -1 The sensitivity of the model to the diurnal cycle and to the

abundance of C4 species is also tested The productivity slightly decreases (10%)

when the diurnal cycle of the temperature is neglected By contrast, neglecting the

diurnal cycle of solar irradiance produces unrealistically high values of NPP Even

if the importance of this increase would presumably be reduced by the coupling

of CARAIB with a nutrient cycle model, this test emphasizes the key role of the

diurnal cycle in a mechanistic model of the NPP Uncertainties on the abundance

and spatial distribution of Ca plants may cause errors in the NPP estimates,

however, as demonstrated by two sensitivity tests, these errors are certainly lower

than 10% at the global scale as shown by two tests

Introduction

Continental vegetation plays an important role in the

climatic system Indeed, the hydrological cycle is mo-

dified by the extraction, transpiration, and storage of

soil water in plants Moreover, photosynthesis of green

plants is an important sink of carbon Atmospheric

CO2 is, after water vapor, the most important green-

house gas, and its assimilation by the biosphere modi-

fies the atmospheric reservoir and therefore the heating

or cooling of Earth's atmosphere In particular, globatL

climate changes induced by human activities may be in-

fiuenced by the coupled atmosphere-biosphere system

In this scope the study of the global carbon uptake by

the biosphere is of primary importance

During the last years, global models of carbon as

sirnilation by the biosphere based on empirical para-

meterizations have been developed [e.g., Esser, 1991]

These models estimate biospheric carbon pool sizes and fluxes However, the parameterizations they use are calibrated with present-day CO2 levels and climatic conditions but may be less appropriate for future con- ditions On the other hand, mechanistic models have often been applied only at the leaf, plant, or, eventually, the canopy level The study described in this paper ten- tatively uses mechanistic models [Farquhar et al., 1980; Collatz et al., 1992] to predict the net primary produc-

tivity (NPP) at a global scale Even if this scaling-up

method rests upon many simplifications, it is a first step toward the modeling of CO2 assimilation by continen- tal vegetation, and it gives results as realistic as those

of previous estimations Furthermore, improvements of this model are expected as physiological knowledge and scaling-up methodology progress The sensitivity of the model to the diurnal cycle is tested It is shown that ignoring this cycle may introduce important errors in NPP estimates

Copyright 1994 by the American Geophysical Union

Paper number 94GB00850

0886-6236/94/94GB-00850510.00

Model Description

The C ARAIB model has been built to estimate the net primary productivity of continental vegetation at

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WARNANT ET AL.: GLOBAL MODEL OF TERRESTRIAL BIOLOGICAL PRODUCTIVITY

a global scale using vegetation information and clima-

tic data A spatial resolution of 1 ø x 1 ø in latitude

and longitude has been chosen because it permits the

description of relatively fine spatial variations of the

NPP, while staying computationally manageable At

this resolution the continents cover 15,347 grid points

The NPP is calculated independently at each of these

grid points The functioning of the model is outlined

in Figure 1, which the diagram illustrates the various

submodels coupled in C ARAIB with the processes they

consider, the input data they require, and the timescale

(day or season) to which they apply In the lower right

of Figure I is a summary of the symbols used in the

text (sections 2.3 and 3.2) for the area and carbon al-

location fractions of the different vegetation covers of a

grid point CARAIB considers the main two solar cy-

cles, the diurnal and annual cycles Because of the large

variation of the photosynthetic rate during the day, the

CO2 uptake is calculated on an hourly basis The hourly

values are subsequently summed up to provide the daily

assimilation However, since a monthly mean climatic

data set is used, random day-to-day variations of wea-

ther conditions cannot be taken into account The daily

NPP is thus estimated for a midmonth day and multi-

plied by the month length to obtain the monthly value

CARAIB intends to be as mechanistic as possible

and is based on the coupling of the three following

submodels: a leaf assimilation model including esti- mates of stomatal conductance and leaf respiration, a canopy model describing principally the radiative trans-

fer through the foliage, and a wood respiration model

Photosynthesis is the major carbon flux determining

plant growth In this study the emphasis is thus put on

the estimation of gross primary productivity (GPP) By

contrast, respiration of leaves and wood is not known accurately Only a rough estimate of respiration rates will thus be performed here, mainly to provide the value

of net primary productivity and to enable the compari- son of model results with in situ measurements (existing

for NPP but not for GPP)

