The stock price today can still reflect the present value of the expected per share stream of dividends.. The value of a common stock equals the present value of dividends received out t
Trang 1Solutions to Chapter 6 Valuing Stocks
1. No The dividend discount model allows for the fact that firms may not currently
pay dividends As the market matures, and Rogers Wireless Communication’s growth opportunities moderate, investors may justifiably believe that Rogers Wireless will enjoy high future earnings and will pay dividends then The stock price today can still reflect the present value of the expected per share stream of dividends
2. Dividend yield = Expected dividend/Price = DIV1/P0
So: P0 = DIV1/dividend yield
P0 = $2.4/.08 = $30
3 a The typical preferred stock pays a level perpetuity of dividends The expected
dividend next year is the same as this year’s dividend, $7 Thus the dividend growth rate is zero and the price today is:
P0 = D1/r = 7/.12 = $58.33
b The expected dividend in two years is this year’s dividend, $7
P1= D2/r = 7/.12 = $58.33
c Dividend yield = $7/$58.33 = 12 =12%
Expected capital gains = 0
Expected rate of return = 12%
4 r = DIV1/P0 + g = 8% + 5% = 13%
5 The value of a common stock equals the present value of dividends received out
to the investment horizon, plus the present value of the forecast stock price at the horizon But the stock price at the horizon date depends on expectations of
dividends from that date forward So even if an investor plans to hold a stock for only a year for two, the price ultimately received from another investor depends
on dividends to be paid after the date of purchase Therefore, the stock’s present value is the same for investors with different time horizons
Trang 26 a P0 = r = + g
r = + 04 = 14 = 14%
b P0 = 2.50/(.165 04) = $20
7 The dividend yield is defined as the annual dividend (or the annualized current
dividend) divided by the current price The current annual dividend is ($2 4) = $8 and the dividend yield is:
DIV1/P0 = 048 $8/ P0 = 048 P0 = $8/.048 = $166.7
To work with the quarterly dividend, divide the dividend yield by 4 and repeat the above steps:
Quarterly DIV/P0 = 048/4 = 012 $2/ P0 = 012 P0 = $2/.012 = $166.7
8 Weak, semi-strong, strong, fundamental, technical
9 True The search for information and insightful analysis is what makes investor
assessments of stock values as reliable as possible Since the rewards accrue to the
investors who uncover relevant information before it is reflected in stock prices,
competition among these investors means that there is always an active search on for mispriced stocks
10 a DIV1 = $1 1.04 = $1.04
DIV2 = $1 1.042 = $1.0816
DIV3 = $1 1.043 = $1.1249
b P0 = DIV1/(r g) = = $13
c P3 = DIV4/(r g) = = $14.6237
Trang 3d Your payments are:
Sum of PV = $13.00, the same as your answer to (b)
11 Dividend growth rate, g = return on equity × plowback ratio:
g = 15 40 = 06
r = + g = + 06 = 16 = 16%
12 a P0 = = = $21
P0 = = $30
The lower discount rate makes the present value of future dividends higher, raising the value of the stock
13 r = + g g = r - = 14 – = 04 = 4%
14 a r = + g = + 03 = 0926 = 9.26%
b If r = 10, then 10 = 1.64(1.03)/27 + g So g = 0374 = 3.74%
c g = Return on equity plowback ratio
5% = Return on equity 4
Return on equity = = = 12.5%
15 P0 = DIV1/(r g)
= $2/(.12 – 06) = $33.33
16 a P0 = DIV1/(r g) = 3/[.15 – (.10)] = 3/.25 = $12
b P1 = DIV2/(r g) = 3(1 10)/.25 = $10.80
Trang 4c return = = = 150 = 15.0%
d “Bad” companies may be declining, but if the stock price already reflects this fact, the investor still can earn a fair rate of return, as we saw in part c
17 a (i) reinvest 0% of earnings: g = 0 and DIV1 = $5:
P0 = = = $33.33 (ii) reinvest 40%: g = 15% 40 = 6% and DIV1 = $5 (1 – 40) = $3:
