ABBREVIATION GSO: General statistics offices WB: World Bank WHO: World health organization MPI: Multidimensional poverty index VHLSS: Vietnamese Household Living Standard Survey GDP: Gro
Trang 1UNIVERSITY OF ECONOMICS ERASMUS UNVERSITY ROTTERDAM
HO CHI MINH CITY INSTITUTE OF SOCIAL STUDIES
VIETNAM – THE NETHERLANDS PROGRAMME FOR M.A IN DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS
MULTIDIMENSIONAL POVERTY IN THE SOUTHERN
REGION OF VIETNAM
BY
TRUONG DAT ANH
MASTER OF ARTS IN DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS
HO CHI MINH CITY, OCTOBER 2016
Trang 2UNIVERSITY OF ECONOMICS INSTITUTE OF SOCIAL STUDIES
HO CHI MINH CITY THE HAGUE
VIETNAM THE NETHERLANDS
VIETNAM - NETHERLANDS PROGRAMME FOR M.A IN DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS
MULTIDIMENSIONAL POVERTY IN THE SOUTHERN
REGION OF VIETNAM
A thesis submitted in partial fulfilment of the requirements for the degree of
MASTER OF ARTS IN DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS
By
TRUONG DAT ANH
Academic Supervisor:
DR TRAN TIEN KHAI
HO CHI MINH CITY, OCTOBER 2016
Trang 3DECLARATION
I assure that the entire contents of this thesis (Multidimensional poverty in the Southern region of Vietnam) are written by me and the contents are based on my knowledge and my review of literature This thesis has not been submitted for any degree and I am responsible for entire contents I wrote
TRUONG DAT ANH
Trang 4ACKNOWLEDGEMENT
I would like to express profound thanks to A/Prof TRAN TIEN KHAI because of the dedicated guidance and supports during thesis time The opinions and comments of supervisor play a significant role in my thesis
Moreover, I sincerely thank Prof NGUYEN TRONG HOAI, Dr TRAN KHANH NAM, Dr TRUONG DANG THUY and lecturers – officers of Vietnam Netherland program Thanks to lecturers, I have accumulated a variety of knowledge to finish study modules and support for my thesis Finally, I wish lecturers had many success and advantages in career in the future and a growing number of research projects to contribute for the economy of Vietnam
Trang 5ABBREVIATION
GSO: General statistics offices
WB: World Bank
WHO: World health organization
MPI: Multidimensional poverty index
VHLSS: Vietnamese Household Living Standard Survey
GDP: Gross domestic product
Trang 6ABSTRACT
This thesis researches about multidimensional poverty in rural area of the Southern region of Vietnam The research scope is 19 provinces, separated into area the Southeast region and the Southwest region Based on VHLSS 2014 data set of General Statistic Offices of Vietnam,
1977 households have filtered to examine Alkire & Forster approach have applied and established a framework include 20 indicators and 6 dimensions, which are suitable for the reality and data availability in the Southern region of Vietnam Using the methods of Chi2 test and descriptive statistics, this thesis found some relationships between household characteristics and poverty status Besides, there are some differences in poverty status among provinces and areas Hence, poverty policies used for tackle poverty status should focus to reasonable targets to ensure efficient and effective
Trang 7TABLE CONTENTS
CHAPTER I: INTRODUCTION 1
1.1 Research problem 1
1.2 Research objective 3
1.3 Research question 3
1.4 Research hypothesis 4
1.5 Research scope 4
1.6 Organization of research 4
CHAPTER II: LITERATURE REVIEW 5
2.1 Poverty and measurement 5
2.1.1 The concept and measurement of uni-dimension poverty 5
2.1.2 Concept and measurement of Multidimensional poverty 7
2.2 Empirical studies 11
CHAPTER III: RESEARCH METHODOLOGY 15
3.1 Research methodology 15
3.2 Multidimensional poverty index 15
3.3 Conceptual framework 18
3.4 Dimensions and indicators 23
3.5 Data sources 24
CHAPTER IV: RESULTS 26
Trang 84.1 The choice of cutoff ratio k 26
4.2 Multidimensional poverty and uni-dimensional poverty 30
4.3 Multidimensional poverty across regions 31
4.4 Multidimensional poverty across provinces 33
4.5 Dimensions contribution to multidimensional poverty index 36
4.6 Household characteristics and multidimensional poverty 38
4.6.1 Poverty status and demographics of household 38
4.6.2 Poverty status and dimensions (indicators) 44
CHAPTER V: CONCLUSION 55
5.1 Summary 55
5.2 Conclusion and recommendation 56
5.3 Limitation and further research 58
References 60
Appendix 63
Trang 9APPENDIX
Appendix 1: source of data in VHLSS 2014 63 Appendix 2: Spearman test result of five characteristics of a household 64
Trang 10AP LIST OF TABLES
Table 2.1: Poverty threshold of Ministry of Labor, Invalid and Social Affairs in Vietnam from
1998 to 2015 6
Table 2.2: Poverty threshold of General Statistic Office in Vietnam from 1998 to 2010 and later 7
Table 2.3: 5 dimensions and 10 indicators of General scheme 2015 11
Table 2.4: Livelihood assets and dimensions of Tran & Nguyen (2012) 13
Table 2.5: Set of dimensions and indicators of Salaza et al (2013) 14
Table 3.1: Choice of dimensions and indicators 19
Table 3.2: Dimensions and indicators 23
Table 3.3: Number of households in provinces 25
Table 4.1: The influence of cut off ratio k 26
Table 4.2: Spearman correlation result of indicators and income of household and p-value 29
Table 4.3: Gender of head of household and multidimensional poverty status 39
Table 4.4: Ethnic of head of household and multidimensional poverty status 40
Table 4.5: Number of member in household and multidimensional poverty status 41
Table 4.6: School year of head of household and multidimensional poverty status 42
Table 4.7: Age of head of household and multidimensional poverty status 43