Leaf Assimilation Submodel

The leaf gross assimilation rate A (/zmol m -2 s -1)

is described by two quadratic equations [Collatz et al., 1991]'

OAp • - Ap(A1 + A•) + A1A• = 0 (1)

/SA • - A(Ap + Aa) + A;,Aa = 0 (2)

LEAF LEVEL

SOIL HYDROLOGY

Air humicity

• water

Bucket

CANOPY LEVEL

Trendat

PLANT LEVEL

Respiration , Construction

Wood Biota are

VEGETATION AREA FRACTION ALLOCATION

GROUND C, f o • ( I - f •,)

,

CARbon Assimilation In the Biosphere ( CARAIB )

Figure 1 A schematic diagram showing the structure of the carbon assimilation in the biosphere

(CARAIB) model The parameters defining the area and carbon allocation fractions (see text)

of the different vegetation covers of a grid point are summarized at lower right

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WARNANT ET AL.: GLOBAL MODEL OF TERRESTRIAL BIOLOGICAL PRODUCTIVITY 257

where 0 and /• are parameters; A1, A2 and As are

functions describing limitations of the assimilation rate

(•umol m -2 s-i); and Ap is the assimilation rate resul-

ting from the coupling of the first two limitations (/zmol

m -2 s-l)

These two equations indicate that the assimilation

rate is limited by three processes, with a coupling be-

tween them represented by the parameters 0 and

For Ca species, A1 is the ribulos-biphosphate car-

boxylase oxygenase (Rubisco) limited rate, mud A2 is

the electron transport limited or light-limited rate [Far-

quhar et al., 1980] They are given by

Pi - F

+ +

where Vcma• is the maximum catalytic capacity of Ru-

bisco (/zmol m -2 s -1); Pi is the intercellular CO2 pres-

sure (10 -6 Pa); O2 is the intercellular O2 pressure (Pa);

F is the CO2 compensation point in the absence of

dark respiration (10 -6 Pa); Kc is the Michaelis-Menten

constant for CO2 (10 -6 Pa); and Ko is the Michaelis-

Menten constant for O2 (Pa)

pi - F

where J is the potential rate of electron transport (/zEq

m -2 s -1) V•m•, F., Kc, and Ko are functions of tem-

perature, while J is a function of temperature and of

the absorbed irradiance J saturates at a level Jmax at

high irradiance

As is the rate limited by the capacity for the export or

the utilization of the products of photosynthesis [Collatz

et al., 1991]'

Ycmax

&= 2 (s)

Similar equations describe the C4 species behavior

[Collatz et al., 1992] In this case, A1 and A2 are inde-

pendent of p•, and As is a CO2-1imited rate proportional

to Pi

where V•m• is a "Q10 function" (Q10 is the factor by

which the rate, i.e Vcmax, is multiplied for each 10øC

increase in + •empera•ure• of temp + erasure •orrec•ed to

limit the assimilation rate at low or high temperature;

a is the slope of the photosynthetic response to light

(molco•_/mO]photon); I is the irradiance absorbed by the

2 1

leaf (•molphoton m- s- ; k is the initial slope of pho-

tosynthetic C02 response (mo] m -2 s -1) and is a

function of temperature; and P is the atmospheric pres-

sure (Pa)

Finally, the leaf net assimilation rate An (/zmol m -2

s -1) is given by

where Rd, the dark respiration rate, is assumed to be proportional to Vcmax The proportionality constant

used is 0.015 for Ca plants [Sellers et al.,1992] and 0.020 for C4 plants (estimated from Gollatz et al 's [1992] va- lue of the dark respiration rate at 25øC)