P0 = $3/(.15 – 06) = $33.33 (iii) reinvest 60%: g = 15% 60 = 9% and DIV1 = $5 (1 – 60) = $2:
P0 = 2/(.15 – 09) = $33.33
b (i) reinvest 0%: P0 = 5/(.15 – 0) = $33.33
PVGO = $0 (ii) reinvest 40%: P0 = = $42.86
PVGO = $42.86 – $33.33 = $9.53 (iii) reinvest 60%: P0 = = $66.67
PVGO = $66.67 – $33.33 = $33.34
c In part (a), the return on reinvested earnings is equal to the discount rate
Therefore, the NPV of the firm’s new projects is zero, and PVGO is zero in all cases, regardless of the reinvestment rate While higher reinvestment results in higher growth rates, it does not result in a higher value of growth
opportunities This example illustrates that there is a difference between
growth and growth opportunities
In part (b), the return on reinvested earnings is greater than the discount rate Therefore, the NPV of the firm’s new projects is positive, and PVGO is
positive PVGO is higher when the reinvestment rate is higher in this case, since the firm is taking greater advantage of its opportunities to invest in
positive NPV projects
Trang 518 Stock exchange information
Tips: When accessing stock exchange information at www.fibv.com, you don’t actually click on “Member” but rather place your cursor on the word You click on the region and stock exchange of interest Also, remind the students to click on the symbol of the stock exchange to connect to the Web site of that exchange
Expected results: Students learn about variety of stock exchanges around the world and the types of information provided
19 Hollywood stock exchange
Expected result: A fun experience trading securities
20 a P0 = + + = 18.10
b DIV1/P0 = $1/18.10 = 0552 = 5.52%
21 Stock A Stock B
b g = ROE plowback 15% 5 = 7.5% 10% 333 = 3.33%
Note: We interpret “recent” to mean in the past The current stock price
depends on future dividends – so the next dividend must be 1 + g times higher
22 a ROE plowback ratio = 20% 3 = 6%
b E = $2, plowback ratio = 3, r = 12, g = 06 P0 = = $23.33
c No-growth value = E/r = $2/.12 = $16.67
PVGO = P0 no-growth value = $23.33 $16.67 = $6.66
d P/E = 23.33/2 = 11.665
e If all earnings were paid as dividends, price would equal the no-growth value,
$16.67, and P/E would be 16.67/2 = 8.335
f High P/E ratios reflect expectations of high PVGO
23 a =$60
b No-growth value = E/r = $6.20/.12 = $51.67
PVGO = P0 no-growth value = $60 51.67 = $8.33
Trang 624 a Earnings = DIV1 = $4 Growth rate g = 0.
P0 = = $33.33
P/E = 33.33/4 = 8.33
b If r = 10, P0 = = 40, and P/E increases to 40/4 = 10
A decrease in the required rate of return, holding dividends constant, raises the stock price and the P/E ratio
25 a Plowback ratio = 0 implies DIV1 = $3 and g = 0
Therefore, P0 = = $30
and the P/E ratio is 30/3 = 10
b Plowback ratio = 40 implies DIV1 = $3(1 – 40) = $1.80, and g = 10% 40 = 4%
Therefore P0 = $1.80/(.10 – 04) = $30
and the P/E ratio is 30/3 = 10
c Plowback ratio = 80 implies DIV1 = $3(1 – 80) = $.60, and g = 10% 80 = 8% Therefore P0 = $.60/(.10 – 08) = $30
and the P/E ratio is 30/3 = 10
Regardless of the plowback ratio, the stock price = $30 because all projects
offer return on equity just equal to the opportunity cost of capital
26 a P0 = DIV1/(r g) = $5/(.10 – 06) = $125
b If Trendline followed a zero-plowback strategy, it could pay a perpetual
dividend of $8 Its value would be $8/.10 = $80, and therefore, the value of
assets in place is $80 The remainder of its value must be due to growth
opportunities, so PVGO = $125 – $80 = $45
27 a g = 20% 30 = 6%
DIV1 = $2(1 – 30) = $1.40
P0 = DIV1/(r g) = $1.40/(.12 06) = $23.33
P/E = 23.33/2 = 11.665
Trang 7b If the plowback ratio is reduced to 20, g = 20% 20 = 4%
DIV1 = $2(1 – 20) = $1.60
P0 = DIV1/(r g) = $1.60/(.12 – 04) = 20
P/E = 20/2 = 10