Table 4.8: Poverty status and deprivations of indicators in dimension of education 45
Table 4.9: Poverty status and deprivations of indicators in dimension of employment 46
Table 4.10: Poverty status and deprivations of indicators in dimension of health 47
Table 4.11: Poverty status and deprivations of indicators in dimension of living standard 49
Table 4.12: Poverty status and deprivations of indicators in dimension of monetary 52
Table 4.13: Poverty status and deprivations of indicators in dimension of social capital 54
Trang 11LIST OF FIGURES
Figure 2.1: Theory framework of Alkire & partners (2014) 9
Figure 3.1: Conceptual framework 18
Figure 4.1: relationship of headcount ratio H and cutoff ratio k 27
Figure 4.2: The relationship of average intensity A and cutoff ratio k 28
Figure 4.3: Rate of uni-dimensional poverty and multidimensional poverty in nineteen provinces 30
Figure 4.4: The comparison of four dimensions between the Southeast region and the Southwest region (Education, employment, health and social capital) 32
Figure 4.5: The comparison of two dimensions between the Southeast region and the Southwest region (Living standard and monetary) 33
Figure 4.6: Headcount ratio H and Average intensity A in 19 provinces 35
Figure 4.7: Adjusted headcount ratio (Multidimensional poverty index) for provinces 36
Figure 4.8: Contribution of dimensions 37
Trang 12CHAPTER I INTRODUCTION
In this chapter, there are five main parts, research problems, research objectives, research questions, research hypothesis and research scope This chapter focus to propose the real situation of the Southern region of Vietnam and the role of research targets Besides, the following parts will answer the questions: “Why this research is necessary?”; “What is the purposes of this research?”
1.1 Research problem
Poverty is a considerable problem of every nation, especially for developing countries Based
on the poverty status of a nation, policy maker would able to declare suitable decision In recent years, poverty in Vietnam is measurement depend on monetary perspective It means the particular household would be considered poor if the income or expenditure were lower than social standard (which is set by the Government) Specially, the Southern region of Vietnam plays a very important role in nation’s economy in term of its contribution to GDP, labor force, food supply, etc Consequently, the most important work is determine poverty status effectively, entirely and representatively
Locating at the South of the country, this region is separated into two smaller areas, the Southeast region and the Southwest region In the Southeast region, there are six provinces
in this region: Binh Phuoc, Binh Duong, Tay Ninh, Dong Nai, Ba Ria – Vung Tau and Ho Chi Minh city The other counterpart includes 13 provinces: Long An, Tien Giang, Ben Tre, Vinh Long, Tra Vinh, Dong Thap, Hau Giang, Soc Trang, An Giang, Kien Giang, Bac Lieu, Ca Mau and Can Tho city The Southern region of Vietnam borders with Cambodia and capture a long coastline of South China Sea and Gulf of Thailand Total area of the Southern region of Vietnam is about 64,151 thousand square kilometers Natural features of this region are conducive for agriculture, livestock and tourism with dense river systems (total length of up
to 5,700 kilometers), high rainfall (1,500-2,000 millimeters a year) and fertile soil (slob and basaltic soils)
Trang 13Besides, the Southern region of Vietnam is a major economic region of the country separated into two key economic zones Southern Key Economic Zone and Mekong Delta Key Economic Zone are contributing to the whole economy significantly, about 59% to total GDP of Agricultural sector of Vietnam in 2011 Infrastructure and logistic systems in Southern are developed with Tan San Nhat international airport and many seaports connected by convenience road systems Specially, manufacturing and services are the major sectors of the Southern and contribute 60% of manufacturing and services sector of county in 2011
However, behind the scenes, according to the Vietnam Human Development Report of UNDP
in 2015, the ratios of poor people are 13.4% in the Southeast region and 41.6% in the Southwest region compared to 21.3% in total of the country The infant mortality rate is high, occupying 8/1000 births in the Southeast and 11/1000 births in the Southwest In addition, child malnourish proportion is about 20% in this area These figures pose the issues that a large part of residents in the Southern are now living under poor status and having poor life condition Hence, the measurement of poverty is needed to illustrate and analyze the poverty status in this area not only in economic perspective but also in social perspective
Moreover, poverty status is different among provinces and areas, especially urban area and rural area According to General Statistics Office (GSO), about 70% of Vietnamese are now living in rural area and a large part of them are not having good living conditions This study will focus only on rural area because poverty is much more severe and broaden compared to urban area
According to Sen (1976), poverty could able to measure in multidimensional approach, which
is called multidimensional poverty This is a broader indicator to represent for poverty status
of a country Poverty is not only comes from monetary problem but also come from education, health, living standard, etc This paper will focus to estimate multidimensional poverty of the Southern region of Vietnam; build up suitable dimensions and indicators set; compare the poverty status among households and areas