The CO2 pressure in interee!!ular spaces is related to

the atmospheric CO• pressure, p•tm (Pa), by a diffusion

equation

Pi Patm

where g, the total conductance to

is given by

I I 1

g gst

where gst is the stomatal conductance; and gbl is the leaf boundary layer conductmace

The stomatal conductance to CO• is estimated fol-

lowing Ball et al., [1987]'

where h8 is the air relative humidity at the leaf surface; and F is the compensation point (10 -6 Pa)

The factor 1.6 accounts for the ratio of the diffusi-

vities of CO2 and H20 vapor in the stomates [Collatz

et al., 1992]; go = 0.01 (mol•_o m -2 s -1) and gl= 9.2

for Cs species [Leuning, 1990]; mud go = 0.08 (moln2o

m -2 s -1) and gl= 3.0 for C4 species [Collatz et al., 1992] For low air relative humidity (hs _• 0.46), gl

is decreased linearly with the available soil water frac- tion (wn•_o - wp)/(fc - wp) = (hs - 0.1)/0.9 (see sec-

tion 3.1) This linear decrease tends to simulate the

observed behavior of the stomatal conductance at low water availability [Mc Mutttie et al., 1992] This for- mulation of the stomatal conductance involves the hy- pothesis that the stomates open and close to optimize the uptake of CO2, while limiting the H20 losses In the present version of the model a constant value g• =

0.0714 molco•_ m -2 s -1 is used as a first approximation

for the leaf boundary layer conductmace

Equations (1), (2), and (9)-(12) have to be solved si-

multaneously to calculate the leaf net assimilation rate

An Since A1, A2, and As are not identical functions

of pi for Cs and C4 specie, the mathematical •!ution

of these equations will also differ For Cs, species equa-

tions (10)-(12) are combined to give the intercellular

pressure of CO2, pi, as a function of the assimilation

rate, An This function is then introduced in (3) (re- spectively (4)), assuming that A1 (respectively A2) is

the only limiting rate This procedure leads to two cu- bic equations, the solutions of which yield A1 and A2

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258 WARNANT ET AL.: GLOBAL MODEL OF TERRESTRIAL BIOLOGICAL PRODUCTIVITY

Finally, (1) and (2) are solved to provide Ap, and A,

and thus AN by making use of (9) Since A x and A2 are

not functions of pi for Ca species, (1), (2), (6)-(8), and

(10)-(12) can be combined into a cubic equation direc-

tly providing the leaf gross assimilation rate, A (Collatz

et al., 1992) A• is then calculated from (9)

Canopy Submodel

The CO2 uptake by the green vegetation is directly

related to the net assimilation of a single leaf, assuming

that physiological parameters are constant throughout

the canopy The canopy is divided into layers of equal

thickness in leaf area index (LAI) The assimilation rate

of each layer is determined as described in section 2.1.,

and layer values are added to provide the canopy assi-

milation In order to perform this integration easily, the

LAI is reduced to the nearest multiple of the layer thick-

ness, taken as 0.2 in this study The temperature, rela-

tive humidity, and CO2 pressure of the air are supposed

to be constant throughout the canopy, while light is ab-

sorbed within the canopy An exponential attenuation

of the solar flux Ir within the foliage is implemented

[Sellers, 1985]

where Io is the irradiance at the top of the canopy; L is

the cumulative LAI; and kr is the extinction coefficient

As leaves are assumed to be spherically distributed,

kLis given by

(1 - •)o.•

2p where p is the cosine of the zenith angle of the solar

beam; and •v is the scattering coefficient (0.175)

Net Primary Productivity of a Grid Point

Using the leaf and canopy submodels presented above,

the total leaf net assimilation (LNA) rate per unit area

of ground surface at a model grid point is calculated

from the relationship

[f• Lc

L=I

]

+ (1- fc,)

L=I

where the summation extends over canopy layers, A, r (C4

and A•(C3) are the net assimilation of layer L for C4

and C3 species calculated from (9) with solar irradiance

derived from (13); fc4 is the fraction of vegetation us-

ing the C4 photosynthetic pathway at the grid point

considered; fo is the fraction of the soil surface cove-

red by vegetation; and Lc, the number of layers in the

canopy, is determined from the leaf area index of the

canopy, LAIc (assuming, as mentioned above, that the layer thickness in LAI is 0.2)