P/E falls because the firm’s value of growth opportunities is now lower: It takes less advantage of its attractive investment opportunities
c If the plowback ratio = 0, g = 0, and DIV1 = $2,
P0 = $2/.12 = 16.67 and E/P = 2/16.67 = 12
DIV2 = 2(1.20) = 2.40 PV = 2.40/1.102 = 1.983
DIV3 = 2(1.20)2 = 2.88 PV = 2.88/1.103 = 2.164
b This could not continue indefinitely If it did, the stock would be worth an infinite amount Another way to think about the feasible perpetual growth rate
is to compare the company’s growth rate with the growth rate of the economy The economy grows about 3% a year To grow faster than the economy as a whole is feasible when the company is small However, to continue to grow at 20%, the company must take over other companies and eventually become the entire economy But in the long run, it still can only grow as quickly as the entire economy So it is impossible to grow at 20% in perpetuity Think about Microsoft – it has had phenomenal growth partly by acquiring other
companies and partly by growing its own businesses However, even if it were
to own all of the companies in the world, eventually its growth rate would fall
to the growth rate of the world economy We are assuming that Bill Gates is not able to successfully market his software to still to be discovered alien worlds!! Finally, note too that the constant dividend growth model fails when the assumed perpetual growth rate is greater than the discount rate
29 a Book value = $100 million
First year earnings = $100 million 24 = $24 million
Dividends = Earnings (1 – plowback ratio) = $12 million
g = return on equity plowback ratio = 24 50 = 12
Market value = = $400 million
Trang 8Market-to-book ratio = $400/$100 = 4
b Now g falls to 10 50 = 05, first year earnings decline to $10 million (=$100 million × 1), and dividends decline to $5 million (=$10 million × 5)
Market value = = $50 million
Market-to-book ratio = ½
This makes sense, because the firm now earns less than the required rate of return
on its investments Its project is worth less than it costs
30 P0 = + + = $16.59
31 a DIV1 = $2 1.20 = $2.40
b DIV1 = $2.40 DIV2 = $2.88 DIV3 = $3.456
P3 = = $32.675
P0 = + + = $28.02
c P1 = + = $29.825
d Capital gain = P1 P0 = $29.825 $28.02 = 1.805
r = = 15 = 15%
32 a Note: If students carry at least 4 decimal places, the results will be clearer
Also, it is easier to solve the prices in reverse order
DIV1 = $.5 DIV2 = $.5 DIV3 = $.5
DIV4 = $.5 × 1.04 = $.52 DIV5 = $.5 × 1.042 = $.5408
P4 = = = $7.7257
P3 = = = $7.4286
P2 = = = $7.1429
P1 = = = $6.8855
P0 = = = $6.6536
b Year 0
Trang 9Dividend yield = = = 07515
Capital gains yield = = = 03485
Dividend yield + capital gains yield = 07515 + 03485 = 11
Year 1
Dividend yield = = = 07262
Capital gains yield = = = 03738
Dividend yield + capital gains yield = 07262 + 03738 = 11
Year 2
Dividend yield = = = 0700
Capital gains yield = = = 0400
Dividend yield + capital gains yield = 07 + 04 = 11
Year 3
Dividend yield = = = 0700
Capital gains yield = = = 0400
Dividend yield + capital gains yield = 07 + 04 = 11
Yes, each year the sum of the dividend yield and the capital gains yield equal 11 percent, the required rate of return Once the company hits constant growth rate of
4 percent, both the dividend yield and the capital gains yield also become constant
33 DIV1 = dividend payout × earnings1 = 4 × $3 = $1.2
DIV2 = dividend payout × earnings2 = 4 × $3 × 1.1 = $1.32
DIV3 = dividend payout × earnings3 = 4 × $3 × 1.12 = $1.452
DIV4 = dividend payout × earnings4 = 4 × $3 × 1.13 = $1.5972
DIV5 = dividend payout × earnings5 = 4 × $3 × 1.14 = $1.75692
P0 = + + + + × = $13.95
34 a BCE preferred shares
Expected results: Students use real data to calculate the current expected (or
Trang 10required) rate of return.