Tran & Nguyen (2012) showed there are nine dimensions of poverty in rural area of Vietnam,
or Tran (2014) also point out equivalent result, both of methodologies are Principal Component Analysis & Multiple Correspondence Analysis
Trang 14The latest research in national scale published in 2015 is the cooperation of Ministry of Labor, Invalid and Social Affairs and UNDP This research called “General scheme of transformation approach from measuring uni-dimensional poverty based on income applicable to multidimensional in period of 2016-2020” The purposes of this research are: (i) to estimate the deprivation of social societal needs during periods, (ii) to determine multidimensional poverty households, (iii) to determine the root cause of multidimensional poverty Moreover, this research also suggest 5 dimensions and 10 indicators to measure multidimensional poverty status in Vietnam
However, these previous empirical studies for Vietnam only estimate which is the suitable dimensions, no relationship or affect among Multidimensional poverty and these dimensions have found In short, the main purpose of this paper will measure the Multidimensional poverty for the Southern region of Vietnam and find out the differences of Multidimensional poverty and household’s characteristics More detail will be described in the following section
1.2 Research objective
To prove the important role of Multidimensional poverty measurement and find the best methodology for the measurement, this paper focuses on four following objectives:
1 Determine suitable dimensions to measure multidimensional poverty household
2 Compare multidimensional poverty between the Southeast region and the Southwest region
3 Compare the differences of multidimensional poverty among households with in the Southern region of Vietnam
4 Give recommendation to policy makers
Trang 151.6 Organization of research
This research includes five chapters Chapter 1 is the introduction part of the thesis Chapter
2 gives basic concepts in poverty and some empirical studies relevant to multidimensional poverty Moreover, there are also a summarize table of literature review and theory framework in chapter two Chapter 3 will present the methodology and approach of multidimensional poverty Chapter 4 and 5 will contain the result of this research and recommendation to policy maker
Trang 16CHAPTER II LITERATURE REVIEW
The previews of literature and empirical studies will be presented in this chapter Some concept about poverty and multidimensional poverty will be defined and summarized Moreover, this chapter also reviews about methods, approaches and findings of several empirical studies on over the world and in Vietnam
2.1 Poverty and measurement
2.1.1 The concept and measurement of uni-dimension poverty
There are several definitions of poverty on over the world, these definitions is different because of the aspects and standpoint However, the similarity is an individual or a household
is suffering insufficient conditions (physical and/or mental)
In early 19th century, Rowntree (1910) suggested that poverty is status of lack of money to purchase basic things (see Nguyen, 2010) This definition is similar to monetary poverty perspective, which have been using in some developing countries Later on, in 1995, at the
“World summit for social development Copenhagen” held in Copenhagen, Denmark proposed that a person is considered as poor if his or her income is lower than $1 a day
World Bank suggests the definition of poverty in a much more specific way The poor suffer the deprivation in basic goods and services such as education, health care, nutrition; they are vulnerable and have no power in national institution (World Bank) Therefore, in this definition, poverty can exist if living conditions of people are under the average levels of the community
Absolute poverty and relative poverty
There are several points of views in definition of absolute poverty and relative poverty, which are widely used around the world The similarity of these two concepts is the deprivation of basic need and/or the deprivation of rights and social position of an individual or household
Trang 17To deal with this issue, World Bank (2000) suggested that absolute poverty is the deprivation
of minimum basic need of life and might face diseases, malnourish, etc Relative poverty is the deprivation of a person, a group of people in this area compared to another area or this country compared to another country In addition, Bellu and Liberati (2005) also mentioned
to this issue and suggested that relative poverty is an unequally of income and the quality of life Statistics and measurements used to compare between observations are therefore relatively Following the same perspective of inequality, Asia Development Bank (2012) suggested, “The poor are those who gain when income becomes more evenly distributed and the non-poor are those who lose” Hence, poverty is the gap between the poor and the rich, the bigger gap the more poverty When it comes to absolute poverty, it is a deprivation of a certain figure or statistic, for example, according to “World summit for social development Copenhagen” in 1995, absolute poverty is the status of a person who is living with under $1 income a day
Poverty threshold
In Vietnam, poverty threshold (poverty line) is a threshold used to determine whether a household is under poverty or not There is a difference in poverty threshold between the approaches of General Statistic Office and Ministry of Labor, Invalid and Social Affairs
The government issues this threshold in a period of five-year For example, according to
