Uses of Equity Futures Contracts Futures contracts can be used to change a portfolio’s beta.. Going long on futures contracts increases portfolio beta.. Going short on futures contracts
Trang 1Level III
Risk Management Applications of Forward
and Futures Strategies
Summary
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Trang 2Uses of Equity Futures Contracts
Futures contracts can be used to change a portfolio’s beta
Going long on futures contracts increases portfolio beta
Going short on futures contracts decreases portfolio beta
𝑁𝑓 = 𝛽𝑇 − 𝛽𝑆
𝛽𝑓
𝑆 𝑓
A synthetic equity position can be created by combining a risk
free bond with futures contracts If the amount of money to be
invested is V, the number of futures contracts required to create
a synthetic equity position is calculated using the equation:
𝑁𝑓 = 𝑉 1 + 𝑟
𝑇
𝑞𝑓
This method saves transaction costs and preserves liquidity
Investing V* in bonds and buying Nf* futures contracts at a price of f is equivalent to buying Nf*q/(1 + δ)T units of stock
We can construct a synthetic position is cash by selling futures 𝑉 1 + 𝑟 𝑇
Trang 3Using Equity and Bond Futures to Adjust Asset Allocation
A $300 million fund is allocated 80 percent to stock and 20 percent to bonds The stock portion has a beta of
1.10 and the bond portion has a duration of 6.5 We would like to temporarily adjust the asset allocation to 50
percent stock and 50 percent bonds
Sell $90 million of stock by converting it to cash using stock index futures
𝑁𝑠𝑓 = (𝛽𝑇 − 𝛽𝑆
𝛽𝑓 )
𝑆
𝑓𝑆 =
0.00 − 1.10 0.96
$90,000,000
$200,000 = −515.63
Buy $90 million of bonds by using bond futures
𝑁𝑏𝑓 = (𝑀𝐷𝑈𝑅𝑇 − 𝑀𝐷𝑈𝑅𝐵
𝑀𝐷𝑈𝑅𝑓 )
𝐵
𝑓𝑏 = (
6.5 − 0.0 7.2 )(
$90,000,000
$105,250 ) = 771.97
Trang 4Pre-investing
We can ‘pre-invest’ by taking long positions in futures contracts
Will receive $10 million in three months We want to pre-invest $6 million in stocks at an
average beta of 1.08 and $4 million in bonds at a modified duration of 5.25 An appropriate
stock index futures contract is selling at $210,500 and has a beta of 0.97 An appropriate
bond futures contract is selling for $115,750 and has an implied modified duration of 6.05
𝑁𝑠𝑓 = 𝛽𝑇 − 𝛽𝑆
𝛽𝑓
𝑆
𝑓 =
1.08 − 0.0 0.97
$6,000,000
$210,500 = 31.74
𝑁𝑏𝑓 = 𝑀𝐷𝑈𝑅𝑇 − 𝑀𝐷𝑈𝑅𝐵
𝑀𝐷𝑈𝑅𝑓
𝐵
𝑓 =
5.25 − 0.0 6.05
$4,000,000
$115,750 = 29.99
A long position in a futures contract is equivalent to being long the underlying plus a loan
Trang 5Currency Risk
Risk associated with foreign currency receipt can be managed by selling forward (or futures)
contracts on the foreign currency
Example: An American company will receive €50 million in three months
What is the risk and how can this be managed using forward contracts?
Risk associated with foreign currency payments can be managed by
buying forward (or futures) contracts on the foreign currency
With respect to a foreign currency portfolio, the possible currency hedging strategies are:
1 Hedge market risk and not currency risk Here we will earn the foreign risk free rate
2 Hedge both Here we will earn the domestic risk free rate
3 Hedge currency risk but not market risk
4 Hedge neither
The effectiveness of the hedge depends on:
1 how well hedging instrument is correlated with investment portfolio
2 how well the final investment value is predicted