To obtain the net primary productivity of the grid

point (per unit area of ground surface), the respiration

rate R•, of the woody parts of the vegetation must be substracted from the total leaf net assimilation rate

NPP - LNA- R• (16)

Consequently, an estimate of the woody respiration rate is needed before the net primary productivity of the vegetation can be calculated Woody respiration is very poorly known quantitatively, and a very crude es- timate is made here only for completeness of the model

The approach adopted here is similar to that used by Raich et al., [1991] and McGuire et al., [1992] in their calculation of total plant respiration Maintenance and construction respiration rates are calculated separately, since the former is proportional to the biomass and the latter to the net carbon assimilation Thus R,, can be

written as

where R• is proportional to woody biomass, and R•,

is proportional to the part of net assimilation allocated

to wood growth

Following McGuire et al., [1992], the increase of/•

with temperature is represented by a "Qm relation- ship," in which Q•o is, itself, temperature dependent and is calculated from a third-order polynomial fit to observations So we have

[j•o T ln(Q•o) 5 T] (18)

R• m = Kr Bw exp 10

where B•ois the woody phytomass in standing vegeta- tion; Kr is the respiration rate per unit mass of woody material at 0øC; and T is temperature in øC Since on-

ly the living part of the woody phytomass respires, K•

must be substantially lower than the values listed by

McGuire et al., [1992] for average vegetation (leaves plus wood) in different ecotypes In the absence of pre-

cise measurements, the K• value has been chosen here

in such a way that the global and annual average of the respiration rate is comparable to the value reported by Harvey [1989] The woody phytomass B•ois not cal- culated explicitly in the model Rather, it is estimated from a simple parameterization linking the annual mean NPP and the phytomass [Esser, 1984, 1991]

B•o = 0.59181 NPP•, •%o.7v2•6 (19) where •"o is the mean stand age of woody material,

and NPP,, is the annual mean NPP allocated to wood growth This annual mean value of B•o is used to

calculate R•, assuming that B•o is roughly constant

throughout the year The value of •% depends on the

ecotype Note that since the annual mean net primary

productivity of the wood NPP,, is not known until the

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WARNANT ET AL.: GLOBAL MODEL OF TERI•STRIAL BIOLOGICAL PRODUCTIVITY 259

calculation is performed over the whole year, it will be

necessary to use an initial guess of Bw while starting

an iterative procedure (see below) The NPP allocated

to wood growth is related to total NPP by the simple

relationship

NPP• = (1 - H) Nee (20)

where the herbaceous factor H is also a characteristic of

the ecotype and is calculated here from the fraction •

of the vegetated surface covered by ground vegetation

(as opposed to trees) as follows:

where h0 is the Ëaction of tree NPP allocated to leaf

growth

Using a similar approach to that of Raich et a/.,[1991],

we assume that the rate of construction respiration/•

is given by

where

NA• - LNA - H x NPP - R• TM (23)

is the net assimilation (NA) left for wood growth and

wood construction respiration when the amounts allo-

cated to growth (H x NPP) of ground vegetation and

tree leaves and to wood maintenance respiration

have been substracted from leaf net assimilation (LNA)

By substituting NPP with its value derived from (16)

and (17) and rearanging, (23) can be rewritten in the

equivalent form

NA• (1 - H) (LNA- R•) + H R•, (24)

Introducing this value of NA• into (22) and solving for

/•w, it becomes

(25)