“Decision No 170/2005 / QD-TTg”, a household will be classified as poor if the average income
of a member per month is less than 200,000 VND for rural area In 2011, the threshold was
increased up to 400,000 VND by “Decision No 09/2011 / QD-TTg” for period of 2011 – 2015
Table 2.1: Poverty threshold of Ministry of Labor, Invalid and Social Affairs in Vietnam
from 1998 to 2015 Unit: VND
1998-2000 2001-2005 2006-2010 2011-2015
Trang 18In other method, General Statistic Office uses the technique of World Bank to calculate poverty threshold This threshold is the amount of money required a month to ensure 2,230 calories a day per person and nonfood goods such as clothes, habitat, etc This figure will be modified after some years In 2008, total income needed by a person to be not considered as poor is 280,000 VND, increasing to 653,000 VND in 2010
Table 2.2: Poverty threshold of General Statistic Office in Vietnam from 1998 to 2010 and
later Unit: VND
Threshold 149,000 160,000 173,000 213,000 280,000 653,000
2.1.2 Concept and measurement of Multidimensional poverty
Multidimensional poverty is a broader concept compared to uni-dimensional poverty Decades ago, some studies (such as Sen et al., (1976); Sen et al., (1998); Boltvinik, (1998); etc.) have laid a groundwork for multidimensional poverty concept, which is the deprivation of various aspects in human life A household might face the problem not only in monetary aspect but also in many other health, education, information, etc Boltvinik (1998) concluded that a household might not monetary poverty but that household might get trouble with the rest dimensions
In a broader scale, according to United Nation Declaration (2008), the concept of poverty is now extending Poverty is now defined as the deprivation of nutrition, school attendance, access to health care service, no productive asset and cannot access to credit Moreover, households considered poor have no rights and have a weak relationship to the community This new definition about poverty is more specific than only in income aspect compared to the previous definition decades ago
Hence, based on the declaration of United Nation and some recent studies, many policy makers and researchers on over the world are now believe poverty is multidimensional issue
Trang 19However, poverty is varying among countries and areas; it also depends on demographic, geographic, religion and economy of each region
Methods of multidimensional poverty measurement
Decades ago, the method of poverty measurement by one dimension is widely used, such as monetary dimension (income or expenditure are indicators) However, this uni-dimension method reveals the issue that the poverty status is just only reflected by monetary deprivation status Health, education, living standard, social capital, etc is also important for
a live of everyone in the world The idea that a person might have plenty of money but have
no health or relationship in the community is also considered as poor Sen et al (1976) suggested the concept to solve this problem, which is the predecessor of multidimensional poverty Thirty years after, Alkire & Foster have announced a new method to calculate poverty by a theory and concept of more than one dimension The set of three dimension include dimension of Health, dimension of Education and dimension of Living standard, which will fully reflect the quality and status of a household
There are some common dimensions used by many authors around the world, health, education and living standard Health is one of the most common dimension beside monetary dimension because it is the key factor of increasing productivity A country with high productivity must be have a good population health To estimate this dimension, many authors used various indicators to represent for the status of a household or individual Salazar et al (2013) used two indicators “Health insurance” and “Access to health service” to represent for health status of a household Dhongde and Haveman (2014) added the other indicator called “Disability” to represent for any burden of a household member, which will cause direct impact to finance and working productivity of household In some developing countries such as Latin American, a research done by Nawar (2014), who used mortality of children as an indicator This indicator is reasonable and significant in case of developing countries, where health of children still not be fully care in poor household
Education is similar to health in case of contribution to productivity, hence there are numerous indicators used by authors There are some common indicators: “Adult literacy”,
“Year of schooling”, “Child education”, etc These indicators are used by many authors
Trang 20estimate the status of education (Salazar et al., 2013; Nawar, 2014) Living standard is considered as one dimension in many researches, for example, Vijaya et al (2013) used some indicators to represent for this dimension, electricity, cooking fuel, water source, asset of household These indicators will draw a full picture of household living condition A deprivation in these indicators is the status of low living condition However, these indicators might various among researches because of the variety of religion, living standard and geography
Alkire & Foster approach
Nowadays, this method is widely used in various countries and institutions on over the world Arguing that poverty is not a problem of monetary deprivation but also many other issues, hence there are many dimensions and indicators were published to estimate poverty The most prominent is the set of Alkire et al (2014) with three dimensions including education, health and living standard that are proxied by 10 indicators