b CIBC preferred shares
Expected results: Students will quickly learn that the www.globeinvestor.com does not do a good job on preferred shares The dividend payouts are rounded to 2 digits and hence do not match well the actual dividends listed on the CIBC Web site
35 Expected Results: ATY-T is ATI Technologies and SRF-T is Sun-Rype Foods
Emphasize to the students that they should describe the businesses of these
companies in their own words Encourage students to think about how each
company presents its products Students will look at the investor pages to see the information they provide
36 Tips: The Web site has changed since the textbook went to press Instruct students to click on “Access Public Filings” to get to the insider information General information
on the insiders is found at “View Insider Information” To see current trading by the insiders, click on “View Summary Reports” Pick “insider transaction detail” and click
on “next” Then identify the insider (you will see “insider family” as an option) and go
to the bottom of the page and hit “search” On the next screen select “view” The summary report shows the insider trading of each security of various companies
(“issuers”) For example, in November 2005, the first issuer listed for Frank Stronach was Decoma International Inc Mr Stronach is director or senior officer holding at least 10% of the Class A subordinate voting shares The report shows transactions of Mr Stronach
Expected results: Students will see the information available and wonder whether they can trade on this – do stock purchases and sales provide information of value to outside investors?
37 Before-tax rate of return:
= = = 078 = 7.8%
After-tax rate of return:
=
= = 0596 = 5.96%
38 a An individual can do crazy things, but still not affect the efficiency of markets An
irrational person can give assets away for free or offer to pay twice the market value However, when the person’s supply of assets or money runs out, the price
Trang 11will adjust back to its prior level (assuming there is no new, relevant information released by his/her action) If you are lucky enough to trade with such a person you
will receive a positive gain at that investor’s expense You had better not count on
this happening very often though Fortunately, an efficient market protects
irrational investors in cases less extreme than the above Even if they trade in the market in an “irrational” manner, they can be assured of getting a fair price since the price reflects all information
b Yes, and how many people have dropped a bundle? Or more to the point, how many people have made a bundle only to lose it later? People can be lucky and some people can be very lucky; efficient markets do not preclude this
possibility Furthermore, how much risk did they take? You expect to earn a
higher return if you take on more market (beta) risk
c Investor psychology is a slippery concept, more often than not used to explain price movements which the individual invoking it cannot personally explain Even if it exists, is there any way to make money from it? If investor
psychology drives up the price one day, will it do so the next day also? Or will the price drop to a “true” level? Almost no one can tell you beforehand what
“investor psychology” will do Theories based on it have no content
39 There are several thousand mutual funds in Canada and the United States With so many professional managers, it is no surprise that some managers will demonstrate brilliant performance over various periods of time As an analogy, consider a contest in which
10,000 people flip a coin 20 times It would not surprise you if someone managed to flip
heads 18 out of 20 times But it would be surprising if he could repeat that performance Similarly, while many investors have shown excellent performance over relatively short time horizons, and have received favourable publicity for their work, far fewer have demonstrated consistency over long periods
40 If the firm is stable and well run, its price will reflect this information, and the stock may not be a bargain There is a difference between a “good company” and a “good stock.” The best buys in the stock market are not necessarily the best firms; instead, you want
firms that are better than anyone else realizes When the market catches up to your
assessment and prices adjust, you will profit
41 Remember the first lesson of market efficiency: The market has no memory Just because long-term interest rates are high relative to past levels doesn’t mean they won’t
go higher still Unless you have special information indicating that long-term rates are
too high, issuing long-term bonds should be a zero-NPV transaction So should issuing
short-term debt or common stock
42 The stock price will fall The original price would reflect an anticipation of a 25%
increase in earnings The actual increase is a disappointment compared to original
expectations