When fo, fc,, LAIc, •, and h0 (characteristics of the

ecotype) are known,(15)-(18) together with (21) and

(25) can be solved simultaneously to yield the net pri-

mary productivity (NPP) on an hourly, diurnal, month-

ly, or annual basis (depending on which time interval

A• and /• are calculated), provided that an initial

value of B•o is known As mentioned earlier, in this

first version of the model the woody phytomass B•ois

assumed constant over the year and is estimated from

(19) and (20), that is, from the annual mean NPP As

a result, the calculations of NPP and B•omust be re-

peated iteratively until convergence In this way the

model is capable of estimating the NPP from hourly to

annual timescales The method used to calculate the

wood respiration rate is very preliminary and has been

adopted because it avoids an explicit calculation of the

biomass from mass conservation equations This sim-

plified method neglects the seasonality of carbon alloca-

tion (parameters H and h0) associated with the pheno- logical changes, but it, nevertheless, allows a correction

of the net assimilation for wood respiration, so that the model NPP can be compared with average measure- ments in the major ecotypes of the world

Input Data

The model requires two kinds of inputs, climatic data used to estimate the photosynthetic rate and vegetation data used to differentiate the ecosystems

Climatic Data All climatic inputs are monthly mean data Mean temperature T,• and precipitation P,• are given by the International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis database [Leeroans and Cromer, 1991] on a regular grid

of 0.5 ø x 0.5 ø and are averaged over the 1 ø x 1 ø grid elements of the model The monthly mean maximum and minimum temperatures, Truax and Train are given

by spatial interpolation of observations at about 3000 stations situated all over the world These observa-

tion files are those used by May et al., [1992], and a

linear interpolation is carried out, ecosystem by ecosys- tem The surface irradiances are the monthly mean va-

lues for 1989 and come from the International Satellite

Cloud Climatology Project (ISCCP) database available

at Goddard Institute for Space Studies in New York [Bishop and Rossow, 1991] These inputs are treated to

provide the mean diurnal air relative humidity and the

hourly values of temperature and irradiance

Air Relative Humidity A simple bucket model

of the surface hydrological cycle considering one single

soil pool is used to estimate the soil water content W•ao

In this model the precipitating water which is not eva-

porated fills in the soil pool until the field capacity fc is

reached Excess precipitation leaves the site as runoff The potential evapotranspiration rate is calculated with

a parameterization, depending on temperature and so-

lax irradiance (Turc formula) The thickness of the soil layer (rooting depth) depends on the vegetation type and the soil texture It varies between 1.0 and 2.5 m,

except for lithosols, for which a value of 0.1 m is as- sumed The soil water content is limited to a minimum

equal to the wilting point, wp The field capacity and the wilting point are fianctions of soil texture The air

relative humidity h8 is estimated with a formula adap-

ted from Sellers [1983]

In this formula, wH,O is limited to top to be consistent

with the hydrological model

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260 WARNANT ET AL.: GLOBAL MODEL OF TERRESTRIAL BIOLOGICAL PRODUCTIVITY

Temperature The diurnal variation of tempera-

ture is introduced in the model using a rough estimate

A T cos(2•r

= + (h- 14) 24 )

where h is the local solar hour, and A T = Tm.x- Train

Surface Irradiance The hourly irradiance /surf

(W m -2) is deduced from daily mean values and from

the irradiance calculated at the top of the atmosphere,

I,o, (W m -2)

Is,rf(h) = Itoa(h)exp[-kd(h)] (28)

where d(h), the length of the path of the solar beam

through the atmosphere (km), is calculated from the

solar zenith angle at hour h, assuming a spherical at-

mosphere The monthly mean atmospheric extinction

coefficient k (km -1) is determined by comparing the

ISCCP monthly means of daily irradiances at the sur-

face, Isurf (W m-2), with the daily mean irradiances at

the top of the atmosphere calculated for the middle of

the same month Its average daily value, used in (28),

is obtained from linear interpolation of the monthly va-

lueso

The direct and diffuse parts of the irradiance/air and

Iaig are estimated, as suggested, by Grunt et al [1989]

Iaig = 1.2 {1-exp[-kd(h)]) I•urf (29)