Figure 2.1: Theory framework of Alkire & partners (2014)
Trang 21In this framework (figure 2.1), three dimensions were used to measure the poverty; each dimension included two or more indicators Each indicator is selected and calculated from the data and reality status of an individual or household Among these indicators, if a household
is lack of the particular indicators (base on cutoff ratio k) will be considered as poor The measurement of the deprivation of indicators is to accumulate the total weights of all indicators deficiency (each indicator has a separate weights and if an individual or household fail to hold an indicator, that weights will be record) If an individual or household has total weights of all indicators deficiency higher than cutoff ratio k, that individual or household will
be considered as multidimensional poverty After that, the percentage of multidimensional poverty in the sample will be called as H (headcount) and the average intensity of deprivation will be called as A (the intensity of poverty) Multidimensional poverty index (MPI) is the multiple of H and A Back to the framework, dimension of education is including two separate indicators The first indicator is “Years of schooling”, which will be considered as deprived if
no one in the household has at least of one year in school The second indicator is “Child school attendance”, which will be considered as deprived if there are at least one child in the household cannot go to school because of any reason In this dimension, these two indicators might reflect the large part of the education status in the household, the first indicator represent for the education status of adult in the household, who are the breadwinner of family and the second indicator represent for the education status of the future generation
of a family Dimension of Health is including two indicators; “Child mortality” and “Nutrition”, these indicators cannot fully reflect the health status of adult in the family because this research is in worldwide scale, which will get a lot of constrain in data However, the mortality
of children will represent the skill, knowledge, monetary ability and living standard of parents
“Nutrition” will indicate how well the health of the next generation of the family is To estimate the deprivation of living standard, the authors used six indicators These indicators can fully reflect the living status of the household; electric and water indicators is the basic need for a household, “Flooring” and “Cooking fuel” represent for the quality of the habitant and daily diet, while the rest will indicate for the asset they own Hence, this dimension is including a part of monetary dimension poverty method (some asset indicators)
However, there is an issue still unresolved, how to calculate the weights of indicators and dimensions reasonably? These weights will influence directly the poverty status of an
Trang 22individual or household Hence, because of no reasonable method yet, the use of equal weights for all indicators with in a dimension is acceptable, and all dimensions are equal in weights
2.2 Empirical studies
After review for key concepts of poverty and multidimensional poverty (including poverty definition, poverty line, methods and approach), the approach to measure poverty is very important in this research
The research done by Vietnamese Government and UNDP named “General scheme of transformation approach from measuring uni-dimensional poverty based on income applicable to multidimensional in period of 2016-2020” have fully reflect the situation and the urgency of multidimensional poverty measurement In this research, authors reveals that Vietnam poverty rate is declining during the period of 2010-2015, from 14.2% to around 4% However, this figure is based on uni-dimensional poverty measurement and it is much lower than multidimensional approach Authors applied five dimensions and ten indicators suitable for all provinces in Vietnam (table 2.3)
Table 2.3: 5 dimensions and 10 indicators of General scheme 2015
Children education Health
Health services accessibility Health insurance
Housing area Living condition Water source
Toilet Information accessibility
telecommunication services
Asset for communication
These entire dimension is weighted equally (0.2 each) and each indicator will get equal weight
in its dimension Authors also mention about “extreme poverty”, which is the worst situation
Trang 23of poverty Household is considered extreme poverty if that household gets deprivation in both uni-dimension (monetary poverty) and multidimensional poverty
Monetary approach is uni-dimensional approach, it answer the question “Does that household has enough money for their living standard?” This approach is popular in many countries (Vietnam is using this approach in many years) and easy to calculate However, this approach seem unsuitable now because it carrying various problems
In 1970s, multidimensional poverty concept is initially introduced to the world (Sen et al., 1976) This method is broader version of monetary approach More than thirty years later, Alkire and Foster published an international research of multidimensional poverty; the research including three dimensions: education, health and standard of living (each dimension has many indicators) Besides that, Bibi (2003) showed a great paper to summarize about the methods to measure Multidimensional poverty There is two methods in general
Non-axiomatic Approach and Axiomatic Approach