= - Finally, similarly to the formulation of Raich et al

[1991], it is supposed that 45% of the direct and 65% of

the diffuse radiation are photosynthetically active radia-

tion (PAR), while 0.825 (= 1-•) of the PAR is absorbed

by the vegetation [Sellers, 1985] The average energy of

one absorbed PAR photon is 3.6 x 10 -x9 J

Vegetation Characteristics

The ecotype classification by Wilson and Henderson-

Sellers [1985] is used It gives the distribution of con-

tinental ecotypes on a 1 ø x 1 ø grid For each eco-

type, several pieces of informations about the vegetation

are required including physiological parameters ( V•max,

Jm,x), canopy or plant characteristics (LAI, stand age

of the woody material, the fraction h0 of tree NPP al-

located to leaf growth), and spatial distributions (the

fraction f0 of the soil surface covered by vegetation,

the fraction fc• of vegetation using C4 photosynthe-

tic pathway, and the relative areas covered by ground

vegetation (•) and by trees (1-•))

Physiological parameters Measurements of the

maximum rate of carboxylation and of the maximum

rate of electron transport have been listed and grouped

into broad categories by Wullschleger [1993] These da-

ta are used to estimate the value of Vcm•x and Jm•x

appropriate to each ecotype To do this, values repre-

sentative of ground vegetation and trees are averaged

with the weight factor • V•m•x, Jm•x, and • are listed

in Table 1 For C4 species the values of the physiological

parameters are those of Collatz et al [1992]

Canopy or plant characteristics At this stage

the leaf area index of the canopy LAIc is fixed by a pa-

rameterization depending on the monthly temperature

Tm [Pitman et al., 1991]

LAIc = LAIm,x - ALAI[1 - f(T•,)] (31)

= o <_ ooc f(Tm) = 1-0.0016(25-Tin) 0øC <Tm < 25øC;

f(Tm)= I Tm _> 25øC

where LAIm,x is the maximum leaf area index, and ALAI is the amplitude of the seasonal variation of the leaf area index LAIc is minimum for temperatures lo- wer than 0øC, increases quadratically with temperature, and reaches its maximum at 25øC The maximum va- lue LAImax and the amplitude of the seasonal variation ALAI of the leaf area index differ between ecotypes de- pending on their seasonal behavior and their growth po- tentiality Owing to this rough parameterization, some canopy layers may have negative annual NPP These layers are not considered, and the canopy LAI is lowe- red accordingly The values used here for LAIm•x and

ALAI are taken from Pitman et al [1991] and are given

in Table 1

The stand age of woody material rw is listed in Ta- ble I as a function of the ecotype; these values are de- rived from Esser [1991] The Ëaction h0 of tree NPP allocated to leaf growth has been estimated from da-

ta for some species of tropical, temperate deciduous and coniferous forests reported by Bray and Gorham [1964], Dajoz [1982], Duvignaud [1971], and Schlesinger [1991] The average values obtained are 0.30 for tropical species, 0.27 for temperate deciduous trees, and 0.20 for coniferous trees These values are assumed to be con- stant over the year This hypothesis of constancy is made for the sake of simplicity, although it is obviously not correct For instance, cold deciduous leaves grow essentially during spring However, the consequence of this hypothesis on the model results discussed in this paper are minor Indeed, h0 is used only to calculate

the herbaceous factor H used in (19) and (25) to es- timate B•, and R•, The first of these two variables,

B•,, is calculated on a yearly averaged basis and thus the mean annual value of h0 must be used, while the

second variable, R•,, is a flux of secondary importance

for the estimate of the NPP

Spatial Distribution The seasonal variation of the Ëaction f0 of the surface covered by vegetation is described with a parameterization similar to that used for LAIc [Pitman et al., 1991]

fo f0,max Afo (1 - f(T.,)) (32)

where fO,m•x is the maximum fo value over the year

The amplitude A fo of the seasonal variation of fo is

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generally small, except for cultivated ecotypes, where