There are some critical imperial studies Tran & Nguyen (2012) found 10 suitable dimensions represent for four livelihood assets (including human resources, natural resources, physical resources and social resources) (table 2.4) in Vietnam by using data of VHLSS 2008 In this research, authors used new approach to calculate some very new indicators and dimension For example, dimension of social capital, which is not common use on the world The proxy
of this dimension is the ethnic of household and this might affect the behavior and reaction
of household
In other research, Nguyen (2014) has investigate multidimensional poverty in Mekong delta, covered by four dimensions: health, wealth, education and living standard (represented by total 12 different indicators) Author found that two indicators are land resource and consumption play crucial role in multidimensional poverty index Authors also found that the poorest province is Soc Trang and the least is Long An The other result is the big difference
of poverty proportion between uni-dimensional poverty and multidimensional poverty
Trang 24Table 2.4: Livelihood assets and dimensions of Tran & Nguyen (2012)
Livelihood assets Dimension
Human resource
Agricultural human resource
Health status Diversify employment Natural resource Land resource
Physical resource
Housing status Housing quality Luxury asset Common asset Productive asset Social resource Social relationship
Alkire et al (2015) suggest the approach to measure Multidimensional poverty is Alkire-Foster Counting Methodology, and probability model – Probit model to estimate which characteristics of household will affect Multidimensional poverty status In fact, Nguyen (1998) used probit model to estimate the relationship between poverty status and household characteristics in Ben Tre province Ballon and Apablaza (2012) applied Logit model to find out the relationships of Multidimensional poverty status with Demographic and Socioeconomic of a household head, the authors used five variables included education, gender, household size, living in urban area and religion The authors also found that, four over five of the variables is strongly significant, only religion is non-significant Ataguba et al (2011) applied regression to find out determinants of Multidimensional poverty in Nigeria, the result is also similar Hence, regression is a useful tool to find out the determinants of multidimensional poverty within a country (Alkire et al 2015)
In the broader scale, numerous countries around the world have applied multidimensional poverty for many years Presidents of Colombia, Juan Manuel Santos have declared to apply multidimensional poverty (Alkire & Foster approach) to Colombia (Salaza et al., 2013) In this project, the target is to reduce poverty rate from 35% to 22% in a period of 2008-2014 This country also combine two measurement of poverty, income poverty measurement and multidimensional poverty measurement Cutoff ratio “k” is set at 0.33 and extreme poverty
is set at 0.47 There are 5 dimensions and 15 indicators in the project (table 2.5)
Trang 25Table 2.5: Set of dimensions and indicators of Salaza et al (2013)
No one in long-term unemployment Formal employment
Access to health services
Access to public utilities and housing
conditions
Access to water source Adequate elimination of waste Adequate floors
Adequate external walls
Trang 26CHAPTER III RESEARCH METHODOLOGY
In this chapter, there are five main parts: research methodology, multidimensional poverty index, conceptual framework, choice of dimensions and indicators and the last part is data source After several empirical studies, the set of dimensions and indicators have established and suitable methods are chosen to calculate multidimensional poverty index Besides, the process of calculating multidimensional poverty and the summary of data are also presented
Applying Descriptive statistic (table summarize, crosstab, etc.) to analyze the different
between monetary poverty perspective and Multidimensional poverty perspective
Using Alkire-Foster multidimensional measurement methodology (AF) to determine
Multidimensional poverty, its dimensions, indicators and threshold for each indicator/dimension
3.2 Multidimensional poverty index:
In recent years, the measurement of multidimensional poverty (Multidimensional poverty index) suggested by Alkire & Foster are attracting international attention because of its convenience and advantages This is an overall index used to indicate or compare the proportion of poverty within or between the countries Initial introduced in 2007 by Alkire & Foster, this method is the result in multidimensional poverty index M0 There are three main steps to calculate the index:
Trang 27Step 1:
Based on empirical studies and theory, establish all of the dimensions and indicators with the suitable weighted for each indicator These dimensions and indicators should be stick to the status of the studied area
Step 2:
Define the cutoff threshold for every single indicator based on empirical studies and government regulations The cutoff threshold will determine the point of deprivation for each indicator Each observation will be assigned a weighted sum of deprivations among all indicators called by “ci”
Define the poverty cutoff threshold among dimensions called by “k” If a weighted sum of deprivations of any observation higher than k, that observation will be considered as multidimensional poverty This poverty cutoff threshold is the highest ratio of deprivations that a non-multidimensional poverty observation experience As the following function:
𝑓(𝑐𝑖, 𝑘)
An observation is under multidimensional poverty status if 𝑓(𝑐𝑖, 𝑘) = 1 or 𝑐𝑖 ≥ 𝑘 In other words, that observation has more deprivations than the poverty threshold Vice versa, if 𝑓(𝑐𝑖, 𝑘) = 0 or 𝑐𝑖 < 𝑘, that observation will not multidimensional poverty
Trang 28q is total multidimensional poverty observations and
n is total observations in sample
Determine the average intensity by the following equation:
q is total multidimensional poverty observations
Finally, multidimensional poverty index can be calculated easily by the following equation:
𝑀𝑃𝐼 = 𝐻 × 𝐴
Decomposition of MPI
According to Alkire et al (2011, p.6), MPI can be broken down to investigate the contributions
of components by the following formula:
𝑀𝑃𝐼𝑐𝑜𝑢𝑛𝑡𝑟𝑦 = 𝑤1𝐶𝐻1+ 𝑤2𝐶𝐻2+ ⋯ + 𝑤𝑛𝐶𝐻𝑛Where:
wn is weight of indicator n and
CHn is censored headcount ratio of indicator n (ratio of total household deprived in indicator
n over total household of the sample)
Trang 293.3 Conceptual framework
Conceptual framework
There are many dimensions and indicators identified in literature review, however, this paper choose 6 dimensions and 20 indicators, which are suitable and data-available to build-up conceptual framework (figure 3.1)
Figure 3.1: Conceptual framework
Trang 30Choice of dimensions and indicators
Table 3.1: Choice of dimensions and indicators
problem in health Tran & Nguyen (2012)
Insufficient money for health
Saving ownership Tran & Nguyen (2012) Toilet facility Tran & Nguyen (2012)
Trang 31Education
Education is a major factor of the society and social welfare High level of education will benefit not only productivity but also income and living condition According to the purpose
of Vietnam in 2015 to ensure that all children must attend in school, the indicator “Education
of children” is used to estimate education status of a household A household will get a
deprivation in this indicator if at least one child cannot attend in school The other indicator
is “Education achievement”, which represent for the whole education level of all member in
household A household will get a deprivation in this indicator if no household member have never go to school for a single year
dimension is “Male unemployment”, male is generally considered main income source of
household and take any burden of household Hence, if there is a male unemployed in household, that is waste of source A household will get a deprivation in this indicator if at least one male unemployed in household
Health
Productivity is determined not only by education but also by health of employee Employees with good health condition are able to suffer higher work pressure and capacity, which will increase productivity of the whole community In addition, an individual with health cannot make income, purchase goods or enjoy life Hence, this dimension is very important and must
be measure carefully by four indicators The first one is “Health insurance”, which will ensure
the financial ability of household when any member get problem in health A household will get a deprivation in this indicator if no member in household has health insurance The next
indicator is “Number of member got problem in health” If a member of household got
Trang 32problem in health within 12 months, they might cause influences to their family and might decrease the productivity of their household Moreover, the productivity might not be recovered A household will get a deprivation in this indicator if at least one member got
problem in health within 12 months “Nutrition” is the third indicator of this dimension, it
must be required if a household is considered good health status However, nutrition is mainly depends on income of household A household will get a deprivation in this indicator if a
household has not enough nutrition within 12 months The last indicator is “Insufficient money for health service” Health service cost is a large part of health expenditure; poor
household might not have enough money to afford A household will get a deprivation in this indicator if a household has not enough money for health service
Living Standard
Living standard is a need of basic condition for at least Many aspects, education, income, health, etc might determine living standard An individual must have basic conditions, which
is equal to the characteristics of their community To fully estimate this dimension, seven
indicators were used First, “Utilities” is a very basic requirement of life, which will ensure an
individual have basic condition to work and live Safe water source and electricity is very important to any individual A household will get a deprivation in this indicator if a household
cannot access to electricity grid or safe water source “Sewage” system is now becoming
important because it will affects health status of the whole community If a household do not have waste treatment system, they might cause bad effect to the environment A household will get a deprivation in this indicator if a household do not have waste treatment system
The next indicator is “House level”, which represents for the quality of their house and the
basic conditions House level is separate into five groups in Vietnam, from level 1 is highest condition and level 5 is lowest A household will get a deprivation in this indicator if a house
of household is level 5 “Asset ownership” is a very important indicator, which represent how
well a household is There are some basic assets a household to ensure normal conditions such as transportation vehicle, TV and phone A household will get a deprivation in this
indicator if household owns none of the previous asset Next, “Crowding” is an indicator