it simulates the cycle of sowing and harvesting As for

LAImax and ALAI, the values used here for fo and Afo

are taken from Pitman et al [1991] and are given in

Table 1 Values of • listed in Table I have been de-

fined so that the herbaceous factors H calculated from

(21) are comparable to those given by Esser [1991] for

similar ecotypes The fraction • is assumed constant

throughout the year

For agricultural vegetation the fraction of C4 species

is fc4 = 0.5 when the ecotype is maize or cane sugar

(assuming only 50% of the 1 ø x 1 ø grid element is cove-

red with corn or cane sugar, the rest of the cell being

covered with natural grassland) and is fc4 = 0.0 for the

other agricultural ecosystems

In the absence of global data for natural vegetation

the C4 species are very roughly distributed in natural

ecosystems as follows: fca = 0.1 • between 15øS and

15øN latitude; fc, 0.1 • to 0, decreasing linearly be-

tween 15 ø and 30ø; and fca 0.0 at latitudes higher

than 30 ø

Results

The spatial distribution of the annual NPP calcu-

lated by the CARAIB model is presented in Plate 1

The general features appear realistic; the productivi-

ty is high in tropical regions (Amazionian and tropi-

cal forests) and decreases at higher latitudes; desertic

areas (Sahara, Australian low-productivity regions, Hi- malaya) are clearly visible; and even smaller geographi-

cal entities such as the Alps or the Ural Mountains can

be seen Very high NPP values in the United States

and in central Europe are due to the presence of maize crops Since maize uses the C4 photosynthetic pathway,

its productivity may be much higher than that of other cultures and even than that of natural species when in-

tensively cultivated The desertic areas appear to be too

extensive, as, for example, in South Africa This fea- ture can be attributed to the hydrological model which underestimates the soil water content of semidesertic ar-

eas Presumably, this low soil water content is, at least partly, linked to the assumption made in the hydrologi- cal model that the monthly total precipitation of a site

is distributed uniformly over time within the month This assumption, obviously not correct in semidesertic

areas, leads to too low daily precipitation, implying that

precipitated water can be readily reevaporated without filling the soil pool

The model global net primary productivity is 65 Gt C yr-•, slightly higher than other estimates For example,

Tinker and Incson [1990] give NPP ranging between 45 and 62 Gt C yr -• with a most probable value of 60

Gt C yr -• This relatively high global NPP value is certainly due, in large part, to the lack of coupling with

a model of nutrient cycle in the vegetation and soils This coupling would certainly limit the productivity of certain areas and therefore decrease the global annual

estimate

0 - 1 O0

100 - 200

œ'L'• - 300

40O - 50O

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Annual Net Primary Productivity (gO m-2 y-l)

Plate 1 Global map of the annual mean net primary productivity (NPP) calculated with the

C ARAIB model Note that the color scale is nonlinear

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In Figure 2 the annual values of the NPP calculated

by our model are compared with the measured local

NPP used to calibrate the terrestrial ecosystem model

[Raich et al., 1991; McGuire et al., 1992] covering a

wide range of natural ecotypes The climatic data used

in this test are those of the grid point covering the mea-

surement site The representative ecotypes are chosen

to be as close as possible to the vegetation types of the

measurements Two different behaviors appear clear-

ly in Figure 2; in some cases (twelve grid points) the

estimated NPP is equal to or higher than the measure-

ments, in the other cases (seven grid points) the NPP

is underestimated by the model In the first category

we find the boreal and temperate ecosystems Only the

less productive vegetation (arid shrubland or tundra)

shows a large discrepancy If we do not consider the

three grid points that belong to these latter ecotypes,

then the mean error is 33% Regarding the second cate-

gory for which carbon assimilation is underestimated, a

mean error of 36% is obtained Local conditions, in par-

ticular, regional climatic ones, can explain, in part, the

differences between estimates and measurements The

test of the model results at a global scale will, for exam-

ple, show that the calculated NPP of tropical savanna

is relatively high, while it is underestimated in this first

test However, even at a global scale the tundra seems

to be less productive than expected from the model,

and equatorial forests may have a higher productivity

than the calculated ones

A further test of our model is performed by com-

paring our results with empirical estimates gathered in

the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Control (IPCC)