represented for the average square meter for a member An individual cannot have good living conditions without acceptable habitat A household will get a deprivation in this
Trang 33indicator if average square meter for a member less than 10 “Saving ownership” represent
for that status of well financial condition of a household A household that has enough money for expenditure and still has surplus might own a saving account A household will get a deprivation in this indicator if a household has no saving account The last indicator in this
dimension is “Toilet facility”, which is the basic need of every individual House with no toilet
might be considered poor and low living condition Nowadays, toilet is a basic facility and should present in any house A household will get a deprivation in this indicator if a household has no toilet
Monetary
Monetary dimension is very important because it used to a measurement in uni-dimensional poverty Decades ago, policy makers applied income or expenditure of a household to estimate poverty status However, poverty is a multidimensional issue so monetary can be
only considered a dimension “Below poverty line” is the most important indicator in this
paper It is used to estimate both multidimensional poverty and uni-dimensional poverty A household will get a deprivation in this indicator if average income per member a month is
lower than 653,000 VND The second indicator of this dimension is “Agricultural land”, which
is considered productive asset because agriculture is the main sector in rural area of the Southern region of Vietnam Household might get severe living condition if they do not have much cultivated area A household will get a deprivation in this indicator if their cultivated area with 12 months less than 3,364 m2
Social capital
The last dimension is social aspect; this dimension will be a proxy for the relationship of household Information and relationships might direct impact to behavior of every household member and then influence other dimension Hence, information accessibility plays a crucial role in household behavior because it will navigate the thinking and reaction of household to
the rest of the world This indicator named “Information accessibility” and a household will get a deprivation in this indicator if there is no phone in household The last indicator is “Join any group”, which represent for the relationship of household to the community Household
might get some helps and opportunities when they are member of any social group to
Trang 34overcome difficulties in life and get better income A household will get a deprivation in this indicator if no household member is in any group
3.4 Dimensions and indicators
Table 3.2: Dimensions and indicators
1 Education 1/6
Education achievement
No household member achieved at least 1 year of education
1/12
Education of children At least 1 children (6-15) is
not attending at school 1/12
2
Employment 1/6
Head of household unemployed
Head of house hold has no
Insufficient money for health service
Household cannot pay
4 Living
standard 1/6
Utilities Lack of electricity or water
from the Government 1/42
House status House classification is level
Asset ownership
Lack of any of these TV, motorbike, phone, boat, fridge
1/42
Crowding Ratio of m2 / person < 10
Saving ownership Not own any saving account 1/42
Trang 355 Monetary 1/6
Below poverty line Average income/member <
653.000 VND a month 1/18 Agricultural land Less than 3,364 m2 of
6 Social
capital 1/6
According to Alkire et al (2011), all dimensions can be equally weighted, so each one get a 1/6 In each dimension, weights have to separate equally again for all indicators For example, dimension of health has four indicators, so each indicator of this dimension get a 1/24 Total weights of all dimensions (or indicators) must be one
3.5 Data sources
To satisfy for the research problem and objective, this paper needs an entire data set, which can represent for the Southern region of Vietnam in many aspects Hence, using data from Vietnam Household Living Standard Survey (VHLSS 2014), which contained 1977 households
in rural area of the Southern region of Vietnam would be the best solution The whole data set VHLSS 2014 will be classify and eliminate to archive only rural area of Southern region of Vietnam’s data
Trang 36Table 3.3: Number of households in provinces
No Province Number of household
Trang 37CHAPTER IV RESULTS
In this section, the main findings of this thesis will be presented More specifically, there are some differences in poverty status among provinces and households Almost findings are strongly significant and reasonable Besides, the result of uni-dimenisonal poverty and multidimensional poverty are completely different The choice of cutoff ratio k is also presented in this chapter
4.1 The choice of cutoff ratio k
In this approach of multidimensional poverty measurement, cutoff ratio k is a crucial element
of the result In other words, cutoff ratio k will direct influence the multidimensional poverty result Because cutoff ratio k is the minimum proportion required, any household’s deprivation higher than cutoff ratio k will be considered poor According to Alkire et al (2009), this approach includes two cutoff ratio; the first one is cutoff threshold for each indicator to classify the deprivation of household The Second cutoff ratio is called k; therefore, k varies from the lowest weight of one indicator to the total weights 1 The following table depicts the value of k vary from 0.05 to 0.60
Table 4.1: The influence of cut off ratio k