15oo

1 ooo

5O0

meosured NPP (gC m-' yr-') Figure 2 Comparison of calculated annual mean net

primary productivities with local measurements which

were used to calibrate the terrestrial ecosystem model

[Raich et al., 1991; McGuire et al., 1992]

[Houghton et al., 1990] scientific assessment of climatic

change (Table 2) To make such a comparison possible,

we grouped the ecosystems of Wilson and Henderson- Sellers [1985] into 13 broad vegetation types, defined as

follows (the numbers in parentheses refer to Wilson and Henderson-Sellers ecotypes): desert (70,71,73), tundra (61,62), grassland (30,31,34,36), savanna (32,33,37),

shrub land (16,24,27,28,35,39), needle leaf forest (10,18),

boreal and temperate woodland (11,13,14,17,21), tem- perate broadleaf and mixed forest (12,15,19,20), tropi-

cal woodland (23,26), tropical deciduous forest (25,52), equatorial rain forest (50,51), wetland (2,5), and culti-

vation (4,40-49,80) Three other ecotypes for which we

do not calculate the NPP (inland water, semidesert, hu- man area) are added to provide a list compatible with

the IPCC published one Unfortunately, even the broad

vegetation types differ between authors This is ob-

viously emphasized by the differences in global areas

covered by each ecotype (Table 3) In particular, it

is clear from Table 3 that the ecotypes named here as woodlands are considered forests by other authors This discrepancy may induce some differences between the various estimates Moreover, it is not always possible to find a correspondence between Wilson and Henderson- Sellers and IPCC's ecotypes, so that we compare our calculated NPP for needle leaf forest with the boreal forest estimates As already pointed out, the global NPP estimated by CARAIB is rather high Consistent-

ly, for almost all ecotypes the calculated NPP is in the

higher part of the spectrum of empirical values How- ever, the relative NPP variations between ecotypes are similar to empirical ones Moreover, in almost all ca-

ses, the CARAIB NPP is within the range of the IPCC

values and even very close to the values of Atjay et al [1979] In fact, our estimates differ from Atjay et al.'s

values by less than 20% for seven ecotypes (grassland,

savanna, shrub land, needle leaf forest, temperate for-

est, tropical deciduous and equatorial forest), this dif-

ference being less than 10% for five of them For deserts the difference is 3 gC m -2 yr -1 For four ecotypes (in- land water, semidesert, boreal temperate, and tropical

woodland) the comparison is impossible, and for wood-

lands our estimates are relatively close to the values of corresponding forests Only two ecotypes show impor- tant discrepancies, tundra and wetland The reasons for the differences in the NPP of tundra may be multi- ple First of all Atjay et al [1979] (as do Whittaker and Likens [1975]) obviously use a definition of tundra more restrictive than ours, as can be seen by comparing the

global area covered by tundras (Table 3) Some of our

tundras are more southern ones and are thus more pro- ductive However, this is certainly not the only reason for the discrepancy, and uncertainties in the hydrologi- cal cycle, the absence of nutrient cycles, or the inaccu- racy of physiological parameters may be responsible for some of the difference The problem caused by wetlands

is not surprising, since C ARAIB does not take into ac- count the specificities of such an ecotype Nevertheless,

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264 WARNANT ET AL.: GLOBAL MODEL OF TERRESTRIAL BIOLOGICAL PRODUCTIVITY

Table 2 Net Primary Productivity (NPP)

NPP

NPP values are in gC m -2 yr -1, and global values are in GtC yr -1 The results of the CARAIB model (column 0) are compared with estimates cited in Houghton et al., [1990]; [Whittaker and Likens, 1975] (column 1); [Atjay et 199] (column 2); and [Olson et al., 1985] (column 3) It is assumed that the needle leaf forests are representative of the boreal forests

Table 3 Surface Area as a Function of the Ecosystem

Surface Area, 106 km 2

[Olson et al., 1985] (column 3) It is assumed that the needle leaf forests are representative of the boreal forests Note that desert and semidesert categories of columns 1, 2, and 3 include Antarctica (-• 14 x 106 km2), a continent not considered by CARAIB

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